Acepto Descuento
45,500 40,040
Decisión
Rechazo Descuento 40,500
Decido producir 80
0.5
Decido producir 90
0.2
Decido producir 100
0.3 Pedido x
Probabiidad
80 u
0.5
90 u
0.2
100 u
0.3
80 u
0.5
Decido producir 90
90 u
0.2
35000!0.5"45000!0.2"45000!0.3 40,500
100 u
0.3
80 u
0.5
90 u
0.2
100 u
0.3
Decido producir 80 40000!0.5"40000!0.2"40000!0.3 40,000
Decido producir 100 40000!0.5"45000!0.2"50000!0.3 39,200
#855$400%!80
3&,400
#855$400%!90
40,950
#855$400%!100
45,500
#900$400%!80
40,000
#900$400%!80
40,000
#900$400%!80
40,000
#900$400%!80$400!10
3&,000
#900$400%!90
45,000
#900$400%!90
45,000
#900$400%!80$400!20
32,000
#900$400%!90$400!10
41,000
#900$400%!100
50,000
Acepto Descuento con 3'
4(,300 41,&24
Decisión
Rechazo Descuento 40,500
Decido producir 80
0.5
Decido producir 90
0.2
Decido producir 100
0.3 Pedido x
Probabiidad
80 u
0.5
90 u
0.2
100 u
0.3
80 u
0.5
Decido producir 90
90 u
0.2
35000!0.5"45000!0.2"45000!0.3 40,500
100 u
0.3
80 u
0.5
90 u
0.2
100 u
0.3
Decido producir 80 40000!0.5"40000!0.2"40000!0.3 40,000
Decido producir 100 40000!0.5"45000!0.2"50000!0.3 39,200
#855$400%!80
3(,840
#855$400%!90
42,5(0
#855$400%!100
4(,300
#900$400%!80
40,000
#900$400%!80
40,000
#900$400%!80
40,000
#900$400%!80$400!10
3&,000
#900$400%!90
45,000
#900$400%!90
45,000
#900$400%!80$400!20
32,000
#900$400%!90$400!10
41,000
#900$400%!100
50,000
