Part 3 - The World - Lessons From My 20s by Ryan Allis

Lessons from my 20s

Part III:

THE WORLD

ABOUT THIS PRESENTATION

THIS presentation can be found Online at www.hive.org/20s

PART 3 TOPICS PART 3 “THE WORLD” INCLUDES SECTIONS ON

HUMAN RIGHTS MILLENNIALS Human progress CLIMATE CHANGE SYSTEMs thinking The innovation age WORLD 2050

Lessons from my 20s

PART III, Section 1

HUMAN RIGHTS

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

Let’s begin this section on Human rights with a

Famous thought exercise

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

IMAGINE YOU WERE a soul Hanging out around a campfire IN A CAVE with

five other souls

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

NOW IMAGINE that god gave you and the five other souls The task of determing the

Principles for the world

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

God said that the principles for the world should be fair and That you all must agree on them

Before you could be born

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

None of the six of you know yet where you’ll be born The color of your skin Your sexual orientation Your gender Or how much money Your parents will have

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

And your task is to come up with the principles for the world That you can all agree on Before you can be born into your bodies

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

What principles would you come up with for the world?

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

What principles would you come up with for the world if you didn’t know where you’ll be born The color of your skin Your gender Your sexual orientation how much money Your parents will have

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

Take a moment to write down at least 2 principles for the world That would create a fair society

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

This famous thought exercise Is called “The original position” th And was created by 20 century Harvard professor & philosopher

John Rawls

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

John rawls writes about The original position In his 1971 classic

A theory of justice

“The most reasonable principles of justice are those everyone would accept and agree to from a fair position.” - John Rawls, 20th Century Philosopher!

A THOUGHT EXERCISE

Here are the two principles We have come up with at Hive That would create a just world

The First principle

1

All people would have the same basic Rights regardless of birthplace, gender, Sexual orientation, or skin color

The second principle 2

All people would have access To the basic human needs of food, water Shelter, medicine, education, and electricity

What would be the implication of these principles?

IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOU prevent some PEOPLE FROM TRAVELING to other places While others could

Travel Freely

SIMPLY BASED ON WHERE THEY WERE BORN?!


IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOU ENSURE EVERYONE HAD ACCESS TO FOOD, WATER & SHELTER OR JUST

SOME PEOPLE?


IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOU ENSURE EVERYONE HAD ACCESS TO basic education and medicine or just

SOME PEOPLE?


IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOU ENSURE THAT ALL INFANTS HAD LIFE SAVING IMMUNIZATIONS OR JUST RESERVE THOSE

FOR SOME INFANTS?


IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOU CONDEMN SOME BABIES TO DEATH BECAUSe CANCER TREATMENTS

WEREN’t available?


WHAT TYPE OF WORLD WOULD YOU CREATE IF YOU DIDN’t know where you

WOULD BE BORN?

The world we can create

THIS IS THE WORLD WE CAN ACTUALLY

CREATE

IN OUR LIFETIME!


A WORLD IN WHICH FREE SPIRIT AND ENTERPRISE

IS ENCOURAGED


A WORLD IN WHICH Everyone has access to Their basic needs


A WORLD that is run On clean energy


A WORLD IN WHICH PROPERTY RIGHTS

ARE RESPECTED


A WORLD IN WHICH GOVERNMENTs are RUN

EFFICIENTLY AND TRANSPARENTLY


A WORLD IN WHICH EVERY CHILD

IS GIVEN THE ABILITY TO LEARN TO INNOVATE

TO CREATE TO CONTRIBUTE


A WORLD IN WHICH EVERY CHILD IS ASSURED ACCESS TO THEIR BASIC NEEDS ELECTRICITY EDUCATION

MEDICINE FOOD

WATER

SHELTER

% of people without basic human needs Basic human need

% Without

# Without

Source

1. Clean Water

10.8%

780M

UNICEF

2. Sufficient Food

12.8%

925M

UNFAO

3. Basic Shelter

13.8%

1.0B

UNHCR

4. Literacy

12.7%

920M

UNESCO

5. Basic Medicine

23.6%

1.7B

WHO

6. Electricity

18.0%

1.3B

IEA


IMAGINE THE JOB CREATION AND THE HUMAN INNOVATION

As we GO FROM 3B To 9 BILLION PEOPLE WHOSE BASIC NEEDS ARE MET

Ending Poverty in Singapore in 50 years

SINGAPORE IS AN INTERESTING CASE… In 1960 its per capita income was $428 By 2011 per capita income grew to $50,123

How did Singapore END POVERTY in one LIFETIME?

Ending Poverty in Singapore in 50 years While many have criticised a lack of political FREEDOM HERE ARE SOME THINGS leadership GOT RIGHT in singapore Low tolerance of corruption High pay of public officials to attract best talent and discourage bribery An efficiently run government with competent leadership Government budget surpluses Focus on ease of starting a business Focus on a scientific knowledge-based economy Focus on export-led growth Low taxes A clean environment

A GOOD QUESTION FROM Bucky “How do we make the world work for 100% of humanity in the shortest possible time through spontaneous cooperation without ecological damage or disadvantage to anyone?” - Buckminster fuller !

Human Rights?

WHAT IF THERE WERE A DOCUMENT ESTABLISHING THE RIGHTS OF HUMANS THAT THE USA AND 48 other COUNTRIES Had already ADOPTED?

A universal declaration of human rights?

There actually is It’s called the Universal declaration of human rights And it was adopted in 1948




What if we actually created A human society Based upon these principles?


We will be the first generation To be connected globally


And we will have the opportunity To reshape THE WORLD Into a joyous, sustainable, and abundant WORLD


Let’s work together on this In the decades to come

Human rights exercise

You can do the following 5 minute Human rights exercise now

Or put a time on your calendar To return to it

Human rights EXERCISE

Exercise: human rights

Write down two principles you would Create for the world if you were a Pre-birth soul and didn’t know where you’d be born, your skin color, your gender, or your Parent’s income

Exercise: human rights

Now, write down: Are you committed to working toward Creating a world based on those principles?

Why or why not?

Lessons from my 20s

PART III, Section 2

HUMAN progress

A few important questions

SOMETIMES WITH ALL THE NEGATIVE HEADLINES IT’s HARD TO zoom out and And look at THE ANSWER TO A very IMPORTANT QUESTION

How are we doing?

HOW IS OUR SPECIES

DOING?

How are we doing?

Is humanity DOING better or worse than

40 years ago?

Progress

Is humanity making

Progress?

Measuring Progress

And can“progress”

Be measured?

SOME EXISTING MEASURES OF HUMAN PROGRESS

1.  United Nations Human Development Index 2.  Legatum Prosperity Index 3.  Social Progress Index (SPI) 4.  Gross National Happiness (GNH)

SOME EXISTING MEASURES OF HUMAN PROGRESS

The challenge with these four measures Is that they provide data at a country level

Not at a human level

Measuring human progress

WE NEED A MORE COMPRENSIVE Measure OF HUMAN PROGRESS

How humans are doing

WHAT IF WE COULD AGREE On METRICS THAT TOLD US HOW OUR SPECIES IS DOING?


We’d probably look for data in AREAS LIKE

Health education PEACE Economics environment


Here are the exact measures we use at hive To track human progress at a species level


Health Education ! Peace! Economics ! Environment!

1. Life Expectancy 2. Infant Mortality 3. Literacy 4. Internet Access 5. Active Conflicts 6. Deaths From War 7. Average Income 8. Global Poverty Rate 9. CO2 PPM 10. Temperature Increase


Let’s look at how we’re doing As a species across THESE

10 metrics

The global report card

Health

1. Life Expectancy

1980

63

2012

71

12% Higher Source: World Bank

2. Infant Mortality 59% Decline 1980

11.6%

2012

4.8% Source: World Bank


EDUCATION

3. Literacy Rate 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30%

1980

70%

84%

20% Higher

20% 10% 0% 1980

2012

1990

1995

2000

2012

4. Internet Access 1980

0%

2012

36% Infinitely Higher


PEACE

0

Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program

2013

2012

2011

2010

6

2009

13

2008

2008-2013 Avg.

2007

1980-1985 Avg.

2006

14

2005

16

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

1986

2

1985

4

1984

1983

6

1982

8

1981

1980

5. Active Major Conflicts

18

54% Lower

12

10

6. Deaths from War 90000

18% Lower

80000

Even as global population has expanded 45%

70000 60000

Syria conflict has caused recent spike

50000 40000

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

1986

0

1985

33,159

1984

40,370 1983

10000

1982

2008-2013 Avg.

1981

1980-1985 Avg.

1980

20000

2001

30000


ECONOMICS

7. Annual Income Per Person 74% Higher 1980

2012

$5960

$10395

Population & Income Over 2000 Years 8

$10395

Billions of People on Planet

7 The!Informa5on!Age!

6

$6055

5 4

The!Industrial!Age!

$2111 3 The!Enlightenment!

2

$1261 The!Renaissance!

1

$666 $467

$453

$450

$566

$605

0 0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000

The time to get to now

IT took humans 13.78 Billion yearS TO EVOLVE

Time to 1B People

IT took humans 200,000 years to reach1B people

POPULATION AND INCOME GROWTH

BUT just 200 years to go from 1b to 7B


NEVER BEFORE HAVE WE HAD SO MANY PEOPLE


NEVER BEFORE has our species had SO much wealth

0.0% 2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

1980

2003

2002

2001

43.6%

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

10.0%

1992

20.0%

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

90.0%

1986

100.0%

1985

60.0%

1984

70.0%

1983

80.0%

1982

1981

1980

8. % Living in Extreme Poverty 2012

16.9%

50.0%

40.0%

30.0%

61% Lower

LOOKING GOOD SO FAR…

So things are Looking up, right?


Mostly, except for The environment


Which sort of Underpins

Everything else


ENVIRONMENT

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

334

2001

1980

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

270

1990

1989

1988

290

1987

310

1986

330

1985

1984

1983

1982

1981

1980

9. CO2 in Atmosphere (Parts Per Million) 390

370

350

2012

395

19% Higher

250

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

0.61° 2007

1980

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

0.2

1998

0.6

1997

0.4

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

1986

1985

1984

1.4

1983

1.6

1982

1981

1980

10. Surface Temperature Increase (F°) 1.8

125% Higher

1.2

1.0

0.8

2012

1.37°

0.0

The Global Report Card

Environment!

1. Life Expectancy

63

71

! 12%

A

2. Infant Mortality

11.6%

4.8%

59%

A

3. Literacy

70%

84%

! 20%

B

4. Internet Access

0%

36%

! Infinite

B

5. Active Conflicts

13

6

6. Deaths from War 40,370

54%

33,159

18%

B

B

7. Average Income

$5.9k

$10.4k

! 74%

A

8. Poverty Rate

43.6%

16.9%

61%

B

334

395

! 19%

F

+0.61°

+1.37°

! 125%

F

9. CO2 PPM 10. Temp. Increase

!!

Economics!

Grade

!!

Education ! Peace!

% Change

!!

2013

!!

Health

1980

What would a 5 DeGree farenheight increase mean? “As the Arctic continues to warm, melting permafrost in the boreal forests and further north in the Arctic tundra is now starting to melt, triggering the release of methane, a greenhouse gas twenty times more powerful than CO2, from thick layers of thawing peat.” - Climate Code Red

Lots of progress on the abundance side HOW LONG WE LIVE

1812 30

2014 70

25%

4%

98%

17%

$700

$10800

Average life expectancy globally

INFANT MORTALITY Infant deaths before age 5 globally

POVERTY % Under $1.25 per day globally current $

Avg. annual INCOME

Inflation adjusted to current $

The key challenge for our generation

So they key challenge is how we can together create An abundant and sustainable world For all people

Lessons from my 20s

PART III, Section 3

SYSTEMS THINKING

WHAT IS A SYSTEM?

A SYSTEM is

A COLLECTION OF PROCESSES

THAT INTERACT

SYSTEMS THINKING

SYSTEMS THINKERS INTEGRATE knowledge

ACROSS DISCIPLINES

SYSTEMS THINKING

SYSTEMS THINKERS UNDERSTAND

COMPLEXITY & NUANCE

SYSTEMS THINKING

SYSTEMS THINKERS BUILD

MENTAL MAPS

Three Types of SYStems

1.  2.  3. 

INTERNAL SYSTEMS EXTERNAL SYSTEMS ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS

INTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEs

RESPIRATION CELL REPLICATION DIGESTION IMMUNE SYSTEM HORMONAL REGULATION NEURAL PLASTICITY

EXTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEs

GLOBAL TRADE ELECTRICAL GRIDS ACADEMIC ADMISSIONS COMPANY METRICS REPORTING ELECTIONS THE INTERNET

EXTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEs

CONDENSATION GEOLOGICAL FORMATION ELECTROMAGNETIC ENERGY NUCLEAR FUSION GAMMA WAVES EVOLUTION

AN example of external systems theory

JAMES LOCKLOCK’s GAIA HYPOTHESIS EXPLORED THE EARTH as one self-regulating Interconnected system Of biosphere, atmosphere, Oceans, and soil

The great SYSTEMS THINKERS

Some of the most well known Systems thinkers in last century were Donella meadows Albert einstein Thomas Edison Buckminster fuller JAMES LOVELOCK

Lessons from my 20s

PART III, Section 4

WORLD 2050

The World in 2050

Here are some predictions About What will happen

In the next 40 years From the pardee center For international futures

World Population Will RISE

GLOBAL POPULATION WILL RISE to

9.2 Billion

Energy DEMAND WILL INCREASE

GLOBAL ENERGY DEMAND WILL go up

2.3x

CO2 output from fossil fuels

FOSSIL FUEL USAGE WILL PEAK THEN

DECLINE

Mobile phones per 100 people

The average person Will have >1 Cloud connected Mobile device

Global Life Expectancy

WE LIVE LONGER AS LIFE EXPECTANCY REACHES

77

Infant Mortality

FEWER BABIES DIE As INFANT MORTALITY Goes under 10 per 1000

GDP Per Capita (In thousands)

WE BECOME WEALTHIER Global GDP PER CAPITA UP

140%

POVERTY DECLINES RAPIDLY

Extreme POVERTY nearly eliminated

% living on <$1.25 Per Day

Down 78%

Secondary education completion

WE ARE BETTER EDUCATED SECONDARY SCHOOLING up

52%

COLLEGE EDUCATED

% oF PEOPLE WITH COLLEGE DEGREES

UP159%

WOMEN WITH COLLEGE EDUCATION

UP 189%

MORE OF US WILL LIVE IN CITIES

PERCENTAGE IN CITIES UP

32%

Major innovations are coming

NANOTECHNOLOGY 3D Printing GENOME SEQUENCING SYNTHETIC LIFE PRIVATE SPACE TRAVEL DESALINATION

Governments will have to adapt

INCREASED GOVERNMENT TRANSPARENCY OPEN GOV DATA APIS STRONGER PROPERTY RIGHTS EASIER TO START A BUSINESS BETTER co2 REGULATIONS REMAINING REGIMES OVERTHROWN

MAJOR GEOPOLITICAL CHANGES

CHINA WORLD’S LARGEST GDP INDIA THE MOST POPULOUS NATION AFRICA 2B People + ECONOMIC POWER FOSSIL FUEL PRODUCERS LESS INFLUENCE INSECURITY UNTIL WE LOWER EMISSIONS

AFRICA BECOMES AN ECONOMIC POWER

Lessons from my 20s

PART III, Section 5

MILLENNIALS

It’s our turn to lead

MILLENNIALS WILL BE LEADING

THE NEXT 40 YEARS People born between 1980 and 2000

SO what’s different about millennials?

SO What’s different ABOUT Millennials?


WE ARE DEEPLY AWARE

OF SOCIAL ISSUES


WE UNDERSTAND THE IMPORTANCE OF A

SUSTAINABLE WORLD


WE SEE BUSINESS & ENTREPRENEURSHIP AS TOOLS TO MAKE A SCALABLE POSITIVE CHANGE IN THE WORLD


WE ARE USED TO A FASTER PACE OF CHANGE

& ARE IMPATIENT with the

Status quo


WE ARE CONNECTED GLOBALLY THROUGH

TECHNOLOGY LIKE

NEVER BEFORE


WE NOW HAVE THE TOOLS TO HOLD

CORRUPT LEADERS

ACCOUNTABLE

AND CREATE THE MOMENTUM TO OVERTHROW THEM

OUR GREAT OPPORTUNITY

OUR GREATEST opportunity Is creating a sustainable world IN WHICH EVERY HUMAN HAS ACCESS TO FOOD, WATER, SHELTER EDUCATION, MEDICINE, ELECTRICITY

OUR GREAT OPPORTUNITY

THE GOOD NEWS IS WE GIVE A DAMN HAVE THE TECH TOOLS CAN INNOVATE LIKE HELL AND ARE HIGHLY COMPETENT

Lessons from my 20s

PART III, Section 6

CLIMATE CHANGE

Co2 traps heat

AN INCREASE IN Co2 IN AN ATMOSPHERE TRAPS HEAT & MAKES THE

TEMPERATURE GO UP

35

30

25

20

15

1900 1903 1906 1909 1912 1915 1918 1921 1924 1927 1930 1933 1936 1939 1942 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Carbon emissions 40

ANNUAL CO2 OUTPUT HAS INCREASED FROM 4GT To 40GT SINCE 1900

10

5

0

410

390

370

350

1900 1903 1906 1909 1912 1915 1918 1921 1924 1927 1930 1933 1936 1939 1942 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014

CO2 in the atmoshphere

CO2 Parts per million HAVE INCREASED FROM 293 to 401 SINCE 1900

330

310

290

270

Surface Temperature change over 1937 baseline 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80

EARTH’s AVERAGE SURFACE TEMPERATURE HAS RISEn 1.3°F SINCE 1967

0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 -0.20 -0.40

1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Source: NOAA

The link between co2 and temperature

In 1896, Swedish scientist svante arrhenius FIRST Showed the link between the amount Of co2 in the atmosphere

and temperature!

97% of Scientists Agree that co2 " Higher temps

As of 2010, 97% of American CLIMATE SCIENTISTS BELIEVEd the INCREASE In earth’s TEMPERATUREs IS CAUSED BY

INCREASED CO2 in the ATMOSPHERE

21st century temperature increases

THE IPCC INDICATES GLOBAL Surface TEMPERATURES wILL INCREASE ANOTHER 3.4° to 7.9°F

Sea Levels Rising

A 5°F increase in Surface TEMPERATURES WOULD INCREASE SEA LEVELS by ~11 FT

Hundreds of millions of refugees

An 11 foot sea level rise would mean:

BANGLADESH UNDER WATER 35% of FL Under water 20% of NYC Under Water

Moving to a clean energy economy

TO stop this we must

Move away from fossil fuels As quickly as we can

Moving to a clean energy economy

We must move away from coal, oil, and natural gas

And to clean energies like solar, wind, geothermal, and Biofuels As quickly as we can

What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean? “In the pliocene, three million years ago temperatures were 5 degrees (F) higher than our pre-industrial levels, so it gives us an insight into the five-degree world. The northern hemisphere was free of glaciers and icesheets, beech trees grew in the transantarctic mountains, sea levels were 25

metres higher” - Climate Code red!

What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?

“Between 3 and 5 degrees (F) the Amazon rainforest, whose plants produce 10 percent of the world's photosynthesis and have no evolved resistance to fire, may turn to savannah, as drought and mega-fires first destroy the rainforest, turning trees back into carbon dioxide as they burn or rot and decompose” - Climate Code red!

What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean? “As the Arctic continue to warm, melting permafrost in the boreal forests and further north in the Arctic tundra is now starting to melt, triggering the release of methane, a greenhouse gas twenty times more powerful than CO2, from thick layers of thawing peat.” - Climate Code red!

What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?

“There are thousands of gigatons of methane beneath the seas, comparable to the amount of carbon contained in the Earth’s coal deposits. And, as the Arctic waters warm, some of this methane is likely to bubble up into the atmosphere.” - Ezra klein!

The current debate

THE CURRENT DEBATE DOES NOT RECOGNIZE THE GRAVITY OF THE SITUATION

A huge economic threat

INCREASED TEMPERATURES ARE INEVITABLE AND ARE ON TRACK TO THREATEn OUR Economy + CIVILIZATION

Passed to 400 PPM Barrier

WE ARE At 401 CARBON PPM AS OF 2014

Past the 400 PPM Barrier

WHERE WE STABILIZE CARBON PPM WILL DRASTICALLY AFFECT

The type of world Our children live in

We Passed the 400 PPM Barrier

500 PPM

WE MUST DO ALL WE CAN AS A SOCIETY TO NEVER GO ABOVE

500 PPM

350 PPM

AND to get back To 350 PPM Where we were in

1987

The Historical perspective on CO2

Steps we can take

THERE ARE STEPS WE CAN TAKE TO REDUCE C02 output MORE QUICKLY

Steps we can take

1) STOP FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES 2) PRICE IN THE COST OF C02 pollution cleanup 3) INVEST IN energy & geoengineering R&D 4) SubSIDIZE RENEWABLE ENERGY USE 5) INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENCY

1. STOP subsidizing fossil fuel production

Every year the usa Provides $11.5b in Subsidies to the Oil industry This needs to stop Immediately

2. Price in cost of co2 cleanup

FOSSIL FUELS ARE CHEAP BECAUSE THE COST OF CLEANING UP CO2 POLLUTION IS NOT INCLUDED IN THE PRICE Let’s FIX THIS and CORRECT THE INCENTIVES TO USE FOSSIL FUELS

3. INVEST IN RENEWABLES & GEOENGINEERING RESEARCH

WIND, SOLAR, BIOFUELS, & FUSION HAVE GREAT PROMISE As does carbon SEQUESTRATION And other geoengineering techniques

FUNDING GeoENGINEERING RESEARCH

GEOENGINEERING TECHNIQUES LIKE carbon sequestration SOLAR RADIATION MANAGEMENT CLOUD SEEDING and VERTICAL OCEAN PIPING Are worthy of careful research

US Govt spends 457x more on military than renewables

USA ANNUAL DEFENSE BUDGET

$640 BILLION USA ANNUAL RENEWABLES R&D

$1.4 Billion

SOMETHING IS OFF HERE…

U.S. ANNUAL DEFENSE BUDGET $640 BILLION U.S. ANNUAL FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES $11.5 Billion USA ANNUAL RENEWABLES R&D $1.4 Billion

4. Subsidize renewables R&D

iN ORDER TO INCREASE MARKET INVESTMENT IN RENEWABLES IN THE NEXT FEW YEARS WHILE THE R&D iS CONDUCTED WE SHOULD SUBSIDIZE THE COST OF RENEWABLE ENERGY

5. INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENCY

EFFICIENT BUILDINGS SMART 2-way grids SMART APPLIANCES

CLEAN ENERGY

INVESTING IN CLEAN ENERGY FROM RENEWABLE SOURCES IS OUR BEST BET TO REDUCE THE COMING ECONOMIC COST OF CLIMATE CHANGE

GRID PARITY is coming

SOLAR POWER WILL BE LESS EXPENSIVe THAN GRID POWER BY 2020 This moment will be the

THE TIPPING POINT

GRID PARITY is coming

$0.25 >! $0.04 COST OF SOLAR

COST OF GRID

RETAIL COST PER KWH IN USA


2014

GRID PARITY is coming THIS IS A BIG DEAL

$0.04 =! $0.04 COST OF SOLAR

COST OF GRID



2020

The apollo mission of our generation

It’s a race to GRID PARITY

THIS IS OUR MOON LANDING

THE PRESIDENT HAS YOUR BACK “We're issuing a challenge. We're telling America's scientists and engineers that if they assemble teams of the best minds in their fields, and focus on the hardest problems in clean energy, we'll fund the Apollo projects of our time. At the California Institute of Technology, they're developing a way to turn sunlight and water into fuel for our cars. At Oak Ridge National Laboratory, they're using supercomputers to get a lot more power out of our nuclear facilities. With more research and incentives, we can break our dependence on oil”

– President Obama, State of the union address, January 26, 2011

FUNDING RESEARCH

The JOINT CENTER FOR ARTIFICIAL PHOTOSYNTHESIS IS THE DOE’S

SOLAR RESEARCH HUB

ENERGY USAGE

Humans ARE using 15 Terawatts of power ANNUALLY

ENERGY USAGE

Humans are EXPECTED TO need 40 Terawatts of power

PER YEAR by 2050

2012 SOURCES OF GLOBAL ENERGY PRODUCTION 0.7% 6.5%

6.5% Fossil Fuels Nuclear Hydro Solar/Wind/Bio

86.3%

The potential oF THE SUN

THE SUN PROVIDES ENOUGH ENERGY IN A MINUTE TO POWER THE EARTH FOR A YEAR

What if?

WHAT IF THERE WERE MICROORGANISMS WHOSE FOOD SOURCE WAS CARBON DIOXIDE

AND THEIR OUTPUT WAS FUEL?

The potential of algae

ALGAE HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE THE WORLD’s FUTURE RENEWABLE FUEL SOURCE


BIOFUELS PRODUCED FROM SYNTHETIC ALGAE SHOW GREAT PROMISE FOR RENEWABLE FUEL PRODUCTION


ALGAE CONSUME CARBON DIOXIDE PRODUCE FUEL And REQUIRE 1/7th the LAND OF CORN-BASED ETHANOL

iN SUMMARY

CLEAN ENERGY IS OUR Generation’s Apollo MISSION

Lessons from my 20s

PART III, Section 7

The Innovation Age

About this section

This final section called “the innovation age” Is about The trends I am seeing in history and humanity And where that may lead us in

The Decades ahead

A Timeline of history

TO PUT everything In perspective Here is a timeline of Earth’s history

A big picture timeline of earth

Formation of Universe (13.8B Yrs Ago)

Formation of Earth (4.5 B Yrs Ago)

Formation of The Sun (4.6B Yrs Ago)

Oceans Form (3.8B Yrs Ago)

Plants Form (500M Yrs Ago)

Land Animals (400M Yrs Ago)

Dinosaurs (250M Yrs Ago)

Dinosaurs Extinct (65M Yrs Ago)

Pangea Shifts (200M Yrs Ago)

A human Timeline

TO further PUT THINGs In perspective Here is a timeline of human history

HUMAN HISTORY TIMELINE

Chimps diverge (5.4M Yrs Ago)

Fire (400,000 Yrs Ago)

Homo Erectus (2.3 M Yrs Ago)

Homo Habilis (2.3 M Yrs Ago)

Homo Erectus (1.8M Yrs Ago)

Language (100,000 Yrs Ago)

Homo Sapiens (200,000 Yrs Ago)

The human story

And at a very simplified Level, here’s the story Of the last 13.8B years (as far as we know so far)

The Great story of humanity

Once upon a time

All matter was in a single point


Then a massive

Explosion we call The big bang occurred


initially there was no life in the universe


The universe was A VAST expanse

Of matter and energy


THEN ALONG CAME

CARBON ATOMS


WHICH COULD

ENCODE INFORMATION


AND MOLECULES

EVOLVED


A BILLION YEARS LATER

DNA EVOLVED


AND from CHEMISTRY came

LIFE


ORGANISMS EVOLVED DECISION networks called

NERVOUS SYSTEMS


NEURONS Aggregated INTO

BRAINS


Brains formed frontal

cortexes


And emotions and reason

formed


WE WENT FROM ATOMS to MOLECULES TO DNA TO BRAINS to

awareness!


Now that’s

awesome!


BRAINS PLUS OPPOSABLE THUMBS created

TOOLS


THEN WE CREATED

LANGUAGE


THEN WE started

farming


THEN WE FORMED

CITIES


THEN WE CREATED

WRITING


THEN WE CREATED

MATHEMATICS


THEN WE CREATED the

Scientific method


THEN WE DISCOVERED A WAY OF ORGANIZING OUR EFFORTS (We called it a company – which in Latin means to “break bread with”)


THEN WE CREATED a system for funneling money to people working together effectively to create value for humans we called it “capitalism” it created incentives for creating what humans want we had to improve it a few times before it worked for everyone And We still have some reforms to go


THEN WE CREATED

A SYSTEM FOR sharing risk so that we could allocate money to projects that create what humans want

We CALLED IT THE “FINANCIAL SYSTEM” And it took a while before we made sure the right rules were in place so it worked for everyone


THEN WE DISCOVERED

ELECTRCITIY


THEN WE DISCOVERED

Stored ENERGY WATER " STEAM " Oil/Gas/Coal " nuclear " SOLAR / WIND / BIOFUEL / FUSION


THEN WE invented

engines


That’s when things really

TOOK OFF


With energy & engines So much became possible


THAT BROUGHT US THE

INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION


using machinery one human could be more efficient than ever before LEADING TO MUCH HIGHER LIVING STANDARDS


THEN WE CREATED

FLYING MACHINES


THEN WE sent encoded messages

Through the air


THEN WE built

computers


THEN WE built A global network of

computers


THEN WE built Pocket-sized

supercomputers And we called them “smartphones”

Now, We Are Entering the innovation Age

The Industrial Age

The industrial age began with The invention of the engine And ended with the invention of the

computer

The Information Age

The INFORMATION age began In 1950 With The invention of the computer And will end when 50% of humanity

is connected

The Information Age

In mid-2014 40% of humanity has access To the cloud. By the end of 2015 this figure is on track to reach a tipping point

Of 50%

The impact of a connected world

The impact of more than half of Humanity finally being connected Will further accelerate change

A new age is upon us

i believe the world is going to look So different in the decades ahead That we should consider ourselves

Entering a new age

The innovaiton age

I suggest we call this new age

The innovation age

The INNOVATION AGE

Instead of the lucky few having Access to free cloud education Soon all humans will be able to access

EdX, wikipedia, khanacademy Itunesu, udemy, and coursera

The INNOVATION AGE

As we enter the innovation age in 2015 We stand on the shoulders of Giants who have come

Before us

The INNOVATION AGE

Synthetic biology is here Clean energy is here Global connection is here The platforms have been built

The INNOVATION AGE

We are entering the most exciting Time in human history FOR Creators and

Innovators

The INNOVATION AGE

The greater the cultural interconnection The faster memes can replicate, Learnings can be shared, and progress can

Be made

The INNOVATION AGE

The rate of human progress Is a function of the rate of ideas

spreading

The INNOVATION AGE

And The rate of ideas spreading is a function of the speed of communication tools And the level of species interconnection

Human cultural evolution

We’re culturally evolving as a species Faster than ever before due to rapid Communication tools that are spreading Understanding and connection across borders faster than any time in

Human History


The speed of communication tools The level of species-wide literacy And the level of species interconnection Are all rapidly increasing Leading to the rapid evolution of

Human culture


There is a palpable sense that the leaders Of the millennial generation See beyond the divisions of national borders And religious identities that have kept Human beings apart for

Millennia

Digital Natives

The four billion digital natives born Between 1980 and 2015 intuitively Understand global connection, Species-level identity, and innovation And will be leading the next

40 years

What millennials see

Millennials see entrepreneurship As a tool for

good

What millennials see

And we see efficient, effective Transparent, and tech-enabled Government as

Essential

Socially RESPONSIBLE CAPITALISM

In the 200 year debate of Socialism vs. capitalism it is socially responsible capitalism that will win built on a foundation of efficiently-run Cloud enabled

Government

The GREAT OPPORTUNITY

Our next great opportunity is creating A carbon-neutral world in which Every human being has access to what They need to

Create & ThRive

Entering the innovation age 1712-1950

The industrial age

1950-2015

The information age

2015-2050

The innovation age

Entering the innovation age

WE’re entering THE

innovation AGE!


the age of ubiquitous global connection to people and information For everyone not just the wealthy


Soon everyone will have a cloud-connected supercomputer in their

pocket


Education will be

democratized


Atrocities will be

publicized (Better publicized, at least)


Bad leaders will be

exposed


Dense Networks of world changers will be

constructed


Imagine the world we can create


Imagine the world we WILL create


It’s time to show our parents what we can do

Lessons from my 20s

Staying in touch

Let’s work together

Let’s find a way to WORK TOGETHER AS A GENERATION TO CREATE A WORLD THAT IS SUSTAINABLE IN WHICH ALL PEOPLE HAVE ACCESS TO BASIC HUMAN NEEDS AND EVERYONE Can

ACHIEVE THEIR DREAMS

Exercises

Now that you’re at the end Don’t forget to put time on your calendar To go back and

Do the exercises

Join the Hive network

Hive is building a global network Of leaders & entrepreneurs under 40 Dedicated to creating a better world I’d love for you to apply to join us

www.Hive.org

Program Influences Here are programs I have participated in the last ten years that have shaped my perspectives. Thank you to all of the individuals behind these great organizations.

For Further Reading The following resources were extremely valuable in the creation of this work:

Films: Connected by Tiffany Shlain Mankind by The History Channel The Commanding Heights by PBS The History of the World in Two Hours by The History Channel

Books: Abundance by Peter Diamandis The Rational Optimist by Matt Ridley Anticipating 2025 by The London Futurist Society The 100 Scientific Discoveries That Changed the World by National Geographic The Power of Habit by Charles Duhigg Rich Dad Poor Dad by Robert Kiyosaki Think and Grow Rich by Napoleon Hill How to Win Friends & Influence People by Dale Carnegie

If you enjoyed this presentation also check out

www.hive.org/book

www.startupguide.com

How to get in touch Send me a note or a Tweet. I’d love to hear from you!

[email protected] @ryanallis

Dedication Dedicated to Mom Pauline Ann Middleton Allis March 29, 1952 – May 25, 2012

A mother who inspired others to

1) Love Everyone 2) Be Confident 3) Dream Big

Lessons from my 20s

THE END

Part 3 - The World - Lessons From My 20s by Ryan Allis

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