Mainstreet Canada 04april2019a

POLL EMBARGOED UNTIL 5TH MARCH 2019, 6 AM EST

Canadians’ Attitudes on National Security Priorities 5th April 2019

METHODOLOGY

ABOUT MAINSTREET MAINSTREET

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted between March 19th to 25th, 2019 among a sample of 8501 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (Smart IVR). Respondents were interviewed on both landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population of Canada.

With 20 years of political experience in all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator commentator on international public affairs.

The survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and was not sponsored by a third party. The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by Mainstreet Research from various commerically available sources and random digit dialing. The part of the survey that dialed from the directory was conducted as a stratified dial of the ten Canadian provinces. In the case of random digit dials, respondents were asked the additional question of what region of the country they resided in. The margin of error for this poll is +/- 1.06% and is accurate 19 times out of 20. (full methodology appears at the end of this report)

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, and was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election. Mainstreet also accurately predicted the 2018 Ontario election and was the first to predict that a CAQ majority win in the 2018 Quebec election. Mainstreet Research is a member of the World Association for Public Opinion Research and meets international and Canadian publication standards.

CONTACT INFORMATION In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President [email protected] In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President joseph@mainstreetresea joseph@mainstr eetresearch.ca rch.ca Find us online at: www.mainstreetresearch.ca twitter.com/MainStResearch facebook.com/mainstreetresearch

CANADIANS SEE ALT-RIGHT AS GREATEST THREAT TO NATIONAL SECURITY 5th April 2019 (Ottawa, (Ottawa, ON) – Most Canadians Canadians (44.3%) think that domestic alt-right groups are the biggest threat to national security, while a majority of Canadian Canadianss (55.2%) do not think that there is a fair amount of extremism among Canada’s Muslim community. Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest UltraPoll, a conglomeration of ten provincial polls. The poll surveyed 8501 Canadians between March 19th and 25th 2019. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.06% and is accurate accurate 19 times out of 20. “We wanted to measure Canadians’ attitudes on these issues in light of the recent terrorist attack in New Zealand,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “We found that 58.3% of decided respondents respondents think that domestic alt-right groups are the biggest threat to national security.” “This finding, along with the strong belief among Canadians Canadians that there is not much extremism among Canadian Muslims, indicates that Canadians are far more worried about the alt-right launching a terrorist attack on home soil.” A majority of Canadia Canadians ns also think that Canada should be working to limit l imit the power and influence i nfluence of China (60.1%), and that of Russia (60.2%). “Canadians likely have the allegations of Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. Presidential election in mind when they are expressing concerns about Russian influence,” added Maggi. Speaking of the United States, 64.1% of respondents want to see Canada distance itself from the foreign policy of the United States. “This is no surprise, given the Trump administration’s lack of focus on the alt-right and choosing to instead to cite illegal immigration and the Muslim population as threats to U.S. security,” added Maggi. “Trump’s priorities do not jive with our findings of what Canadians are worried about.” A near majority of Canadians (48.2%) do not think that Canada’s sovereignty is being threatened by the United Nations, which is a key claim made the yellow vest movement. “We think this survey shows that many claims made by the alt-right are not in step with the view of most Canadians,” concluded Maggi. -30For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact: Joseph Angolano, 647-894-1552 - [email protected]

We will now read you a series of statements about foreign policy. For each statement, press 1 if you y ou strongly agree, press press 2 if you somewhat agree, press press 3 if you somewhat disagree, press press 4 if you strongly disagree, press 5 if you are not sure

Taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism should be a top foreign policy priority for Canada

4 3. 1 %

All things considered, Canada’s Canada’s sovereignty is being threatened by the 14.3% United Nations

3 0 . 7%

1 7 . 3%

2 0 . 7%

The Canadian government should make reducing illegal immigration a top foreign 35.6% policy priority The Canadian government should distance itself from the foreign policy of the United States

3 6. 3 %

Domestic alt-right groups are currently the biggest threat to Canadian national security

1 9. 6 %

There is a fair amount of extremism among Canadian Muslims

1 3. 5 %

Canada should work to limit the power and inuence of China

Canada should work to limit the power a nd inuence of Russia

0 Strongly Agree

2 4. 7 %

1 6. 7 %

1 6. 3 %

22 . 1 %

10.9 %

40

Somewhat Disagree

50

60

6.7%

7.9% 10.9%

28.6%

33 . 1%

3 0. 5 %

30

18 . 0%

1 7. 0 %

3 3.6%

20

20.1%

1 8.0%

2 7 . 8%

2 9. 7 %

Somewhat Agree

27 . 5%

2 1.7%

2 6. 5 %

10

1 4 . 4%

14.6%

18. 3%

15.5%

1 6 . 9%

7.1% 15.9%

70

Strongly Disagree

80

90

Not Sure

1 00

Taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism should be a top foreign policy priority for Canada (broken out by party and regional support) broken brok en out by party support 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

% % % 7 % . 1 . 7 . 8 2 6 % 5 . 3 3 1 6 6

Liberals

% % 6 % % . 5 . 7 4 % 2 2 . . 7 9 8 . 5 2 7

Conservatives

Stro St rong ngly ly Ag Agre ree e

% % 3 . % % 6 . % 5 3 3 2 1 . 2 3 2 1 6

NDP

Some So mewh what at Ag Agre ree e

% 7 . % % % % 4 5 9 1 8 . . . . 6 3 4 0 2 3 2 1

% % % % 7 . 3 . 4 . 4 . % 5 1 4 2 2 . 2 3 2 1 6

Bloc Quebecois

Some So mewh what at Di Disa sagr gree ee

Green

Stro St rong ngly ly Di Disa sagr gree ee

% 2 . 5 % % % 8 . 7 . 4 . % 9 3 4 9 . 4 2 1 6

People's Party

Don Do n't Kn Know ow

broken out by region 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

% 1 . 4 % % % 9 5 1 % . . . 5 3 9 4 . 3 3 1 7

BC

% % 5 . 2 . % % % 4 4 3 1 9 . . . 2 8 0 5 2 1

AB


% % % 0 . 9 . 9 . % 5 1 1 2 . % 4 3 1 6 5

Prairies


% % % 7 . 2 . 7 . % % 6 8 3 6 . 9 . 4 2 1 5 5

% % % 5 . 1 . 2 . % % 6 4 6 5 . 8 . 3 3 1 8 5

ON


QC


% % 8 . % 7 . % 5 0 1 7 . % 4 3 1 5 7

Atlantic


All things considered, considered, Canada’ Canada’ss sovereignty is being threatened threatene d by the United Nations (broken out by party and regional support) broken brok en out by party support 40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

% % % % % 0 . 8 . 9 . 6 . 8 . 5 1 7 8 6 1 2 3 1

Liberals

% % % % % 8 . 6 . 0 . 7 . 9 . 3 3 1 3 7 2 2 2 1 1

Conservatives


% % % % % 7 . 8 . 2 . 9 . 4 . 0 0 9 2 6 1 2 3 2

NDP


% % % % % 3 . 5 . 8 . 6 . 6 . 8 4 2 5 8 1 2 3 1

% % % % % 5 . 9 . 8 . 4 . 4 . 0 9 8 3 7 1 1 3 2

Bloc Quebecois


Green


% % % % % 0 . 5 . 9 . 9 . 7 . 6 9 4 5 3 3 1 1 1 1

People's Party


broken out by region 35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

% % % % % 1 . 9 . 3 . 3 . 4 . 3 4 3 8 0 1 1 2 2 2

BC

% % % % % 3 . 8 . 1 . 6 . 2 . 9 8 7 9 5 2 1 1 1 1

AB


% % % % % 8 . 3 . 9 . 0 . 0 . 8 9 8 0 3 1 1 1 2 2

Prairies


% % % % % 0 . 5 . 0 . 2 . 4 . 3 7 9 8 2 1 1 1 2 2

% % % % % 2 . 5 . 9 . 3 . 1 . 7 4 2 6 9 1 2 3 1

ON


QC


% % % % % 4 . 6 . 3 . 6 . 0 . 3 7 0 3 5 1 1 2 2 2

Atlantic


The Canadian government should make reducing illegal immigration a top foreign policy priority (broken out by party and regional support) broken brok en out by party support 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

% % % % 8 . 0 . 7 . 2 . % 9 1 4 6 3 . 1 2 2 2 8

Liberals

% % 0 . 0 . % % % 5 4 6 . 8 . 5 . 6 3 0 5 2 1

Conservatives


% % % % 2 . 0 . 4 . 7 . % 9 7 0 5 7 . 1 1 2 3 7

NDP


% 9 . % % % % 3 5 9 8 0 . . . . 9 3 9 3 3 2 1 1

% 7 . % % % % 3 5 . 3 . 1 . 5 . 2 0 6 7 2 2 2 2

Bloc Quebecois


Green


% % 3 % . 8 . % % 8 8 9 . 2 . 8 . 5 1 9 7 5

People's Party


broken out by region 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

% % % % 8 . 5 . 6 . 5 . % 0 4 8 0 7 . 3 2 1 2 5

BC

% % % % 9 . 9 . 3 . 3 . % 8 8 3 4 5 . 4 1 1 1 4

AB


% % % % 7 . 2 . 8 . 8 . % 1 9 5 5 4 . 4 1 1 1 7

Prairies


% % % % 5 . 6 . 5 . 4 . % 6 9 6 0 9 . 3 1 1 2 6

% % % % 4 . 7 . 5 . 2 . % 1 4 2 5 1 . 3 2 2 1 6

ON


QC


% % % % % 2 . 5 . 5 . 5 . 3 . 7 4 9 6 2 2 2 1 1 1

Atlantic


The Canadian government should distance itself from the foreign policy of the United States (broken out by party and regional support) broken brok en out by party support 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

% % % 6 . 4 . 9 . % % 3 9 2 1 . 0 . 4 2 1 5 9

Liberals

% % % % % 1 . 0 . 6 . 9 . 4 . 2 8 5 2 1 2 2 2 1 1

Conservatives


% 5 % % . 4 5 % 2 % . . 3 1 0 3 . . 5 3 7 8

NDP


% 3 . % % % 3 0 % . 4 . 6 . 7 1 6 3 . 5 2 1 5

% % % 7 . 8 . 3 . % % 8 5 1 8 . 4 . 4 2 1 5 8

Bloc Quebecois


Green


% % % % % 8 . 8 . 6 . 9 . 1 . 3 2 6 5 1 2 2 2 1 1

People's Party


broken out by region 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

% % % 6 . 6 . 6 . % % 0 8 4 6 . 6 . 4 2 1 7 8

BC

% % % % % 1 . 5 . 2 . 2 . 0 . 9 6 0 2 2 2 2 2 1 1

AB


% % % % 1 . 1 . 4 . % 2 . 1 9 8 1 . 4 3 2 1 7 1

Prairies


% % % % 0 . 4 . 9 . % 1 . 6 7 6 6 . 2 3 2 1 7 1

% % % 2 . 9 . 6 . % % 9 7 7 5 . 8 . 3 2 1 7 7

ON


QC


% % % % 5 . 7 . 1 . % 2 . 6 9 4 5 . 4 3 2 1 5 1

Atlantic


Domestic alt-right groups are currently the biggest threat to Canadian national security (broken out by party and regional support) broken brok en out by party support 40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

% % % % 2 . 4 . 5 . % 4 . 6 8 4 5 . 6 2 2 1 4 2

Liberals

% % % % % 3 . 6 . 9 . 3 . 9 . 1 2 0 7 7 1 2 2 1 2

Conservatives


% % % % 0 . 1 . 7 . % 5 . 1 7 0 8 . 6 3 2 1 4 2

NDP


% % % % 2 . 2 . 7 . % 5 . 7 7 8 4 . 7 1 2 1 9 2

% % % % 1 . 6 . 2 . % 8 . 9 6 4 4 . 0 1 2 1 9 3

Bloc Quebecois


Green


% % % % % 4 . 8 . 5 . 1 . 2 . 2 4 4 5 3 1 1 1 3 2

People's Party



30

25

20

15

10

5

0

% % % % % 2 . 4 . 5 . 7 . 3 . 2 4 3 0 9 2 2 1 1 2

BC

% % % % % 2 . 1 . 5 . 0 . 1 . 8 2 5 8 6 1 2 1 1 2

AB


% % % % % 8 . 7 . 7 . 2 . 6 . 8 3 4 2 0 1 2 1 1 3

Prairies


% % % % 2 . 7 . 6 . % 0 . 0 5 4 5 . 0 2 2 1 9 3

% % % % % 1 . 3 . 2 . 4 . 0 . 8 4 2 0 5 1 2 2 1 2

ON


QC


% % % % 1 . 6 . 2 . % 4 . 9 5 4 7 . 3 1 2 1 7 3

Atlantic


There Ther e is a fair amount of extr extremism emism among Canadian Muslims (broken out by party and regional support) broken brok en out by party support 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

% % % % % 6 . 5 . 0 . 8 . 2 . 2 0 4 4 8 1 2 4 1

Liberals

% % % % % 5 . 6 . 0 . 9 . 0 . 1 3 5 7 2 2 2 2 1 1

Conservatives


% % % % % 6 . 1 . 1 . 0 . 3 . 9 0 6 6 8 1 5 1

NDP


% % % % % 7 . 1 . 0 . 4 . 8 . 3 5 3 4 3 1 1 2 3 1

% % % % % 3 . 5 . 2 . 1 . 8 . 4 1 6 1 6 1 2 4 1

Bloc Quebecois


Green


% % % % % 0 . 6 . 7 . 9 . 8 . 1 4 2 8 2 2 2 2 1 1

People's Party



35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

% % % % % 9 . 8 . 0 . 3 . 0 . 0 6 1 6 5 1 1 2 3 1

BC

% % % % % 5 . 5 . 2 . 7 . 1 . 8 1 2 6 1 1 2 2 2 1

AB


% % % % % 5 . 7 . 7 . 9 . 3 . 4 9 1 6 7 1 1 2 2 1

Prairies


% % % % % 7 . 5 . 1 . 1 . 5 . 3 5 1 4 5 1 1 2 3 1

% % % % % 2 . 2 . 1 . 3 . 2 . 2 5 5 5 2 1 1 2 3 1

ON


QC


% % % % % 8 . 2 . 7 . 6 . 7 . 2 7 9 9 0 1 1 1 2 2

Atlantic


Canada should work to limit the power and influence of China (broken out by party and regional support) broken brok en out by party support 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

% % % % 8 . 9 . 0 . % 5 . 2 4 1 8 . 5 2 3 2 5 1

Liberals

% % % % 7 . 9 . 4 . % 2 . 2 4 6 9 . 1 3 3 1 4 1

Conservatives


% % % % 9 . 9 . 0 . % 8 . 7 2 1 3 . 9 1 3 2 8 1

NDP


% % % % 3 . 8 . 1 . % 2 . 2 0 7 6 . 5 2 4 1 4 1

% % % % 1 . 7 . 1 . % 4 . 2 2 0 7 . 6 2 3 2 8 1

Bloc Quebecois


Green


% % % % 8 . 3 . 2 . % 3 . 3 2 4 4 . 1 4 2 1 8 1

People's Party



35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

% % % % 9 . 5 . 1 . % 9 . 9 3 8 7 . 2 2 3 1 5 1

BC

% % % % 4 . 3 . 8 . % 8 . 9 6 5 7 . 3 2 3 1 4 1

AB


% % % % 4 . 3 . 1 . % 4 . 3 4 8 8 . 8 2 3 1 5 1

Prairies


% % % % 4 . 2 . 1 . % 7 . 8 2 7 6 . 5 2 3 1 6 1

% % % % 7 . 2 . 2 . % 3 . 1 4 2 6 . 5 2 3 2 6 1

ON


QC


% % % % 6 . 2 . 9 . % 9 . 3 4 5 4 . 0 2 3 1 5 2

Atlantic


Canada should work to limit the power and influence of Russia (broken out by party and regional support) broken brok en out by party support 35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

% % % % 9 . 9 . 1 . % 2 . 2 8 6 8 . 5 3 2 1 6 1

Liberals

% % % % 1 . 2 . 3 . % 1 . 0 3 7 3 . 3 3 3 1 6 1

Conservatives


% % % % 9 . 0 . 4 . % 6 . 6 3 6 1 . 6 2 3 1 7 1

NDP


% % % % 3 . 1 . 0 . % 4 . 1 8 9 2 . 2 3 2 1 9 1

% % % % 1 . 1 . 0 . % 3 . 5 2 7 5 . 6 2 3 1 9 1

Bloc Quebecois


Green


% % % % % 9 . 9 . 5 . 6 . 1 . 4 8 4 1 0 2 2 2 1 1

People's Party



35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

% % % % 9 . 6 . 9 . % 7 . 2 2 4 9 . 3 3 3 1 5 1

BC

% % % % 2 . 3 . 1 . % 2 . 0 5 4 1 . 4 3 3 1 6 1

AB


% % % % 4 . 4 . 9 . % 3 . 7 0 6 0 . 7 2 3 1 8 1

Prairies


% % % % 5 . 4 . 9 . % 1 . 0 8 6 1 . 7 3 2 1 7 1

% % % % 8 . 5 . 0 . % 6 . 6 0 0 1 . 4 2 3 2 8 1

ON


QC


% % % % 4 . 3 . 6 . % 9 . 9 0 4 8 . 8 2 3 1 6 1

Atlantic


Break Brea kou outt Tab able less We will now read you a series of statements about foreign policy. For For each statement, press 1 if you strongly agree, press press 2 if you somewhat agree, press 3 if you somewhat disagree, press 4 if you strongly strongly disagree, press 5 if you are not sure sure Taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism should be a top foreign policy priority for Canada Total

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

BC

AB

Prairies

ON

QC

Atlantic

Strongly agree

43.1%

44.5%

41.7%

37.1%

40.2%

47%

49.7%

3 5.9% 35

5 2. 2.3%

45%

46.7%

3 6. 6.5%

45.8%

Somewhat agree

30.7%

30.9%

30.5%

28.7%

32.7%

32.2%

28.7%

33.5%

28.1%

31.9%

28.2%

34.1%

30%

Somewhat disagree

14.4%

14.6%

14.2%

17.6%

15.8%

12.3%

11.2%

19.1%

10.9%

11.9%

13.7%

16.2%

11.7%

Strongly disagree

6.4%

6%

6.9%

9.5%

6.6%

4.9%

4%

7.4%

4.5%

6.2%

5.6%

8.5%

5.7%

Not sure

5.4%

4.1%

6.8%

7.1%

4.8%

3.7%

6.4%

4.1%

4.2%

5%

5.9%

5.8%

7%

Unweighted Frequency

8501

4746

3755

1756

2219

2410

2116

923

1160

1505

1290

940

2683

Weighted Frequency

8501

4210

4291

2364

2129

2342

1667

1158

961

554

3529

1985

583

All

LPC, Trudeau

CPC, Scheer

NDP, Singh

Bloc, Blanchet

Green, May

People's Party, Bernier

Another Party

Undecided

Strongly agree

4 3.1% 43

38.7%

57.7%

25.3%

26.5%

25.7%

49.8%

46.5%

37.2%

Somewhat agree

30.7%

32.1%

29.4%

33%

33.9%

31.3%

23.7%

19.5%

29.7%

Somewhat disagree

14.4%

16.7%

7.8%

23%

24.1%

24.4%

14.4%

10.2%

8.4%

Strongly disagree

6.4%

6%

2.6%

12.6%

10.8%

12.4%

6.9%

15.1%

9.1%

Not sure

5.4%

6.5%

2.5%

6.1%

4.7%

6.2%

5.2%

8.6%

15.7%


8501

2604

3374

791

123

673

280

98

558

Weighted Frequency

8501

2810

3016

929

251

634

306

93

461

All things considered, considered, Canada’s Canada’s sovereignty is being threatened threatened by the United Nations Total

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

BC

AB

Prairies

ON

QC

Atlantic

Strongly agree

14.3%

17.8%

11%

12.8%

14.2%

16.8%

13.2%

13.1% 13

29.3% 29

18.8% 18

13%

9.1%

13.4%

Somewhat agree

17.3%

19.1%

15.6%

12.1%

16.5%

21%

20.6%

14.9%

18.8%

19.3%

17.5%

17.2%

17.6%

Somewhat disagree

20.7%

20.5%

21%

17%

22.3%

20.8%

23.8%

2 3. 3.3%

1 7. 7.1%

1 8. 8.9%

19%

24.5%

2 0. 0.3%

Strongly disagree

27.5%

29.5%

25.6%

32.6%

29.6%

24.9%

21.1%

2 8. 8.3%

1 9. 9.6%

2 0% 0%

28.2%

3 2. 2.9%

2 3. 3.6%

Not sure

20.1%

1 3.1% 13

2 6.9% 26

25.4%

17.3%

16.5%

21.2%

20.4% 20

15.2% 15

23% 23

22.4%

16.3% 16

25% 25


8501

4746

3755

1756

2219

2410

2116

923

1160

1505

1290

940

2683

Weighted Frequency

8501

4210

4291

2364

2129

2342

1667

1158

961

554

3529

1985

583

All

LPC, Trudeau

CPC, Scheer

NDP, Singh

Bloc, Blanchet

Green, May


Another Party

Undecided

Strongly agree

14.3% 6.8%

23.8%

6.4%

8.6%

7.4%

36%

26.8%

10.1%

Somewhat agree

17.3% 15%

23.6%

10.7%

18.3%

10.5%

19.5%

18%

11.6%

Somewhat disagree

20.7% 21.8%

21%

20.8%

24.5%

19.9%

14.9%

9.8%

17.7%

Strongly disagree

27.5% 37.9%

13.7%

39.2%

32.8%

38.8%

15.9%

21.1%

21.3%

Not sure

20.1% 18.6%

17.9%

22.9%

15.6%

23.4%

13.7%

24.4%

39.2%


8501

2604

3374

791

123

673

280

98

558

Weighted Frequency

8501

2810

3016

929

251

634

306

93

461

The Canadian government should make reducing illegal immigration a top foreign policy priority Total

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

BC

AB

Prairies

ON

QC

Atlantic

Strongly agree

35.6%

40.5%

30.9%

30.4%

34.3%

40.4%

38.2%

30.8%

48.9%

41.7%

36.5%

31.4%

27.2%

Somewhat agree

21.7%

22%

21.4%

19.6%

21.4%

22.8%

23.5%

24.5%

18.9%

19.2%

19.6%

24.7%

24.5%

Somewhat disagree

18%

17.1%

18.9%

18.7%

19.6%

16.7%

16.8%

18.6%

13.3%

15.8%

16.5%

22.5%

19.5%

Strongly disagree

18%

15.6%

20.2%

23.7%

19.3%

14.6%

12.7%

2 0. 0.5%

1 4. 4.3%

1 5. 5.8%

20.4%

1 5. 5.2%

1 6. 6.5%

Not sure

6.7%

4.8%

8.5%

7.6%

5.4%

5.6%

8.7%

5.7%

4.5%

7.4%

6.9%

6.1%

12.3%


8501

4746

3755

1756

2219

2410

2116

923

1160

1505

1290

940

2683

Weighted Frequency

8501

4210

4291

2364

2129

2342

1667

1158

961

554

3529

1985

583

All

LPC, Trudeau

CPC, Scheer

NDP, Singh

Bloc, Blanchet

Green, May


Another Party

Undecided

Strongly agree

35.6% 19.8%

56.6%

19.2%

39.5%

22.5%

58.3%

43.5%

27.2%

Somewhat agree

21.7% 21%

23.8%

17%

23.9%

20.3%

18.8%

20.2%

25%

Somewhat disagree

18%

24.7%

10.5%

20.4%

19.8%

26.1%

9.9%

13.2%

15.7%

Strongly disagree

18% 18

26.2%

5%

35.7%

13%

27.5%

7.2%

13.6%

14.1%

Not sure

6.7%

8.3%

4%

7.7%

3.9%

3.7%

5.8%

9.4%

17.9%


8501

2604

3374

791

123

673

280

98

558

Weighted Frequency

8501

2810

3016

929

251

634

306

93

461

The Canadian government should distance itself from the foreign policy of the United States Total

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

BC

AB

Prairies

ON

QC

Atlantic

Strongly agree

36.3%

34.7%

37.9%

33.8%

38.8%

35.6%

37.8%

40.6% 40

2 9.1% 29

3 1.1% 31

36%

39.2%

36.5% 36

Somewhat agree

27.8%

27.3%

28.4%

27.1%

27.1%

28%

29.6%

28.6%

26.5%

29.1%

27.4%

27.9%

29.7%

Somewhat disagree

17%

19.6%

14.4%

16.7%

16.7%

18.7%

15.5%

14.6%

20.2%

18.4%

16.9%

17.6%

14.1%

Strongly disagree

7.9%

10%

5.9%

7.9%

8.7%

8.5%

6.1%

7.6%

12.2%

7.1%

7.6%

7.5%

5.5%

Not sure

10.9%

8.3% 8.

13.5%

14.5%

8.6%

9.3%

11%

8.6%

12%

14.2%

12.1%

7.8%

14.2%


8501

4746

3755

1756

2219

2410

2116

923

1160

1505

1290

940

2683

Weighted Frequency

8501

4210

4291

2364

2129

2342

1667

1158

961

554

3529

1985

583

All

LPC, Trudeau

CPC, Scheer

NDP, Singh

Bloc, Blanchet

Green, May


Another Party

Undecided

Strongly agree

36.3% 43.6%

22.1%

51.4%

51%

48.7%

23.8%

39.8%

37.2%

Somewhat agree

27.8% 29.4%

28%

30.5%

26.4%

25.8%

22.8%

24.4%

20.1%

Somewhat disagree

17%

12.9%

25.6%

7.3%

13.6%

11.3%

26.6%

15.3%

9.1%

Strongly disagree

7 .9% 7.

5.1%

12.9%

2.5%

3.3%

5.8%

15.9%

6.2%

4.2%

Not sure

10.9% 9%

11.4%

8.3%

5.7%

8.4%

11.1%

14.4%

29.4%


8501

2604

3374

791

123

673

280

98

558

Weighted Frequency

8501

2810

3016

929

251

634

306

93

461

Domestic alt-right groups are currently the biggest threat to Canadian national security Total

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

BC

AB

Prairies

ON

QC

Atlantic

Strongly agree

19.6%

19.9%

19.2%

21.3%

17.6%

19.2%

20.2%

22.2%

18.2%

18.8%

20.2%

18.1%

19.1%

Somewhat agree

24.7%

25.2%

24.1%

22%

24.2%

25.7%

27.5%

24.4%

22.1%

23.7%

25.7%

24.3%

25.6%

Somewhat disagree

16.3%

18.8%

13.8%

14.6%

18.9%

16.7%

14.8%

13.5%

15.5%

14.7%

14.6%

22.2%

14.2%

Strongly disagree

10.9%

14.1%

7.7%

12.7%

12.4%

10.4%

7.1%

10.7%

18% 18

12.2%

9.5%

10.4%

7.7% 7.

Not sure

28.6%

2 1.9% 21

3 5.2% 35

29.4%

26.9%

27.9%

30.4%

29.3% 29

26.1% 26

30.6% 30

30%

25%

33.4%


8501

4746

3755

1756

2219

2410

2116

923

1160

1505

1290

940

2683

Weighted Frequency

8501

4210

4291

2364

2129

2342

1667

1158

961

554

3529

1985

583

All

LPC, Trudeau

CPC, Scheer

NDP, Singh

Bloc, Blanchet

Green, May


Another Party

Undecided

Strongly agree

19.6% 26.2%

11.3%

31%

17.2%

19.1%

12.4%

25.3%

16%

Somewhat agree

24.7% 28.4%

22.6%

27.1%

27.2%

26.6%

14.8%

13.4%

15.3%

Somewhat disagree

16.3% 14.5%

20.9%

10.7%

18.7%

14.2%

14.5%

18.3%

10.6%

Strongly disagree

10.9% 4.5%

17.3%

4.8%

9.4%

9.4%

35.1%

11.4%

6.9%

Not sure

28.6% 26.4%

27.9%

26.5%

27.5%

30.8%

23.2%

31.6%

51.1%


8501

2604

3374

791

123

673

280

98

558

Weighted Frequency

8501

2810

3016

929

251

634

306

93

461

There is a fair amount of extremism among Canadian Muslims Total

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

BC

AB

Prairies

ON

QC

Atlantic

Strongly agree

13.5%

15.8%

11.3%

11.4%

13.1%

14.9%

15.2%

10.9%

18.5%

14.5%

13.7%

12.2%

12.8%

Somewhat agree

16.7%

17.8%

15.6%

12.9%

15.7%

18.4%

20.8%

16.8%

21.5%

19.7%

15.5%

15.2%

17.2%

Somewhat disagree

22.1%

23.3%

20.9%

19.5%

22%

23.6%

23.9%

21%

22.2%

21.7%

21.1%

25.1%

19.7%

Strongly disagree

33.1%

31.3%

34.9%

40.5%

36.6%

28.5%

24.6%

36.3%

26.7%

26.9%

34.1%

35.3%

29.6%

Not sure

14.6%

1 1.9% 11

1 7.3% 17

15.8%

12.6%

14.6%

15.5%

15% 15

11.1%

17.3% 17

15.5%

12.2% 12

20.7% 20


8501

4746

3755

1756

2219

2410

2116

923

1160

1505

1290

940

2683

Weighted Frequency

8501

4210

4291

2364

2129

2342

1667

1158

961

554

3529

1985

583

All

LPC, Trudeau

CPC, Scheer

NDP, Singh

Bloc, Blanchet

Green, May


Another Party

Undecided

Strongly agree

13.5% 8.2%

21.5%

6%

13.7%

6.8%

21%

23.7%

10.9%

Somewhat agree

16.7% 12.6%

23.6%

8.3%

15.1%

14.3%

24.6%

15.5%

11.9%

Somewhat disagree

22.1% 20.5%

25%

19.6%

23%

21.5%

22.7%

21.2%

18.2%

Strongly disagree

33.1% 44%

17.9%

50.1%

34.4%

46.2%

18.9%

23.8%

24.9%

Not sure

14.6% 14.8%

12%

16.1%

13.8%

11.1%

12.8%

15.9%

34.2%


8501

2604

3374

791

123

673

280

98

558

Weighted Frequency

8501

2810

3016

929

251

634

306

93

461

Canada should work to limit the power and influence of China Total

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

BC

AB

Prairies

ON

QC

Atlantic

Strongly agree

26.5%

30.6%

22.5%

25.2%

25.2%

28.6%

27.2%

29.9%

29.4%

23.4%

28.4%

21.7%

23.6%

Somewhat agree

33.6%

34.7%

32.5%

29.8%

33.1%

36.5%

35.4%

33.5%

36.3%

34.3%

32.2%

34.2%

34.2%

Somewhat disagree

18.3%

17.9%

18.6%

19%

19.8%

16.2%

18.1%

18.1%

15.8%

18.1%

17.1%

22.2%

15.9%

Strongly disagree

6.1%

6.7%

5.6%

7.8%

6%

5.5%

4.8%

5.7%

4.7%

5.8%

6.6%

6.6%

5.4%

Not sure

15.5%

1 0. 0.2%

2 0. 0.8%

18.3%

15.8%

13.2%

14.5%

12.9% 12

13.8% 13

18.4% 18

15.7%

15.3% 15

20.9% 20


8501

4746

3755

1756

2219

2410

2116

923

1160

1505

1290

940

2683

Weighted Frequency

8501

4210

4291

2364

2129

2342

1667

1158

961

554

3529

1985

583

All

LPC, Trudeau

CPC, Scheer

NDP, Singh

Bloc, Blanchet

Green, May


Another Party

Undecided

Strongly agree

26.5% 22.8%

32.7%

17.9%

22.3%

22.1%

43.8%

46.1%

19.6%

Somewhat agree

33.6% 34.9%

34.9%

32.9%

40.8%

32.7%

22.3%

19.1%

25.6%

Somewhat disagree

18.3% 21%

16.4%

21%

17.1%

20.1%

14.2%

12.7%

10.4%

Strongly disagree

6.1% 6.

4.9%

8.3%

4.6%

8.7%

8.4%

9.6%

6.6%

Not sure

15.5% 15.5%

11.2%

19.8%

15.2%

16.4%

11.3%

12.5%

37.8%


8501

2604

3374

791

123

673

280

98

558

Weighted Frequency

8501

2810

3016

929

251

634

306

93

461

5.8%

Canada should work to limit the power and influence of Russia Total

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

BC

AB

Prairies

ON

QC

Atlantic

Strongly agree

29.7%

31.5%

27.8%

23.9%

27.2%

32.9%

36.4%

32.9%

30.2%

27.4%

30.5%

26.8%

29.4%

Somewhat agree

30.5%

32.2%

28.9%

28.2%

32%

31.3%

30.9%

32.6%

35.3%

30.4%

28.4%

30.5%

30.3%

Somewhat disagree

16.9%

17.9%

15.9%

19.1%

18.8%

14.6%

14.5%

14.9%

14.1%

16.9%

16.9%

20%

14.6%

Strongly disagree

7.1%

7.9%

6.3%

9.5%

6.9%

6.6%

4.6%

5.9%

6.1%

8%

7.1%

8.1%

6.8%

Not sure

15.9%

1 0. 0.5%

2 1. 1.1%

19.2%

15.2%

14.7%

13.6%

13.7% 13

14.2% 14

17.3% 17

17.1%

14.6% 14

18.9% 18


8501

4746

3755

1756

2219

2410

2116

923

1160

1505

1290

940

2683

Weighted Frequency

8501

4210

4291

2364

2129

2342

1667

1158

961

554

3529

1985

583

All

LPC, Trudeau

CPC, Scheer

NDP, Singh

Bloc, Blanchet

Green, May


Another Party

Undecided

Strongly agree

29.7% 32.9%

30.1%

26.9%

31.3%

25.1%

24.9%

41.7%

18.6%

Somewhat agree

30.5% 28.9%

33.2%

33%

28.1%

32.1%

28.9%

17.6%

20.7%

Somewhat disagree

16.9% 16.1%

17.3%

16.4%

19%

17%

24.5%

12%

14.1%

Strongly disagree

7.1% 7.

6.3%

7.1%

9.2%

9.5%

11.6%

11.8%

5.1%

Not sure

15.9% 15.2%

13.1%

16.6%

12.4%

16.3%

10.1%

16.9%

41.4%


8501

2604

3374

791

123

673

280

98

558

Weighted Frequency

8501

2810

3016

929

251

634

306

93

461

6.8%

Full Questionn Questionnaire aire We will now read you a series of statements about foreign policy. For each statement, please press 1 if you think that it should be a top foreign policy priority, press 2 if you think that it should not be a top foreign policy priority, or press 3 if you are not sure.

Somewhat disagre Strongly disagree Not Sure

There is a fair amount of extremism among Canadian Muslims Strongly agree Somewhat agree (order of questions randomized) Taking measures to protect Canada from Somewhat disagre terrorism should be a top foreign policy Strongly disagree priority for Canada Not Sure Strongly agree Canada should work to limit the power and Somewhat agree influence of China Somewhat disagre Strongly disagree Strongly agree Not Sure Somewhat agree Somewhat disagre All things considered, Canada’ Canada’ss sovereignty sovereignty is Strongly disagree Not Sure being threatened by the United Nations Strongly agree Canada should work to limit the power and Somewhat agree influence of Russia Somewhat disagre Strongly disagree Strongly agree Not Sure Somewhat agree Somewhat disagre The Canadian government should make Strongly disagree reducing illegal immigration a top foreign Not Sure policy priority. What is your gender? Strongly agree Somewhat agree Male Somewhat disagre Female Strongly disagree Not Sure What is your age group? 18 to 34 years of age The Canadian government should distance 35 to 49 years of age itself from the foreign policy of the United 50 to 64 years of age States 65 years of age or older Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagre Strongly disagree Not Sure Domestic alt-right groups are currently the biggest threat to Canadian national security Strongly agree Somewhat agree

Methodology The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted between March 19th, 2019 and March 25th, 2019, among a sample of 8501 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using Interactive Voice Recording. Respondents were interviewed on both landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population of Canada. This survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and has not been sponsored by any thirdparty organization. The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by Mainstreet Research from various commercially available sources and random digit dialing. The survey that dialed from the directory was conducted as a stratified dial of the ten Canadian provinces. In In the case of random digit dials, respondents were asked the additional question of what region of the country they resided in. Respondents were dialed at random. At least two attempts were made to complete an interview at every sampled telephone number. The calls were staggered over times of day and two days to maximize the chances of making contact with a potential respondent. Interviewing was also spread as evenly as possible across the field period. The questionnaire used in this survey is available in this report and online at www. mainstreetresearch.ca. Questions are asked as they appear in the release document. If a question is asked of a subset of the sample a descriptive note is added in parenthesis preceding the question. The sample was weighted by population parameters from the Canada 2016 Census for adults 18 years of age or older in Canada. The The population parameters used for weighting are age, gender, and region. The margin of error for this poll is +/- 1.06% at the t he 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. The margins of error for each subsample is as following: Males: +/- 1.42%, Females: Females: +/- 1.6%, 18-34 age group: +/- 2.34%, 35-49 age group: +/- 2.08%, 50-64 age group: +/- 2%, 65+ age group: +/- 2.13%, British Columbia: +/- 3.23%, Alberta: +/- 2.88%, Prairies: +/- 2.53%, Ontario: +/- 2.73%, Quebec: +/- 3.2%, Atlantic Canada: +/- 1.89%. Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding. In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that the wording of questions and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. Moreover, all sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

Mainstreet Canada 04april2019a

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