Market Update: GSM/EDGE, 3G/WCDMA-HSPA, HSPA+, LTE, spectrum refarming, digital dividend, HD voice August 2010

GSA Secretariat tel +44 1279 1279 439 667 667 Email [email protected]

GSM/3G Market Update August 2010 Global mobile Suppliers Association Association (GSA) www.gsacom.com

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Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)

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Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) Representing leading GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE suppliers globally evolved systems for successful delivery of  Promoting GSM/EDGE/WCDMA and evolved mobile broadband, enhanced multimedia, voice services  3GPP Market Representation Partner 

Mobile broadband growth successes Facts-based research by GSA Leveraging strong links in the industry Objective analysis GSA surveys, reports, regular updates

UMTS 900 Global Status Evolution to LTE-Advanced Evolution of Network Speeds

LTE Operator Commitments

Mobile broadband spectrum

HSPA network deployments/launches

EDGE Evolution

WCDMA Network Launches

HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)

HSPA Devices availability

Digital Dividend

3G Services and Applications

60+ charts, maps

Mobile broadband success stories EDGE Operators Worldwide HD Voice enabled by W-AMR www.gsacom.com


Updated GSA surveys surveys referenced re ferenced in this report Digital Dividend Update HSPA Devices Survey

July 2010 July 12, 2010

W CDMA-HSPA Launches W orldwide

June 30, 2010

HSPA Operator Commitments

June 30, 2010

Global HSPA+ Network Co Commitments & Deployments

June 30, 2010

Mobile broadband growth – reports from HSP HSPA A operators

August 6, 2010

All are available as free downloads via via the links on www.gsacom www.gsacom.com .com Related slide decks also available on: 

Evolution to LTE  HSPA+  HSPA

60+ maps and charts

3G/W CDMA-HSPA, LTE Fact Sheet

July 14, 2010

www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

Evolution to LTE Information Paper

June 7, 2010

Log-in first

UMTS900 Global Status

July 12, 2010

HD voice using W -AMR

July 6, 2010

Not registered? It only takes a minute at www.gsacom.com/php/register_form.php4

EDGE Fact Sheet www.gsacom.com

February 1, 2010 Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010

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Note: Q2 2010 subscriptions data data as at July 23 from Informa Telecoms and Media

GSM/WCDMA successes in all regions

2 billion GSM and WCDMA subscriptions milestone passed in APAC region in Q2 2010

Mobile subscriptions growth growth charts and maps for all regions and key markets available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 www.gsacom.com



500 million GSM and WCDMA subscriptions milestone passed in India in Q2 2010




700 million GSM and WCDMA subscriptions milestone passed in China in Q2 2010




500 million GSM and WCDMA subscriptions milestone passed in CLAC in Q2 2010



Mobile systems evolution evolution steps

Q2 10 market share

TDMA

EDGE 3GPP Core Network

GPRS

GSM

EDGE Evolution

WCDMA

GSM/3G HSDPA/HSUPA

HSPA+

89.7%

PDC

CDMA2000 1x

cdmaOne

2G

First Step into 3G

CDMA2000 1x EV/DO Rev 0 3G phase 1

EV/DO EV/DO Rev A Rev B

cdma 9.6% others 0.7%

Evolved 3G

Market share calculated according according to subscriptions data as at July 23, 2010 provided by Informa Telecoms & Media

www.gsacom.com


3GPP radio access evolution evolution

LTE Evolution LTE HSPA+ HSPA 3G/WCDMA D/L peak rate

384 kbps

www.gsacom.com

14.4 Mbps

21/28/42/84 Mbps

> 150+ Mbps

1 Gbps target


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WCDMA is the leading 3G system globally

Source: GSA 3G/WCDMA-HSPA 3G/WCDMA-HSPA Launches Worldwide survey June 30, 2010 www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4

357 commercial WCDMA operators in 148 countries • over 75% commercial 3G networks share

Almost 99 % of commercial WCDMA operators have launched HSPA www.gsacom.com


Mobile broadband is mainstream GLOBAL economies of scale today with w ith HSPA-enabled HSPA-enabled mobile broadband  353 HSPA networks commercially launched in 147 countries

98.8% of commercial WCDMA networks are HSPA-enabled HSPA-enabled

HSPA is deployed in all the main cellular bands

18 UMTS900 networks commercially launched

HSPA Operator Commitments Survey: GSA – June 30, 2010 – slide deck – – www.gsacom.com ALSO SEE – Global HSPA Update – www.gsacom.com


WCDMA subscriptions subscriptions growth grow th worldwide 

regional breakdown: Q2 10

www.gsacom.com


Well-established Well-established mobile broadband eco-system 2,579 HSPA devices launched by 235 suppliers  840 HSPA devices launched in past 9 months (48% growth)  

press release www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_305.php4

55% of devices support peak d/link data speed at least 7.2 Mps 724 HSUPA devices 50 HSPA+ devices Smartphones (i.e. HSPA HSPA with with WiFi) is the main growth device segment 401 UMTS900 devices supporting HSPA HSPA (111% increase since October 2009) Excluding notebooks and e-book readers, 19% of HSPA devices operate in the 900 MHz band

GSA HSPA Devices Survey Key Findings - July 12, 2010 www.gsacom.com

Use GAMBoD GAMBoD for further analysis www.gsacom.com/gambod www.gsacom.com/gambod www.gsacom.com


HSPA devices address all segments in all markets

GSA HSPA Devices Survey Key Findings - July 12, 2010 www.gsacom.com

Use GAMBoD GAMBoD for further analysis www.gsacom.com/gambod www.gsacom.com/gambod

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GAMBoD: GSA‟s analysis tool for HSPA devices www.gsacom.com/gambod

Compr ompreh ehen ensi sive ve ana analys lysis of ever everyy laun launch ched ed HSP SPA A devi devicce, as conf confir irme medd by GSA’s late latest st HSP HSPA Devi Device cess surv survey ey,, and and perso persona nalilize zedd to indi indivi vidua duall need needs, s, can can be undertaken by registered users of GSA member organizations and networ networkk operat operators ors using using GAMBOD GAMBOD www.gsa www.gsacom com.com .com/ga /gambo mbodd GAMBOD is a search and analysis tool developed by GSA for mobile broa broadb dban andd devi device cess (HSP (HSPA, A, HSP HSPA+, LTE) TE) allow allowin ingg sear searche chess by supp supplilier er,, form form fact factor or,, feat featur ures, es, peak peak down downlin link/ k/up uplilink nk spee speeds ds,, and and oper operat atin ingg freq freque uenc ncyy. The The feature support for HD Voice (W-AMR) is now included. Results are presented as a list or spread eadsheet, or in charts which may be inse nserted into docu docume ment ntss or pres presen enta tatition ons, s, subj subjec ectt to accr accred edititat atio ionn of GSA GSA as the the sour source ce.. An RSS feed can be activated to alert when new devic vices are add added by GSA to its its data databa base. se. Qual Qualif ific icat atio ion n to use use GAMB GAMBoD oD:: You need to be employed by a member organization of GSA to use GAMB GAMBOD OD and and have have regi regist ster ered ed on www www.gsac .gsacom. om.co com m with with the the corp corpor orat atee emai emaill address. GAMBoD is also accessi ssible to network operators who have also have have regis registe tere redd on www www.gsa .gsacom com.c .com om with with the the corp corpor orat atee emai emaill addre address ss..

www.gsacom.com


Mobile broadband success stories globally Reports from operators globally consistently confirm traffic and revenue growth  Dozens

of recent announcements including facts and reports

GSA report report - Mobile Broadband Growth Growth www.gsacom.com

www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 www.gsacom.com


Explosion in mobile data growth predicted Leading the Mobile Broadband Revolution Ralph de la Vega, Chairman of the Board, CTIA

 Mobile

broadband growth outpaces every other platform**

 Pew estimates that by 2020, mobile devices will be the

primary Internet Internet devices for most people in the world***  The

average smartphone user generates 10 times the amount of traffic generated by the average non-smartphone user* *Source: Cisco, VNI Mobile, 2010

** Source: CTIA, Written Ex Parte to FCC, Sept. 29, 2009 *** Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project, Dec. 2008

 Worldwide Machine-to-Machine Machine-to-Machine devices rise to 412 million mi llion

by 2014* * Source: Juniper Research, Embedded Mobile and M 2M Strategies 2009-2014, Jan. 2010

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More industry forecasts

3 .5 billion mobile broadband users  By 2015, there will be 3.5 around the world, compared to the 500+ million that use it at present (Ericsson)  The

total data traffic volume in 2015 will be more than 30 times that of 2010. Operators will need to make capital investments to increase increase capacity capacity in order to meet this demand (Analysys (Analysys Mason) 

Shipments of mobile broadband-enabled consumer products, which includes e-book readers, mobile digital cameras, camcorders, personal media players, personal navigation devices and mobile gaming devices will increase 55-fold between 2008 and 2014 with total shipments reaching 58 million units per year in 2014 (ABI Research)

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HSPA+ is the main trend in 2010 

Almost I in 5 HSPA operators commercially launched HSPA+

63 commercial HSPA+ networks launched in 35 countries • 53 networks support 21 Mbps peak • 7 networks support 28 Mbps • 3 networks support 42 Mbps

By end 2010 GSA anticipates 95 -100 HSPA+ networks will be in commercial service

Updates on network netw ork commitments, launches, ecosystem – www.gsacom.com Global HSPA+ HSPA+ Network Commitme Commitments nts and Deployments – AND HSPA+ Overview Slide Deck – www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com


HSPA+ entering the mainstream in 2010

HSPA has a strong evolution path

HSPA+ eco-system today 50 HSPA+ devices launched in the market by 11 suppliers

www.gsacom.com


EDGE contributes to mobile broadband success s uccess 

Most HSPA HSPA networks combine with w ith EDGE

The

majority of WCDMA-HSP WCDMA-HSPA A networks are complemented with w ith GSM/EDGE for service continuity in areas where WCDMA-HSPA coverage is not available, to ensure that users will receive a good experience of most 3G services services 279

of 401 HSPA HSPA network operator commitments (c. 70%) also committed to EDGE

EDGE

can today deliver user data speeds up to 300 kbps peak; more coming with EDGE Evolution 1,738

HSPA user devices (83%) also support GSM/EDGE

(excluding notebooks and e-book readers)

www.gsacom.com


GSM/EDGE: a global, mature technology 

Over 80% of commercial GPRS networks have committed to EDGE

503 GSM/EDGE commitments in 195 countries 487 commercial GSM/EDGE networks in 190 countries

Source: GSA EDGE Fact Sheet February 1, 2010 www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/edge_databank.php4#EDGE_Fact_Sheet

www.gsacom.com


EDGE Evolution Evolution 

Evolved GERAN: drivers and goals

Operators stress stress service continuity continuity as being very important important WCDMA evolution to HSDPA is a key driver for EDGE Evolution (GERAN Evolution) since reducing the performance gap is the priority EDGE Evolution Evolution - potential potential benefits: benefits:  2 – 3 times increase increase in EDGE bit rates  2 – 3 times spectral efficiency gain (for voice & data capacity) capacity)  Halve the latency (roundtrip time)  All achieved with low impact on the GSM/EDGE network Standardized in 3GPP Release 7 Leading manufacturers committed

www.gsacom.com


EDGE Evolution peak speeds



DL speed up to 1.2 Mbps per user u ser expected 

standard enables up to 1.9 Mbps per user

Dual Carrier first phase implementation 10 TSL per user; standard enables up to 16 TSL per user 





EGPRS-2 DL (REDHOT) level B maximum 118.4 kbps per TSL

UL speed up to 474 kbps per user, standard enables up to 947 kbps per user 

EGPRS-2 UL (HUGE) level B with maximum 118.4 kbps per TSL



Peak implementation today 4 TSL per user; standard enables up to 8 TSL per user

www.gsacom.com


Dual Carrier 

The first step in evolving EDGE

Dual Carrier is the first step in evolving EDGE, bringing the prospect of doubling today’s EDGE speeds to 592 kbps on existing EDGE-capable networks. Commercial downlink Dual Carrier solutions are expected to be introduced in 2009. EGPRS-2 level B+ is standardized in the newlyreleased 3GPP Release 8, providing a wider pulse shaping filter to enable higher average end user throughput, and therefore better coverage compared to level B. Commercial solutions for EGPRS-2 level B+ in the downlink are expected to be introduced in 2010.

GSA Information Paper “EDGE Evolution” www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 www.gsacom.com


UMTS900: HSPA deployed in the 900 MHz band Cost reduction in rural/suburban areas  Improved in-building penetration 

UMTS900 operator case study Elisa, Finland Increased coverage Significant CAPEX, OPEX savings Re-use existing sites Faster rollout Improved voice service Improved in-building penetration

UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Elisa www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4

UMTS900 has an economic motivation – it is a business decision www.gsacom.com


Improved user experience of mobile broadband and voice oice with UMTS90 UMTS900 0

UMTS900 operator case study Optus, Australia

“Site optimization gave customers a kick up in performance for 2G service as well as access to UMTS900” “The extended reach of 900 MHz means we can deliver better quality and wider coverage across sparsely populated areas, as well as enhanced depth of coverage” “UMTS900 has been critical in bringing up the depth of coverage into people’s homes, so they get a similar experience in both voice and data coverage, making it a more economically feasible solution for expansion” “By having a technology that allows us to get into more places at a lower cost, we can deliver more services. For example, we can grow our small and medium business and consumer market penetration”

UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Optus www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4

www.gsacom.com

“Amongst other applications, UMTS900 implementation is a case study for how we will utilize new spectrum arising from the Digital Dividend”


UMTS900 commercialization

Regulatory status

401 UMTS900 devices announced Updates: UMTS900 Global Status report www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com


Market Update: GSM/EDGE, 3G/WCDMA-HSPA, HSPA+, LTE, spectrum refarming, digital dividend, HD voice August 2010

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