Analisis Regresi Logistik Dengan Minitab

$1$/,6,6'$7$.$7(*25,

5HJUHVL/RJLW 'RVHQ3HQJDPSX (QL6XPDUPLQLQJVLK66L00

.HORPSRN  'D 'DQQ QQ\ \3UD 3UDVH VHW\ W\R R+D +DUW UWD DQWR QWR

    

 0DKDUGLND'ZL-D\DQWL 0DKDUGLND'ZL -D\DQWL   6DEULQD
 

 (IULGD'ZL&DQGUDZDWL (IULGD'ZL&DQGUDZDWL   0HLUL]DO'ZL(EWL\DQWR

352',67$7,67,.$ -8586$10$7(0$7,.$ )$.8/7$60$7(0$7,.$'$1,/083(1*(7$+8$1$/$0 81,9(56,7$6%5$:,-$<$ 0$/$1* 

%$%, 3(1'$+8/8$1 /DWDU%HODNDQJ 6HEDJDLPDQDGDODPUHJUHVLOLQLHU 6HEDJDLPDQDGDODPUHJUHV LOLQLHUPRGHOXPXP PRGHOXPXP GDULUHJUHVLORJLVWLN GDULUHJUHVLORJLVWLNJDQGDDGDODKPRGHO JDQGDDGDODKPRGHO UHJUHVLJDQGD\DLWXPRGHO\DQJ UHJUHVLJDQGD\DLWXPRGHO\DQJ PHOLEDWNDQOHELKGDULVDWXSUHGLNWRU PHOLEDWNDQOHELKGDULVDWXSUHGLNWRUYDULDEOHLQGHSHQGHQ YDULDEOHLQGHSHQGHQ6HFDUD 6HFDUD JDULVEHVDUODQJNDKSHPRGHODQUHJUHVLORJLVWLNWLGDNODKEHUEHGDGHQJDQNDVXVUHJUHVLOLQHU

5HJUHVL ORJLVWLF DGDODK PRGHO \DQJ SDOLQJSHQWLQJ XQWXN UHVSRQGDWDNDWHJRUL5HJUHVL ORJLVWLF GLJXQDNDQ VHPDNLQ GDODP EHUEDJDL DSOLNDVL 0XODQ\D UHJUHVLORJLVWLF GLJXQDNDQ GDODP VWXGLELRPHGLVWHWDSLWDKXQWHUDNKLUMXJDWHODKEDQ\DNGLJXQDNDQGDODPSHQHOLWLDQLOPXVRVLDO GDQSHPDVDUDQ %DUXEDUX

LQL

%HEHUDSDDSOLNDVL

UHJUHVL

ORJLVWLN

WHODK

PHQMDGL

DODW

SRSXOHU

GL

DSOLNDVL

ELVQLV

NUHGLWVFRULQJ PHQJJXQDNDQ UHJUHVL ORJLVWLN XQWXN PRGHO SUREDELOLWDV

GHQJDQVXEMHNDGDODKNUHGLWOD\DN6HEDJDLFRQWRKSUREDELOLWDVEDKZDVXDWXVXEMHNPHPED\DU WDJLKDQWHSDWZDNWXGDSDWPHQJJXQDNDQSUHGLNWRUVHSHUWLXNXUDQWDJLKDQSHQGDSDWDQWDKXQDQ SHNHUMDDQ KLSRWHNGDQNHZDMLEDQKXWDQJSHUVHQWDVH WDJLKDQGLED\DU WHSDW ZDNWXGL PDVDODOX GDQDVSHNODLQGDULSHPRKRQNUHGLWVHEXDKVHMDUDK6HEXDKSHUXVDKDDQ\DQJEHUJDQWXQJSDGD SHQMXDODQ NDWDORJ GDSDW PHQHQWXNDQ DSDNDK NLULP NDWDORJ NH SHODQJJDQ SRWHQVLDO GHQJDQ SHPRGHODQSUREDELOLWDVSHQMXDODQVHEDJDLIXQJVLGDULLQGHNVSHULODNXSHPEHOLDQPDVDODOX

 7XMXDQ 0HPSHODMDUL UHJUHVL ORJLVWLF VHFDUD PHQGDODP GDQ PHPHFDKNDQ EHUEDJDL SHUPDVDODKDQ PHQJJXQDNDQUHJUHVLORJLVWLF

 .DVXV 6HEXDK GHDOHU PRELO LQJLQ PHQJHWDKXL NRQGLVL NRQVXPHQ \DQJ PHQMDGL WDUJHW SDVDUQ\D PDND GLODNXNDQ VWXGL PHQJHQDL NHSXWXVDQ VHVHRUDQJ XQWXN PHPEHOL PRELO DWDX WLGDN %HUGDVDUNDQ VXUYH\ \DQJGLODNXNDQ NHSXWXVDQPHPEHOL PRELO DWDXWLGDN GLSHQJDUXKL ROHK EHEHUDSDYDULDEHO \DLWXMXPODKSHQGDSDWDQVWDWXVSHUQLNDKDQORNDVL WHPSDWWLQJJDOMXPODK NHOXDUJDGDQWLQJNDWSHQGLGLNDQ

7XMXDQGDULSHQHOLWLDQLQLDGDODKXQWXNPHQJHWDKXL  $SDNDKVWDWXVSHUQLNDKDQGDQSHQGDSDWDQPHPSHQJDUXKLNHSXWXVDQVHVHRUDQJPHPEHOL PRELO  -LNDGLWDPEDKYDULDEHOODJLORNDVLWHPSDWWLQJJDOMXPODKNHOXDUJDWLQJNDWSHQGLGLNDQ DSDNDKYDULDEHOEDUXWHUVHEXWMXJDPHPSHQJUXKLNHSXWXVDQPHPEHOLPRELO %HULNXWGDWDKDVLONXLVLRQHUPHQJHQDLNHSXWXVDQPHPEHOLPRELOUXPDKWDQJJD .HSXWXVDQ PHPEHOL 5XPDK PRELO WDQJJD EHOL WGNEHOL

 SHQGDSDWDQ SHUEXODQ MXWD 

VWDWXV SHUQLNDKDQ QLNDK EOP 

ORNDVLWPSW WQJJO SHUNRWDDQ SHUGHVDDQ 

 MPO NHOXDUJD RUJ

7LQJNDW SHQGLGLNDQ VDUMDQD WLGDN 





























 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 











































 

 

 

 

 

 

 











































 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 











































 

 

 

 

 

 

 















 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 





























%$%,, $1$/,6,667$7,67,.$ 7LQMDXDQ7HRUL 7XMXDQGDULPRGHOUHJUHVLGHQJDQUHVSRQNXDOLWDWLISDGDYDULDEHOGHSHQGHQDGDODKXQWXN PHQHQWXNDQSUREDELOLWDVLQGLYLGXGDODPNHSXWXVDQ\DQJEHUVLIDWNXDOLWDWLI 0RGHOFXPXODWLIGLVWULEXWLRQIXQFWLRQ&')DGDODKVHEXDKPRGHO\DQJPDPSXPHQMDPLQ EDKZDQLODLQ\DWHUOHWDNDQWDUDGDQVHKLQJJDGDSDWPHPEXDWPRGHOUHJUHVLGLPDQDUHVSRQ GDULYDULDEHOGHSHQGHQEHUVLIDWGLNRWRPLV\DNQLGDQWHUSHQXKL $GD GXD PRGHO \DQJ PHPHQXKL NULWHULD GDUL FGI \DLWX PRGHO ORJLW GDQ PRGHO SURELW 0RGHO ORJLW EHUNDLWDQ GHQJDQ IXQJVL SUREDELOLWDV GLVWULEXVL ORJLVWLN 6HGDQJNDQ PRGHO SURELW EHUNDLWDQGHQJDQIXQJVLSUREDELOLWDVGLVWULEXVLQRUPDO

0HWRGH(VWLPDVL0D[LPXP/LNHOLKRRG 'LGDODP UHJUHVL GHQJDQ PHQJJXQDNDQ PHWRGH PDNVLPXP OLNHOLKRRG WLGDN PHQFDUL NRHILVLHQ UHJUHVL \DQJ PDPSX PHPLQLPXPNDQ MXPODK UHVLGXDO NXDGUDW VHEDJDLPDQD PHWRGH 2/6 GDODP UHJUHVL OLQHDU EHUJDQGD 0HWRGH PD[LPXP OLNHOLKRRG DGDODK PHQFDUL NRHILVLHQ UHJUHVL VHKLQJJD SUREDELOLWDV NHMDGLDQ GDUL YDULDEOH GHSHQGHQ ELVD VHWLQJJL PXQJNLQ DWDX ELVD VHPDNVLPXPPXQJNLQ%HVDUQ\DSUREDELOLWDV\DQJPHPDNVLPXPNDQNHMDGLDQLQLGLVHEXWORJRI WKH OLNHOLKRRG // 'HQJDQ GHPLNLDQ QLODL // LQL PHUXSDNDQ XNXUDQ NHEDLNDQ JDULV UHJUHVL ORJLVWLF GL GDODP PHWRGH PD[LPXP OLNHOLKRRG VHEDJDLPDQD MXPODK UHVLGXDO NXDGUDW GL GDODP UHJUHVLOLQHDU $GDGXDFDUDPHQJHVWLPDVLPRGHOUHJUHVLORJLVWLF\DLWXPHWRGHVHFDUDPHQ\HOXUXKGDQVHFDUD EHUWDKDS  6HFDUD PHQ\HOXUXK .LWD PHPDVXNNDQ VHPXD YDULDEOH LQGHSHQGHQ NHPXGLDQ EDUX GLHYDOXDVL YDULDEOH LQGHSHQGHQ PDQD \DQJ EHUSHQJDUXK VLJQLILNDQ WHUKDGDS YDULDEOH GHSHQGHQ  6HFDUDEHUWDKDSVWHSZLVH0HWRGHLQLGLODNXNDQGHQJDQPHPLOLKVHFDUDRWRPDWLVKDQ\D NHSDGDYDULDEOHYDULDEHOLQGHSHQGHQ\DQJEHUSHQJDUXKWHUKDGDSYDULDEOHGHSHQGHQ

(YDOXDVL+DVLO 6HEDJDLEDJLDQGDULPHWRGHVWDWLVWLNDPXOWLYDULDWKDVLOUHJUHVLORJLVWLNVHEDJDLVDODKVDWX EHQWXN DQDOLVLV UHJUHVL PHPHUOXNDQ VHEXDK HYDOXDVL XQWXN PHQJHWDKXL VHEHUDSD EDLN KDVLO UHJUHVLORJLVWLNNLWD(YDOXDVLKDVLOUHJUHVLORJLVWLNPHOLSXWL  3HQLODLDQVHEHUDSDEDLNJRRGQHVVRIILWPRGHOUHJUHVL *RRGQHVV RI ILW GDODP UHJUHVL ORJLVWLN DGDODK XQWXN PHQJHWDKXL NHEDLNDQ PRGHO VHEDJDLPDQD XML JRRGQHVV RI ILW PRGHO UHJUHVL OLQHDU EHUJDQGD GHQJDQ PHQJJXQDNDQ XNXUDQNRHILVLHQGHWHUPLQDVL

 8ML VLJQLILNDQVL SHQJDUXKVHPXD YDULDEHOLQGHSHQGHQ VHFDUD VHUHQWDNWHUKDGDS YDULDEHO GHSHQGHQRYHUDOOPRGHOILW 8ML VWDWLVWLND XQWXN PHQJHWDKXL DSDNDK VHPXD YDULDEHO LQGHSHQGHQ GL GDODP UHJUHVL ORJLVWLN VHFDUD VHUHQWDN PHPSHQJDUXKL YDULDEHO GHSHQGHQ VHEDJDLPDQD XML ) GDODP UHJUHVLOLQHDUGLGDVDUNDQSDGDQLODLVWDWLVWLND//DWDXQLODL/5  8ML VLJQLILNDQVL SHQJDUXK YDULDEHO LQGHSHQGHQ WHUKDGDS YDULDEHO GHSHQGHQ VHFDUD LQGLYLGXDOVLJQLILFDQFHWHVW 6HWHODKNLWDPHQJXML NHEDLNDQJDULV UHJUHVLGDQ XML VHUHPSDN PDNDVHODQMXWQ\DDGDODK PHODNXNDQXMLVLJQLILNDQVLYDULDEHOLQGHSHQGHQVHFDUDLQGLYLGXDO8MLVLJQLILNDQVLYDULDEHO LQGHSHQGHQLQLVDPDGHQJDQXMLVLJQLILNDQVLPHQJJXQDNDQXMLWSDGDPRGHOUHJUHVLOLQHDU EHUJDQGD 8ML VLJQLILNDQVL SDGD PRGHO ORJLW GLODNXNDQ VDPD GHQJDQ XML W SDGD UHJUHVL OLQHDU EHUJDQGD\DLWXXQWXNPHQJHWDKXLDSDNDKNRHILVLHQYDULDEHOLQGHSHQGHQGLGDODPPRGHO ORJLW EHUEHGD  DWDX WLGDN 8ML VLJQLILNDQVL PRGHO ORJLW LQL PHQJJXQDNDQ XML VWDWLVWLND :DOG'DULXML:DOGLQLNLWDELVDPHQJHWDKXLDSDNDKYDULDEHOLQGHSHQGHQPHPSHQJDUXKL YDULDEHOGHSHQGHQGLGDODPPRGHOUHJUHVLORJLVWLN

 0HWRGRORJL 'DODPPHODNXNDQDQDOLVLVUHJUHVLORJLVWLFLQLGLJXQDNDQEDQWXDQPLQLWDEGDQ6366 /DQJNDKODQJNDKQ\DDGDODKVHEDJDLEHULNXW y

/DQJNDKSHUWDPDDGDODKPHODNXNDQDQDOLVLVUHJUHVLORJLVWLFVHEDJDLEHULNXW

 .OLFN6WDW!ELQDU\ORJLVWLFUHJUHVVLRQ

 0DVXNNDQYDULDEHO<NHGDODPNRORPUHVSRQVHYDULDEOH;SHQGDSDWDQ;VWDWXV SHUQLNDKDQ;WHPSDWWLQJJDO;MXPODKNHOXDUJDGDQ;WLQJNDWSHQGLGLNDQ NHGDODPNRORPPRGHONOLNRSWLRQVSLOLK/LQNIXQFWLRQ\DQJDNDQGLJXQDNDQ/RJLW 1RPLW3URELW*RPSLW

 .OLFN 2.

%$%,,, 3(0%$+$6$1

 +DVLO$QDOLVLV 

$QDOLVLV5HJUHVL/RJLVWLNXQWXN)DNWRU3HQGDSDWDQGDQ6WDWXV3HUQLNDKDQ 

/RJLW Predictor Constant X1 X2

Coef -8.92480 0.999764 2.44194

SE Coef 3.85085 0.492649 1.24217

Z -2.32 2.03 1.97

P 0.020 0.042 0.049

Odds Ratio 2.72 11.50

95% CI Lower Upper 1.03 1.01

7.14 131.18

Log-Likelihood = -8.553 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 23.948, DF = 2, P -Value = 0.000



3URELW Logistic Regression Table Predictor Constant X1 X2

Coef -4.96803 0.560150 1.39926

SE Coef 1.99720 0.263635 0.705661

Z -2.49 2.12 1.98

P 0.013 0.034 0.047

Log-Likelihood = -8.496 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 24.062, DF = 2, P -Value = 0.000



*RPSLW Logistic Regression Table Predictor Constant X1 X2

Coef -6.96843 0.711743 1.91703

SE Coef 3.19708 0.407057 0.930107

Z -2.18 1.75 2.06

P 0.029 0.080 0.039

Log-Likelihood = -7.857 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 25.340, DF = 2, P-Value = 0.000

%HUGDVDUNDQ RXWSXW PLQLWDE GL DWDV QLODL * GDUL NHWLJD IXQJVL ORJLW SURELW GDQ JRPSLW EHUWXUXW  WXUXW DGDODK   GDQ  %HUGDVDUNDQ QLODL WHUVHEXWQLODL*WHUNHFLODGDODKIXQJVLORJLW2OHKNDUHQDLWXPDNDIXQJVL\DQJWHUEDLN XQWXNNDVXVLQLDGDODKIXQJVLORJLW *RRGQHVVRI)LW Goodness-of-Fit Tests Method Pearson Deviance Hosmer-Lemeshow



Chi-Square 22,1578 17,1059 12,8238

DF 27 27 8

P 0,729 0,928 0,118

$QDOLVLV5HJUHVL/RJLVWLNXQWXN6HPXD)DNWRU 

/RJLW Logistic Regression Table Odds

95% CI

Predictor Constant X1 X2 X3 X4 X5

Coef -11.7831 1.41246 2.92396 -3.55370 -0.0856628 2.58417

SE Coef 6.46006 0.734373 2.31744 3.41151 0.657637 2.27885

Z P -1.82 0.068 1.92 0.054 1.26 0.207 -1.04 0.298 -0.13 0.896 1.13 0.257

Ratio

Lower

Upper

4.11 18.61 0.03 0.92 13.25

0.97 0.20 0.00 0.25 0.15

17.32 1747.85 22.94 3.33 1153.68

Log-Likelihood = -6.337 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 28.380, DF = 5, P -Value = 0.000



3URELW Logistic Regression Table Predictor Constant X1 X2 X3 X4 X5

Coef -6.16804 0.753922 1.51555 -1.86525 -0.0468369 1.33622

SE Coef 3.13146 0.379705 1.13488 1.59564 0.363881 1.12215

Z P -1.97 0.049 1.99 0.047 1.34 0.182 -1.17 0.242 -0.13 0.898 1.19 0.234

Log-Likelihood = -6.449 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 28.156, DF = 5, P -Value = 0.000



*RPSLW Logistic Regression Table Predictor Constant X1 X2 X3 X4 X5

Coef -9.88953 1.12548 2.60961 -3.25577 -0.101886 2.31514

SE Coef 6.34679 0.693834 2.01989 3.09779 0.591165 1.92835

Z P -1.56 0.119 1.62 0.105 1.29 0.196 -1.05 0.293 -0.17 0.863 1.20 0.230

Log-Likelihood = -5.589 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 29.876, DF = 5, P -Value = 0.000

%HUGDVDUNDQ RXWSXW PLQLWDE GL DWDV QLODL * GDUL NHWLJD IXQJVL ORJLW SURELW GDQ JRPSLW EHUWXUXW  WXUXW DGDODK   GDQ  %HUGDVDUNDQ QLODL WHUVHEXW QLODL * WHUNHFLO DGDODK IXQJVL SURELW 2OHK NDUHQD LWX PDND IXQJVL \DQJ WHUEDLNXQWXNNDVXVLQLDGDODKIXQJVLSURELW *RRGQHVVRI)LW Goodness-of-Fit Tests Method Pearson Deviance Hosmer-Lemeshow

Chi-Square 19.5688 12.8982 7.2789

DF 24 24 8

P 0.721 0.968 0.507

 ,QWHUSUHWDVL 

$QDOLVLV5HJUHVL$QDOLVLV5HJUHVL/RJLVWLNXQWXN6HOXUXK)DNWRU %HUGDVDUNDQRXWSXWPLQLWDEGLDWDVGLGDSDWNDQSHUVDPDDQUHJUHVLORJLVWLNXQWXNGDWD SDGDNDVXVWHUVHEXWDGDODKVHEDJDLEHULNXW        VHKLQJJD

 

ORJSS     VWDWXV SHUQLNDKDQ   SHQGDSDWDQ SHU EXODQ 3YDOXH\DQJGLGDSDWNDQGDULRXWSXWVHPXDQ\DEHUQLODLNXUDQJGDULVHKLQJJD GDSDW GLVLPSXONDQ EDKZD NHGXD IDNWRU SHQGDSDWDQ GDQ VWDWXV SHUNDZLQDQ VHFDUD VLPXOWDQEHUSHQJDUXKVLJQLILNDQWHUKDGDSNHSXWXVDQVHVHRUDQJPHPEHOLPRELO *RRGQHVVRI)LW .HEDLNDQPRGHOGDSDWGLOLKDWGDULQLODL&KLVTXDUHGDQDWDXSYDOXHGDULRXWSXW\DQJ WHUVHEXWGLDWDV%HUGDVDUNDQRXWSXWGLGDSDWNDQSYDOXHGDULPHWRGH3HDUVRQVHEHVDU 1LODLWHUVHEXWOHELK EHVDU GDUL  VHKLQJJDPRGHOWHUVHEXW FXNXS OD\DN XQWXN PHQJHSDVNDQ GDWD %HJLWX MXJD GHQJDQ SYDOXH GDUL PHWRGH GHYLDQFH GDQ +RVPHU/DPHVKRZ MXJD OHELK EHVDU GDUL  VHKLQJJD PRGHO WHUVHEXW FXNXS OD\DNXQWXNPHQJHSDVNDQGDWD 2GGV5DWLR

,PSOLNDVL KDVLO DQDOLVLV ORJLVWLN SDGD VHWLDS IDNWRU EHUEHGD EHUEHGD VHVXDL GHQJDQQLODL RGGVUDWLR\DQJGLGDSDWGDULPRGHO 2RGVUDWLR\DQJPXQFXOGDUL DQDOLVLV ORJLVWLN PHQJJDPEDUNDQ UDVLR SHOXDQJ NHMDGLDQ VXNVHV GDUL VHWLDS SHXEDK UHVSRQ %HUGDVDUNDQ RXWSXW PLQLWDE GLGDSDWNDQ

QLODL RGGV XQWXN

YDULDEHO ; VHEHVDU  KDO LQL PHQXQMXNNDQEDKZD VHVHRUDQJ EHUSHOXDQJ  NDOL XQWXN PHPEHOL PRELO GLEDQGLQJNDQ WLGDN PHPEHOL PRELO  DNLEDW SHQJDUXK SHQLQJNDWDQ SHQGDSDWDQQ\D  %HJLWX MXJD GHQJDQ QLODL RGGV UDWLR XQWXN YDULDEHO ; VHEHVDU  KDO LQL PHQXQMXNNDQ EDKZD VHVHRUDQJ EHUSHOXDQJNDOLXQWXNPHPEHOLPRELOGLEDQGLQJNDQWLGDNPHPEHOLPRELO DNLEDWWHODKPHQLNDK 

$QDOLVLV5HJUHVL$QDOLVLV5HJUHVL/RJLVWLNXQWXN6HOXUXK)DNWRU %HUGDVDUNDQRXWSXWPLQLWDEGLDWDVGLGDSDWNDQSHUVDPDDQUHJUHVLORJLVWLNXQWXNGDWD SDGDNDVXVWHUVHEXWDGDODKVHEDJDLEHULNXW      

  

6HKLQJJD ORJSSSHQGDSDWDQSHUEXODQVWDWXVSHUQLNDKDQ    WHPSDW WLQJJDO   MXPODK NHOXDUJD   WLQJNDW SHQGLGLNDQ 3YDOXH\DQJGLGDSDWNDQGDULRXWSXWDGD\DQJEHUQLODLNXUDQJGDULGDQDGD \DQJ OHELK GDUL  VHKLQJJD GDSDW GLVLPSXONDQ EDKZD IDNWRU SHQGDSDWDQ EHUSHQJDUXK VLJQLILNDQ WHUKDGDS NHSXWXVDQ VHVHRUDQJ PHPEHOL PRELO  VHGDQJNDQ IDNWRU ODLQQ\D WLGDN EHUSHQJDUXK VHFDUD VLJQLILNDQ WHUKDGDS NHSXWXVDQ VHVHRUDQJ PHPEHOLPRELO *RRGQHVVRI)LW

.HEDLNDQPRGHOGDSDWGLOLKDWGDULQLODL&KLVTXDUHGDQDWDXSYDOXHGDULRXWSXW\DQJ WHUVHEXWGLDWDV%HUGDVDUNDQRXWSXWGLGDSDWNDQSYDOXHGDULPHWRGH3HDUVRQVHEHVDU  1LODL WHUVHEXW OHELK EHVDU GDUL VHKLQJJDPRGHOWHUVHEXW FXNXS OD\DN XQWXN PHQJHSDVNDQ GDWD %HJLWX MXJD GHQJDQ SYDOXH GDUL PHWRGH GHYLDQFH GDQ +RVPHU/DPHVKRZ MXJD OHELK EHVDU GDUL  VHKLQJJD PRGHO WHUVHEXW FXNXS OD\DNXQWXNPHQJHSDVNDQGDWD 2GGV5DWLR

'HQJDQ EDQWXDQ PLQLWDE RGGV UDWLR KDQ\D ELVD GLGDSDWNDQ GHQJDQ PHWRGH ORJLW %HUGDVDUNDQ RXWSXW PLQLWDE GLGDSDWNDQ QLODL RGGV XQWXN YDULDEHO ; VHEHVDU  KDO LQL PHQXQMXNNDQ EDKZD VHVHRUDQJ EHUSHOXDQJ  NDOL XQWXN PHPEHOL PRELO GLEDQGLQJNDQ WLGDN PHPEHOL PRELO DNLEDW SHQJDUXK SHQLQJNDWDQ SHQGDSDWDQQ\D %HJLWX MXJD GHQJDQ QLODL RGGV UDWLR XQWXN YDULDEHO; VHEHVDUKDOLQL PHQXQMXNNDQ EDKZDVHVHRUDQJEHUSHOXDQJ NDOLXQWXNPHPEHOLPRELOGLEDQGLQJNDQWLGDNPHPEHOLPRELODNLEDWWHODK PHQLNDK%HJLWXVHWHUXVQ\D 

%$%,9 3(18783  .HVLPSXODQ %HUGDVDUNDQXUDLDQGLDWDVGDSDWGLVLPSXONDQEDKZD  $QDOLVLVUHJUHVLORJLVWLNGLJXQDNDQMLND SHQHOLWLLQJLQPHQJHWDKXLSHQJDUXKDQWDUYDULDEHO GHSHQGHQGHQJDQYDULDEHOLQGHSHQGHQMLNDYDULDEHOGHSHQGHQQ\DEHUXSDNDWHJRUL  $GDEHEHUDSDPRGHOGDODPDQDOLVLVUHJUHVLORJLVWLF\DLWXORJLWSURELWGDQJRPSLW  0HWRGH HVWLPDVL \DQJ GLJXQDNDQ GDODP DQDOLVLV UHJUHVL DGDODK PHWRGH PDNVLPXP OLNHOLKRRG 'DODP DQDOLVLV UHJUHVL ORJLVWLF PHWRGH LQL EHUWXMXDQ XQWXN PHQGDSDWNDQ NRHILVLHQ \DQJ PHQJKDVLONDQ SUREDELOLWDV NHMD GLDQ GDUL YDULDEHO GHSHQGHQ \DQJ PDNVLPDO  'DODP NDVXV GL DWDV GDSDW GLNHWDKXL EDKZD YDULDEHO MXPODK SHQGDSDWDQ GDQ VWDWXV SHUQLNDKDQVHFDUDVLPXOWDQEHUSHQJDUXKVLJQLILNDQWHUKDGDSNHSXWXVDQVHVHRUDQJGDODP PHPEHOLPRELO$NDQWHWDSLVHWHODKGLWDPEDKNDQYDULDEHO\DQJODLQORNDVLWHPSDWWLQJJDO  MXPODK NHOXDUJD GDQ WLQJNDW SHQGLGLNDQ YDULDEHO VWDWXV SHUQLNDKDQ GDQ YDULDEHO WDPEDKDQ WHUVHEXW PHQMDGL WLGDN EHUSHQJDUXK VLJQLILNDQ VHFDUD VLPXOWDQ WHUKDGDS NHSXWXVDQ VHVHRUDQJ GDODP PHPEHOL PRELO

'$)7$53867$.$

-% 5DPVH\7(67 )25 63(6,),&$7,21 (55256 ,1 &/$66,&$/ /,1,($5 /($67 648$5(5(*5(66,21$1$/<6,6-RXUQDORIWKH5R\DO6WDWLVWLFDO6RFLHW\6HULHV% .OHLQEDXP'DYLG * /DZUHQFH / .XSSHU $]KDU 1L]DP DQG .HLWK ( 0XOOHU $33/,(' 5(*5(66,21 $1$/<6,6 $1' 27+(5 08/7,9$5,$7( 0(7+2' &DOLIRUQLD  7KRPSVRQ :LGDUMRQR$JXV$1$/,6,6 67$7,67,.$ 08/7,9$5,$7 7(5$3$1