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Alguns conceitos important importantes... es...
Coorte: um grupo de pessoas que partilha determinado evento demográfico n período de tempo determinado. P consistir de pessoas ou entidades (número Sign up to vote on this title Useful
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Para uma COORTE é possível definir m uma medida, além da taxa: a probabilidad
A estrutura de uma probabilidade é difere da estrutura de uma taxa Sign up to vote on this title Useful
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Probabilidades de eventos demográficos •
Probabilidade = ocorrências / nº de possibilidades totais de ocorrência Sign up to vote on this title Useful
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TAXAS •
Fundamentos Para o Cálculo Do
PROBABILIDAD
Se refere à população Ocorrências/pessoas anos
•
Se refere à coorte Sign up to vote on this title
Ocorrências Useful Not useful/ nº de pessoas antes das You're Reading a Preview •
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Diagrama de Lexis •
O Diagrama de Lexis foi desenvolvido pelo estatístico e economista alemão Wilhelm Lexis em
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Diagrama de Lexis •
Representação dos dados demográficos função de três coordenadas: - idade (eixo horizontal); You're Reading(eixo a Preview vertical); - momento/tempo Sign up to vote on this title Useful
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Diagrama de Lexis •
Conceito importante - Linha de vida - representação da ‘vida’ de uma pes no diagrama (linha diagonal); You're Reading a Preview no - a linha tem início momento Sign up to vote on this title Useful
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Diagrama de Lexis: representação gráfica Sign up to vote on this title
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Análise •
Transversal
–
ou análise de momen
centrada num momento do tem contemplando várias gerações (informa censitária, instantânea, um ano). You're Reading adurante Preview Sign up to vote on this title Useful
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Alguns exemplos...
A: indivíduo nasceu em 1 de de 1987 e tem 3 em 1 de jan de 19 You're Reading a Preview •
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idade X 6 5 4 3
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idade X 6 5 4 3
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I
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idade X 6
N
5 4
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3
A
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A: indivíduos d 1995 observado (2 e 3 anos com •
B: indivíduos c completos em Not useful (geração 1996) •
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Alguns exemplos... •
Os eventos/acontecimentos analisad em um diagrama de Lexis podem ser: Sign up to vote on this title
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Utilidade:
O diagrama de Lexis é um instrumento importante para locali visualmente os eventos a que uma coorte está exposta e ajudar compreensão de como eles podem ser medidos.
Por exemplo:
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- A sobrevivência, em termos de idade, de uma coorte You're Reading a Preview
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Por meio do Diagrama de Lexis pode-se obter: Taxas de coorte (entre duas idades exa em dois ou mais períodos diferentes; •
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Diagrama de Lexis
Coorte
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EXERCÍCIO PRÁTICO: 1. Construa um diagrama de Lexis e disponha as seguintes informações: Sign up to vote on this title
Em 1998, há 100 nascimentos Em 1999, há 100 nascimentos You're Reading a Preview
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EXERCÍCIO PRÁTICO: -Entre as idades exatas 0 e 1, no ano de 1 ocorreram 4 óbitos, exclusivamente coorte de nascimentos de 1999; À exata idade 1, no ano de 2000, há 92 crian À exata idade 1, noYou're ano dea Preview 2001, há 93 crian Reading Sign up to vote on this title Useful
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EXERCÍCIO PRÁTICO:
No dia 01/01/2002 há 98 crianças com ida entre zero e um ano exato; Entre as idades exatas zeroe um, em 2002 27 óbitos. 21You'reóbitos são originários Reading a Preview Sign up to vote on this title Useful
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EXERCÍCIO PRÁTICO – PERGUNTA-SE:
(1) Quantas crianças morreram da COORTE 2001, no ano de 2002, entre as idades 0 Sign up to vote on this title exatos? Useful Not useful (2) Quantas crianças morreram da COORTE You're Reading a Preview
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EXERCÍCIO PRÁTICO – PERGUNTA-SE:
(4) Calcule a probabilidade de morte de 0 a 1 an COORTE de 2002 Sign up to vote on this title
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Seria desejável trabalhar coortes, pode-se pensar, LIMITAÇÕES:
