Surabaya Travel Demand Rail Ridership Results Representation 20131201

SURABAY SURABA YA MASS RAPID TRANSIT SYSTEM PROJECT

TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL UPDATE AND RESULTS REPORT

By Dr. Eric P. Ho Prof. Ahmad Munaar M!. Syn"h Syn"hia ia An# An#$%ina $%ina

No&$m'$r( )*+,

Pr$!$n"a"ion -on"$n"! 

In"roduc"ion



T$chnica% $c hnica% aroach



Da"a co%%$c"ion m$"hod



R$#iona% "ra&$% d$mand



Rid$r!hi Ana%y!i!

S"udy O'/$c"i&$! 



U#rad$ "h$ r$#iona% "ra&$% d$mand mod$% for ( ana%y!$! of ma/or in&$!"m$n" in&$!"m$n" "ran!or" ro/$c"! P$rform$d rid$r!hi ana%y!i! for "h$ uro!$d Sura'aya Raid Rai% Sy!"$m ro/$c"( for A%"$rna"i&$ a%i#nm$n" ana%y!i!  Pro/$c" comon$n" riori"i0a"ion ana%y!i!  Suor"in# $n#in$$rin# %an and d$!i#n 



Suor"in# $conomic and financia% ana%y!i!

S"udy Boundary -i" of Su Sura'a a and !urroundin# ar$a! 

1 $2"$rna% road !$#m$n"! "o r$r$!$n" "raffic $n"$rin# ci"y of 

TE-HNI-AL APPROA APPROA-H -H

T$chnica% Aroach

T$chnica% Aroach  

 



Tra&$% d$mand mod$%in# "$chni3u$ Mu%"i4moda% con!id$rin# 'o"h &$hic%$ &$hic%$ and a!!$n#$r "ra&$% Ba!$d on co%%$c"$d "ra&$% and "raffic da"a Ba!$d on ro/$c" !ocio4$conomic condi"ion! in "h$ r$#ion U!$d "ran!or" mod$% !of"ar$ EMME,

Tra&$% D$mand Mod$% 

A !$" of ma"h$ma"ic formu%a"ion! form u%a"ion! for ana%y0in# ana%y0in# "h$ "h$ "raffic &o%um$! on "ran!or" n$"or5





U!$d for ma/or in&$!"m$n" ro/$c"! i"h r$#iona% "ra&$% d$mand imac"! No" for %oca% imro&$m$n" ro/$c"! %i5$ road !$#m$n" id$nin# or in"$r!$c"ion imro&$m$n" imro&$m$n" ro/$c"!

64S"$ Tra&$% D$mand Mod$% Proc$!!

Ma/or Mod$% Imro&$m$n" for Rai% Rid$r!hi 7or$ca!"in# To4%$&$% moda% !%i" !"ruc"ur$

Mo"orcyc%$

Tran!i"

u! Ma/or &aria'%$! con!id$r$d8 4Tra&$% "im$ 9in4&$hic%$( a%5( ai": 4Tra&$% co!" 9far$( o$ra"ion co!": 4 Tran!f$ ran!f$r! r! or no" no" 4 Tri "y$ "y$ 9or5( 9or5( !choo%( o"h$r: o"h$r: 4 -ar o on$r n$r!hi !hi 

-ar

a

Ma/or Mod$% Da"a 7orm! 

;ona%


Tri "a'%$ da"a



Tra&$% "im$


Tran!or" N$"or5 da"a



Traffic f%o and "ran!i" rid$r!hi da"a

Traffic ;on$ D$fini"ion

- 209 209 Inte Intern rnal al zone zones s

- 8 Exte Extern rnal al zone zones s

- 31 Dist Distri rict cts s

D$!ir$ Lin$ Dia#ram Dia#ram of In"$rna% Mo"ori0$d Tri!

Mod$% Encod$d Road N$"or5

Mod$% Encod$d Tran!i" N$"or5

DATA -OLLE-TION E77ORT

Ma/or Sourc$ of Da"a for Tra&$% Tra&$% D$mand and Rid$r!hi Ana%y!$! 

Pr$&iou! Sur&$y! Hom$ In"$r&i$ Sur&$ S"u dy  Road S$#m$n" Traffic -oun" S"udy  Bu! O$ra"ion Sur&$y 



Addi"iona% Sur&$y! Road S$#m$n" Traffic -oun" S"udy S"u dy  E2"$rna% S"a"ion Ori#in


O"h$r a&ai%a'%$ In&$n"ory and !ur&$y da"a D$mo#rahic da"a  Land u!$ da"a 

Hou!$ho%d Hou!$ho %d Tra&$% Tra&$% Sur&$ Sur &$y y Da"a Da"a 

-or$ da"a !ourc$ for uda"in# "h$ "ra&$% "ra&$% d$mand



Ma/or "ra&$% "ra&$% charac"$ri!"ic c harac"$ri!"ic in "h$ r$#ion Tri ra"$!  Ori#in!


a or aram$ $r! o

$ mo $

Dai%y P$r!on Tri Ra"$! =   n   o >   s   r 6   e    P    / ,   s )   p    i   r    T + *

Non4-ar HH! -ar HH! )

,

6

>

Household Size

D$!ir$ Lin$ Dia#ram Dia#ram of In"$rna% Mo"ori0$d Tri!

E2i!"in# Tra&$% Mod$ Shar$! Shar$! Numbers

Percents of All

Percents of Motorized

Private Car Other passenger vehicle* Motorcycle Transit Non-Motorized** All Modes

362,700

7.1%

10.7%

119,800 2,645,100 262,500 1,722,600 5,112,800

2.3% 51.7% 5.1% 33.7% 100.0%

3.5% 78.0% 7.7% ---

All Motorized Modes

3,390,200

100.0% Pri&a"$ -ar ?.+*@ Non4 Mo"ori0$d ,,.?*@ Tran!i" >.+*@

Traffic Vo%um$ -oun" Da"a 

Sourc$! of da"a )6 r$&iou! c%a!!ifi$d coun" %oca"ion! 9)*++: 9 )*++:  1 addi"iona% c%a!!ifi$d coun" %oca"ion! 9)*+,: 



U!$ of "h$ "raffic coun" da"a 

U!$ "o &a%ida"$ "h$ mod$% and "ri "a'%$!



D$ri&$ ad/u!"m$n" fac"or for "h$ mod$%!

O"h$r a!!$n#$r &$hic%$ ).,*@

Mo"orcyc%$ >+.?*@

O'!$r&$d Traffic Vo%um$! on Road N$"or5 Dai%y -ar Vo%um$!

Dai%y Mo"orcyc%$ Vo%um$!

E2"$rna% S"a"ion Ori#in


Sur&$y Proc$dur$ 14hour in"$r&i$ !ur&$y durin# AM( Mid4day and PM $riod!  14hour c%a!!ifi$d &$hic%$ coun" !ur&$y  In'ound "raffic on%y 



D$ri&$ "h$ $2"$rna%4in"$rna% "ri "a'%$!  

By mod$ 9mo"orcyc%$( car( 'u!( "ruc5: By "ri uro!$ 9commu"$r or non4commu"$:

D$!ir$ Lin$ Dia#ram of E2"$rna%4In"$rna% Tri!

RECIONAL TRA TRAVEL VEL DEMAND

E2i!"in# Land U!$ Ma

E2i!"in# Pou%a"ion Di!"ri'u"ion

Di!"ri'u"ion of Tri D$!"ina"ion!

D$!ir$ Lin$ of Dai%y Mo"ori0$d Tri!

D$!ir$ Lin$ Dia#ram Dia#ram of E2"$rna%4 In"$rna% In"$r na% Tri! Tri!

P%ann$d Land U!$ Ma

R$#iona% Pou%a"ion Cro"h Population

Average

City 2008

2009

2010

2011

Growth

Surabaya

2,73,000 2,7!1,000 2,7!,000 2,781,000

0"!!%

Si#oar$o

1,8,000 1,90,000 1,91,000 1,9!2,000

1"!!%

&o$o'erto

1,003,000 1,01!,000 1,02!,000 1,031,000

0"92%

(a)ongan

1,181,000 1,180,000 1,179,000 1,18,000

0"1%

Gre*i'

1,13,000 1,11,000 1,177,000 1,18,000

1"18%

+ang'alan

887,000

897,000

907,000

912,000

Surabaya Population Projection 2013: 3,059,000 2025: 3,248,000

Pou%a"ion Cro"h 'y Di!"ric"

0"93%

Mo"ori0$d V$hic%$ Pro/$c"ion Vehicle Type Motorcycle Passenger Car Public Private

2010 unit 1,213,457

Year 2011 unit 1,274,660

2012 unit 1,402,190

8,638 270,478

9,388 266,542

9,996 284,784

-u)ber o. Private Car*

28!,000 37!,000

Car*/1000 people

9!

120

Pro/$c"$d R$#iona% Tri! Trip Type

Yr 2013

Yr 2025

Home Based Work

2,1,000 2,92,000

% Growth 22"%

Home Based School

07,000

!,000

8"2%

Home Based Other

830,000

907,000

9"3%

Non-Home Based

02,000

30,000

7"0%

All

 2! 2 ! 000  9!! 000

No"$8 +: Mo"o Mo"ori ri0a 0a"i "ion on "ri "ri! ! on% on%y y ): Inc%ud Inc%udin# in# $2"$ $2"$rna rna%@ incr$a!$ incr$a!$ of %a'or %a'or ar"icia" ar"icia"ion ion ra"$

1"!%

R$#iona% Cro"h of Mo"ori0$d P$r!on Tri! =.***.*** >.***.*** 6.***.*** ,.***.*** Yr )*+, Yr )*)>

).***.*** +.***.*** *

Hom$ Ba!$d Hom$ Ba!$d Hom$ Ba!$d Non4Hom$ or5 Schoo% O"h$r Ba!$d

A%%

Cro"h of P$r!on Tri! 'y Di!"ric"

Di!"ri'u"ion of )*)> P$r!on Tri!

RAIL RIDERSHIP 7ORE-ASTS

Uses o Tr!" Tr!"el el De#!nd Model or or Ridership An!l$sis 

E&a%ua"$ E&a%ua"$ rid$r!hi o"$n"ia%! of "ra&$% "ra&$% corridor!



E2amin$ &ariou! ro/$c" d$!i#n o"ion!



Priori"i0$ ro/$c" im%$m$n"a"ion %an



A!!$!! "h$ ri!5 of an ur'an rai% ro/$c" 9&aria"ion of "h$ rid$r!hi $!"ima"$!: ana%y!i! of "h$ ro/$c"

Rid$r!hi -harac"$ri!"ic! of Tram and Monorai% -orridor!

Rid$r!hi -harac"$ri!"ic! of "h$ Tram and Monorai% -orridor! Tram -orridor 





$%% d$&$%o$d corridor a!!in# "hrou#h "h$ cor$ 'u!in$!! and comm$rcia% di!"ric"! Mo!" of ro&incia% ro&incia% and ci"y #o&$rnm$n" offic$! %oca"$d Su'!"an"ia% non4commu"$( non4hom$ 'a!$d "ra&$% mar5$"!

Rid$r!hi -harac"$ri!"ic! of "h$ Tram and Monorai% -orridor! Monorai% -orridor 



 In"$rac"ion '$"$$n "h$ $a!" and $!" !$#m$n"! ar$ r$%a"i&$%y %o Th$ "o !$#m$n"! !$r&$ !$r &$ mid
Rid$r!hi -harac"$ri!"ic! of "h$ Tram and Monorai% -orridor! Monorai% -orridor 



Th$ $a!" !$#m$n" may a%!o $2"$nd $2"$nd "o "h$ nor"h
Rid$r!hi -harac"$ri!"ic! of "h$ Tram and Monorai% -orridor! In"$rac"ion of "h$ "o rai% rou"$ corridor! 



Mo!"%y com%$m$n" i"h $ach o"h$r i"h !$r&ic$ $2"$nd$d $2"$nd$d "o nor"h( $a!" and $!" of "h$ ci"y Po!!i'%$ o&$r%ain# !$r&ic$ in ci"y c$n"$r ar$a

Po"$n"ia% Tra&$% Mar5$"! S$r&$d 'y Rai% Sy!"$m

Po"$n"ia% Tra&$% Mar5$"! S$r&$d 'y Rai% Sy!"$m 





 

-orridor -orridor +  Main nor"h4!ou nor"h4!ou"h "h "ram corrido corridorr orr or  $! $rn monora corr or ra ra&$  n $ $!"$rn !$#m$n" and "ra&$% "o "h$ c$n"$r ci"y: -orridor ,  Sou"h$!" ar$a 9"hrou#h 9"hrou#h con&$ni$n" con&$ni$n" f$$d$r 'u! 'u! rou"$! "o conn$c" "o "h$ $2"$nd$d $!"$rn $!"$rn monorai%: -orridor -orridor 6  Nor"h4$!"$rn Nor"h4$!"$rn "ran!i" "ran!i" corridor corridor 9"hrou#h 9"hrou#h "run5 %in$ f$$d$r 'u! !$r&ic$ "o conn$c" "h$ "ram corridor: orr or  a!"$rn onora corr or -orridor -orridor =  Sou"h$rn Sou"h$rn corridor 9"hrou 9"hrou#h #h f$$d$r 'u! 'u! "o "h$ rai% %in$!:

Tra&$% Mar5$" Po"$n"ia%! of "h$ Rai% Sy!"$m Travel orr or 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total

Year 201 2011 1 a y otor ze r ps 2 8 9 ,0 0 0 115,000 5 1 ,00 0 7 1 ,00 0 1 6 4 ,0 0 0 3 9 ,00 0 7 2 9 ,0 0 0

F Ba!$d on "h$ )*++ hou!$ho%d "ra&$% !ur&$ !ur &$y y da"a

Rid$r!hi A!!$!!m$n" of A%"$rna"i&$ A%"$r na"i&$ A%i#nm$n"! A%i#nm$n"!

$!"4Ri&$r A%i#nm$n"

Ea!"4Ri&$r A%i#nm$n"

Rid$r!hi A!!$!!m$n" of A%"$rna"i&$ A%i#nm$n"!

-ro!!4O& -ro!!4O&$r $r A%i#nm$ A%i#nm$n" n" 4 +

-ro!!4O& -ro!!4O&$r $r A%i#nm$ A%i#nm$n" n" 4 )

Ba!ic A!!um"ion! A!!um"ion! of Rid$r!hi 7or$ca!"! 

Rai% far$ "h$ !am$ a! $2i!"in# 'u! far$ 9,*** R!:



Rai ai%% o$r o$ra" a"io ionn !$$ !$$d! d! > >* * 5m hr



O$ra"ion fr$3u$ncy +* minu"$! for "ram %in$  +> minu"$! for monorai% %in$ 



G$$ $2i!"in 'u! !$r&i r&ic$

Y$ar )*)> Dai%y Rid$r!hi E!"ima"$!

West-River

East-River

Cross-Over -1 Cross-Over - 2

ra) +oar +oar#i #ing ng**

138, 138,00 000 0

133, 133,00 000 0

1!1, 1!1,00 000 0

13!, 13!,00 000 0

&onorail +oar#ing*

12,0!

182,780

12,022

178,7!7

otal otal +oar +oar#i #ing ng**

300, 300,00 000 0

31, 31,00 000 0

293, 293,00 000 0

31, 31,00 000 0

otal ail Pa**enger*

262,000

281,000

244,000

263,000

Rai% Pa!!$n#$r 7%o Dia#ram! $!"4Ri&$r

Ea!"4Ri&$r

-ro!!4O&$r 4 +

-ro!!4O&$r 4 )

S"a"ion Boardin# Dia#ram! $!"4Ri&$r

Ea!"4Ri&$r

-ro!!4O&$r 4 +

-ro!!4O&$r 4 )

Rid$r!hi Ana%y!i! of A%"$rna"i&$ A%i#nm$n"! Dai% rai% ! !"$m rid$r!hi in "h$ ran $ of )66 ***   )1+(***  Ea!"4Ri&$r Ea!"4Ri&$r a%i#nm$n" ha! "h$ hi#h$!" rid$r!hi  Mor$ !"a"ion! "han "h$ $!"4Ri&$r a%i#nm$n"  L$!! o&$r%ain# i"h "h$ "ram %in$  -o&$rin# -o&$rin# mor$ ar$a in "h$ ri&$r $a!" r$#ion  $!"4Ri&$r A%i#nm$n" i! !%i#h"%y %o$r "han "h$ Ea!"4 Ri&$r A%i#nm$n" 

Rid$r!hi Ana%y!i! Ana%y!i! of A%"$rna"i& A%"$rna"i&$ $ A%i#nm$n"! 

Th$ -ro!!4O -ro!!4O&$r &$r 4 + A%i#nm$n" A%i#nm$n" ha! "h$ "h$ %$a!" rid$r!hi rid$r!hi for a2! in $!" $!" corridor corridor "o ci"y c$n"$r: c$n"$r:  On%y on$ in"$rchan#$ in"$rc han#$ !"a"ion i"h "h$ Tram Tram Lin$  Hi#h$!" "ram rid$r!hi 9'$cau!$ of no o&$r%ain# in ci"y c$n"$r ar$a:



Th$ -ro!!4O&$r -ro!!4O&$r 4) A%i#nm$n" ha! !imi%ar 4

Rid$r!hi Ana%y!i! Ana%y!i! of A%"$rna"i& A%"$rna"i&$ $ A%i#nm$n"! Th$ rid$r!hi on $!"$rn monorai% !$#m$n" i! !u'!"an"ia%  Th$ rid$r!hi on $a!"$rn $nd of monorai% %in$ i! r$%a"i&$%y %o( in ar"icu%ar "h$ !$#m$n" a%on# "h$ coa!" 

Rid$r!hi Incr$m$n" Ana%y!i! 





Ana%y0$ "h$ chan#$ of rid$r!hi 'y 'ui%din# "h$ rai% ! !"$ !"$m incr incr$m $m$n $n"a "a%%%% To $&a%ua"$ "h$ con"ri'u"ion of rid$r!hi of $ach indi&idua% !$#m$n"! > Sc$nario! '$in# ana%y0$d Tram on%y  E2"$nd$d "ram "o "h$ $!"$rn monorai% !$#m$n" 9ETENDED TRAM:  Tram  $a!"$rn monorai% !$#m$n" 9TRAM  EAST MONNRAIL:  E2"$nd$d Tram  $a!"$rn monorai% !$#m$n" 9TRAM  EAST MONORAIL: 9$!"4Ri&$r A%i#nm$n":  7u%% Bui%d 9$!"4Ri&$r 

Rai% S$#m$n"! for Incr$m$n"a% Ana%y!i!

Rid$r!hi E!"ima"$! of Incr$m$n"a% Ana%y!i! A& 4 A& 4 (( +(: A& -( 56S 6AS ;56S<=6 &-A( &-A( A(G-&6-> ra) +oar#ing* +o ar#ing* &onorail +oar#ing*

1!,000 <<

13,000 ,000

1!9,000

138,000

71,000

12,000

otal +oar#ing*

1!,000

210,000

230,000

300,000

Total Rail Passengers

141,000

189,000

190,000

262,000

A##itional ail Pa?* .ro) ra) nly Senario

<<

8,000

9,000

121,000

Rid$r!hi Incr$m$n" Ana%y!i! 7ULL BUILD 9EST4RIVER

)=).***

TRAM  EST MONORAIL  EAST MONORAIL

),1.***

TRAM  EAST MONORAIL

+J*.***

TRAM  EST MONORAIL

+1J.*** +6+.***

TRAM ONLY 4

+**.***

)**.***

,**.***

Ma/or 7indin#! of Rid$r!hi Incr$m$n" Ana%y!i! 







Rid$r!hi of Tram Lin$ a%on$ i! !u'!"an"ia% !$#m$n" i! !imi%ar "o "ha" of addin# "h$ $a!" monorai% !$#m$n" $!" !$#m$n" i! 3ui"$ $ff$c"i&$ of !$r&in# "h$ a!!$n#$r! from $!" corridor "o "h$ c$n"$r ci"y Eff$c"i&$n$!! of $a!" !$#m$n" may may '$ %imi"$d 'y "h$ circu ircuii"o "ou! u! a% a%ii nm$n nm$n"" Tram %in$ rid$r!hi d$cr$a!$! in "h$ fu%% 'ui%d !c$nario( indica"in# "h$ o&$r%ain# of !$r&ic$ '$"$$n "ram %in$ and "h$ monorai% %in$ in "h$ c$n"$r ci"y ar$a

S$n!i"i&i"y Ana%y!i! 

E2amin$ "h$ chan#$ of rid$r!hi i"h r$!$c o c an#$ o ma or aram$ $r!8 Tran!i" far$ and o$ra"ion co!"  S$r&ic$ %$&$% of road n$"or5  Tra&$% d$mand "o ci"y c$n"$r  In"$ ra"$d 'u! o $ra"ion 



U!$ "h$ Ea!"4Ri&$r A%i#nm$n" a! "h$ 'a!$%in$ condi"ion

Rid$r!hi Imac"! Imac"! of 7ar$ and -o!" 6a*t<iver ;+a*e Con ition

=alue ra) +oar#ing* +oar#ing* otal +oar#ing* otal ail Pa**enger*

ail are 100% nrea*e % Change .ro) =alue +a*e

ree ran* er % Change .ro) =alue +a*e

City Center Par'ing Co*t 100% nrea*e % Change .ro) =alue +a*e

133,000

9,000 <27"8% 11,000 21"1% 13!,000

1 " !%

183,000

13,000 <2"8% 212,000 1!"8% 18,000

1"%

31,000

229,000 <27"!% 372,000 17"7% 321,000

1"%

281,000

21,000 <23"8% 321,000 1"2% 28!,000

1 " %

Rid$r!hi Imac"! of 7ar$ and -o!" 







Th$ far$ %$&$% and far$ !"ruc"ur$ !"r uc"ur$ ou%d %i5$ ma/or Rid$r!hi ou%d '$ )>@ %o$r i"h far$ incr$a!$ from from ,*** ,*** R! "o =*** =*** R! R! 7r$$ 7r$$ "ran!f$r "ran!f$r '$"$$n '$"$$n 'u!Krai% 'u!Krai% and rai%Krai rai%Krai%% ou%d ou%d incr$a!$ rai% rid$r!hi 'y +>@ Imac" of "h$ ar5in# ar 5in# co!" i! !ma%% a! "h$ curr$n" ar5in# co!" %$&$% i! &$ry %o

Rid$r!hi Imac"! of Ro Road ad N$"or5 O$ra"ion and Tra&$% D$mand in -i"y -$n"$r Center City +u*ine**/ Car/&otoryle 6a*t<iver oa -etwor Co))er Co))eria ia rave rave to City City ;+a*e peration Spee# :evelop)ent 20 Center 20% % nrea*e Con#ition> !0% e#ution :erea*e % % % Change Change Change .ro) .ro) .ro) =alue =alue +a*e =alue +a*e =alue +a*e +oar#ing* &onorail +oar#ing* otal +oar#ing* otal ail Pa**enger*

133,000

1!,000 1!"8% 11,000

" "0% 1!9,000 19"!%

183,000

209,000 1"2% 19,000

" "0% 218,000 19"1%

31,000

3,000 1!"2% 33!,000 "0% 377,000 19"3%

281,000

321,000 1"2% 297,000 !" !"7% 39,000 2"2%

Rid$r!hi Imac"! of Road N$"or5 N$"or5 O$ra"ion and Tra&$% D$mand in -i"y -$n"$r 





Th$ o$ra"ion condi"ion of road n$"or5 ou%d Tra&$% d$mand mana#$m$n" m$a!ur$! "o r$duc$ road "raffic in c$n"$r ci"y ou%d ha&$ ma/or imac" "o rai% rid$r!hi Incr$a!$ of "h$ 'u!in$!!
Rai% Rid$r!hi Imac" of 7$$d$r Bu! P%an 6a*t<iver -ew ee#er +u* Plan -ew ee#er +u* Plan ;+a*e Con#ition> Alone 4 (i)ite# (oal +u*

=alue ra) +oar#ing* &onorail +oar#ing* otal +oar#ing* otal ail Pa**enger* otal ran*it ;+u* an# ail> Pa**enger*

=alue

% Change .ro) +a*e

=alue

% Change .ro) +a*e

133,000

13!,000

1" 1"!%

133,000

0"0%

183,000

19,000

" "0%

192,000

"9%

31,000

329,000

" "1%

323,000

2"2%

281,000

319,000

13"!%

309,000

10"0%

703,000

!81,000

<17"%

!3,000

<7"1%

Bu! Rid$r!hi Imac" 7$$d Bu! P%an

enar o 2013 -o +uil# 202! -o +uil# 202! ail 4 6?i*ting +u* Sy*te) 202! ail 4 ee#er +u* Plan nly

+u* Sy*te)  er e r* p 3!0,000 0,000 2!,000 3,00

• &$ra u! !y!"$m ri $r! i i $cr$a!$ i" on%y rai% rou"$! and f$$d$r 'u! rou"$! • S"i%% n$$d !om$ !om$ %oca% 'u!
7$$d$r Bu! P%an

E2i!"in# Bu! N$"or5

Imac" of 7$$d$r Bu! P%an 





Th$ im%$m$n"a"ion of f$$d 'u! %an ou%d incr$a!$ Th$ f$$d$r 'u! %an !hou%d '$ !u%$m$n"$d 'y %oca% 'u! rou"$! "o ro&id$ ro&id$ !hor"4hau% !$r&ic$! !$r &ic$! "o %oca% communi"i$! A comr$h$n!i&$ 'u! o$ra"ion %an 9i"h in"$#ra"ion i"h "h$ rai% !y!"$m: n$$d! "o '$ d$&$%o$d "o ma2imi0$ "h$ o&$ra%% $ff$c"i&$n$!! $ff$c"i&$n$!! of "h$ "ran!i" !y!"$m

-onc%u!ion! 







A u#rad$d Sura'aya Tra&$% D$mand Mod$% a! im%$m$n"$d u!in# %a"$!" co%%$c"$d "ra&$% and "raffic da"a Th$ u#rad$d mod$% a! a%i$d "o d$&$%o rid$r!hi for$ca!"! of "h$ uro!$d Ma!! Raid Tran!i" Sy!"$m in Sura'aya Th$ mod$% i! r$ady "o '$ "ran!f$rr$d "o "h$ ci"y for "ran!or" %annin# !"udi$! and o"h$r ma/or in&$!"m$n" The %i&$ needs &o !%'uires ne%ess!r$ resour%es r esour%es !nd proession!l s&! &o !ppl$ !nd upd!&e &he #odel in &he u&ure

-onc%u!ion! 

Th$ !"udy !"udy d$mon!"ra"$d "h$ u!$ of "h$ "ra&$% ana%y!i!8 A%"$rna"i&$ rai% a%i#nm$n" o"ion! 'ui%d4u of rai% !$#m$n"!  Rid$r!hi 'ui%d4u  S$n!i"i&i"y ana%y!i! "o $2amin$ $2amin$ "h$ ri!5 fac"or! "ha" ou%d imac" imac" rid$r!hi of "h$ rai% !y!"$m 



Th$ mod$% can a%!o '$ u!$d "o !uor"8 En#in$$rin# d$!i#n d$!i#n of "h$ rai% ro/$c"  7inancia% and $conomic ana%y!i! 

-onc%u!ion! 

Th$ rid$r!hi ana%y!i! r$&$a%! "ha"8 



Th$ Th$ ur o!$d o!$d rai% rai% ! !"$m !"$m i%% i%% ha& ha&$ !u'! !u'!"a "an" n"ia ia%% rid$ rid$r! r!hi hi in "h$ "h$ ran#$ of )6*(*** "o )1*(*** a!!$n#$r dai%y Th$ "ram %in$ corridor a%on$ i%% #$n$ra"$ u "o +>*(*** rid$r!hi dai%y



The &r!# ridership (ill depend he!"il$ on i&s oper!&ion speed in order &o %o#pe&e (i&h #o&or%$%le



Th$ $!" !$#m$n" and $a!" !$#m$n" of "h$ monorai% i%% #$n$ra"$



Th$ a%i#nm$n" and $2"$nd of "h$ $a!" monorai% !$#m$n" n$$d! fur"h$r $2amin$d "o ma2imi0$ i" $ff$c"i&$n$!!

-onc%u!ion! 

Rai% rid$r!hi d$$nd! on fo%%oin# fac"or!8 -om$"i"i&$ far$ %$&$%  -om$"i"i&$ o$ra"ion !$$d a! comar$d i"h mo"orcyc%$ and car %oca% 'u!


Tra&$% d$mand mana#$m$n" m$a!ur$! "o r$duc$ road "raffic in ci"y c$n"$r ar$a

End of Pr$!$n"a"ion Than5 You