(T.G. McGee) The Emergence of Desakota Regions in Asia: Expanding a Hypothesis
In 2020, at least 57% of the world population is expected to live in urban areas, according to the U.N. entre for !u"an #ettle"ents. $he urbaniation will be higher in developed countries &77%' than in developing countries &5(%'. )ithin developing counties, the urbaniation will differ fro" *(% in +atin "erica to 50% in frica and sia. !owever, sia-s sia-s urban population will account for a ver large a"ount of that of the developing countries. $he perspective fro" the author is that in the sian context the conven tional view of the urban transition, which assu"es that the widel accepted distinction between rural and urban will persist as the urbaniation process advances, needs to be re/evaluated. $he conventional view of the urban transition is inadeuate in three respects1 ' it is too narrow narrow in its view view that the spatial spatial separati separation on of rural and urban urban activities activities will will persist as urbaniation continues 2' the assu"ption assu"ption that the urbaniat urbaniation ion transitio transition n is inevitable inevitable because of 3agglo"era 3agglo"eration tion econo"ics- and co"parative advantage, which are supposed to facilitate the concentration of the population in lin4ed urban places. Instead, the relativel cheap transportation technolog enables high "obilit of co""odities, peop le and capital, which creates large "ega/urban regions (' for"er for"er coloniation coloniation created created uneven incorporat incorporation ion of sian sian countries countries into the world world econo"ic sste" divergent patterns of urbaniation, not co"parable to western urbaniation. #upposed new paradig" would include investigation investigation of1 historical ele"ents, appreciation appreciation of ecological, de"ographic and econo"ic econo "ic foundations, institutional co"ponents &role of the state', transactional co"ponents &transport, co""odit and population flows' and shifts in the labour force &econo"ic change'. "odel is presented about spatial distribution, see figure . on p. ( of the article. It includes "aor cities, peri/urban regions, desa4otas &6 intense "ixture of agricultural and non/ agricultural activities that often stretch along corridors between large cit cores. an include s"aller cities and towns.', densel populated rural areas and a sparsel populated frontier. $hree tpes of spatial econo" transition in sia in regions with high/densit, high/densit, "ostl rice/growing agroecono"ic niches1 esa4ota tpe 1 "igration to urban centre decline in rural settle"ent. 8ost of the econo"icall active wor4 is in non/agricultural activities. Increasing inco"e, but rural population "uch poorer than urban. esa4ota tpe 21 rapid econo"ic growth b b increased productivit in agriculture and industr. esa4ota tpe (1 slow growth of inco"e. lose to secondar urban centres with continuing high population growth, surplus labour and low productivit. productivit. #ix co""on conditions and processes in the different tpes of desa4otas1 &' large population engaged in s"all/holder cultivation of rice with good transportation routes fro" fro" pre/ )) II. &2' Increase in diverse non/agricultural activities in previousl agricultural areas. &(' 9xtre"e fluidit and "obilit of population. &:' Intense "ixture of land use1 agriculture, cottage industr, industr, industrial estates, suburban develop"ents etc. &5' Increased participation of fe"ales in non/agricultural labour. &;' $he are 3invisible- or 3gre- ones for the state authorities1 not rural, but not urban either. Urban Urban regulations "a not appl encouraging for infor"al sector. entral processes are the dna"ic lin4ages between agriculture and non/agriculture. 9xpansion in agricultural output leads to an expansion in other activities and the other wa around.