RISK OF ISLAMABAD-RAW ISLAMABAD-RAWALPINDI METRO BUS PROJECT INTRODUCTION: Islamabad is the Capital City of Pakistan and the ninth largest country. Located within the Islamabad Capital Territory (ICT), the population of the city has grown from !!,!!! in "# to .$! million in %!%. The greater Islamabad&'awalpindi etropolitan rea is the largest conurbation in Pakistan with a population of o*er +.# million inhabitants. inhabitants. The concept of etro us -ystem is a rapid mode of transportation transportation that can pro*ide pro*ide the uality uality of rail rail transi transitt with with /e0ib /e0ibili ility ty of buses. buses. etro etro us -ystem -ystem has been implemented in se*eral cities throughout the world as a low&cost, rail&like method of mo*ing people uickly and e1ciently.
THE NEED FOR METRO BUS SYSTEM: Twin Twin cities Islamabad and 'awalpindi are are growing rate of more than +2 per annum, with present growth trends it is e0pected that the population would increase up to 3.! million in ne0t twenty years. Currently pri*ate transport is the ma4or means of mobility between two cities comprising of a5da, Toyota 6iace, and -u5uki *ans plying plying on *ariou *arious s route routes s withi within n and betwe between en two cities cities.. Tra1c ra1c *olume *olume of o*er o*er %!,!! %!,!!! ! *ehicl *ehicles es ply on three three ma4or ma4or corr corrido idors rs connec connectin ting g two carryi carrying ng arou around nd #%#,!!! passengers. It is estima estimated ted that that public public transp transport ort demand demand of aroun around d #$,!! #$,!!! ! passen passenger gers s is reui reuirred to cater cater daily daily basis basis betwee between n two cities cities.. Inter Interest esting ingly ly this this passen passenge gerr demand is concentrated around a corridor which is highly density and strategically located to pro*ide for a rapid transit system. The go*ernment will e0ecute e0ecute the pro4ect through through 'awalpindi 'awalpindi 7e*elopment uthority ('7). It will work in close coordination with the Capital 7e*elopment uthority (C7) for the Islamabad part of the pro4ect Pun4ab etrobus uthority (P) will control the operational 8 maintenance of the pro4ect after its completion.
PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT 1. Plan Ri! Mana"#$#n% In a mega pro4ect like etro us -er*ice Islamabad&'awalpindi there may e0ist number of di9erent risk factors that need to be mitigated. :ollowing are some e0amples of the risks and their plans by ;o*ernment.
S. N RISK O. 1 The Ci*il *iation uthority (C) has e0pressed concerns that the ele*ated road to be constructed for the 's. $< billion etro us ser*ice will be risk for the /ights on the runway of ena5ir hutto International irport & @n*ironment Impact ssessment ' 6undreds of laborerBs working on the etro us Pro4ect in the twin cities are not only *ulnerable to the risks in*ol*ed in construction, and health ha5ards but also e0ploitation owing to the apathy of the go*ernment.
PLAN
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=either the pro*incial 7awn =ews go*ernment nor the local (arch %!+) administration contacted C for a =o&>b4ection Certi?cate (=oC) in this regard, but the authority will raise the issue on the appropriation forum soon. @I 'eport prepared by Tribune =@-PA (arch %!+) etro us Pro4ect >1ce look =ews Today after in such ha5ards and is (anuary %, taking care of security %!+) measures.
&. P#()*($ +,ali%a%i# Anali Professionals of =espak team comprising of DP 8P 7i*ision, P 7esign 'T-, Principal @ngineer and -enior @ngineer 68T@ 7i*ision *isited Turkey to study us 'apid Transit -ystem ('T-) techniues from arch %< to pril E, %!%. The purpose of the *isit was to study the e0isting us 'apid Transit -ystem in Istanbul, and the techniues applied to resol*e *arious issues and problems in its implementation process. The team also studied the e0tension of 'T- in Istanbul and the techniues applied there. They met with representati*es of the Flasim Islanbul Transportation Company, design consultant for etro us -er*ice Pro4ect in Lahore and I-A I=C. dealing with intelligent tra1c control system in Istanbul. The delegates also *isited construction sites of mass transit pro4ects such as Istanbul etro, Istanbul us 'apid Transit -ystem and held meetings with their contractors.
'. P#()*($ +,an%i%a%i# Anali: The load pile tests are conducted to determine the underground formations to pro*e that the soil is capable of sustaining the designed load of the infrastructure that could be a bridge or e*en a high rise building. 7uring ?rst $! daysB time of the contract award these tests are being conducted around -i0th 'oad and Chandni Chowk /yo*ers. The results of the load pile tests will be utili5ed by the consultant and the contractor of the pro4ect.
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CONSTRUCTION: C*n%(,0%i*n-G#n#(al
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'isk of unforeseen land resumption costs 'isk of unforeseen preparation cots 'isk of unforeseen increased super*ision costs -afety 'isk of costs and time o*erturns on ma4or structures aterial used cause unforeseen maintenance costs Interference with site by third parties *ailability of site Gay lea*es and facilities
C*n%(,0%i*n-G(*,n4 C*n4i%i*n Fnforeseen ground conditions -oil sur*ey underestimates uantity of materials needed >*er ordering due to soil sur*ey o*erestimations Third party ser*ices not where e0pected Cost of samples C*n%(,0%i*n- Eni(*n$#n%al Fnpredicted en*ironmental factors Fne0pected impact of en*ironmental legislation Pollution =oise Land contamination
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C*n%(,0%i*n- Ciil W*(! Control of labor Price and uantity of material Price and uantity of Labor Price and uantity of plant 'isk that material source will be used by competing works 'isk on price and a*ailability of sub&contractors -uitability of e0isting structures and works -ite access -ite communication d*erse weather anufacturing testing and materials and plant @0ca*ation cost o*erruns @0ca*ation safety
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7eath or in4ury to workers Loss or damage to property, plant 8 structures 7amage to other roads and structures
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FORCE MAJEURE: 1
i. Physical damage ii. @arthuake iii. :looding i. cts of ;od (other) . :ire i. Geather ii. Terrorism
