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There is an increasing need for strategic global assessments of flood risks in current and future conditions. Natural hazards have caused severe consequences to the natural, modified and human systems in the past. These consequences seem to increase
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reporte los diagramas de flood, el funcionamiento de las varibles y la relacion que hay entre ellas por medio de triadas
GROUP 2: Devi Sayekti Putri/14056 Mega Deasy Hapsari/14059 a!ya "##isa Per$itasari/14060 Herpur#% !aru &'/14
R(SUM( )(*OR( +H( *,OOD
Starting from the interest of Leonardo DiCaprio on a framed painting on his crib. The title of the painting is "The Garden of Earthly Delight" by Hieronymus Bosch painted around the year !. #n the painting tells a story that is di$ided into % parts. #n the first panel tells the e&istence of 'dam and E$e in the Garden of Eden (ith lots of animals and a lot of religious iconography. The second panel tells human doing a lot of sins) there*s o$erpo o$erpopul pulatio ation) n) there* there*ss debauc debauchery hery)) and e&cess. e&cess. The The third third panel panel tells tells someth something ing $ery terribl terriblee is the destru destructio ction. n. Startin Starting g from from the painti paintings ngs he had seen since since childh childhood ood)) Leonardo DiCaprio is interested in the field of en$ironmental protection) including climate change ha+ards. #n ,-) Leonardo DiCaprio officially designated by the nited /ations Secretary General) Ban 0i1moon as a nited /ations 2essenger of 3eace (ith a focus on climate change issues. nited /ations Secretary General) Ban 0i12oon said) 4Climate changes coming much much faster. 5e ha$e seen such as e&traordinary e&trem (eather patterns. #f you consider this $astness of this uni$erse) this planet earth is 6ust the small boat. #f this boat is sin7s) that # thin7 (e (ill all sin7 together.8 Ho(e$er) after the inaguration of the nited /ations 2essenger of 3eace) many parties and the mass media are counter to the chosen Leonardo DiCaprio because of his bac7ground is holly(ood actors (ho do not ha$e 7no(ledge of science or special training on climate change and there are still many people (ho thin7 that climate change is a hoa&. #f (e*re gonna fight climate change effecti$ely) (e ha$e to start by ac7no(ledging that most of our economy is based on fossil fuels. 9ossil fuels are coal) oil) and natural gas. :il po(ers most of the transportation sector) coal and natural gas po(er most of the electricity. /o() in the first couple decades of the t(enty1first century) in order to sustain our dependence on fossil fuels) (e*re going to $ery ris7y) $ery e&treme ne( sources. ;ou see this things li7e mountain top remo$al for coal) frac7ing for natural gas) offshore drilling for oil) and the tar sands (hich is the most de$astating form of producing fossil
fuels. They ta7e a(ay massi$e forests) the (ater in the streams and ri$ers is poisoned. #t has se$ere impacts on the (ildlife) on nati$e communities) and it re) and that leads to climate changes. The polar ice caps (ill melt) the seas (ill start to rise there (ill be more dangerous (eather patterns) floods) droughts) (ildfires. :n -th of ?uly Leo and team $isited to Baffin #sland) Canadian 'rctic. :n ,-) e&pected that (e (ill be able to sail o$er the /orth 3ole. There*s going to be no sea ice left in the 'rctic :cean in the summer. 5e are burning so many fossil fuels that the ice is melting. The arctic is li7e the air conditioning for the /orthern Hemisphere. #f it goes a(ay) that*s going to change currents) that*s going to change (eather patterns) that*s going to ma7e the floods and droughts more catastrophic. #t*s the most dramatic transformation of a large en$ironment e$er. #n 0angerlussua<) Greenland) if climates stays at this temperature that it*s been in the last decade) Greenland is going a(ay. The thic7ness of the ice that has melted has reached % feet in the past ! years. That*s hundreds of cubic 7ilometers of ice that*s no( no longer strored on land and it*s gone into the sea. 2iami) /e( :rleans) Boston and Long Beach) California may be doomed to fall $ictim to o$er1 rising sea le$els. South 9lorida could be (ashed a(ay by risings seas. 2ost of climate scientists agree the globe is (arming) our climate is changing) it*s due to fossil fuel burning and other human acti$ities. But many go$ernment officials in $arious countries that deny climate change issues. 9ossil fuel interests) fol7s li7e the 0och brothers finance a $ery large echo chamber of climate change denialism. 0och industries is one of the largest pri$ately held fossil fuel interests in the (orld and they are doing e$erything they can to protect that (ealth. They*$e lobbied Congress. ?ames #nhofe is probably the most prominent congressional climate change denier. ?ames #nhofe is one of the largest recipients of fossil fuel money in the .S. Senate. 9ossil fuel interests ha$e bought House of @epresentati$es and Senate En$ironment Commite. 5e can*t get a climate bill passed through our Congress because it*s controlled by fossil fuel funded climate change deniers (ho are bloc7ing any bills that (uld attempt to deal this problem. #n China) coal consumption is e
consumed by one 'merican at home is e
#n 3aris Climate Summit) if (orld leaders come together properly) the (indo( is open) but barely open) to transition bac7 into a stable planet. #n the last climate summit) (e couldn*t say that (e could go to scale on high tech) clean energy solutions. But no( in 3aris) (e can say so because there is proof. #n Germany) (e can get % percent of electricity from solar and (ind and not from a fe( energy utilities) but from o$er , million citi+ens deli$ering to a grid. Denmar7 today produces o$er percent) some days) of its electricity needs from (ind. #t*s totally rene(able. 'nd remember that once (e*$e in$ested in (ind and solar) you actually ha$e free energy fore$er. #n 3aris Climate Summit) ! countries saying they*ll do e$erything in their po(er to change. But the targets that ha$e been set in 3aris are no(here near enough for (hat the scientists tell us (e ha$e to do e$entually to sol$e this problem. But if (e can use the ne&t , years to apply e&isting technologies to reduce carbon emissions) and then start slo(ly turning up the dials as ne( technologies come on line) so that (e ha$e more and more ambitious targets each year then) e(*re not gonna completely reser$e the (arming that no( is ine$itable) but (e can stop it before it comes catastrophic. #f (e stopped burning fossil fuel right no() the planet (ould still 7eep (arming for a little (hile before cooling off again. :nce the cooling started) 'rctic ice (ill begin to increase again. ote for leader (ho (ill fight climate change by ending fossil fuel subsidies) in$esting in rene(ables) lea$ing fossil fuels in the ground) and supporting a price on carbon.