Public Policy Polling Iowa GOP results

Iowa S urv ey Resul ts Q1

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?

Q7

Favorable........................................................ 26%

Favorable........................................................ 54%

Unfavorable .................................................... 53%

Unfavorable .................................................... 25%

Not sure .......................................................... 21%

Q2

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ben Carson?

Not sure ..........................................................

Q8

Q4

Favorable........................................................

Unfavorable .................................................... 25%

Unfavorable .................................................... 32%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ted Cruz?

65%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Huckabee? Favorable........................................................ 61%

Unfavorable .................................................... 18%

Unfavorable .................................................... 22%

Not sure .......................................................... 12% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?

Not sure ..........................................................

17%

Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kasich?

Favorable........................................................ 56%

Favorable........................................................ 26%

Unfavorable .................................................... 26%

Unfavorable .................................................... 39%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?

Not sure ..........................................................

35%

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rand Paul?

Favorable........................................................ 54%

Favorable........................................................ 41%

Unfavorable .................................................... 34%

Unfavorable .................................................... 39%

Not sure .......................................................... 12%

Q6

Not sure ..........................................................

Q9

3%

Favorable........................................................ 69%

Not sure .......................................................... 18%

Q5

21%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jim Gilmore?

Favorable........................................................ 60%

Not sure .......................................................... 15%

Q3

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Carly Fiorina?

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?

Not sure ..........................................................

20%

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?

Favorable........................................................ 45%

Favorable........................................................ 46%

Unfavorable .................................................... 33%

Unfavorable .................................................... 29%

Not sure .......................................................... 22%

Not sure ..........................................................

Janu ary 8-10, 2016

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Survey of 530 likely Republican caucus voters

25%

Q13 The Republican candidates for President are Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump. If the election was today, who would you vote for? Jeb Bush.........................................................

6%

Ben Carson.....................................................

8%

Chris Christie ..................................................

3%

Ted Cruz ......................................................... 26% Carly Fiorina ...................................................

3%

Jim Gilmore.....................................................

0%

Mike Huckabee ...............................................

3%

John Kasich ....................................................

3%

Rand Paul .......................................................

3%

Marco Rubio ................................................... 13% Rick Santorum ................................................

2%

Donald Trump................................................. 28% Undecided.......................................................

2%

Q14 Are you firmly committed to your current choice for President, or is it possible you’ll change your mind between now and the primary?

Q15 Given the same list of choices, who would be your second choice for the GOP candidate for President in 2016? Jeb Bush.........................................................

4%

Ben Carson.....................................................

9%

Chris Christie ..................................................

5%

Ted Cruz .........................................................

21%

Carly Fiorina ...................................................

7%

Jim Gilmore.....................................................

0%

Mike Huckabee...............................................

4%

John Kasich....................................................

2%

Rand Paul .......................................................

4%

Marco Rubio ................................................... 13% Rick Santorum ................................................

4%

Donald Trump................................................. 10% Undecided....................................................... 15%

Q16 Given the choices of just Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz who would you support for the Republican nomination for President? Donald Trump................................................. 33% Jeb Bush.........................................................

9%

Firmly committed to your current choice ......... 57%

Marco Rubio ................................................... 18%

It’s possible you’ll change your mind between now and the primary ....................................... 43%

Ted Cruz .........................................................

36%

Not sure ..........................................................

4%

Q17 Given the choices of just Donald Trump, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz who would you support for the Republican nomination for President? Donald Trump................................................. 32% Marco Rubio ................................................... 22%

Janu ary 8-10, 2016

Ted Cruz .........................................................

38%

Not sure ..........................................................

8%



Q18 Given the choices of just Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz who would you support for the Republican nomination for President? Jeb Bush.........................................................

11%

Marco Rubio ................................................... 24% Ted Cruz ......................................................... 54% Not sure ..........................................................

11%

Q19 Who would you prefer as the Republican candidate if you had to choose between just Jeb Bush and Donald Trump?

Q23 When it comes to the Republican nominee for President are you more concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues, or the one who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election? More concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues .... 38% More concerned with having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election .................... 51% Not sure ..........................................................

Jeb Bush......................................................... 29%

11%

Q24 Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

Donald Trump................................................. 60%

Yes..................................................................

28%

11%

No ...................................................................

43%

Not sure ..........................................................

30%

Not sure ..........................................................

Q20 Who would you prefer as the Republican candidate if you had to choose between just Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio?

Q25 Do you think Ted Cruz was born in the United States?

Ted Cruz ......................................................... 59% Marco Rubio ................................................... 26% Not sure .......................................................... 15%

Q21 Who would you prefer as the Republican candidate if you had to choose between just Ted Cruz ......................................................... 54% Donald Trump................................................. 37%

9%

Q22 Who would you prefer as the Republican candidate if you had to choose between just Marco Rubio and Donald Trump?

46%

Not sure ..........................................................

20%

Someone born in another country should be allowed to serve as President ......................... 32% Someone born in another country should not be allowed to serve as President .................... 47% Not sure ..........................................................

Marco Rubio ................................................... 46% Donald Trump................................................. 45% Not sure ..........................................................

34%

No ...................................................................

Q26 Do you think someone born in another country should be allowed to serve as President of the United States, or not?

Ted Cruz and Donald Trump?

Not sure ..........................................................

Yes..................................................................

9%

21%

Q27 Ted Cruz was born in Canada. Does this make you more or less likely to support him for the Republican nomination for President, or does it not make a difference? More likely.......................................................

8%

Less likely....................................................... 24% Doesn't make a difference .............................. 65% Not sure ..........................................................

Janu ary 8-10, 2016



4%

Q28 Did Carly Fiorina rooting for Iowa over her alma mater of Stanford in the Rose Bowl make you more or less likely to support her for the Republican nomination for President, or did it not make a difference? 7%

More likely.......................................................

Q33 Are you offended by bilingual phone menus where you press 1 to continue in English and 2 to continue in Spanish, or not? Offended by bilingual phone menus................ 52% Not offended by bilingual phone menus .......... 40% Not sure ..........................................................

Less likely ....................................................... 15% Didn't make a difference ................................. 77%

1%

Not sure ..........................................................

8%

Q34 Do you think President Obama will take all Americans’ guns away during his final year in office or not? President Obama will take all Americans’ guns away during his final year in office ......... 21%

Q29 Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party? Yes..................................................................

21%

No ...................................................................

61%

Not sure .......................................................... 17%

Q30 Are you an Evangelical Christian or not? Yes..................................................................

56%

No ...................................................................

44%

Q31 Do you support or oppose requiring a criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm?

President Obama will not take all Americans’ guns away during his final year in office ......... 57% Not sure ..........................................................

22%

Q35 President Obama teared up while announcing an executive action on gun control this week. Do you think his tears were sincere, or do you think he faked them? Obama’s tears were sincere........................... 16% Obama’s tears were fake................................ 69% Not sure ..........................................................

15%

Q36 Is your favorite NFL team the Chicago Bears,

Support requiring a criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm.............................................................

65%

Oppose requiring a criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm.............................................................

24%

Not sure ..........................................................

11%

Q32 Would you support or oppose a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm? Support a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm ............... 73% Oppose a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm ............... 17% Not sure .......................................................... 10%

Dallas Cowboys, Broncos, Green Bay Packers, Kansas Denver City Chiefs, Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, or St. Louis Rams? Chicago Bears ................................................

8%

Dallas Cowboys ..............................................

7%

Denver Broncos ..............................................

9%

Green Bay Packers......................................... 16% Kansas City Chiefs .........................................

9%

Minnesota Vikings........................................... 15% New England Patriots ..................................... 1% St. Louis Rams ...............................................

2%

Another team / Not a football fan .................... 34%

Janu ary 8-10, 2016



Q37 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

Q39 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to 65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.

Very liberal ......................................................

1%

Somewhat liberal ............................................

4%

18 to 45...........................................................

31%

46 to 65...........................................................

46%

Older than 65 .................................................. 23%

Moderate......................................................... 18% Somewhat conservative .................................. 39% Very conservative........................................... 38%

Q38 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman ...........................................................

45%

Man.................................................................

55%

Janu ary 8-10, 2016



Republican Primary Base

Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie

Ted Carly Ji m Mike John Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Huckabee Kasich

Rand Marco Rick Donald Paul Rubio Santorum Trump Undecide d

Bush Favorability Favorable 26% 97%

13%

18%

20%

49%

-

37%

24%

35%

4 2%

45%

11%

Unfavorable 53% 1%

49%

55%

64%

42%

50%

29%

31%

42%

3 3%

33%

73%

22% 6%

Not sure 21% 2%

38%

28%

16%

8%

50%

34%

45%

23%

2 5%

22%

16%

73%





Carson Favorability Favorable 60% 42% Unfavorable 25% 39% Not sure 15% 19%

95%

39%

72%

94%

-

49%

16%

-

5%

12%

12%

6%

50% 50% -

50% 26%

50%

3 0%

24%

37%

33%

20%

5 5%

45%

26%

30%

30%

18%

52% 36%

26%

13%

23% 77%




Rand Marco Rick Donald Paul Rubio Santorum Tru mp Undecide d

Cruz Favorability Favorable 69% 43%

68%

Unfavorable 18% 37%

7%

53%

38%

100% -

17%

81%

Not sure 12% 20%

25%

9%

0%

3%

50% 50% -

51% 26% 23%

33% 58% 9%

49% 29%

22%

5 6%

32%

25% 20%

30% 38%

68% 21%

11%

44% 13% 43%





Rubio Favorability Favorable 56% 55%

44%

70%

67%

Unfavorable 26% 27%

20%

18%

15%

Not sure 18% 19%

36%

12%

Janu ary 8-10, 2016 survey of 530 likely Republican caucus voters

18%

71% 24% 6%

100%

56% 27% 17%

49% 47% 3%

56% 18% 26%

9 4% -

40% 30%

6%


30%

34% 49% 17%

48% 18% 34%





Trump Favorability Favorable 54% 27%

30%

41%

51%

58%

50%

14%

31%

23%

3 5%

28%

95%

6%

Unfavorable 34% 65%

50%

34%

38%

40%

50%

52%

52%

36%

5 4%

30%

3%

77%

Not sure 12% 8%

20%

25%

12%

3%

-

34%

17%

41%

11%

42%

2%

17%





Christie Favorability Favorable 45% 44%

46%

100%

Unfavorable 33% 33%

22%

-

39%

41%

72% 3%

Not sure 22% 23%

31%

-

20%

25%

-

25%

50%

48%

58%

50%

30%

33%

16%

6 3%

47%

19%

25%

11%

23%

60%

2 7%

40% 42%

16%

18%

17% 83%





Fiorina Favorability Favorable 54% 38%

69%

71%

65%

Unfavorable 25% 27%

8%

22%

18%

Not sure 21% 35%

23%

6%

17%

92%

50%

8%

-

18%

44%

45%

17%

60%

38%

50%

36%

6%

15%

26%

8%

21%

-

46%

49%

41%

5 7%

32%

41%

23% 77%





Gilmore Favorability Favorable

3% 9%

-

-

4% 6

%

-

Unfavorable 32% 22%

22%

48%

37%

46%

Not sure 65% 69%

78%

52%

59%

48%


50% 50%

7%

9%

32% 68%

2%

18% 75%

8% 1 23% 68%

%

2 5% 7 3%


43% 49%

35% 64%

100%





Huckabee Favorability Favorable 61% 44%

72%

67%

72%

61%

50%

100%

50%

67%

5 3%

53%

Unfavorable 22% 37%

14%

30%

19%

33%

-

-

44%

16%

23%

38%

Not sure 17% 19%

15%

3%

9 %

6%

50%

-

6%

16%

24%

8%

55%

22% 22%

15% 85%





Kasich Favorability Favorable 26% 32%

15%

53%

21%

34%

-

13%

91%

48%

40%

16%

17%

Unfavorable 39% 21%

28%

27%

53%

53%

50%

29%

-

18%

29%

34%

47%

Not sure 35% 48%

56%

19%

26%

13%

50%

58%

9%

34%

3 1%

50%

37%

6% 94%





Paul Favorability Favorable 41% 51%

45%

7%

56%

44%

-

49%

54%

97%

26%

20%

30%

Unfavorable 39% 35%

26%

84%

27%

47%

50%

35%

36%

-

51%

76%

46%

Not sure 20% 14%

29%

9%

17%

9%

50%

16%

10%

3%

24%

4%

24%

10% 17% 73%





Santorum Favorability Favorable 46% 40%

55%

45%

60%

Unfavorable 29% 38%

21%

36%

18%

Not sure 25% 22%

24%

19%

23%


54% 41% 6%

-

77%

-

6%

100%

17%

29% 37% 34%

53% 33% 14%

4 6% 32% 2 3%


66% 34% -

29% 40% 31%

36% 64%



Ted Carly Jim Mike John Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Huckabee Kasich

Rand Paul

Marco Rick Donald Rubio Santorum Trump Undecide d

Republican Primary Jeb Bush Ben Carson

6% 100%

-

- -

8% - 100%

-

- -

- -

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

3% -

-

Ted Cruz 26% -

-

- 100%

Carly Fiorin a

3% -

-

-

- 100%

Chris Christie

-

-

Jim Gilmore

0% -

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Mike Huckabee

3% -

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

John Kasich

3% -

-

-

-

-

-

- 100%

-

-

-

-

-

Rand Paul

3% -

-

-

-

-

-

-

- 100%

-

-

-

-

Marco Rubio

13% -

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

- 100%

-

-

-

Rick Santorum

2% -

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Donald Trump

28% -

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Undecided

2% -

-

- -

-

-

- -

- -

100% -

100%

-

-

100%


Jeb Carson Ben Christie Chris Bush

Ted Fiorina Carly Gilmore Ji m Huckabee Mike Kasich John Cruz

Rand Rick Donald Paul Marco Rubio Santorum Trump

Committe d to Choice Yes/No 57%

48%

57%

32%

5 8%

28%

50%

35%

45%

5 8%

46%

30%

73%

It’s possible you’ll 43% change your mind between now and the primary

52%

43%

68%

4 2%

72%

50%

65%

55%

4 2%

54%

70%

27%

Firmly committed to your current choice







Republican Primary Second Choice 3%

3%

2%

-

Ben Carson

9% 1%

-

-

12%

13%

Chris Christie

5%12%

1%

-

2%

8%

51%

16%

Jeb Bush

4% -

Ted Cruz 21% 18% Carly Fiorina

7% -

Jim Gilmore

0% -

Mike Huckabee John Kasich

8% -

-

2%11% -

Rand Paul

4% 3%

Marco Rubio

13%23%

Rick Santorum

4% -

Donald Trump

10%20%

Base

- 8 -

3% 1%

6% 17%

50%

-

-

7%

-

-

-

4% -

21% 8%

Republican Primary Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie

- 9

-

38%

-

7% %

10% 5%

-

1 4%

-

3%

-

20% 50%

6%

23% 8%

26%

10%

-

-

-

2%

-

4% 4

7%

7%

%

4%

-

16%

4

3 9%

-

3% 3%

8%

8%

-

-

5%

16%

1%

8% -

-

30%

5%

11% -

7% 15%

-

-

6% -

13%

-

-

% -

-

47% 23%

22%

-

9%

-

29%

- 7

8% -

25%

-

-

13%

-

-

-

9%

8%

13%

%

4%

6% -

6% -

3%

1%

Undecided 15% 7%

-

8% 11%

4% 5% 8 %

-

-

3%

-

-

9% 26%

12%

17%


-

2%

11% 11%

%

8%

-

60%

16%

59%


Trump/Bush/Rubio/Cruz Donald Trump

33% 12%

8%

Jeb Bush

9% 76%

1%

Marco Rubio

22% 14%

1% 2 %

14%

50%

8%

-

18% 6%

15%

48%

1%

Ted Cruz 36% 1%

69%

16%

94%

2 9%

4% 4%

7%

2%

3%

Not sure


-

46%

23% 15%

50%

20% 42% -

13% 2 6% 47% 7%

11% 9 % 23% 27%

7% 30%

6% 5%

12% 22%

80% 6%

3 %

96% 1%

16% 32% 18%


6% 39%

0%

43%

1% 1%

13%





Trump/Rubio/Cruz Donald Trump

32% 21%

6%

22%

1%

14%

50%

23%

19%

16%

3%

4%

Marco Rubio

22% 36%

15%

58%

2%

39%

-

25%

33%

20%

83%

47%

Ted Cruz 38% 27%

70%

19%

91%

8% 16%

9%

-

6%

Not sure

47% -

50%

40%

7%

11%

23%

4 0%

7%

41%

94%

32%

8%

6%

1% 4%

18%

69% -

1%

25%





Bush/Rubio/Cruz Jeb Bush 11% 88%

2%

10%

1 %

8%

24% 2%

25%

63%

1%

49%

Ted Cruz 54% 1%

65%

16%

95%

43%

Not sure 11% 9%

8%

Marco Rubio

10%

3 %

-

-

30%

50% 50% -

4 0%

20% 51% -

9 %

29% 6%

2%

16% 30%

25% 44%

4%

8 7% 6%

6 %

8%

47% 32% 18%

22% 16%

26%

61%

1 5%

6% 47%





Bush/Trump Jeb Bush 29% 82%

41%

42%

17%

28%

50%

39%

65%

56%

5 9%

20%

3%

60% 12%

46%

45%

69%

72%

50%

29%

27%

11%

2 9%

50%

95%

-

-

Donald Trump

Not sure 11% 6%

12%

12%

14%

32%

7%

34%

12%

30%

2%

57% 18% 25%





Cruz/Rubio Ted Cruz 59% 33%

73%

26% 38%

19%

Not sure 15% 29%

7%

Marco Rubio


19% 81% -

97% 3%

52% 39% 9%

50%

57%

10%

27%

6%

32%

66%

27%

-

31%

42%

20%

83%

56%

14%

26%

50%

11%

47%

53%

11%

12%

19%

47%






Cruz/Trump Ted Cruz 54% 45%

82%

61%

96%

74%

50%

73%

33%

41%

6 3%

40%

5%

Donald Trump

37% 31%

13%

35%

1%

23%

50%

21%

16%

29%

2 2%

34%

92%

Not sure

9% 24%

4%

4%

3%

-

3 %

6%

5 1%

30%

15%

26%

3%

48% 23% 30%





Rubio/Trump Marco Rubio

46% 57%

60%

78%

58%

57%

50%

71%

44%

47%

9 0%

40%

Donald Trump

45% 25%

22%

22%

34%

40%

50%

29%

16%

20%

7%

34%

Not sure

9%18% 1 7%

-

8%

3%

-

-

40% 34%

3 %

26%

1%

69%

97%

2%

6% 25%





Obama Born in US Yes/No Yes 28% 36%

30%

64%

No 43% 37%

39%

36%

27% 36%

33% 18%

Not sure 30% 27%

31%

-

37%

49%

50% 50%

23% 60% 16%

50% 24% 26%

52%

32%

4%

3 5%

54%

25% 23%

3 3%

42%

19% 56% 24%

13% 61% 26%





Cruz Born in US Yes/No Yes 34% 28%

27%

47%

36%

44%

No 46% 59%

40%

46%

48%

41%

50%

Not sure 20% 13%

33%

7%

16%

15%

50%


-

13% 67% 20%

33% 60% 7%

11% 61% 28%

4 1% 3 7% 2 1%


32% 56% 12%

36% 45% 19%

10% 13% 77%





POTUS Not Born in US Yes/No Someone born in 32% 40% another country should be allowed to serve as President

36%

18%

49%

57%

100%

11%

34%

23%

3 2%

8%

20%

-

47% 48%

42%

62%

24%

35%

-

70%

63%

33%

3 7%

80%

65%

87%

Not sure 21% 12%

22%

21%

27%

8%

-

Someone born in another country should not be allowed to serve as President

18%

3%

44%

31%

12%

15%

13%





Cruz Born in Canada More/Less Likely More likely

8% 5%

Less likely

24% 20%

27%

31%

3%

16%

50%

48%

39%

12%

2 7%

55%

34%

Doesn't make a 65% 75% difference

57%

64%

80%

78%

50%

39%

61%

80%

6 3%

41%

55%

-

-

Not sure

4% -

3%

12%

4% 15%

-

6%

2%

-

3%

11%

-

-

-

7%

8%

4%

2%

-

6%

-

5%

39% 57%

5%





Fiorina Rooting for Iowa More/Le ss L ikely More likely

7% 9%

3%

4%

9 %

Less likely

15% 16%

15%

4%

12%

Didn't make a 77% 76% difference Not sure

1% -

79%

2%


92%

- 0

%

1 7%

79%

-

-

-

3%

-

83%

-

6% 20%

6%

100%

-

7%

92%

- 4

%

87%

1%

3 %

16%

15%

60%

8 1%

-

2%

8%

5%

30%

2 1%


62%

5%

22% 72%

74%





Background Check Support/Oppose Support requiring a 65% 76% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm

71%

88%

55%

47%

50%

59%

57%

78%

7 0%

70%

68%

Oppose requiring a 24% 24% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm

27%

3%

31%

34%

50%

23%

32%

22%

1 4%

22%

21%

Not sure 11% -

1%

9%

14%

1 9%

-

17%

1 1%

-

16%

8%

1 1%

56%

18%

26%





Terrorist List Firearm Ban Support/Oppose Support a bill barring people on the terrorist

73% 84%

76%

91%

17% 5%

12%

9%

66%

68%

50%

74%

89%

66%

7 2%

60%

75%

78%

watch list from purchasing a firearm Oppose a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm

Not sure 10%11% 1 2%

-

25%

25%

9%

7%

50%

-

21%

5%

11%

-

7%

26%

19%

9 %

22%

18%

15%

1 1%

-

22%





Offended by Bilingual Menus Yes/No Offended by bilingual 52% 61% phone menus

46%

45%

Not offended by 40% 36% bilingual phone menus

38%

39%

Not sure

8% 3% 1 5%


15%

51%

40%

9 %

52%

100%

34%

1 4%

-

-

34%

57%

9%

26%

61%

1 2%

39%

53%

7 %

3 9%

33%

5 9%

3%

63%

4%


6%

69%

35%

25%

60%

5%





Obama Take Away Guns Yes/No President Obama will take all Americans’ guns away during his final year in office

21% 28%

11%

President Obama will 57% 71% not take all Ameri cans ’ gu ns away during his f inal yea r in office

57%

Not sure 22% 2%

32%

10%

62%

28%

26%

49%

25%

26%

42%

32%

-

50%

50%

16%

73%

11%

4%

89%

7%

7%

19%

70%

23%

4%

6 3%

18%

25%

96%

-

53%

22%

-

32%

68%





Obama's Tears Real/Fake Obama’s t ears were 16% 39% sincere

15%

11%

54%

67%

66%

Not sure 15% 7%

18%

22%

10%

74%

26%

61%

-

50%

21%

65%

53%

41%

39%

56%

8%

3%

13%

6 1%

-

70%

12%

80%

13%

44%

Obama’s t ears were fake 69%


16%

12%

50%

14%

26%


30%

8%

43%





Favorite NFL Team Chicago Bears

8%11%

9%

Dallas Cowboys

7% 8%

6%

Denver Br oncos

9% 15%

6%

Green Bay Packers 16% 15%

6%

Kansas City Chiefs

9% 7%

Minnesota Vikings

15% 20%

New England Patriots

1% -

St. Louis Rams

2% -

Ano ther team / No t a 34% 24% football fan

2 0% 14%

11%

-

3%

4%

4%

-

3%

-

6 %

28%

-

8%

27%

- 0 11%

39%

1 2%

16%

11% %

-

42%

3%

50% -

2 0%

23%

1% 20%

-

14%

9%

-

7%

8% 6%

16%

1 2%

8% 6%

-

50%

4% -

39%

5% 3%

11%

-

2 1% -

8% 7%

20%

24%

12%

38% -

-

1 6%

3 %

3% 24%

12%

15%

50%


12% -

1% 2 7%

It’s possible you’ll change your mind between now and the primary

Bush Favorability Favorable 27%

19%

37%

Unfavorable 53%

63%

41%

Not sure 20%

18%

23%

Committed to Choice Yes/N o Base



Carson Favorability Favorable 61%

58%

65%

Unfavorable 25%

29%

21%

Not sure 14%

14%

14%


14%

-

17%

9%


5%

5%

29%

-

-

7%

2 0%

17%

1%

11%


22%

13%

-

13% 37%

28%

61%




Cruz Favora bilit y Favorable 70%

69%

71%

Unfavorable 18%

19%

17%

Not sure 12%

12%

12%




Rubio Favorability Favorable 56%

51%

64%

Unfavorable 26%

33%

18%

Not sure 17%

16%

19%




Trump Favorability Favorable 55%

59%

Unfavorable 33%

33%

Not sure 12%

8%

50% 33% 17%




Christie Favora bilit y Favorable 45%

37%

57%

Unfavorable 33%

44%

20%

Not sure 21%

19%

23%






Fiorina Favora bilit y Favorable 54%

48%

62%

Unfavorable 26%

33%

17%

Not sure 20%

19%

21%




Gilmore Favora bilit y Favorable

3%

3%

3%

Unfavorable 32%

39%

23%

Not sure 65%

57%

75%




Huckabee Favora bilit y Favorable 62%

60%

65%

Unfavorable 22%

25%

19%

Not sure 15%

15%

16%




Kasich Favorability Favorable 26%

23%

31%

Unfavorable 40%

48%

29%

Not sure 34%

30%

40%






Paul Favorability Favorable 42%

42%

42%

Unfavorable 39%

41%

37%

Not sure 19%

17%

22%




Santorum Favora bilit y Favorable 46%

44%

49%

Unfavorable 30%

34%

24%

Not sure 24%

21%

28%




Republican Primary Jeb Bush

6%

5%

7%

Ben Carson

8%

8%

8%

Chris Christie

3%

2%

4%

Ted Cruz 27%

28%

26%

Carly Fiorina

3%

2%

5%

Jim Gilmore

0%

0%

0%

Mike Huckabee

3%

2%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

3%

John Kasich Rand Paul

Marco Rubi o 13% Rick Santorum

2%

Donald Trump

29%

10% 1% 37%


16% 4% 18%





Committed to Choice Yes/No Firmly committed to your current choice

57%


100%

-

-

100%




Republican Primary Second Choi ce Jeb Bush

4%

3%

5%

Ben Carson

9%

9%

9%

Chris Christie

6%

5%

6%

Ted Cruz 21% Carly Fiorina 7%

26%

16%

6%

9% -

1%

Jim Gilmore

0%

Mike Huckabee

4%

4%

5%

2%

3%

2%

4%

4%

4%


Marco Rubi o 14%

12% 3%

Rick Santorum

3%

Donald Trump

10%

8%

Undecided 15%

18%


15% 4% 14% 11%





Trump/Bush/Rubio/Cruz

Donald Trump

33%

40%

Jeb Bush

9%

6%

Marco Rubi o 18%

14%

Ted Cruz 36%

37%

Not sure

4%

25% 12% 23% 35%

3%

5%




Trump/Rubio/Cruz 33%

41%

23%

Marco Rubi o 21%

16%

28%

Ted Cruz 38%

38%

Donald Trump

Not sure

8%

39%

6%

10%




Bush/Rubio/Cruz Jeb Bush 11%

9%

Marco Rubi o 24%

19%

Ted Cruz 55%

61%

46%

Not sure 10%

11%

8%


14% 32%





Bush/Trump Jeb Bush 29%

26%

32%

61%

64%

56%

Not sure 11%

10%

12%

Donald Trump




Cruz/Rubio Ted Cruz 60%

66%

52%

Marco Rubi o 26%

20%

35%

Not sure 14%

15%

13%




Cruz/Trump Ted Cruz 54%

50%

Donald Trump

37%

42%

Not sure

9%

8%

59% 31% 10%




Rubio/Trump Marco Rubi o 46% Donald Trump

46%

Not sure

8%

39% 52% 9%


54% 39% 7%





Obama Born in US Yes/No

Yes 28%

29%

27%

No 42%

42%

43%

Not sure 30%

29%

30%




Cruz Born in US Yes/No Yes 34%

35%

34%

No 47%

47%

47%

Not sure 19%

18%

19%




POTUS Not Born in US Yes/No 31%

35%

46%

51%

40%

Not sure 21%

18%

25%

Someone born in 33% another country should be allowed to serve as President Someone born in another country should not be allowed to serve as President






Cruz Born in Canada More/Less L ikely More likely

8%

Less likely

24%

27%

19%

Doesn't make a 65% difference

63%

68%

Not sure

2%

4%

8%

7%

6%




Fiorina Rooting for Iowa More/Le ss Li kely 7%

6%

More likely

7%

Less likely

15%

15%

15%

Didn't make a

77%

76%

79%

difference Not sure

1%

2%


0%





Background Check Support/Oppose Support requiring a 65% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm

60%

71%

Oppose requiring a 24% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm

30%

17%

Not sure 11%

10%

12%




Terrorist List Firearm Ban Support/Oppose Support a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm

73%

69%

77%

Oppose a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm

17%

20%

14%

Not sure 10%

11%

9%






Offended by Bilingual Menus Yes/No Offended by bilingual phone menus

53%

59%

45%

Not offended by 40% bilingual phone menus

34%

46%

Not sure

8%

7%

9%




Obama Take Away Guns Yes/No 21%

24%

17%

President Obama will 58% not take all Amer icans’ gu ns aw ay during his final year in office

53%

63%

Not sure 21%

22%

20%

President Obama will take all Americans’ guns away during his final year in office




Obama's Tears Real/Fake Obama’s t ears were 16% sincere

15%

17%

Obama’s t ears were 70% fake

71%

68%

Not sure 14%

14%

15%







8%

10%

Dallas Cowboys

7%

9%

Denver Bronc os

9%

10%

Green Bay Packers 16%

16%

Kansas City Chiefs

9%

8%

Minnesota Vikings

15%

13%


1%

St. Louis Rams

2%

Ano ther team / Not a 33% football fan

6% 3% 8% 16% 10% 17%

0%

2%

2%

2%

31%

36%

GOP Candidate More Conservative/Electable Base

More concerned with having the candidate who is t he most conservative on the issues

More concerned with having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the genera l election


18%

33%25%

Unfavorable 53%

61%

49%41%

Not sure 21%

21%

18%34%

Not sure




Carson Favora bilit y Favorable 60%

68%

55%54%

Unfavorable 25%

18%

28%29%

Not sure 15%

13%

16%18%



Not sure




Not sure

Cruz Favorability 77%

68%50%

Favorable 69% Unfavorable 18%

11%

20%33%

Not sure 12%

12%

12%17%




Not sure


51%

64%39%

Unfavorable 26%

27%

23%36%

Not sure 18%

22%

13%24%




Not sure


54%

57%44%

Unfavorable 34%

35%

32%40%

Not sure 12%

11%

11%16%




Christie Favorability Favorable 45%

32%

57%35%

Unfavorable 33%

43%

25%37%

Not sure 22%

26%

19%28%



Not sure




Not sure

Fiorina Favora bilit y 53%

57%40%


23%

23%42%

Not sure 21%

24%

20%18%




Not sure

Gilmore Favorability Favorable

3%

3%

3% 4%

Unfavorable 32%

35%

30%28%

Not sure 65%

61%

68%68%




Not sure

Huckabee Favorability Favorable 61%

58%

66%51%

Unfavorable 22%

22%

19%35%

Not sure 17%

20%

15%14%





12%

35%28%

Unfavorable 39%

49%

36%22%

Not sure 35%

39%

30%50%



Not sure




Not sure

Paul Favorability 50%

33%47%


27%

49%32%

Not sure 20%

23%

18%21%




Not sure

Santorum Favorability Favorable 46%

49%

46%37%

Unfavorable 29%

24%

32%33%

Not sure 25%

27%

22%30%





6%

5%

Ben Carson

8%

13%

Chris Christie

3%

Ted Cruz 26% Carly Fiorina

3%

-

6% 6% 4% 12% -

5%

38% 2%

21%12% 4% 2%

Jim Gilmore

0%

-

Mike Huckabee

3%

4%

John Kasich

3%

1%

Rand Paul

3%

2%

1% 12%

Marco Rubio 13%

6%

18% 11%

Rick Santorum

2%

Donald Trump

28%

Undecided

2%


1% 26% 3%


1% 0% 3% 3% 3% 13%

4% 31%24% 0% 5%

Not sure




Not sure

Committed to Choice Yes/No 57%

66%

54%39%


34%

46%61%





Republican Primary Second Choice Jeb Bush

4%

3%

Ben Carson

9%

10%

Chris Christie

5%

3%

Ted Cruz 21% Carly Fiorina

7%

5% 3% 7% 10% 8% 4%

25% 8%

20%16% 7% 4%

Jim Gilmore

0%

-

Mike Huckabee

4%

4%

4% 7%

John Kasich

2%

1%

3% 4%

Rand Paul

4%

7%

3% 2%

Marco Rubio 13%

11%

Rick Santorum

4%

4%

Donald Trump

10%

11%

Undecided 15%

14%



2% 0%

17%6% 4% 4% 11%6% 12%33%

Not sure




Not sure


33%

28%

Jeb Bush

9%

6%

Marco Rubio 18%

10%

Ted Cruz 36%

54%

Not sure

37%30% 10% 15% 25%18% 25%22%

2%

4%

3% 15%




Not sure


28%

36%30%

Marco Rubio 22%

12%

31%14%

Ted Cruz 38%

55%

Donald Trump

Not sure

26%31%

5%

8%

7% 25%





9%

Marco Rubio 24%

11%

Ted Cruz 54%

72%

Not sure 11%

8%



12% 15% 35%23% 45%33% 8% 29%

Not sure




Not sure

Bush/Trump 23%

Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 60%

63%

Not sure 11%

14%

32%38% 59%53% 9% 9%




Not sure


76%

52%37%

Marco Rubio 26%

14%

36%22%

Not sure 15%

10%

12%41%




Not sure

Cruz/Trump 66%

Ted Cruz 54% Donald Trump

37%

29%

Not sure

9%

5%

48%38% 43%37% 9% 25%




Rubio/Trump Marco Rubio 46%

47%

Donald Trump

45%

45%

Not sure

9%

8%



46%44% 47%36% 7% 20%

Not sure




Not sure

Obama Born in US Yes/No Yes 28%

23%

25%54%

No 43%

40%

49%25%

Not sure 30%

37%

26%21%




Not sure


34%

36%26%

No 46%

47%

45%48%

Not sure 20%

19%

19%26%




POTUS Not Born in US Yes/No Someone born in another country should be allowed to serve as President

32%

37%

31%20%


47%

43%

49%48%

Not sure 21%

20%

19%32%



Not sure




Not sure

Cruz Born in Canada More/Le ss Likely More likely

8%

10%

Less likely

24%

22%

24%29%


65%

67%55%

Not sure

3%

4%

8% 1%

1% 15%




Not sure

Fiorina Rooting for Iowa More/Less Likely 7%

7% 6%

More likely

7%

Less likely

15%

14%

16%10%

Didn't make a 77% difference

79%

76%77%

Not sure

1%

1%

0% 7%





60%

65%78%


31%

22%10%

Not sure 11%

9%



13% 12%

Not sure




Not sure

Terrorist List Firearm Ban Support/Oppose 73%

69%

Oppose a bill barri ng 17% people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm

25%

14%6%

Not sure 10%

7%

11% 19%

Support a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm

76%75%




Not sure

Offended by Bilingual Menus Yes/No 52%

50%

58%36%


43%

36%48%

Offended by bilingual phone menus

Not sure

8%

8%

6% 15%





23%

President Obama will 57% not take all Amer ic ans’ gun s aw ay during his final year in office

50%

61%66%

Not sure 22%

27%

17%25%




22%9%

Not sure

GOP Candidate More Conservative/Electable More concerned with having the candidate who is t he most conservative on the issues

Base


Not sure

Obama's Tears Real/Fake Obama’s tears were 16% sincere

9%

15% 41%

Obama’s tears were 69% fake

74%

72%41%

Not sure 15%

17%

13%17%




Favorite NFL Team 8%

9%

8% 7%

Dallas Cowboys

7%

7%

8% 2%

Denver Bronc os

9%

8%


13%

Chicago Bears

Kansas City Chiefs

9%

9%

Minnesota Vikings New England Patriots

15% 1%

14% 1%

St. Louis Rams

2%

2% 37%

Ano ther team / No t a 34% football fan

Tea Party Yes/No Base

Yes

No

Not sure


14%

34%

15%

Unfavorable 53%

74%

45%

53%

Not sure 21%

12%

21%

32%



9% 13% 20%10% 10% 4% 14%19% 2% 2% 2% 29%43%

Not sure


Yes

No

Not sure


77%

55%

Unfavorable 25%

16%

30%

Not sure 15%

7%

15%

57% 16% 27%


Yes

No

Not sure


89%

64%

64%

Unfavorable 18%

6%

24%

13%

Not sure 12%

5%

12%

23%


Yes

No

Not sure


48%

62%

48%

Unfavorable 26%

32%

23%

30%

Not sure 18%

20%

15%

23%


Yes

No

Not sure


61%

51%

57%

Unfavorable 34%

28%

37%

28%

Not sure 12%

11%

12%

14%




Yes

No

Not sure


35%

52%

34%

Unfavorable 33%

49%

30%

24%

Not sure 22%

16%

19%

43%


Yes

No

Not sure


60%

53%

48%

Unfavorable 25%

30%

26%

16%

Not sure 21%

10%

21%

36%


Yes

No

Not sure

Gilmore Favora bilit y 3%

4%

3%

1%

Unfavorable 32%

37%

30%

29%

Not sure 65%

59%

66%

70%

Favorable


Yes

No

Not sure


64%

61%

59%

Unfavorable 22%

26%

23%

15%

Not sure 17%

10%

16%

25%




Yes

No

Not sure


19%

31%

14%

Unfavorable 39%

52%

37%

32%

Not sure 35%

30%

32%

54%


Yes

No

Not sure


51%

37%

Unfavorable 39%

40%

43%

Not sure 20%

9%

21%

44% 22% 33%


Yes

No

Not sure


63%

42%

39%

Unfavorable 29%

23%

33%

24%

Not sure 25%

14%

25%

38%




Yes

Not sure

No


6%

2%

8%

2%

Ben Carson

8%

11%

6%

10%

Chris Christie

3%

-

Ted Cruz 26% Carly Fiorina Jim Gilmore Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul

3%

4%

-

45%

20%

1%

4%

0% 0%

27% 1%

-

0%

3%

1%

4%

4%

3%

1%

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

5%

17%

9%

Marco Rubi o 13%

4%

Rick Santorum

2%

3%

3%

0%

Donald Trump

28%

30%

26%

34%

Undecided

2%

-

2%

5%


Yes

No

Not sure


73%

52%

54%


27%

48%

46%





Yes

Not sure

No


4%

Ben Carson

9%

Chris Christie

5%

3%

6%

6%

Ted Cruz 21%

24%

21%

18%

2% 8%

8%

6%

1%

8%

11%

8%

2%

Carly Fiorina

7%

Jim Gilmore

0%

Mike Huckabee

4%

6%

4%

2%

1%

3%

-

4%

7%

2%

7%

Marco Rubi o 13%


-

1%

5%

8%

15%

14%

Rick Santorum

4%

5%

3%

6%

Donald Trump

10%

10%

11%

8%

Undecided 15%

16%

14%

21%


Yes

No

Not sure

Trump/Bush/Rubio/Cruz 33%

32%

35%

Donald Trump

33%

Jeb Bush

9%

2%

13%

6%

Marco Rubi o 18%

5%

25%

12%

Ted Cruz 36% Not sure

4%

57%

27%

40%

3%

3%

7%




Yes

No

Not sure


32%

Marco Rubi o 22% Ted Cruz 38% Not sure

8%

33% 5%

31% 30%

35% 16%

56%

31%

40%

6%

9%

9%


Yes

No

Not sure


3%

16%

4%

12%

31%

Ted Cruz 54%

78%

44%

Not sure 11%

6%

9%

Marco Rubi o 24%

15% 58% 22%


Yes

No

Not sure

Bush/Trump 19%

35%

60%

69%

56%

64%

Not sure 11%

12%

9%

15%

Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump


21%



Yes

No

Not sure


85%

50%

60%

Marco Rubi o 26%

8%

36%

14%

Not sure 15%

7%

14%

27%


Yes

No

Not sure

Cruz/Trump Ted Cruz 54% Donald Trump

37%

Not sure

9%

62%

53%

34%

37%

5%

10%

48% 40% 12%


Yes

No

Not sure

Rubio/Trump 36%

51%

Donald Trump

45%

53%

42%

47%

Not sure

9%

11%

7%

11%

Marco Rubi o 46%


42%



Yes

No

Not sure


Yes 28%

25%

30%

23%

No 43%

49%

43%

33%

Not sure 30%

26%

27%

44%


Yes

No

Not sure


37%

34%

32%

No 46%

52%

48%

36%

Not sure 20%

12%

19%

32%


Yes

No

Not sure


31%

22%

47%

36%

50%

49%

Not sure 21%

19%

19%

28%





Yes

No

Not sure


7%

3%

24%

13%

27%

25%


72%

63%

63%

Not sure

1%

3%

8%

Less likely

8% 14%

4%


Yes

No

Not sure

Fiorina Rooting for Iowa More/Le ss Li kely 4%

6%

Less likely

15%

15%

15%

12%

Didn't make a

77%

70%

80%

77%

difference Not sure

1%

0%

0%

5%

More likely

7% 15%




Yes

No

Not sure


49%

71%

64%


39%

19%

22%

Not sure 11%

12%

10%

14%


Yes

No

Not sure


73%

65%

78%

66%


17%

26%

12%

24%

Not sure 10%

10%

10%

10%




Yes

No

Not sure


52%

60%

51%

45%


33%

43%

39%

7%

6%

Not sure

8%

16%


Yes

No

Not sure


30%

18%

17%


47%

64%

45%

Not sure 22%

22%

18%

38%



Yes

No

Not sure


9%


80%

67%

65%

Not sure 15%

10%

16%

18%


18%

17%



Yes

No

Not sure


8% 11%

Dallas Cowboys

7%

Denver Bronc os

9%

Green Bay Packers 16% Kansas City Chiefs

9%

9%

3%

7%

2%

9%

9%

11%

18%

17%

11%

8%

9%

9% 10%

Minnesota Vikings

15%

11%

16%

14%


1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%


30%

31%

48%

St. Louis Rams

Evangelical Yes/No Base

Yes

No


24%

29%

Unfavorable 53%

51%

54%

Not sure 21%

24%

17%


Yes

No


66%

53%

Unfavorable 25%

19%

32%

Not sure 15%

15%

15%




Yes

No


73%

65%

Unfavorable 18%

15%

23%

Not sure 12%

12%

13%


Yes

No


54%

59%

Unfavorable 26%

24%

28%

Not sure 18%

22%

12%


Yes

No


50%

60%

Unfavorable 34%

34%

34%

Not sure 12% 16%

7%


Yes

No


41%

50%

Unfavorable 33%

33%

32%

Not sure 22%

26%

18%




Yes

No


56%

50%

Unfavorable 25%

21%

31%

Not sure 21%

23%

18%


Yes

No


2%

4%

Unfavorable 32%

30%

34%

Not sure 65%

68%

62%

Favorable


Yes

No


66%

55%

Unfavorable 22%

17%

29%

Not sure 17%

17%

16%


Yes

No


22%

30%

Unfavorable 39%

39%

39%

Not sure 35%

39%

31%




Yes

No


42%

40%

Unfavorable 39%

36%

42%

Not sure 20%

22%

18%


Yes

No


51%

39%

Unfavorable 29%

21%

40%

Not sure 25%

28%

21%




Yes

No

Republican Primary Jeb Bush Ben Carson

6%

6%

6%

8% 10%

5%

3%

2%

3%

Ted Cruz 26%

28%

24%

Chris Christie

Carly Fiorina

3%

4%

2%

Jim Gilmore

0%

0%

0%

Mike Huckabee

3%

4%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

2%

Marco Rubi o 13%

12%

13%


Rick Santorum

2%

2%

3%

Donald Trump

28%

24%

35%

Undecided

2%

2%

1%


Yes

No


57%

56%


43%

44%





Yes

No

Republican Primary Second Choi ce Jeb Bush Ben Carson

3%

5%

9% 10%

6%

4%

5%

5%

6%

Ted Cruz 21%

22%

20%

Chris Christie

Carly Fiorina

7%

6%

8%

Jim Gilmore

0%

0%

1%

Mike Huckabee

4%

6%

3%

2%

1%

4%

4%

5%

3%

Marco Rubi o 13%

12%

14%


Rick Santorum

4%

4%

4%

Donald Trump

10%

10%

11%

Undecided 15%

17%

14%


Yes

No


33%

Jeb Bush

9%

28% 7%

39% 12%

Marco Rubi o 18%

18%

19%

Ted Cruz 36%

42%

27%

5%

3%

Not sure

4%




Yes

No


32%

27%

39%

Marco Rubi o 22%

20%

25%

Ted Cruz 38%

44%

29%

9%

7%

Not sure

8%


Yes

No


10%

14%

Marco Rubi o 24%

22%

28%

Ted Cruz 54%

55%

52%

Not sure 11% 13%

7%


Yes

No

Bush/Trump Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump

60%

29%

29%

57%

64%

Not sure 11% 14%


7%



Yes

No


61%

57%

Marco Rubi o 26%

24%

29%

Not sure 15%

15%

14%


Yes

No

Cruz/Trump Ted Cruz 54% Donald Trump Not sure

37%

60%

46%

31%

45%

9% 10%

9%


Yes

No

Rubio/Trump Marco Rubi o 46% Donald Trump Not sure

45%

49%

42%

39%

53%

9% 11%


5%



Yes

No


Yes 28%

24%

33%

No 43%

42%

43%

Not sure 30%

34%

24%


Yes

No


35%

32%

No 46%

44%

50%

Not sure 20%

21%

18%


Yes

No


31%

47%

47%

47%

Not sure 21%

20%

21%





Yes

No


8%

9%

5%

Less likely

24%

22%

26%


63%

67%

Not sure

5%

1%

4%


Yes

No

Fiorina Rooting for Iowa More/Le ss Li kely More likely

7%

6%

8%

Less likely

15%

12%

18%

Didn't make a

77%

80%

74%

difference Not sure

1%

2%

0%




Yes

No

Background Check Support/Oppose Support requiring a 65% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm Oppose requiring a 24% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm

61%

70%

24%

23%

Not sure 11% 15%

6%


Yes

No


73%

71%

76%


17%

18%

16%

Not sure 10% 11%


9%



Yes

No


52%

52%

53%


39%

41%

9%

6%

Not sure

8%


Yes

No


20%

22%


54%

62%

Not sure 22%

27%

16%



Yes

No


13%

20%


70%

68%

Not sure 15%

17%

12%




Yes

No


8%

8%

Dallas Cowboys

7%

9%

4%

Denver Bronc os

9%

8%

11%


13%

8%

20%

Kansas City Chiefs

9%

8%

9%

Minnesota Vikings

15%

15%

14%


1%

2%

0%

2%

2%

1%


35%

31%

St. Louis Rams

Ideology Base

Very Somewhat Somewhat Very liberal libe ral Mode rate conservative conservative

Bush Favorability Favorable 26% -

6%

Unfavorable 53%100% Not sure 21% -

37% 57%

37% 39% 24%

32% 45% 22%

18% 67% 15%

Ideology Base

Very Somewhat Somewhat Very liberal libe ral Moder ate conservative conservative

Carson Favorability Favorable 60%43%

31%

35%

61%

Unfavorable 25%57%

29%

46%

20%

Not sure 15% -


40%

19%

19%

74% 19% 8%


Ideology Base

Very Somewhat Somewhat Very liberal libe ral Mode rate conservative conservative

Cruz Favora bilit y Favorable 69%100%

35%

42%

72%

82%

Unfavorable 18% -

38%

40%

16%

9%

Not sure 12% -

28%

18%

12%

9%

Ideology Base


Rubio Favorability Favorable 56%72%

19%

40%

65%

Unfavorable 26%28%

47%

45%

19%

Not sure 18% -

34%

15%

16%

59% 22% 19%

Ideology Base


Trump Favorability Favorable 54%74%

57%

38%

56%

59%

Unfavorable 34%14%

24%

52%

31%

30%

Not sure 12%11%

19%

10%

13%

11%

Ideology Base


Christie Favora bilit y Favorable 45%43%

11%

40%

56%

39%

Unfavorable 33%46%

60%

34%

21%

41%

Not sure 22%11%

29%

25%

22%

20%



Ideology Base


Fiorina Favora bilit y Favorable 54%40%

28%

30%

61%

Unfavorable 25%60%

56%

36%

19%

Not sure 21% -

16%

34%

60% 23%

20%

17%

Ideology Base


Gilmore Favora bilit y Favorable

3% -

-

3%

3%

3%

Unfavorable 32%86%

48%

26%

24%

39%

Not sure 65%14%

52%

71%

73%

57%

Ideology Base


Huckabee Favorability Favorable 61%68%

17%

31%

68%

Unfavorable 22%32%

46%

37%

14%

Not sure 17% -

37%

32%

18%

72% 21% 7%

Ideology Base


Kasich Favorability Favorable 26%14%

31%

26%

33%

17%

Unfavorable 39%72%

36%

20%

28%

58%

Not sure 35%14%

33%

53%

38%

25%



Ideology Base


Paul Favorability Favorable 41% -

23%

31%

Unfavorable 39%57%

68%

39%

Not sure 20%43%

9%

30%

40% 37% 23%

49% 37% 14%

Ideology Base


Santorum Favora bilit y Favorable 46%26%

5%

25%

Unfavorable 29%74%

69%

41%

Not sure 25% -


26%

34%

47% 24% 28%

59% 23% 17%


Ideology Base



6% -

Ben Carson

8% -

Chris Christie

3% -

-

6% 2%

-

3%14%

4%

10%

4%

Ted Cruz 26%14% Carly Fiorina

8%

7%

7%

4%

1%

-

11%

22%

41%

2%

3%

2%

4%

Jim Gilmore

0%-

2%

Mike Huckabee

3% -

-

3% -

3%

7%

4%

0%

3% -

8%

2%

2%

3%



2%11%

Donald Trump

28%60%

Undecided

2% -

-

3%

0% 3%

4%

10%

16%

14%

10%

13%

0%

2%

3%

60% -

31% 8%

29% 1%

23% 0%

Ideology Base


Committed to Choice Yes/No 57%74%

57%

57%

50%

63%

It’s possible you’ll 43%26% change your mind between now and the primary

43%

43%

50%

37%




Ideology Base



4% -

16%

7%

4%

1%

Ben Carson

9% -

7%

2%

9%

12%

Chris Christie

5% -

7%

Ted Cruz 21%14% Carly Fiorina

7% -

13%

Jim Gilmore

0% -

-

Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul

3%

2% -

-

4% -

3%

4% -

Donald Trump

10% -

-

1%

39%

8% -

4% 3%

3%

6%

14% 3%

30%

5% 0%

3%

11%

7%

24%

7%

3%

2% -

Undecided 15%57%

2% 21%

4%

6%

Marco Rubi o 13%14%

9%

17%

1%

4%14%

Rick Santorum

6%

13%

15% 6%

13% 10%

10% 11%

Ideology Base


Trump/Bush/Rubio/Cruz Donald Trump Jeb Bush

33%60% 9% -

Marco Rubi o 18% Ted Cruz 36%26% Not sure

4%14%


65% 19% 14% 2%

38% 17% 28% 15% 2%

33% 11% 20% 31% 5%

26% 3% 15% 52% 4%


Ideology Base



32%60%

Marco Rubi o 22% -

69% 23%

Ted Cruz 38%40% Not sure

8% -

4% 4%

34% 34% 18% 14%

33% 23% 35% 9%

26% 16% 53% 5%

Ideology Base


Bush/Rubio/Cruz Jeb Bush 11% -

16%

26%

13%

Marco Rubi o 24%60%

30%

31%

26%

Ted Cruz 54%40%

30%

27%

52%

Not sure 11% -

24%

17%

10%

3% 19% 71% 7%

Ideology Base


Bush/Trump Jeb Bush 29%26%

21%

46%

34%

60%74%

69%

45%

57%

Donald Trump

Not sure 11% -


10%

9%

9%

18% 69% 14%


Ideology Base


Cruz/Rubio Ted Cruz 59%54%

40%

40%

57%

Marco Rubi o 26%46%

25%

34%

29%

Not sure 15% -

35%

26%

13%

72% 19% 9%

Ideology Base


Cruz/Trump Ted Cruz 54%26%

4%

41%

Donald Trump

37%60%

94%

41%

Not sure

9%14%

2%

18%

53% 40% 7%

66% 26% 8%

Ideology Base


Rubio/Trump Marco Rubi o 46%26%

2%

50%

45%74%

96%

40%

Donald Trump Not sure

9% -


2%

1

0%

49% 44% 8%

47% 44% 10%


Ideology Base



Yes 28%28%

13%

52%

24%

22%

No 43%57%

63%

33%

43%

44%

Not sure 30%14%

23%

15%

34%

33%

Ideology Base


Cruz Born in US Yes/No Yes 34%86%

44%

30%

34%

No 46%14%

39%

50%

42%

Not sure 20% -

17%

20%

24%

34% 51% 16%

Ideology Base


POTUS Not Born in US Yes/No Someone born in 32% another country should be allowed to serve as President Someone born in another country should not be allowed to serve as President

47%86%

Not sure 21%14%


33%

67%

-

25%

58%

17%

27%

48%

25%

41%

38%

21%


Ideology Base


Cruz Born in Canada More/Less L ikely More likely Less likely

8%40% 24% -

2%

6%

6%

62%

38%

19%

Doesn't make a 65%60% difference Not sure

4% -

36%

-

50%

6%

10% 19%

70%

4%

69%

2%

Ideology Base



7%14%

Less likely

15%46%

28%

18%

12%

14%

Didn't make a

77%40%

62%

70%

82%

78%

difference Not sure

1% -


10%

-

9%

3%

5%

1%

8%

0%


Ideology Base


Background Check Support/Oppose Support requiring a 65%72% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm Oppose requiring a 24%14% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm

60%

79%

73%

50%

40%

12%

17%

35%

Not sure 11%14%

-

9%

10%

15%

Ideology Base



73%72%

62%

80%


17%28%

38%

9%

Not sure 10% -


-

11%

78%

12%

10%

65%

23%

12%


Ideology Base



52%57%

55%

41%

54%

55%

Not offended by 40%28% bilingual phone menus

43%

51%

37%

38%

Not sure

8%14%

2%

8%

9%

7%

Ideology Base


Obama Take Away Guns Yes/No 21%40%

23%

15%

16%

27%

President Obama will 57%60% not take all Amer icans’ gu ns aw ay during his final year in office

62%

65%

63%

47%


Not sure 22% -

15%

20%

21%

26%

Ideology Base


Obama's Tears Real/Fake Obama’s t ears were 16%14% sincere

26%

31%

Obama’s t ears were 69%86% fake

66%

51%

Not sure 15% -


8%

18%

16%

67%

17%

8%

81%

12%


Ideology Base


Favorite NFL Team 8% -

10%

Dallas Cowboys

Chicago Bears

7%26%

14%

7%

4%

Denver Bronc os

9%26%

7%

9%

11%

36%

17%

Green Bay Packers 16% Kansas City Chiefs

9%21%

Minnesota Vikings

15%26%

New England Patriots St. Louis Rams

8%

4%

2%-

3%

-

-


24%

7% 14% 9%

17% 0% 2%

35%

8%

10%

15%

-

11%

16%

6%

7%

1% -

6%

13% 2%

2% 34%

34%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


27%

26%

Unfavorable 53%

48%

56%

Not sure 21%

25%

18%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


64%

57%

Unfavorable 25%

22%

27%

Not sure 15%

15%

16%



Gender Base

Woman

Man


67%

71%

Unfavorable 18%

17%

19%

Not sure 12%

16%

10%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


54%

58%

Unfavorable 26%

27%

25%

Not sure 18%

19%

17%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


48%

60%

Unfavorable 34%

41%

28%

Not sure 12%

11%

12%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


46%

44%

Unfavorable 33%

25%

40%

Not sure 22%

29%

16%



Gender Base

Woman

Man


51%

56%

Unfavorable 25%

21%

29%

Not sure 21%

28%

15%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


3%

Unfavorable 32%

28%

34%

Not sure 65%

69%

62%

Favorable

3%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


61%

61%

Unfavorable 22%

19%

25%

Not sure 17%

20%

14%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


19%

31%

Unfavorable 39%

34%

43%

Not sure 35%

47%

26%



Gender Base

Woman

Man


34%

47%

Unfavorable 39%

43%

35%

Not sure 20%

22%

19%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


45%

47%

Unfavorable 29%

27%

31%

Not sure 25%

29%

22%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


6%

5%

Ben Carson

8%

12%

4%

Chris Christie

3%

2%

3%

24%

28%

3%

3%

Ted Cruz 26%

7%

Carly Fiorina

3%

Jim Gilmore

0%

Mike Huckabee

3%

5%

2%

3%

1%

5%

3%

3%

2%

14%

12%



2%

Donald Trump

28%

Undecided

2%

0%

-

4%

1%

25%

32%

2%

1%



Gender Base

Woman

Man

57%

54%

58%


46%

42%

Committed to Choice Yes/No Firmly committed to your current choice

Gender Base

Woman

Man


4%

5%

Ben Carson

9%

10%

3% 7%

Chris Christie

5%

5%

5%

18%

24%

Carly Fiorina

7%

8%

6%

Jim Gilmore

0%

-

Mike Huckabee

4%

5%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

6%

15%

12%

Ted Cruz 21%


Marco Rubi o 13%

1%

Rick Santorum

4%

4%

4%

Donald Trump

10%

9%

11 %

Undecided 15%

16%

15%



Gender Base

Woman

Man

Trump/Bush/Rubio/Cruz Donald Trump 33% Jeb Bush 9%

29%

36%

8%

10 %

Marco Rubi o 18%

20%

17%

Ted Cruz 36%

38%

33%

5%

3%

Not sure

4%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


28%

36%

Marco Rubi o 22%

26%

19%

Ted Cruz 38%

39%

36%

7%

9%

Donald Trump

Not sure

8%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


9%

13 %

Marco Rubi o 24%

26%

24%

Ted Cruz 54%

53%

54%

Not sure 11%

12%

9%



Gender Base

Woman

Man

Bush/Trump 34%

25%

60%

53%

66%

Not sure 11%

13%

9%

Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump

Gender Base

Woman

Man


56%

61%

Marco Rubi o 26%

28%

25%

Not sure 15%

16%

14%

Gender Base

Woman

Man

Cruz/Trump 56%

51%

Donald Trump

37%

33%

40%

Not sure

9%

10%

8%

Ted Cruz 54%

Gender Base

Woman

Man

Rubio/Trump Marco Rubi o 46% Donald Trump

45%

Not sure

9%

49%

43%

43%

48%

8%

9%



Gender Base

Woman

Man

Obama Born in US Yes/No Yes 28% No 43%

27%

29%

42%

43%

Not sure 30%

31%

28%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


37%

31%

No 46%

41%

51%

Not sure 20%

22%

18%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


35%

47%

46%

48%

Not sure 21%

26%

17%




Gender Base

Woman

Man

8% 24%

6%

9%

27%

22%


63%

67%

Not sure

5%

3%

Cruz Born in Canada More/Less L ikely More likely Less likely

4%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


7%

8%

6%

Less likely

15%

11%

18%

Didn't make a 77% difference

80%

75%

1%

1%

Not sure

1%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


73%

58%


16%

30%

Not sure 11%

11%

11%



Gender Base

Woman

Man

Support a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm

73%

77%

69%


17%

11%

22%

Not sure 10%

12%

9%

Terrorist List Firearm Ban Support/Oppose

Gender Base

Woman

Man

52%

48%

56%


45%

36%

7%

8%


Not sure

8%

Gender Base

Woman

Man

21%

22%

19%


56%

58%

Not sure 22%

21%

23%

Obama Take Away Guns Yes/No President Obama will take all Americans’ guns away during his final year in office



Gender Base

Woman

Man


14%

17%


71%

68%

Not sure 15%

15%

15%

Gender Base

Woman

Man


8%

8%

Dallas Cowboys

7%

8%

5%

Denver Bronc os

9%

7%

11 %


11%

20%

Kansas City Chiefs Minnesota Vikings New England Patriots St. Louis Rams

8%

9%

8%

15%

15%

15% 1%

0%

2%

2%

2%

2%

40%

28%

9%


Age Base

18 to 45

46 to Older 65 than 65

Bush Favorability Favorable 26% 23%

28%

29%

Unfavorable 53% 56%

53%

47%

Not sure 21% 21%

20%

24%



Age Base

18 to 45


Carson Favorability Favorable 60% 54%

62%

65%

Unfavorable 25% 28%

24%

22%

Not sure 15% 18%

14%

13%

Age Base

18 to 45


Cruz Favora bilit y Favorable 69% 73%

67%

69%

Unfavorable 18% 16%

21%

15%

Not sure 12% 11%

12%

15%

Age Base

18 to 45


Rubio Favorability Favorable 56% 52%

58%

59%

Unfavorable 26% 31%

26%

20%

Not sure 18% 17%

17%

20%

Age Base

18 to 45


Trump Favorability Favorable 54% 52%

55%

57%

Unfavorable 34% 39%

35%

25%

11%

18%

Not sure 12%

9 %



Age Base

18 to 45


Christie Favora bilit y Favorable 45% 32%

50%

52%

Unfavorable 33% 43%

31%

23%

Not sure 22% 25%

19%

25%

Age Base

18 to 45


Fiorina Favora bilit y Favorable 54% 44%

57%

59%

Unfavorable 25% 29%

25%

20%

Not sure 21% 27%

18%

21%

Age Base

18 to 45



2%

Unfavorable 32% 34%

29%

33%

Not sure 65% 63%

67%

66%

Favorable

3% 3%

Age Base

18 to 45


Huckabee Favora bilit y Favorable 61% 55%

59%

74%

Unfavorable 22% 24%

25%

13%

Not sure 17% 21%

16%

13%



Age Base

18 to 45


Kasich Favorability Favorable 26% 13%

31%

32%

Unfavorable 39% 47%

39%

29%

Not sure 35% 40%

30%

40%

Age Base

18 to 45


Paul Favorability Favorable 41% 52%

37%

35%

Unfavorable 39% 28%

45%

41%

Not sure 20% 20%

19%

25%

Age Base

18 to 45


Santorum Favora bilit y Favorable 46% 51%

44%

43%

Unfavorable 29% 26%

32%

27%

Not sure 25% 23%

24%

30%



Age Base

18 to 45


Republican Primary Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie

6% 6% 8%

5%

8 %

3% 3%

Jim Gilmore Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul

10%

2%


7%

7%

3% 3% 0% -

3%

22%

22%

3%

4%

-

1%

3% 4%

2%

3%

3% 2%

4%

4%

3% 3%

3%

2%

Marco Rubi o 13%

9 %

15%

11%

Rick Santorum

2% 3%

2%

Donald Trump

28% 21%

32%

31%

2% 3%

2%

2%

Undecided

1%

Age Base

18 to 45


Committed to Choice Yes/No 57% 62%

54%

54%

It’s possible you’ll 43% 38% change your mind between now and the primary

46%

46%




Age Base

18 to 45


Republican Primary Second Choi ce Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie

4% 4% 9%

4%

5% 3%

Jim Gilmore Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul

7%

6%


4%

8% 1 0%

7% 7% 0% -

8%

23%

21%

8%

4%

1%

-

4% 2%

4%

8%

2% 2%

3%

2%

4% 4%

5%

2%

Marco Rubi o 13% 13% Rick Santorum

4% 5%

Donald Trump

10% 12%

Undecided 15% 21%

12%

15%

3%

3%

9%

9%

11%

16%

Age Base

18 to 45


Trump/Bush/Rubio/Cruz 33% 26%

36%

36%

9% 9%

9%

9%

Marco Rubi o 18% 14%

21%

20%

Ted Cruz 36% 49%

29%

31%

5%

4%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush

Not sure

4% 3%



Age Base

18 to 45



32% 26%

35%

36%


23%

23%

Ted Cruz 38% 49%

33%

32%

9%

9%

Not sure

8% 6%

Age Base

18 to 45


Bush/Rubio/Cruz Jeb Bush 11% 15%

10%

10%


27%

27%

Ted Cruz 54% 56%

54%

50%

Not sure 11% 10%

10%

13%

Age Base

18 to 45


Bush/Trump Jeb Bush 29% 25%

31%

32%

60% 60%

60%

61%

9%

8%

Donald Trump

Not sure 11% 15%



Age Base

18 to 45


Cruz/Rubio Ted Cruz 59% 66%

58%

52%


28%

30%

Not sure 15% 12%

14%

18%

Age Base

18 to 45


Cruz/Trump Ted Cruz 54% 65%

49%

47%

37% 28%

41%

41%

7 %

10%

12%


9%

Age Base

18 to 45


Rubio/Trump Marco Rubi o 46% 49%

47%

45% 43%

44%

50%

9% 9%

9%

9%



41%


Age Base

18 to 45



Yes 28% 27%

31%

23%

No 43% 43%

41%

45%

Not sure 30% 30%

28%

32%

Age Base

18 to 45


Cruz Born in US Yes/No Yes 34% 30%

35%

38%

No 46% 52%

43%

45%

Not sure 20% 18%

22%

17%

Age Base

18 to 45


POTUS Not Born in US Yes/No Someone born in 32% 29% another country should be allowed to serve as President

35%

31%

47% 53%

43%

47%

Not sure 21% 18%

22%

22%




Age Base

18 to 45



4 %

8%

12%

24% 29%

21%

22%

Doesn't make a 65% 64% difference

67%

62%

4%

4%

Less likely

Not sure

8%

4% 3%

Age Base

18 to 45



7% 10%

5%

7%

Less likely

15% 15%

15%

13%

Didn't make a

77% 73%

80%

78%

difference Not sure

1% 2%


-

3%


Age Base

18 to 45


Background Check Support/Oppose Support requiring a 65% 58% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm

68%

68%

Oppose requiring a 24% 27% criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm

23%

21%

Not sure 11% 15%

9%

11%

Age Base

18 to 45



73% 62%

77%

80%


17% 25%

14%

11%

9%

9%

Not sure 10% 13%



Age Base

18 to 45



52% 47%

50%

64%

Not offended by 40% 50% bilingual phone menus

42%

22%

3 %

7%

14%

Not sure

8%

Age Base

18 to 45


Obama Take Away Guns Yes/No 21% 29%

15%

21%

President Obama will 57% 44% not take all Amer icans’ gu ns aw ay during his final year in office

66%

57%

Not sure 22% 27%

19%

21%


Age Base

18 to 45


Obama's Tears Real/Fake Obama’s t ears were 16% 11% sincere

17%

18%

Obama’s t ears were 69% 72% fake

69%

67%

Not sure 15% 16%

14%

16%



Age Base

18 to 45



8%

8 %

Dallas Cowboys

7% 9%

Denver Bronc os

9%

7% 6%

12% 4%

8 %

9%

11%

Green Bay Packers 16% 12%

17%

19%

Kansas City Chiefs Minnesota Vikings New England Patriots St. Louis Rams

9%

5% 1 2%

15% 15% 1% 2% 2% -

Ano ther team / Not a 34% 41% football fan


16% 1% 3% 30%

7% 12% 2% 1% 32%


Public Policy Polling Iowa GOP results

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