(1)
ASSIGNMENT ON FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
COMPANY: ACC LTD.
SUBJECT: Security analysis and portfolio management SUBMITTED TO: Ms. MONIKA KALANI
SUBMITTED BY: BY: PARTEEK GUPTA GUP TA ROLL NO. A-05 SECTION. Q1806 COURSE: M.B.A. (INT.)
LOVELY
PROFESSIONAL PROFESSION AL
UNIVERSITY
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CONTENTS:
COMPANY INFORMATION
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
•
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
•
INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIA L ANALYSIS ANALYSIS
CONCLUSION
BIBLIOGRAPHY
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COMPANY INFORMATION: Established in 1936 as a merger of 10 cement companies, ACC Limited (hereafter called ACC) is the only cement company that figures in India’s list of Consumer Super Brands. Formerly called The Associated Cement Companies Limited - (the company changed its name in 2006) - ACC’s corporate office is located in Mumbai. The company has 14 modern cement factories, more than 30 Ready Mix Concrete (RMX) plants, 20 sales offic offices es and and seve severa rall zone zone offic offices es.. It has has a work workfo forc rcee of abou aboutt 10,0 10,000 00 pers person onss and and a countrywide distribution network of over 9000 dealers. The house of TATA was intimately associated with ACC up to 1999, after which the Tata Tata Group sold all 14.45% of its shareholding in ACC in three stages to subsidiary companies of Gujarat Ambuja Cements Limited (GACL). In January 2005, the Holcim Group of Switzerland announced its plans to enter into a long-term strategic alliance with the Ambuja Group by acquiring a majority stake in Ambuja Cements Cements India Ltd. (ACIL), (ACIL), which at the time held 13.8% of the total equity shares in ACC. ACC. Holc Holcim im simu simult ltan aneo eous usly ly anno announ unce ced d its its bid bid to make make an open open offe offerr to ACC ACC shareh sharehold olders ers,, throug through h Holdcem Holdcem Cement Cement Pvt Limite Limited d and ACIL, ACIL, to acquir acquiree a majori majority ty shareholding in ACC. An open offer was made by Holdcem Cement Pvt. Limited along with Ambuja Cements India Ltd. (ACIL), following which the shareholding of ACIL increased to 34.69% of the Equity share capital capita l of ACC. ACC has 12 captive power generating plants across 7 locations, with a captive power generating capacity of 241 MW. It also has wind power plants at Madukkarai and Lakheri, which together generate 16.5 MW electricity from wind power ACC plans to invest Rs. 30 billion as capital expenditure over the next two years. This would result in enhancing the total cement manufacturing capacity to 30.58 MTPA and the captive power generation capacity to 351 MW by the end of 2010. ACC has also extended extended its services services overseas to the Middle East, Africa Africa & South America, where it has provided technical and managerial consultancy to a variety of consumers, and also helps in the operation and maintenance of cement plants abroad. The overse overseas as contrac contractt with with YANBU ANBU Cement Cement Compan Company y, Saudi Saudi Arabia Arabia for managem management ent and operation of its cement plants, is an ongoing relationship for the last 29 years and has been renewed up to February 28, 2011. 2011.
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALSIS: Fundamental analysis of a business involves analyzing its financial statements and health, its management and competitive advantages, and its competitors and markets. markets. When applied to futures and forex, forex, it focuses on the overall state of the economy, interest rates, production, earnings, and management. When analyzing a stock, futures contract, or currency using fundamental fundamental analysis analysis there are two basic approaches one can use; bottom up analysis analysis and top down analysis.
Economic analysis: Economic analysis involves impact of macroeconomic factors i.e. GDP, GDP, FII, Inflation Infla tion etc on the performance of stock of the company. company.
YEAR
STOC K
INFLATION RATE
GDP
UNEMPLOYME NT
CRR
2006
782
4.20%
8.4
8.90%
5%
2007
734
5.30%
9.2
7.80%
6%
2008
825
6.40%
8.5
7.20%
9%
2009 N.A
N.A
N.A
N.A
5%
PLR 11.0011.50% 12.5512.50% 13.2514.00% 11.0012.00%
Analysis: In 2006, G.D.P was 8.4% and it has increased in 2007. That’s why R.B.I has also increased C.R.R by 9% in 2008. C.R.R is lagging indicator which is used after economy has changed. Similarly, when G.D.P has come down to 8.5% in 2008, C.R.R has been reduced to 5% in 2009. Reduction in cash reserve ratio in 2009 shows that it is an lagging indicator as it has been used only after economy has taken change.
Similarly prime lending rates are lagging indicators. In the data given above, it is clear that changes in PLR also have been brought only after changes in economic growth. While with the growth of economy unemployment has also been reduced. Such kinds of indicators are called co-incidental indicators. Co-incidental indicators are those which tend to move in the same direction in which economy moves.
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INDUSTRIAL ANALYSIS: ACC is cement industry. Therefore it comes under the definition of cyclical industries industries.. It is cyclical cyclical industry industry because because it is directly directly related to business business cycles and it performs best during expansions and worst during contractions.
As it clears from the following balance sheet:
Profit & Loss account ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
of ACC Mar '05
'05
Dec '06
Dec '07
Dec '08
12 mths
9 mths
12 mths
12 mths
12 mths
4,549.80
3,723.51
6,467.84
7,865.11
8,300.18
651.95
539.71
736.09
970.32
1,070.21
3,897.85
3,183.80
5,731.75
6,894.79
7,229.97
Other Income
44.71
300.84
247.87
369.35
252.84
Stock Adjustments
53.44
45.26
-29.25
6.93
0.33
3,996.00
3,529.90
5,950.37
7,271.07
7,483.14
1,511.25
1,078.84
1,513.55
1,843.65
1,180.48
Power & Fuel Cost
348.48
299.52
430.98
517.56
1,598.96
Employee Cost
214.76
184.84
318.02
352.73
413.04
Other Manufacturing Expenses
183.32
157.65
262.45
344.17
362.90
Selling and Admin Expenses
939.32
838.12
1,298.32
1,547.30
1,620.65
83.16
84.88
189.08
354.51
270.99
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3,280.29
2,643.85
4,012.40
4,959.92
5,447.02
Mar '05
Dec '05
Dec '06
Dec '07
Dec '08
12 mths
9 mths
12 mths
12 mths
12 mths
Operating Profit
671.00
585.21
1,690.10
1,941.80
1,783.28
PBDIT
715.71
886.05
1,937.97
2,311.15
2,036.12
95.23
66 6 6.19
75 7 5.19
73 7 3.87
39 3 9.96
PBDT
620.48
819.86
1,862.78
2,237.28
1,996.16
Depreciation
186.86
164.64
254.61
305.43
294.18
Dec
Income
Sales Turnover Excise Duty Net Sales
Total Income Expenditure Raw Materials
Miscellaneous Expenses Preoperative Exp Capitalised Total Expenses
Interest
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Tax
66.43
140.17
369.10
491.70
524.60
Reported Net Profit
378.39
544.18
1,231.84
1,438.59
1,212.79
Total Value Addition
1,769.04
1,565.01
2,498.85
3,116.27
4,266.54
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
124.97
147.61
280.92
375.02
375.33
17.53
20.70
39.40
63.74
63.79
1,785.34
1,845.08
1,872.78
1,876.24
1,876.82
Earning Per Share (Rs)
21.19
29.49
65.78
76.67
64.62
Equity Dividend (%)
70.00
80.00
150.00
200.00
200.00
Book Value (Rs)
89.46
115.76
167.81
221.33
262.56
Preference Dividend Equity Dividend Corporate Dividend Tax Per share data (annualised) Shares in issue (lakhs)
From the above balance sheet, we can see earning per share (EPS) and net profit are reduced by 2008. It is all because in 2008 there is increase in inflation rate and economy was going through recession. While there are some industries which are not much effected by economy or they use to move opposite direction but not perfectly perfect ly e.g. Pharmaceutical industry i ndustry..
Life cycle: Maturity stage: ACC is going through its maturity stage, as its sales are at peak.
Introductory stage: In 1936, when company was established it was its introductory
stage.
Growth stage: 2000-2008 was it growth period because its sales volume got growth
year by year.
Decline stage: It could in next 20-30 years if other alternative or technique has been
developed.
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PORTER’S FIVE FORCE MODEL:
THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS: ACC has threat from new entrants like TATA; Reliance etc can enter into this industry. But there are certain barriers to their entry. These are:
•
Availability of raw material
•
Restrictions on entry by government into cement industry
•
Cement industry requires a huge investment
•
Switching costs are high in cement industry
BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS: Suppliers have very much impact on cement industry because of the following reasons: •
Raw materials used in cement are gypsum, fly ash and slag. There are few suppliers of these materials.
•
Quality of finished goods i.e. cement ce ment is very important for f or ACC ltd.
•
As already said, there are high switching costs in cement c ement industry. industry.
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BARGAINING POWER OF BUYER: ACC ltd plays the role of buyer. It has following bargaining powers: •
There are only few buyers of raw material of cement.
•
ACC has major stake in cement industry i.e. 11% of the world.
THREAT OF SUBTITUES: It has threat from Ambuja cements, Birla cements etc.
RIVALRY AMONG THE COMPETING FIRMS IN INDUSTRY:
In spite of huge stake in cement industry, it is difficult to be on the top because of the other competing companies i.e. Ambuja, Birla, and Binani etc.
Competitor analysis
ACC, with an installed capacity of 22.63 MTPA, enjoys an 11% market share in India, which with its total installed capacity of 207 MTPA, is the second largest cement producing country in the world. ACC’s ACC’s nation-wide nation-wide presence and brand image ensures a competitive competitive edge and helps it to withstand regional fluctuations in prices and also to adapt its distribution to market place needs. Its key competitors are as follows: Company Capacity (in MTPA) ACC
Ambuja Cements Binani Cements
22.63
18.50 6.50
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BIBLIOGRAPHY:
http://www.acclimited.com/newsite/finance.asp?tag=sp
http://www.acclimited.com/newsite/finance/profitloss05.asp
http://cmsdata.iucn.org/downloa http://cmsdata.iucn.o rg/downloads/due_diligence_repo ds/due_diligence_report_acc_india.pdf rt_acc_india.pdf
http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?v=74&c=in&l=en
http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/WSSViewDetail.aspx?TYPE=Section&PARAM1=4%0A
http://www.moneycontrol.com/stocks/marketstats/economic_survey/display_grap h.php
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