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Thank you for downloading
Football Betting Secrets Courtesy of:
www.honestbettingreviews.com
Disclaimer
www.Honestbettingreviews.com www.Honestbettingreviews.com and Sporting & Stock Services Ltd disclaims any liability, loss or risk incurred
conseuence o! the use or misuse, either directly or indirectly, o! any in!ormation, guides or advice presented this book or indeed any site visited via a link !rom this book. "ny systems or strategies utilised based on the in!ormation in this book are done so entirely at the user#s own risk.
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$lease note that past per!ormance should not be taken as a guarantee Useful per!ormance Not usefuland betting and o! !uture trading are inherently speculative activities.
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(ontents Free Bets
/
0op 1ecommended Football 0ipster
2
$art 3ne % Betting Bettin g 4uidelines 4uideli nes
1.
Betting Introduction
11
2.
Staking and Money Management
13
3.
The key elements of a etting system
1!
".
#sychology and $osing %uns
23
&.
Com'ounding
2&
$art 0wo % 0rading Football Footbal l 5atches 5atche s on Bet!air
Final 0houghts
+6
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F188 B80S
Sign u' to the offers elow and get free ets for o'ening a new account ('lease note ter and conditions a''ly ) 'lease see each site for details*:
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Bet!air +'en a new account with Betfair et 14 and get a 97 F188 B80.
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-ust click here: htt':ads.etfair.comredirect.as'5/'id01366"&"7id08268
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Ladbrokes -oin $adrokes and get a 9+- F188 B80. -ust click here: htt':online.ladrokes.com'romo%edirect/ key0e945Mc3MT;4MyM1-n?6>9;3+@I&
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0op 1ecommended Football 0ipster Banker Bets This is our to' recommended footall ti'ster out of all those we haAe reAiewed so far: The serAice is called Banker Bets and it offers ti's on footall as well as tennis.
:ou can sign up to Banker Bets here ere are the final results for our three month trial of Banker Bets:
$ro!it*loss
;<- points
Strike rate
'/=
Bank growth
<-=
(ost 13>
96.2- !or st month then 9+2*month, 9-/*uarter or 9-- per year =
"verage "verage number number o! tips tips + per day ?81D>(0
$"SS8D
:ou can view the !ull results here Banker Bets Final 1eview
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Its een an e5cellent trial for Banker Bets and its great to see a serAice liAing u' to its 'reAious results.
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Since then things haAe Aery much got ack on track though with a good run of 12 straigh wins to finish the trial.
So we concluded with the ank Aery nearly douling in 3 months which is really fantasti stuff. ere is a gra'h of the results during the trial:
?s you can see a nice trend u'wards then the difficult 'eriod in Deruary followed y a good run at the end to 9ust aout doule the ank oAerall.
Service Breakdown
8ase o! use Fery good E ets are giAen out early in the morning (GH time* and can e 'la Sign up to vote on this title
at the ookmakers or Betfair. Bets take 9ust a cou'le of minutes a day to 'lace.
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"vailability "vailability o! prices ood. +Aerall I was ale to match the adAised 'rices using 9ust Bet
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Subscription costs The suscri'tion costs are Aery reasonale at ,.!& for the first mont and then 2! 'er month &" 'er Luarter or 1&& 'er year.
3?81"LL ?81D>(0 $"SS8D
I really like serAices that can deliAer a high strike rate and this is one that certainly does t
with an 8"J strike rate achieAed during out trial. It really does lower the stress leAels wh the Aast ma9ority of your ets are winning. :*
oweAer the most im'ortant thing of course is the oAerall 'rofitloss leAel. Kell Banker Bets has deliAered in s'ades on that front as well.
Its good that you get a clear reasoning ehind the selections and you can see that -ohn w runs the serAice really does his homework efore he sends out each et.
There does a''ear to e clear Aalue in these ty'es of ets and as we haAe seen during ou o trial there is great 'otential to uild a ank. If we can re'eat these results and doule the ank eAery 3 months I may e ale to start contem'lating retirement in a few years time :* $ets ho'e so anyway ut in the meantime this one definitely goes on to the passed
systems list and I can thoroughly recommend giAing Banker Bets a go if you want to mak some consistent 'rofits.
:ou can sign up to Banker Bets here
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$"10 3@8 % B800>@4 4A>D8L>@8S
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“Luck is what happens when prepara tion meets opportu nity.” Seneca
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1.
Betting Bett ing Systems Syst ems >ntroduct >ntr oduction ion
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>ow imagine if you could increase your chances of 'icking winners/ Sound too good to true/ Kell itNs not. Betting systems haAe een around for as long as 'eo'le haAe een
etting on horses ) and the est etting systems can definitely hel' increase your chanc
of winning. The trick howeAer is knowing which system to 'ick or aAoid y looking at its l
term results and the methodology used to choose the selections. Is the system ased on
solid foundations/ Is it something that is likely to continue winning/ Khat is the strike ra and return on inAestment (%+I*/
hat "re Horse Betting SystemsC
Most 'eo'le ) whether they realise it or not ) use a system of sorts when making a et o the horses. Khether you choose a horse name that reminds you of your wifeNs stunning
looks or your sonNs cheeky charm you are using criteria that hel' you to select your hors
orse etting systems at their most asic are 9ust that ) a systematic a''roach to choo
horses ased on a set of criteria. >ot only do they aim to reduce the odds of losing ut m
im'ortantly raise the 'ossiilities of winning. Through careful analysis and so'histicated systems of rules horse etting systems 'romise to hel' you 'ick the winners.
3ther Betting Systems
There are many other etting systems out there including footall etting systems tenn etting systems cricket etting systems and many more. ?s with horse racing systems
these systems attem't to identify a strategy that giAes you an edge oAer the ookie ) or 'ut it another way ) oAer other gamlers. If you 9ust et the same way eAeryone else y studying the form you are unlikely to haAe an edge. ood etting systems look for a different angle that is not used y the ma9ority of 'unters thus 'roAiding a chance to achieAe odds that are aoAe the selectionNs true chances of winning.
Do 0hey orkC
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It de'ends There is no shortage of etting systems aAailale. Gnfortunately many of the
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alanced look for a site that 'osts a mi5ture of reAiews that are not only 'ositiAe ut al negatiAe and neutral.
?t www.honestettingreAiews.com www.honestettingreAiews.com we we can hel' you find a horse etting system that wo
By thoroughly reAiewing each etting serAice and showing those that make clear 'rofits identify not only the diamonds on our winning systems list ut also the scams.
Some 4reat Betting Systems
>ot only do we reAiew etting systems on an ongoing asis we deAelo' our own etting systems to 'roduce long term 'rofits. Some of these systems are included in this guide #art Two. But efore we get to those it is im'ortant to coAer the key 'rinci'les to ecoming a successful ) or eAen 'rofessional ) 'unter.
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“Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1.” Warren Buffett
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inAest then you will neAer e in danger of wi'ing yourself out and it should e relatiAely stress free.
The wrong money management howeAer is likely to le ad to high leAels of stress and a re 'ossiility that you could lose more than you can afford.
Dor many years I et without much thought to how I was managing my money and staki
leAels. I would 'ut 24 on one et &4 the ne5t 14 the ne5t without thinking aout w this meant in the longer term scheme of things. #roaly worse than that though I neAer thought aout the 'ossiility of increasing my staking oAer time if I was successful of running a Oetting ankP so to s'eak.
Figure + Sound money management is the bedrock o! any investment strategy
The key to really making your etting or inAesting 'ay is to set aside a fi5ed amount that want to risk on etting or trading.
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$etNs say for e5am'le you had 1444 that you were 're'ared to risk on making money fr gamling trading or another form of inAesting.
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Figure 7 an eample o! how a betting bank can grow when sticking to !ied percentage stakin
>ow letNs say you win a few ets or trades and your ank grows to 2444. Kith your 1J staking you are now etting 24.
Kith this form of staking it is 'ossile to uild a Aery successful and 'rofitale income if
haAe a consistent edge oAer the ookies or gamling market. ?lthough things grow slow
the start after your ank has grown a cou'le of times suddenly you will see the numer increase significantly and really to start to 'ush on.
The other good thing to staking in this way is that it gradually increases your staking leAe always to a fi5ed 'ercentage of your ank. If you were to moAe straight away to staking 144 or 244 'er selection you would 'roaly ecome Aery an5ious when you hit a few losers and there would e a great
tem'tation to giAe u' Luite Luickly. ;ou may well haAe e ndured Luite a few slee'less nig
along the way and 'roaly taken a it of stick from your other half ) and ank manager
But if you haAe uilt u' to staking 144 or 244 oAer a long l ong 'eriod of time from originall
staking 14 or 24 you will e much more comfortale with it and you will know that it o re'resents a fi5ed 'ercentage of your ank so a few losers in row are not going to wi'e out.
How much should > stake on each selectionC
The Luestion of how much of your ank you should riskSign on up each selection de'ends a lot to vote on this title the strike rate of your system or strategy.
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64J 3 6&J 2 Figure / 8pected maimum losing run based on given strike rate
So for e5am'le if a system has a strike rate of &4J then oAer the course of 1444 ets you could e5'ect to haAe a losing run of 14 ets at any stage.
>ow oAiously things do not always go according to 'lan The numers in this tale are 9
ased on mathematical formulas aout 'ercentage chances. Ke all know that in the rea world we can haAe horrendous ad luck and run u' losing streaks much longer than the statistics would say we are su''osed to haAe. Sods law I think they call it
So to calculate your stake 'er et you should multi'ly the ma5imum losing run y at leas
2.& and some 'eo'le would say at least 3 to e on the safe side. This is u' to you ased o your aAersion to risk.
So taking our e5am'le of a system that has a &4J strike rate the tale aoAe tells us tha
you are likely to haAe a losing run of 14 for 1444 ets 'laced. So you might want to trel this giAing you a leAel of 'otentially 34. Sign up to vote on this title
$etNs say your ank was 1444. ;ou would then diAide 1444 y 34 giAing you 33.33 o 3.3J to stake on each selection.
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7. 0he key elements o! a betting strategy Khen eAaluating a etting strategy there are many elements to consider. It is not 9ust a
case of looking at the 'rofitloss as any system could hit one ig 'riced winner that make
look successful ut if you took that out then it would e running at a large loss. +r a syst
may 'roduce a 'rofit ut haAe a Aery low strike rate meaning staking will e small and growth slower.
Below we assess the key elements of a etting strategy and how you should weight them when 9udging the merits of a system: •
Strike rate
Strike rate means how often the system wins. So for e5am'le if a system had a 144 ets and &3 of them won we would say it has a &3J strike rate.
Strike rate is one of the most crucial elements of any etting system. ?s mentioned aoA system with a low strike rate means low staking and slow ank growth where as a high strike rate means high staking and fast ank growth all else eing eLual.
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So for e5am'le one system may 'roduce 9ust a cou'le of ets 'er week whilst another 'roduces 14 ets 'er day.
The numer of ets a system generates is a crucial factor in how fast your ank will grow Many 'eo'le are 'ut off y systems that 'roduce a lot of ets not liking haAing to stake lot of money at once on Aarious ets fearing they could all lose.
$lacing lots o! bets in one go can be a scary prospect % whether it be in a casino or elsewhere
oweAer this is generally a mistake. If you are sticking to sensile money management a
risking a safe fi5ed 'ercentage of your ank each time and a system works then it shoul shou matter if you are 'lacing 14 ets 'er day. If you are getting nerAous aout 'lacing lots of ets in one day then you are 'roaly staking too much.
?ll else eing eLual a system that has 14 ets e ts a day willSign grow 14vote times faster up to on this title than a syst
with 1 et a day. That will haAe an asolutely massiAe im'act much Usefulon how usefulmoney you Not make.
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off y a system that generates large numers of ets ) it can increase your ank much m Luickly than a system that has a higher %+I ut lower et Aolume as we will see elow. •
1eturn on investment 13>G
%eturn on inAestment or %+I as it is usually referred to means how much return you ge your money.
So for e5am'le when someone says a return on inAestment of 34J what they mean is th for eAery 144 you inAested on a 'articular system you would get 134 ack (i.e. 34 'rofit*.
Many 'eo'le consider %+I to e the most im'ortant figure when deciding on the merits etting system. I used to think this myself. >ow I would strongly argue that it is @30 the im'ortant statistic.
Sign up to vote on this title Imagine one system that has a great long term %+I say 34J (which is outstanding* ut a
a week and these are at high odd et Aolume and strike rate. It only sends out three ets Useful
Not useful
meaning a low strike rate of letNs say 14J meaning you decide to stake a fi5ed 4.&J or
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?t fi5ed staking leAels it would take 9ust oAer a month to doule your ank of 1444 com'ared to oAer " years with the system with 34J %+I. >ow which one would you 'refer/ I know which one I would 'refer. This is illustrated in the e5am'le elow.
System "
•
System B
%+I:
3 4J
14J
Strike rate:
14J
8&J
Bet Folume:
3 'er week
3 'er day
Bank a!ter + years
9,/6'
9++,'/
$ro!it and loss
#rofit and loss sim'ly means how much a giAen system has won or lost in a giAen 'eriod.
It is usually calculated on a O'ointsP asis to account for the fact that 'eo'le wager at Ae different leAels. Khilst wealthy anker Bo may like to wager 1444 on eAery et he has aAerage -oe 'refer to et 9ust 1.&4 on his selections. Sign up to vote on this title
To account for this and also to leAel the 'laying field etween different systems that mig
Useful
like to wager at different leAels we talk aout 'oints inAested.
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It goes without saying that 'rofit and loss is Aery im'ortant. oweAer donNt e fooled in thinking it is the only thing that matters.
? system could haAe notched &4 'oints 'rofit in a month and e shouting from the rooft aout how rilliant it is.
But when you delAe into its results you discoAer it got lucky and ti''ed one 1441 winne you took that out of the results it actually finished &4 'oints down. Khat if you were in urgent meeting at work and had missed that 1441 winner/ ow would you feel then/
It is im'ortant to look closely at the results and see oAerall trends. Kas this month 9ust a
lucky one or are they regularly 'roducing 'rofitale months/ ow long is the track recor results ) the longer the etter. •
Bank growth
Khen we say ank growth we mean if you started off with a giAen amount of money you
upmuch to vote has on this titlegrown oAer a decide you want to risk ) a Oetting ankP so to s'eak )Sign how that
giAen 'eriod/
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5ost important !actors in assessing a tipster#s record most important !irstG 1. Bank r rowth 2. #rofit lo loss 3. Strike ra rate ". DreL DreLue uenc ncy y of ets ets & . % +I
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/. $sychology and Losing 1uns
#roaly the most difficult as'ect of any form of gamling or trading is handling the losin runs.
Sadly the reason 68J of gamlers lose is not ecause they are not ale to select winners 9udge form. It is ecause ecause they giAe u' on a strategy strategy when they hit a losing run.
So in essence the Aast ma9ority of 'unters are getting out at the ottom of the curAe so t
s'eak. ?s soon as a system loses they giAe u' e5iting at a loss and moAing on to the ne5
ig thing or inEform ti'ster. Then when that one hits a losing run they giAe u' and moAe to the ne5t one and so on.
?ll this means is that they are continually running u' losses as they 9um' from one thing another.
The 2J of gamlers or traders who succeed are those who haAe a good strategy and stic it oAer the long term. They acce't the losing runs and donNt go chasing their losses or 9um'ing on to a new new strategy. They know their their a''roach works ut ut that statistically statistically you guaranteed to hit a losing run at some 'oint.
This cou'led with good money management is the most im'ortant lesson 'eo'le can le when trying to ecome a successful inAestor.
=Aen though the systems in this manual haAe good strike rates they will hit losing runs o occasion. It can e immensely frustrating and there will e a tem'tation to giAe u'. Sign up to vote on this title
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My adAice is to kee' calm stick the rules donNt go chasing losses and wait for the ne5t
o''ortunity to come along. Most im'ortant of all always stick to safe money manageme and neAer risk more than you can afford to lose.
If you arenNt ale to do these things then you will 'roaly need to ask yourself if e ttin for you.
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“Compoun d interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understan ds it, earns it ... he who doesn't ... pays it.” Albert Einstein
-. (ompounding
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Take an e5am'le ) imagine you had a ank of 1444 and douled it eAery three months
?fter , months your ank would e "444. ?fter a year it would e 1,444. ?nd after a half years you would haAe oAer a million 'ounds
Compounding Example: £1,000 into £1,000,000 Start 3 months 6 months 9 months 1 ear 15 months 18 months 21 months 2 ears 2! months 2 " ears
£1,000 £2,000 £4,000 £8,000 £16,000 £32,000 £64,000 £128,000 £256,000 £512,000 £1,024,000
>ow douling your ank eAery 3 months is e5tremely good going and you wouldnNt norm e5'ect to e ale to do that consistently for a long 'eriod ut this giAes you an idea of sheer 'ower of com'ound inAesting and what =instein was talking aout
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The 'oint to really note aout the e5am'le aoAe is that it is the earliest 'art that is the
hardest ) once you haAe douled your ank two or three times then things really start t
get going and you will e dealing with ig numers. Then it will 9ust feel e asy to generate tidy income.
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0rade Football 5atches on Bet!air
Khilst all the strategies so far haAe een horseEracing ased there is a sim'le system yo can use to 'rofit from footall matches on Betfair.
Many 'eo'le will e familiar with laying the draw a classic trading system that has een around for a numer of years now.
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The 'rolem is that it is so widely known and used there is little Aalue in the system useful Useful Notleft often the 'rice of the draw does not moAe enough after a goal is scored to make it 'rofitale to trade from the start of the game.
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Dor e5am'le if the match is 1E1 at half time look in the correct score market at the odds 1E1. If they are aoAe ".4 then there is a good o''ortunity to trade. This means there only a 2&J of there not eing another goal and a !&J chance that there will e. ere is an e5am'le: The game is Torino A %oma in ItalyNs Serie ?.
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In the &8th minute %oma get a 'enalty which ?lessandro Dloreni tucks away to giAe the Aisitors a 1E4 lead. >ow letNs haAe a look at what ha''ened to the odds:
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?nd the statistics are greatly in our faAour of there eing a late goal. -ust look at these statistics from the last few seasons of #remiershi' footall taken from the e5cellent www.soccerstats.com wesite: #remiershi' 241"E1& (i.e. as at ?'ril 241&* Scoring times (overall) Minutes
Goals
% goals
0-15
108
13.5%
16-30
118
14.8%
31-45
151
18.9%
46-60
115
14.4%
61-75
138
17.3%
76-90
170
21.3%
>ow the figures for the #remiershi' season 2413E1": Scoring times (overall) Minutes
Goals
% goals
0-15
127
12.1%
16-30
156
14.8%
31-45
180
17.1%
46-60
178
16.9%
61-75
183
17.4%
76-90
228
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$ook at the difference etween goals scored in the first 1& mins Aersus the last 1& mins )
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31-45
176
17.0%
46-60
153
14.8%
61-75
188
18.2%
76-90
224
21.6%
?s you can see they are Aery similar to the #remiershi'. ere are the stats for S'ainNs #remira $iga for the 2413E1" season: Scoring times (overall) Minutes
Goals
% goals
0-15
126
12.1%
16-30
144
13.8%
31-45
185
17.7%
46-60
163
15.6%
61-75
200
19.1%
76-90
227
21.7%
?gain Aery similar stats with the chances of a goal increasing as the second half 'rogress and 21.!J of goals coming in the last 1& minutes.
Dinally looking at ermanyNs Bundesliga for 2413E1" we see the same stats coming throu again: Scoring times (overall)
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goaNot ls useful Useful %
Minutes
Goals
0-15
123
12.7%
16-30
153
15.8%
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of the game often sides will go 'ressing for an eLualiser or a winner looking for the glor when the rewards for a goal can e so high.
+n the other hand some sides will tire towards the end of the game 'articularly those w
haAe een outclassed during the match and who haAe een chasing the all endlessly gi o''ortunities for goals to e scored. =ither way these stats are amaingly consistent and we should ensure they are in faAour
when trading. This is what we are doing with the aoAe system and indeed all the system this manual.
>ndividual 0eam Stats
It can 'ay to look s'ecifically at sides who tend to score lots of late goals. This can im'ro your strike rate and 'rofitaility eAen further.
-ust think of how many times oAer the years ye ars ?le5 DergusonNs Man Gtd teams scored late
goals to win games. It would haAe 'aid off handsomely to e laying the draw at T in tho
games. Gtd used to 9ust 'our forward in waAe after waAe off attack coming at sides from
angles. There werenNt many teams who could fend that off for the entire second half of a match.
ere is an e5am'le from the soccerstats.com wesite. It is Manchester City for the 241"E season (u' to midE?'ril*:
GOALS PER 15 MIN. (overall) 0-15 min 16-30 min
GF
8
GA
4
GF
9
GA
6
GF
11
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dynamism of 'layers like @aAid SilAa and with the finishing skills of 'layers like Sergio ?guero. It can really 'ay to do your research and select teams that haAe a tendency to score late goals when trading this system.
?lways e sure to trade matches with good liLuidity though and to ensure you watch the
match closely so you can trade out immediately after a goal is scored and do not get cau out with an eLualiser.
#ersonally I like to trade matches where there is a re asonaly strong faAourite i.e. aroun
the 1.&E1.8 at the start of the match and who are dominating the game ut haAenNt Luite managed to reak through yet. If they are creating lots of chances and 'iling on the
'ressure then this re'resents a good trading o''ortunity and when the goal goes in the draw odds will moAe dramatically.
oweAer this is a slightly more risky strategy as if the underdog scores the draw odds w
not moAe Aery much in our faAour unless the goal comes late (i.e. the last 14 minutes*. S
you may wish to stick with trading more eAenly matched teams where there is a guarant of the draw 'rice moAing whicheAer team scores.
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Final 0houghts
I ho'e you haAe found the strategies e5'lained in this manual useful. I am confident that comining the Aarious strategies will lead to a 'rofitale income.
“The more I more practice, the luckier I get.” Gary Player
? 'ortfolio of different systems and strategies is recommended to s'read the risk
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and ensure that one ad run can e com'ensated y success elsewhere.
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"nd remember the golden rule only bet what you can a!!ord to lose ood $uck and ha''y 'unting. www.honestettingreAiews.com
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