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THESIS PROPOSAL Sheet Music
ON CORRECT TIMING FOR PROFITABLE INVESTMENT IN COMMON STOCKS USING MOVING AVERAGE TECHNIQUE (REFERENCE TO THE COMMON STOCKS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS IIN NEPAL)
Submitted by: Yashmin Dangol MBA Term 6 Ace Institute of Management
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Thesis Guide
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CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION Sheet Music
1.1 BACKGROUND
The term Investment means putting money on something with the expectation of gettin
some return in future. Investment is the long term decisions. Any investment is mad
with the primary objective of earning returns on the invested sum. Based on the type o
investment instruments, returns can vary. Investment is done in any area of the econom
like stock, bond, financial derivatives etc. The returns can be of two types, repetitive cas
receipts, capital gain or loss. The gain or loss of capital makes the difference between th
purchase price and the selling price of the security. In present day, investment in th
common stock of the commercial banks is increasing. Investment in common stock o equity investment is one of the riskiest types of investment which are availa Investment on bonds, deposits are considered as less risky than the equity investment.
You're Reading a Preview Investment in stock is challenging, risky, interesting and rewarding. It is challengin Unlock full access with a free trial.
because it involves huge investment and high competition. It is risky because stock pric depends on the environmental factors so investors have to make track of stock prices. It Download With Free Trial
interesting because of its dynamic nature and it is rewarding because of the possibility o
the return or financial gain in future. While investing in stocks the more you are ready t
take risk, the more the return an investor can get. Depending on the degree of risk a Master your semester with Scribd Free For 30 Days Sign up to vote on this titleor indifferen individual can take an investor can be classified as a Read risk taker, risk averter & The Newtowards Yorkrisk.Times Useful Not useful Risk takers usually prefer to invest in risky securities like shares and ris Special offer for students: Only $4.99/month.
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averters invest in risk free securities. In common stock, who invest wisely makes a lo
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analysis
techniques,
portfolio
managem
techniques, etc., affect the investment decisions of individuals. The sources information regarding investment avenues also guide the investment decisions.
liabilities of an individual and the effect of taxation on the income generated from
investment along with its understanding influences an individual's investment decisions.
Security or safety is also very important in investing because; if someone is going t
invest their hard money then definitely he/she will expect good returns. The safety of th
funds invested should be the first priority of any investment and then the returns shoul be in proportion to the level of risk taken. Investment decisions made by investors are based on :
1. Investors commonly perform investment analysis by making use of fundament analysis, technical analysis and gut feel.
Reading a by Preview 2. Investment decisions areYou're often supported decision tools. The portfolio theory
Unlock full access with a free trial. often applied to help the investor achieve a satisfactory return compared to th
risk taken.
Download With Free Trial
This thesis is on the topic timing for profitable investment in common stocks usin
moving average technique which is base on technical analysis. Moving average is used a
a technical analysis ofwith financialScribd data which is based on the past data of the market Master your semester indice Read Free Foron 30this Days Sign up to vote title which resembles the future trend and reversal of trends. A moving average is the averag & The New York Times Useful Not useful Cancel anytime.
price Only of a$4.99/month. security over a set amount of time. By plotting a security's average price, th Special offer for students:
price movement is smoothed out. Once the day-to-day fluctuations are removed, trade
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1.2 OBJECTIVE OF STUDY: Sheet Music
The main objective of this thesis report is to explore theoretical knowledge of investmen analysis into practical application. The specific objectives of the study are as follows: •
Determine the correct timing for investment i.e. buying and selling of common stock in the market
•
Application of knowledge of investment analysis in the buying and selling of th common stock
•
Application of the theoretical knowledge of moving average technique for th correct timing of investment in the common stock
•
Study the stock market, trend of price, causes of fluctuations
1.3 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
Investment in common stock is a risky and challenging. Investment involves buying an
selling. The main problem arisesYou're in deciding theacorrect time for buy and sell. The buyin Reading Preview
decisions include what to buy, at what price to buy, when to buy and what type o Unlock full access with a free trial.
common stock to buy. Similarly the selling decisions include when to sell, at what pric
With Free Trial to sell, when to sell and how toDownload sell. Buyers always want to buy at low price and selle
want to sell at high price so the main statement of problem of the study is related with
the buying and selling of the stocks at right price at right time in order to mak
profitable returns in the market.Scribd Master your semester with Read Free Foron 30this Days Sign up to vote title in common stock is not an easy task. It involves huge investment ofmone & The NewInvestment York Times Useful Not useful Cancel anytime.
In investment the investors can be risk takers, risk averters. Depending on the degree o Special offer for students: Only $4.99/month.
risk an individual can take, an investor can be classified as a risk taker, risk averter o
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As per fundamental analysis, almost all the available stocks are generally found above th Sheet Music
fundamental values. If investors want to buy the common stock of the desired company
only fundamental value, it may not be possible at all time because market values ar
likely to found above the fundamental value almost all the time. The next analysis is don
by technical analysis. While fundamental analysts examine earnings, dividends, ne
products, research and the like, technical analysts examine what investors fear or thin
about those developments and whether or not investors have the resources to back u their opinions. Technical analysis analyses price, volume and other market informati
whereas fundamental analysis looks at the actual facts of the company, market, currenc
or commodity. Dow Theory, relative strength analysis, volume analysis and movin
average analysis are the important tenets of technical analysis. The study is done b
focusing only on the moving average technique for forecasting the stock trend to kno how investors can make profitable buying, holding and selling of the common stocks the market.
You're Reading a Preview full access with a free trial. 1.4 SIGNIFICANCE OF THEUnlock STUDY
This thesis report will be significant for all those people who would like to invest i Download With Free Trial common stock. It will give an insight about the correct time for investors to invest the
hard earned money in shares of commercial bank. The thesis describes the fundament as well as the significance of the technical analysis in investment therefore the study
Master your semester withinScribd significant for the investors making investment decisions byFor looking up thetechnic Read Free 30this Days Sign up to vote on title & The Newanalysis. York Times Useful Not useful Special offer for students: Only $4.99/month.
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tables as per the study. Nepal stock exchange, daily newspapers and Investopedia.com Sheet Music
used to obtain information about the investment decisions and other relevant information
1.6 LIMITATION OF THE STUDY
The thesis is done for academic purpose. It is an outcome of the author’s theoretic knowledge in the practical application. The limitations of the study are as follows: •
Moving average is a lagging indicator
•
Moving average gives hint to the market and stock prices very late. So the chang in market trend will be seen only after it has happened.
•
Moving average techniques include simple moving average, weighted averag
and exponential moving average. Among these techniques the study is based o the exponential moving average technique. •
•
•
Nepse indices are taken for studying the market movements Study is limited to the closing price of only one co mmercial bank You're Reading a Preview The thesis is done in three months which is quite limited time for the author Unlock full access with a free trial.
With Free Trial 1.7 RESEARCH QUESTIONSDownload OR HYPOTHESES Following research questions are designed for the study:
1. How do investors find out the correct time for buying and selling the stocks f profits? Master your semester with Scribd Read Free Foron 30this Days Sign up to vote title 2. What techniques are most suitable for the investment? & The New York Times Useful Not useful 3. When to enter and exit from the market? Special offer for students: Only $4.99/month.
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An investment is the current commitment of dollars for a period of time in order to deriv future payments that will compensate the investor for (1) the time the funds committed, (2) the expected rate of inflation and (3) the uncertainty of the fut payments.
Therefore, Investment means use of money in correct time in the hope of making mone
in future. The investors use fundamental analysis and technical analysis while usin Investment. The main objective of the fundamental analysis is to appraise the intrins value of a security. The intrinsic value is the true economic worth of a financial asset.
The fundamentalists maintain that at any point of time every share has an intrinsic valu
which should in principle be equal to the present value of the future stream of incom from that share discounted at an appropriate risk related rate of interest.
You're the Reading Preview fundamentalists attempt to estimate real aworth of a security by considering
Unlock full access with a freeon trial. earning potential of a firm which in turn will depend investment environmental facto
such as growth of national economy, political environment, growth potential, industri Download With Free Trial analysis etc.
Technical analysis is based on the past information on prices and trading volume o
Master your semester stocks which gives awith pictureScribd of what lies ahead. ItRead attempts toon explain andforeca Free For 30 Days Sign up to vote this title & The Newchanges Yorkin security Timesprices by studying only the market Useful Not useful rather information abou data than Special offer for students: Only $4.99/month.
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a company or its prospects. The technical analysts believe that the price of a stoc
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The market or individual stock acts like a barometer rather than a thermomete
Events are usually discounted in advance with movements as the likely result o informed buyers and sellers at work. •
Before a stock experiences a mark-up phase, whether it be minor or major,
period of accumulation usually will take place. Conversely, before a stock ente
into a major or minor downtrend a period of distribution usually will take plac
Uptrend in prices denotes a balance buying while a downtrend is indicative o extreme supply. •
The third assumption deals with the scope and extends of market movements relation to each other.
The technical analysts explain the investment decision by many techniques. But the stud
in the given thesis is more focus to the exponential moving average. Exponential movin
average gives more emphasis to the recent data. This type of moving average reacts fast You're Reading a Preview to recent price changes than a simple moving average. Unlock full access with a free trial.
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CHAPTER 2: LITEREATURE SURVEY AND THEORETICAL FRAMEORK Sheet Music
2.1 LITERATURE REVIEW
The thesis study is concentrated on correct timing for investment in common stocks o
the listed commercial bank in order to achieve profit. Also it is emphasized on correc
timing for the entering and exiting the market. The main concern of the study is th
correct time to invest money in common stock. The study is supported by using th
technical analysis where the author will use moving average. In moving average als
exponential moving average will be used as it gives more concrete result and analytic
the concepts of the uptrend and downtrend, crossover and penetration of the price an
moving average will be discussed. The rules of investment especially buying and sellin
the stocks on the basis of moving average techniques will be discussed. The course boo
of investment analysis and portfolio management, corporate finance, financi
management will be taken as reference. Similarly to track the price of the listed ban
You're Reading a Preview daily newspapers and the website of Nepal stock exchange will be used. Various intern
fullRelevant access withcitation a free trial.of the authors will be cited from website will be browsed for theUnlock charts.
the books.
Download With Free Trial
2.2 THEORETICAL/CONCEPTUAL/OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
Theoretical perspective that has taken in analysis of data in the thesis work is applyin
Master your semester with accura moving average technique for Scribd forecasting stock priceRead trends soFor ason tothis determine Free 30 Days Sign up to vote title & The NewtimeYork in forTimes entering and exiting the market for profitable Useful investment Not usefuldecision. Special offer for students: Only $4.99/month.
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investment analysis and portfolio management book, corporate finance, financi
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fluctuations. In moving average a set number of the most recent closing prices on Sheet Music
security are averaged each day. For example daily closing prices during the 200 day ma
be used. 200 day is used to determine long term trend. It smoothes out the short term
fluctuation to help the trend more clear. In moving average also there are three type which are as follows: •
Simple moving average: a simple moving average is formed by computing th
average price of a security over a specified number of periods. A simple movin
average is calculated by adding the closing price of the security for a number o time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. •
Weighted moving average: a weighted average is any average that multiplying factors to give different weights to different data points.
•
Exponential moving average: Exponential moving average gives more emphas
to the recent data. This type of moving average reacts faster to recent pric
changes than a simple moving average. You're Reading a Preview Therefore literature is related with the correct timing of investment in the common stock full access with a free trial. of commercial bank by the helpUnlock of technical analysis. In technical analysis also
exponential moving average is used. Relevant Download Withinformation Free Trial are taken from the books. To study more logically and analytically the listed commercial bank will be used.
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CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY Sheet Music
3.1 REASEARCH PLAN AND DESIGN
For the study the research will be done, all the data will be quantitative in nature. On th
basis of the historical data the research will be conducted. Exploratory research desig will be used. Exploratory research design will be applied as there has been
secondary data regarding the market indices and closing prices of the stocks. Mark indices will be taken from trading information published in daily newspapers
kantipur, kathmandu post, samacharpatra etc and Nepal stock exchange. The researc
will be based on the data of market indices of Nepal stock exchange of last five year
The data will be used for the study of market movement. Calculations will be done on th
basis of moving average. The average values and actual indices will be plotted in th
same chart to study the market movement and its trend. For analysis of the overall mark movement, market index for Nepal stock exchange (NEPSE) will be used.
You're Reading Preview Similarly the past data of one commercial bankawill be used for analyzing the individua
with a free trial.bank will be taken for the stud stock price movement. Closing Unlock price full of access one commercial
Special reference will be taken for analyzing the commons stock of the respective ban Download With Free Trial The study of the respective bank will be the prime focus of the study. There are 30 liste
commercial banks in Nepal but since it is not appropriate to analyze all the individua
stocks of commercial bank in the thesis writing only one commercial bank will be take
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3.2 DESCRIPTION OF THE SAMPLE
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respective bank. The questions will be open ended, structured and the respondents will b Sheet Music
the investors.
3.4 DATA COLLECTION PROCEDURE AND TIME FRAME
In the process of conducting study, data will be collected mainly from one bank in whic the study will be done, Nepal stock exchange and the financial websites. The source data will be secondary in nature. Original stock prices and market indices are publis
in the daily newspaper and the website of Nepal stock exchange so information on stoc
price and market indices will be taken from the respective source. After the data will b
collected it will be calculated by using mathematical tools and the result will be prese
in graphs, charts, tables for the clear understanding to the reader. The conclusion will b
drawn from the findings from the analysis of research and recommendation will be made
3.5 VALIDITY AND RELIABILITY
Reading a Preview The validity of the thesis reportYou're will be checked by the help of secondary data, researc
Unlock full access a freeistrial. questions, and investment analysis book. Thewith thesis not copied and assures reader th
it is valid and reliable and helps them in making investment decisions. Download With Free Trial 3.6 ANALYSIS PLAN
In this thesis report, Exponential moving average will be used as a tool for analysis. Th
Master your semester Scribd reason for using thiswith technique is it gives more weight to For present data. Itis mor Read Free 30this Days Sign up to vote on title & The Newanalytical Yorkand Times scientific. Useful Not useful Special offer for students: Only $4.99/month.
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