Release Date Time Actual
Apr 05, 2017 20:00 1.566M
Forecast
-0.435M
Mar 29, 2017 20:00 0.867M 1.357M
Previous Remark
0.867M
4.954M
Market crashed from 3370 to 3330 between 8pm to 8.15pm Oil price spike from 3166 to 3196 between 8pm to 8.12pm Oil crashed from 3140 to 3115 between 8pm to
Mar 22, 2017 20:00 4.954M 2.801M
-0.237M 8.05pm then followed upward trend from 3120 to 3144 between 8.45pm to 9.15pm
Mar 15, 2017 20:00 -0.237M 3.713M
8.209M
Mar 08, 2017 21:00 8.209M 1.967M
1.501M
Mar 01, 2017 21:00 1.501M 3.079M
0.564M
Feb 23, 2017 21:30 0.564M 3.475M
9.527M
Feb 15, 2017 21:00 9.527M 3.513M
13.830M
Feb 08, 2017 21:00 13.830M 2.529M
6.466M
Feb 01, 2017 21:00 6.466M 3.289M
2.840M
Jan 25, 2017 21:00 2.840M 2.815M
2.347M
If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expecte d.
If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
As per Inventory report, ‘Actual Data is: 10.9M’, and ‘Previous was 4.8 M’.
Actual Data is Higher than Previous. It means Storage/Production S torage/Production is Higher than Previous. It means Production/Storage is higher than demand, If Actual is Higher compare to Previous than SELL Crude. As per Inventory report, ‘Actual Data is: 1.3M’, and ‘Previous was 10.9M’. Actual Data is Very Lower than Previous. It means Prices P rices will go UP. If Actual is Lower compare to Previous than BUY Crude.
IF DOLLAR OR POUND WEAKENS CRUDE PRICE RISE(need to be confirmed with the facts) Europe market opens at 8.15pm
MCX Crude Oil Trading Strategy
MCX Crude Oil Trading Strategy.* MCX Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Small Traders and HN I Traders. Crude Oil Tips for Intraday Trading, 100% Working techniques & Methods for Sure Profit. *Disclosure: All information is based on personal experience and knowledge of the author. We do not guarantee any profit/loss. It’s Just a personal Experience sharing blog, We are not an SEBI registered Investment Advisor. Step-(1) – Decide Quantity / How many lots to Trade:
Quantity should be limited while deciding a strategy to handle any sudden movement or SL Hit. Here are some Examples to decide Number of lots/Quantity for Safe Crude oil Trading Strategy. Normally Brokers provides 3-5 Times Limit, But many provides 10-30 Times Limit. The limit should be enough to handle any accidental movement. Safe Traders Trade 1 Mini Lot per 15,000/- Capital. So a trader with 50,000/- Capital can Trade 3 Mini Lots. Little Risky Traders
Trade 1 Mini Lot per 10,000/- Capital, Means if you have 50,000/- Capital than 5 Mini Lots.
Above Quantity can be increased based on movement, some movements have been discussed in this article. Step-(2) – Best Time to Trade in MCX Crude Oil:
Prices in MCX are being affected by other Exchanges like NYMEX. So Deciding a Proper Time Segment is very important for any Strategy in M CX. Trading with Time segments helps to prevent Over Trading. Here are Few important Timings for Crude Oil Trading: 2:30 PM, 6:30 PM, 7:30 PM, 8:00 PM, 8:30 PM Warning! Safe Traders Do not Trade between 7:30 to 8:15 in Crude Oil on Wednesday (Inventory Day), You can find exact dates of Inventory from http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/
Here is a Complete article about “How to Trade Crude Oil on Inventory Report.“ Do not Over Trade between Time Segments, Means if Crude going UP after 7:30 than Do not SELL till 8:00. Here is Some Charts to Understand the Conc ept of Time to Implement MCX Crude Oil Trading Strategy:
Crudeoil-Chart-1-4-15
Crudeoil-Chart-2-4-15
Crudeoil-Chart-6-4-15
Crudeoil-Chart-7-4-15
for a Successful Crude oil Trading Strategy, Do not trade without time segments and don’t trade after 10:15/10:30 (for Safe traders). Download Crude Oil Charts of March, 2015 It will help you to Learn, How to trade in MCX Crude Oil or How to get 10 points -20 points in Crude Oil Intraday. Step-(3) – Stop Loss and Target Strategy for Crude Oil:
Best crude oil trading techniques for daily 5-50 point of profit. Small Stop Loss:
Buy/Sell Crude at Specific Time Segment, Wait for 5-6 Minute. After 5-6 Minutes
If Trade is in 5-10 point PROFIT than put 5 Point SL and wait for Target.
Else, If Trade is in LOSS than Wait for next 15 Minutes.
After 15 Minutes, If Trade is in 5-10 point Profit than Put 5 point SL, Else, EXIT/CLOSE the Trade. Example: “Buy Crude Oil at 2:30 PM, After 5-6 Minutes (at 2:35 PM)” If Crude is Up (profit 5-10 point) than Put 5 point SL below Buy Price and wait for Target. If Crude is DOWN (Loss) then wait for NEXT 15 minutes (at 2:50) If Crude is Up (Profit 3-10 point) than Put 5 point SL and wait for Target. Else EXIT/CLOSE the Trade.
Without Stop Loss:
Buy/Sell Crude Oil at Specific Time and wait for 20 Minutes. After 20 Minutes:
If Crude is UP/Profit (3-10 point) from Buy point than Use 5 point SL and wait for Target. If Crude is DOWN/Loss (any point) from Buy Point than EXIT/Close the Trade .
In this Crude Oil Trading Strategy, You have to Exit/put SL based on Time Difference and Only 1 trade with every time segment. Warning! Do not use This Method at 8:00 PM and 8:30 PM Time Segment.
Example: “Buy Crude Oil at 2:30 PM, After 20 Minutes (at 2:50 PM)” If Crude is Up (profit) then Use 5 point S L below Buy Price, Else EXIT Trade. Now Repeat the Same Concept for 6:30pm,7:30pm, (Don’t use at 8:00 PM and 8:30 PM) Example-with-Chart:
Crudeoil-Chart-7-4-15 Suppose, You have Sold Crude at 2:30 PM, after 20 Minutes at 2:50 PM, Crude is UP, So in this Case EXIT Position. Suppose, You have bought Crude Oil at 6:30 PM, and wait for 20 Minutes, at 6:50 PM, Crude is UP, So use 5 point SL below Buy point and Wait for Target. Warning! This method will only work, if you strictly take action after 20 Minutes as per discussion. (if UP then 5 point SL, else EXIT the Trade) Stop Loss for 8:00 PM and 8:30 PM Time Segments:
Buy/Sell Crude and Use 5 point SL Instantly/At the Same Time.
If Trade gives 10-point PROFIT than Change Cost-to-Cost SL . If SL Hit, then wait for 5-10 Minute, Again Buy/Sell with 5 point SL.
Example: Buy Crude at 8:00 and use 5 point SL instantly, If SL Trigger than wait, When again movement start Again Buy/Sell with 5 point SL. In this Method, if 2 Stop Loss Hit continuously than Wait for Next Time Segment (8:30 pm).
If you do 2 trades with this strategy at 8:00pm and 8:30pm, then Total Trades = 4 Total SL = 4 x 5 point SL = 20 point SL (If SL Hit Every Time) So as I suggested in Step-1, If you trade 3 Mini Lot per 50,000/- capital than Rs 600/- LOSS Warning! For Inventory Day (Wednesday), MCX Crude Oil Trading Strategy will be Different.
Find Inventory Dates/Calender http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ How to Book Profit or Target?
Always Book profit before 3-5 Minutes of Next Time Segment. Never Trade to book a fixed target/profit. It’s Very Simple to understand the Target Concept. Example:
Buy/Sell Crude at 2:30 PM and Book Profit at 5:55 PM. (Book at 3:55 Pm, if 20-30 points Profit) Buy/Sell Crude at 6:30 PM and Book Profit/Target at 7:25 PM Buy/Sell Crude at 7:30 PM and Book Target at 7:55 PM (Because Next Time segment is 8:00 PM) Buy/Sell Crude at 8:30 PM and Book Target Between 9:00 to 11:00 PM.
Note: For 8:30 Pm Time Segment, in Two Situations you can Book Target at 10:30/11:00 PM 1. If Inventory Day is there. 2. If the difference between Total Buyers and Total Sellers is more than 1500. Step-(4) – BUY/SELL Decision:
Without talking about technical indicators and anal ysis terms, I am going to simplify the buying and selling decision. Based on Buyers/Sellers Sentiment
Total Bid Quantity: Buyers Total Ask Quantity: Sellers Screen)
(Add Total Bid Quantity and Total Ask Quantity on Trading
If Buyers are More than BUY, If Sellers are More than SELL, Otherwise Stay Away.
Minimum Difference Should be 500, for Safe Trading it should be 800. Check Difference between Buyers/Sellers of Mega Lot Only. You can trade in Mini Lot, But Don’t Check difference through Mini Lot. I think this is the simplest way to trade crude oil without doing any technical analysis. In this method you have to follow other traders. Simply if most of traders selling Crude than SE LL, else if most of traders are Buying than BUY, else STAY AWAY. Avoid this on Inventory Day, Here is a separate article about “How to Trade Crude Oil Based on Inventory Report.“ At Every Time Segment
BUY Crude, if Buyers are Higher. Minimum Difference 500 point.
SELL Crude, if Sellers are Higher. Minimum Difference 500 point. If Difference is 800-1500 point
If the Difference between buyers and sellers is 800-1500 point than you can continue the trade till Next Time Segment. If Difference is 2000-4000 point
Normally this happens on Inventory Day, but also possible on normal trading days. So if buyers/sellers difference is between 2000-4000 points than You can Continue the trade as long as this difference continues, but close at 10:50 pm. Example:1 (Click on Image to View in Big Size)
Crude-Buyers-Sellers-7-April-15
Crude-Chart-7-April-15 Trading based on Buyers/Sellers Sentiment in Crude Oil on 7-April-2015. Result: 100 point PROFIT if exit at 10:50 pm, Because Buyers/Sellers Difference was Above 2,000 point. Example:2 (Click on Image to View in Big Size)
Crude-Buyers-Sellers-10-April-15
Crude-Chart-10-April-15
Trading based on Buyers/Sellers Sentiment in Crude Oil o n 10-April-2015. Result: 40 point PROFIT if exit at 7:30 pm, Next Time Segment. else, 70 point PROFIT if exit at 10:50 pm, as difference was approx 2000 points.
Example:3 (Click on Image to View in Big Size)
Crude-Buyers-Sellers-13-April-15
Crude-Chart-13-April-15 Trading based on Buyers/Sellers Sentiment in Crude Oil on 13-April-2015. Above Snapshot includes “Crude oil Mini Lot”.
I’m not perfect and this article is also not
,
Inventory Day Crude Oil Trading Strategy based on EIA Report. Here is another Article (Must Read) about, “ How to Trade in MCX Crude Oil ?“ Thank You for ReadingMCX Traders Database Provider
How to Trade Crude Oil on Inventory Report
How to Trade Crude Oil on Inventory Report? MCX Crude Oil Trading on Inventory Day. Trading Crude oil Inventories for Sure profit based on Inventory Report. Learn, How to Trade Crude Oil on Inventory Data on Wednesday. *Disclosure: All information is based on personal experience and knowledge of the author. We do not Guarantee any profit/loss. Trading Commodities is Subject of Risk. Pre Requirement: This article is about “Crude oil Trading on Inventory Day“, Before this you should read another article about, “MCX Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Normal Days“ Inventory Report: EIA (U.S Energy Information Administration) provides Stock/Storage Report of Crude Oil every week, which is known as Inventory Report. Inventory Report Time: 8:00 PM Inventory Report Day: Wednesday
But if there is any Holiday than Inventory may be released on next day. From EIA website, you can find exact dates of Inventory. Check Here, “Crude Oil Inventory Dates.” This strategy can help to Earn Big Profits in MCX Crude Oil. Inventory Reports: Only Focus Actual and Previous Inventory Status. Actual: Current Inventory Report.
Previous: Previous Inventory Report.
Here are some Inventory Reports: Date
Actual
Forecast
Previous
April 15, 2015
1.3M
3.5M
10.9M
April 8, 2015
10.9M
3.3M
4.8M
April 1, 2015
4.8M
4.2M
8.2M
How to Trade Crude Oil on Inventory Report?
Step:1 Time of Trading: (8:15 pm) As Inventory Report is released at 8:00, Many Risky traders trade at 7:58 or 7:59, means before 2-3 minute of inventory release. You can Earn Very Big profit if trading near 8:00 clock Because Very FAST movement will be there. But You can also LOSS big Capital. So trading in Crude oil before 8:00 pm on Inventory day is very risky. For Safe Trading, We suggest to Trade at 8:15 pm or between 8:15 to 8:20 Step:2 Stop Loss and Target: Stop Loss: On Inventory day, Keep Cost-2 cost or Max 5 point SL when Crude Move 15-25 point in Profit. Else wait for 25 Minutes, If still in Loss than EXIT. But always take “Buy/Sell Decision” based on below mentioned factors. (Step:3) Target: Continue Trade Till 10:50 pm , If there is very little difference between “Actual” and “Previous” Inventory than book profit as per your own decision. Step:3 BUY/SELL Decision: You can take Buy/Sell decision based on two things, (1) Inventory Data, (2) Total Buyers/Sellers. Buy Crude, if “Actual Data” is Lower than “Previous Data”. O r
If Total Buyers are Higher ( Above 1500 point Difference). Sell Crude, if “Actual Data” is Higher than “Previous Data”. Or
If Total Sellers are Higher (Above 1500 point Difference). Example:1 Crude oil Trading on Inventory Report, Date: April 01,2015
Date
Actual
Forecast
Previous
April 01, 2015
4.8M
4.2M
8.2M
As per Inventory report, ‘Actual Data is: 4.8M’, and ‘Previous was 8.2M’. It means Actual data is Lower than Previous data, So if Production is low than Prices will go UP Because if supply is low and demand is high than prices will be increased. If Actual is Lower compare to Previous than BUY Crude. (click on image to view in Large Size)
Crude-Oil-Inventory-1-April-2015
Crude-Inventory-Chart-1-April-2015
Example:2 Crude oil Trading on Inventory Report, Date: April 08,2015 Date
Actual
Forecast
Previous
April 08, 2015
10.9M
3.3M
4.8M
As per Inventory report, ‘Actual Data is: 10.9M’, and ‘Previous was 4.8M’. Actual Data is Higher than Previous. It means Storage/Production is Higher than Previous. It means Production/Storage is higher than demand, If Actual is Higher compare to Previous than SELL Crude.
Crude-Inventory-Report-08-April-2015
Crude-Inventory-Chart-08-April-2015
Example:3 Crude oil Trading on Inventory Report, Date: April 15,2015 Date
Actual
Forecast
Previous
April 08, 2015
1.3M
3.5M
10.9M
As per Inventory report, ‘Actual Data is: 1.3M’, and ‘Previous was 10.9M’. Actual Data is Very Lower than Previous. It means Prices will go UP. If Actual is Lower compare to Previous than BUY Crude.
Crude-Inventory-Report-15-April-2015
Crude-Inventory-Chart-15-April-2015 Through these examples, I have tried to answer the question, How to Trade Crude Oil on Inventory Report? This is the trading strategy based on eia report. This Article needs to be updated/edited in future, so keep Reading…..
