MMEA Pr es en t at i o n Bu ildi Buil ding ng New Ba B aseloa seload d Genera nerati tion on in th the e Mid Midwest west
Bl ack & Vea Bla Veatc tch h May 11, 2006
May Ma y 11 11,2 ,200 006 6-1
Process ro cess Steps for fo r New New Genera Generati tion on
Systems Analysis
Licensing / Permitting
Market Assessment Assessment
Conceptual Engineering
Plant Configuration Study
Monte Carlo Analysis
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Fe Feasibili asibility ty Feasibili Fe asibility ty // Initial Initial Init ial Engineering Engineering
Arrangement Arrangement Drawings System Definitions
Construction Management
Soils Testing
Project Schedule
Project Planning & Controls
Commercial Construction Strategies
Startup Assistance Assistance
Beyond
Operator Training Procurement Assistance Assista nce
Conceptual D onn Conc onceptual eptual // Definiti Definiti De efin finitio itio Engineering Engineering Confidential information. information. ©Copyright Black Black & Veatch Corporation, Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May Ma y 11, 11,20 2006 06 - 2
Project Completion
Engineering Review
Detailed Cost Estimates
Select Major Equipment
Preliminary Schedules
Feasibility Study
Project E nn Project Executio Execution Executio xecution
U.S. Energy Market Signals Remain Favorable for New Coal-Fired Generation
Over 80 GW of Planned New U.S. Coal Projects Of the 16 Units Under Constru ctio n, We Are Involved In 6
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 3
EKPC J.K. Smith 1 278 MW
Under Construction Full NTP With Permits
TXU Sandow 5 575 MW
Tri-State Holcomb 3 600 MW
LNTP, or NTP With Limit on Construction
TXU Oakgrove 850 MW
LSP Nevada 600-800 MW
Tri-State Holcomb 4 600 MW
Peabody Prairie St. 1 750 MW
LSP B lk Hw k Io wa 600 MW
LSP Georgia 600-800 MW
NRG Big Cajn. II, 4 675 MW
Sierra Pacific White Pine 750 MW
FPL Florida Unit 1 850 MW
KCP&L Iatan Unit 2 750 MW
LSP Texas 600-800 MW
UAMPs/Pacif Intermt. 3 950 MW
CWLP Dallman 34 201 MW
LSP Plum Point 1 665 MW
CUS Southwest 2 275 MW
Dominion SW VA Proj. 600 MW
EKPC Spurlock 4 278 MW
CPS Spruce 2 758 MW
HG2 Owners Hugo Unit 2 750 MW
JEA/FMPA N. Flori da 800 MW
CLECO Rodemacher 600 MW
NAPG Two Elk 280 MW
LG&E Trimble Cty 2 732 MW
Peabody Prairie St. 2 750 MW
Detailed Design Awarded, or EPC Award / LOI Without LNTP Development & Permitting Work Awarded (Selected Basis)
s t i n U
U.S. Coal Projects (Units and COD)
MDU Hardin, Mont. 116 MW
Santee Coop. Cross Unit 3 580 MW
Newmont TS Plant 200 MW
Santee Coop. Cross Unit 4 580 MW
Sunflower Holcomb 2 600 MW
Basin Elec. NE Wyomin g 250 MW
BPU Nearmn Cr 2 235 MW
Pacificorp Hunter 4 500 MW
Manatowoc Unit 9 63 MW
Xcel King 600 MW
Black Hills Wyg2 , Unit 4 90 MW
WE Energies Elm Road 1 615 MW
WE Energies Elm Rd. 2 615 MW
AECI Norborne 1 660 MW
Seminole Palatka 3 750 MW
FPL Florida Unit 2 850 MW
Tri-State CO Coal Unit 656 MW
Tri-State Springerville 400 MW
MidAmerican CB4 790 MW
WPSC Weston 4 532 MW
OPPD NC2 663 MW
Xcel Comanche 3 750 MW
BS II Owners Big Ston e II 600 MW
PPGA Hastings 2 220 MW
WPSC Baseload II 530 MW
Sierra Pacific White Pine 750 MW
2006 May 11,2006 - 4
2007
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. 2008 2009 2010 2011
All rights reserved.
2012
2013
2014
Black & Veatch Current Coal Projects Owner
Project
Project Size
Scope
COD
Tanjung Jati B Power Plant
2 x 660 MW
EP
2006
Primadaya (PT S2P)
2 x 300 MW
OE
2006
King Rehabilitation Project
600 MW
Ep
2007
Bhilai, India
2 x 250 MW
Ep
2007
Black Hills Energy
Wygen 2 Unit 4
1 x 90 MW
OE / P
2008
WPSC
Weston Unit 4
532 MW
Ep, Field Engr., SU
2008
OPPD
Nebraska City Unit 2
663 MW
EPC
2009
CWLP
Dallman Unit 34
201 MW
EPC
2009
CPS
J.K. Spruce Unit 2
758 MW
EPC
2010
Plum Point Energy Station
665 MW
EPC
2010
Big Stone II
600 MW
EpCM
2011
Alaska Coal Project
1 x 130 MW
Conceptual Engineering / Cost Estimate
2011
Whelan Energy Center 2
220 MW
Conceptual Design / Permitting Support
2012
Sumitomo Corporation PT Sumber Segara Xcel Energy BESCL
LS Power Big Stone II Ownership Group Chugach Electric Association, Inc. PPGA
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 5
CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Illinois 201 MW PC Subcritical Unit Designed to Burn High Sulfur Illinois Coals Contract Signed: October 3, 2005 B&V Role: EP KIC Role: C EPC JV: KIC and B&V FW Boiler, Toshiba Turbine Generator FF, Wet FGD, Wet ESP Scheduled Completion: September 2009 Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 6
CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Illinois
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 7
New Generation Project Layout and Design Basis
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 8
Site Plan
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 9
Dallman Site City Water Plant
Lakeside Plant
Unit 3
Units 1 and 2
Units 1 and 2 FGD Unit 3 FGD and 1,2, and 3 Limestone and Dewatering Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 10
Coal Pile
Existing Truck unloading New Unit Stockout
New Unit Reclaim and Conveyor
Existing Stockout
New Transfer Conveyor
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 11
Cooling Tower
Sound Wall
Drainage Trench
Lake Springfield Sound and Plume Abated Cooling Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved. Tower
May 11,2006 - 12
Overall AQCS
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 13
City of Springfield 3-D Model
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 14
Project Schedule
Issue RFQ Start Phase 1 Engr
Phase 1 Complete
Select EPC Bidder Begin EPC Start Negotiations Spec Prep / RFQ Responses Due Receive EPC EPC Issue Contract EPC RFP Bids Award
NTP Mobilization Start Site Modification Guaranteed Start Power Construction Delivery Sept 2009
CWLP -38
-25
-24
-16 -15
Start Phase 2 Engr and Permitting
-11 -10
-5
Permit Application Submitted
-4
-2
0
Receive Permit
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 15
5
47
Actual U.S. Coal Plant Construction Schedules 34
75 – 100 MW
28
100 – 200 MW
37 37
250 – 400 MW
40
425 – 500 MW
40
44 50 58
46
600 – 700 MW
0
10
20
30 40 Months
50
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 16
60
70
Market and Sourcing Example – Pipe Material to Fabricator Lead Times 80 70 60
s 50 k e 40 e W30
Significant Factor in Project Schedules 76 72 68 52
20 10 0 April 2004
Octo ber 2004
Apr il 2005
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 17
Januar y 2006
Market and Sourcing Example – Total Structural Steel Mill Order Lead Times 30
Significant Factor in Project Schedules Mill Order Times:
25 20
s k e 15 e W
• 2003 to 2005 = 8 Wks • 2006 = 12 to 16 Wks
16
16
16
2003
2004
2005
20 to 24
10 5 0 Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 18
2006
Market and Sourcing Example – Steam Turbine Lead Times 30
Significant Factor in Project Schedules 22-24
25 20
s h t n 15 o M
18
20
20
May 2005
Sep 2005
10 5 0 Dec 2003
January 2006
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 19
Escalation Summary – Market and Sourcing Increasing Coal Plant Costs Price Escalation on Commodities Such as Steel, Copper and Alloy Have Driven Prices and Lead Times Up Dramatically AQCS Equipment Extremely Tight Market Due to Ongoing Retrofit Work (30% Materials Required) Boiler Prices Increasing (30% Materials Required)
The E&C Industry Is Also “ Tight” With a Limited Number of Capable Players Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 20
Escalation Example – Steel 700 650 600
36% Increase
550
n o T 500 / $ 450 400
Total Mill Pric e
350 300 4 ' 0 n J a
4 ' 0 c e D
5 ' 0 n J a
5 ' 0 c e D
6 ' 0 n J a
Month Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 21
Escalation – Labor As-Stated Escalation Rates for Midwest Coal Project
2005 Rate
2006 Rate
2007 Rate
Annual Escalation Rate
Operators
$28.06
$29.56
$31.06*
5.3%
Laborers
$19.50
$20.70
$21.90*
6.1%
Millwright
$30.00
$31.85
$33.70
6.2%
Ironworker
$25.10
$26.95
$28.80
7.4%
Carpenter
$25.65
$27.50
$29.35
7.2%
Pipefitter
$32.73
$34.83
$36.93
6.4%
Electricians
$30.73
$32.58*
$34.43*
6.0%
Boilermaker
$27.80
$28.60
$30.10
5.2%
Average
6.2%
Craft
*Futur e Estimate Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 22
Total Craft Labor Full Time Equivalents (FTEs) Based on U.S. Coal Projects Slide
14,000
12,000
(Units and COD)
10,000
s ' E T F
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0 2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Year Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 23
2012
2013
2014
Equipment Suppliers – Boilers Domestic Based
International Based
Alstom Power
IHI, Inc.
Babcock & Wilcox
Mitsubishi Power
Foster Wheeler
Mitsui Babcock
Babcock Power
Babcock Hitachi
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 24
Equipment Suppliers – STGs
Alstom Power General Electric Mitsubishi Power Siemens Westinghouse Toshiba Hitachi Fuji Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 25
Equipment Suppliers – FGD, Fabric Filters and Electrostatic Precipitators Dry FGD Wet FGD
Alstom Power
X
X
Babcock Power
X
X
Babcock & Wilcox
X
X
Chiyoda
FF
Dry ESP
Wet ESP
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Hamon RC
X
Hitachi
X
Wheelabrator
X
X
AdvaTech (MHI & URS)
X
Marsulex
X Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 26
X
CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Illinois
Confidential information. ©Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
May 11,2006 - 29