I apologize for the English language that is not my native. I know that fans of football bets will understand the meaning of the book and will find valuable things about the strategy in our fight against bookmakers even though this e-book is 2-years old now.
Dear fans of soccer betting Entry into the third year of our relationship. For the past 24 months I have received not hundreds but thousands of reviews on the Internet. Most letters contain gratitude - both for specific soccer betting picks, and for regular schemes offered game. Some fans advise me in one direction or another, for which I am grateful to them. There are many questions, including those to which I have already answered your site or personal letters. I because it is not possible to write to everyone individually, use the start of the section "Forecasts for 2009 to share some of observations which will be important in the way we play in each of the upcoming editions. Apart from betting on certain chaotic matches, it is worth paying attention to two types of game - by doubling the bet in singles and through combinations. 1. PLAYING WITH DOUBLING THE STAKE. This method of participation was widespread a few years ago when the circulation of “Eurofootball”(Bulgarian offline bookie) had only five or six singles or "Stars". Singles is a game that does not need to combine with others, and we, under the terms of the bookmaker, to play alone. This is important because the more matches there are in a bet, the more likely you are to lose. We strive to play as much as possible simple guided us - either spontaneously, it was realized - to "stars." For several years, almost every game is "Star”(could be played without necessity to be combined with other matches) However, now we can play with doubling as a select choice of us sign a series of meetings in order to accumulate the stake until the desired character out. It is important that coefficients be over 2.00 so that we make a profit. I've played with the smallest and the largest, and the average coefficient, for example to match that ratio is 2.20 to 1 for X - 2.80, for 2 to 2.40. The highest profits are when doubling the highest sign. Let's say we have today pledged € 10 for the coefficient 2.80, but the sign does not go. Tomorrow I bet 20 still not out on the third day's play with 40 and miss. We invested a cumulative 10 20 40 = 70 Euros and receive 2.80 . 40 = 112, or our profit is 42 Euros. If we doubled the smallest sign and we got it as in the previous example, the third time, revenue is 2.20 . 40 = 88 Euros, while profit is 18 Euros. This way the game looks tempting, but in its purest form it is only apparent. You'll see it, looking statistics matches the smallest sign that I made throughout 2008. The table below we see which way out of the smallest character in the series of matches for the doubling and the number of exits for the road. For example, the following matches from me the smallest sign have gone a total of 1473 times. In 636 of cases this sign is out again, which for purposes of analysis called exit from the first time, i.e. without a break from muff to muff. In 354 of the cases the sign has not come immediately, i.e. the first of a series of games, but came out the second time. And so on.
Table 1
The Lowest Coefficient
How many times till it appears 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
How many times it appears 636 354 184 129 82 37 19 18 19 3 1 1
Total appears
1473
Percent 43 % 24 % 12 % 9% 5% 2% 1% 1%
Appears with accumulation 636 990 1174 1303 1385 1422 1441 1459
Percent with accumulation 43 % 67 % 80 % 88 % 94 % 96 % 98 % 99 %
We see that in 88% of cases mark out the fourth time in 94% - the fifth in 96 percent - the sixth. This enticed us that even the sixth time to double, making a pledge to build 10 +20 +40 +80 +160 +320 = 630 euro, in most cases it will be profitable. But what about when the sign out of the 9 th, 10 th or 12 th right time? In my personal'm betting doubling to 10 th time, but for most players this means sure bankruptcy. The danger becomes even clearer from Table 2
Opportunities doubling the smallest coefficient
On what Single bet time appear 1 10 евро 2 20 3 40 4 80 Etc.
Number of bets Wager
Coef.
1473 837 483 299
2,2 2,2 2,2 2,2
14730 16740 19320 23920
Number of appears 636 354 184 129
Gain 13992 15576 16192 22704
As already mentioned, observed by me in meetings at least mark out 1473 times. Starting doubling as it exits, even the first step - leaving the first time - have a total cost of 14,730 Euros, while total revenue - € 13,992, ie We are at a loss. The excess of expenditure over revenue becomes more sensitive the next steps. A similar picture with tripling the bet. Table 3 Opportunities for tripling the smallest coefficient On what Single bet time appear 1 10 евро 2 30 3 90 4 270 Etc.
Number of bets Wager
Coef.
1473 837 483 299
2,2 2,2 2,2 2,2
14730 25110 43470 80730
Number of appeas 636 354 184 129
Gain 13992 23364 36432 76626
Here the losses are even greater. Illusion of easy profits are up and playing with a doubling of the biggest sign. Here are statistics on meetings observed by me in 2008. Table 4
The Highest Coefficient
On what time appear 1 2 3
Number of appears Percent 310 203 136
30 % 20 5 13 %
Appears with accumulation 310 513 649
Percent with accumulation 30 % 50 % 64 %
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 25
103 86 51 34 32 23 13 6 4 2 3 3 3 0 1 2 1
Total number of appears
10 % 8% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1%
752 838 889 923 955 978 991 997 1001
74 % 82 % 88 % 91 % 94 % 96 % 98 % 98 % 99 %
1016
And here we could say that once in 80-90 percent of cases the biggest coefficient is out after the fifth and sixth time we can play safely and successfully. But if you it is out at the 12 th or 25 th time? Accumulations are so great that hardly anyone can afford them. The table below suggests this. Table 5 Opportunities doubling the biggest coefficient
On what time 1 2 3 4 Etc.
Single bet
Number of bets Wager
Coef.
10 евро 20 40 80
1016 706 503 367
2,8 2,8 2,8 2,8
10160 14120 20120 29360
Number of appears 310 203 136 103
Urge that the losses are significant. Even greater when we are tripling the bet. Table 6
Gain 8680 11368 15232 23072
Opportunities for tripling the highest coefficient
On what time 1 2 3 4 Etc.
Single bet 10 евро 30 90 270
Number of bets 1016 706 503 367
Wager
Coef.
10160 21180 45270 99090
2,8 2,8 2,8 2,8
Number of Gain appears(outcomes) 310 8680 203 17052 136 34272 103 77868
Better are the possibilities if we start to double not as it exits, but after the fifth time, ie after failing to come up four times in a row, etc. Table 7 Opportunities doubling the lowest coefficient from the fifth time on
On what time 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total Total profit
Single bet 10 евро 40 150 300 600 1200 2400 4800
Number of bets 170 88 51 32 14 5 2 1
Wager
Coef.
1700 3520 7650 9600 8400 6000 4800 4800 46470
2,2 2,2 2,2 2,2 2,2 2,2 2,2 2,2
Number of Gain outcomes(hits) 82 1804 37 3256 19 6270 18 11880 9 11880 3 7920 1 5280 1 10560 58850
12380
We see that in this kind of game profits within a year was decent. You already may sound trite, but here our success is uncertain. Because the bookmaker has many opportunities to our counter - as download rates, making singles and even triples blocking bet on certain games. Problem is betting larger sums: by going to the points you want to play with more than
thousand, call headquarters, asking for permission, if not get it, you must break the pledge of smaller amounts and walk around several points, and always have time for that. Yet, while the smallest sign makes sense to begin the first time, and in the middle - the fourth, fifth and sixth time in the highest coefficient that does not help. (As you can see, do not give statistics on the average mark, since there are things worse)
Table 8 Opportunities doubling the biggest coefficient after the fifth time On what consecutive 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total Total loss
Single bet 10 евро 20 40 80 160 320 640 1280
Number of bets 264 178 127 93 61 38 25 19
Wager
Coef.
2640 3560 5080 7440 9760 12160 16000 24320 80960
2,8 2,8 2,8 2,8 2,8 2,8 2,8 2,8
Number of appears 86 51 34 32 23 13 6 4
Gain 2408 2856 3808 7168 10304 11648 10756 14336 63284
17676
Written here does not mean we should abandon the game with a doubling of the stakes. Rather, this is the surest way to not only their money back, but to win. Of particular importance, however, are some details in the statistics that will afford not to publish because they are my know-how. Some of them will, however, reflected on the pattern for the game, which will propose in 2009, and those who rely on the estimates, will win. I've seen in print media and online reviews on raw amounts propose to bet within a year. For example in Table 7 shows that to win with the proposed schedule of play total 58,850 Euros must bet 46,470. Some authors think that these 46,470 Euros must have at the beginning of the year, resent what large sums are played and even make suggestions of money laundering. Actually, who knows, knows that under the game that I propose is sufficiently early in the year to start with 300-400 euro. Part of winning is being shot again and gradually leads to the total cost and total profits up to 12 months. Of course, my clear is that for many, and this initial amount is impossible. So many times I've written online, I'll say now, at the beginning of another year of our relationship that can not pledge scheme 10-20-40-80 etc. EUR may do so in the sequence 1-2-4-8, etc. or example, 5-10-20-40, etc. Profits will be lower, but still it is better to earn less than nothing. • 2. PLAYING WITH COMBINATIONS
(NOTE: WE WILL USE THIS STRATEGY MUCH LESS FREQUENTLY) Noticed that some days come true 60-70-80 percent of my soccer betting picks, many fans write to me why not to play games in combos and earn much more than what they announce on the site. They are completely done. I and many of those who are interested in my picks, are playing using combinations. Here, however, unless statistics are needed and football knowledge and the inevitable dose of chance. Therefore, each making the odds alone, I give only the base. Here are some of the schemes, which combine many of my predictions site visitors:
Full combine 5 of my estimates of 3, 4 and 5 characters. Playing with the lowest mark by a factor of 2.20 and bet € 10 column. The total cost is 16 columns x 10 Euros = 160 Euros. Opportunities for profit are the following: Table 9 5 games to 3, 4 and 5 hit
Number of hits 3 4 5 Total wager
Gain 106,48 660,18 2751,44
160
When 3 friends are at a loss, but at 4 and 5 have hit a bad profit forecasts. Full combined 6 of projections 4, 5 and 6 characters. Playing with the lowest mark by a factor of 2.20 and bet € 10 column. The total cost is 22 columns x 10 Euros = 220 Euros. Opportunities for profit are the following: Table 10 6 games at 4, 5 и 6 hits
Number of hits 4 5 6
Gain 234,26 1686,64 7739,82
Total wager
220
Here we have success at first step - in 4 known and lucrative incomes at 5 and 6 struck forecasts. You should know however, that in this way the combination is necessary to have more resources because it is quite possible to not know enough meetings several days in a row. For example, if we play 6 Meetings of 4, 5 and 6 known and strive to 5 friends, and if the five characters go on the seventh day, we would bet 1540 Euros and will have revenue 1686.64. However, if the five characters come until the eighth day, will now have a loss.
For most fans is more sensible to combine my forecasts in one of two ways: Table11: Game 1 Game 2 Game 3 Game 4 Coefficient Wager Gain Total wager
1 1 1 1 23,4 40 936
Х 1 1 1 29,8 2 59
1 Х 1 1 29,8 2 59
1 1 Х 1 29,8 2 59
1 1 1 Х 29,8 2 59
48
Coefficients are 2.20 for 1 and for X - 2.80. Here are a plus, and that column to come. The problem is that there are few cases that go more than one cross, and then we are at a loss. Therefore, most recommended version of me is as follows: Table 12 Game 1 Game 2 Game 3 Game 4 Coefficient Wager Gain Total wager
1 1 1 1 23,4 40 936 120
Х
1 Х
1 Х Х
2,8 45 126
6,2 20 132
13,5 10 135
1 1 1 Х 29,8 5 149
Coefficients are 2.20 for 1 and for X - 2.80. As crosses to go, there are a plus. It is better that way - with safe return of the pledge, to await a few familiar characters than as in Tables 9 and 10. Against the emergence of a third character - in this case pair, generally are powerless. We can do barbs and the third character, but will receive as much as would bet that renders this effort. In Table 12, however, he first went Hicks, and then - the third place, we will not be profitable, but will return your money, which is the first task in the betting. I could recommend several ways to combine forecasts beyond that post. One of them is as in Table 11, but here we select four meetings with the coefficient for the smallest sign around 1.40. Stake of 10 per column:
Table 13
Game 1 Game2 Game 3 Game 4 Coefficient Wager Gain Total wager
1 1 1 1 3,84 50 192
Х 1 1 1 9,6 10 96
1 Х 1 1 9,6 10 96
1 1 Х 1 9,6 10 96
1 1 1 Х 9,6 10 96
90
This game is proper for fans with less experience. Matches with relatively low coefficient for the smallest sign, which makes the release of more than one X, not to mention the third character, unlikely. These are usually matches of the big teams in European football. Fans with more practice can try the same scheme but with a slightly higher rate for the lowest coefficient - about 1,60. Table 14
Game 1 Game 2 Game 3 Game 4 Coefficient Wager Gain
1 1 1 1 6,55 50 327,50
Х 1 1 1 13,1 6 78
1 Х 1 1 13,1 6 78
1 1 Х 1 13,1 6 78
1 1 1 Х 13,1 6 78
Total wager
74
Revenue here is decent - more than four times the bet. The probability of exit of the second X or third place - in this case pair is not large. Recommend one of his favorite combinations resemble those of Table 12: Table 15
Game 1 Game 2 Game 3 Game 4 Game 5 Coefficient Wager Gain
1 1 1 1 1 27,28 50 1364
Total wager
Х
2,8 50 140
1 Х
1 1 Х
1 1 1 Х
1 1 1 1 Х 6,2 13,6 34,1 54,5 23 10 4 3 142,60 136 136,40 163,50
140
“1”s in the first three games of this scheme is a factor 2.20 and “X”s - 2.80. In the fifth game “1” is 1.60, and X - 3,20. Profits if hit the five units is seductive and practical in each of the contras to return the money. Here's another combination that not only play with gusto, but with success. The first three games choose from meetings of the European grandees with their victory factor about 1.40 and about equal - about 3.50. For each of the four slip these games are hard. Combine them with five games of the estimates give, at odds of lowest mark 2.20, using the system for combining part № 401-5 meetings for a couple with three friends: Table 16
Game 1 Game 2 Game 3 Coefficient Each column is Coef. With accumulation
1 fixed 1 fixed 1 fixed 2,74 combined 13,26
Х fixed 1 fixed 1 fixed 6,86 with 33,2
1 fixed Х fixed 1 fixed 6,86 system 33,2
1 fixed 1 fixed Х fixed 6,86 № 401 33,2
Wager Gain at number of 3 hits - 1 profit 4 hits - 2 profit 5 hits - 4 profit Total wager
4х10=40 hits 132,60 264 528
4х2=8 from the 66 132 264
4х2=8 system 66 132 264
4х2=8 66 132 264
64
The combination makes profit in less than a cross of the first three games and at least three known from five matches by a factor of 2.20 System № 401. He fears that in the selected its first three matches a high risk “X”s have more than one can play only five matches by my estimates, relying on in each of the smallest sign of a coefficient 2.20, taking them into the system part and combine № 401 bet 10 per each of the four columns. Its total cost will be 40 Euros, at 3 known revenue will be € 48.40, 4 hit - 96 Euros, and in five known characters - 192 Euros. Here's another one of my favorite schemes to play. Pick three relatively controversial game, which are likely one team to come out victorious is more, but not off and tie. Looking for a win ratio of preferred team would be around 1.80, therefore X is usually 2.95. Most importantly, the matches are on different days or at least at different times with sufficient time between the end of one and beginning of the next to be able to counter. Along with the main column of three units play in another sheet and a cross for the first counter. If the first match out cross, we returned his money and completing their participation. If a unit, we counter with a cross at the second meeting with the higher stake than the first cross. If the result is equal, closing their participation, we pledged to return. If a second game unit, we counter with a cross at the third summit with a pledge of more than the second counter. If you cross out, we get their money back, if a unit, we win: Table 17
Game Game 1 Game 2 Game 3 Coefficient Wager Wager with accumulation Gain
Main column 1 - 1,80 1 - 1,80 1 - 1,80 5,80 50 50
Counter 1 Х - 2,95
Counter 2
Counter 3
2,95 25 75
295 35 110
Х - 2,95 2,95 60 170
290
73,75
103,25
177
Х - 2,95
We see that if you need play all three “contras” will have wagered 170 Euros with accumulation, if familiar characters in the main column will have revenue € 290. At any stage a “X” appears, your money back, and if “X” comes, of course, lose. And a combination that brings good revenue: Table 18 Game Game 1 Game 2 Game 3 Game 4 Game 5 Game 6 Game 7 Game 8 Coefficient Wager Min. gain
Main column 1 fixed - 1,60 1 fixed - 1,60 1 fixed - 1,60 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 90 10 х 5 = 50 450
Total wager
110
Counter 1 Х - 3,20 1 fixed - 1,60 1 fixed - 1,60 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80
Counter 2 1 fixed - 1,60 Х - 3,20 1 fixed - 1,60 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80
Counter 3 1 fixed - 1,60 1 fixed - 1,60 Х - 3,20 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80 Х - 2,80
64 10х3=30 192
64 10х3=30 192
64 10х3=30 192
In the main column the first three games are “firm” with a coefficient for the favorite to win around 1,60. In matches from № 4 to № 8 to bet “X”s in a full combination of threes. This makes 10 columns. If you hit the “firms” and know the three “X”’s, we have income of € 450. If you hit more “X”s, revenue swells considerably. We use contras to make sure we will not lose money in case we fail to hit some of the “firms. This “X”, however, does not play “firm”, but we include it in combination to fully combine three of five matches. And since “X”s are six , “the “X” from № 8 dropped from the combination. Contras not only returned the money, but when we have known more than three “X”s, it even gives a profits. Once you have read my "bible", we can start new forecasts for 2009. I hope it to be successful!
NOTE! “firm” or “fixed” – a match that is not combined with another one and consequently presents in all columns so if we fail to hit, then the gain of the column or combination is 0.
“contra” or “counter” – a match we bet on in order to avoid loss if we fail to hit the main match
“accumulation” - the total sum of bets or coefficients etc.(Ex. Accumulation of 2.20, 4.00 and 8,40 is 14.60).
Krasimir Georgiev
