ANALISIS PROSPEKTIF1

LBLAM[M[ XVC[XNEZMG Lblam{m{ xvc{xnezmg jlxlz jmale~elb dlb}l {nznald alxcvlb en~lbolb dm{zcvm{ jm{n{~lmelb ~bz~e  inbknvimbelb embnv`l necbcim{ xnv~{ldllb {nklvl le~vlz" Lblam{ xvc{xnezmg inv~xlelb mbzm   xnbmal xnbmalmlb mlb ngne" ngne" Lblam{m{ Lblam{m{ xvc{xnez xvc{xnezmg mg `~ol fnvo~bl fnvo~bl ~bz~e ~bz~e inbo~`m inbo~`m enznxlz enznxlzlb lb vnbklbl vnbklbl {zvlznom {zvlznom{{  xnv~{ldllb" ^bz~e mz~ xnva~ jmlblam{m{ lxleld xnv~{ldllb ilix~ inbodl{maelb lv~{ el{ }lbo k~e~x k~e~x ~bz~e ~bz~e inbjlbl inbjlblmm xnvz~if~ xnvz~if~dlb dlb }lbo }lbo jmdlvlxe jmdlvlxelb lb lzl~ lxleld lxleld xnv~{ldl xnv~{ldllb lb ininva~ ininva~elb elb  xnbjlbllb ~zlbo lzl~ ne~mzl{ jm il{l jnxlb" Xnva~ jmlblam{m{ x~al lxleld vnbklbl {zvlznom{ embm lelb inbodl{maelb ilbgllz {nxnvzm }lbo jmvlilaelb cand ilbl`ninb xnv~{ldllb" Jlb ledmvb}l! lblam{m{ xvc{xnezmg fnvo~bl flom evnjmzcv ~bz~e inbmalm enilix~lb xnv~{ldllb ~bz~e ininb~dm enwl`mflbb}l"

XVC[N[ XVC]NE[M <" Xvc}n Xvc}ne{ e{mm Alxcvlb Alxcvlb En~l En~lbo bolb lb Xvc{n{ xvc}ne{m jmi~alm jlvm alxcvlb alfl v~om! jmme~zm bnvlkl jlb alxcvlb lv~{ el{"

l" Xvc}n Xvc}ne{ e{mm Alxc Alxcvlb vlb Alfl Alfl V~om V~om Xvc{n{ Xvc{n{ xvc}ne{m xvc}ne{m jmi~alm jmi~alm jnbolb jnbolb xnvz~if~ xnvz~if~dlb dlb xnb`~la xnb`~lalb lb }lbo }lbo jmdlvlxe jmdlvlxelb" lb" Jlali Jlali kcbzcd mbm jmo~blelb zvnb dm{zcvm{ ~bz~e inixvnjme{m zmboelz xnb`~lalb jm il{l jnxlb" Lblam{m{ anfmd vmbkm inamflzelb mbgcvil{m ne{znvbla {nxnvzm0 …

Zmboelz Zmboelz lezmmzl lezmmzl{{ necbcim necbcim ilevc ilevc }lbo jmdlvlx jmdlvlxelb" elb" Elvnbl Elvnbl xnifnam xnifnamlb lb xnalboo xnalboolb lb jmxnbolv jmxnbolv~dm ~dm cand zmboelz zmboelz xnbodl{m xnbodl{malb alb xvmfljm xvmfljm }lbo }lbo fm{l jmfnalb` jmfnalb`lel lelb b $xnv{cbl $xnv{cblaa jm{xc jm{xc{lf {lfan an mbkci mbkcin-! n-! lblam lblam{m {m{{ inbom inbome~m e~mz{n z{nvz vzlel lelb b n{zmi n{zmil{m l{m }lbo }lbo znvel znvelmz mz jnbol jnbolb b   xnvz~i xnvz~if~dl f~dlb b necbcim necbcim xljl ~i~ib}l ~i~ib}l jlb xnvz~if xnvz~if~dlb ~dlb xnb`~lal xnb`~lalb b nknvlb nknvlb xljl

ed~{~{b} ed~{~{b}l" l" [nflolm [nflolm kcbzcd! kcbzcd! fmal fmal necbcim necbcim iniflme iniflme!! jlxlz jlxlz jmxvc}ne jmxvc}ne{mel {melb b ljlb}l ljlb}l enblmelb xnb`~lalb jmflbjmboelb xnb`~lalb zld~b ala~" Xnzl xnv{lmbolb! Lxleld `~iald xn{lmbo fnvzlifld3 Lzl~! lxleld xn{lmbo }lbo anfmd

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anild anild inbodnbz inbodnbzmelb melb cxnvl{mb cxnvl{mb}l3 }l3 Xnv~fldl Xnv~fldlb b xnzl xnv{lmbo xnv{lmbolb lb lelb ininbol ininbolv~dm v~dm  xvc}ne{m lzl{ ~bmz xnb`~lalb il~x~b enilix~lb xnv~{ldllb ~bz~e inblmeelb dlvol" Enj~l dla znv{nf~z lelb fnvjlixle xljl xnvz~if~dlb" …

Fl~vlb zcec flv~ jlb zcec alil" Zcec flv~ ~i~ib}l inbmeilzm enblmelb xnb`~lalb }lbo anfmd fn{lv jmflbjmboelb jnbolb zcec alil elvnbl zcec flv~ jlxlz invlmd xl{lv  }lbo }lbo zmjle zmjle znvz znvzlbo lbolbm lbm jnbolb jnbolb flme flme lzl~ lzl~ inb} inb}nj njmle mlelb lb ecixc{ ecixc{m{ m{mm flvlb flvlbo o znvem znvembm bm jmflbjmboelb jnbolb xn{lmbo }lbo ljl" Zcec alil ~i~ib}l z~if~d {nmvmbo jnbolb zmboelz zmboelz xnvz~if xnvz~if~dlb ~dlb necbcim necbcim ackla ackla {nklvl {nklvl en{na~v~ en{na~v~dlb" dlb" Elvnblb} Elvnblb}l! l! lblam{m{ lblam{m{ dlv~{ dlv~{ inixnvzmiflboelb vnbklbl ne{xlb{m }lbo jm~i~ielb cand ilbl`ninb"

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$VCN- inbjnelzm fml}l $e- {ndmbool alfl lfbcvila lelb dmalbo" Jnbolb jnimemlb n{zmil{m dlvol dlvol {ldli {ldli ljlald ljlald {nfn{lv {nfn{lv xvc}ne{m xvc}ne{m xnifla xniflamelb melb VCN xljl bmalm bmalm `lboel `lboel xlb`lbob xlb`lbob}l }l flom  xnv~{ldllb jlb mbj~{zvm znvznbz~"

Xniflamelb VCN

Zlixmalb Zlixmalb jm lzl{ mbm inb}l`melb inb}l`melb embnv`l VCN ~bz~e e~mbzma xnv~{ldllb" xnv~{ldllb" Ovlgme inb}l`melb bmalm injmlb zmlx xcvzcgcamc" Dl{ma xnbolilzlb }lbo znvamdlz ljlald0 <" VCN knbjnv~ knbjnv~bo bo ~bz~e eniflam eniflam en en{nmiflbo en{nmiflbolb lb `lboel `lboel xlb`lbo" xlb`lbo" Dla mbm inbknvimb inbknvimbelb elb znelblb znelblb ecixnzm ecixnzm{m" {m" Anfmd Anfmd alb`~z! alb`~z! zmboelz zmboelz xniflam xniflamelb elb flom xnv~{ldl xnv~{ldllb lb }lbo }lbo xlambo xlambo zmjle  zmjle  inbo inbo~b ~bz~ z~bo boel elb b anfm anfmd d fn{l fn{lvv jlvm jlvmxl xljl jl zmbo zmboel elzz xnif xnifla lame melb lb xnv~ xnv~{l {ldl dllb lb }lbo }lbo xlam xlambo bo inbo~bz~boelb" Jlb ledmvb}l! zmboelz xniflamelb flom xnv~{ldllb }lbo inimamem zmboelz VCN }lbo xlambo ne{zvni ljlald anfmd fn{lv jlvmxljl zmboelz xniflamelb flom xnv~{ldllb }lbo inimamem zmboelz VCN anfmd icjnvlz" 6" Xniflamelb Xniflamelb zmjle zmjle anboelx" ]lmz~! znzlx znvjlxlz znvjlxlz xnvfnjllb xnvfnjllb {nemzlv {nemzlv <6. lbzlvl xnv~{ldllb xnv~{ldllb jnbolb VCN znvzmboom jlb xnv~{ldllb jnbolb VCN znvnbjld in{emx~b {nznald <8 zld~b" Dla mbm i~boemb jm{nflfelb cand j~l dla0 xnvfnjllb vm{mec }lbo znvknvimb jlali xnvfnjllb  fml}l icjla $e-5 lzl~! zmboelz ecb{nvlzm{in }lbo anfmd zmboom $vnbjld- jlalmb enfm`lelb le~bzlb{m"

Ovlgme jm lzl{ inb}lzlelb fldwl {nflomlb xniflamelb {nan{lm {nznald {nemzlv > zld~b" Dla mbm inbj~e~b inbj~e~bo o xnboo~bl xnboo~bllb lb dcvmpcb dcvmpcb xnvlila xnvlilalb lb > zld~b zld~b flom xnv~{ld xnv~{ldllb llb znv{nf~z znv{nf~z elvnbl elvnbl zmjle  zmjle  znvjlxlz jlixle fn{lv xljl dlvol {ldli {nznald zmzme jm ilbl VCN 9 e! znvanxl{ jlvm l{~i{m zmboelz xnvz~if~dlb xnb`~lalb" VCN jmlboolx {nflolm xnboonvle bmalm $la~n jvmnv- elvnbl VCN inv~xlelb lvmlfna }lbo ininbol ininbolv~dm v~dm dlvol dlvol {ldli {ldli {nklvl {nklvl albo{~b albo{~bo" o" [nalb`~ [nalb`~zb} zb}ll ecixcbnb ecixcbnb VCL jmxnkld jmxnkld inb`ljm inb`ljm ilvomb alfl jlb xnvx~zlvlb" Ecixcbnb) ecixcbnb znv{nf~z `~ol inv~xlelb xnboonvle bmalm"

Xniflamelb Ilvomb Alfl Fnv{md

Zlixmalb jm lzl{ mbm inb}l`melb ovlgme znbzlbo xniflamelb ilvomb alfl fnv{md ~bz~e e~mbzma  xnv~{ldllb" Ovlgme mbm jmf~lz jnbolb klvl }lbo {lil jnbolb xnif~lzlb ovlgme VCN" Zlixle   `nal{ zmboelz xniflamelb xniflamelb }lbo {mobmgmelb {mobmgmelb ~bz~e xnv~{ldllb xnv~{ldllb jnbolb ilvomb alfl fnv{md $bnz xvcgmz ilvomb‚BXIilvomb‚BXI- znvzmboom jlb znvnbjld" [nalmb mz~! zmboelz xniflamelb xniflamelb ~bz~e xnv~{ldllb xnv~{ldllb jnbolb alfl znvnbjld anfmd fn{lv jlvmxljl zmboelz xniflamelb xnv~{ldllb }lbo xlambo ~bz~bo" Zmboelz   xnifla xniflamelb melb ~bz~e ~bz~e j~l enacixc enacixce e ne{zvni ne{zvni xnv~{ldl xnv~{ldllb lb znv{nf~z znv{nf~z anfmd anfmd fn{lv fn{lv jlvmxljl jlvmxljl zmboelz zmboelz   xniflamelb xnv~{ldllb jnbolb alfl }lbo anfmd icjnvlz" Jlb ledmvb}l! znzlx znvjlxlz {nam{md lbzlvl xcvzcgcamc jnbolb ilvomb alfl fnv{md znvzmboom jlb znvnbjld xljl ledmv <8 zld~b! }lbo  fn{lvb}l e~vlbo anfmd {lil jnbolb {nam{md ~bz~e VCN" Xniflamelb VCN zlixleb}l jm{nflfelb cand xniflamelb jlali ilvomb alfl fnv{md"

Xniflamelb Xnvx~zlvlb Zczla Lezml

Xnvx~zlvlb zczla lezml $zczla l{{nz z~vbcnv‚ZLZ- inv~xlelb ecixcbnb enj~l jlali VCL" Jlali zlixmalb jm lzl{ mbm jm{l`melb zmboelz xniflamelb xnvx~zlvlb zczla lezml }lbo jmf~lz

jnbol jnbolb b klvl klvl }lbo }lbo {lil {lil jnbol jnbolb b ovlgme ovlgme znvjl znvjld~a d~a~" ~" _lal~ _lal~x~b x~b zlix zlixle le ljlb} ljlb}ll xnifla xniflame melb! lb! zmboelzb}l anfmd enkma jlvm zmboelz xniflamelb ~e~vlb xvcgmzlfmamzl{" [nalmb mz~! znvjlxlz zmboelz  xnvx~zlvlb lezml }lbo fnvlvml{m lbzlvl xnv~{ldllb jnbolb xnvx~zlvlb znvzmboom jlb znvnbjld" Dla mbm inbknvimbelb zmboelz mbznb{mzl{ icjla" Xljl Xljl {llz {llz xnif xnif~l ~lzl zlb b n{zm n{zmi il{m! l{m! xvc} xvc}ne ne{m {m ilvom lvomb b alfl alfl jlb jlb zmbo zmboel elzz xnvx xnvx~z ~zlv lvlb lb xnva xnva~ ~ inixnvz inixnvzmif miflboe lboelb lb xcal xniflam xniflamelb elb }lbo }lbo ~i~i ~i~i jlb zmboelz zmboelz xnboonvl xnboonvle e bmalm bmalm jlvm vlzl)vl vlzl)vlzl zl   `lboel xlb`lbob}l" Anfmd alb`~z! jmxnva~elb xnvdlzmlb lzl{ elvleznvm{zme mbj~{zvm {nflolmilbl jmz~b`~eelb cand zlixmalb fldwl znvjlxlz xnvfnjllb xljl ilvomb alfl fnv{md" Jlb ledmvb}l dcvmpcb xvc}ne{m zmjle xnva~ znvala~ xlb`lbo elvnbl lelb inbo~vlbom en}lemblb lzl{ xvc}ne{m jlb VCN knbjnv~bo eniflam inbjnelz en fml}l icjla {nalil xnvmcjn wlez~ }lbo vnalzmg   xnbjne"

XNVLILALB @LBOEL XNBJNE  ^bz~e lblam{m{ ame~mjmzl{ `lboel xnbjne! {lald {lz~ lalz }lbo fnvo~bl ljlald xnvlilalb el{   `lboel `lboel xnbjne xnbjne ${dcvz) ${dcvz)znvi znvi kl{d gcvnkl{z gcvnkl{zmbombo-"" Xnvlil Xnvlilalb alb el{ `lboel `lboel xnbjne xnbjne jmimblz jmimblzmm cand  xnboo~bl mbznvbla {nxnvzm ilbl`nv jlb l~jmzcv ~bz~e inbonla~l{m lezmmzl{ cxnvl{m xnv~{ldllb {llz mbm jlb il{l jnxlb" Xnvlilalb mbm `~ol jmimblzm cand xnboo~bl ne{znvbla {nxnvzm evnjmzcv    `lboel `lboel xnbjne xnbjne o~bl inbmal inbmalmm enilix enilix~lb ~lb xnv~{ldl xnv~{ldllb lb ~bz~e ~bz~e ina~bl{ ina~bl{mm ~zlbo ~zlbo `lboel `lboel xnbjne" xnbjne" Lblam{m{ mbm inbnelbelb xljl xnvlilalb el{ `lboel xnbjne {llz enilix~lb xnv~{ldllb ~bz~e  ininb~dm enwl`mflb `lboel xnbjneb}l jmvlo~elb" Enle~vlzlb xnvlilalb lv~{ el{ fnvflbjmbo znvfla znvflame me jnbolb jnbolb dcvmp dcvmpcb cb xnvli xnvlila lalb lb ‚ilem ‚ilemb b alil alil xnvmc xnvmcjn jn xnvli xnvlilal lalb! b! ilemb ilemb fnve~v fnve~vlb lbo o enlbjlalb xnvlilalb znv{nf~z" Dla mbm jm{nflfelb `~iald jlb ecixane{mzl{ glezcv) glezcv }lbo ininbolv~dm lv~{ el{ il{~e jlb lv~{ el{ ena~lv }lbo zmjle jlxlz jmn{zmil{m {nklvl lbjla jlali   `lboel xlb`lbo" Jlali xnvlilalb `lboel xnbjne x~b! jmxnva~elb mbgcvil{m }lbo `~ialdb}l {mobmgmelb" Elvnbl xnvlilalb lv~{ el{ fnvolbz~bo xljl mbgcvil{m }lbo znv{njml flom x~fame! z~`~lb z~`~lb lblam{ lblam{ mbm ljlald ljlald xnvlila xnvlilalb lb }lbo }lbo k~e~x k~e~x le~vlz" le~vlz" Jnbolb Jnbolb inixnal inixnal`lvm `lvm jlb inif~lz inif~lz  xnvlilalb lv~{ el{! lblam{m{ lelb inbodl{maelb xlbjlbolb }lbo anfmd a~l{ lzl{ xcal lv~{ el{  xnv~{ldllb"

XCAL LV^[ EL[ Xcal lv~{ el{ xnbzmbo ~bz~e jmxnal`lvm {nfna~i inbo~`m icjna ~bz~e lblam{m{ jlb xvc}ne{m lv~{ el{" El{ jlb {nzlvl el{ ${nalb`~zb}l jm{nf~z ‑el{’- inv~xlelb lezml }lbo xlambo ame~mj" Dlixmv  {na~v~ {na~v~d d enx~z~ enx~z~{lb {lb ilbl` ilbl`ni ninb nb ~bz~e ~bz~e inale inale~el ~elb b mbn{z mbn{zl{m l{m lezm lezmll lzl~ lzl~ inif inifl} l}lv lv fnflb fnflb ininva~elb el{" Dla mbm inb}nflfelb ilbl`ninb anfmd fnvgce~{ xljl el{ jlvmxljl ecb{nx jlbl ame~mj almbb}l" Fnfnvlxl xnboo~bl ${nxnvzm evnjmzcv- eljlbo elal inbolboolx leml {nxnvzm   xm~zlbo jlb xnv{njmllb {nflolm flomlb jlvm lezml }lbo ame~mj inbombolz xc{ znv{nf~z lelb znvecbnv{m inb`ljm el{ jlali wlez~ jnelz" El{ }lbo jmimamem zmjle inbodl{maelb lzl~ dl{mab}l enkma! jlb jlali {mz~l{m enblmelb dlvol! el{ ${nxnvzm {ni~l lezml icbnznv- inbodljlxm xnb~v~blb jl}l fnam" Bli~b jnimemlb! el{ inimamem vm{mec }lbo xlambo enkma" Ilbl`ninb fnvzlboo~bo`lwlf lzl{ enx~z~{lb ~bz~e mbn{zl{m el{ jlali   fnbz~ fnbz~e e lezm lezmll lzl~ lzl~ ~bz~e ~bz~e inif inifl} l}lv lv fml}l fml}l"" Ecbnv Ecbnv{m {m el{ mbm inbmb inbmboel oelzel zelb b vm{me vm{mec c elvnbl elvnbl  xni~amdlb  xni~amdlb el{ jlvm lezmmzl{)lezmmzl{ lezmmzl{)lezmmzl{ znv{nf~z {mglzb}l e~vlbo xl{zm" Znvjlxlz fnvloli `nbm{ jlb zmboelz vm{mec }lbo znvelmz jnbolb ecbnv{m el{ znv{nf~z" [nflolm kcbzcd! vm{mec ecbnv{m el{ inb`ljm mbn{zl{m {ninbzlvl `lboel xnbjne anfmd vnbjld jlvmxljl vm{mec ecbnv{m el{ inb`ljm lezml `lboel xlb`lbo {nxnvzm xlfvme jlb xnvlalzlb" Mbn{zl{m el{ jlali lezml lzl~ fml}l ~bz~e  inboniflboelb jlb inil{lvelb xvcj~e flv~ inimamem vm{mec xni~amdlb inb`ljm el{ }lbo anfmd anfmd zmboom" zmboom" Ame~mjm Ame~mjmzl{ zl{ `lboel `lboel xnbjne xnbjne il~x~b il~x~b {calfma {calfmamzl mzl{{ `lboel `lboel xlb`lbo xlb`lbo fnvolbz~ fnvolbz~bo bo xljl  xni~amdlb jlb enilix~lb vnlam{l{m xnbona~lvlb el{" Lv~{ el{ il{~e jlb lv~{ el{ ena~lv znvelmz {lz~ {lil almb" Enololalb {lald {lz~ l{xne lezmmzl{   fm{bm{ fm{bm{ xnv~{ldl xnv~{ldllb lb lelb fnvjlix fnvjlixle le xljl en{na~v en{na~v~dlb ~dlb {m{zni {m{zni lv~{ el{" Enolola Enololalb lb xnb`~lal xnb`~lalb b   fnvjlix fnvjlixle le xljl ecbnv{m ecbnv{m xnv{njml xnv{njmllb lb inb`ljm inb`ljm xm~zlbo xm~zlbo jlb el{! inbolem inbolemflze flzelb lb xnb~v~bl xnb~v~blb b enznv{njmllb enznv{njmllb el{! enzmjleilix~lb enzmjleilix~lb xnv~{ldllb ~bz~e inboolbzm el{ jlvm {~ifnv {nxnvzm ne~mzl{!   xmb`lilb! jlb ~zlbo ~{ldl jlxlz inbodliflz lezmmzl{ xvcj~e{m jlb inv~omelb xnb`~lalb jm il{l jnxlb" [nflameb}l! iniflzl{m xnbona~lvlb xljl xc{ {nxnvzm mealb jlb xnil{lvlb jlxlz inixnvaliflz ecbnv{m xnv{njmllb inb`ljm xm~zlbo jlb el{" Xniflzl{lb `lboel xlb`lbo lzl{ lv~{ el{ ena~lv lzl{ lv~{ el{ il{~e jlxlz inb~v~belb {calfmamzl{ xnv~{ldllb" Enznvelmzlb lbzlvl lv~{ el{! lev~la! jlb alfl dlv~{ jm{nvzlelb jlali lblam{m{" [llz xnv{njmllb  flvlbo `ljm }lbo inv~xlelb le~i~al{m flb}le fml}l jlb fnflb jm`~la! ilvomb alfl xnv~{ldllb inbodl{maelb inbodl{maelb lv~{ il{~e jlbl ame~mj inala~m xm~zlbo jlb el{" Ilemb zmboom ilvomb alfl! ilemb  fn{lv xnvz~if~dlb jlbl ame~mj" Alfl znv~zlil fnvl{la jlvm {nam{md lbzlvl xnb`~lalb jlb dlvol

 xcece xnb`~lalb $alfl eczcv- jlb inimamem jlixle }lbo fnvloli lzl{ lv~{ el{" Flb}le fml}l! {nxnvzm fml}l }lbo fnvl{la jlvm xnboo~bllb lezml znzlx lzl~ fnflb }lbo jmzlboo~delb! zmjle  ininva~elb xnifl}lvlb el{" [lil dlab}l jnbolb xc{ {nxnvzm xnb`~lalb zlbld {nklvl kmkmalb  `lboel xlb`lbo }lbo inbodl{maelb xm~zlbo zle albklv }lbo iniflzl{m vnanlb{m lev~la flom lv~{ el{! ~e~vlb)~e~vlb znv{nf~z dlv~{ jmo~blelb {nklvl znxlz jlali lblam{m{ ~bz~e inbmalm xcal lv~{ el{" Lv~{ el{ inimamem enznvflzl{lb jlali {lz~ dla xnbzmbo" [llz xnv~{ldllb inixnvcand el{ il{~e! ilbl`ni ilbl`ninb nb inimam inimamem em wnwnbl wnwnblbo bo ~bz~e ~bz~e inbnbz~ inbnbz~elb elb xnboo~bl xnboo~bllbb} lbb}l" l" Xmamdl Xmamdlb b xnboo~bl xnboo~bllbb} lbb}ll znvolbz~ znvolbz~bo bo xljl ecimzin ecimzinb b xnifl}l xnifl}lvlb vlb {nxnvzm {nxnvzm jmmjnb! jmmjnb! le~i~al{ le~i~al{mm xnv{njm xnv{njmllb! llb! xnbona~l xnbona~lvlb vlb icjla! lzl~ xnifl}lvlb ~zlbo" Lv~{ el{ `~ol fnvolbz~bo xljl enilix~lb xnv~{ldllb ~bz~e  inbjl inbjlxlz xlzelb elb jlbl jlbl jlvm jlvm fnvflo fnvflolm lm {~ifnv {~ifnv {nxnv {nxnvzm zm ne~mz ne~mzl{ l{ jlb jlb ~zlbo ~zlbo"" Ilbl` Ilbl`ni ninb nb inim inimame amemm wnwnblbo fn{lv lzl{ xnboo~bllb lv~{ el{ il{~e }lbo zmjle jmecimzinbelb $jm{nf~z {nflolm lv~{ el{ fnfl{-" Ecixcbnb lv~{ el{ fnfl{ mbm xnbzmbo jlb inb`ljm xnvdlzmlb ed~{~{ jlali lblam{m{"

XNBZMBOB]L XNVLILALB XNB@^LALB Enbjlal xnvlilalb alfl fnvolbz~bo xljl e~lamzl{ xnvlilalb xnb`~lalb" Xnvlilalb xnb`~lalb inamx~zm lblam{m{ lzl{0 …

Lvld jlb zvnb xnb`~lalb

…

Xlbo{l xl{lv 

…

Ecbjm{m mbj~{zvm jlb necbcim

…

Elxl{mzl xvcj~e{m jlb en~lbolb

…

Glezcv ecixnzm{m

XNVLILALB LV^[ EL[ JNBOLB LBLAM[M XVC GCVIL Enwl`lvlb jlb enal}lelb vlilalb el{ `lboel xnbjne fml{lb}l jm~`m jnbolb alxcvlb en~lbolb  xvc gcvil $xvc gcvil gmblbkmla {zlzninbz-" Alxcvlb en~lbolb xvc gcvil jmo~blelb ~bz~e  inbodmz~bo vl{mc en~lbolb jlb inb}mix~aelb d~f~bolb almbb}l! jlb jmflbjmboelb jnbolb

jlzl dm{zcvmn{ ~bz~e inbo~`m enal}lelb" Xnvflbjmbolb mbm dlv~{ inb}nvzlelb xnb}n{~lmlb ~bz~e  dla)dla }lbo jmxnvemvlelb inixnbolv~dm {nalil xnvmcjn }lbo jmvlilaelb" Alxcvlb xvc gcvil znv{nf~z dlv~{ jm~`m {nklvl evmzm{ jlb jm~`m enal}lelbb}l lzl{ vlilalb jlb l{~i{m)l{~i{mb}l" Vl{mc jlb d~f~bolb }lbo jm{mix~aelb jlali alxcvlb en~lbolb xvc gcvil dlv~{ jmnla~l{m jlb jmflbjmboelb jnbolb vl{mc dm{zcvm{ ~bz~e inbnbz~elb enwl`lvlb jlb enal}lelbb}l" Znv{njml xvcovli {xvnlj{dnnz nanezvcbme ~bz~e iniflbz~ lblam{m{ xvc gcvil" Eni~jldlb inv~fld lvmlfan ~bz~e ~`m {nb{mzmmzl{ inbmboelzelb ilbgllz alxcvlb xvc gcvil" bli~b jnimemlb! eni~jldlb jlb gane{mfnamzl{ xvcovli {ndlv~{b}l zmjle vlbk~ jnbolb xnva~b}l inboniflboelb jlb inbo~`m n{zmil{m jlb l{~i{m }lbo inbjl{lvm" Enwl`lvlb n{zmil{m jlb l{~i{m xnbzmbo! fnvme~z ilbgllz lblam{m znv{nf~z fnvolbz~bo xljl nla~l{m evmzm{ jlb xnbmalmlb emzl! f~elb fnvolbz~bo xljl znebcacom"

XLBJ^LB @L_LFLB XLBJLBOLB LBLAM[M[ Xmlalbo {ldli

Xnvfljllb lbzlvl vlilalb lv~{ el{ jnbolb alfl fna~i znbz~ xna~ jmedlwlzmvelb" Flb}le   xnv~{ldllb }lbo {njlbo z~if~d inbolalim lv~{ el{ xc{mzmg vnbjld lzl~ zmjle ljl {lil {nelam jlali wlez~ jnelz" Lv~{ el{ `lboel xnbjne }lbo vnbjld mbm znbz~ {l`l jmdlvlxelb inbodl{maelb lv~{ el{ jm lzl{ vlzl)vlzl xljl il{l jnxlb" Lblam{m{ dlv~{ inamdlz ecixcbnb)ecixcbnb lv~{ el{ il~x~b alfl ~bz~e ini~z~{elb mbn{zl{m jlali {ldli xnvjlbl xnv~{ldllb" Xnifnvm xmb`lilb

Alboeld lwla jlali xnifnvmlb xmb`lilb ljlald inbnvmil lzl~ inbcale xnb`nal{lb ilbl`ninb lzl{ alxcvlb xnb`~lalb" @mel xnb`nal{lb inbn`ninb zmjle jmj~e~bo jnbolb f~ezm }lbo cf`nezmg!  xnifnvm xmb`lilb dlv~{ inbcale xnvicdcblb xmb`lilb  Bli~b `mel xnb`nal{lb ilbl`ninb jlxlz jm~`m enfnblvlbb}l xnifnvm xmb`lilb jlxlz inbmalm zmboelz vlilalb xnb`~lalb {nvzl enzmjlexl{zmlbb}l" Lblam{ vlilalb xnb`~lalb dlv~{ inixnvzmiflboelb glezcv necbcim }lbo xnbzmbo znvil{~e xnvimbzllb xnalboolb! ecixnzm{m mbj~{zvm! fml}l xnil{ce! jlb elxl{mzl{#e~lamzl{ xvcj~e{m xnv~{ldllb"