STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
UBS Technology M&A Discussion of Current Industry Trends
March 2005
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Table of Contents SECTION 1
M&A Market Conditions
2
SECTION 2
M&A Drivers and Considerations
8
SECTION 3
UBS Overview
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1
SECTION 1
M&A Market Conditions
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M&A Volume in the US Current rebound in activity across all industries is reflective of a return to a healthier market j
j
Large, strategic combinations are back²Proctor & Gamble / Gil lette, JPMorgan / BankOne, Cing ular / AT&T Wireless, Sprint / Nextel, Oracle / PeopleSoft, Symantec / Veritas, Johnson & John son / Guidant and Wachovia / S unTr ust Significant financial sponsor activity in the middle market Taking advantage of de pressed market condition s and attractive debt market s
±
1,500
1,411 1,328
1,250
1,219
1,045 1,000 ) n o i l l i b n i
Volume up 41% in 2004 vs. 2003
750
$ (
608 530
529
500
433
407 296 250
97
110
116
1991
1992
1993
154
0
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Source: Securities Data Cor poration
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Technology M&A Activity Technology M&A olume Has Increased Steadily Since 2002 Lows
500
$485
450
95
$1bn - $10bn 2,500
< $1bn
400
) s n o i l l i B $ S U ( e u l a V l a e D
3,000
> $10bn
No. of Deals
350
2,000
$311
300 65
233
250
1,500
200 $143
150
148
1,000 $124
25 100
$85
26 50
157 98
58
$103
24
60
36 65
58
$65
$64
19
17
46
47
22 15
500
65
0
0 1997
No. of Deals
N o . o f D e a l s
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
1,133
1,409
1,862
2,648
1,705
1,318
1,329
1,508
Source: Securities Data Cor poration Note: Oracle/PeopleSoft included as 2004 tran saction, original ho stile offer was fir st launched in Q3 2003
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M&A Deal Activity is Intensifying Market recovery in 2003 and stability in 2004 have increased cor orate confidence and created an environment conducive to M&A transactions j
j
Technolog y companies are exiting defen sive, "survive the downt urn" mentality and reviewing strategic options ± Recalibrating under invested businesses ± Capturing upside as economic conditions continue to im prove Technolog y M&A deal vol ume increased 60% in 2004 ± M&A pipeline is expected to be strong for 2005
Number of Announced Transactions 1
Technology M&A Deal
500 400 300
281
325
352
371
399
370
394
olume (US$ Billions) 1
120 345
80
200
60%
(1%)
100 $64.9
102.6
$64.2
60
100
40 Q1
Q2
Q3 2003
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2002
2003
2004
2004
j
179 additional tran sactions were announced in 2004 com pared with 2003
j
Volume of di scussions has intensified drastically
Source: Security Data Cor poration Note: 1 Oracle/PeopleSoft included as 2004 tran saction, original ho stile offer was fir st launched in Q2 2003
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M&A and IPO Activity in the Technology Sector Number of Announced M&A Transactions and IPO Filings 3,000
3 0 30
2, 4 300
2, 00 s l a e A & M d e c n u o n n A f o . o N
2 0
23 2,000
,
2 , 0
,40
, 00 , 33 ,000
200 , 0 ,32
,3
0 24 00
N o . o f I P O s F i l e d
00 0
00
0 23
2
0
0 2000 M&A
200
2002
2003
2004
IPO
Source: Securities Data Cor poration and UBS E uity Capital Market s Group Note: Oracle/PeopleSoft included as 2004 M&A tran saction, original hostile offer was fir st launched in Q3 2003
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SECTION 2
M&A Drivers and Considerations
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Principal Drivers of Technology M&A
Achieve Scale
Expand Pr oduct ff ering
j
Critical mass and fi nancial str engt h
j
Cust omer lever age
j
Incr eased distri buti on and sales support
j
Market p ositi on consolidati on
j
Leapfr og competition
j
New
j
Captur e new cust omer bases
Complet e Soluti on
pr oduct or geogr aphy
j
uy vs. make
j
ngineering t alent and/or management acquisiti on
j
Off er
market entry
ti me t o market
ff-income st at ement
j
Fill
j
Capit alize on inst alled base
j
cceler at e ti me t o market
j j
pr oduct gaps
Str engt hen channel part ner ships
ff er one-st op shop
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M&A Considerations A number of factors to consider in ursuing any M&A transaction
Business
Rati onale
Financial
Consider ati ons
j
Compelling str at egic r ati onale
j
Cr eat e or consolidat e market l eader ship p ositi on
j
ssenti al new t echno logies, market s or pr oducts
j
Tr ansaction multiples compar ed t o public compar ables and pr ecedent tr ansactions
j
Impact on combined company r evenue and ear nings gr ow t h tr ajectories
j
ff ect on mar gins
j
evenue and cost syner gies
j
PS accr eti on / dilution
j
Market p ercepti on of t ar get company / mer ger p art ner
M ar ket
j
Consist ent, simple t o under st and st ory
Reacti on
j
Financial
j
Price paid / consider ati on mix
j
Time t o closur e
Executi on Risk
j
par amet er clarity
nti-trust / r egulat ory
j
Tight contr act t er ms
j
Int egr ati on str at egy
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Process Considerations Public Offering ersus Sale
Initial Public Offering PROS: j
Primar y shareholder s retain voting control and exi sting management contin ues to execute the strategic vision of the business
j
Proceed s from an IPO can be used to increase scale through ac uisitions or f uel organic growth
j
Shareholder s can participate in potential upside should the business continue to exec ute and m arket conditions remain favorable
Sale of Business PROS: j
Reduces or eliminates execution risks of the c urrent business plan as well as f uture capital market uncertainties
j
M&A valuation includes control premium
j
Can offer a more immediate path to li uidity for current shareholder s
j
Avoids the costs associated with being a public company
j
Partnering increases opportunity to cross-sell and up-sell through larger di stribution platform and gain ra pid critical mass to better com pete
CONS j
j
j
j
The organization m ust take on the co sts associated with public filing and com pliance re uirements while managing greater scr utiny by investor s
CONS: j
An IPO lock- up prevents current shareholder s from achieving immediate li uidity
Primar y shareholder s relin uish voting control and new management exec utes the strategic vision of the com pany
j
There is a high degree of uncertainty in f uture capital market conditions
Cash transactions eliminate the upside participation in the pro forma com pany
j
Integration and exec ution risk of combined b usiness
There is the potential for a down side in valuation should the business lose traction
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Sarbanes-Oxley 404 Compliance Benefits
Costs
j
Intended to re store investor confidence in U.S. public markets
j
Drives greater consistency and transparenc y in reported filings
j
Increa sed executive accountability over financial reporting
j
Increa sed spending at the CFO and CTO level to meet compliance criteria
Advisory Services s. IT S ending Mix for SOX Com liance
) s
n o i l l i $
4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0
j
Increa sed cost of being public, especially small cap companies
j
Entail s significant allocation of re sources
j
Not meeting SOX deadline re uirements or announcing inade uacies in significant control s can have negative effect on stock price ± UTStarcom ± Chordiant Software ± Inter pu blic Group
Antici ated Technology S ending to Su Com liance
ort SOX
Securit y
1
Stora e
52
Process Control
40
ecord Mana e ent
39
usiness ntelli ence
2003
2004 Advisor y Services
Source: Gartner 2004 e stimates
2005
200 IT Spendin
2007
3
P 0
30 10
20
30
40
50
0
70
Source: Forrester Research survey of 454 technology decision-maker s
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Typical Timing of an M&A Transaction Illustrative Timeline of a Sell-Side Controlled Auction Engagement Weeks Activity
Action
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Organizational meeting s
Due Diligence and Pre aration
Due diligence m eeting s Information Memorandum Preparation of management presentation Finalize buyer list Initiate contact with buyer s
Marketing
Deliver Information Memorand um Finalize management presentation and data room Buyer due diligence
Receipt and review of final proposals
Negotiations and Closing
Negotiate and sign definitive agreement Closing
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SECTION 3
UBS Overview
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UBS²A Leading Global Financial Services Firm Our strength is backed by industry accolades
³Wall Street Powerhouse´ FORBES 2004
The UBS Way
BLOOMBERG 2004
World¶s Best Investment Bank EUROMONEY 2004
Best Investment Bank THE ECONOMIST 2003
World¶ s Best Bank EUROMONEY 2003
³
³
UBS is a banking giant b ut, a Wall Street powerhouse? Oh Yes. This is a house« that¶ s grown out of its regional shell to assume premier proportions in world finance. B ut it¶s the push into the rarified realm of Inve stment Banking that sets UBS apart. ³BIG KID ON THE BLOCK´
World¶s Best Investment Bank INVESTMENT DEALERS¶ DIGEST 2002
UBS has achieved what once seemed im possible for any European investment bank: it ha s broken into the front rank in the US market, source of roughly half the global inve stment banking fee pool. In the 12 month s ending in April 2004, it doubled its share in announced US M&A deal s.
´
WORLD¶S BEST IN ESTMENT BANK
´
EUROMONEY 2004
FORBES
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UBS²A Leading M&A Advisor with Rapid Improvement in Market Share
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#
2003±2004 of Transactions / Market Share 1
2003±2004 Market Share ver sus 2000²2002
oldman Sachs
459 42
JP Morgan Citigroup
1 . % 1 .0%
40
Morgan Stanley
12.2% 10. %
CSF
22
1 . %
10. %
+2 % Lehman ros
Deut sche ank
JP Morgan
Merrill Lynch
2 2
. %
Morgan Stanley
Lazard
197
. %
(1%)
Citigroup
. %
.1%
+ %
Goldman Sachs
2 5
252
+ %
Lazard
Deut sche ank
Lehman ros
+9%
(2%) (5%) (11%)
Merrill Lynch CSF
(2 %) (
%)
Notes: Data represents all M&A deal s worldwide greater than $100 million in tran saction value. Full credit given to ac uiror and target advi sor(s). Excludes withdrawn deal s, e uity carveouts, exchange offer s, and open market repurchases 1 Market share based on number of transaction s. Market shares do not sum to 100% due to multiple advisor s on each tran saction (e.g., target advi sor and ac uiror advi sor)
UBS has ositioned itself as one of the leading M&A advisors worldwide and has un recedented momentum, ca turing more market share than any other bank since 2002
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Overview of UBS Technology M&A Group Technology M&A Ex ertise j
j
Strong technolog y-focused M&A presence with deep industr y knowledge and company relationships Experienced in a wide range of advi sor y assignments ± Buyer advisor y ± Seller advi sor y ± Cross-border transactions ± Merger of e uals ± Shareholder val ue protection ± Leveraged tran sactions
2004 Technology M&A Transactions Less Than $1 Billion Financial
Adv isor oldman Sachs Co Mo r gan St anley Cr edit Suisse Fir st ost on BS JP Mo r gan anc of merica Securities LLC Citi gr oup Jeff eries Co Lehman r ot her s ot hschild
Rank
Value ($mm ) . 7,
4
7 8
, .4 , 7. 4,4 . 4, 75 .4 , 48 . , 4. , . , .4 ,492 .
No. of Deals
7
11 4
Source: SDC
Selected Recent Transactions
Febr uar y
Febr uar y
S 415 million Sale to e ay
S 850 million Sale of Selected ynCor p nit s to eritas Capital
M ay
M ar ch
S 380 million Sale to Serena Soft w are
S 4 3 million Sale to SafeNet
November S 137million Sale to Ci sco Systems
July S 170 million Sale to Find hat.com
S 3 million Acq uisition of NPTest
Januar y S 01 million Sale to Man pow er
Januar y S 4 7 million Financial estr ucturing
November US 295 million Sale to NetScreen
M ay
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Contact Information
UBS Securities LLC 555 California Street Suite 4650 San Francisco CA 94104 Tel. 1-415-352 5650
www.ubs.com
UBS Inve stment Bank is a business group of UBS AG UBS Sec urities LLC is a subsidiar y of UBS AG
This p resentationhas been p reparedby UBSSec urities LLC(³UBS´)fortheexclusive use o f r e cipient(togetherwithits su bsidiarie s andaffiliates,the³company´) usinginformationp rovidedb y thecompan y andother publicly availableinformation. UBS has notindependently verifiedthe informationcontainedherein,nor doe s UBSmakeany representationorwarranty,eitherexp ress o r i mplied,a s totheaccuracy,completeness orreliability ofthe informationcontainedin this presentation. Any e s timates or projections as toe vents thatma y occur i n t he f u t ure(incl uding projections ofrevenue , e xpense, netincomeand s tock performance)are based uponthebe st judgmentof UBSfromthe informationprovidedby thecompany andother publicly available informationas ofthedateof this p resentation. Therei s no g uaranteethatany ofthese estimates or projections will be achieved. Actua l r esults willvar y fromthe projections and such variati ons may be material. Nothing contained hereinis, or s hallbe relied upon as, a promise o r r epresentati on as tothe past o r fu tur e. U BS e xpressly disclaims any andall liabili ty relati ngor resulting fromthe use o f t his p resentation. This p resentationhas been prepared solel y forinformational pur poses a n d is nottobe constr ued as a solic ita tio nor anoffertobuy or sellany s ecurities or relatedfinancialinstr uments . T he c o mpan y s houldnotconstr ue thecontents ofthis p resentation as legal,tax,accountingor investmentadviceor a recommendation. Thecompan ys houldconsultits owncounsel,tax andfinancialadvisor s a s tolegal andrelatedmatter s concerningan y transactiondescribedherein. This p resentationdoes not pur port tobe all-in clusiveor toconta inalloftheinformati onwhich the com pany may re uire. Noinvestment, divestmentor otherfinancialdecisions oractions s houl d b e b ased solely on theinformati onin this p resentation. This p resentationhas been p reparedon aconfidentialbasis s olely forthe useandbenefitofthecompan y; providedthatthe company andany ofits em plo yees, rep resentatives,or otheragents ma y di sclose t o a ny andall per sons, withoutlimitationofa ny kind,thetax treatmentandtax str uct ur e o f t h e t r a nsactionand allmaterials o f a ny kind(including opinions orothertaxanalyses )thatare providedtothecompan y relating to suchtaxtreatmentand taxs tr uct ur e. D istributionofthis p resentationto any per sonotherthanthecompany andthose per sons retained toadvisethecompany is unauthorized. This materia lm ust n ot b e c opied,reproduced,distributedor passedtoother s atany timewithout t he priorwrittenconsentofUBS.
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