Tradersworld#69.pdf

THE OFFICI OFFICIA A L MAGA MAGAZINE ZINE OF TECHN TECHNICAL ICAL A NALYS NALYSIS IS

TRADERSWORLD Ap A p r i l /May /May/J /Ju u n e 2018

Iss Is s u e #69

Gann Again… and A Gain S&P500: How It Repeats Itself Eruption of the Invincible Speculator In the Nick of Time How to Participate in The Master Cycle Breakouts that Happen 98% of the Time The Isolation Approach to Elliott Wave Analysis Stock Market Topped Topped January Janu ary 26th 2018 I was Using Geodetics in the Stock Market One Day Out as a Natal Astrological Technique Of Cycles, Cycle s, Targets Targets and Confirmation

Take Your Trading and Investing Future into Your Your Own Hands H ands

Gann Knew K new What Goes Up Must Go Down

Improving Moving Average Systems with Andrews Pitchfork

WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

1

Advertisers April/May/June 2018 Issue #69

World Cup Trading Championships 03 World Cup Advisor 04 Market Warrior 05 Dan Zanger’s ChartPattern.com 07 Magic in the Markets 08 SacredScience 09 SacredScience 22 DeLorean time waves SPX 32 OddsTrader OddsTrader Apps 55 WDGann 60 MTPredictor 69 NeverLossTrading NeverLossTrading 80 Hawkeye Traders 112 Timing Solution 124 The Market Timing Report 138

Editor-in-Chief

Larry Jacobs - Winner of the World Cup rading Championship for stocks in 2001. BS, MS in Business and author of 6 trading books. Copyright 2018 Halliker’s, Halliker’s, Inc. All rights reserved. Information in this publication must not be reproduced in any form without written permission from the publisher. raders World™ (ISSN 1045-7690) is published usually 4 to 4 times a year by Halliker’s, Inc., 2508 W. Grayrock Dr., Springfield, MO 65810. Te subscription to raders World is $19.95 per year normally it it $34.95. Tat gives you access to next issues plus all the past issues in a p df format for 1 year. Created in the U.S.A. is prepared from information believed to be reliable but not guaranteed us without further verification and does not purport to be complete. Futures and options trading are speculative and involves risk of loss. Opinions expressed are subject to revision without further notification. We are not offering to buy or sell securities or commodities discussed. Halliker’s Inc., one or more of its officers, and/or authors may have a position in the securities or commodities discussed herein. Any article that shows hypothetical or stimulated performance results have certain inherent limitations, unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not already been executed, the results may have under - or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designated with the benefits of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Te names of products and services presented in this magazine are used only in editorial fashion and to the benefit of the trademark owner with no intention of infringing on trademark rights. Products and services in the raders World Catalog are subject to availability and prices are subject to change without notice. Although Halliker’s, Inc. is interested in presenting you with advertisements for quality products and services, Halliker’s, Inc. cannot spend the time to do the due diligence it takes to ensure that only reliable services and products are advertised with us. Also Halliker’s, Inc. dba radersworld may be an affilate with some of our writers and advertisers.

radersworld.com and radersworldonlineexpo.com and the magazine radersworld are owned, operated and published by Halliker’s, Inc. and contains advertisements, sponsored content, content, paid insertions, affiliate links or other forms of monetization. Tese sights and the magazine abides by word of mouth marketing standards. We believe in honesty of relationship, opinion and identity. Te compensation received may influence the advertising content, content, topics or posts made in this blog. Tat content, advertising space or post will be clearly identified as paid or sponsored content. radersworld radersworld is never directly compensated to provide opinion on products, services, websites and various other topics. Te views and opinions expressed on this website are purely those of the authors. If we claim or appear to be experts on a certain topic or product or service area, we will only endorse products products or services that we believe, based on our expertise, are worthy of such endorsement. Any product claim, statistic, quote or other representation representation about a product or ser vice should be verified with the manufacturer or provider. Tis site does not contain any content which might present a conflict of interest and makes no representations, representations, warranties, or assurances as to the accuracy, currency or completeness of the content contain on this website or any sites linked to or from this site. Affiliate Disclosure - Some ads in this magazine may contain contain affiliate links which are a means for this magazine to earn money. IMPORAN NOICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Tere is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. rading securities is not suitable for everyone. Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. Tis website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/ Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. Te past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. CFC RULE 4.41 – HYPOHEICAL OR SIMULAED PERFORMANCE RESULS HAVE CERAIN LIMIAIONS. UNLIKE AN ACUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULAED RESULS DO NO REPRESEN ACUAL RADING. ALSO, SINCE HE RADES HAVE NO BEEN EXECUED, HE RESULS MAY HAVE UNDEROR-OVER COMPENSAED FOR HE IMPAC, IF ANY, OF CERAIN MARKE FACORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDIY. SIMULAED RADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJEC O HE FAC HA HEY ARE DESIGNED WIH HE BENEFI OF HINDSIGH. NO REPRESENAION IS BEING MADE HA ANY ACCOUN WILL OR IS LIKELY O ACHIEVE PROFI OR LOSSES SIMILAR O HOSE SHOWN. Use of any of this information is entirely at your own risk, for which Halliker’s, Inc. dba raders World its affiliates, employees or owners will not be liable. Neither we nor any third parties provide any warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy, timeliness, performance, performance, completeness, or suitability of the information and content found or offered in the material for any particular purpose. You acknowledge that such information and materials may contain inaccuracies or errors and we expressly exclude liability for any such inaccuracies or errors to the fullest extent permitted by law. All information exists for nothing other than entertainment entertainment and general educational purposes. We are not registered trading advisors.


April/May/June 2018

2


April/May/June 2018

3


April/May/June 2018

4


April/May/June 2018

5

Contents

April/May/June 2018 Issue #69

Gann Again… and A Gain by Gordon Roberts 10 S&P500: How It Repeats Itself by Daniele Prandelli 15

TradersWorld Magazine Premium Subscription Get everything we have for only $19.95 per year Save 50% over our regular subscription of $39.95

Eruption of the Invincible Speculator by Joel Rensink 23 In the Nick of Time by Rick Rick Versteeg Versteeg 33 ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS - EXPANDING FLATS & NASDAQ’s FORECAST for APRIL/MAY ‘18 by Peter Goodburn 39 How to Participate in Breakouts that Happen 98% of the Time by Rob Mitchell 45 STOCK MARKET TOPPED 26th JANUARY 2018, I WAS ONE DAY OUT. The “House wife astrologers” are at a lost to why by David Burton 50

QUARTERLY MAGAZINE SUBSCRIPTION

OF CYCLES, TARGETS TARGETS AND CONFIRMATION C ONFIRMATION by George Krum 56

Read articles explaining classical trading

GANN KNEW – WHAT GOES UP MUST GO DOWN .. APPARENTLY by Jon Kirk 61

astro-trading as well as modern technical

Technical Traders Newsletter Review by Larry Jacobs 68 The Isolation Approach to Elliott Wave Analysis by Steve Griths 70 Using Geodetics in the Stock Market as a Natal Astrological Technique by Dr. Dr. Lorrie V. V. Bennett 76 Take Your Trading and Investing Future into Your Own Hands by Thomas Barmann 81 Improving Moving Average Systems with Andrews Pitchfork by Ron Jaenisch 86 An ECHO and a SHADOW by Al McWhirr 89

techniques, such as W.D. Gann, Elliott Wave, analysis explaining indicators in eSignal, NinjaTraders, MetaStock & Market Analyst. COMPLETE BACK ISSUES OF TRADERS WORLD Magazine (ISSUES 1-64) You also get our complete archive of 60 back issues from 1986 to present. This, contains articles, product reviews, hundreds of chart examples, how-to-trade articles and much format, which you can read online anytime. In every issue, you get the information you need to trade the markets better with charting, astro, cycles, oscillator tools. Works for stocks, bonds, futures, options.

How to Find the Highest Probability Trades by Steve Wheeler 94 The EUR/USD: The Upside Should be Limited if a MultiMonth High is Not Already Complete by Jaime Johnson 99 Exploring A Planetary Co nnection In Bitcoin Trading by Tim Bost 103

60-Day Money Back Guarantee

CLICK TO SUBSCRIBE

The (Other) Golden Rule by Eric Hadik 108 Hawkeye Trading Trading Software Review by Larry Jacobs 113 The Master Cycle by RajIan RajIan G. Thijm 118 The Science of Forecasting with Timing Solution 125 Brave New World 139

1-800-288-4266 www.TradersWorld.com www.TradersWorldOnlineExpo.com


April/May/June 2018

6

10

WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Jan/Feb/Mar 2013


April/May/June 2018

7


April/May/June 2018

8

T K  S   G M A Scientic Correlation and Proof as to When & Why the Gold Market Makes its Tops and Booms Including 100 Years of Projections out to 2100 GIVES ALL MAJOR TOPS & BOTTOMS IN GOLD FOR 100 YEARS!

THE GOLD MARKET HAS BEEN SOLVED! This book reveals a scientically based proof which accurately predicts when the Gold Market will make its future major tops and booms.

It

provides exact projections which since 1974 have had an accuracy rating of over 90% - 99%! The Gold Market possesses a previously unknown but now identied hidden paern, timed by a series of specic cycles which will allow any trader to capture and prot from Gold s primary swings & big moves for the next century! ’

   reveals the underlying structure of the gold market itself!

TH E SECRET OF GOL D REVEA L ED! A valuable mathematically based paern in the Gold Market has been discovered which provides a series of safe and highly protable investment opportunities in Gold for many years into the future. The book lays out this unique discovery of a highly accurate, scientically based proof foretelling when Gold will make its tops and booms within a very narrow time window with an 90-99% accuracy. This powerful insight has proven accurate in forecasting all the Gold Market s primary tops and booms over the past 40 years, with further verication over 750 years. It can be applied to any investment in any highly-correlated or Gold related nancial instrument, including physical Gold, Gold related Stocks, Options, ETF's, Futures, Bullion, Coins or Jewelry. Whatever level of investment experience one may have, whether a beginner or professional, this information will provide an invaluable edge for trading the Gold market for decades to come! ’

FOR A DETAILED WRITEUP & EXPLANATION OF WHAT THIS BOOK TEACHES , SEE : HTTP :// WWW .SACREDSCIENCE .COM /L INSKY /GOLD-MARKET-SOLVED.HTM

F ERRERA’ S F AMOUS M ARKET F ORECAST !

FERRERA OUTLOOK FOR 2018 YEARLY FORECAST OF THE STOCK MARKET, WITH ANALYSIS OF THE BOND & DOLLAR 

FERRERA CALLE D EACH OF THE SWI NGS LAST YEAR MARKED IN RED & BLACK ARROWS!

  

HE ALSO CALLED THE MINOR SWINGS!

HE S WRITTEN OVER 10 BOOKS ON ANAL YSI S ’

SUBSCRIPTION INCLUDES YEARLY UPDATES!

OUTLOOKS FOR 2008 - 2017 EACH ONLY- 50.00! HTTP://WWW.SACREDSCIENCE.COM/FERRERA/

FERRERA’S OUTLOOK FOR 2018 IS $395.00 DETAILS OF PAST YEAR’S FORECAST RESULTS SEE:

WWW.SACREDSCIENCE .COM/FERRERA/FERRERA-

FORECAST-RESULTS.HTM

SACRED SCIENCE INSTITUTE EMAIL:

Ө

WWW.SACREDSCIENCE .COM

INSTITUTE @SACREDSCIENCE .COM Ө

INTERNATIONAL 951-659-8181

Ө

SEE

US TOLL FREE: 800-756-6141

OUR WEBSITE FOR OUR FULL CATALOG OF COURSES !


April/May/June 2018

9

Gann Again… and A Gain By Gordon Roberts Back in the third quarter of 2017, we shared a short Trader’s World article about “Mr. Gann’s 90-Year Cycle”. In that article, I argued that we were probably near a bull move for Soybeans. Actually, there were several additional Gann-ish reasons to think the lows were in and a bull move was likely. I had shared more of that work with a small forum of people interested in “Market Vibrations”. That forum is not very active as Internet forums go, but I usually hunt quality over quantity for trading purposes. The fact is that “monster” trading opportunities don’t come around every day! Still, I’d wager that we will discuss several terric opportunities as the years transpire. BIG opportunities have happened for many decades and probably will happen again (and a-Gann and a-gain). While hunting those trading opportunities, we have to be both patient and alert. Our diligence and discipline are often “deciding factors” for success. Even then, we can end up with losing trades or even nice trades that don’t turn into monster trades. For that reason, risk management and trading skills are also very important. In past Trader’s World articles, I said that I would provide occasional updates. To fulll that “prophecy”, I’ll show an updated chart for beans. But rst, the following chart duplicates one of the monthly bean charts from the previous article. I present it to prevent you having to hunt down the older article. It shows that we were building the August 2017 monthly bar.


April/May/June 2018

10

Next, I’ll provide a daily chart for the updated price action. I put a yellow box at the approximate time of the previous article.

The chart shows that we have had the expected bull move. Thus

far, price has risen over $1.00 per bushel or $5,000 per futures contract. That serves as a published “prophecy” that became reality. It’s not really prophecy as much as it is the reward for following Mr. Gann’s instructions.

There is still a lot of time left before all of the previous article’s thoughts will become incorrect or correct. I’d love to be 100% correct with all of my long-term “prophecies” in the markets. However, reality mandates that I may need to adjust my thoughts as price and time become a record of past events. In other words, what happens in the future becomes reality that I have to respect. Reality can invalidate some of my past “guesswork” and take me down totally dierent analytical paths. That is part of Mr. Gann’s instructions that helps me prevent my “prophetic” thoughts from turning into pathetic thoughts. I hope to trade beans long and short and even long again in the coming several years. However, I must reiterate that the market doesn’t care about my opinions or plans so I’ll have to let it show me its real intentions as we go. While I’m still hoping for a considerably longer-term bull move in the grand scheme of things, this bull move has already been sucient for a trader like me to be pretty pleased. A trader’s job is NOT to beat his chest about past conquests. The job is to continually position their self to make future prots. With that in mind, another reason for this article is to show the current bean situation in a dierent light. A larger view of the updated chart tells me that I should probably be diligent and careful as I write this. For one of a few warning signs Mr. Gann taught, we have a potential triple top formation here. That’s Gann 101 for “be careful” if you are long. If we break upward here, that’s Gann 101 as a pretty bullish sign! We’re at a decision point of sorts where trading risks can be managed. The following chart demonstrates that WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

11

market formation.

I never really know what will happen. I’m no prophet. However, Mr. Gann’s techniques help me “guess” when real prots are more likely and when to think about taking them o the table. He even titled some of his published works “How to Make Prots…”. I’m not a very aggressive trader for the most part so I’ll tend to avoid trading against the trend. In these articles, I’m arguing for a longer-term bull so I hope the longer-term trend is up. However, if I were more aggressive, I might even think about a short trade here. Mr. Gann’s rules don’t allow me to hedge the long trade. His rules do allow me to use a stop and reverse methodology if I get strong indications of a change in trend. His mechanical system/ rules might be more likely to trade short in this situation but that methodology pretty well stays long or short at all times while I’m picking my moments to trade. I don’t generally go to the eort to trade all the time. Still, Point 2 on the previous chart shows that a short trade would have worked out well. So… each of us can use dierent Gann methodologies for dierent trading styles. CONCLUSION I’ve shown an example of Mr. Gann’s teachings working as desired. It was documented in advance in this magazine. IT CAN BE DONE! Now, we’ve reached a new Gann “decision point”. These are situations that substantiate my opinion that you should take the time and do the work Mr. Gann recommends. I’ll warn that it can take a lot of study just to gure out what he recommends you to do! Your goal would be to either prove or disprove Mr. Gann’s many teachings for yourself. There’s no witchcraft involved. Mr. Gann’s work can seem mystical but it really isn’t. He requires you to work for it. So... you probably should. Read his books at least a couple of times. You don’t need much else but market data, time, and work. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

12

Of course, you can turn to many other books for further studies. Mr. Gann did that and I do that. I chose to boil my years of study down into relatively simple Gann approaches in Market Vibrations. If I were your advisor, I’d probably recommend that you do the same. Simple is often

best for most traders. However, simple things often have complex explanations borne of history (think about your navel for example!). If you are like me and want to explore the deeper explanations behind the markets, Brad Stewart of the Institute of Cosmological Economics Institute provides access to resources that can help forge your mind in the Gann furnace. I’m currently engrossed in the “ Law of Vibration” series of books and “Gann Science” which is a future publication. I have yet to fully test their teachings. However, I know enough and am already intrigued enough that I’m going to do that test work for myself. I get to keep what works and ush the rest. That is the Gann way to achieve potentially life-changing Gann rewards! I’ll also mention a recent example of a rewarding monster trade. January of 2018 had a short setup from the “ Law of Vibration” series and other Gann techniques. That setup was for shorting the major U.S. stock indexes. For a trade, Mr. Stewart was long VIX futures call option contracts. If you were watching the nancial news, there were funds that closed because of that VIX move. We basically saw all-time-lows to all-time-highs in the course of a few weeks. Few traders, if any before, have traded all-time-lows to all-time-highs in the futures markets (much less in a few weeks with a further levered option position). It was luck in ways. But it was also very educated “luck”. I guess I’m telling you that the man isn’t just selling books! Even if you don’t buy a book, Brad is generally happy to help you assess your preferences and discuss books and topics that may be of interest specically to you. I’ve “used” him in that manner for recommendations. Maybe you should as well. Your destiny is up to you and the paths you choose. “I cannot remember the books I’ve read any more than the meals I have eaten; even so, they have made me.”

Ralph Waldo Emerson


April/May/June 2018

13

CCOUNTS INTO H OW TO TURN S MALL A

BIG P ROFITS LIKE W. D. G ANN ...

MARKET VIBRATIONS W.D. GANN’S H OW TO M AKE P ROFITS IN MODERN MARKETS BY GORDON ROBERTS REPRODUCE GANN’S LEGENDARY RETURNS THROUGH LEVERAGED POSITION TRADING…

INTENT OF THIS COURSE This course provide a trading strategy that allows for large returns from low risk with an average risk:reward ratio of 1:10, with returns of 500% per trade to some returns exceeding 5000%. The strategy employs powerful, straight forward analytical techniques explained in Gann ’s How to Make Profits in Commodities to identify high value trade setups which can be employed using highly leveraged options strategies to generate large but safe returns. The analytical techniques and strategy do not require any prior Gann knowledge or any past trading experience. They can be easily applied by any trader, new or seasoned, to great effect with very little time or difficulty. The strategy is based upon “leveraged position trading” so requires little time or effort to manage. Minimum capital requirements are very low, so someone with an account as small as a few $1000 can effectively implement this strategy. FOR A DET AILED WRITE -U P ,

WHAT YOU WILL LEARN •

•

•

•

•

•

•

•

Low risk, high reward trades averaging 1:10 risk:reward ratio! Trade setups with minimum 500% return & average 1000% return! BIG trade setups return 2000% – 5000% when they hit! Uses simple Gann -based analytical tools, easy to learn & apply! Strategy works with small trading accounts to make big gains! Uses classical Gann risk management and account management to produce the BIG returns like those Gann is famous for … A simple technique for beginners … a new strategy for seasoned traders! Online Forum for Q&A, and analysis!

S AMPLE T RADES & AUTHOR I NTRODUCTION &S AMPL E T EXT SEE :

WWW.SACREDSCIENCE.COM/ROBERTS/MARKET _VIBRATIONS.HTM GANN’S SYSTEM CRACKED WIDE OPEN!

THE LAW OF VIBRATION BY THE PATTERNS EXPOSING THE UNDERLYING SECRETS OF W.D. GANN & DR. BAUMRING BY LORRIE V.

WHAT THIS NEW COURSE IS ABOUT …. Markets have patterns created by the motion of their formative waves. How do you develop a template for the possible movement of such waves? This work will teach you! 14 years of research into market movements and the repeating patterns and models that are created from every possible combination!

This course will teach readers to create tradable forecasts using several wave based techniques...

BENNETT

THIS COURSE INCLUDES ONGOING ANALYSIS OF OVER A DOZEN POPULAR MARKETS THRU THE ENTIRE SERIES!

• • •

BOOK 1 IN A 4 PART SERIES BOOK 2 - LOV BY THE NUMBERS BOOK 3 - LOV BY THE PLANETS BOOK 4 - LOV BY THE GEOMETRY SACRED SCIENCE INSTITUTE

Ө

WWW.SACREDSCIENCE.COM

EMAIL: [email protected] Ө US TOLL FREE: 800-756-6141 INTERNATIONAL 951-659-8181 Ө SEE OUR WEBSITE FOR OUR FULL CATALOG OF COURSES!


April/May/June 2018

14

S&P500: How It Repeats Itself By Daniele Prandelli

The S&P500 Index saw a higher volatility in the last days, something that is scaring the Bulls. Is the uptrend pattern still alive? The parabolic pattern of the S&P500 is in front of everyone, and usually, once the uptrend is over, we see a break of this pattern, with higher volatility. To prove what I am saying, we can look at the past, because a guy said: “the Market repeats itself ”. The problem is to understand how this sentence is correct. LOOKING AT THE PAST I can resume here the most important bullish trends that followed a parabolic pattern since the 80’s, and we discover also that pullbacks are often of the same magnitude:

S & P 5 0 0 1 9 8 2 - 1 9 8 7 Here we see the parabolic pattern, ending up with a crash, the famous 1987 crash.


April/May/June 2018

15

There is something wonderful in this pattern: the biggest pullbacks in the period 1982-1987, before the crash, were all inside a range of 28 points. The rectangles you see in the chart have a height of 28 points, and we can appreciate three pullbacks, all around 28 points! I am not saying that one has 10 points drop, and the next one 28, I am saying that all the three pullbacks were, almost perfectly, of 28 points. The 1987 crash began after the S&P500 tried to remain inside this pattern. The breakout under this pattern was the beginning of the real crash. I am not jumping to conclusions yet, I am just describing what I see as facts.

S & P 5 0 0 1 9 8 8 - 1 9 8 9 Another parabolic pattern, ending up with a sideways pattern and higher volatility.

Here we see again three pullbacks, everyone around 24 points; in the last phase, the uptrend accelerates, and in October 1989 we see a pullback larger than 24 points; this is also the end of the strong uptrend, and a new sideways pattern began ending in a Low in 1990, but no crashes.


April/May/June 2018

16

S & P 5 0 0 1 9 9 6 - 1 9 9 8 Not really evident, but we see the uptrend accelerates over the time.

The pattern of the pullbacks is not that precise as before, but we can see similar pullbacks around 83 points. In October 1997 we see a fast movement over the 83 points rectangle, recovered right the day after. A stronger down movement began only in 1998, when the S&P500 moved over the green rectangle with the pullback; you can see the acceleration over it, and the beginning of a severe drop. That was just a fast, little crash, because after 3 months the S&P500 had already recovered all the losses.


April/May/June 2018

17

S & P 5 0 0 2 0 0 3 - 2 0 0 7 Very long uptrend, ending in the summer 2007 and the big crisis began.

In this period, we see an easy 100 points pullback pattern, which was very precise in 2004 and 2006. In 2005 the pullback was about 94 points. Even here, the rst alert came from a drop over 100 points, in July 2007. We all know what happened then, a very strong drop began. But the Market did not crash straight away, we see a new top in October 2007, and a downtrend with swings until September 2008. In October 2008, we saw the crash. WHAT HAVE WE SEEN? We can denitely state that: 1) During parabolic patterns, the pullbacks have the same magnitude, and a movement over that range can denitely suggest the end of the uptrend.

2) When the uptrend is over, it does not mean we have to expect a crash straight away. Only in 1987 it happened, but in the other three situations we considered, it took time for the downtrend to begin. In 1989 and 1998 we did not even see the beginning of a new downtrend, because the Market accelerated down for the following months, but the main trend remained always the uptrend.


April/May/June 2018

18

CAN WE USE THE SAME STUDY FOR THE ACTUAL MARKET? Obviously, that’s the purpose of our studies! If we consider the last year, where the parabolic pattern is evident, we see two similar pullbacks: • March 2017 = 78 points • August 2017 = 73 points

This is a short time compared to the studies we made before! But the pattern is clear, and we saw the strongest down acceleration once the S&P500 moved under 2800 points, the area where we could see the support in case the Market maintained the “ 7 5 p o i n t s p u l lb ac k p a tt e r n ”:


April/May/June 2018

19

If we decide to study the uptrend since 2009, we discover two important pullbacks: in 2011 and in 2015-2016. These two drops looked like the end of the world, I remember that, but I remember when, in 2016, I said any pullback was a great buy opportunity (here the document I sent to our Subscribers on February 11, 2016, the day of the Low ). These two pullbacks have a similar magnitude: • 2011 = 296 points • 2015-2016 = 325 points

Almost the same, considering these are the two largest drops of a period long 9 years. CONCLUSIONS In trading, statements are very dangerous when we try to forecast the future. It is always better we speak in terms of statistics. If you agree with me, we can state that: • The parabolic pattern of the 2017 has been probably broken after the breakout and down acceleration under 2800 points. • If we see the drop to continue from the top of January 2018, we should pay attention to a possible support in area 2545-2576 points to maintain the uptrend that lasts since 2009. • We should not rush in opening mid-term SHORT positions, because Markets usually developed a sideways movement or new intermediate tops before a strong downtrend. in the situations where the downtrend began immediately, that movement did not last long; we can expect the same from the actual drop.


April/May/June 2018

20

• In my opinion, the down push began the movement in a too strong way for a new real

TradersWorld Magazine

downtrend. If we do see a crash, I believe it

Premium Subscription

is again a new buy opportunity, we just need to wait for the best supports, without trying to anticipate the Market. If a bear Market is about

Get everything we have for only $19.95 per year Save 50% over our regular subscription of $39.95

to begin, it will not begin with a crash after three days the S&P500 did the highest High. This are all suppositions looking at the past… But you know, in trading, everything can always happen! Good Trading! Daniele Prandelli QUARTERLY MAGAZINE SUBSCRIPTION

Feel free to contact me at institute@ sacredscience.com or see my webpage about

Read articles explaining classical trading techniques, such as W.D. Gann, Elliott Wave, astro-trading as well as modern technical

my courses:

analysis explaining indicators in eSignal,

http://www.sacredscience.com/Prandelli/

NinjaTraders, MetaStock & Market Analyst.

Prandelli-Polarity-Factor-System.htm and my annual forecasts of the Stock & Grain

COMPLETE BACK ISSUES OF TRADERS WORLD Magazine (ISSUES 1-64) You also get our complete archive of 60 back

markets:

issues from 1986 to present. This, contains

http://www.sacredscience.com/Prandelli/PFS-

articles, product reviews, hundreds of chart

Forecast-Bulletin.htm

examples, how-to-trade articles and much format, which you can read online anytime. In every issue, you get the information you need to trade the markets better with charting, astro, cycles, oscillator tools. Works for stocks, bonds, futures, options.


CLICK TO SUBSCRIBE



April/May/June 2018

21

THE TEXTBOOK OF GANN ANALYSIS...

T P  L R T HE U NDERLYING W ISDOM & P HILOSOPHY OF W. D. G ANN E LEGANTLY E NCODED IN THE M ASTER C HARTS

BY DANIEL T. FERRERA MOST DETAILED COURSE ON GANN S MATHEMATICAL & GEOMETRICAL TOOLS! ’

W                 ,   ." - - - W.D. G

“



 









How to square the natural whole numbers (odd and even), along with their midpoints. How to define prices scales by "The Basis of Money How to set the proper scale, and use the 1x1 angle to square or balance price with time. How the natural squares (even & odd) sub -cycle would not be possible without understanding the Spiral chart (Square of 9).... expressing the square root as an "inner square" time period. How to assimilate all of these elements together as a sequential methodology once the "basis of Gann's forecasting method" has been worked out. How Gann s price squaring techniques and master charts are NOT completely separate and independent methods, but are tied together thru geometric angles. How the inner square root sub cycle & natural squares of numbers reveals unique market turns. ”

’

I  T G C The intent of Ferrera s new course is to provide the most comprehensive elaboration of W.D. Gann's most powerful technical trading tools. It presents all of Gann s foundational mathematical and geometrical techniques expressed in his master calculators, angles, trend channels, squaring processes, paern formations, spiral charts and much more, leading to the clear identication of protable Trade Setups, important trend indications, and critical price/time culminations. The material further elaborates a number of Gann s most advanced geometrical tools and applications, such as the natural squares (even & odd) sub-cycle and the square root as an "inner square" time period, . It provides both practical and actionable trading signals and a valuable structural perspective to any market on any time frame. With 300 pages of detailed text, over 150 charts and diagrams, and 190 pages of the rarest Gann s supplementary material, we consider this 500 page treatise to be THE TEXTBOOK on Gann s geometrical techniques that no serious Gann analyst can be without! ’

’

’

’

’

, AND SAMPLE SEC TIONS SEE : FOR A DETAILED WRITEUP ON THIS COURSE INCLUDING FULL CONTENTS WWW .SACREDSCIENCE .COM /F ERRERA/T HE _P ATH _OF _L EAST _R ESISTANCE .HTM

FERRERA’S NEW COURSE— THE ART OF THE TRADE W. D. G ANN S S YSTEM OF C HART R EADING & P ATTERN T RADING ’

Dan Ferrera s new trading course, The Art of the Trade, provides thorough instruction in W.D. Gann s key trading methodology, Pattern Trading. It teaches Chart Reading the way Gann himself did it, demonstrating how to trade the fundamental market patterns identified by Gann. This strategic approach to trading provides advantages that allow the trader to react to the markets in real-time, without indicator lag. Pattern Trading eliminates lagging mechanical indicators, which are always based on what the market did in the past and not the present. This style of Form-Reading, as Gann called it, allows one to make decisions in real time, as the opportunities develop on the chart. ’

’

“

“

”

”

The course provides a clear set of rules for reading these market patterns to determine entry, exit, risk management, and trade management as determined by the recognition of a set of fundamental market patterns identified by Gann. This approach differs from Gann s mechanical swing indicators and from his long - pull position trading, providing a different perspective and alternative trading style, that most often used by Gann himself. The technique is equally effective on any time frame, so is as valuable for day -traders as it is for daily traders. It also generates a larger number of trades than his other trading methods. ’

, AND SAMPLE SE CTIONS SEE : FOR A DET AILED WRITEUP ON THIS COURSE INCLUDING FULL CONTENTS F -T HE -T RADE .HTM HTTP :// WWW .SACREDSCIENCE .COM / FERRERA /T HE -ART -O

SACRED SCIENCE INSTITUTE

Ө

WWW.SACREDSCIENCE.COM

EMAIL: [email protected] Ө US TOLL FREE: 800-756-6141 INTERNATIONAL 951-659-8181 Ө SEE OUR WEBSITE FOR OUR FULL CATALOG OF COURSES!


April/May/June 2018

22

Eruption of the Invincible Speculator By Joel Rensink

eruption 1.

an issuing forth suddenly and violently; outburst; outbreak.

--- Dictionary.com --No one I've ever met in the trading world was an immediate and permanent success. Maybe they did have a few “lucky” trades at the beginning. But, a lucky trade doesn't a career make. Ask anyone. Losses start visiting and then decide to take one of your rooms. But, after you gure what trading is all about, then the market is in trouble.

You ERUPT as an

unconquerable, unyielding trader. I'm going tell you how we all can be “invincible” speculators.

By only trading when we have THE EDGE. It isn't that hard. One of the most common questions sent to me is, “Joel, if you had to start all over from scratch, today; with a modest amount of money – what would you do?” That's a fair question. Especially since the world of trading has changed radically from the days (the 70's) when you could still nd a commodity house with working ticker tape machines. Now we have at least a hundred additional markets to speculate with futures and options, some even doing it on their phones. Even crypto-currencies. I've adapted to the new products available, and have been successful trading them because I follow the same principles that got me here in the rst place. You can too. If you're just starting out, or had a few dicult years of experience, you're not alone. In trading there is no success without copious amounts of pain.... Losses in trading are inevitable. But, prots can be just as inevitable if you act on the guiding principles of speculation.

Fortunately, the guiding principles of protable speculation are very short:


April/May/June 2018

23

1. A proven trading methodology with a denable edge. Proven by you. 2. The personal will to execute it precisely, over and over until you reach your end goal. Like many of my peers, I started out trading futures with a very small amount of money. I researched trading and methodologies for 3 years before even thinking of placing a trade. Fortunately for me, the information I found most useful was Gann material. He was all about the idea of big trends and how to get aboard them with the least amount of risk. That's the big take-away you should grab on to. Keep aware of trade-risk and the trends will do the rest. I traded single contracts of wheat, corn, oats, sugar, pork bellies, hogs, soymeal and soyoil. I'd wait until there was a well-dened range for a breakout. I'd either get stopped out of my entry for a small loss or trail my protable trade with a stop under the previous week's low. Simple stu. Works just as well today as it did 40 years ago. The other day, I heard a great denition of a professional trader:

Someone who's made more than 10,000 trades and still has money in his trading account. Pretty accurate. Few traders survive long enough to take 10 thousand trades.... Or even 200. One of the main reasons most people fail is that they're trading too frequently with too little of an edge. Or no edge – and they've been fooling themselves into thinking that they've got one. Every time something is written about trading, you see the adage, “Trade with the trend. The Trend is Your Friend.” Most everyone believes it, but if everyone acted like it really meant something, a whole lot more people would be making money from their trading accounts. Maybe it has to do with the problem of not fully understanding the risks of the enterprise. I had a personal episode that I've never been able to forget which rammed this point home for me. One beautiful spring morning in 1980, hiking with a buddy after a cold rain – I slipped o an icy boulder and fell 25 feet into the rapids on Upper Esopus Creek, south of Phoenicia, NY. People familiar with that area know that there's an area where the “creek” drops 1000 feet in one mile


April/May/June 2018

24

of length. That was the area where I fell in. The freezing water was 36°, swamping my coat and dragging me under with the churning turbulence whirling me around and around. I was facing certain death unless I got to the bank. I was swept downstream more than a half-mile before I found an eddy pool with a broken tree branch for me to lunge onto. Even in the relative calm of the eddy pool, the river's current was so strong I barely dog-paddled it to the bank. And then, dripping wet – a four-and-a-half mile hike to the car with hypothermia setting in. The things you survive when you're young.... On reection, later that day -- I realized how similar the raging current of the river was to a massive trend. Massive trends are relentless. If you're in one, just about anywhere you enter is likely to be a good entry. With a reasonable stoploss order, of course. My trading became even more focused after that incident. I realized that massive trends in the market are a true force of nature (human nature) and are to be respected. Appreciated. Agreed with; never fought against. From then on, I didn't want to trade anything but crazy-strong trends.

If you only trade when

the market you're in is absolutely going somewhere, not taking any prisoners; how hard could it be to be protable?

I digress: When I rst started trading in grains and the softs, my main trading pattern was breakouts of narrow ranges. Gann talked about the importance of “within” moves (narrow ranges), and in his commodity courses he described how to “square” ranges to be able to nd markets that were destined to breakout. When I found a low risk entry from one of these ranges, my game was on. Yes, I was fortunate that I read the right material and took advantage of favorable trends which existed when I started trading. Still, to prot from the moves, I actually had to have money in my account and put on the trades and exit accordingly. I didn't have much extra money. I was a self-employed teenager, with a decent math background and a burning desire to succeed at trading. With a burning desire and $500, correctly deployed, anything is possible! I made some prots, and plenty of losses too. Small ones.


April/May/June 2018

25

Below is my original trading “secret weapon”.

At that time, opening a commodity trading account was pretty simple. If you brought in a checkbook, told the manager your intentions when you came in -- you could put on a trade or 10 and ll out the paperwork at the end of trading. Not anymore. I've seen some account forms running to 30 pages these days. But today, there are so many more opportunities in the markets that more than make up for the complications that come with them.


April/May/June 2018

26

We have Forex trading, instant quotes and tight bid/ask spreads on thousands of products, free data, back-testing capabilities available to anyone that only NASA had access to when I started. Incredible options opportunities, inexpensive stock trading, and futures trading commissions for a buck or two round-turn. When I started trading, it cost $65 per round turn. You'd get $10 rebate a round-turn only if you traded more than one contract at a time. Even so, I was able to make money because of serious trends. You want to talk about a serious trend today, about the S&P for the last year? Because of easy access to the e-mini, anybody with a couple thousand to put into an account can participate in this low-risk bull move. Will last forever? Of course not. But that's why you need a low risk, statistically-proven method to trade it. They exist. Just do a little research. I already mentioned that my initial trading revolved around breakouts of well-dened ranges. But what to do when the markets didn't form nice patterns? Fortunately, I sat on my winnings and waited until one undeniable trend after another – showed up. I continued with more trading research. I got data from the CBOT from their beginning of trading (mid -1800's) and studied more cycles and validated Gann's research to the degree I could. And entered more trades when they showed up. Suered through the losses like everyone else. My research was rewarded. I got an early copy of Tradestation because I'd purchased System Writer earlier. With more data and with many nights of coding I proved to myself that volatility breakouts were denitely predictive of future movement, just like narrow range breakouts were on daily charts. The big thing I worried about (and still do) is the concept of curve-tting. At the time anyone with access to backtesting software was coming up with the “perfect system” with tests showing tons of prots and very few losses.

Never mind that they didn't work in the real world. People

still fool themselves with systems like that. In the early '90's I decided to expand my education by becoming a pit trader. Usually it's the oor trader who goes “upstairs” after learning his craft – not the reverse. Trading in the pits showed me opportunities that I'd heard about but wasn't sure existed. Like, being able to trade “ahead of size” – big traders bidding or oering tons of contracts at-themarket and your opportunity to “trade ahead” of them for a low risk trade. And, if the market WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

27

was in a signicant trend at the time, the chance to get a virtual “free ride” by holding some of those contracts until the trend showed signs of ending could provide a huge windfall.

Every

once in a while you might be able to gain $5 -10K for every contract you risked maybe $25 for. Not that frequent, but just enough times that even slow-learners got the concept of low risk/ high rewards beaten into their skulls. I loved the camaraderie of the oor. And the intellectual storehouse of thousands of man- years of experience trading the markets. I'll miss it forever. In 1992 my trading world changed permanently. I realized that for my trading to be a scalable business – I needed to know what my edge was – on every trade I took. As precisely as possible. It was a tall order then, and remains one today. You'll understand the why of it in a minute.... Ask yourself, how large was the edge of each of the last 10 trades you took? The prevailing “wisdom” is to never risk more than 1% or 2% of your capital on a trade. Which still may be too much for the majority of “traders” who basically throw darts when they put on a trade. If you actually have been making money from your trading, you need to gure this out. I know you've probably read plenty about money management. And, I'm not going to go into it beyond this key point: If you have a 10% edge on certain trades, and only 1% edge on others – are you doing yourself any favors treating them as if they're all the same? If you are, you're throwing dumpsters of money away. The only way you can know what kind of edge you have is to use statistical approximation. The key to accurate edge assessment is having robust rulesets for your trades. Knowing you have an edge. Not hoping you have one. There is no need to fail as a trader. ---------------Simple methods may not be perfect, but they can be durable if they are based on the reality of the markets. In January of 1993, I had a welcome windfall. I decided to use it by starting a small proof-ofconcept mechanical trading system (called 20-20), trading just 3 markets.

1000+ trades later

it's still going. Proof enough for me that something extremely simple can work for decades. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

28

The choices were: Corn, Coee and Orange Juice.

I didn't pick them because they produced


April/May/June 2018

29

the greatest prots in the back-test period, but because they were unique and non-correlated – so they could get trades at dierent times and make increased compounding possible. Ultimately, that didn't seem to make much of a dierence, but the fact that they've continued seriously protable 'til now speaks volumes. (Feel free to test 20-20 for yourself). It turned out to be a good investment in time and money. This simple method, using just 5


April/May/June 2018

30

minutes of eort a week – is a constant reminder to me of how potent simple systems can be. You can add more non-correlated markets as your account increases. The great thing about a system like 20-20 is – it gives you a simple, uncomplicated denition of TREND. If I nd a low-risk trade i.e., an “inside-day” breakout or a “ledge” trade, I only execute it if 20-20 has already entered in the same direction. If not, I pass. Another benet is you can use the trailing stop to exit your “adds”. This ensures I'm always placing additional trades in the correct environment. A trending environment. Like shooting a rapids. -------------My nal recommendations: Get or keep some sort of job to keep the lights on and your car insurance paid. Trade with a longer term methodology with a proven, signicant edge in a small, diverse grouping in the physical commodities. They tend to enjoy robust trends because of seasonal factors and steady demand from a growing population world-wide. Know the edge of the methods you trade. Let the Kelly Criterion help you with money management decisions. (Read Fortune's Formula by William Poundstone) Take personal responsibility for your trades. Learn to live through the inevitable drawdowns. You'll be able to if you've done “worse-case” scenarios in your testing before entering your trading operations. (Every “real” trader I know has dozens of drawdown stories. It's getting to new equity highs more than 3 times that really thins the crowd.) A robust edge, unfailingly applied through the booms and busts – is the secret weapon of the Invincible Speculator. Joel Rensink --------------

Joel Rensink has been a professional futures, oor and forex trader for more than 35 years. In addition to active trading, he is a consultant for serious traders, trading rms and hedge funds seeking robust trading and money management models. In 2008 he created the Sure-Breakout Method for the forex markets. For any comments or questions on the article or the markets, e-mail him at: leonardo@ inniteyield.com. www.inniteyield.com (612) 825-4776


April/May/June 2018

31


April/May/June 2018

32

In the Nick of Time by Rick Versteeg

One year ago, on March 19th of 2017, the story of DeLorean had a beginning, after many years of research. Using time waves predictions had been made for the rst time to forecast the opening of future trading days- for ALL trading days at once- from March 20th until the beginning of May with regard to DAX and SPX. The trend for a trading day Could be UP, DOWN or neutral (=not available). Obviously to take advantage of this prediction traders had to

How does D e L o r e a n work? DeLorean will make life and especially trading more simple. We signal you the trend of the next day, you can enter the trade before it happens tomorrow. Just enter the BUY or SELL at the indicated time and date. No need for an entry or exit strategy nor to gure out the trend or any pondering on what to do. Even better, enter all trades at once for the whole month.

buy or sell the day before. This has been documented and sent to a selective group of traders. Beginning of April 2017 we contacted Tradersworld to to sent research and wrote the rst article for Tradersworld. Beginning of May it seemed that the outcome was very signicant with a hit ratio of around 7580%, healthy prots and no drawdown on a monthly basis. Still, it could have been only a good period. Now, after one year of predictions, it is clear that our time waves and cycles, which are fractal in nature do work quite well. Below the results for DeLorean predicting the opening trend of the next day one month ahead:


April/May/June 2018

33

Exciting new research Every time we come across very interesting, expected and sometimes unexpected uctuations in the indices we predict and research, we grab our magnifying glass to look for explanations. Consequently we will need to research our

Conclusion: when panic cycles pop up, negative patterns are triggered and MAPS indicator good below zero, volatility and declining markets are very likely. Not necessarily a panic develops, but if there is a panic, the panic cycle is present. Traders and investors should be very cautious.

fractal time waves, cycles and time patterns to determine if history can shed light upon up and down trends in the markets, especially when it comes as a surprise. In order to gain more knowledge we therefore search our database to develop and show better information in our indicators. Quite surprisingly this approach has led to new discoveries that improved our predictions considerably. A bit unexpected, because at launch of DeLorean it was already good, but mining the treasure of information below the surface has proven to be very worthwhile. By matching events with patterns and correlating price uctuations statistically, we could clearly see its signicance. This led to earlier mentioned innovations like “Rebound”, new MAPS indicator (ASPtrig), which resulted in a more detailed 24/7 leading indicator of price trends. The latter indicator opened the way for other applications far beyond predicting the opening trend of the next day. It answered the question what delta or exposure the traders portfolio should have according to our MAPS indicator. Using Options and/or futures traders can easily adapt their exposure. A very interesting variable for example is volatility. Increasing volatility just recently lead to the question how it could be explained. What time waves and patterns do cause volatility? What could cause meltdowns and accelerations up or down in prices? Thus new discoveries have been made. Firstly “triggers” that set markets on re in the nick of time and secondly when does a trigger cycle spark an up trend or down trend? Another discovery has been how to improve the MAPS indicator to show periods of rising and declining markets even better. Triggers-panic cycle Trigger time cycles, consisting of very specic time waves, have been identied which are the proverbial spark for acceleration. Strong waves cause a meltdown or meteoric rise, smaller ones an acceleration. These time waves have a very specic nature causing more or less a panic sell or buy, whereas a price decline can be twice as fast. The strongest trigger cycle will be called

P a n i c W a v e from now on. his panic cycle needs to trigger, when it is at its maximum strength, a negative or positive time wave to get started. The more negative or positive the triggered time wave is, the stronger normally the markets, up or down. See where the * has been positioned.

The markets madhouse of February the 5th as well as short term cycles that we were already WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

34

monitoring before, made us discover the Panic Wave that can cause a panic, smaller or larger. Searching our database we discovered it to happen again on March 3rd and 23rd, which was coming up in the near future. Consequently we warned our customers and interested traders/ investors of the upcoming event. First mentioning it to our best customers, then giving a warning in our Newsletter DeLorean. Next we began to search our historic price and time database for more of the same triggers. Where to start? Well, that was simple. Just looking at major events and price declines in the past would do. So we checked the US presidential election of 7th November 2016. Bullseye! Maybe it should be labeled as “bearseye”... We checked Brexit referendum on 21st of June 2016. Bullseye! The next event of course would be 9/11/2001... Spot on!

Now the question was why did it cause a strong down trend? Then the next step comes in, checking if the trigger cycle connected to a very negative cycle. If it connected, consequently markets declined. In addition and logically the MAPS indicator shows for all those periods a decline as well. There are many more examples of lesser degree supporting the trigger cycle at work. A new child of the fractal time waves was born (discovered), reinforcing the higher degree pattern. Herewith we have a strong indication of volatility. Very interesting to have a clue at what date a strong trend can develop, which was always the problem using Elliott Wave. Eventually the trend would come what we were waiting for, but in the meantime, before it came around, traders did experience many false

W h at m ar k e t s w o r k b es t u s i ng T I M E WAVES? Time Waves show how and when human beings become positive or negative, hopeful or fearful, the latter being mass psychology events where people make decisions to buy or sell, resulting in smaller or larger chain reactions. All decisions of traders accumulated become positive or negative trends, which will very nicely reect in Indices. It works best on stock indices Now we have available signals for SPX, DAX (AEX and Eurostoxx) and HSI. Also we study EURDLR and NIKKEI. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

35

moves. Not so using our time cycles! MAPS indicators Our MAPS indicators which have been developed in November last year show the road to travel in the future regarding the indices. Nicely in line with price movements of the stock indices, they show within precision of one or two days how to adjust long or short positions. A top in the future MAPS indicator predicts a rising trend, a bottom in the indicator a decline. When the indicator is declining and even more so if declining below zero, markets become dangerous. Consequently if so writing puts should be avoided because of risk. In our newsletters we have reported a couple of upcoming events by looking at the indicator. See the link below to go to the newsletters. You can subscribe to get some extra information for free. http://www.aquilaesignal.com/category/back-to-the-future/ The newsletter of February 7th said: Most probably the stock markets have only completed the 1st price wave down, the recovery was just a retrace. Again a wave down can be expected to 2450 in the SPX and 12000 in the DAX. Meltdown in the markets- DeLorean, warning hectic markets 15, 23-24 Feb, 2-3 March

As you can look up in your charts of SPX we did experience a steep decline the 15th, while 23rd/ 24th were hectic and 2-3 March was also very weak in the stock indices. In this newsletter we published the chart below of the DAX together with the indicators which showed clearly that the period until the 24th of January with the indicator above zero and topping, witnessed a strong market (marked as POSITIVE) while the weak period showed declining markets (NEGATIVE).


April/May/June 2018

36

Tops in the indicator at the bottom of the chart coincided with rising markets, negative indicator foretold the fast decline beginning of February including the meltdown because of a trigger spot on.

A picture tells more then a thousand words. Below we show another published example of SPX with indicator (at bottom of chart) that forecasted the markets:

Arrows signal down or up trend. We expected a sharp downturn as soon as the indicator started to decline on March 23rd. Thereafter on the 27th and 28th it recovered again in the nick of time. The green bar on the 28th at 16:00 was around the high of the day. Last but not least, we will travel to the future:


April/May/June 2018

37

In the chart above for April 18th to May 1st we have indicated down and up trends. The * shows a trigger where Markets could experience an acceleration. The top in the indicator on monday 26th indicates strong markets. Again, not always an indicator below zero predicts a sharp decline, but almost every decline or panic shows a relative strong decline in the indicator, most of the time accompanied by a trigger cycle.. wwww.aquilaesignal.com, mail: [email protected] Subscribe to our Newsletter DeLorean for extra information. facebook: Aquilaesignal Special oer for 3 months, tradersworld readers only, see http://app.aquilaesignal.com/en/select/ preselect/18 use coupon : TWO3


April/May/June 2018

38

ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS - EXPANDING FLATS & NASDAQ’s FORECAST for APRIL/MAY ‘18 by Peter Goodburn There are 13 wave patterns that are generally accepted as dening the body of R.N. Elliott’s discoveries. These fall into two groups, ‘impulse’ (trend) and ‘corrective’ (counter-trend) and within the counter-trend series, there are three main archetypal patterns, the zig zag, the at and the triangle. Each of these have what we term as derivatives, in other words, there are slight geometric deviations to the archetypes – for example, a three wave zig zag pattern can mutate into a double or a triple zig zag without losing its overall character and concept – the at can mutate into an expanding or running at whilst a triangle can develop into ascending/descending/ expanding type variations. Importance of the Expanding Flat The most common of these three corrections is the zig zag and its derivatives and the reason for this is because they are also the rst price-swing components of the other two, the ats and triangles, so you’re going to see these everywhere. In terms of frequency, the next pattern in the list is the expanding at pattern, the derivative of the ‘at’ or horizontal at. Mastering your skill-base to identify these can yield amazing results for your portfolio – an idealised example of the expanding at can be seen here, extracted from our tutorial WaveSearch programme – see g #1.


April/May/June 2018

39

It is composed of three main price-swings, and for this purpose, is labelled in minuette degree, [a]-[b]-[c] subdividing into a 3-3-5 sequence, i.e. three waves for wave [a], three for [b] and ve for [c]. Note how wave [a] establishes the initial ‘price-extremity’ but waves [b] and [c] exceed this slightly. There are subtle nuances in these patterns that can help identify them during development, setting them apart from something else. Pattern Dimension One important aspect WaveTrack has developed over the last 25+ years is the concept of dimension within Elliott’s patterns. This is a much overlooked quality of Elliott Wave analysis which is mostly misused in today’s new order. Whereas geometric structure is qualitative, dimension measurements represent the quantitative contribution to the whole. In this way, applying strict guidelines of dimension that govern each pattern, including the expanding at, human subjectivity that so often distorts and misinterprets patterns, suddenly reveals an objective appraisal of the price movement under development. In this tutorial example, the expanding at is viewed as a corrective pause within the larger/ aggregate uptrend. It can be inverted for a downtrend. It begins with an archetypal three wave zig zag decline labelled minuette wave [a] – this establishes the initial ‘price-extremity’ of the pattern. In all probability, if wave [a] has not retraced the preceding ve wave impulse pattern by at least a b. 38.2% retracement, then the analyst must ‘default’ their thinking towards the expectancy of an expanding at. It may not always manifest, but probability favours it will. Another aspect that helps in dening whether wave [a] is part of an expanding at is comparing how fast and over what time period it declined relative to the preceding impulse pattern – also, was the decline a 2nd or 4th wave within the larger/aggregate pattern? If it were a 4th wave, then yes, its trajectory and short time lapse would increase the probability it was only part of a more complex correction, i.e. an expanding at. Now, we must create some dimensional overlays using Fibonacci-Price-Ratios (FPR’s). Extend above wave [a] by three subliminal ratios, 14.58%, 23.6% and 38.2%. Any of these will become upside targets for wave [b]. On extremely rare occasions, a b. 61.8% ratio can be used, but these only recur in frequency about a few times in every 100, i .e. about 5-8% per cent of the time. When wave [b] develops higher, it must also unfold into either a zig zag, or double/triple - the tutorial chart depicts an archetypal single zig zag, (a)-(b)-(c). Wave (a) must subdivide into a smaller ve wave impulse pattern and it’s important that it doesn’t break into a higher-high. If it did, it could be mistaken for a 5 th wave within the prevailing uptrend. If it can end below the preceding high, the origin of wave [a]’s decline, all the better (there are sometimes exceptions to this guideline). Extending wave (a) by either a b. 38.2% ratio or a b. 61.8% ratio and sometimes using an equality ratio of 100% for waves (a) and (c) often creates a b-price-ratio convergence-matrix


April/May/June 2018

40

with either of the three other b-price-ratio measurements derived from extending wave [a]. If so, this becomes the most probable price target for the upside completion of wave [b]. Real-Time Examples A couple of examples show to good eect how a developing expanding at is predicted into the future – see g #2 (these charts have been compressed in order to save space in this tutorial article). This is Sterling/US$ (GBP/US$) in years 2004-05. It had completed wave (A)’s zig zag decline from the Feb.’04 high of 1.9139 into the May ’04 low at 1.7482 which established the ‘price-extremity’ of the pattern. The following upswing as wave (B) unfolded into another zig zag where importantly, minor wave a. ends below the previous peak. When wave c. nally broke to higher-highs, it sucked-in new long-positioning but it was a trap! The eventual high for wave (B) at 1.9550 ended at exactly the b. 23.6% extension area of wave (A). The two other ratios, 14.58% at 1.9393+/- and 38.2% at 1.9813+/- were not hot favourites because they didn’t form a b-price-ratio convergence-matrix where minor wave a. extended by a b. 61.8% ratio came closest to the high at 1.9621+/-.


April/May/June 2018

41

When this chart was updated in our EW-Navigator reports in January 2005, wave (C) had already begun to decline into its required ve wave impulse pattern. Downside targets to 1.7112+/were derived by extending wave (A) by a b. 23.6% ratio, selected over-and-above the other two because this was the b. 38.2% retracement support from the preceding impulse. The actual low was 1.7049, 11-months later! Another example take from our archives is the expanding at that unfolded in the small-cap Russell 2000 during the market’s correction in years 2015/16 – see g #3. To the left is the original forecast from July 8 th 2015 when the index had just ended minute wave b at 1295.99. Wave a had already traded lower into a zig zag, from 1213.55 to 1040.47 and this pattern was repeated for the subsequent upswing to higher-highs for wave b. Extending wave a by a b. 38.2% ratio projected the peak for wave b to 1287.02+/-, accurate within a few points. Note that minuette wave [a] of wave b’s upswing ended below the preceding peak – again important. Extending wave [a] by a b. 61.8% ratio projected the exact peak for wave [c] at 1295.99! For the projected low of minute wave c’s decline, two b-price-ratio extension measurements were used – 14.58% and 23.6%. These closely approximated the b. 38.2% retracement level of the preceding impulse pattern. The reality came 6-months later when wave c ended with a price-spike down to 958.48 (see right). This was larger than the original projected lows, even exceeding the b. 38.2% extension level and closer to a much rarer b. 61.8% ratio, but not quite. But it again illustrates how wave b gave a false break-out signal at the top and how a huge price decline such as this can be reasonably predicted into the future.


April/May/June 2018

42

Current Forecasts – Exp. Flat for Nasdaq 100? Now, all this becomes relevant to the recent price developments of major U.S. stock indices. During January’s steep declines, benchmark indices like the S&P 500 unfolded lower whilst developing into ve wave impulse sequences. If so, then this indicates downward continuity once a three wave corrective upswing has ended. But some indices like the outperforming Nasdaq 100 declined from January’s high into the mid-February lows unfolding into a three wave zig zag pattern. So how can you have two major indices that are positively-correlated unfolding into two diametrically opposite patterns, one that implies downward action, the other upward? Well, there is a common denominator and it combines a zig zag development for indices like the S&P 500 and the broader Value Line Index with yes, an expanding at for the Nasdaq 100. The Value Line index was selected as a ‘proxy’ for the slight underperforming indices because it declined from the January highs into a picture-perfect ve wave impulse pattern, from 6413.16 to 5699.27 – see g #4. Using proprietary b-price-ratios, note that wave (v) ve declined by a b. 61.8% ratio of waves (i)-(iii) ending at the exact low. That gave unequivocal conrmation that the decline did unfold into a ve wave pattern, not a three, and that a counter-trend rally would then unfold. But that counter-trend rally must end below the January high. It can be very deep, but basis the rules of the Elliott Wave Principle, it must end below 6413.16. If the Value Line index is scheduled to complete a counter-trend rally ending below the January high before resuming the larger zig zag decline afterwards, then in all probability, the outperforming Nasdaq 100’s advance to higher-highs will also be capped, and that’s where the expanding at comes in. Both the Value Line and the Nasdaq 100 are pushing higher from the mid-February lows into


April/May/June 2018

43

three wave zig zags but whereas the Value Line should not, must not break to higher-highs, this is a perquisite for the Nasdaq 100 because its January decline unfolded into a three wave zig zag, not a ve wave impulse sequence – see g #5. The Nasdaq 100’s expanding at is labelled in minuette degree, [a]-[b]-[c], the same as our tutorial chart shown earlier. Wave [a] declined to 6164.43 as a zig zag and this is being replicated by wave [b]’s subsequent advance. Note that wave (a) of this zig zag ended below the preceding January peak that began the pattern. Extending wave [a] by a b. 38.2% ratio projects a terminal high for wave [b] towards 7381.64+/-. It looks like it will be a tight squeeze to t a ve wave subdivision into wave (c)’s advance from 6645.03 but it’s certainly possible. The rarer b. 61.8% extension ratio comes in at 7612.32+/- but this seems unlikely to be tested relative to upside targets for other major indices, including the Value Line. Conclusion Once wave [b] ends the Nasdaq 100’s advance, it opens the door to another sizable sell-o for wave [c] within this developing expanding at pattern. Downside targets are towards the 5977.63+/- area, derived by extending wave [a] by a b. 23.6% ratio. This was selected overand-above the other two b-price-ratios because this closely converges with the b. 38.2% retracement support of the preceding uptrend. Market commentators are split between the hedonistic-bullish, and the perma-bears, but on this occasion, it looks like those treading the middle-ground have a more realistic chance of trading successfully in the months ahead. Peter Goodburn is the senior Elliott Wave analyst at WaveTrack International and is the author of the monthly institutional E l li o t t W a v e - N a v i g a t or report and the bi-weekly private client Elliott

W a v e - C o m p a s s report - $39.00 pm. Details at www.wavetrack.com


April/May/June 2018

44

How to Participate in Breakouts that Happen 98% of the Time By World Cup Champion Trader Rob Mitchell In my years of training traders I have learned that one of the biggest things traders often do not fully grasp and benet from is h ow markets expand in range and w h e r e they are in that process. This article will cover just that; how markets expand and how to best position yourself for that range expansion. This applies whether you are scalping or going for the bigger trend or countertrend trading. Or, whether you are making money management decisions to manage existing positions or entering new positions. As I write this article, the crude oil market has had 14 consecutive days of greater than 100 ticks of range. The Emini S&P has an average daily range of over 40 handles. There is a lot of opportunity in these markets and this is your most basic metric; what do traders think is normal right now? This is something you should know as a serious trader. How far can the market go and traders still think it is normal? Or where is the point traders are no longer willing to commit to an ongoing range expansion and will take the market back into a trading range. These bigger scale questions open the door for understanding where you are, for knowing how much opportunity likely remains, and how to position yourself for the best advantage. Beyond the above basic metric, you can also predict range expansions based on smaller intervals than just the day. For example, what is the likelihood the market will go out to a new high or low at a given point during the day? One way of doing this would be to parse the market out by 30 minute periods of the day and measure how often it breaks.

For example. how likely is

it that the market will go out to a new high or low after the rst hour of the trading day, say in Crude Oil? Answer: 98% Or, the rst hour and a half? Answer: 93% Or the rst 2 hours? Answer: 84% The next question would be, how much range remains for you to take advantage of? For the intervals mentioned above, that would be 50%, 44% and 28% respectively. A lot could be said about this, and this general kind of concept is something I have used and worked with for decades to be successful trading. It is something I call “Market Mapping” and has been a key component in my success over the years. Market mapping can take many other forms, and this one is basic, yet powerful. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

45

Knowing what the market is likely to do is very comforting, and is a real game changer for the way a trader thinks about what he is doing. It is a major component that separates the losers from the winners in the trading game and is a general concept we teach in the Oil Trading Room daily. The next question is how do you position yourself to manage risk within the above framework? To do this, we use the Smart Patterns Trading System from IndicatorSmart.com. Why? Because this system utilizes technology that predicts range expansion via cycle analysis, price action and order ow analysis. Both cycle expansion and order ow tend to lead price movement with a generally high percentage of edge. When all these factors are lined up together, you can position yourself to be on the right side and with good probabilities for success. The rest is trade management. It’s that simple. Below I have posted a generic table for your benet that summarizes the above probabilities. I call it the “Probability to Extend” table. This is based on general data over long periods of time. In our trading room, we can use more specic data, and the table below works quite well. The rst thing we do is break down the day by period. The rst 30 minutes we call “A” period, then the next is “B” and so on. This way you can read the table and know the general probability to break:

Let’s do an example: Imagine AB period has ended. You now know it is 98% to break out of range. Then you can take the number in the Range remains column and multiply it by the existing range and it tells me how far the trade might go. This is not a guarantee and it doesn’t tell you when it will do it, but it tells you how much is generally expected. So, if the AB range was 40 ticks, I am expecting to go to 80. That’s pretty simple. Of course this is only part of the picture. Now I want you to gure out how to take action. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

46

For this, the most basic method we teach is cycle expansion that we call the T2 pattern. For this example we will look at a pattern coming in C period that follows the AB interval. What do we know here? Answer: 98% to break When this is happening and price is going lower and the Smart Momentum is going higher over the same interval, then we have a T2 pattern and the market is expected to go lower at approximately the 84% probability level. I call this a push. The T2 is “pushing” price lower due to cycle expansion. Next we have the 98% probability breakout “pulling” price to the breakout. This gives us a push and a pull. The background color change triggers us into the trade, and the market moves 20 ticks lower.

This pattern occurs over and over again and various forms and at various times throughout the days and week. Let’s look at another example: In the chart below, C period was “inside” B period. At this juncture based on the above table we know we are 93% to break. We got the T2 on the Smart Momentum tool, then the background color change and then we went 30 ticks lower.


April/May/June 2018

47

These show the Basic T2 pattern. We teach other patterns as well that you could have also traded in the above charts to take advantage of these moves and associated probabilities; possibly getting in even earlier. You can also learn to include Order Flow analysis to help or add to your probabilities. When I use the word “add” I am referring to stacking concurrent or sequential probabilities in your favor. For example, in the above chart, notice the Trapped Trader Oscillator above the Smart Momentum. Notice the dot just before the T2 trigger on the Trapped Trader Oscillator (TTO). We call the position of this dot a “TTO Pump”. This increases the probability of success of the trade because it is telling us traders are likely too long here and you therefore may be selling at a discount based on the order ow. When we add these probabilities they tend to increase our chances for success. In our trading room we use a technique / formula called Bayes Theorem to compute the chances for success where these probabilities are “adding” or“stacking”. When they do we can often nd trade opportunities that are well above our current baseline 75% follow through rate based on our background color changes alone. Sometimes increasing it to upwards of 97-99%. These are “must take” trade situations and we teach these methods in the trading room daily. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. In this article we have discussed basic setups that line things in your favor by cycle analysis, order ow analysis, and price action WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

48

along with larger scale range expansion probabilities. Ultimately, there is more to trading than setups. Set-ups are a starting point- a way of lining the chances for success in your favor. From there you perf ect your management of trades and this is the true


beginning of your journey towards becoming a master trader and achieving personal development that makes it possible for you to receive that abundance. If you would like to learn and benet more, join us in the OilTradingRoom.com sident of A xiom Research & Trad ing Rob is P re lizing in futures mark ets and the Inc. spec ia gRoom.com mother com pany to Oi lTrad in and Ind icatorSmar t.com. Rob has been a Commod ity T r ading Adv isor and/or Regist ered d Inv estment Ad vi sor and has been cal le the l argest Emini S&P trader in t he wor ld at var i ous t imes. Rob has also won the Cup Emini Trad ing pr estigi ous Robbins Wor ld

QUARTERLY MAGAZINE SUBSCRIPTION Read articles explaining classical trading techniques, such as W.D. Gann, Elliott Wave, astro-trading as well as modern technical analysis explaining indicators in eSignal, NinjaTraders, MetaStock & Market Analyst. COMPLETE BACK ISSUES OF TRADERS

Championship , He has dev eloped numerous

WORLD Magazine (ISSUES 1-64) You also get our complete archive of 60 back

g sy stems over succ essful commercial trad in


more t han t wo decades. He i s a tr ading

articles, product reviews, hundreds of chart

ed ucator, coach and mentor, helping others to

examples, how-to-trade articles and much

achieve t heir d reams as t r ader s.

format, which you can read online anytime. In every issue, you get the information you need to trade the markets better with charting, astro, cycles, oscillator tools. Works for stocks, bonds, futures, options.


CLICK TO SUBSCRIBE



April/May/June 2018

49

STOCK MARKET TOPPED 26th JANUARY 2018, I WAS ONE DAY OUT. The “House wife astrologers” are at a lost to why. by David Burton Many astrologers around the world claim to have found Gann’s secret, they haven’t. Gann wasn’t doing house wife astrology, it doesn’t work, they never made a public prediction, except after the event. None of them predicted a top, they have all gone quiet. If you follow these astrologers you will lose you house. Some are still looking for MH370 plane after 4 years. The closest you will get to it is Hindu astrology, but there’s an added twist that needs to be applied to unlock the “KEY” to what Gann was doing. The Hindus also left out “key’. Remember no one is going to give away the secret to life. Gann said that he would never real or sell his secrets and this is why his works are coded. Below is a post on my Inigo Jones weather forecasting page on 13 th January 2018 forecast a top between 23rd and 25th January, it came on the 26 th January, one day out. Notice I posted it at 7:20 am (720 is twice a circle). There’s no one in the world that made a public forecast, in fact they have been shorting it for years. Gann said you have to nd the right starting point. My main work is on commodities like Gann traded and studied. You can go to my Inigo Jones long term weather forecaster page (https://www.facebook.com/inigo360/ ) for the post, but a copy is below. Inigo Jones - Long Term Weather Forecaster 13 January at 07:20 · I showed in previous posts how the declination chart works (the four seasons). This is another vibration chart for New York for the winter months. It is extremely cold weather. February looks like one of the worst months in history. The Venus/Sun make a 90 degree angle to Uranus which is cold currents and lowers temperatures. Very chilly and gusty weather. Neptune in the angle at the bottom is very wet.This also could bring ooding in lower parts of America. Expect many weather disasters, this could lead to a top in the stock market and then a crash. Maybe the top between the 23rd and 25th of January with a closing of the stock exchange around 14th/15th February due to weather and a crash between 9th and 20th March. I haven›t done a lot of cycle work on this, but watch the market does turn down on the 3 day swing chart. More important is if the D.J.I.A goes below the low of the previous month. I don›t own stocks as just part of the same monetary scam, so doesn›t bother me what happens. I did sell all my real-estate in 2007 before that top and was in cash at the bottom of the GFC. In previous articles I have written that low sunspots cause a recessions and depressions. This is still down to 2020/2022 so being in cash and having no debt is the key. Below is the chart that was on my face book with the stock market top. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

50


April/May/June 2018

51

They’re many astrology cycles I run, but the last one I looked at was the Hindu Sun ingress chart on the 14th January 2018. Mars was 54 degrees from the suns ingress (5 + 4 = 9, the number for Mars), it was also 36 degrees from Saturn, another 9 number. The Sun was in the second house of money and Uranus was in the 5th house of speculation, so it’s a bad quarter for markets and weather, especially with Neptune on the cusp of the 4th house of weather and real estate. Mars is going to hit all those planets from the rst and second house from 8th March to 3rd May.


April/May/June 2018

52

New York Stock Exchange chart 17th May 1792. One of my methods I use is sidereal astrology, not housewife astrology. There wasn’t one housewife astrologer doing Gann that called the top publicly. Its because they don’t know what Gann was doing. Gann went to India so he understood Hindu astrology. I have applied methods of my own to the Hindus methods to come up with what Gann was doing.


April/May/June 2018

53

Leading up to the top on 26th January 2018 we had transiting Saturn 144 degrees (1 + 4 + 4 = 9) to natal Mercury. We had transiting Uranus conjunct natal moon. We had transiting Mars at 216 degree s (144 + 72 = 216) opposite natal Sun, Transiting Mars 144 degrees natal Moon (a good trigger) and transiting Mars at the same time 144 degrees transiting Uranus. Transiting Sun and Venus squared natal Venus. The Averaging o f Planets. I have written a number of articles in this magazine on Gann’s “Averaging of planets”, so go back and revisit those articles. The low on the S&P 500 was on 6th March 2009 and at 666.79 , the average of the planets using astronomy of Mars out was 288.5 and the top in the S&P was 2872 , 2880 is 20 x 144. At the top on the 26th January the planets averaged 225.8 which equalled the days up of 2259. On the square of 9 chart, 2259 days is opposite 1335 days (bible number) and 666.79 x 2 = 1333.58. The days line up with 2865 and is 45 degrees to the number 665. My W.D.Gann software (stage one) is very close to being nished at www.wdganntrader.com This will be the only pure Gann, that’s no indicators, because if you are doing pure Gann you don’t need them. Its been 36 years in the making, being 36 years of study.

David has been using and studying the methods of W.D.Gann since 1983. Also studying weather cycles and sunspot cycles of Inigo Jones for the last 20 years. Currently getting developed a W.D.Gann trader program that’s pure Gann, which should have stage one ready by end of February 2018. It has taken 36 years of study to understand how this program should be developed. It won’t be expensive like all the others. Watch my face books for update. W.D.Gann trader https://www.facebook.com/WDGann360/ Inigo Jones long-term weather forecaster https://www.facebook.com/inigo360/ Commodity hedging company https://www.facebook.com/hedge360/


April/May/June 2018

54

www.OddsTraderApps.com


April/May/June 2018

55

OF CYCLES, TARGETS AND CONFIRMATION by George Krum In TradersWorld #68 we talked about the importance of being able to dene future price and time targets, and discussed some of the tools at our disposal, namely channels/envelopes and angles. This time we would like to discuss another popular tool: cycles. The ability to detect and extract cycles from data series comes in many shapes and forms, and the academic and trading literature is rife with examples. We have been using our own methodology since 2011 and we’ve made it available through the OddsTrader app. We recently concluded a new test in real time, where we predicted the price targets and cycle turns for the next 6 months for a portfolio of 25 stocks picked by Goldman Sachs. The original study can be found here and here. The results were published in January. And while the focus in publishing the results was on our ability to accurately predict the price targets, it’s worth mentioning that 99% of the cycle turns proved to be accurate as well. This time we oer a new test: predicting the cycle turns for the G10 currencies for the Second quarter. While users of our indicators can see the exact cycle dates, here we’ll limit the number of forecasts to three per pair, and we will narrow the accuracy to early, mid or late month level. So here we go (analysis performed on March 10 th, 2018): EURUSD: upside target 1.29, support at 1.14, Second quarter Cycle turns: mid-April, early May and early June. GBPUSD: upside target 1.46, support at 1.3, Second quarter Cycle turns: mid-April, early May and early June. USDJPY: upside target 116.5, support at 101, Second quarter Cycle turns: early April, early May and early June. USDNOK: upside target 8.5, support at 7.35, Second quarter Cycle turns: mid-April, mid-May and mid- June. The USDSEK shares similar characteristics. USDCHF: upside target 1.01, support at 0.89, Second quarter Cycle turns: late April, mid-May and early June. AUDUSD: upside target 0.85, support at 0.71, Second quarter Cycle turns: early-April, mid-May and late June. The NZDUSD shares similar characteristics. USDCAD: upside target 1.33, support at 1.19, Second quarter Cycle turns: late April, mid-May and early June. As impressive as our past forecasting results have been, we want to point out that there is a very important distinction between forecasting and trading, and we will rarely trade a price target or cycle turn without conrmation. Hurst said the same thing some 50 years ago. He personally advocated the use of a “valid trend line”. The traditional way of doing this is to look WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

56

for at least two peaks or troughs and connect them with a straight line. We however prefer a quicker and less subjective approach, i.e. using an indicator we call CIT Pivot Line, or by using CIT Angles. Since we discussed Angles in TradersWorld #68, the focus here will be on the CIT Pivot Line and its use as a conrmation tool. It should be pointed out that we use the term Pivot Line not in the traditional sense of the term, but as a line that is used to show the beginning and end of periods when long/short action is advised. It is designed to work on all instruments, and in any time frame. Here’s an example from our indicator collection for TradingView:

(Figure 1) The above is a weekly view of the EURUSD pair from late ’16. The up and down arrows show where the Pivot Line changed trend and color, while the shaded areas show where the algorithm detected periods of buying exhaustion. We’ve designed a similar tool for our new NinjaTrader add-on. As you can see from the chart below (Figure 2), the Pivot Line indicator works seamlessly with channels, and is invaluable at pinpointing reversal and support/resistance levels.


April/May/June 2018

57

(Figure 2) We’ll conclude with one nal but very important point. When a strong trend is underway, it is best to trade only in the direction of the trend. While in theory chasing every trend and countertrend swing should lead to what Hurst called “prot optimization”, doing so in practice may do more harm than good, especially for new and inexperienced traders eager to compound prots rapidly. This can be illustrated easily with our Swing Time indicator (bottom of chart, Figure 3). On the gold chart below (Figure 3), you’ll notice that the swing duration and prots dier for upswings and downswings dependent on whether the instrument being examined is in an uptrend or downtrend. For the period July – December ’16 gold was in a downtrend, and down swing duration and gains outperformed counter-trend swing duration and gains. The opposite happened afterwards, when gold started an uptrend, and bullish swings and prots outperformed counter-trend swing duration and prots. In other words, you can expect to make more money trading with the trend, while chasing every downswing (after accounting for slippage and commissions) may lead to frequent whipsaws and the accumulation of small losses.


April/May/June 2018

58

(Figure 3) In summary, the tools and indicators described above can help traders accurately forecast future price and time targets and cycle turning points. They can alert them in real time to swing and trend turning and exhaustion points, and mark support/resistance and stop/loss levels automatically. Intuitive and easy to interpret, they can be used as a stand-alone tool or with any of your favorite indicators, to make your transactions more protable.


April/May/June 2018

59

SMALL

SUPPLY

SMALL

SUPPLY

LARGE DEMAND:

LARGE DEMAND:

RISING

RISING

PRICES

SCIENTIFIC ADVICE

PRICES

AN A LY T I C A L RE P OR T S

ON

ON

STOCKS, COTTON, GRAIN

MARKET CONDITIONS

W . D . G A N N I N C P R E S E N T S B O X O, P O M E R O Y , W A

March 2018

Readers of TradersWorld Halliker Inc. Dear Admirers of W.D.Gann:

Do you know how W.D. Gann repeatedly made money trading in the markets? By using his Mechanical Method over and over again. This consistently kept money

in the bank to research other esoteric methods he added to this system over time. This Mechanical Method is what we are going to teach you. Within the newsletter you will also learn many of Gann’s updated timing techniques Nearly 100 years ago, W.D. Gann began his Supply and Demand Letter service. We are relaunching the newsletter service with an updated, proven system built to help you earn a living through trading, while escaping many of the mistakes that drain your account. Our author, Jon Kirk, is one of the few people with full access to the source of W.D. Gann’s legacy- housed here in the Lambert Gann vaults. Jon is a full time trader who is willing to share his lifetime of knowledge and speed up and enhance your trading career. Enjoy the article!

www.wdgann.com Yours very truly,

Cody Jones at W.D.Gann

SU BS CR IB E

Inc.

t o t h e W. D . G A N N

S U P P LY & D E M A N D L E T T E R


April/May/June 2018

60

April 1, 2018

GANN KNEW – WHAT GOES UP MUST GO DOWN .. APPARENTLY. by Jon Kirk There are no shortcuts to trading, and particularly when it comes to GANN, you have to do the work; that work is rewarded in many ways, Prots, obviously, but more substantially a greater understanding. Given most people want to talk about prot I guess that’s what we must do. So let’s analyse the last move on the S & P and see if Gann or you would have made a greenback or 2 ! Here is how the week at our last workshop in Krabi, unfolded, by the way it was no coincidence we selected that date. I’ll give you the Geometric solution to an Astronomic problem, probably more than I should, but that’s how we roll, and show how the Gann Mechanical rules may have paid for lunch! This and much more was what we taught in the workshop, including solid stop and prot taking strategies. In fairness to the attendees I won’t expand on that in this forum. So here is how it unfolded. Do you think Gann may have been watching the end of January? There were a number of markers there for a change in trend, even if you did not think it would be as large as it turned out. It is well worth noting that GANN traded consistently when in a campaign, that is he took prot from both sides of the market. Firstly, we were approaching his February Seasonal date, there were a number of Astro cycles came in right at the high, including using the Jupiter Saturn Conjunction which he was famous for talking about. These markers gave us 26/29 January dates as a date to watch years in advance.


April/May/June 2018

61

Monthly counts +/30 months from lower top in July 2015 75 Months from the 2011 low 81 Months (SQ 9) from the 2011 top 90 months from 2010 low 180 Months from 2002 Lower top Telling us to watch this time frame – now we drill down, I don’t have a lot of space so I’ll jump to the daily chart but GANN was also watching the weekly. (75 weeks from July 2016 tops). There were a series of tops in 2016 The 2016 Double tops were +/- 365 BARS back. Jan 2017 top was 365 DAYS back You can go search for the others

Additionally, for those who ‘wanna’ throw some basic astro in the melt Saturn (a GANN favorite) was: 30 degrees from the Nov 2015 top and 60 degrees from the Feb 2015 top 90 degrees from the Nov 2012 low. It was time to pay attention 29 Jan 2016 was a lower top trading into a DB on Feb 10 the nal low before the market started up The 31st January was a Lunar eclipse. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

62

February 5 was a seasonal date (1/8 of a year and ½ way through winter) which often gives turns 2014 low was 3 Feb. and I mentioned 10 Feb 2016, take a look for any more. Do you think this area would be one to watch?? There is more but this is enough for this medium. The mystique of Gann is probably one of the most complex controversial discussions around any trading methodology, and whether you subscribe to the theorem he used Astro, Numerology or some other dark art, there is no doubt in my mind, that the Mechanical System was the basis for his trading success. Note I said trading not forecasting. Forecast or no forecast he used these rules to trade what he saw. In basic terms, the lunar eclipse pretty well called the top, but it took to the seasonal date to break down. You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to track this stu, but track it you must if you want to trade anything like GANN. Here are the shorting opportunities as per Ganns’ RULE 1. A, B, C and D represent the entry and basic pyramid opportunities based on his Trend Line Indicator. Note the volume on the chart below at the low.


April/May/June 2018

63

The market found support at 2529 a 75% retracement of the range from August 2017 when it commenced its acceleration higher So why might a market in freefall stop dead at 2529 ? 2531 is 480 degrees (2 x 240) down from the current high on the SQ 9. And my Trusty 1 x 1 45° lines also acted as support on the day as they did in the May and August And we were right on Seasonal time +/- a day.

But the world is ending right – or does this market have some form The ranges down from the 2007 / 2011 and 2015 tops are equaled by this run! You can go check. Does the market have a history of this sort of move. Appears to? does not guarantee it will stop but a breather is certainly on the cards.


April/May/June 2018

64

How about the ‘Angle of the Dangle’? Intersecting 1 x 1 angles, our subscribers are well versed in their use. The charts below were created in real time for a February edition of the S & D letter so please note the last bar is drawn in as the data set has not downloaded when I created the chart. You can see the intersection of the 1 x 1 angles caught the market. But it’s too simple this is not what GANN wanted us to see … or is it? The diculty is knowing what to track and how to build your case, then which rules to use to trade it. Clearly, we are now talking about trading, not forecasting, building cases for support once you are short.


April/May/June 2018

65

This stu is simple enough right? What else might we look at – perhaps a simple resistance card…

Are we there yet?

Previous support was at the October and November lows. The low price actually breached these levels, this is what Gann coined as ‘lost motion’ that is the train was going so fast it could not stop right at the station.


April/May/June 2018

66

So how did we trade it, reverse position and go long? I’ve run out of space here, so click the link and download the rest of the article !! If you are interested take a look at our Workshop or Weekly Supply & Demand letter tabs, you never know what you might learn. May the GoFR be with you. CLICK HERE TO RECEIVE THE ARTICLE AND SOLUTION VIA EMAIL


April/May/June 2018

67

Technical Traders Newsletter Review Review by Larry Jacobs Technical Traders Newsletter is a forecasting service which presents weekly video forecasts. It gives subscribers very clear and accurate market forecasts which are based on technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, crowd psychology and their own proprietary cycle analysis is very helpful to a trader. It also includes a daily pre-market analysis video with price predictions and trading opportunities for the: • US Indexes • Sectors • Gold • Silver • Oil • Bitcoin You can learn to trade with their educational analysis. Their proprietary indicators uses methodology revolving around crowd psychology combined with fundamental and expert technical analysis giving you stock, ETF and Bitcoin trades. Here is an video example of their daily video market predictions for March 20-27th for stocks, gold, oil etc. https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=17&v=Hq2Nz4UR6dE Their trading philosophy is that you don’t have to be smart to make money in the stock market but just think dierently. All markets present opportunities to make money. You can always take what the market gives you and make money. In their trades they cut losses and protect prots. They feel that to make money is knowing how not to lose money. You will have trades that lose money, but if you know how to cut your losses, you can have several losses and still be protable with only one winner. You can be right less than one third of the time and still make money. They invest by targeting indexes, stocks, sectors and commodities that have the characteristics of leaders and with strong earnings, be in a leading sector and has institutional support. They watch market tops and bottoms and then use the best and safest strategies to prot from the pending moves. They play trends and solid technical patterns. Each year several big plays do unfold in the markets and they are ready to trade those lows and highs when the time is right. This is a philosophy that can change your life. I had a month free trial for the review and I did see how they proted from a trade giving them a 9.1% prot from a bounce in natural gas. I really liked the videos and found the service to be highly educational. For more information or to subscribe please go to www.thetechnicaltraders.com WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

68

15 Day Demo Trial Start Today! Professional trading tools:  Find a Trade  Determine Position Size  Assess your Risk/Reward MTPredictor povides all the tools you need. Find out more.

Testimonial

20% Discount Expires June 30th Use Coupon Code TW20

CLICK HERE TO BUY

 Scan all your markets for automatic MTPredictor

TS1/2/3/4/DP and VS, setups of which the TS1, TS3 and TS4 also have a Holy Grail variation as well as Elliott wave patterns. 

Quick Analysis of the Automatic setups, including full Position Sizing and Risk control. 

Manual Risk/Reward Tool - for Advanced Traders to perform their own manual trade analysis 

Manual WPT module - Project "in advance" future support and resistance zones based on a manual Elliott Wave count. 

Manual Decision point (DP) tool - Project "in advance" future support and resistance zones 

Elliott Wave tool - find additional set-ups on your charts using MTPredictor's unique "Isolation approach" to Elliott Wave Analysis.

Dear Steve. I would like to really thank you for investing your life in developing this wonderful software. I have been an elliott wave practitioner for a decade and MTPREDICTOR in the past one month has really enhanced my ability to trade sucessfully. I have spent 14 hours a day trading across Equity, Commodity & Currency (Indian) markets using MTPREDICTOR and i must confess here that my trading style has seen a transformation. The advanced analysis section is a boon that helps me spot abc correction, count emerging trends and initiate trades with confidence. The real time scanner is another brilliant tool to spot opportunities. I have used other leading softwares for trading but the depth of realtime analysis that can be performed & trading opportunities that MT PRIDICTOR spots leaves competing softwares far behind. I am very satisfied with MTPREDICTOR, THANK YOU.

MTPredictor is purchased in two stages, first $95 ($145 for the NinjaTrader Professional edition) is taken at the time of the initial purchase, then 15 days later the balance is due. Stocks, Futures and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficent risk capital should consider trading. Affiliate Disclosure - this ad contains links which are a means for this magazine to earn money. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

69

The Isolation Approach to Elliott Wave Analysis by Steve Griths

The aim of this article has not been to criticize Elliot Wave theory as traditionally taught, as there are many sources available now that are very good and can give good results. This Article is a description of my own personal journey of Elliott Wave analysis and the way I found to use parts of the Elliott Wave theory, in isolation, to uncover potential trade setups. I started following the markets in 1987, that is over 30 years ago now! In the early days I was looking for an analysis approach that would project where markets would be at some point in the future, and the Elliott Wave Theory seemed to t this bill. Therefore, I started to look into this, following it in more detail. Over time, I began to become disappointed and frustrated that so often the markets did not unfold as anticipated, and how standard Elliott Wave teachings used alternative counts and ever more complex corrective patterns to try and make the patterns t in when markets did not unfold as anticipated. I found this very frustrating, but I did like some of the things that the Elliott Wave theory promised, so I did not give up. As I worked with it I realised that much of the time Markets appeared to be random, with no discernible pattern. This observation seemed to be backed up with a number of books being written at the time on how markets were random. But how could the Markets be random if we had Technical Analysis, which used patterns (not just Elliott Wave) with the aim of projecting future Market movement? It then struck me, what if both theories were correct? Where Markets were both random and predictable, but the Markets went through phases where part of the time they were random and part of the time they were predictable. In other words, they went through cycles. With this in mind, I then came back to look at Elliott Wave theory again, and in particular the parts of the theory that were the simplest and easiest patterns to nd. The easiest of all was the simple ABC correct. To my joy, the most common place this was found was in the Wave (2) correction. Why was this important? After a Wave (2) correction the Market then very often made a Wave (3) swing, and the Wave (3) swing is usually the strongest and longest in a completed 5 Wave sequence. If you could nd the end of the Wave (2) swing to then try and enter a trade as this Wave (2) swing was ending to trade the Wave (3), this would represent a trade setup that had a large potential prot for the smallest initial risk. In other words, when the trade went as anticipated the prot would be much larger than the losses, conversely, when the WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

70

markets did not go as anticipated the losses were kept small. As a Trader, this is all you should be after, a trade setup that has the potential for a large prot, but not just large in Dollars, but large in relation to the inevitable losses. This is where Position Sizing then came in as a way to keep the losses small and the prots large (this is a topic for another article). So far so good, I now understood why the Elliott Wave Theory, as traditionally taught, seemed to break down so often, because Markets go through cycles swapping between randomness and predictability. The question then became how to make use of this? For this I had to look at multi-time frame analysis. Where, I started to look at the higher time frame charts and see when markets entered support or resistance zones on these higher time frame charts. When this started to happen, the assumption was made that markets were starting to leave their random phase and enter a more predictable phase. With the market becoming more predictable on the higher time frame, we could then start to look for trade setups on the lower time frame. In other words, we were only starting to l ook for Elliott Wave Patterns “in isolation”, once the larger degree position started to become clear. The Isolation Approach to Elliott Wave Analysis was then born! A recent example of this is on the EURCAD Chart, where we rst look at the higher time frame to see when the Market started to make meaningful support at one of our MTPredictor DP Support zones:

As you can see in the Chart above, on the 4hr Chart the market was starting to rally (nd support) o the DP support zone, which was taken from the last swing low. So now we could assume that this market was starting to come out of its random phase and as WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

71

such enter a more predictable phase. Now was the time to start to look for possible trade setups on the shorter time frame (1hr) Chart. Using the Elliott Wave theory “in isolation”, were we used the rally o the higher time frame support zone as our starting point. As I outlined earlier, the best Elliott Wave trade setup would be as the Wave (2) correction was ending to look for the start of a strong Wave (3) Swing: In the Chart below, you can see how the EURCAD made an initial rally o the low (which unfolded at higher time frame support), in Elliott Wave terms this would be considered a Wave (1):

This was then followed by a correction, but not just any correction, one that sub-divided into a minor ABC pattern. In Elliott Wave terms this is a potential Wave (2). We then use Fibonacci clusters to determine a potential support zone for the end of the minor Wave C swing. If the market then made a low at this point and reversed, then the resulting rally was likely to be a Wave (3), and as outlined earlier, because a Wave (3) is normally the strongest and longest swing in a completed 5 wave sequence, this represented the potential for a large protable swing in the Market. Let’s see how this looks on the Chart:


April/May/June 2018

72

In the chart above, the Analysis projected that if the EURCAD rallied into the Typical Wave 3 WPT (Fibonacci price cluster for a Wave 3), then this would represent a potential prot of just over 6 times the initial risk required to take the trade. Remember, professional traders are not looking to project or forecast the future, they are just looking for potential trade setups, that over time, produce prots that are larger than the losses. Let’s now move forward in time and see what unfolded:


April/May/June 2018

73

As you can see, the EURCAD rallied strongly to initially reach the projected Typical Wave (3) WPT prot zone. In fact, the EURCAD exceeded this level, which was anticipated by the MTPTrend Indicator breaking above its strength band. Trade Management would then swap to using the ATRStop to follow the market. The end result was a potential Prot of just over 8 times the initial risk required to take the trade. Where is the market anticipated (or projected) to go from here? A professional Trader does not care, and this is the whole point, in that after the market has been in a clear pattern, then it is likely to return into the random part of the cycle. As a professional Trader, the market has given a good protable trade. So, it does not matter what happens next. Professional Trading is all about what goes into and then leaves the Bank account, i.e. Prots and losses, not projecting future Market moves. Please remember that not all trades work out as well as this example, there will always be losses. The aim, over time, is to have prots that (on average) are larger than the losses. This is why MTPredictor uses Position Sizing to keep the losses small, but not just small in Dollar terms, small in relation to the potential Prots. The isolation Approach to Elliott Wave Analysis has been able to capture a lovely trade setup, but only as part of a snap shot when the market was in a clear and predictable part of its cycle. Before this, and probably after this, the market will then return to become more random. The isolation Approach to Elliot Wave Analysis then become a tool where you can start to look for trade setups but only in isolation, after the individual Market has shown (by i ts own actions) that it is making meaningful support or resistance on the higher time frame. A similar approach can be used when working with other Elliott Wave patterns, for example the end of a Wave (5) swing. A Wave (5) is the end of the current swing. This would be considered a trend termination pattern, so more care must be taken. In particular, the Trader must look for other reasons why the current swing may be coming to an end. This is where we again look to the higher time frame chart for potential areas of support or resistance. The Wave (5) pattern is again applied in isolation, but the important point is, that the Wave 5 swing appears to be coming to an end in the same area as higher time frame support or resistance. Here is a recent example on a 15-min Chart of the Nasdaq March 2018 Future (NQ):


April/May/June 2018

74

We can see that a Wave (5) swing started to nd support, both at the minimum Wave 5 WPT (Fibonacci price cluster) as well as the DP support zone from the higher time frame (1hr) Chart. The Prot target for this type of setup is the DP taken from the prior Wave (4) Swing. The NQ rallied up into the Prot target for a potential Prot of approximately 2.9 times the initial risk (ignoring slippage and commission). Again, Position Sizing was used to keep the initial risk small in relation to the potential prot. Although this setup is higher risk than the previous one (o the end of a Wave 2) it uses the same basic idea of applying the Elliot Wave patterns in isolation. The aim is not to try and t this pattern in with any pattern coming before it, nor to use it to predict any pattern moving forward, beyond the initial Prot target. Although, the end of a Wave (5) setup has the potential to catch the very end of a trend, my personal favourite setup is the previous one, mainly because it has the added conrmation of looking for a correction after a major turn has already unfolded at higher time frame support or resistance. Also, because the Wave (3) tends to be the longest and strongest swing in a completed 5 Wave sequence, as such this setup usually has the largest potential prot in relation to the initial risk. This setup is one of the automatic setups that is found in the MTPredictor software program. Steve Griths is the developer of the MTPredictor software program ( www.MTPredictor.com) that uses as it basis Steve’s Isolation Approach to Elliott Wave. MTPredictor was launched in 2001, and Steve rst started following the Markets in 1987. During that time Steve has presented many training seminars, written many articles and even presented on CNBC Europe. Steve Griths WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

75

Using Geodetics in the Stock Market as a Natal Astrological Technique By Dr. Lorrie V. Bennett In the world today, there are techniques which are not as commonly used nor as fully understood as others, that can help enlighten the trader to possible events which would allow either a perfect trade or at the least, a leg up on the market itself. In applying Jensen’s Astro-cycles map we nd that the US has Midheavens that span the later degrees of Scorpio to the end of Capricorn with Ascendants that correlate to early Aquarius to Taurus. What few do is to determine where the events that happen in the heavens occur on Earth. This is a writeup on Facebook that hopefully brings the possibilities to light. In this article we will try to answer the why of Facebook’s recent public relations mess in releasing data to Cambridge Analytics. In March of 2018, Facebook (FB) came under world criticism for sharing data on over 50 million users, their friends and family without direct consent of those whose data they shared. The world is in an uproar and the stock has fallen from a high of 186.10 on March 12 to a low of 161.95 on March 20, 2018. The correlates to a fall of almost 13% in 7 trading days. Why this sudden hit? To understand that, we must travel back in time to the start of Facebook. To best evaluate the underlying cause of events, we needed to nd the actual birth date for Facebook. Publicly it is given as 2/4/2004 as when it went online as noted in Wikipedia. The time is set for noon on the public date and little jumps out as what could really drive this stock’s value.


April/May/June 2018

76

Eventually Facebook was relocated to Palo Alto, California, and the locality chart for the area shows two features: 1 This locality shift puts Neptune on the Ascendant which gives an impressionability, sensitivity sensitivi ty,, a sympathetic, compassionate or innate understanding of other people. Facebook, by building on relationships, tries to show this element of the chart. 2 Jupiter/Node gives good relationships and connections, an agreeable or pleasant contact but when poorly energized disharmonious or anti-social conduct in associations can occur. But what about other events that could have been considered its birth? Additional study of the history of Facebook Facebook shows a surprising back story that helps to build a better natal chart. In late October of 2003, Mark Zuckerberg was a sophomore at Harvard. He got dumped by a girlfriend and got drunk. drunk. That night he decided to write some code code for a website that would would be known as FACEMASH.

He states he wrote the code in one night and then got the data used for the website by hacking into Harvard’s database. database. By working thru articles in the Harvard Crimson student paper an initial date of 11/3 is reached due to notices of privacy violations and copyright violations that were sent to Mark about the website. A note that FACEMASH (Facebook’s predecessor) was opened on 10/28/2003 is eventually found. Giving a day to write code and a day to organize the date of 10/26/2003 as the point where the code writing began, which would represent a possible date for the birth of FACEMASH/Facebook. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

77

Here is the chart for Oct 26 at 12PM set as a locality chart for Palo Alto, California. Note that a key feature of the February 4, 2004 chart is present, as Neptune is still located on the ascendant of this locality chart for Palo Palo Alto, Ca. But further investigation investigation shows that this chart matches the events that created Facebook and its overall history as a Social Media/Friends and Family connector and its current publicity issues. Neptune in Aquarius gives Aquarius gives a person with hopes and wishes noble aims but also insincerity, fraud, a person who is easily inuenced by other people, easy yielding to temptation. This correlates with Facebooks history, as it is noted that Mark Z hacked Harvard’s network for pictures and data for students to create FACEMASH. As subsequent lawsuit suggested, issues as to where the actual creative idea came from were resolved by giving IPO shares to two individuals. Venus is on the Midheaven of Midheaven of the October 2003 chart when relocated to Palo Alto, and it is also in opposition to the Node. Node. This aspect would would be present in a Harvard Harvard locale chart as well, and its inuence creates a disharmonious disharmonious love-union love-union (girlfriend dumped dumped him). This aspect also gives a lack of adaptability, little endeavor to oblige other people, a disagreeable nature, fraud. By placing Venus on the midheaven, when the energy between the node and Venus is balanced, there is a sense of beauty and art to the chart, but when stressed, the presence of vanity and conceit, self-admiratio self-admiration, n, and jealousy are strong features features of this chart. Some would suggest suggest that this is a clear picture of Facebook Facebook (FB). Also, within this chart are hidden aspects and relationships that go beyond the scope of this article, but key elements of those aspects are: 1. An abuse or betrayal of condence, falsehood, deceit, tendency to lay oneself open to exploitation by other people, thus serving as a willing tool for other people’s selsh purposes. 2. Accessory to malicious actions. 3. Illusion, disharmony, a disagreeable disagreeab le nature. Facebook’s whole gimmick is one of a friends/family connection which is strong as its Venus/ Node opposition is on the Midheaven, giving “an aectionate nature, an obliging and cordial manner, a harmonious relationship to other persons, a love aair. And it was good, but with NEPTUNE mixed into the aspect in a Mundo square of Ascendant to Midheaven, the deceit, fraud and other nefarious activities of NEPTUNE color the Venus with illusion and disharmony.

What triggered this round of events? In the middle March of 2018, news broke that Facebook was sharing data with companies working with American presidential campaigns (Trump and Obama), which has not been received kindly. The rst mention of the story was on Nov 19, 2016, and its tie to a Facebook quiz that


April/May/June 2018

78

was utilized by a data mining company. Looking for the celestial trigger for this release brings up the Jupiter yearly retrograde motion on March 9, 2018. The retrograde motion was at 19-23 Scorpio, which directly inuenced the NEPTUNE/VENUS/NODE NEPTUNE/VENUS/NODE natal points. Given the breaking news and resulting price collapse, it appears that the retrograde Jupiter has revealed the worst of Facebook’s nature. Interestingly, the initial report of the Facebook/Cambridge Facebook/Cambridge Analytics tie was when Saturn was at 16 Sagittarius, a point related to Facebooks retrograde natal Saturn.

What lies ahead? Jupiter will end its retrograde action 7/11/18 at 13 & 10 Scorpio and nish its 3rd pass over 20 Scorpio on the 9/19/18 time frame. Then it will hit an event with Saturn on 1/19/2019 at 13 Cap or opposite the Natal Saturn position. This will likely be the worst event for FACEBOOK. If I were trading FB, at this point I would look for points to go short into the July 11 time frame. Expect a slight move back up, and then another period down into Jan of 2019, at least. Given that Saturn is the discipliner, and as it is retrograde, I expect that legislation seeking to take control of social media as a public utility could occur. Mark Z is not going to be able to talk himself out of this situation as it goes to the very essence of FACEBOOK FACEBOOK in its origin and function. There are changes coming, the question is, will it resolve these weaknesses in Facebook’s chart. Another interesting point is that when the diculties began for Facebook, many other TECHS began having issues, i.e. those located in Silicon Valley or those corporations that share the Palo Alto ascendant of 11 Aquarius. Amazon is based in Seattle and that is why they are avoiding much of this conict in the social media world. These observations observations are a small sampling of the deeper principles of astrology that Gann and the great ancient astrologers used. In my forthcoming course, The Law of Vibration by the Planets , I will introduce a new, advanced system of astrological market interpretation based upon Gann’s most secretive and hidden astrological principles decoded from his most mysterious work, The Tunnel Thru the Air .

For more information about my work and my 4-volume series on Gann’s Law of Vibration, and my future work on Geodetics and other astrological science, please see: http://www.sacredscience.com/BENNET http://www .sacredscience.com/BENNETT/Law-ofT/Law-of-Vibration-Series-I Vibration-Series-Introduction.htm ntroduction.htm


April/May/June 2018

79

Algorithmic Trading and Investing

Tr a d i n g M e t h o d s a n d C o n c e p t s ;

Stocks, Options, Futures, FOREX

t r a d i t i o n a l ly r e s e r v e d f o r b i g banks and hedge funds, now available for you:

SOFTWARE See high probability trade setups right at your charts. `

EDUCATION One-on-one training/coaching: Trading Strategies Money Management Risk Management 

Spot and follow institutional money moves. Let the chart tell, when to buy or sell. Works for all asset classes and time frames:

 



TRADE ALERTS Find assets ready to trade. DOCUMENTATION Tutorials, financial plan, action plan, position sizing...





Day Trading Swing Trading Long Term Investing -

Free Consulting Hour: Experience how NeverLossTrading systems work in real time and which concept suites you best.

[email protected]

Call: +1 866 455 4520 WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

80

Take Your Trading and Investing Future into Your Own Hands By Thomas Barmann of NeverLossTrading.com By reading this publication, you are doing the right thing; you care about your money. If you don’t care about your money, nobody else will! Most people leave it up to a fund manager to operate their nancial future. For those, who do so, the development of an index (DOW, S&P 500, Russell 2000) is what you can expect. If you do so and markets fall, as they did in 2008, you will cut your account in half i n the matter of a short period of time. Operating in the nancial markets means that you meet professionals that are prepared for winning: Those who enter and fail to prepare, prepare to fail. However, when you are well prepared, many opportunities are available for you in your IRA or any type of an account: •

Be a real estate investor in $100 investment increments, with no closing costs and no attorney reviews.

•

Participate in the price development of crude oil or precious metals without the need to store such at your house.

•

Move from being a technology investor to consumer goods in split seconds, without due diligence and legal documentation.


April/May/June 2018

81

By Mark Twain: The dictionary is the only place where success comes prior to work. Translating this into the nancial world: Positive results are a matter of knowledge and preparation. Thus; not a single action, but a combination of the right actions will make a dierence. Fund managers, by the sheer size of their operation, cannot easily trade in and out of position: You can, and this is the way for you to beat the fund manager’s performance. To do so, everything shall start with a high probability trading system; however, there is more needed. Let us put this into a short overview: The dierence between trading and investing is only the perspective of how long you expect to hold a position in an asset: Stock, Options, Future, and FOREX. The system, attitude, and behavior needed to produce success is the same!

Prepare yourself and learn how to: •

Boost your short and long-term income — starting now.

•

Apply strategies to minimize risk and maximize returns.

• Counteract and repair a trade or investment when it goes wrong.

•

Make trading and investing work in any economy and any account type (margin, cash, IRA).

•

Find and select assets or asset classes where prices move.

• Know what to do before you put your money in the market and apply multiple trading

strategies based on a thorough market analysis.


April/May/June 2018

82

However, we were just talking about the skill set; but there is more to it, let us categorize this in an overview:

Now the key questions: Where are you today and where do you want to be? Check if you do the following: Predicting the future price happening of an asset with a high probability? •

Choose the suitable trading strategy to apply?

•

Control the maximum risk to take in a trade or investment?

•

Decide for the right position sizing based on the odds of the trade situation?

•

Repairing your trade when needed?

Let me help you further and create a checklist for trading success; however, we want to do the work for you and oer you the following: •

A questionnaire for trading success that will help you to get a straight forward feedback on where you stand and what it takes to get where you want to be. What we oer here is that you give us some input on what you trade/invest and how (we are not asking for any personal nancial data and we will keep your input condential).

•

Our non-published book: “Your Integrated Trading and Investing System”, only oered to a selected group of people, explaining how successful traders follow a system, where multiple components are working in their favor.


April/May/June 2018

83

Who is this for? •

This is for beginners, who have some resources, so they want to kick start and avoid a lot of costly mistakes.

•

It is also for veterans, who want to excel from a plateau they reached.

•

And it is for people in a growth mode, who want to move ahead with their trading.

To gain this special knowledge, we ask you for an investment of $197 (your real-persondeposit). This is what you will get: •

A personal one-on-one online feedback session, highlighting improvement areas and action steps to better your trading or investing.

•

An electronically written report, documenting the base of our feedback.

• “Your Integrated Trading and Investing System” our non-public eBook, explaining the crucial steps to trading success.

If you decide to implement what we shared with you on your own: We will not ask questions, we will leave you with a feedback report and our guide to “Your Integrated Trading and Investing System”. If you decide to sign up for one of our mentorships or NLT Alerts, you will get a credit of the $197 towards your tuition- or NLT Alert payment. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

84

Both ways, you risk little and we give you a sound value back for building you up to be the trader or investor you want to be: The average industry rate for a 1-hour personal-consulting with a trading coach is $400; and we put more than one hour of time in working with you. After you made your real-person-deposit, we will send you a questionnaire, which also contains an example of how it shall be lled in. Again: we are not asking for any personal nancial data and we will keep your input condential. The more detailed you can answer our questions, the better we can help you in putting together a recommendation for the action steps to be taken to better your trading or investing. We speak from more than 30+ years of experience in trading and investing, with expertise in working with individuals. We taught and developed a sound knowledge base about the nancial markets, paired with mathematical and algorithmic trading techniques and software, helping us to identify your potentials and opportunities as a private investor/trader. We are in the trading and investing education business since 2008 and develop with you what is needed to turn you into the trader or investor you want to be. Our teaching and coaching is one-on-one at your best available days and times. After we receive your lled out questionnaire, we will schedule an online meeting with you to give you a detailed analysis and suggestions, telling you where you stand and what it will entail to get where you want to be as a trader or investor. All results will be discussed in a one-on-one online meeting; followed up by a written report and you will then receive our non-public book: “Your Integrated Trading System”, for your review and implementation with us or on your own. To get this questionnaire back, you can send us an electronic version to contact@ NeverLossTrading.com or Fax: +1 866 455 4520 Our response back to you will take between one and seven days. Please answer all questions, for putting us in the position to give you a meaningful feedback. We are looking forward to working with you. Please sign up for this opportunity…by your PayPal deposit. If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here. Best regards, Thomas Barmann NeverLossTrading A Division of NOBEL Living, LLC 401 E. Las Olas Blvd. - Suite 1400 Fort Lauderdale, FL 33301 Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

85

Improving Moving Average Systems with Andrews Pitchfork By Ron Jaenisch In Traders world publication last year, “A Winning System” was included, by this author. The system was a 50/100 week moving average crossover system. A track record was shown that documented the systems 100% record of winning trades for the last eighty years. Since I learned Andrews and Babson techniques, from Dr. Alan Hall Andrews at his kitchen table and use them in my own trading, I decided to experiment with the idea of combining the Pitchfork with the crossover moving average system. This article will show some of the results of this experiment. The moving average crossover system enters the long position in the S&P when the fty week moving average crosses above the one hundred week moving average and exits when the fty week crosses below the one hundred week moving average. Andrews taught that price makes it to the median line eighty percent of the time and to buy after a decline and sell after a rally. To make the median line work in conjunction with this system buy signals are only achieved if the MA system is already long and price comes down to a Median Line. After a very long run, price going past the median line for the rst time or the median line far parallel may be used for a sell signal.


April/May/June 2018

86

In the above chart an entry signal was achieved with the moving average and after a decline the Andrews Buy signal kicked in. This was when the moving average system was still long.

Over time the S&P went up and the moving average system stayed long. After price went to the Pitchfork far parallel an Andrews sell signal was achieved.

As

seen WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

87

As seen in the above chart, the market went sideways and down for about a year. The crossover system was still long and an Andrews Buy signal was achieved after the market went down to the median line.

The MA system had an exit signal a few months later and once again took prots. Shortly before the election another enter long signal was achieved. At this time both the Andrews tech and the MA system were both calling for higher prices. After the election price went further to the upside, until nally price made it to the median line where a sell signal was achieved, thereby locking in the Trump tax code rally prots.


April/May/June 2018

88

An ECHO and a SHADOW by Al McWhirr www.EminiScalp.com

ECHO- a close parallel or repetition of an idea, feeling, style, or event SHADOW- to travel behind, to follow.

You are going to sit down, open your charts and make something happen. Or, you may just want to sit down, open your charts and see what has happened. Or, you nally, with emotion and reservation, enter your trade, see it go south and wonder just what just happened. It has been a few issues since I last contributed an article to TradersWorld magazine. No, I didn’t get lazy, I just didn’t have new and fresh material to share, and I certainly did not want to bore readers with redundant material. It was time to contribute so I decided to write about our new EminiScalp Auto Strategy, the EminiScalp Shadow. Actually, the Shadow is not really new, it is based on our EminiScalp Stalker strategy. The purpose of the Shadow is to follow , or shadow, the Stalker set ups as they occur during the trading day, and decide if there is a possibility that maybe the particular Stalker entry may encounter some resistance resulting in a stop. In essence, the Shadow was spying on the Stalker. The Shadow would assess the Stalker set up conditions just prior to an entry and if the Shadow thought that the entry may not be protable, then there would be no entry. The Shadow would patiently wait, and take an entry if it determined that the conditions may be favorable. Our Stalker strategy is great, but I am constantly looking to improve. The EminiScalp goal is to never get stopped, or actually, to have some prot, no matter how small, on every trade. Of course we have not reached our goal yet, but I do believe we are close. Successful trading, in my opinion, is based on a number of factors. The method or strategy, as well as the management are denitely key factors. But also is the personality makeup of the trader. Entering a trade is dicult for many as well as staying with the trade. Not knowing where to exit a trade can be a problem as well. Taking less prots on more trades could possibly be more protable that attempting to take larger prots on less trades. I am a scalper only because, and I am being honest, I am impatient. Like many traders, I want to get in and get out. Attempting to do this manually is draining. That is why I have created our auto strategies. If conditions permit, we have the possibility of substantial prots on a particular trade, but our objective is to be protable on as many trades as possible, even if the prot is small. Small prots can add up. In any case, trading is still dicult for many. Even though the objective of an auto trade strategy is to assist traders with entries and exits, many still nd trading dicult. You may ask yourself, what is your real objective for wanting to


April/May/June 2018

89

trade. Are you really interested in learning the technical and other aspects of the business or is it the potential prots that trading oers. Hey, nothing wrong with wanting to earn money. If it is the latter, read on. Previously, I talked about our Shadow strategy and what it does. Now, let’s talk about the Echo. A while ago Je Roth from Perfectna contacted me with an interesting platform called EchoTrading. Below is what the ECHO is about: Echo-Trading is a new technology that connects everyday investors with some of the best and

most protable traders in futures. With the click of a button investors are able to copy or “echo” the trades of Echo Leaders with a veried track record of success. In partnership with CQG and using APS (average pricing) technology, Echo-Trading is able to match the ll prices of followers with the ll prices of the Echo Leader. Leaders can trade options, limits, automated systems, or discretionary strategies. There are virtually no limitations with Echo-Trading. For Leaders, Echo-Trading is a way to create a following, and collect subscription revenue without having to do any work to market themselves other than trading successfully. As a

Leader simply trades their own account, and is not oering advice, there is no need for licensing. Leaders are free to focus 100% on trading. For Followers, Echo-Trading provides the opportunity to echo the performance of the best talent in the industry without the high cost of entry of managed futures or hedge funds. There is no need to learn how to trade a new asset class, or spend hours reading charts, they can simply

lean on the experience and eort of traders who have done the work for them. Echo-Trading is without a doubt, the simplest way to trade futures, and oers the average investor the best chance at protability. Very interesting to say the least, and possibly a viable solution for many traders. Let’s see how the ECHO and the SHADOW can perhaps work together. Below are screen shots taken on 3-15-18 of the YM, NQ and CL ., The shots were taken approximately at the same time and show the trade entry areas of our EminiScalp Shadow, represented by the aqua colored arrow. The arrow appears upon entry. Although our discussion is based on one contract, multiple contracts with a viable trade management, could possibly tell a dierent story.


April/May/June 2018

90

Chart A Above, chart A, is our YM chart. Here we had a nice 24411 long entry. The Shadow strategy along with our management allowed 9 ticks, or $45 of prot. Our long entry at 24442 was a bit more generous. Although the price moved about 30 ticks before the pullback, in actuality, the prot would have been less with our trailing strategy. Let’s say we captured 20 ticks before our management took us out. That would be $100.00. The short at 24481 would only net about 4 ticks or $20.00. Like I mentioned, lock in some prot if possible. Anyway, those 3 entries showed $165.00.


April/May/June 2018

91

Chart B The above NQ chart, chart B, shows potential Shadow entries throughout the morning on 3-518.There were 6 entries, 4 short and 2 long, that the Shadow found, and all would have shown some prot. A conservative estimate of prot would be at least $115.00. Again, this is based on the trailing management. As I mentioned, small prots add up. Although the price may run 30 ticks from an entry, the goal of a trailing management is to lock in a prot if the price moves against you. Then, wait for another entry. Doing this manually is tedious and tiring to say the least. That is why an auto strategy is the way to go. Hypothetically though, there was much more potential prot from these 6 entries.

Chart C The CL chart above, chart C, shows potential Shadow entries during the same time frame. Entering the rst CL long at 61.77, the price moved 8 ticks or so to 61.85. Not knowing where the price may go, you could manually exit, for a possible 6 or 7 tick prot. Or, if the strategy had a tight trailing stop, you may get 4 or 5 ticks prot when the price pulled back. The second long at 61.74 looks as though it had a nice run until the price reached 61.92 or so before the pullback. A conservative trailing management would have probably taken you out at around 61.85 or so. If you were sitting in front of your computer, and you see the price moving in your direction, you may just want to exit manually just to be certain you have captured some prot. In any case, conservatively you probably could have netted possibly 9 ticks from these entries. With one contract, that would be $90.00.


April/May/June 2018

92

The hypothetical gain from the YM, NQ and CL from the time frame shown, could have been $370.00, trading 1 contract. Assuming your account size allows you to trade all 3, then that is not a bad gain for the morning. Now, you may ask, are all trades successful? Of course


not. There will be stops but with a strategy that searches for optimum entries and a logical trade management program, the odds could certainly be in your favor. So, how does all of this coincide with the Echo-Trading? If you are not able to do this by yourself, for whatever reason, then echoing may be the way to go. Again, this is hypothetical and in no way for certain,

QUARTERLY MAGAZINE SUBSCRIPTION

but let’s say that your cost for a month of

Read articles explaining classical trading

Echoing participation is $100. Let us be real conservative and say that you only gain $50 per day as a follower. That would be $250

techniques, such as W.D. Gann, Elliott Wave, astro-trading as well as modern technical analysis explaining indicators in eSignal, NinjaTraders, MetaStock & Market Analyst.

per week or $1000 per month. Would it be logical to pay $100 for a possible $1000 gain? I certainly believe so. But, to get the real facts

COMPLETE BACK ISSUES OF TRADERS WORLD Magazine (ISSUES 1-64) You also get our complete archive of 60 back

with no guessing or hypothetical’s, ask your


broker if they oer Echo-Trading by Perfectna .

articles, product reviews, hundreds of chart examples, how-to-trade articles and much

Thanks for taking you time to read my article.

format, which you can read online anytime. In every issue, you get the information you need to trade the markets better with charting, astro, cycles, oscillator tools. Works for stocks, bonds, futures, options.


CLICK TO SUBSCRIBE



April/May/June 2018

93

How to Find the Highest Probability Trades By Steve Wheeler Founder and CEO of NaviTrader, Inc (www.navitrader.com) Professional Trader and System Designer/Developer

Introduction Let me start by introducing myself. I am a full time trader, trainer and software developer in the futures markets. I run a real time trading room two hours each trading day. I have traded for over 20 years, and concentrate primarily on the currency (FOREX), crude oil, gold and stock index futures markets, such as the S & P E-mini. In a previous career, I was a practicing C.P.A. in the state of Florida. I have developed a full suite of charts and indicators known as the Trendicators™ and a market analyzer known as the TradeFinder™, as well as a number of automated trading systems and automated buy, sell, and trade management systems. What follows are the fundamental elements you need to be consistently protable in the futures markets. I have also included information below that is crucial to your overall success and in managing your risk. Preparation for trading protably consists of market observation over a period of time so that the trader can build condence in knowing what usually happens in the market, and how to prot from the recurring market behaviors that repeat itself every day. To take advantage of cycles in the markets, observe the typical move that a market moves after it moves up or down out of a range contraction pattern. The real objective is to build knowledge of probabilities of market behavior so as to take consistent prots out of specic trading instruments. The following are observations of market behavior that will help to put the probabilities in your favor. Combining the Use of Signals on Correlated Markets To put the probabilities in your favor, you must have an objective method or system for your trading. Patterns repeat themselves over and over in all markets, so knowing these patterns can help to put the probabilities in your favor. The more you can automate your trading signals, the more objective you will be in your trade selection and less emotional trading will occur.

You

need to determine a set of technical conditions for which you would take a long or short position in any market.

You can use technical indicators that are widely available, or you can develop

your own indicators. Once you have chosen the indicators you want to use, test them for validity in your trading. As in any testing, the more data the more reliable the results will be. Below is an example of a chart where we have developed a system to determine price bar WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

94

direction and have coded them green on an up bar and red on a down bar.

This will provide

the technical indicators that need to match up for a long or short position. You can see the automated sell signals which are the Magenta arrows. You can use simple rules such as a buy above the signal bar and exiting either on a trailing stop or a prot target. Whatever system you use, be sure to test it on a sucient sample size to test for a positive expectancy. The chart below used a volume chart for the NASDAQ 100 Futures with automated signals.

Making money in the market is a matter of being on the right side of the market. Specic to the futures markets, there are both up and down moves each day that provide many trading opportunities.

One approach to the markets is to look for evidence of major support and

resistance levels based on chart history. Many people ask me which time frame that I look at for my trading, and by best answer is that I look at all of them.

A good analogy would be that

if you were going to buy or short a stock, you would most likely start by looking at a weekly or daily chart. Why would you approach the futures markets any dierently?

To put the odds in

your favor, you must nd things that occur over and over and trade with this information. Below you will see an example of a Renko based chart of the Dow Futures chart. This chart has buy and sell signals. The buy signals are the Green arrows pointing up and the sell signals are represented by magenta arrows pointing down.


April/May/June 2018

95

The above chart and the system displayed by the chart is an example of a signal that will enable you to objectively test a signal on any chart time frame or data series that you would like to test. Other examples would be using indicators such as moving averages for buy and sell signals One simple to use method of testing is to use a trade simulator to assist you. You can download market replay data and test based on historical data taking trades based on your entry and exit criteria.

You will be able to test various stop and prot target levels over a series of trades. I

would suggest that you test during the time periods in which you plan to trade.

An example

would be to test the S & P futures from 9:45 AM Eastern time through 11:00 AM Eastern time if that is the part of the day that you intend to trade. You could test using the minute based charts along with volume charts by requiring that the signals on both the minute based chart and the volume based charts are both in agreement on direction. How To Develop a System with a Positive Expectancy using The Highest Probability Setups Through trade experience and testing our charts for over 10 years, along with testing under real time conditions, I have observed that the highest probability trades consist of using a system to determine points where two or more correlated markets such as the Dow, S &P and the Nasdaq futures are moving in the same direction as in the example below.


April/May/June 2018

96

The top chart is the E-mini and the bottom chart is the Nasdaq 100 futures. The magenta arrow on both charts represents a sell signal on both markets at the same time. Risk Management A primary downfall of beginning traders lies in not knowing how to manage risk.

The use of

protective stop losses (known as stops); is one important tool in trading futures.

An even more

important tool is known as position sizing. Position sizing answers the question of how many contracts I should trade in the futures markets, and how many shares should I should buy or short in the stock market We know that trading is all about how to react to your successes as well as trades that don’t go your way. No discussion of trading would be complete without a discussion of risk management. For futures trading, risk management is established with a combination of the use of stop orders combined with position sizing. management. one trade.

You need to pair a proven strategy along with risk

Risk management is accomplished in general by never taking a “big” loss on any

I suggest that you start by making sure that on any one trade, you do not risk any

more than one percent of your trading account. You will need to calculate before you enter a trade whether you would be risking more than one percent of your trading account. To calculate position size you need to know some basic information such as the following: Account Size •

Risk Percentage that you are assuming

•

Tick value of contract you are trading

•

Number of ticks of your initial stop loss order

A Risk Management calculation example for the e-mini would be as follows: 1. Entry price = 1438.25 2. Initial Stop level =

1436.25 = 8 ticks

3. 8 ticks x tick value of $12.50

= $100

on the S & P E-mini

$100 x 1 contract =

$100 risk on this trade.

4. Account Size = $10,000 In this example, you would be able to trade 1 contract

$10,000 x 1% = $100 maximum risk

Like any profession, you need to be prepared to take on the markets in a structured and methodical manner. If you study the above principles, you will better understand overall market behavior and you will be equipped to begin to consistently benet from the great opportunities that exist each day in the market.


April/May/June 2018

97

Platform As you develop your trading skills, I suggest that you use a professional trading platform that will allow you to trade directly from the charts and will allow you to trade in simulation mode as well as to execute trades in your live futures account. As with any skill, the more that you practice, the better you get at it.

It is important to develop your skills regarding the proper use of your

trading platform while in simulation mode so as to minimize trading errors after you are trading your actual trading account. Trading in simulation mode will help you to develop your condence and an overall methodology that ts your personality. Developing a Belief in Your Approach and Overcoming Fear: Most traders will develop fear as they trade due to a history of losses. overcome it is to understand and face the fear.

Like any fear, the way to

An advantage of having a trading platform that

provides for simulation is that you will be able to trade in simulation mode, as in our example above, to build a plan with a positive expectancy and thereby develop greater condence in your approach to trading. As you trade in simulation mode, develop a set of notes that will act as the beginning of your trading plan.

Trade in simulation mode until you have mastered the use

of the trading platform you have chosen. As you trade in simulation mode, practice developing the discipline needed to execute your trading plan. Through repetition, you will begin to develop more condence as your trading plan is executed and you nd success with your plan. Please let us know if you need any help in developing your trading approach. Send an e-mail to [email protected] with any questions and visit our website at www.navitrader.com If you have any questions on the material in this publication, please send an e-mail to support@ navitrader.com

www.navitrader.com 800-987-6269

Steve Wheeler

ALL CHARTS SHOWN ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FUTURES CONTRACT.

RISK WARNINGS: Trading futures and foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your monetary objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your deposited funds and therefore you should not speculate with capital that you cannot aord to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading and seek advice from an independent advisor if you have any doubts. Trading involves high risk and you can lose a lot of money. Trading stocks, options, ETFs, futures and foreign exchange (FOREX) carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. *HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. Past returns are not indicative of future results. NaviTrader, Inc. and NaviTrader.com provide programs and services that are for educational purposes and not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any futures, foreign exchange, stocks, ETFs and/or options market trades. Navitrader, Inc., navitrader.com assumes no responsibility for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in any of these materials. Past performance does not guarantee or imply any future success.


April/May/June 2018

98

The EUR/USD: The Upside Should be Limited if a Multi-Month High is Not Already Complete By Jaime Johnson NoBSFXTrading.com The EUR/USD has been in a raging Bull trend from the January 2017 low. While it has been sideways to down o the February high, is the February high a signicant high that should last several months or should the February high be exceeded before a strong Bear trend begins? If the Bull trend should continue, how high should it go before a multi-month high is complete? In this article, we will answer these questions and my reasoning and analysis behind the answers. We are going to look at pattern and momentum/oscillator position to determine the trend direction and Fibonacci ratio resistance to determine a reversal price range. While the bottom oscillator used in these charts is a propriety oscillator to the Dynamic Trader software, any oscillator can be used in which the bearish and bullish reversals of the oscillator (or highs and lows of the oscillator) correlate relatively well with the swing highs and lows of the markets. The top oscillator is a Slow Stochastic. This article was written mid-March 2018.

Basic Elliott Wave and the 61.8% Retracement Resistance Level Chart 1 is a EUR/USD weekly chart that shows the strong Bull Trend o the January 2017 low. Regardless if you are an Elliott Wave lover or hater, it looks like a ve-wave rally o the 2017 low is unfolding, if not already complete. Once a Wave 5 high is complete, a multi-month


April/May/June 2018

99

corrective decline should begin. The chart shows the typical minimum time and price targets for a corrective low if the February high is a Wave 5 high. Ideally, a corrective decline o the February high should reach at least the 50% retracement of the January 2017 – February 2018 rally around 1.1448. Ideally, the decline should not be complete prior to mid-July 2018, the 38.2% time retracement of the January 2017 – February 2018 rally. The February potential Wave 5 high is slightly below strong resistance, the 61.8% retracement of the May 2014 – January 2017 decline. However, with the weekly oscillator Bull (with the DT oscillator still in the oversold zone), the net trend should be sideways to up for a few, if not several weeks warning the February high may not be the Wave 5 high. On the other hand, a weekly oscillator Bear Reversal (when the fast line of the oscillator crosses below the slow line) above the oversold zone without the February high exceeded would further signal a Wave 5 high should be complete.

EUR/USD Daily Data Chart 2 is daily EUR/USD data from the November 7, 2017 low. The November 7, 2017 low is the probable Wave 4 of the ve-wave rally o the January 2017 low and the February high is the potential Wave 5 high. The November 7 to February 16 rally looks like it unfolded in another solid ve-wave pattern as a Wave 5 typically should. The February high is a labeled as the Wave 5 of 5 high. Again, the February high is in the ideal position to be the completion of a ve-wave rally o the January 2017 low, but what would support or void this assumption? Obviously, a rally above the February high would void the completion of the ve-wave rally. A decline below the March 1 swing low would further signal the Wave 5 high should be complete and very likely would be WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

100

followed by a decline lasting a few, if not several months. Since this article was written in midMarch, one of these price levels have probably already been exceeded or taken out.

An Alternate Wave Count Chart 3 is another daily chart that shows an alternate wave count if the February high is not the Wave 5 high. This is the probable wave count if the February high is exceeded. The January high should be a Wave 3 of 5 and the March 1 low should be an irregular Wave 4 of 5 low. If the wave count in Chart 3 is correct, the typical Wave 5 of 5 price target is 1.2642-1.2775, the 127% - 162% external retracement resistance zone of the January 25 – March 1 decline. This resistance zone is slightly above the 61.8% retracement shown in the weekly chart. If the February high is not a multi-month high, very likely the immediate upside should be limited to this resistance zone before a multi-month high is complete. At the very least, it is the next resistance zone to pay attention to for a potential reversal.

Enough Elliott Wave Mumbo Jumbo! What is the EUR/USD Outlook? With a probable overload of information just given, I will simply state that the probable direction of the EUR/USD over the next several months is down, Bear! If the February high is not already a high lasting a few, if not several months, very likely the immediate upside should be limited to around 1.2775 before a multi-month high is complete. If the February high is a multi-month high, a decline ideally to at least around 1.1448 should follow and ideally it should not be complete prior to mid-July and is bound to last much longer!


April/May/June 2018

101

So, What Side of the Market Should You Be On? While there are many global ramications caused by the long-term trend directions of the EUR/ USD and its inverse Dollar, you may not have much interest in this if you are a shorter term trader of the EUR/USD or Dollar. So, please keep in mind, during a multi- month Bear trend, there should be multi-day to multi-week corrective rallies to the Bear trend which can also be taken advantage of in the lower degree time frames. So regardless the direction or time frame you choose to trade, always use objective trade entry strategies, always use stop-losses, trade more than one unit and have exit strategies for each unit, use stop-loss adjustment strategies, use a money management plan and most importantly, be disciplined enough to stick to these trade strategies. For education on practical trade strategies for every timeframe to take advantage of the potential multi-month decline in the EUR/USD and for corrective rallies during this decline, check out my NoBSFX Trading course (info below).

More Information as the Market Unfolds With the EUR/USD, as well as any other market, more information is revealed on whether the longer term outlook is correct or not as the market unfolds. For continued analysis of the EUR/ USD as well as many more top Forex markets as they unfold and for further education on the analysis used in this article, check out the NoBSFX Daily Reports, NoBSFX Net Trend Video Reports and the NoBSFX Trade Alerts (info below). Jaime Johnson is a full-time trader and the author of the NoBSFX Trading Workshop, the NoBSFX Daily Reports, the NoBSFX Net Trend Video Reports and the new NoBSFX Trade Alerts and Monthly Minor Currency Video Reports. For complete information and to download his free

e-book, go to www.nobsfx.com or send him an email at [email protected].


April/May/June 2018

102

Exploring A Planetary Connection In Bitcoin Trading by Tim Bost As bitcoin prices uctuate wildly, creating lots of attention in the mainstream media, it’s important for savvy traders to assess the opportunities and challenges that this volatile market provides. Empirical analysis of the trading history of bitcoin evaluated per the U.S. dollar (BTCUSD) reveals that about a dozen strongly-dened cycles can be detected in the trading action for the cryptocurrency. These cycles range from 8.7 days to 228 days. The trading action in bitcoin moves fast, and it’s not unusual to see daily price swings that are equivalent to yearly changes in major market indices like the S&P 500. While the “year for a day” analogy may stretch the credulity of some seasoned traders who are used to multiple time frame analysis, it’s nevertheless appropriate in the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency speculation. It’s interesting to note that the cycles of shorter duration can be especially signicant in eective analysis of this extremely volatile market. They can, in fact, provide some useful guidelines for short-term speculators seeking ways of capitalizing on the radical price swings which are so often expressed in the trading action for bitcoin. At the other extreme, however, eorts to understand the longer-term cycle dynamics of bitcoin trading are much more tenuous. With less than ten years of trading history as a frame of reference, conclusions drawn from observations of longer-duration cycles in bitcoin price action are necessarily much more tentative, and thus oer little certainty as forecasting tools. While they may meet the minimum requirements for statistical signicance, they ultimately seem to bring a negligible advantage to intermediate-term position players in the cryptocurrency. As trading in bitcoin continues to progress during the coming years, however, we will be able to add more empirical data to our research, and will thus be able to rene our understanding of the underlying cyclic nature of the volatility in this cryptocurrency. In the meantime, however, what should we be taking into consideration as we look for useful models and guidelines in cryptocurrency trading? The answer to that question may lie in the unique connections between cycle analysis and the remarkable perspectives provided by the astro-trading advantage. We should note that when we apply our knowledge of planetary cycles to the markets, we are employing a paradigm which is widely accepted and adhered to in diverse cultures and geographic regions around the world. That’s true in spite of its more skeptical reception by some tradition-bound Western traders and market pundits, who either denigrate nancial astrology as WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

103

an intrinsically fraudulent analytical model, or who instead look for ways to co-opt astrological methodologies in the markets without fully exploring the empirical correlations that make modern nancial astrology so valuable. Even so, we have found that the best approach to eective astro-trading is to integrate astrological analysis with technical analysis, with an understanding of key market fundamentals, and with time-tested tools for identifying market cycles and trend waves. We don’t use planetary indicators in a vacuum, and we certainly don’t try to trade solely on the basis of traditional astrological symbolism. Within that framework, it’s typically best to begin our analysis with cycle tools and technical indicators, and then see what kind of astrological factors provide conrmation for our conclusions.

[Figure 1: The 11.21-Day Trading Cycle in Bitcoin] In the case of bitcoin, one of the most signicant trading cycles seems to be 11.21 days. While this cycle in and of itself may not provide strong enough trading signals to be used in isolation as a sole timing indicator, its correlations with price swings in the cryptocurrency are nevertheless apparent enough to warrant our attention. A reference to the classic “day for a year” timing analogy brings to mind the work of Carlos Garcia-Mata and Felix Shaner, who published “Solar and Economic Relationships: A Preliminary Report” in the November 1934 issue of the Quarterly Journal of Economics. They documented an 11.20-year rhythmic cycle in manufacturing productivity in the United States from 1875 through 1930, and postulated that it had a correlation with sunspot cycles. According to later research WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

104

by Edward R. Dewey of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, that 11.20-year business cycle continued to follow ideal behavior through 1953. But the 11.21-day cycle in bitcoin prices is more than just a microcosmic reection of sunspot cycles. It is also connected to the orbital period of Venus. Venus takes 224.65 days to complete one passage around the Sun. When we look at the twentieth harmonic of that orbital period, 11.2325 days, we get a close approximation of the 11.21-day cycle evident in bitcoin trading. In fact, the dierence between these two intervals is only equivalent to about 32 minutes of clock time – not a bad degree of accuracy for an orbital process that takes nearly seven and a half months to complete! This correlation suggests that it can be helpful for us to take Venus cycles and relationships into consideration when we look at trading opportunities in bitcoin, but with the full acknowledgment that Venus is not the sole determining factor in bitcoin price uctuations.

[Figure 2: Trading Bitcoin with Venus Planetary Price Lines] We can gain additional useful insights when we project twentieth-harmonic planetary price lines for the progressive positions of geocentric Venus onto a daily chart for the BTC-USD trading action. While these planetary price lines obviously do not account for every price uctuation in the cryptocurrency, they do conform with a sucient number of trading channels and signicant points of support or resistance to give us a useful sense of the underlying trends and potential turning points in this market.


April/May/June 2018

105

[Figure 3: Mars and Venus at the December 2017 Bitcoin Trading Top] In December 2017 bitcoin hit its highest price so far versus the U.S. dollar. That peak in speculative enthusiasm coincided with a Venus/Mars semi-square, an apparent 45° angle between the two planets as seen from an earth-centered perspective. While such Venus/Mars alignments are certainly not particularly rare planetary phenomena, this specic event gives us a clue about a potentially useful dynamic that we may want to explore in our eorts to illuminate bitcoin trading cycles – the angular and harmonic relationships of Venus and Mars. Even though the remarkable 2017 trading high in bitcoin coincided with an eighth-harmonic Venus/Mars relationship, we can add twentieth-harmonic planetary price lines for geocentric Mars to our trading chart to be consistent with the Venus cycle correspondence to the 11.21-day trading cycle we have already observed.


April/May/June 2018

106

[Figure 4: Trading Bitcoin with Venus and Mars Planetary Price Lines] While the addition of the Mars price lines complicates our trading chart somewhat, it also provides us with additional insights. In many cases in which bitcoin fails to conform precisely to Venus price action, it adheres to Mars instead. Although the interactions of Venus and Mars are hardly sucient to give us reliable trading signals for bitcoin by themselves, they do point the way toward other planetary alignments which may be protably explored in our quest for mastery of bitcoin trading cycles. Based on preliminary studies, it seems quite likely that the harmonics of Saturn and some of the transneptunian factors will ultimately prove to be signicant. But in every case, we would be wise to include Venus dynamics in our explorations. In the ancient astrological tradition, Venus was associated with value, renement, quality, and the beauty of loving and harmonious cooperation. Those are all the sort of attributes that the most idealistic bitcoin advocates envision as the ultimate manifestation of this ground-breaking cryptocurrency. Whether or not bitcoin’s social and economic role lives up to these lofty ideals remains to be seen. But for active and adventurous traders who are concerned about spotting particularly protable bitcoin opportunities, it can be especially rewarding to pay attention to the role of Venus in bitcoin trading cycles.

Tim Bost is editor and publisher of Financial Cycles Weekly newsletter at https://nancialcyclesweekly. com and is the author of Mercury, Money and The Markets and Gann Secrets Revealed. He is also the editor of the new anthology Bitcoin Astrology, and shares his insights on bitcoin at http:// astrocryptoconnection.com.


April/May/June 2018

107

The (Other) Golden Rule by Eric S. Hadik

Gold Standard In trading, and in many forms of analytic endeavor, one of the most important principles is that of synergy. It is not enough that one discipline or cycle or indicator triggers a corresponding signal. Standing on its own, that lone indicator can be quickly overshadowed by other conicting ones. Instead, it is when a diverse combination of disciplines align - all reaching the same conclusion but coming from dierent perspectives - that a more credible & reliable signal is triggered. [NOTE: It is important to make sure that these multiple disciplines have a reasonable level of non-correlation. Otherwise, it is just three or four similar indicators reaching the same conclusion - as they would be expected to do.] Aristotle observed: ‘The whole is greater than the sum of its parts’. That simple statement sums up the principle of synergy - describing the combined eect of multiple collaborative factors or components and their holistic impact. In very simplistic terms, 2 + 2 + 2 is greater than 6 - when each of those ‘2s’ is working in concert with the others. In manufacturing, the assembly line and corresponding division of labor illustrates this principle masterfully. When a trader isolates one cycle or one technical indicator and attempts to utilize it in a vacuum, it is far less reliable and/or eective than when used in tandem with multiple corroborating cycles or indicators. The collaborative eect of those reinforcing factors strengthens the reliability of the overall structure (or analysis). That is the same principle observed by King Solomon when he stated ‘A cord of three strands is not easily broken’.

Foreshadowing Fractals There is another form of synergy that might not always be recognized as such. That is the ‘synergy’ of reinforcing events on a smaller or larger scale and/or on a preceding basis. In the latter case, I am referring to archetypes* that serve as a preceding example of what could occur during an ensuing cycle or wave setup (*a ‘type’ or forerunner of something that is still to come). In the former case, I am referring to fractals - where the whole mimics the pattern of its parts, often on multiple levels. Conversely, the smallest observable increment (parts) of that item or cycle mimics and/or presages the pattern of the developing composition (whole). Before moving forward, let me dene this:


April/May/June 2018

108

A fractal is a gure, shape, wave or cycle in which each lesser part has the same statistical character as the whole. Conversely, the whole is a larger representation or reection of each lesser part - as in a stalk & head of broccoli. Elliott Wave Theory is built on this principle in which similar patterns recur at progressively smaller and/or larger scales. So, too, is much of cycle theory. That example (a head of broccoli) provides a good illustration of this principle in which the pattern of the overall head (single stem, breaking into multiple stems & topped with orets) is mimicked by each of the main stems (single stem, breaking into multiple stems & topped with orets) & ultimately repeated in each small bite-sized piece (single stem, breaking into multiple stems & topped with orets). If you gave someone a small piece of broccoli and instructed them to draw an entire head or plant of broccoli - using only that piece as the model, they could easily do it. (In contrast, if you gave someone a bite-sized piece of orange or banana and instructed them to use that piece as a model for drawing the entire plant, it would be inaccurate.)

Wave Analysis in Markets That fractal principle is at the core of Elliott Wave Theory. In that approach, the larger macroeconomic ‘waves’ (up and down movement) break down into interim waves, which break down into intermediate waves that break down into minor waves that even break down into minute & minuette waves - all of which follow the same general pattern. One of the market applications of this principle involves the outlook - and the conrming action - of Gold in 2017 (and for 2018). After bottoming in late-2015, Gold traced out a larger-degree advance followed by a proportional decline in 2016. This was perceived to be a ‘1 - 2’ or ‘A - B’ wave structure that would subsequently yield a larger and more complex ‘3’ or ‘C’ wave advance in 2018. [WARNING: I am NOT an Elliott Wave purist. I am more interested in the characteristics of specic waves and how that dovetails with other technical analysis on which I rely. In that context, 1 & A waves have similar characteristics, as do 2 & B waves. 3 & C waves are similarly related and usually represent the more dynamic and more complex wave that often accounts for the majority of a move in a given trend. That is why I will often refer to both possibilities, since they are often interchangeable… up to a point.]

Golden Touch The outlook for 2017, published 13 months ago in the Jan. 2017 INSIIDE Track, was to see a similar pattern on one lesser degree (a strong rally followed by a sizeable decline) - perpetuating the bottoming phase in Gold while setting the stage for 2018. In a fractal-like manner, that would represent the lesser degree ‘1 - 2’ waves of a developing 3 or C wave rally. More specically, Gold was projected to see a ~4-month advance to begin 2017 (similar to,


April/May/June 2018

109

but on one lesser degree than, the 6+-month

‘1--2,

1--2’: Potential Gold Wave Structur e

advance of 1Q/2Q 2016). That was projected to lead to a ~2-month drop into mid-2017 when another higher low was projected (see

July ‘16

Diagram 1, reprinted from Jan. ‘17 INSIIDE

Mar. ‘17

Track). Gold fullled that outlook and was projected to undergo a similar sequence - this time on another lesser degree - in 3Q & 4Q 2017. It

Mid- ‘17

adhered to that wave structure, setting a

Dec ‘16

subsequent, higher low in early-Dec. 2017 -

insiidetracktrading.com

01/05/17

when both Gold & the XAU triggered convincing Diagram 1

4 - 6 week buy signals and projected surges into late-Jan. 2018. That has just reached fruition and set the stage for 1 - 2 months of

2018 Potential Gold Wave Structure

consolidation. In each case during 2016 - 2017, the

July ‘16

preceding rally/correction combination

Apr. ‘17

provided important clues to the ensuing rally/ correction combination while corroborating the outlook for 2018 (see Diagram 2).

Mid-

(Inverted) Golden Arches

‘17

Dec ‘16

At the same time, these waves lined up with insiidetracktrading.com

key cycles - creating the decisive lows seen in

01/31/18

Dec. 2015, Dec. 2016 & Dec. 2017. Combined with the preceding low in late-2014, they

Diagram 2

project a subsequent high in Nov./Dec. 2018. That is illustrated in Diagrams 3 & 4. Not only did the Dec. 2017 low perfectly fulll this 12-month/360-degree low-low-low-low Cycle Progression, it also fullled a fractal-like sequence from an over-arching 24-month lowlow-low-low Cycle Progression (see Diagram 5). And that brings Gold full circle - back to the topic of synergy. Multiple cycles, wave projections, extreme

Diagram 3

downside targets (in Dec. 2017) & decisive technical indicators came together and

. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

110

triggered a convincing buy signal in early-Dec. 2017. The 1 - 2 month aspect of that buy

12-Month Cycle in Gold

signal was fullled when Gold surged right to Dec. ‘18?

its previous high in late-Jan. 2018.

Hadik’s Cycle Progression

However, there are additional (larger-degree) aspects to that buy signal that remain in force and have not yet been fullled. They are reinforcing the perceived wave structure in Gold.

Dec. ‘14

Dec. ‘17

Dec. ‘15

Those are just a few of the reasons why a


Dec ‘16

sharp advance was expected in early-Dec. - late-Jan. - providing more vital clues as to

Diagram 4

what to expect in March - Dec. 2018.

24-Month Cycle in Gold

For more information:

Dec. ‘19?

INSIIDE Track Trading // www.insiidetrack. com

//

www.40YearCycle.com

Hadik’s Cycle Progression

//

www.17YearCycle.com 630-637-0967 -- vc Publisher of:

630-585-5701 -- fx

Weekly Re-Lay advisory service (w/intraweek Alerts) INSIIDE Track monthly newsletter, Special

Dec. ‘11

Dec. ‘17

Dec. ‘13

Dec ‘15


Reports & Intra-month Updates Eric Hadik’s Tech Tip Reference Library Eric Hadik’s V.I.P. Trading Guide

Diagram 5

40-Year Cycle Reports & Publications


April/May/June 2018

111

Join countless others who since 1996 have made trading their business using the Hawkeye Trading System. You’ll learn to trade with the market’s volume direction using any pre-selected time frame. Hawkeye helps remove emotion from trading and equips you with a powerful set of indicators that will enable you to handle the xomplexities of the market. Free Weekly Demo Room Signup.

 Trade using volume price analysis

Testimonial

 Trade in harmony with the markets

Finally a big thankyou for changing my life and accommodating my requests) as its the first software that actally works and I believe I can trust Hawkeye 100% for my financial future. Regards Yupin - Singapore

 Stay in the trend  Remove emotion from your trading  Become an educated trader  Keep to a trading plan

Trading with Volume Spread Analysis - Home Page The financial markets are driven by two forces: volume and price (momentum). Understand how they work and you’ll have the roadmap for your journey as a successful trader. Free ebook the Volume Secret. Volume shows where the professionals are buying and selling: Professional traders acknowledge Volume as a leading indicator. We use Volume to confirm the strength of a trend or no demand. The markets are extremely efficient and will normally return to fair value. Many traders see Volume as an indicator which signals a price movement prior to it happening. (accumulation or distribution) Hawkeye Volume is at the heart of our suite of unique and powerful trading indicators and tools. It’s designed to help you exploit trends and capture profits from the market. See Trader’s Purchase Options Stocks, futures and options trading contains substantiaql risk and is not for every investor. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Affiliate Disclosure - This ad contains affiliate links which are a means for this magazine to earn money. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

112

Hawkeye Trading Software Review By Larry Jacobs Hawkeye trading software is based on volume, price action and trading activity. The software uses algorithms that are revolutionary to most traders. Unlike other indictors like moving averages, MACD, stochastics and other popular technical indicators their software tools their software tools are based on Volume, and Volume is widely recognized as a leading indicator. Their tools are designed to work with the current day’s volatility. What is dierent is that these tools are based on volume spread analysis, standard deviation of price and pattern recognition. So they have a suite of indicators that are created to enable traders to benet from today’s markets. These tools are available in TradeStation, NinjaTrader, MetaTrader 4 and TradingView. In using the indictors I found that they were some of the best I have ever used. I used them with the TradeStation platform. Here are the various tools that are available in the software. This is a basic description of the tools, but you need to go to their website for a better description. Volume Indicator – Gives you the ability to see professional buying and selling in the market

Trend+ Stops – You get a true sense of the market trend rather than opinions from the nancial media.


April/May/June 2018

113

Heatmap – This takes the three variable inputs from the Hawkeye Trend and shows you visually when all three trends have locked into place. This gives you a clear view of the overall market sentiment and qualies risk.

Roadkill - This looks at multiple time frames simultaneously, and provides entry signals when the trend and volume from multiple time frames are aligned for the best low risk, high probability entries.

Fatman - Makes hundreds of calculations every second to present a visual picture of strength or weakness of each currency. This indicator shows you what each currency is doing against the rest of the major currencies and shows low risk opportunities.


April/May/June 2018

114

Fatboy - This is a powerful indicator that instantly reveals which markets are overbought or oversold, and displays timely market correlation. ‘

Kiss - Designed specically for trading stock indices and equities, the Kiss reveals who is controlling the price - either buyers or sellers.

Levels ATR - This is a powerful series of levels based on ATR (average true range). This tool shows predened denitive exit locations and allows for predened stop loss management. Thus it helps traders identify clear exit strategies.


April/May/June 2018

115

Grabba Grabba - This is a simple mechanical exit management system that you can use to manage exits based on your own risk and reward prole.

Adds - This algorithm tells you visually when and where to add additional contracts.

Gear Box Box - This tells you which speed to trade the market with every day. It works for futures, stock indices, stocks, commodites and Forex. It uses a complex algorithm to caclulate the optimal tick speed of the market for the day ahead.


April/May/June 2018

116

Gear Changer - Once you have the optimal tick speeds from GearBox, GearChanger lets you know which one to use anytime during the trading day

Hawkeye Zones - If you have been trading any time you know how frustrating it can be to enter a trade only to nd out you bought into the high of the day or sold into the low. This adds supply and demand zones along with extremely accurate predictive support and resistance zones to your charts.

For more information about the Hawkeye Indicators go to: http://www.hawkeyetraders.com You can also get a free ebook - Click Here


April/May/June 2018

117

The Master Cycle By Raj Ian G. Thijm By late 2007, I discovered discovered a cycle that was in the market on a day by day basis, faded after a while, only to-reappear again, like clockwork it predicted shorter term and longer term swing highs and lows, within 1 trading day. Over the years, I noticed that this same cycle and its multiples would again appear with amazing day to day precision, sometimes sometimes lasting for weeks and even months, only to disappear again for some time. After some time, I realized that the Market cycle I found was intimately connected to the Human Physiology, Vedic & Biblical Numerology and the Laws of Nature. I decided then to call it i t the Master Cycle, which is a unique cycle, that when “active” predicts exact future Highs and Lows, within 1 trading day. A Master Cycle (MC) is an actual historic cycle with a proprietary numerology, that repeats exact swing Highs and Lows and day by day and is o at most 1 day. The Master Cycle has to have at least 3-5 recent “hits”, “hits”, ie it has to have predicted 3-5 recent Highs and Lows, to become “active and dominant”. The MC is a Time Series Cycle, ie it predicts future swing Highs and Lows. It doesn’t always project the magnitude of the Price Highs and Lows, ie the cycle in the past would suggest a 10% rally or decline, but it doesn’t always have the same % rally or decline in the present time. The Master Cycle can and does fade or invert at anytime, anytime, so take it fwiw, as it is certainly not the Holy Grail, it will not catch every Major swing High or Low and it will have misses that last for weeks or longer, but don’t discard it or give up on it like I did for years, because when it is active it tends to be very precise for weeks and months. Of course we should not expect an exact repetition, but it should give you a general idea, as the Master Series of Cycles can be amazingly precise. For this reason only, it has worth its price in gold. The Master Cycle is calculated in Calendar Days or Trading Days as the MC shifts from one to the other. The Master Cycle expands and contracts like the Universe, so at times some adjusting, curve tting and ne tuning is needed to get the Master Cycle aligned with current market conditions. It will then reward us by predicting the next swing high and Low with amazing precision. 10 Master Cycle forecasts between April 2008 and January 2010 The Master Cycle, aka the “Series of Cycles” predictions have been well documented on my public blog, http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/ http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/ as well in my T&C daily and weekly email for members and private blog at http://timeandcy http://timeandcyclesdailyemail.b clesdailyemail.blogspot.com logspot.com Below are 10 Master Cycle forecasts from April 2008 to January 2010: 1. 4/1/08: The MC called for “ for “the the 7/16/07H and sharp decline to 8/16/07L” mentioned in this link: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2008/04/series-of-cycles.html


April/May/June 2018

118

2. 4/23/08: “The Series of Cycles called for 3/28/08 Lows (Friday), 4/7 High, 4/10 High, 4/15-16 Lows, 4/18 High and is now looking for the next swing Low on 4/23-24 Lows. The Markets actually had a 3/31 (#1 on chart, click on chart to enlarge) Low at Open, 4/7 High (#2), 4/10 High (#3), 4/15 Lows (#4) and from the 4/18 actual High (#5) is down 30 SP’s sofar.” http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2008/04/swing-cycles-update-and-record.html 3. 5/14/08: The MC predicted the 5/19/08 Major High and sharp decline after: “High due early next week… I have a Rare conuence of 5 proprietary Cycles, in the Cycles section of my T&C daily email service, all making the SAME prediction for a Big move in the coming weeks and months, which to me is very exciting information, as they give additional conrmation, which gives me a High condence and some potentially very protable trades in the coming weeks and months.” http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2008/05/high-due-early-next-week.html 4. 9/2/08, 9/8/08: The MC called the 9/2/08 Major High and sharp decline after: “9/2/08: The Series recently predicted a 7/28/08L, 7/31H, 8/8L, 8/15H, 8/19L, 8/22H, 8/26L +/-1…We actually had a 7/28L, 7/31H, 8/8L, 8/15H, 8/20L, 8/22H, 8/26L The Series of Cycles are now looking for a 9 / 2 M aj or H i g h ” “We should have a 9/2 Major High and 3 H ar d dow n D ay s into a 9/4 Lows @ Close”That is exactly what we got (click on chart to enlarge), the actual Intraday Low arrived 2 trading hours later on 9/5 @ 11.25 am intraday Lows, close enough” http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2008/09/series-of-cycles-9208-major-high.html http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2008/09/review-series-of-cycles.html


April/May/June 2018

119

5. 3/4/09: The MC predicts 2 Major Lows for 2009, March and Mid June 09:

“There are 2 Major lows that my Master Cycle, a Vedic based Cycle suggests to watch for 2009, one is due in March 09, the next one is due Mid June 09.” The most likely Scenario is that we complete wave 3 from 2/9 Highs into 3 / 5 + / - 1 M aj or L ow s and June 09 will be the nal wave 5 Low of the year. Today is 39 TD from the last 1/6 swing High. I have found many times in the last year that large moves end at 39 TD from a previous Major High or Low” http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2009/03/major-lows-for-2009.html 6. 6/17/09: The MC was looking for a S tr ai g h t U p r ally from the M ar ch 0 9 L ow s into e ar l y M ay 0 9 H i g h s , which we actually got. It was then looking for a M i d J u n e

L o w s ” http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2009/06/msster-cycle-prediction.html 7. 8/26/09: The MC performance: “The Master Cycle (MC) performance since the 3/6/09 lows is shown as the green swing lines on the SPX chart. All the swing High and Low dates are in the archives of the T&C Daily Email for subs and some of them are also on this blog”

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2009/08/master-cycle-mc-performance.html

8. 9/24/09: Detailed Cycles this past week were: Forecast: 9/18H, 9/21L, 9/23H, 9/24L Actual: 9/17H, 9/21L, 9/23H, 9/24L http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2009/09/cycles-update.html 9. 10/22/09: The MC predicts a rally through end of the year: “I have mentioned a couple of months ago, that the Master cycle suggests, we will see a c o n t i n u e d WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

120

r a lly i n t o e n d o f t h e y e a r 2 0 0 9 , with some normal pullbacks along the way. That seems like an impossible feat, but so far it has been doing just that, with the recent October 21st High of the year”

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2009/10/from-now-through-end-of-october-2009.html 10. 1/10/10: The MC recently predicted a 1/8-11/10 Major High. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/01/january-8-11-2010-high.html The MC predictions in 2008: 1. 12/26/07 High 2. 1/9/08L 3. 2/21/08 High 4. 4/14/08 Major Low 5. 6/05/08 High 6. 6/23/08 Low 7. 9/2/08 Major High 8. 9/23/08L 9. 11/04/08 Major High 10. 12/17/08L The MC accurately predicted 5 Major Highs and Lows in 2008, even though 2008 was a dicult year to predict due to the historic Panic. The MC was o here and there (red = right, blue = wrong) in 2008, but it managed to make 290 SP’s between June 08 and November 08, when I rst started to closely track the MC. It predicted the 12/26/07H, 4/14/08L, 6/5/08H, 9/2/08 Major High, and the 11/4/08 High. The MC predictions in 2009: 1. 3/6/09 Major Low 2. 5/8/09 High 3. Mid June Low 4. Rally into end of Year 2009 and into 1/8-11/2010 Major High The MC was followed very closely in 2009 (red=right, blue =wrong) , as it predicted a 3/6/09 Major Low of the year (LOY) and a strong rally into 5/8/09 High, with a secondary Low around Mid June 2009 Low. The actual Low was a few weeks later on 7/8/09. The MC then predicted a rally into end of the Year Highs, which is what happened (see chart). The MC will not always be that accurate as 2009 was.


April/May/June 2018

121

It is good to remember a couple of points: 1. The MC can be correct and exact sometimes predicting exact swing Highs and lows for many days, weeks and months at a time. In this time you might tend to “fall in Love” with this cycle and be impressed with its accuracy, but Caveat Emptor. 2. At other times, the MC can and will be at out wrong. For some unknown reason, the MC fades, inverts or becomes dormant. This could last for days, weeks and even months. It is best to use it only when it is “active”. I dene a cycle to be active when it gets 3-5 “Hits”, ie when it gets 3-5 Highs and Lows correct. When it is inactive, you simply don’t use it. I use my other Time & Cycle work to tell me what is happening. It is best to be patient and wait until it becomes active again and then trade on it as it tends to be very precise, as can be seen in the many examples above. 3. The MC does not always follow the predicted Price magnitude, ie the actual Price rally/decline could be a whole lot bigger/smaller than the forecasted Price rally/decline as shown on the forecasted chart. 4. The Master Cycle was a gift from God, so for the pure Joy and exhilaration one gets from giving, I felt the need to share it with others. Also the MC gets the recognition it deserves. The Master Cycle (MC) became active and dominant in late 2017 and into March 2018. The MC became active and dominant with at least 3-5 direct recent “hits”, ie it predicted at least 3-5 previous Highs and Lows. Currently the MC has 12 hits (green Lines): 1. 11/15/17L-1, 2. 12/15/17L-1, 3. 12/29/17L, 4. 1/26/18HH 5. crash into 2/5/18L+1. 6. 2/6/18H+1. 7. 2/9 major Low. 8. 2/16H 9. 2/21L+1. 10. 2/27H 11. 3/2L. 12. 3/9-12H (3/13H) 13. 3/20L +3


April/May/June 2018

122

From the 3/13H it declined beyond the predicted MC 3/20L+/-1, so it had to be adjusted by a few days. It now suggests: 13. 3/23L 14. 3/28 swing High 15. Another 4/2 High What’s next: The MC is looking for an 4/2 swing High, followed by an even sharper decline into April major Lows. Editor: Raj Ian G. Thijm, Bsc, MBA President Raj Time and Cycles, Inc. Join our free forecasts and Updates at: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/ https://twitter.com/TimeandCycles Email: [email protected] Disclaimer The contents of this article are for general information and educational purposes only and should not be construed as an investment advice or strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Trading in Stocks, Options and Futures involve risks. Trade at your own risk.


April/May/June 2018

123

Timing Solution Forecasts the Markets Instantly! Timing Solution generates projection lines based on fixed cycles, astronomical cycles and other types of models. The software considers models that deal with natural cycles, cycles that are based on celestial bodies’ movement. The program analyzes tens of thousands of different planetary lines. The Universal Language of Events module allows you to create more advanced models analyzing everything that occurs in time and researching the effects of these phenomena on the stock market.



You can ask the program to reveal the most powerful cycles for your financial instrument.

 Special algorithm that reveals the freshest/newly appeared/strongest cycles.  The program program analyses all turning points, points, provides their their statistical statistical analysis and

displays the most probable support/resistance levels. 

Charting Tools, Fibonacci levels, Pitchforks, Gann Angles and many other traditional charting tools are available.

Risk FREE demo Trial Start Today! www.timingsolution.com/TS/Demo1a/ Stocks, Futures and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficent risk capital should consider trading. Affiliate Affiliate Disclosure - this ad contains links which are a means for this magazine to earn money. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

124

The Science of Forecasting with Timing Solution You have probably went or listened to an online seminars on trading and technical analysis. It was probably held by a software producer that sells packages for traders and investors. You probably anticipated a lot but ended up being confused. The presenter probably said something like this - trading is easy, just buy when the price is low and sell when the price is high. But then probably somebody asked, how do you know if it’s a high or low? And with this the speaker probably got to be somewhat uncomfortable with that question. He more than likely then switched to the subject of the beauty of moving averages and other smart indicators of technical analysis, Fibonacci levels, trendlines etc. It is true that some of these techniques give you useful useful hints regarding the future price movement, but still the confusion is there: how I nd out what the future movement will be? Thousands of hints provided by technical analysis cannot substitute the answer to the real question: when will the next high or low of the market occur? Timing Solution software is designed and constructed to answer this question. It does not invent any new technical analysis indicators that many software designers have done already. What it does do is modeling of the stock market behavior based on state-of-the-art math methods. The program has a set of ready solutions that allows you to generate projection lines based on xed cycles, astronomical cycles and other types of models. All you have to do is download the price history, click on the appropriate button and then in a couple of minutes get a projection line that can be prolonged into the future.


April/May/June 2018

125

This is all you have to do. It’s easy for you but not that simple for the program. While running your chosen solution, the program conducts several thousands of operations that include very sophisticated math. Projection Projection line is the main product of the software. It analyzes the past price history and makes a future projection based on the current knowledge of the past. The software considers models that deal with natural cycles, cycles that are based on celestial bodies’ movement. It follows the tradition that ancient knowledge about the Sun and the Moon cycles is the basis for all calendars. The program allows you to work with all astronomical cycles, and I can say that they are the most reliable models based on the cycles. As an example look at this annual seasonal cycle that was calculated for the Dow Jones industrial Index. The calculation is done for the Dow Jones industrial historical data starting from the year 1885. The diagram shows classical Christmas rally and September drop:

Another example of the cycle is Moon phases. We can say the Dow is high around the New Moon and low several days before the Full Moon as a rule:


April/May/June 2018

126

We can also calculate in a similar way any known astronomical cycle and compare it to our data. See this long-term Jupiter cycle which is very close to the Jugler business cycle:

Here is another example. This is a pure astrological view of the stock market provided by four Bradley barometer projection lines suggested for the Dow:

The above-mentioned models are only a small part of what is available in the Timing Solution software. You can calculate projection lines based practically on Astro phenomena. Projection lines can be based on midpoints or transiting houses, or planetary positions in houses, or planetary dignities, or waxing/waning aspects between the planets, or planetary speed.


April/May/June 2018

127

All this Timing Solution software can do. You can perform more detail astrological analysis using standard astrological techniques. The program displays stock market data together with planetary positions in the Zodiac taking into consideration terms, faces, duads, the Moon ingresses to Zodiacal degrees and many other phenomena.

The upcoming events module performs statistical analysis for hundreds of astrological phenomena to show how they may aect the stock market in the future.


April/May/June 2018

128

The easy expert module analyzes thousands of events and displays summary eects of all analyzed phenomena in the way shown below. Up and down arrows represent up and down events:

This is the planetary lines module:


April/May/June 2018

129

Planetary lines optimizer module analyzes thousands of planetary lines and nds the best t to your price chart. Look at this example:

The program analyzes tens of thousands of dierent planetary lines. In this example it has found only a dozen of planetary lines that t the price chart. To do this huge computational job manually is practically impossible. The Universal Language of Events module allows you to create more advanced models analyzing everything that occurs in time and researching the eects of these phenomena on the stock market. Here are some examples.


April/May/June 2018

130

You may calculate the retrograde indicator that shows planets that are retrograde at any given moment. The higher the diagram the more planets are retrograde at that moment:

Or you may create another “astro indicator” like this one that shows how the transiting Sun conjuncts the midpoints between transiting planets. The higher the diagram, the more midpoints are hit by the transiting Sun:

The software also does more complicated things and does it very fast. It takes just a couple seconds to generate a projection line based on non-standard waveforms.


April/May/June 2018

131

Any phenomenon can be calculated and estimated in regards to its eect on the stock market. And you can easily do it with Timing Solution. For example, somebody says that the conjunction of the Sun and Saturn aects Dow Jones Index in some specic way. Instead of debates - should you believe it or not, - you can check this information in a moment by running the Eciency Test module for this aspect. Here it is:

The idea that the stock market is ruled by underlying cycles is the most exciting idea of nancial analysis. Let us look at other than astronomy based cycles - math cycles. These are cycles with some xed period - 55 days, or 34 bars (for intraday price history), like in this example:


April/May/June 2018

132

You can ask the program to reveal the most powerful cycles for your nancial instrument. They will be shown as a periodogram; look at the peaks in this diagram:

Then you just drag these cycles to the screen where the price chart is, to obtain the projection line based on these cycles:


April/May/June 2018

133

Timing Solution software allows you to conduct classical cyclical analysis of your set of data. Also, there is Q-Spectrum module there that combines cyclical and walk forward analysis. The “Achilles’ heel” of all cyclic models applied for the stock market is the fact that the cycles do not live forever. Cycles appear and disappear. Not literally, of course. Fixed cycles exist always; their manifestation in the stock market does not. Some cycles are seen there for a while, and then they lose their energy and give a room for other cycles. This fact makes a huge dierence between the cycles that physicists study and the cycles that work on the stock market. To handle these cycles, we have developed a special algorithm (multiframe spectrum) that reveals the freshest/newly appeared/strongest cycles. To visualize a full life history of the stock market cycles, wavelet analysis module has been developed. Look at this colored diagram; red stripes here represent the periods when some cycle is strong:

If you prefer to work with cycles manually, the Easy Cycle module is for you. You simply draw these cycles dragging the mouse from one characteristic point of the price chart to another. You can combine these cycles superposing cycles with dierent periods:


April/May/June 2018

134

Turning Point Analyzer module allows the forecast of support/resistance levels; it is based on the statistical research results.

Here the program analyses all turning points, provides their statistical analysis and displays the most probable support/resistance levels. The red stripes in the right corner correspond to the most probable support levels. This module is very popular among Timing Solution users.


April/May/June 2018

135

Charting Tools. Fibonacci levels, Pitchforks, Gann Angles and many other traditional charting tools are available. And there are some more charting tools.

Planetary Time Charting Tool. This is another kind of charting tools; we calculate the distance between these vertical lines using angle separation between two planets (Sun-Mars 15 degrees separation in this example):


April/May/June 2018

136

Fourier String Charting Tool. This module performs the Fourier analysis for your price chart and calculates the projection line (that as usually can be prolonged into the future) while you are moving the mouse cursor from one point of the chart to another:

Market and Volume Prole is also available.

We are aware that the projection lines produced by this program are not perfect. There is nothing surprising in it as the task of predicting the stock market’s behavior is one of the most complicated ones. The good news is that every year reveals some new knowledge that improves our models and their forecasting ability. At least, it gives us a hope as we have created a system that ideally follows our knowledge regarding the markets. The Demo version is available. http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Demo1a/ WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

137

Start Today! 15 Day Demo Trial Testimonials:

Special Offer $675/yr normally $1500/yr

Click to Buy

“I've known Andrew for a number of years. He knows cycles better than anybody I've ever met, and I've studied cycles all my life” Harry S Dent Renowned Forecaster and New York Times Best Selling Author

Offer ends June 30th

At Market Timing Report, our aim is to issue high probability, low risk trade research across various markets including commodities, stocks and foreign exchange. “I believe you get what you pay for and you have Often markets will demonstrate periods of rising prices, periods of declining prices and periods where prices consolidate. Prior alerts to possible and probable turning points are highly useful to our clients. This allows them to:

 Potentially enter a trading campaign earlier and stay in longer  Avoid entering a campaign when the market could potentially reverse direction

a superior product.There are others that try to do what you do but they miss the target so many times. This is as good as it gets for analysis.” Chris Fletchall Hedger and Trader, USA “Andrew Pancholi’s Market Timing Repor t is consistently the most accurate cycles forecast there is for traders of major markets” Peter Temple Futurist - Speaker - Cycles Expert, World Cycles Institute

I have subscribed to many newsletters over the years and by far this is the best. The reasons are  Aid option traders who are seeking steady movement in the underlying the combination of these 3 factors. 1) Its concise. prices Typically, under 18 to 25 pages covering many markets with predictions cleanly laid out segmented nicely so you can access and review There are 3 elements required to enter a low-risk trading campaign: the information quickly. 2) Its accountable. In each issue, he goes over the last issues predic Market hits price target; tions, to demonstrate the accuracy. It’s sort of a  A Key time cycle is present; “backtest” of the plan so you will become more confident and comfortable with his predictions  A trigger setup is in place;. 3) He tells you how he does it. He will show you the trendlines, pivots, and other cycle concepts Market Timing Report has developed proprietary systems based on 18 years as well as pitchforks, how they are drawn and why they are drawn, so that you can understand of research into market behaviour. Our research shows that markets do a bit of how he does it, and also this builds your follow a series of cycles or waves with differing amplitudes and lengths. confidence in his predictions. These 3 factors Whilst regular seasonal cycles often reflect consistent change in price when combined offer a very unique value that is direction, their accuracy is not always reliable. sincere and able to be applied by the trader. Accuracy is important, of course, but building your internal confidence every month is critical By adding what we call as well. This is the reason why this newsletter is "DNA" action we are able to improve the accuracy of forecasting and also by far the best I have ever encountered. Jeff Rapaport identify time cycles which act as triggers for moves and reversals. Trader Stocks, Futures and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficent risk capital should consider trading. Affiliate Disclosure - this ad contains links which are a means for this magazine to earn money. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

138

“Brave New World” Market analysis by Jim Forte, CMT January 28th, 2018 “Brave New World” was written by Adolus Huxley in 1932, following the global market crash and unfolding depression, which prompted him to publish his concerns about a dystopian future. He asserted that stability was the primal and ultimate need of civilization. His other major concerns were over population, consciousness control, totalitarianism, drugs and promiscuity. Do you think we are revisiting these concerns as a society now? In his nal novel, Island, published in 1962, after exploring spirituality, Huxley imagines a world where humans are motivated by the pursuit of higher consciousness and service to humanity. Should our current Brave New World be feared or embraced? Should it now be followed by an exclamation point or a question mark? I think in its current form, it should be followed by a hash tag #.

For the record, it is important to state at the outset that this market assessment was composed on Sunday, January 28th, immediately following the all time market closing high on Friday January 26th. I then presented this to my colleagues in the TSAA on Friday, February 2nd. The last time I published my assessment of the market in Traders World was in two dierent articles published in late 2007 and Spring of 2008. Also for the record, my perspective developed from a background in cultural anthropology, political economy, consciousness studies, and over thirty years as a student of the markets. In this article, I would like to oer some socio-economic perspective…and also take a look at two


April/May/June 2018

139

dierent market scenarios going forward. It is important to appreciate that many historical cyclical patterns appear to have become subordinate to globally synchronized Central Bank Policies and irresponsible sovereign scal behavior worldwide. The excesses of the last economic cycle have somehow been magically absorbed and dismissed. Most of this was done on the backs of those who tried to live within their means, while bankers and those complicit in creating and participating in the debacle were bailed out or forgiven. But (hey), who cares as long as we can somehow reignite the growth engine again. The next time the system fails, bail-INS are more likely to be the order of the day rather than the previously orchestrated bail-Outs. While no one cannot predict with high probability what the market holds in store for us over the next few years, I am going to present some cycle evidence, wave charts and point and gure charts which can be used to argue for either a bearish or bullish scenario….However, I will then share with you which scenario I believe is most likely and why. Methodologies Elliott Wave and Cycle Inuences Fibonacci Year Counts Wycko Macro Political Socio-Economic Inuences EWT measures the compliment of cycles and mass human psychology. The Wycko method measures the workings of supply and demand in the stock market. Together they provide a working apparatus for selecting and evaluating market data. It has been generally observed over the decades that: "Bull markets foster homogeneity, generosity, tolerance, openness, liberalness and understanding". "Bear markets foster intolerance, inconsiderateness, close mindedness, retrenchment, conservatism, having concerns about scarcity and safety, and having a lack of generosity". It seems fairly evident which breeding ground appears to have been the predominant mass consciousness manifesting in the environment over the last number of years? How one can explain this paradox of bear market psychology amidst a raging bull market, is challenging at best. One possible way to do this is to argue that we are facing a very large bear market ahead and the social environment from the 2016 lows is a preliminary taste of things to come over the longer term.


April/May/June 2018

140

I do think it is likely populism; colloquial cultural retrenchments and anarchy are likely to further develop around the world. The reasons are many, but chief among them are the unintended vagaries of globalism, rapid technological change; and the rapid erosion of traditional social norms, population displacement and with it, cultural clashes. Interestingly, I would suspect, that even among the rather mature, sophisticated and erudite readers of Traders World, we could descend rather rapidly into a spitting match over some of these issues. It is important to understand that a non-ecological growth paradigm is unsustainable, especially at this point in history. Also, that excessive bling and super wealth is not the path to human fulllment, i.e. unless you can put it to work uplifting the broader body-politic. To put this all in a broader perspective, I would like to share with you where I think we are in the bigger picture in the context of my methods. For those of you disenchanted with the application of Elliott Wave, I would remind you that there is typically more than one interpretation of its progression, although there is commonly a predominant view. I will share with you what I think is the predominant view, but I will also share with you an alternate consideration of the market’s current progression. I do not think that the bull move from the 1932 bottom is over yet. Here is an idealized Elliott Wave pattern. It is an unfolding fractal which progresses in ve legs or waves, with #1, #3 and #5 advancing and #2 and #4 correcting the previous leg. If #2 is sharper and quicker, then #4 will likely be broader and take longer. If #2 is of the “atter” form, then #4 will likely be of the “sharper” form. Once the ve leg progression in the direction of the larger trend is complete, then a correction of larger magnitude is expected. This progression is considered to operate from the smallest degrees, occurring intraday to ever larger degrees occurring over years and decades. Without getting too “out there”, the very universe is believed to “breath” in this manner.


April/May/June 2018

141

The next chart is borrowed from Robert Precther’s Elliott Wave International. If you are interested in this method, EWI oers the most comprehensive body of work available. It oers both advisory and educational services. This chart shows (using the best data available) the progression of the U.S. stock market from 1779 (about the time of its inception) through 1989. Notice that in the mid 1800’s, what might be considered a broader atter correction occurred over two decades and the 1929-1932 correction took the form of a shorter sharper correction. Most believe that “correction” to have ended at the price bottom of 1932 while others believe it ended later in either 1942 or 1949 completing a more triangular pattern. Regardless of when it actually ended, if (and that is a big if ) we are in the nal throws of the progression from the 1930’s depression bottom, the magnitude of what we may be facing is exceedingly profound and has larger implications for our nation and the world.


April/May/June 2018

142

In 1987 on the weekend before the crash, I calculated the crash low to the exact point. In 1998, I developed a model that indicated the entire western nancial system would collapse in 2008. The next two charts illustrate other bearish and bullish calls made over the last decade using these methods. The bearish calls turned out to be quite accurate, especially the late 2007 super bearish call. The analysis of this late 2007 call was published in Traders World. The next two bearish calls made in late 2011 and late 2012 missed the boat completely. A bull market has continued to run from the late 2008/early 2009 low into the present time period.


April/May/June 2018

143

My bearish expectation on how the market would unfold after the 2008 crash was completely upended by globally coordinated central bank intervention and irresponsible sovereign decit spending. I submit as evidence, four charts that I was working with. I was using a ten year chart from the 1932-1942 period as an analog to the ten year market period from 2002 to 2012. Take notice please of the similarity of the structure from the two periods. Now in the last two of these four charts, notice the similarity of the 1937-1938 corrective period to the 2008-2009 corrective period. Notice that after two counter trend rallies to Fibonacci 62% resistance, the market failed in 1939 moving down to the 1942 low. Then notice in the 20072011 chart, that after the 2nd attempt to reach the 62% retracement area in late 2010, the market broke up instead of down. The day that the analog broke down was the day the Ben Bernanke announced QE2!!


April/May/June 2018

144


April/May/June 2018

145


April/May/June 2018

146

The next three charts I present are point and gure charts. The rst two were produced at least a year ago. Point and gure charts are a key component of the Wycko method popularized in the early part of the 20th century. Take notice that the maximum count projection taken from the 2008 to 2009 trading range is 27000. The 2nd chart takes the count across the 2015 and early 2016 lows, projects to a maximum of 26,500. The third P&F chart shows a more expanded view of 2015-2016 trading range. The most recent three phases of this chart’s trading range produce a maximum projection of 26,400. The average of the three of these is 26,633. The actual high on Friday, January 26th was 26,616!


April/May/June 2018

147

The bearish scenario that I have entertained since the election of Donald Trump is that the behavior of the market would resemble what happened after the election of Herbert Hoover, i.e. the market would enjoy a very bullish response to policies favorable to business and the asset rich, but it would lead to excesses that would result in ultimate failure. In 1929, the ramications were catastrophic. Let us hope and presume that history would not repeat itself in a similar way. My colleague Garrett Jones, in observing long market cycles, has pointed out that the market has down cycles about every 40 years and very bad down cycles about every 80 years. Well, it has been 85 years since the 1932 bottom and the extra ve years may have been facilitated by unprecedented nancial engineering in the modern era. I do ascertain however, that the world's economies appear to be enjoying global synchronous growth with all the necessary support and cooperation being faithfully provided by the world's central banks. Financial engineering has gone further than most ever imagined it could. I would add that the elimination of many regulations (which some would argue were hard won protections of the public interest); plus new and continued decit spending would surely provide a boost to the economy. Some of this is a matter of reallocating resources in intelligent ways and some not so much. I am not necessarily against trickle-down economics as I am against making its considerations unconditional. If the country is going to bestow tax benets to those with means, then they should be conditioned upon the production of new wealth that has a genuine “multiplier eect”. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

148

The great capitalist Warren Buett is generally supportive of this view. In their current form, the Trump tax cuts and spending initiatives are likely to add signicantly to the decit, (but hey) with so many sovereigns doing the same thing while facilitating “beggar thy neighbor” currency policies, what’s a nation in competition with other nations to do? A nal point in this regard, is that we have a need for national infrastructure repair and build out. This form of government spending, perhaps more than any other, can produce longer term multiplier benets. NOW, the bullish scenario I am entertaining, appears to be supported by national and global demographics. I refer here to baby boomers staying engaged in the economy longer than in the past. In addition, younger generations are creating and engaging in the new digital economy. It is creating wealth and eciencies, in ways and in forms never before realized. This scenario places its faith in the further unfolding of the digital revolution, as companies nd new ways to be more productive with fewer human beings. Let’s face it, some things would be better operated (like trains) if better complimented with computers and AI. On the other hand, if over time, the means of production (to coin a phrase) does become ever more privatized and concentrated, resulting in the need for fewer human beings to produce the wealth, then some form of guaranteed basic income will be required to avoid massive social unrest. That is unless we are headed for some kind of dystopian “Hunger Games” scenario. I am referring here to the books and movies of the same name. It would also be constructive to provide a basic foundation to those with creative talents who may be growing up in poorer circumstances. The idea here is to provide a hand up to those that can contribute to future betterment. I have long believed that the year 2021 would bring a very important cyclical juncture in the market, but whether it will be a harbinger of a major top or bottom, I cannot yet say with high probability. I argued at a presentation in late 2007, when forecasting the 2008 nancial crash, that broad based eco-systems were unlike what existed in the 1930’s, and could not withstand another round of exploitation and development, in the quest for more old paradigm growth. However, there was a caveat, i.e. unless this growth came from new technologies that could foster new growth and eciencies without further taxing the natural environment. I believe a case could now be made that the digital revolution (which is incorporating robotic automation and AI) as well as environmentally friendly energy technologies, may be fullling this bill. New technologies are also being employed in the service of understanding and defending the environment. There are however many industries, sovereigns, and political economic policies that remain unsustainable in a maturing global environment. Health care, agribusiness and the food economy are chief among them, as well as a variety of other human behaviors that still threaten our eco-systems. These new technologies I speak of may indeed buy us more time, but more dramatic changes will be needed to sustain the environment upon which we depend. Even if the market is to unfold to higher highs in the years leading into 2021, I believe an intervening and substantial correction is likely close at hand. It cannot be foretold from WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

149

where the linchpin will come, and we can only speculate. The attached point and gure charts produced long ago point to targets which are upon us. One possible development that could lead to a signicant upside surprise, would be the collapse of the Iranian regime which could lead to a somewhat similar reaction as occurred after the fall of the Berlin Wall and the Soviet Union. If this were to occur, it may well come after an intervening correction and then help to fuel a bull run into the 2021 time period. Now please refer again to the last P&F chart I showed. The last two phases of this last P&F trading range project (if realized) to somewhere between 30,200 and 32,700. It is my contention that after a correction down into the approximate area of the 2016 trading range and about a year in time, the market will nd its footing and make its nal run from the 1932 low into a nal 89 year Fibonacci grand cycle high in the 2021 time period.


April/May/June 2018

150

The next three charts show the “Average Decade” pattern for the Dow, the Four Year Election cycle for the Dow and a chart taken from a year old chart borrowed from the McClellan Market Report. The MMR shows a projection for the Dow based on a chart of the crude oil market, set forward ten years. The three charts taken together I believe are hard to ignore.


April/May/June 2018

151

Unless we are in a dicult to imagine growth paradigm leading well into the 21st century, the next six charts show what I believe to be the most likely two scenarios leading into and ending early in the next decade. The rst scenario is very bearish, while the second is bearish in intermediate degree with the corrective period lasting about a year. This would be followed by a nal bull run into the 2021 time period, ending a long supercycle from the 1932 depression low. The rst chart shows my wave count from the 2008/2009 low. If it is an analog to the Herbert Hoover bull run, its termination is imminent. I believe it is pretty much in agreement with the next two charts shown from Elliott Wave International. Again, their service is the most comprehensive available for this methodology.


April/May/June 2018

152

The next chart shows my interpretation of the “wave structure” from the 1932 low to now. The Fibonacci year counts are compelling. The next two charts show what I believe to be a sound analog comparison. The rst of these two charts, shows the sharp decline in 2008 (similar in basic structure to the 1987 decline) and then how the bull run from the Spring 2009 low has unfolded into the current period high. I believe a sharp and substantial correction is imminent and will likely nd support over the course of 2018 in the area of the 2016 trading range. The nal chart shows what I believe to be a 13 year (1987-2000) analog of the current market from the 2009 low. Our current analog position in the market is labeled on the chart as such occurring in 1998. Back then, the market corrected into the 1998 low and then rallied for about two years into the year 2000. I believe this pattern will be repeated completing a 13 years bull run from the 2008/09 low and completing the much larger Fibonacci 89 year bull market from the 1932 depression era low into the 2021 period. The intervening nancial engineering of the modern era and globally coordinated decit spending of the world’s sovereign states synchronistically bought the necessary added time to allow the digital revolution to take hold and carry us into an 89 year Fibonacci nale. WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

153


April/May/June 2018

154

Lastly, in the context of the accompanying charts and technical discussion, please pay close attention to national and global developments, including developments among the world’s central banks as they occur, to help you realize which of the major scenarios is in play, (or not). Be a visionary A visionary transforms a moment in history… Through Art, Statesmanship, Invention, Communication, Discovery, Industry and Daring. A Visionary does not just watch the cresting wave of current events, but anticipates and rides it. The world we face brings us to a dicult future or a quality of life revolution. Our choice lies in the power of human imagination. We created out way into our present circumstances… The way out too must be created. What we are looking for now is not just salvation, but awakening… A quality of life revolution. Marilyn Ferguson 1984


April/May/June 2018

155

Amazon Kindle Books Gann Masters Course by Larry Jacobs $9.95 As you know, W.D. Gann was a legendary trader. Some say he amassed a fortune in the the markets. He wrote several important books on trading as well as a commodity trading course and a stock market trading course. He charged $3000 to $5000 for the trading courses which included 6 months of personal instruction by phone. The Gann Masters Trading Course to help traders become successful.

A Unique Approach to Forecasting by Ivan Sargent $32.95 This book is possibly one of most advanced books in technical analysis you will read regarding price and time reversals. Knowing the Price and time of a stocks reversal point is undeniably an important element for to successful trading. Unlike most trading books which use indicators, oscillators, and basic geometry to forecast the markets outcome; this technique uses a series of lines which when accurately placed can deliver reversal points with amazing accuracy. Trend lines, retracements lines, channels, fan li nes, pivot points etc, all inspect a stock chart from the outside, which is more or less the obvious point of view.

Patterns and Ellipses by Larry Jacobs $9.99 This book concerns itself with a highly technical subject, the subject of technical analysis of the nancial market. This book specically deals with ellipses and pattern formations used for trading the markets. It also covers many other technical analysis tools that can be used eectively by the trader.

Gann’s Master Charts Unveiled by Larry Jacobs $9.99 We know that Gann used the Pythagorean Square because he was found carrying it with him into the trading pit all the time. This square was hidden in the palm of his hand. How did he use this square? Why did he not discuss the use of this square in his courses? There is only one page covering the Square of Nine in all of his books and courses. Was this square his most valuable tool? These and all the other squares Gann used will be discussed in detail in this book with many illustns and examples to prove how they work.

Gann Trade Real Time by Larry Jacobs $9.99 When you opened this book you took the one step that will help you learn how to be successful at the most desirable, but hardest profession in the world. That profession is real time trading. This book is not going to give you an instant secret to day trading. It is going to give you the basics so that you might start the path to understanding how the markets work both short term and long term. You need to know and fully understand the markets and develop successful trading WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

156

strategies to become successful at this endeavor.

Best Trading Strategies: Master Trading the Futures, Stocks, ETFs, Forex and Option Markets $3.99 This is one of the most fascinating books that was ever written about trading because it is written by over thirty expert traders. These traders have many years of experience and they have learned how to turn technical analysis into prots in the markets. This is extremely dicult to do and if you have ever tried to trade the markets with technical analysis you would know what I mean. These writers have some of the best trading strategies they use and have the conviction and the discipline to act assertively and pull the buy or sell trigger regardless of pressures they have against them. They have presented these strategies at the Traders World Online Expo #14 in video presentations and in this book. What sets these traders apart from other traders? Many think that beating the markets has something to do with discovering and using some secret formula. The traders in this book have the right attitude and many employ a combination of fundamental analysis, technical analysis principles and formulas in their best trading strategies. Trading is one of the best ways to make a lot of money in the world if one does it right. One needs to nd successful trading strategies and implement them in their own trading method. The purpose of this book is to present to you the best trading strategies of these traders so that you might be able to select those that t you best and then implement them into your own trading. I wish to express my appreciation to all the writers in this book who made the book possible. They have spent many hours of their time and hard work in writing their section of the book and the putting together their video presentation for the online expo.

Finding Your Trading Method $3.99 Finding your trading method is the main problem you need to solve if you want to become a successful trader. You may be asking yourself, can I nd my own trading method that will reect my own personality toward trading? For example, do you have the patience to sit in front of a computer and trade all day? Do you prefer to swing trade from 3-5 days or do you like to hold positions for weeks and even months? Every trader is dierent. You need to nd your own trading method. Finding out your trading method is extremely important to produce a protable benchmark that can be replicated in your live account. Perhaps the best way to nd a successful trading method is to listen to many expert traders to understand what they have done to be successful. The best way to do that is to listen to the Traders World Online Expos presentations. This book duplicates what these experts have said in their presentations, WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

157

which explains what they have done to nd their own trading method. If you have a trading method that gives you a predictable prot, then that type of objectivity contributes to your trading edge. The problem with most traders is that being inconsistent will never allow them to have an edge. After you nd your trading method that you feel comfortable with, you must have the following: An overall plan to: 1) Set your rule set and plan and then stick with it in all of your trading. 2) To give you a trading plan for every day. The trade plan then should: 1) Have an exact entry price 2) Have a stop price 3) Have a way to add positions 4) Tell you where to take prots 5) Have a way to protect your prots By reviewing all the methods given in this book by the expert traders, it will give, you the preliminary steps that you need to nd your footing in nding your own trading method. Reading this book and by seeing the actual recorded presentations on the Traders World Online Expo site can act as a reference tool for selecting your method of trading, investment strategies and tactics. It took many of these expert traders in this book 15 – 30 years to nally come up and nd the answers to nd their trading method to make consistent prot. Finding your trading method could be then much easier when you read this book and incorporate the techniques that best t your personality and style from these traders. This book will enable you to that fastest way to do that. So if you want help to nd your own trading method to be successful in the markets then buy and read this book.

Learn the Secrets of Successful Trading $3.99 Learn specic trading strategies to improve your trading, learn trading ideas and tactics to be more protable, better optimize your trading system, nd the fatal aws in your trading, understand and use Elliott Wave to strengthen your trading, position using correct sizing to trade more protable, understand Mercury cycles in trading the S&P, get consistently protable trade setups, reduce risk and increase prots using volume, detect and trade the hidden market cycles, short term trading by taking the money and running, develop your mind for trading, overcoming Fear in WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

158

Trading, trade with the smart money following volume, understand and use the Ultimate Oscillator, use high power trading with geometry, get better entries, understand the three legs to trading, use technical analysis with NinjaTrader 7, use a breakout system with cycles for greater returns with less risk, use TurnSignal for better entries and exits, trade with an edge, use options protably, learn to trade online, map supply and demand on charts, quantify and execute portfolio rotation for auto trading. Written by Many Expert Traders The book was written by a large group of 35 expert traders, with high qualications, most of who trade professionally and/or oer trading services and expensive courses to their clients. Some of them charge thousands of dollars per day for personal trading! These expert traders give generally 45-minute presentations covering the same topics given in this book at the Traders World Online Expo #12. By combining their talents in this book, they introduce a new dimension to nding a protable trading edge in the market. You can use ideas and techniques of this group of experts to leverage your ability to nd an edge to successfully trade. Using a group of experts in this manner to insure your trading success is unprecedented. You’ll never nd a book like this anywhere! This unique trading book will help you uncover the underlying reasons for your lack of consistency in trading and will help you overcome poor habits that cost you money in trading. It will help you to expose the myths of the market one by one teaching you the right way to trade and to understand the realities of risk and to be comfortable with trading with market. The book is priceless! Parallels to the Traders World Online Expo 12

Trade the Markets with and Edge $3.99 This is an important book discussing the use of dierent strategies methods about trading. It was written by over 30 expert traders. The book was designed to help you develop your own trading edge in the markets to put you above others who don’t have an edge and just trade by the seat of their pants. 90% of traders actually lose in the markets and the main reason is simply that they don’t have an edge. All of the writers in this book are very experienced and knowledgeable of dierent ways. Each of them has their own expertise in trading the markets. What sets these traders apart from other traders? Many think that beating the markets has something to do with discovering and using some secret formula. The traders in this book have the right attitude and many employ a combination of fundamental analysis, technical analysis principles and formulas in their best trading strategies. This gives WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

159

them a trading edge over other traders. If you want to be successful at trading, you too must have your edge. One needs to nd successful trading strategies and implement them in their own trading method. The purpose of this book is to present to you the best trading strategies of these traders so that you might be able to select those that t you best and then implement them into your own trading style. I wish to express my appreciation to all the writers in this book who made the book possible. They have spent many hours of their time and hard work in writing their section of the book and the putting together their video presentation for the online expo.

Guide to Successful Online Trading - Secrets from the Pros $3.99 This is one of the nest trading books you’ll ever see about trading. The reason is that it comes from a group of expert pro traders with multiple years of experience. Trading as you know is extremely dicult. It is estimated that 90% of traders lose money in the markets. To help you overcome this statistic, t he pro traders in this book give you their ideas on trading with some of the best trading methods ever developed through their long time experience. By reading about these trading methods and implementing them in the markets you will then have a chance to then join the ranks of the 10% of the successful traders. The traders in this book have through experience the right attitude and employ a combination of technical analysis principles and strategies to be successful. You can develop these also. Trading is one of the best ways to make money. Apply the trading methods in this book and treat it as a business. The purpose of this book is to help you be successful in trading. From this book you will get all the strategies, Indicators and trading methods that you need to make big prots in the markets. This book gives you: 1) Audio/Visual Links to presentations from pro traders 2) The best strategies that the professional traders are using now 3) The broad perspective you need in today’s dicult markets 4) The Exact tools that you need to make protable trading decisions 5) The nest trading education


April/May/June 2018

160

CRAIG TRADING: Craig Haugaard made 300.9% in his World Cup Trading Championships® Account in 2014 - Want to Know How? $3.99 This book contains an interview that I made with Craig Haugaard, third-place nisher in the 2014 World Cup Championship of Futures Trading® with a 300.9% net prot. I asked him many questions on exactly how he did it. In the rest of the book I explain to you how to use the indicators that Craig used to make his 300.9% return. Here are the indicators that he used: •

Seasonality

•

MACD

•

Stochastics

•

Moving Averages

•

Trailing Stops

•

Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions

All of the charts in this book are produced using my favorite charting software Market-Analyst®. I have also arranged for you to get a FREE trial so that you might have the chance to actually work with these indicators with a real charting platform. You will also be able to view the video presentations that I personally created so you can see how these indicators can be setup and followed with clear and concise step-by-step instructions. After you understand how these indicators work, I would then recommend that you go to WorldCupAdvisor.com and consider following Craig Haugaard’s real-time trades. This one-of-a-kind book teaches you how to identify the direction of the markets and trade the markets by using popular trading indicators. This is done by concise instructions backed by learning videos, hands on practice with real trading software and by following real-time trades of a master trader.

Mastering Your Trading: Learn from Expert Trading Advisors “Mastering Your Trading” is the perfect source for learning various methods of trading the market from expert advisers. $3.99 This book focuses on various methods of trading developed by many top trading advisors. There are 17 well written articles and it is packed by insight that can benet the beginning to the expert trader. This is a must read. The trading methods and strategies presented in this book can help to succeed in today’s volatile market environment. From preparing your psychology to the demands of timing the market and managing the risk, this book tells it all. The book provides you the tools that are necessary for making the right trades and when to get in and out of the market. The book covers: WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

161

•

Price and Volume the only True Indicators

•

Uncovering Market Secrets

•

How to handle capital exposure

•

Secrets of Safe Protable Day Trading

•

Using Social Media Sentiment Cycles

•

How to Dramatically Improve Your Trading Psychology

•

How to Handle Trading Losses

•

Using a Market Scanner to Save Time

•

How to Stop Guessing

•

How to Get the Right Trading Computer

•

Simple and Practical Trading Tips

•

And much more…

This book is an enhanced Edition which means that the articles are backed with audio visual presentation links. Most of the presentations are in HD quality and are put together by the writers of the articles in the book and really help the learning process. Successful trading is based on knowledge and having the right psychology to trade the markets. This book will lift your trading to a much higher level and will save you an enormous amount to time.


April/May/June 2018

162

Trading with Success $4.99 This book contains an interview in Chapter 1 with Rob Mitchell, who nished in 2nd place in the 2014 World Cup Championship® of CME E-mini Trading with a 57% net prot. Rob Mitchell is the president of Axiom Research & Trading, Inc. and has been a trading system developer for over 20 years and has developed a number of commercially successful trading systems. He has at various times been the largest eMini S&P trader in the world. Rob has also acted as a Commodity Trading Adviser, has traded for hedge funds and has won the Robbins World Cup eMini trading championship in the past. Rob is a trading teacher and mentor and is the founder and head trader of Oil Trading Room which is devoted to providing advanced educational resources to traders at all levels. In the rest of the book I will explain to you some of the trading ideas of Rob that he uses in both his Oil Trading Room and in his World Cup Advisor Account. You can then actually see and understand how some of his ideas work. I am not going to tell you exactly how Rob used the ideas to make his return of 57% on a $10,000 investment. That information is not public and belongs only to Rob. I will tell you some of the trading ideas he uses and help you understand how these ideas work. I would then recommend that you go to World Cup Advisor and consider following Rob’s trades. You will be able to automatically mirror Rob’s trades in your own brokerage account with World Cup Leader-Follower AutoTrade™ service. You will also be able to see what his trades look like on your own charts and better understand why he made the trades.

Takumaru Forex Trading $4.99 This book contains an interview in Chapter 1 with Takumaru Sakakibara, who nished in 2nd place in the 2014 World Cup Championship of Forex Trading® with a 122.6% net prot. “Takumaru’s largest drawdown (cumulative peak-to-valley percentage decline in month-end net equity during the life of the account) was -21.5% from 6-30-15 to 10-31-15.” “Please remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.” “Please remember that Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.” In the rest of the book I will explain to you some of the trading ideas Takumaru said he used WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM

April/May/June 2018

163

Tradersworld#69.pdf

Recommend Documents