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SECURITY ANALYSIS Presented by: S.Anusha V. Jyothsna sowgandhi MIC College of Technology
CONTENT •
Introduction Introduction to stock exchange
•
Security meaning
•
Types of securities
•
Security analysis types
•
–
fundamental analysis
–
Technical analysis
Conclusion
STOCK MARKET •
Stock Exchange also called
Stock Market
or
Share Market •
The price at which each buying and selling transaction takes is determined by the market forces.
•
Stock markets started in 1881.
•
Totally 21 stock exchanges in India.
•
National stock exchange and Bombay stock exchanges are famous stock exchanges.
TYPES OF SECURITIES Equity shares
Shares Preference shares Government securities
Securities market
Debt
Debentures
Bonds
Futures
Derivatives Options
EQUITY SHARE CERTIFICATE
PREFERENCE SHARE CERTIFICATE
BOND
DEBENTURE
DERIVATIVES
SECURITY ANALYSIS •
The analysis of various tradable financial instruments is called security analysis.
•
It is the initial phase of the portfolio management process.
•
This step consists of examining the risk-return characteristics of individual securities.
•
Buy under priced securities and sell over priced securities.
TYPES OF SECURITY ANALYSIS
Security analysis
Fundamental analysis
Technical analysis
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS •
It is a logical and systematic approach to estimating the future dividends and share price.
•
It is based on the basic premise that share price is determined by a number of fundamental factors.
•
The fundamental factors are relating to EIC analysis framework
EIC analysis framework Economy analysis
Fundamental analysis
Company analysis
Industry analysis
ECONOMY ANALYSIS •
Factors including while making economy analysis – GDP – Interest
rates
– Inflation – Exchange
rates
– Government
revenue , expenditure and deficits
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS Industry life cycle
•
There are 24 sectors in Indian industry. They are – Banking
sector
– Information
technology sector
– Pharmaceutical – Agriculture – Real
sector
sector
estate sector
– Telecommunication – Textiles – Media
sector
sector
sector
– Auto mobile sector etc….
COMPANY ANALYSIS Factors
Share value
Competitive edge
Historical price of stock
Earnings Capital structure Management Operating efficiency
Future price
P/E ratio Economic condition Stock market condition
Present price
[Factors that affect present and future values]
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS •
•
A technical analyst tries to identify the historical patterns from the chart, based on this he/she is going to forecast the future price movement. stages in technical analysis: – Collecting
data
– Represent
in charts
– Evaluation
of historical patterns
– Forecasting
the prices
TYPES OF CHARTS •
Line chart
Bar charts
A candlestick chart
EXAMPLE ON FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Sno.
Company
Fundamental analysis P/E
NPM
EPS
1
Wipro
16.24
14.9
23.65
2
Bharti Airtel
26.44
3.9
10.01
3.
Cipla
23.34
20.5
15.83
4
ITC
30.82
23.9
8.22
5
L&T
20.86
7.5
74.37
6
NTPC
14.45
15.5
11.70
7
ONGC
8.86
30.1
31.68
8
18.96
13.2
88.15
9
DR.REDDY S HDFC
28.94
20
26.91
10
AXIS Bank
9.8
17.8
107.50
•
Profit volume ratio (P/E ratio):Market price /Earnings per share(EPS)
•
Earnings per share(EPS): Net Profit Available To Equity Shareholders/ Number Of Shareholders
EXAMPLE ON TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Date
Open Price
High Price
Low Price
Close Price
14-Aug-12
356
357.55
352.4
355.5
16-Aug-12
354.2
354.7
347
349.4
17-Aug-12
349.4
354.5
346.5
353.5
21-Aug-12
350.65
358.5
350.65
355.75
22-Aug-12
355
357.45
350.25
354.5
23-Aug-12
355.65
366.75
355.65
363.1
24-Aug-12
362.95
366.5
360.25
365.1
27-Aug-12
366.5
366.85
360.05
361.25
28-Aug-12
360.5
365
359
363.65
29-Aug-12
364
369
361.5
364.15
30-Aug-12
364
370
362.1
369
31-Aug-12
369
372.5
360.55
362.6
3-Sep-12
362.9
372.5
361.65
364.2
4-Sep-12
363
366
360.4
363.05
5-Sep-12
361
364
357.7
362.1
6-Sep-12
362.5
379
360.7
377.45
7-Sep-12
381.5
384.8
376.9
377.8
8-Sep-12
378.5
382.6
378.5
380.75
10-Sep-12
380
382.3
375
376.45
11-Sep-12
373.5
377
372.1
374.85
12-Sep-12
377.25
386
375.3
384.55
13-Sep-12
387.1
389.35
385.5
387.9
14-Sep-12
395.95
395.95
387.55
391.55
CONCLUSION •
Both analysis are very essential to analysis the securities. Fundamental analysis gives good results comparatively technical analysis.
•
If investor wants to invest his amount on long term bases he got for fundamental analysis.
