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Understand CSR100 Terminology
UPTREND-----> a series of rising peaks and troughs (L, H, HL, HH dan seterusnya, bahasa mudahnya trend menaik) L - Low, H - High, HL - Higher Low, HH - Higher High DOWNTREND-----> a series of descending peaks and troughs (H, L, LH, LL dan seterusnya, bahasa mudahnya trend menurun) H - High, L - Low, LH -Lower High, LL - Lower Low SUPPORT -----> terjadi apabila price/market dari atas ke bawah gagal melepasi satu garisan / zone dan patah balik ke atas. "Any part at which the market stopped going down and turned up"
RESISTANCE----> terjadi apabila price / market dari bawah ke atas gagal melepasi satu garisan / zone dan patah balik ke bawah. "Any part at which the market stopped going up and turned down"
ROLE REVERSAL-----> "Support atau Resistance" telah bertukar fungsi, SBR dan RBS SBR -----> SUPPORT BECOME RESISTANCE RBS -----> RESISTANCE BECOME SUPPORT BREAKOUT-----> Price berjaya melepasi Support atau Resistance dan selalunya adalah point/garisan/zone di mana berlakunya pertukaran fungsi "Support n Resistance" TP = Target Profit SL = Stop Loss
Tips Melukis Chart 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.
Kenalpasti di mana Support atau Resistance Kenalpasti di mana berlakunya breakout Kenalpasti dimana Swing high atau Swing low selepas breakout. Tandakan PA Tandakan dimana SBR atau RBS Tandakan 1st Retest Standby untuk masuk post pada 2nd Retest.
Contoh -
TF 4H show uptrend Zoom TF 1H untuk tgk trend n price action ngan lebih jelas Zoom TF 15M untuk tengok setup
Best Pair GU, EU, GJ , EJ, NU, AU, Ucad
Contoh
Jenis Setup Creeping Setup (Menjalar) -
Permulaan Trend Lepas breakout, akan menjalar masuk zon bertindih. Zone SBR or RBS Enter 2nd Retest
Normal Setup -
Pertengahan Trend SBR or RBS terjadi pada Line yang sama, bukan Zone
-
Bleh masuk 1st Retest, tp must tight SL
Blow Off -
Hujung Trend After breakout, price akan retrace, tapi tak sampai bertemu S & R dan membentuk gap zone SBR or RBS Masuk 2nd Retest
Note : Semua retest, mestilah significant retest or retracement
Formula Asas Trading 1. TRADE WITH THE TREND -----> Trend is your friend, jadikan trend sebagai girlfriend anda. Jangan sekali-kali melawan trend (pantang larang utama trading ni). Lebih mudah untuk untung jika anda "Trade with the Trend" di bandingkan dengan "Trade melawan Trend". UPTREND = BUY AJA. DOWNTREND = SELL AJA, Simple kan. 2. BUY AT SUPPORT ------> Buyers enter the market at Support and take control from the sellers. Maksudnya enter Trade BUY hanya di Support sahaja. Simple kan . Kalau BUY di Resistance kira cari nahaslah. Lu fikirlah sendiri. 3. SELL AT RESISTANCE -----> Sellers enter the market at Resistance and take control from the buyers. Maksudnya enter TRADE SELL hanya di Resistance sahaja. Simple kan. Kalau SELL di Support kira cara bala lah. Lu fikirlah sendiri.
Cara Buat Analisa CSR100
Step 1: Pilih TF yang anda nak TRADE Jika anda pilih TF15, sila lihat TF 1Hr/4Hr untuk Cari Trend Semasa. Jika anda pilih TF1Hr, sila lihat TF 4Hr/Daily untuk Cari Trend Semasa Nota: Pilih TF yang lebih besar untuk tentukan Trend Semasa
Step 2: Tentukan Trend UPTREND-----> a series of rising peaks and troughs (L, H, HL, HH dan seterusnya, bahasa mudahnya TREND MENAIK) L - Low, H - High, HL - Higher Low, HH - Higher High PA UPTREND = L, H, HL, HH, HL, HH & so on ACTION -------> UPTREND = BUY AJA DOWNTREND-----> a series of descending peaks and troughs (H, L, LH, LL dan seterusnya, bahasa mudahnya TREND MENURUN) H - High, L - Low, LH -Lower High, LL - Lower Low PA DOWNTREND = H, L, LH, LL, LH, LL & so on ACTION ------> DOWNTREND = SELL AJA
Step 3: Analisa TF untuk di "TRADE". Objective utama ialah mencari SBR/RBS Line atau Zone; 1. Tandakan area untuk S+R Line. 2. Tandakan breakouts. 3. Tandakan 1st Retest selepas Breakout = Confirmed SBR/RBS Line/Zone Intai Peluang Untuk Masuk Trade di 2nd Retest or 3rd Retest Stop Loss:
Beberapa Pips from SBR/RBS Line (Very Minima)
Secara peribadi untuk TF 4 Hr biasanya saya akan setkan sekurang2nya 50 pips dibawah atau di atas 1st Retest Take Profit: 1st TP - New Support or Resistance Line. Next TP - Pending on market situation. Rules Untuk CSR100 Method 1. KENAL PASTI ARAH TREND -----> Setiap TF mempunyai Trend sendiri, pastikan kita Trade with the Trend dengan higher TF. Trading with the Trend on one TF higher akan memberikan keputusan yang baik, manakala 2 atau lebih sama Trend dgn higher TF akan memberikan pulangan yang lumayan.
A1. Jika anda trading di TF 4 HR, gunakan TF Daily/Weekly untuk melihat Trend A2. Jika anda trading di TF 1 HR, gunakan TF 4 HR/Daily untuk melihat Trend A3. Jika anda trading di TF 15m, gunakn TF 1 HR/4 Hr untuk melihat Trend
2. ENTER POSTION, TARGET PROFIT (TP) DAN STOP LOSS (SL)
DOWNTREND = SBR = SELL AJA A. ENTER POST -------> Selepas berlakunya Breakout dan membentuk New Low, biasanya Price akan RETRACE dan Retest beberapa kali di garisan SBR. (1st RETEST, 2nd RETEST atau 3RD RETEST). Jika Price masih gagal melepasi SBR setelah beberapa kali mencuba (RETEST), ini menunjukkan SBR itu cukup kuat dan seterusnya meng"confirm"kan ianya SBR yang sah atau valid. Sebaik-baiknya tunggu 2nd atau 3rd RETEST untuk enter Post.
B. TP --------> Lowest point selepas Breakout (New Low / Latest Support). Anda boleh hold Post kerana kemungkinan untuk Price break Support adalah tinggi di sebabkan kita Trade with the trend. Min TP untuk CSR100 = 100 pips. C. SL--------> Beberapa pips diatas SBR atau ikut MM yang telah anda rancang, berapa pips kah anda sangup rugi!
UPTREND = RBS = BUY AJA A. ENTER POST -------> Selepas berlakunya breakout dan membentuk New High, biasanya Price akan RETRACE dan Retest beberapa kali di garisan RBS. (1st RETEST, 2nd RETEST atau 3RD rd RETEST). Jika Price masih gagal melepasi RBS setelah beberapa kali mencuba (RETEST) , ini menunjukkan RBS itu cukup kuat dan seterusnya meng"confirm"kan ianya RBS yang sah atau valid. Sebaik-baiknya tunggu 2nd atau 3rd RETEST untuk enter post. B. TP --------> Highest point selepas Breakout (New High / Latest Resistance ). Anda boleh hold Post kerana kemungkinan untuk price break Resistance adalah tinggi di sebabkan kita Trade with the Trend. Min TP untuk CSR100 = 100 pips. C. SL--------> Beberapa pips dibawah RBS atau ikut MM yang telah anda rancang, berapa pips kah yang anda sangup rugi!
Skill Untuk Plot S&R Line Menggunakan Price Action
Cuba mahirkan tentang PA dan permudahkan Chart untuk kelihatan lebih simple. Saya berpendapat untuk TF 4 Hr terlalu banyak garisan support n resistance yang di lukis. Kita kena fokus pada significant PA (Peaks & Troughs).
Tiada specific berapa banyak kah horizontal line yang perlu di plotkan / dilukiskan pada Chart CSR. Semuanya bergantung kepada Significant Peaks & Troughs (PA). Dengan bahasa mudah Significant Support & Resistance. Untuk sesuatu SETUP -------> Contohnya UPTREND------>
1.Pastikan PA mesti di mulakan dengan Low (L). Kemudian cari Significant Resistance yg pertama iaitu H (high). H mungkin hanya sekali RETEST atau mungkin 2 dan lebih RETEST. Lebih banyak RETEST menunjukkan lebih kuat Resistance tersebut. 2. Sampai di Resistance yang kuat biasanya Price akan membuat RETRACEMENT lalu membentuk HL (higher low). 3. Price akan cuba sekali lagi memecahkan Resitance dan sekiranya berjaya breakout biasanya ia akan membuat New High atau New Resistance iaitu HH (higher high). Breakout ini menunjukkan Trend semasa masih berterusan atau Valid. 4.Jika Price gagal menembusi HH, biasanya ia akan membuat RETRACEMENT ke Resistance terdahulu (H). Resistance itu akan bertukar fungsi menjadi Support (RBS/ HL) . Inilah yang di namakan FENOMENA ROLE REVERSAL. Di sinilah masa terbaik untuk kita intai peluang memasuki post BUY di RBS (Resistance Become Support). Sebagai FILTER......di nasihatkan untuk enter POST pada 2nd RETEST di SBR. Sekiranya Price membuat RETRACEMENT tetapi tidak sampai ke garisan/zone RBS....let it be....maksudnya tiada SETUP CSR100 di situ. SL paling AFDAL di letakkan beberapa pips di bawah RBS 1st RETEST. Sekiranya ianya HIT SL......let it be....hanya minima LOSS aja. Contoh Step 1 ------> Buka MT4, pilih mana2 pair kegemaran anda dan lihatlah chart kosong ala CSR100 Chart 1 : UC TF 4 Hr 21-12-2010 -----> Chart Kosong
Step 2 ------> Kenalpasti di mana kedudukan support & resistance dan tandakan pada chart. Chart 2 : UC TF 4 Hr 21-12-2010 -----> Support & Resistance
Step 3 ------> Lukis garisan/zone SBR/RBS secara manual di dalam chart Chart 3 : UC TF 4 Hr 21-12-2010 ----> Garisan SBR telah di kenalpasti
Step 4 ------> Melabel chart untuk memudahkan melihat setup & kedudukan entry point, TP, SL dan sebagainya
Chart 4 : UC TF 4 Hr 21-12-2010 -----> Setup CSR100 dah Hit TP
Step 5 ------> That's all folks. Done Chart 5 : UC TF 4 Hr 21-12-2010 -----> Complete chart CSR100 ala JGV100
Professional Advice Nasihat dari Bro Vegas - Mr Tunnel " I am going to give you the only bit of professional trader advice.
(1) Investigate a method that you believe makes money over time and stick with it. (2) Try to understand the theoretical underpinnings of the model. (3) Trade small until totally convinced method works. (4) Your success [profits] comes from implementing the method correctly, not guessing where the market is headed. (5) Read number 4 again. (6) Give up thinking during market hours. Thinking comes when the machines are turned off, not in the heat of battle"
Sedutan dari Article Masta PA Mr Nial Fuller Professional traders know that their winners have to out-pace their losers to make money, because most professional traders only win about 50% of the time. If you have no edge in the market that can get you to the point of winning at least around 50% of your trades, you are probably going to only breakeven over any series of trades, assuming you still implement a risk reward of at least 1 to 2. Most traders do not implement risk reward properly; they take profits of less than 2 times risk which inherently forces them to have a very high overall winning percentage to make money. By taking a profit of less than 2 times risk, you are basically PURPOSESLY putting the odds against you, because you then will have to win over 50% of your trades to make money, and most trading strategies do not give you an edge that will allow you to consistently win over 50% of your trades. A high quality price action setup allows you to set and forget your trading while still giving you a higher than 50% chance of winning any given setup. What this means is that with price action and risk reward you have a nearly stress-free way to trade the market; you can wait patiently for obvious price action setups that develop from
confluent areas and/or in trending markets, enter a risk reward of 1 to 2, and walk away until the trade is closed. If you actually do this with discipline, by only taking obvious price action setups and rigidly implementing a risk reward of at least 1 to 2, you will become profitable over a series of trades. Other than being able to control your emotions and remaining disciplined enough on a consistent basis to not over-leverage or over-trade and implement proper risk reward on every trade, the biggest variable that can influence your trading success is whether or not you know what your edge is and when you should trade it. This is where proper forex trading education on a high-probability trading strategy like price action comes in. I have been successfully using simple yet effective price action setups to trade the markets now for years. When you combine price action setups with a thorough knowledge of risk reward implementation and a mastery of trading plain vanilla price charts, you will begin to think like a professional trader. Pro traders see the market in a completely different way than amateurs do; they do not over complicate anything. First they check the market to see if their trading edge is present; if it is not present then they leave the computer or not look at the charts for a period of time, typically at least 4 hours. If their trading edge is present, they will then move on to the next factor to check; whether or not a risk reward of at least 1 to 2 is logically attainable. If a risk reward of 1 to 2 is attainable then they enter the trade and walk away, that’s it. The reason a professional trader thinks and trades like this is because they don’t get attached to any one trade; they know that each trade is just one out of a series of many that they must take in order to see their edge play out. Amateur traders get caught up on each trade; they react to the emotion of each loser or winner because they simply cannot see the forest for the trees, typically due to a lack of experience and insight.
