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The Pitt Building, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, United Kingdom
The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge CB2 2RU, UK 40 West 20th Street, New York, NY 10011-4211, USA 477 Williamstown Road, Port Melbourne, VIC 3207, Australia Ruiz de Alarcón 13, 28014 Madrid, Spain Dock House, The Waterfront, Cape Town 8001, South Africa http://www.cambridge.org © Cambridge University Press 2004 First published in printed format 1999 ISBN 0-511-03747-3 eBook (Adobe Reader) ISBN 0-521-44235-4 hardback ISBN 0-521-44746-1 paperback
Paradigm (fundamental assumptions about the world)
Concepts
Propositions
Theories
Theories
Concepts
Propositions
Theories
Propositions
Theories
Theories
Core National power— conf/coopa 1 Alliances—conf/coop 2 Any other combination of the above 3 Central topics—noncentral topics 4 Noncentral—central topics 5 Noncentral—noncentral 6
Outside paradigm: Any central or noncentral topic coupled with a nonrealist topic Any topic not studied exclusively on nation-states a
First topic is an independent variable; second is a dependent variable
1,650 1,600 1,400
74.9% 1,236
1,200 y c n e u q e r F
1,000 800 25.1% 414
600 400 200 11
12
Realist Nonrealist
100 90
94.0% 7,356
n = 7,827
80 70 y c n e u q e r F
60 50 40 30 20 10 0
6.0% 471 Realist Nonrealist
Independent variables
100 90
94.2% 7,372
n = 7,827
80 70 y c n e u q e r F
60 50 40 30 20 10
5.8% 455
0 Realist Nonrealist
Dependent variables
100 90
92.9% 7,275
n = 7,827
80 70 y c n e u q e r F
60 50 40 30 20 10 0
7.1% 552 Realist Nonrealist
100
93.1% 6,661 83.1% 432
90
) (% y c n e u q e r F
Realist hypotheses = 7,158
80
Nonrealist hypotheses = 520
70
Total = 7,678
60
(Hypothesis 4)
50
Realist
40
Nonrealist
30 20 4.7% 340
10
12.3% 64 1.6% 112
2.9% 15
0.6% 45
1.7% 9
0 2
5
50
(Weak)
75 PPI (B)
100 (Strong)
100 Realist findings = 157 Nonrealist findings = 24
90 80 70 y c n
60
u e q e r F
50
Realist
69.5% 109
Nonrealist 54.2% 13
40
45.8% 11 30.5% 48
30 20 10 5 0 Trivial
Nontrivial
