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Investment decisions and the puzzle of share price movements in capital markets: a case study Ngurah Arya Putrasemadhi University of Wollongong
Putrasemadhi, Ngurah Arya, Investment decisions and the puzzle of share price movements in capital markets: a case study, Doctor of Philosophy thesis, Department of Accounting and Finance, University of Wollongong, 1997. http://ro.uow.edu.au/theses/1020 This paper is posted at Research Online.
APPENDICES
Investment Decisions unci the Puzzle of Share Price
Movements
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page TABLE OF CONTENTS
299
CONFIDENTIALLY NOTE
301
FOREWORDS
302
Appendix No.1: The Use of Case Study Research in Studying Investment Decisions And the Puzzle of Share Price Movements on the Capital Market
304
Appendix No.2: The Development of Economic Policies in Indonesia and its Impact On Development of the Capital Market; A Case Study
313
Appendix No.3: The Influence of Political Economic Policies on Listed Companies: A Case Study on PT Indocement
333
Appendix No.4: The Influence of Political Economic Policies on Listed Companies: A Case Study on PT Bank Duta
341
Appendix No.5: The Use of Fundamental Analysis on Investment Decisions: A Case Study on the Indonesian Capital Market
353
Appendix No.6: The Effect of Counterfeit Shares on Market Activities: A Case Study on the Indonesian Capital Market
Appendix No.7: The Effect of Dividend Announcements on Share Price Movements: 299
361
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
A Case Study on the Indonesian Capital Markets
365
Appendix No.8: Company Listing and Initial Public Offering 1977-1993
375
Appendix No.9: Market Capitalization and Trading Activities 1977-1993
378
Appendix No.10: Trading Activities 1977-1993
379
Appendix No,11: Company Listing, initial Public Offering and Public Ownership Shares 380
Appendix No.12: Daily Composite Stock Price Index 1988-1993
384
Appendix No.13: Market Capitalization, Share Listed and Foreign Ownership Share In Year End 1993
388
Appendix No.14: Share Price Movements in August 1993
394
Appendix No.15: Company Listing and Dividend Earnings 1985-1993
401
Appendix No.16: Overseas Subsidiary Companies of Some Indonesian Group Companies
405
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price
Movements
CONFIDENTIALLY NOTE
Volume Two of this thesis Is strictly confidential and I do not give permission for this volume to be made publicly available and do not give permission for any part of this volume to be quoted.
Ngurah Arya Putrasemadhi
301
investment Decisions and tiie Puzzle of Share Price Movements
FOREWORDS
Part of this study provides some supplementary notes that cover additional infonmation and some supporting evidence related to the phenomena under study. This part is divided into three sections. The first provides additional information concerning the use of alternative research methodology, the methods of studying investment decisions and the information about the public ownership of share. The second provides a case study research on political economy policies, the impact of such policies on the development of the capital market and the listed companies. The last section provides some numerical data that can be used as an additional information in this study.
These three sections are designed in such a manner as to provide a basis for examining the reliability and validity of the arguments under study. Accordingly, a narrative record and documentary evidence are essential and are provided in this study. Due to the research methodology used in this study being interpretive, the use of statistical data is not for examining the phenomena under study, but is only used as supplementary material.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
SECTION ONE
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No.1 THE USE OF CASE STUDY RESEARCH IN STUDYING INVESTMENT DECISIONS AND THE PUZZLE OF SHARE PRICE MOVEMENTS ON THE CAPITAL MARKET
INTRODUCTION
As Stake (1994) stated, some case studies are qualitative, some are not. In this study, the researcher concentrates on a case study where qualitative inquiry dominates, with strong naturalistic, holistic, cultural, and phenomenological interests.
In order to provide reasons for the use of case study research in this study, the first part of this section discusses the use of alternative methodology research; the second part discusses the methods used for collecting data during the progress of the study, and the last part discusses evidence that motivates researchers to use such research.
THE ALTERNATIVE RESEARCH METHODOLOGY USED
The existence of other alternatives in methodology used by many accounting researchers, validated the use of the alternative methodology approach in this study. The interpretive approach, which has been argued in this study, will be examined based on the previous research result of studies that were carried out, by my self, in 1990 and 1991 and the historical development of the capital market. In the previous research studies, a quantitative method as a methodology approach in this study was used to collect and analyse the data under study. One of the results indicated that investors, during the period of study, hardly depended on information provided by the listed companies. An examination of the importance of information needed by investors is indicated in Table 1.1.
By classifying items of information disclosed in annual reports into 5 scale, from not very important to very, and which are taken into account in making investment decisions, this study found that the mean score of information used was more than 3.5. In other words.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
investors considered that the information disclosed in financial reports by the listed companies was important for making investment decisions.
Table 1.1 An Analysis of the Importance of Information Used by Investors No.
Information Used
A.
Financial Information : Earnings per share Rate of return required on projects Cash Flow Projections Allowance for doubtful debts Breakdown and analysis of operating expenses Breakdown of operating expenses into fixed and variables Comparative Income Statement for two years Comparative Balance Sheet for two years Statement of Earned Surplus Statement of Cash Flows/Source and Application of Funds Summary of Important Financial Statistics Sales breakdown by division in Consolidated Statement Capital Expenditure amount for current year Description of type of Capital Expenditure planned Research and development expenditure amount for current year Details of Outstanding Stock Issues Information on Tax (deferred tax and tax expenses) Non Financial Information General Information on the impact of inflation on the company Statement on Future Dividend Policies Share of market in major areas of activities Description of Management List of Directors Sales order backlogs Number of Share holders Notaries Deed and approval of Minister of Justice Basis of Accounting Used Narrative History of company Information on corporate social responsibility Discussion on research and development program Sales separated by major product lines Discussion of major factors affecting future business Superannuating policies Other employee benefit policies Basic Policy and Objectives of Management Average Mean Score:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 B. 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34
Mean Scores 4.40 4.34 4.00 3.53 3.93 3.61 4.23 4.17 3.85 4.29 3.47 3.58 3.44 3.52 3.20 3.52 4.11 3.70 3.91 4.23 4.38 4.08 3.02 3.97 3.70 4.00 3.08 3.08 3.32 3.41 4.26 2.79 3.11 3.58 3.91
Source : Ngurah research study (1990): A Personal Document
In fact, by analysing historical data on the development of the capital market in Indonesia, as indicated in Chapter 12 , it can be concluded that, before the enactment of the
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
full disclosure concept by BAPEPAM, information provided by corporate reporting practices in the market was less-reliable and valid. Such conditions existed due to market abuse during the period before the enactment of such full disclosure concept. For further discussion see: Chapter 12 - The Influence of Political and Socio-Economic Factors on Investment Decisions and Appendix No.2 and 3 - The Influence of Political Economic Policies on Listed Companies.
The lack of reliability and validity of information provided by corporate reporting practices was also supported by personal interviews of some corporate managers, such as PT Taspen, PT Astek, based on personal interview during the period of the study in 1993. Before 1993, investors in the capital market mostly did not use information provided by corporate reporting practices as primary sources of information in making economic decisions in the capital market. However, after 1993, although investors were still influenced by market sentiment, some of them used financial reports in making investment decisions in the market. Accordingly, this study supports some previous results which argued that the less there was regulation in the market, the less investors used financial reports as a primary source of information in making investment decisions.
Moreover, the lack of reliability of data can also be indicated from the results studies in 1990 on the public ownership of shares of listed companies on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX). Based on mailing questionnaires, this study found that the public ownership of shares was above 30%, as indicated in Table 1.2. But when the data was calculated, even with data of all companies' shares in 1993 provided by the regulator (BAPEPAM), this study found that, on average, the public ownership of shares was, in fact, less than 30%, as indicated in Appendix No.11 in this study.
THE METHOD USED IN THIS STUDY
As mentioned in Chapter 3, the research was conducted in the field under interpretive study which is considered the most suitable approach in order to understand the phenomena
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
under study. Moreover, this study argues that the methodology procedures that are matched with this study are an archaeology of phenomena during the period of the 1960s to 1993. As proposed by some researchers participation observation (PO), open ended interview (Ol) and personal documents (PD) are the main methods used in collecting.
In order to have a better
understanding of the phenomena under study, besides
these general methods used by some researchers, participation direct testing (PDT) is also implemented in this study. This method asks the researcher to act as an active subject in the field. In this case, the researcher has to come to the capital market and acts as a naive investor who, directly, carries out certain activities from beginning to end. In this study those activities in the market are carried out as follows:
As stated in the previous paragraphs, besides those methodology procedures proposed by many researchers, the researcher (my-self) used participation direct testing (PDT) in order to examine the reliability and validity of the data. Accordingly, on 3 January 1994, I acted as an active investor and bought 1 (one) lot of shares which was equal to 500 shares of PT Texmaco Jaya , in the IPO stage. See Figure 1.1 -
PT Texmaco Share- a
Personal Document. In the IPO stage this company's shares had a nominal value of Rp 500,000.00 and a real value of Rp 2,075,000.00. In the case of developing capital market, one of the reasons for buying shares in the IPO stage was in the IPO stage the market is argued as being the most efficient market for the shares. This argument was also supported by some researchers of the capital market. Accordingly, the best alternative for buying shares in such a capital market is at the IPO stage. After this stage, the shares will be determined by supply and demand forces in the market and will be mostly influenced by market sentiment.
It is also generally accepted that the price on the primary market is the lowest price. Most investors, especially individual investors, come to the market to buy shares at this stage. In order to prevent the shares from being bought by only some investors, the regulators built a system whereby a person could buy only one lot of shares at the IPO stage, so that the purpose of going public was maintained.
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Investment Decisions 5nd the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Please see print copy for image
Figure 1.1 - PT TEXMACO share: A Personal Document
A month later, after applying and registering in the representative's office of the underwriter, I and other investors received those shares. At every step, I saw that the people who came to the maricet were mostly ordinary people. This was an interesting event which caused me to wonder whether they were really investors or something else. I believe that
308
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
those people are not real investors. In other words, they came to the market in the interest of the real investors. They hoped to get some money from the investors for acting as agents of their principals. Therefore, I asked questions as to why those people bought shares in the capital market.
Quite a long interview with this kind of pseudo investor, eventually made me come to the conclusion that firstly, they were only representatives of the real investors ; secondly, the investors attempted to manipulate the system that had been constructed by the regulators. It was likely that they wanted to have more than one lot of shares as required by law. Thirdly, the researcher concluded that, from the beginning, the investors apparently wanted to manipulate the system.
THE PUBLIC OWNERSHIP OF SHARES
As mentioned above, from the beginning people tended to manipulate the role of the capital market, by creating pseudo investors at the IPO stage. Such intention caused violation of the mission of going public in the market. Such violation can also be analysed from the other members of the market such as the owners. The owners of companies, especially privately held companies, also want to manipulate the mission in their own interests by listing their shares at less than 50%. If the public ownership of shares were less than 50% of the total of a company's shares in the market, the major shareholders could control the company without any pressure from the minor shareholders (the public).
Table 1.2 shows that the number of stocks owned by the public, in 1990, was too small. This condition was also indicated in 1993. Based on the Indonesian Capital Market Directory (1994), the average total of stocks that was owned by the public in 1993 was still less than 30%. For further discussion see Appendix No.11 - Company Listing, Initial Public Offering and Public Ownership Share.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 1.2 Number of Stocks Owned by the Public and Quality Disclosure
Numbers of Stocks Owned by •mif '., the p\jtoMmmmm0mm Less than 20% 2 0 - 30% more than 30% Total
Number of Companies
Mean Disclosure : l » i Msasmi
25 20 18 63
3.69 3.86 3.75
Source: Ngurah research studies 1990: A Personal Document.
Table 1.2 also indicates that the disclosure information provided by companies, as one of the indicators of the efficiency of the capital market, also varies. Company stocks that were less than 20 percent owned by the public, provide less information than the companies that were 20-30 per cent owned by the public. However, the companies that were owned by more than 30 per cent of the public provide less information than the companies that were 20-30 percent owned by the public. This indicates that public companies, apparently, were not under pressure from the public about the fact that information should be disclosed in financial statements. In fact, from the historical development of the capital market in Indonesia, there was no pressure from the public on listed companies up to 1993, even in 1991 bearish market, when the share prices dropped below the initial share price at the IPO stage. In this period of bearish market there was no intervention at all by listed companies. The major shareholders were not concerned with share price movements. Their only concern was with how to get easy money from the public by listing in the market.
CONCLUSION
Firstly, By examining the previous research that used questionnaires in collecting and analysing data, it can be concluded that the quantitative method did not confirm some of the information about the real situation (the real worid) that existed in the capital market. A case study research in the interpretive approach then was chosen as an alternative methodology and methods used in this study.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Secondly, this study provides some reasons for the use of such a case study research in understanding the phenomena under study. This case study research was examined from its historical perspective and unstructured interviews and other methods in collecting data on some investors were chosen as to this study being interpretive.
Thirdly, this study also provides some evidence of the reliability and validity of the data. By examining the public ownership of shares in the previous research study and then comparing this study to the current situation indicated that data in the previous research study was less reliable than the data found in the current research study.
Fourthly, this study also provides some evidence that the public ownership of shares were less than 50%. This condition indicated that the market tended to be inefficient.
T n n n o f^X^nPOAS 9
^^^
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
SECTION TWO
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No.2 THE DEVELOPMENT OF ECONOMIC POLICIES IN INDONESIA AND ITS IMPACT ON DEVELOPMENT OF THE CAPITAL MARKET: A CASE STUDY
INTRODUCTION
As mentioned in the previous chapters, this study argues that there are three interrelated factors which influence investors in making investment decisions in the capital market. Those factors, ie. political, economic and socio-economic, have been discussed widely in previous chapters. This section attempts to provide a summary of government policies underiying such factors and examines its impact on the historical development of the capital market in Indonesia, by making a logical association between the issue of government policies and the development of the capital market in Indonesia.
This section is divided into three parts. The first part outlines the history of political economic policies. The second part outlines the trend of some macro economic factors that describe the socio economic conditions in Indonesia; and the third part confirms the impact of the development of political economic policies on the development of the capital market.
THE GOVERNMENT POLICIES
Between 1983 and 1990 many policy reforms were made by the Indonesian Government. These reforms were intended to achieve the national goals of this country. One of these related to the development of the capital market. Under the umbrella of historical perspective, the policy reforms are listed in Table 2.1. Such policies covered many sectors, such as monetary, tax or fiscal policies, capital market and investment policies.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 2.1. Summary of Government Policies 1983-1990
Year
1983
Policy Description
Cancelling large and capital intensive government projects. (May 1983)
[2].
Major cutback in government spending.
[2]
Rupiah devalued by 28 %. (March 1983)
[3]
Removing interest rates and credit ceilings on state banks forced the banking system toward market-price basis operations. (June 1983)
1984
[3]
New Tax laws implemented. (January 1984)
[2]
Presidential Instruction No.5/1984 issued. Instructing Ministries to relax licensing requirements for private businesses.
1985
[5]
Presidential Instruction No.4/1985 issued. Suspending the authority of the Customs Agency and assigning a Swiss firm, Societe Generale de Surveillance (SGS), to handle inspections and assessments of import duties [6] and [4].
1986
Measures to provide internationally-priced inputs to exporters. Tariff paid to the government can be reclaimed after the realisation of exports. Bonded zones were opened .
[4]
Rupiah devalued by 34%. (September 1986)
[1]
314
[4]
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Policy Description
Year
Some reductions of non-tariff barriers on imports. (October 1986)
[4]
Relaxation of foreign investment regulations. Allowing
foreign investors
to buy shares in existing companies. Equal treatment between PMA and PMDN firms in receiving credit for export activities from domestic banking institutions; Local content program was reduced. (May and October 1986)
[5]
Restraints on civil service employment and salaries.
1987
[2]
Substantial reduction of non-tariff barriers on imports. (January 1977)
[4]
Further relaxation of tariff and non tariff barriers. [4]
(December 1987)
Further relaxation of investment licensing requirements. Time schedule for the Indonesianisation program was extended. The Investment Priority List (DSP) requirements were relaxed. (December 1987)
[4]
Deregulation of the capital market's listing requirements, abolition of price control, and allowing foreign investors to participate in the market. (December 1987)
1988
[7]
Substantial liberalisation of financial markets. New entry permitted into banking business. Benchmarking regulations for banks and NBFI were relaxed. Authorisation for the establishment of foreign joint venture banks.
(October 1988)
[3] and [5]
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Year
1988
Policy Description
State owned enterprises were permitted to put 50% of deposits in private banks and NBFIs. (October 1988)
[3] and [6]
Swap premium of foreign currencies was attached to a market
based
formula, and its maturity was lengthened. (October 1988)
[3]
Imposing of legal lending limits on banks and NBFIs. (October 1988)
[3] and [6]
Imposing 15 % withholding tax on the interest of time deposits. (October 1988)
[2] and [7]
Deregulation of maritime activities. Further reduction of no-tariff barrier (November 1988)
[4]
Further liberalisation of capital markets. Danareksa's dominant role over the market was abolished. Private stock exchanges were authorised. The OTC market was permitted.
(December 1988)
[6] and [7]
Authorisation of the establishment of new finance companies (including foreign joint ventures which activities included leasing, venture capital, securities business, factoring, consumer financing and credit cards). (December 1988)
1989
[3], [6] and [7j
Further liberalisation of financial markets. Eliminates the ceiling on offshore loans by banks and NBFIs. Eliminates the requirement for the Central
Bank's approval on medium and long term loans. (March 1989)
[3]
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Year
Policy Description
Reorganise state owned enterprises to become more accountable and independent.
(June 1989)
[6]
Further liberalization of investment policy. The Investment Priority List (DSP) was replaced with a simple "negative list".
(May 1989)
[5]
Allowing securities companies to seek licenses as underwriters.
(November 1989)
1990
[7j
Further liberalisation of financial markets. Credit liquidity from the Central Bank is reduced significantly. Banks are required to allocate 20% of total credits to small, less established enterprises.
(January 1990)
[3]
Further deregulation in international trade : relaxation of import requirements on electronics and medicines.
(May 1990)
[4]
Further liberalisation of the capital market: a new law leading the market into purely private management was passed BAPEPAM's role was changed so that it became a supervisory agency only. (December 1990)
[6] and [7]
Source: Adapted from Worid bank (1993), Strategy fro Growth and Various Regulation Packages
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
These reforms then can be grouped into the following policy categories:
Table 2.2 The Policies Group
No.
Policy Group
Number
1).
Exchange Rate Policies
1
2).
Fiscal Policies
5
3).
Monetary and Financial Policies
8
4).
Trade Policies
8
5).
Investment Policies
4
6).
Institutional Improvement Policies
7
7).
Capital Market Policies
6 39
Total:
From 1991 to 1993, the government accelerated the development of the capital market in Indonesia. The policies of the 1980s were supported by the issue of technical instructions related to exchanges and trading procedures, securities companies, clearing, settlements and depository institutions, custodians, securities administration agencies and individual licensing requirements. These instructions were accomplished by enforcement of full disclosure requirements. By providing complete and timely information on companies when they are listed in the capital market, hopefully this information can be used by investors in making economic decisions in the market and also protecting them against various forms of manipulation.
With regard to the full disclosure requirements, especially in the field of financial reports of companies, BAPEPAM issued regulations contained in Circular Letter of the Chairman of BAPEPAM Number: SE-24/PM/1987, dated 24 December 1987, including Attachment V regarding "Guidelines Concerning the Form and Content of Financial Reports", Attachment VI regarding "Guidelines Concerning Preparation of A Company's Statement Letter in the Field of Accounting to BAPEPAM", Attachment VII regarding "Guidelines Concerning
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Preparation of a Comfort Letter",
Attachment VIII regarding "Guidelines Concerning
Preparation of Annual and Semi-annual Financial Reports", and Circular Letter of the Chainman of BAPEPAM Number: SE -05/PM/1992, dated 18 March 1992, which, in particular, regulated the submission of annual financial reports.
In addition to these kind of regulations, by the end of 1993 the Chairman of BAPEPAM issued five regulations relating to financial reporting and the accounting profession:
1).
Rule Number IX.A.8, as attachment to the Decision Letter of the Chairman of BAPEPAM
Number Kep-283/PM/1992, dated 24 September 1992,
concerning Preemptive Rights
2)
Rule Number IX.D .1, as attachment to the Decision Letter of the Chairman of BAPEPAM Number K e p - 0 1 / P M / 1 9 9 3 , dated 29 January 1993, concerning Conflict of Interest of Certain Transactions 'i
3).
Rule Number I.B.4, as attachment to the Circular Letter of the Chairman of BAPEPAM Number SE -13 / PM /1992, dated 24 September 1993, concerning Explanation on Guidelines regarding Statement and Disclosure on Bonus Shares.
4).
Letter of the Chairman of BAPEPAM Number S-296/PM/1993, dated 4 March 1993 concerning the Responsibility to Submit a Consolidated Financial Report.
5).
Letter of the Chairman of BAPEPAM Number S-297/PM/1993, dated 4 March 1993, concerning the Implementation of the definition of Affiliations in the Financial Statements.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
THE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
One of the factors considered important in understanding the development of the capital market is the effect of political economic policies on economic performance. Economic performance, by and large, is measured by the degree of gross domestic product, the rate of inflation, poverty and income per capita. Summary of principal macro economic performances are Indicated in Tables 2.3.
Table 2.3 Summary of Principal Macro economics indicators : Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Inflation Rates per year
GDP 1)
Inflation Rate 2)
1973-82 (average)
7.5
18.2
1983-85 (average)
6.0
9.0
1986-88 (average)
5.4
8.6
1989
7.5
1990
7.2
7.4
1991
6.9
9.2
1992
6.4
7.5
1993
6.5
10.2
Period
)
6.5
Source : 1) BPS ; 2) IMF
Table 2.3 indicates that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) varied between 1973 and 1993. However, average growth still exceeded 6%. Compared to other Asian countries, as indicated in Table 2.4. Indonesian GDP growth in 1993 was the best after Hongkong, but bellow that of Malaysia. This good economic performance was also supported by a low inflation rate of below 10%, as indicated in Table 2.3.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 2.4 The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Asia Countries in 1993
Please see print copy for image
Source: Kompas, 10 November 1994
Moreover, Indonesia has achieved the most impressive records in fertility reduction and also in reducing poverty during the past two decades. This is due to the decrease in the growth population rate and the increase in income per capita as indicated in Table 2.5.
Table 2.5 Population, Growth Rate and Income per capita
Please see print copy for image
Source: United Nations: Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific. (March 1995).
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
However, further examination of the income per capita indicated that the income per capita in $US terms, increased from 1980 to 1992 and then declined in 1993. Figure 2.1 described trend of the income per capita and the growth rate of the population from 1980-1993
Trend of income percapita in $US
Growth Rate •Income Percapita ($US)
^g ss 0ss )0) ~
—
f^ , -
(^
OO T -
O) O) oo
,-
Figure 2.1 Trend of income per capita in $US
Although Indonesia had good economic performance as indicated in Tables 2.3, 2.4, and 25, however, according to the Worid Bank (1994), the Indonesia macro economics situation remains sensitive, due to its large external debt. As indicated in the Worid Bank report (1994), Indonesia is the sixth largest debtor to the World Bank. The external outstanding debts increased each year and, by the end of 1993, as indicated in Table 2.6, the total amount of Indonesian debt was $US8Q,591.8 million.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 2.6 Indonesian Outstanding External Debt 1990-1993 (in millions of $US)
Please see print copy for image
Source: Bank Indonesia (1995)
Moreover, the low amount of non-oil and gas revenues, as indicated in Table 2.7, made the revenue sectors more sensitive. The drop in oil prices will significantly affect the revenue generated from oil and gas. Trend of the oil, gas and non-oil, gas revenues during the period 1979-1993 is as follows:
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 2.7 Summary of External Sectors : Oil & Gas Exports and Non-Oil & Gas Exports
1
Periods
Oil & Gas (1) (in million of US$) 9.9 15.0 8.2 8.7 11.1 10.9 10.7 9.7
1 1973-82 (average) 1 1983-85 (average) I 1986-88 (average) 1 1989 1 1990 1 1991 1 1992 1 1993
Price, $/bbl (2) 18.7 27.9 15.0 17.9 22.4 18.3 18.6 16.6
Non-Oil & Gas (1) (in million of US$) 3.5 5.6
\ | 1 1
8.9 1 13.5 14.3 18.2 23.3 27.1
1 1 1 1 1
1 Source : 1)BPS ; 2) World Bank report (1994)
From Table 2.7
it can be indicated that between 1973 and 1985 Indonesia I
experienced good economic performance in the oil and gas sectors. However, between 1986 and 1988, oil and gas prices dropped to 15 $US /bbl. Considering the changing economic conditions, the need for economic reforms became a priority. The government, by and large, since 1988 started to loosen some regulations in the financial sector. Massive market reforms then were commenced by the government since this period.
From its historical development, such reforms began to undertook in 1983, a reform that related to the tax policies. By implementing self assessment methods in calculating tax expenses, the government
expected revenues from taxes can be increased. After the tax
reforms, in. 1988, a radical development was made to the banking industries. The government loosened some requirements relating to reserve requirements and also to lending limits and made possible of the opening of branches or offices by banks in Indonesia.
This radical
development was also made to the capital market by abolishing the role of PT Danareksa and loosened some requirements relating to the listed procedures in the market.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Moreover, in 1990 some policy reforms were also directed to the other sectors (the non-financial sectors) in order to motivate some investors to invest their money in Indonesia. Those reforms were directed to achieving stable economic growth and a low inflation rate. In fact as indicated in Table 2.3, the economic growth and the inflation rate were stiil considered manageable.
THE CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT
The role of the capital market in Indonesia, as has been argued in this study, has a strong association with the political economic policies of the country. From its historical development, it has been shown that there was a long period of stagnation between 1983 and 1989, as indicated in Figure 2.2, due to only a few
political economic policies being
directed to the development of the capital market. The government begins to accelerate the development of political economic policies after the market having such stagnation.
1,
It as been argued in this study, that before this period, the government reopened the capital market in order to dampen down the crisis between indigenous people (pribumi) and non-indigenous people (Chinese). The government started to liberalise the market in 1988 by abolishing the role of PT Danareksa, the National Trust Fund company in 1988, as the only one trust fund that operated in the market.
Figure 2.2. The Long Period of Stagnation 1984-1988
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Efforts to develop the capital market existed due to the change in external factors that caused a drop in oil prices since 1989. However, there were some among corporate managers who doubted the ability of
the government to control economic policies. The
corporate managers argued that the government was inconsistent and was still at the stage of trial and error. Accordingly, there is a need to conveys the corporate managers that the government will be consistent with its objective.
After the government diminished the role of PT. Danareksa and campaigned on the benefit of dealing in the capital market, there was a first market boom, in the history of capital market development in Indonesia. As indicated in Figure 2.3a-c, in the beginning of 1990 any company that was listed on the capital market expanded dramatically.
Trend of the Listed Companies 1988-1993
0)
.a E
Year
3
•—Number
>-
Figure 2.3a Trend of the Listed Companies 1988-1993
Figure 2.3a, indicated the significant increased of the listed companies in the market. The number of the listed companies increased more than 100% in 1990. Figure 2.3b and 2.3c also indicated the increasing amount of market capitalisation and trading activities in 1990, due to the increasing number of company listed in the market.
326
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Trend of the Market Capitalization and the Listed Companies 1988-1993 70,000,000 '-60,000,000 - - 50,000,000 - - 40,000,000 • - 30,000,000 ' - 20,000,000 -- 10,000,000
0 1988
1989
1990 1991
1992
1993
Number Of Listed Companies Market Capitalization (OOO.OOO)
Year
Figure 2.3b. Trend of the Market capitalisation and the Listed Companies 1988-1993
Trend of the Trading Activities and the Listed Companies 1988-1993
« 3
> V .Q
E 3 Z
180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
20,000,000
/H'
- •
15,000,000 10,000,000
:•::••'•
1
-- 5,000,000
ra 1 W 1988
1989
) W 1
1990
1991
'
1992
1 ^
Number Of Listed Companies Trading Activities (000.000')
-
1993
Year
Figure 2.3c trend of the Trading Activities and the Listed Companies 1988-1993
Moreover, the share prices of such companies also increase significantly. As indicated in Figure 2.4 the composite stock price index in April 1990 reached a highest of 650, an index which the market has never reached since the market was reopened in 1978. However, the bearish market was not longer. The period of 1990s also were marked by the market crash in October 1981. In this period the composite stock price index reached a lowest of below 250,
327
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
which the market never had, as indicated in Figure 2.5. For further discussion see also Appendix no.12.
Trend of the Monthly Composite Stock Price Index 1990
c
Hig ]Lo -Clo
Figure 2.4 Trend of the Monthly Composite Stock Price Index in 1990
Trend of the Monthly of Stock Price Index 1991 450,000
X
u c
Figure 2.5, Trend of the Daily of Composite Stock Price Index in 1991
328
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
The period after 1991 was considered as a further step in the development of the capital market in Indonesia. After having succeeded in attracting people come to the market, following which small investors suffered due to the market crash, the government arrived at the second stage of development, being a law enforcement program. Since this period, the interests of small investors became its main concern. The small investors were protected by law enforcement programs and a full disclosure concept was one of the criteria to be followed by listed companies.
When law enforcement was implemented in a more committed way, some companies and other supporting members were fined, while others were excluded from the activities of the market. Although some analysts predicted that the market would become efficient after this, it still did not attract the interest of individual investors. Individual or small investors still perceived the market as being a "lemon". Moreover, the low increases in share prices, the low dividends and the high possibility of making losses, caused individual investors to consider that it was more beneficial to put their money in a bank rather than buying and selling shares in the market.
On the other hand, the low income per capita as indicated in Table 2.5 and the high rate of interest of banks as indicated in Chapter 7 in this study were also argued as symptoms that strengthened the slow development of the capital market in Indonesia, after the period of bearish market in 1991. Figure 2.8 to Figure 2.11 described such development. For further discussion see also Appendix No. 8 to 10 and 12
Trend of the Listed Companies, January-December 1993 175 170 S 165 4E 160 i 155150 -145 -
W m C (0
J3 a>
! 5
s
) <
5
^ > 5
>
< 3
l
> T
P i
I
I
m^m.m > < <
0 ) W
D . O
Q Number
-
H Z
> 0 Q
Month
Figure 2.8 Trend of the Listed Companies in January-December 1993
329
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Trend of the Market Capitalization and the Listed Companies January-December 1993
I Number Of Listed Companies •^-O m r? ^ TO < U 5 S - ™
<» C
>• S
O) 73
-fi -fi > S " r ^ 5
O <"
• Marl
Month
Figure 2.9, Trend of the Market Capitalisation and the listed Companies January-December 1993
Trend of the Trading Activities and the Listed Companies January-December 1993
0)
.a E
I Number Of Listed Companies •Trading Activities (000.000')
Month
Figure 2.10 Trend of the Trading Activities and the Listed Companies January-December 1993
330
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Trend of the Composite Stock Price Index in 1993
Figure 2.11 Trend of the Composite Stock Price Index in 1993
CONCLUSION
The role of government policy in the process of economic development in Indonesia has become more and more appreciated. The Worid Bank report (1994) stated that Indonesia's economic performance had been one of the best in the developing world. Over the past 25 years, average Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth exceeded 6%, inflation averaged less than 10% and the growth rate of the population declined to 1.7 in 1993 as indicated in Table 2.4 and 2.5.
This section discussed the historical development of political economic policies and their impact on the development of the capital market. From a historical view point, it is argued that there is an association between the development of political economic policies and the development of the capital market.
From 1983 to 1988 the government issued 39
regulations, and of these 15 were
issued in 1988. As indicated in Table 2.1. the government instituted overall political economic
331
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
policies that covered monetary, taxation, investment and trading policies. These policies were mainly concerned with the problems of the financial sector. These kinds of reform supported the development of the capital market in Indonesia and caused a significant development of the capital market during 1989 and 1990.
Figure 2.2 to 2.4 indicated the increasing number of listed companies and the market activities existed from 1983 to 1990. However, from 1991 to 1993, there had been no significant development on the market due to the market being bearish. The govemment's efforts
have been directed to reconciling the members of the market and the market
activities, including maintaining the enforcement programs and the full disclosure concept.
332
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No.3 THE INFLUENCE OF POLITICAL ECONOMIC POLICIES ON LISTED COMPANIES: A CASE STUDY ON PT INDOCEMENT
INTRODUCTION
As mentioned in Chapter 7(Section 7.5) and Chapter 9(Section 9.6), before 1983 the government of Indonesia was extensively involved in allocating and regulating credits. This involvement was intended to support various sectors of the economy that were considered to have high priority within the government's industrial policies. In this way Bank Indonesia, is a coordinating or central bank that provides concessionary loans for a wide range of economic activities. This includes 21 sectors of economic activities, including, production of cement, foods, textiles, papers and tourism. The rate of interest that is offered by the bank for these activities ranges from 9 to 15 percent, and for non priorities, from 20 to 22 percent.
The availability of such concessionary loans or credits first of all created a new corporate community that wanted to set up new business under such loans. However, due to the lack of control of the loans, the corporate community might switch to other non-targeted activities. As a result, there were also significant developments in other business activities in the country. In quite a short period of time, new conglomerates emerged. These conglomerates were affiliated with quite a few of companies. Shin (1989) reported that, in 1986, the forty-one (41) largest private groups of companies controlled 1,630 affiliates. Some of these groups also operated their own banking subsidiaries. For instance, the Salim Group, the biggest conglomerate in Indonesia, at that time controlled Bank Central Asia (BCA), the biggest private bank in Indonesia. For further discussion see also Appendix No. 16
Considering the nature of these loans, it is very difficult for the government to control
the corporate managers in allocating these funds for a specific goal. On the other hand, it is easily conceivable for conglomerates, for instance the Salim group, to receive concessionary credit from the government program for its cement and food production industries and then
333
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
divert the funds to other non targeted industries which are still controlled by the same group. This allegation was a widely-discussed issue in the country before the 1990s.
The expanding of companies into big corporations without prudent financing investments, in some cases, caused those companies eg. PT Indocement, to have problems relating to their financial condition.
PT Indocement, an affiliate of the giant Salim group
conglomerate, in 1985 experienced a severe financial crisis, which required
government
intervention to bail it out. The bail out of this company was also mentioned by President Suharto recently, when he made a speech in July 1995 in Surabaya. This kind of crisis it was argued by the analysts, was due to the over exposure to foreign-dominated funds without sufficient swap protection.
With the open exchange system and a fully convertible currency, the government has limited ability to curb these kinds of overseas borrowing's without any exchange rate system. For further discussion see Table 7.5.1 in Chapter 7. In order to prevent this condition, since October 1988, the government has changed the swap-premium from a fixed rate to a market based formula. With this change, the swap-premium is set as the difference between average domestic deposits and the corresponding US dollar at the LIBOR interest rate.
THE HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
An overview of the historical background of this company revealed that, currently, PT Indocement fs the largest cement producer in Indonesia. This company was founded in 1985 under the name PT Distinct Indocement Enterprise. The company owns 8 factories located on 200 ha of land in Citeureup, Cibinong, Paliaman, Cirebon with production capacity of 8.9 million tons per annum, consisting of 8.7 million tons of grey cement and 0.2 million tons of white cement. This company has limestone reserves for more than
200 years from its
concession of 5,000 ha of land adjacent to the plants in Citeureup together with 300 ha of land next to its plant in Paliaman, Cirebon.
334
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Soon after its crisis in 1985, PT Indocement obtained a concessionary loan from the government and then, on 12 June 1989, the company was listed on the Indonesian capital market with an offering price of Rp 10,000, the total listed shares of which were 89,832,150 units. This was the second opportunity for the company to obtain easy money, after it had received money from the concessionary loans in the 1980s. According to its prospectus, the money from the public, together with loans from the major shareholders, would be used by the company for strengthening its financial position. However, in fact, after being listed on the capital market, this company, besides restructuring its financial position, began to expand its line of businesses.
In 1991 the company took over 100% of the shares of PT Tridaya Manunggal Semen. In 1992 the company acquired a 100% stake in PT Bogasari Flour Mills, which had a monopoly in wheat flour, at a cost of Rp 1,170 billion; a 51% stake in Indofood Group at a cost of Rp 777 billion and a 100% stake in PT Perwick Agung, which owns Wisma Indocement, at a cost of Rp 113.7 billion. The company is a member of the Salim Group. The shareholders of this company currently are PT Mekar Perkasa (42.40%), the Indonesian Government (25.93%), PT Citrabuana Dirgapuri (12.75%) and the Public (18.92%).
An examination of the financial statements of this company for the past five years indicates that, before its listing, it experienced severe losses: 77,979 ; 95,011; 48,331 billion rupiahs respectively in 1988, 1987 and 1986 as indicated in Table 3.1- A Financial Summary of the Past Five Years. However, after its listing on the market, the company made profits, amounting to 12,587(million rupiahs) in 1989 and 250,122 (million rupiahs) in 1990 as indicated in Table 3.1. After 1990, the company, as indicated in Table 3.2. - A Summary of Financial Statements, also made profits amounting to 308,674 ; 327,393, and 312,388 respectively in 1991, 1992 and 1993.
335
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 3.1 A Financial Summary of The Past Five Years (Amount in Rp'000,000, Except per Share Data and Number of Employees)
Please see print copy for image
Source: Annual Report 1990
As indicated in Article No. 22 of
the Company's Articles of Incorporation, the
company will issue dividends if it earns a profit and will pay dividends at least once a year. An analysis of its dividend policy indicated that there was no dividend announcement to the public by 1990 for the profit in 1989. At a meeting on 25 January 1991, the Board of Directors declared an interim dividend of Rp 150 per share for the years 1990/1991 payable on 15 March 1991 based on shares outstanding as at 21 February 1991.
336
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 3.2 A Summary of Financial Statements (million rupiah) Total Asset Current Assets of which Time deposits Trade Receivable Inventory Investment Fixed Assets-Net Other Assets Liabilities Current Liabilities of which Bank borrowing's Trade Payable Current maturates of Long term Debt Long Term Liabilities of which Bank borrowings Convertible Bonds Liabilities to affiliates Minority Interest in Subsidiaries Shareholders' Equity Paid up capital Paid up capital in excess of par value Retained Earnings Net Sales Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Operating Profit Other Income (Expenses) Profit before Taxes Profit after Taxes Per Share Data (Rp) Earning per share Equity per share Dividend oer share Closing share price Financial Ratios PER (X) PBV Dividend Payout (%) Dividend Yield (%) Current Ratio (x) Debt to Equity (x) Leverage Ratio (x) Gross Profit Margin (x) Operating Profit Margin (x) Net Profit Margin (x) Inventory turn over (x) Total Assets Turnover (x) ROI (%) ROE (%)
:iiKS:>:1 991 :::..:: ., .: 1992 : . ., ^::.:.::: 1 ^ 2,151,192 5,054.028 4,795,191 663,833 824,562 983,759 404,239 35,527 168,797 45,603 1,356,479 85,277 634,003 144,137
64,750 231,619 342,257 750,162 2,842,988 218,281 3,055,413 973,885
4,816 234,011 329,634 738,437 3,126,777 364,252 3,151,583 1,182,797
34,607 16,659 59,399 489,866
498,228 173,134 166,533 2,000,799
639,549 165,998 242,596 1,829,398
34,607 145,950 1,517,189 598,881 650.090 268,217 771,319 418,273 353,046 42,865 310,181 ( 1,508) 308,674 308,674
498,228 154,650 17,201 80,729 1,739,778 598,881 650,090 490,806 2,206,114 1,409,431 796,683 234,526 562,158 ( 148,299) 413,858 327,393
635,549 158,250 121,154 139,387 1,902,445 598,881 650,090 653,474 2,890,384 1,888,554 1,001,830 298,489 703,342 ( 282,996) 420,345 312,388
515 2,533 325J 9,400 18,24 3,71 63,06 12,83 4,61 0,42 0,29 0,46 0,40 0,40 2,48 0,36 14,35 20,35
PER= 31.63; PBV=5.19x Financial Year: December 31 Source: Indonesian Capital Market Directory 1994
337
547
522
2,905
3,177
250
-
10,350
15,400
18,93 3,56 45,73 8,61 1.01 1,76 0,64 0,36 0,25 0,15 4,12 0,46 6,83 18,82
29,52 4,85
0,70 1,66 0,62 0,35 0.24 0,11 5,73 0,57 6,18 16,42
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
After this period, as indicated in the Summary of Financial Statements, the company declared a cash dividend of Rp 200 per share for the profit in 1991 and 1992. The share price movement after its listing, as shown in Table 3.2, increased by 10% in 1989 and 50% in 1990, due to the bullish market in those years. Most of the listed shares experienced dramatic increases in price before the bearish market of 1991. However, with the bearish market, this company's share prices were corrected by a significant amount, especially in September 1991. This company's shares were corrected to more than 30% below the price at the IPO stage, as indicated in Table 3.3 - Stock Prices, Number and Value of Shares Traded. Some capital market observers argued that there was a crash in the capital market in Indonesia due to the drop in share prices by more than 50% for all listed shares. Apparently, this crash also affected the share prices of this company.
Table 3.3 Stock Price, Number and Value of Shares Traded Month
January'91 February March April May June July August September October November December
Hi (RP> 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 11,250 11,300 10,200 7,600 9,300 9,400
Stock Price Low Close (Rp) (Rp) 10,400 12,700 10,400 13,550 10,400 12,400 10,400 13,150 10,400 12,700 10,400 10,900 10,400 9,750 10,050 10,050 7,400 7,300 7,150 7,550 7,400 9,150 9,400 8,300
Shared Traded Value Number (million Rp> COOO) 1,643 22,681,934 59,909,860 4,481 17,206,090 1,318 2,655 35,030,475 24,935,580 1,936 26,393,345 2,153 38,528,795 3,780 34,561,750 3,208 39,037,145 4,098 1,636 12,052,035 2,406 20,909,195 5,009 44,690,435
Source: Personal data.
As indicated in Table 3.3, the share price of this company dropped dramatically (by more than 30%), during the bearish market, in September 1991. The price of this share was Rp 7,400 in September 1991 and by the end of 1991, its price was still below the initial price offering (Rp 10.000). The share price of this company on 31 December 1991 was Rp 9,400.
338
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
However, after 1993 the share price of the company experienced a steady growth as indicated in Table 3.4. It is generally accepted that 1993 was the turning point of the company's share in the market. The turning point, of course, existed if the shares were undervalued in the market. All ordinary shares, after indicating the real value of the company, have increased since then. The development of the market since 1993 is in the new era of development
Table 3.4 Stock Price, Number and Value of Shares Traded and Market Capitalisation
Please see print copy for image
Source: Indonesian Capital Market Directory 1994.
CONCLUSION
From this description, it can be concluded that the company listed in the capital market due to its great difficulty in financing. The company suffered severe losses for years; however, after its listing, the company reported a profit in its financial statement. It was also indicated that the company manipulated the prospectus by not reported the money from the
339
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
public that was used for other purposes. This condition could deteriorate the performance of the capital market.
It was also
concluded that attention to political considerations was higher than to
economic ones. The bail out of this company, as indicated in this study, provided evidence that in some cases, political consideration becomes a first priority in the development of the capital market. Lesser considerations are given to the interests of individual investors (the public).
As indicated in this study, individual investors (the public), as potential investors in the country, suffer losses due to such political economic policies. The individual investors believe that, by having a state company's shares, they can minimise their possible losses from market activities. However, the negative impact of such a bubble, as mentioned in this study (Chapter 12.4), caused individual investors to have great potential losses and, in turn, to lose their interest in dealing with the stocks in the capital market.
After a long period of listing on the capital market, the share price of this company, in the secondary market, before 1993, was still under the price of its initial offering. In January 1993, the price of the shares closed at 9,800 rupiahs per share and after January 1993, the share price indicates a steady growth which was below the IPO.
340
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No.4 THE INFLUENCE OF POLITICAL ECONOMIC POLICIES ON LISTED COMPANIES: A CASE STUDY ON PT BANK DUTA
INTRODUCTION
As mentioned in previous chapters, some market abuses existed in the market during the historical development of the capital market, either by listed companies, investors or others. Part of this study discusses the influence of political economic policies on listed companies where such abuses were considered to exist in the market.
PT. Bank Duta is a listed company that was considered representative in understanding the character of some listed companies in the market. Unlike the PT Indocement case, the PT Bank Duta case is intended to underiine the problem of information provided by corporate reporting practices and also the influence of government in solving the case.
Accordingly, part of this study discusses the information provided by the listed company, the government interference in trading activities and also the role of capital market agencies, by and large, in supporting the listed company. This part also describes the impact of this case on it shares price movement.
THE HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
As indicated in its prospectus, PT Bank Duta was originally known as PT Bank Dharma Ekonomi. This company was established as a commercial bank in Jakarta in 1966. In 1975, the company changed its name to PT Bank Duta Ekonomi and then merged with Bank Dwikora in Pontianak and with PT Bank Sarma in Surabaya in 1976. The bank was licensed to operate foreign exchange transactions since 1978 and its name was changed to PT Bank Duta.
341
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
In 1976, the company established PT IBJ Indonesia Bank, a joint venture of PT Bank Duta with the International Bank of Japan. At the same time, the company established PT Graha Sarana Duta which engaged in property management and became a major shareholder in PT Amro Duta Leasing and PT Mitra Duta Securities. By 1993 the company had 52 branch offices throughout Indonesia, and a representative office in Hongkong.
On 12 June 1990 the company was listed on the market with shares amounting to 27,500,000 units and an initial offering price of Rp8,000 per unit. Like other companies that were listed during this period, this company was oversubscribed at the IPO stage, when the registration of application forms was opened. A long queue of individual investors initialised registration at the IPO stage.
THE SHARE PRICE MOVEMENTS
As stated in the summary of audited financial reports, before its listing in the market, in 1988 and 1989, this company had some profits. Such information, apparently, strengthened the position of the company's share in the market. However, soon after the company was listed in the market, the bad news suddenly reached the public, that the company had suffered enormous financial losses that were caused by mismanagement of foreign exchange transactions. The losses, amounting to US $419 million, as stated by Tempo Magazine in September 1990, were recognised by the bank. However, soon after its crisis had been announced, the major shareholders initiated this case in order to maintain its performance in the market.
Although the share price of the company declined after its listing on the market from Rp8,000 to Rp6,250, during the week after the bad news, the share price was still stable. Apparently, there was no impact of the bad news on the share price movement. Further examination of this condition indicated that the share price of this company was stable due to the State owned companies interfere the trading activities of these shares on the market. The Institutional investors from the State owned companies bought these shares in any level of
342
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
prices, in order to maintain the perfonmance of the company in the martlet. As indicated in Figure 4.1, the share price of this company relative stable two weeks after its crisis. However, as indicated in Table 4.1 the share prices of the company dropped to Rp3,450 in January 1991 and then to Rp1,950 in September to December 1991. A significant decline in this company's shares in 1991 is considered to be a result of the bearish market for all ordinary shares in 1991.
S.SOi
LiOe
I
S,'VAX .^i
fi
S.7CS
^^^^^\A
='-r^ • ica JOT J.es i-CSJ icsj
I I
I
..1.
t
\
I
I
J ''I'.:'
u
II
"••'•
J.Ki
u
W / i ' M ' ^ f i I M i — ' - l . ' . i r f ± f . ' j ; . fTrrTTB -^"!l
Figure 4.1. Trend of Bank Duta Share Prices After Crisis
Table 4.1. stock Price, Number anci Value of Shares Traded Month
January'91 February March April May June July August September October November December
stock Price HI (Rp) 4,700 4,700 4,700 4.700 4,700 4,700 2,800 2,750 2.400 2,100 2,100 2,050
;•: Low
•^Rp)
3,250 3,150 2,700 2.700 2,550 2,200 2,000 2,200 1,850 1,900 1,850 1,950
Source: Personal Data
343
Close (Rp) 3,450 3,200 3,300 3,000 2,700 2,200 2,750 2,300 1,950 1,950 2,000 1,950
Shared Traded Value Number (miifion Rp) (•000) 5,562.330 1,600 10,142,190 2,940 10,544,660 3,365 9,010,320 2,777 12,806,525 4,713 3,456,565 1,378 14,214,470 5,691 9,424,950 3,855 8,002,645 1,942 3,855,265 1,942 4,248,925 2,143 7,388,000 3,722
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
After the bearish market, when the share prices for all ordinary shares indicated an upswing. The share price of the company increased from Rp2,450 to Rp3,700, in August 1993 then by 31 December 1993 reached Rp5,250. However, the share price was still below the initial public offering prices in June 1990 as indicated in Table 4.2
Table 4,2 stock Price, Number and Value of Shares Traded and Market Capitalisation
ft/lonth
Januarv'93 February March April May June July August September October November December
Stock Pnce
(Rp) 2,900 2,825 2,750 2,650 2,625 2,600 2,550 3,800 4,100 3,800 6,100 5,500
Low (Rp) 2,275 2,400 2,350 2,500 2,325 2,375 2,400 2,450 3,500 3,525 3,675 4,600
Shansd Traded
Close (Rp) 2,700 2,475 2,350 2,525 2,500 2,400 2,450 3,700 3,675 3,700 5,275 5,250
Nurpiber COOO) 2,664 1,549
643 789 720 310
Market Capitalisation
Value (millian Rp) 7,267 4,210 1,645 2,023 1,858
1,234 9,778 4,688 1,273 11,658 2,422
768 3,055 30,830 19,003 4,685 57,012 12,442
Value (mtllion Rp) 94,500 86,625 82,250 88,375 87,500 84,000 85,750 129,500 128,625 129,500 184,625 84,625
Source : Personal Data 1994.
THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
As indicated in the previous chapters, information used by investors in the market is also related to public information, such as published financial statements that are provided by a company. This information is used by investors in making their economic decisions in the market. A company considers that the good performance provided by it in corporate reporting practices will attract investors in the market to buy the company's shares at any level of price. However, as indicated also in the previous chapters, investors perceived that corporate reporting practices in this country were less reliable than in developed countries. The lack of reliability of such information caused investors not to use this information as primary information in making economic decisions in the market, but rumours.
344
most of them
dealt with
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 4.3 Summary of Financial Position (1988 and 1987) • 1987 (Rp) CURRENT ASSETS; Cash Bank Indonesia Other Banks Marketable Securities Visa Card Receivable Loans Receivable Allow/ance for Doubtful Accounts Other Current Assets Total Current Assets INVESTMENTS: Investments in Stocks Investments in Bonds Total Investment: FIXED ASSETS : Land Buildings and Houses Transportation Equipment Office Equipment and Fixtures Total Fixed Assets Accumulated Depreciation Total Net Fixed Assets OTHER ASSETS : Other Real and Chattel Properties Pre-Operating Expenses (net) Construction in Progress Goodwill (net) Other Assets Total Other Assets TOTAL ASSETS LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY CURRENT LIABILITIES: Current Accounts Accrued Expenses Notes Payable Savings Time Deposits Borrowing's Others Total Current Liabilities STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY Authorised capital 500,000 shares in 1988 and 300,000 shares in 1987, Rp 100,000 par value. Subscribed and paid in 325,000 shares in 1988 and 135,000 shares in 1987 General Reserves Subordinate Loans Retained Earninqs Total Stockholders' Equity TOTAL LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY STATEMENT OF INCOME ; OPERATING REVENUE Interest Revenue Fees and Commissions Gains on Foreign Exchange Other Operating Revenue
8,219,591,379 18,383,730,321 165,394,485,514 122,559,177,290 16,544,458,670 693,580,173,861 (137,516,773) 3,778,106,704 1.028,322,206,966
'^Mmrnm
7,380,914,816 36,645,344,277 54,369,871,956 65,220,329,839 9,335,472,394 518,331,653,244
— 4,829,274,730 696,113,441,256
2,065,510,000 2,065,510,000
2,035,510,000 500,950,000 2,536,460,000
739,231,500 1,744,018,092 2,146,295,619 9,514,225,332 14,160,770,543 ( 6,988,551,655) 7,172,218,888
463,126,000 1,967,984,509 1,517,072,952 7,422,464,554 11,370,648,015 ( 5,497,599,319) 5,873,048,696
190,887,351 315,945,533 567,993,043 30,635,898 . 72,781,662 1,178,243,487 1,038,738,179,341
172,052,103 279,653,046 355,190,340 34,861,539 90,133,452 931,869,480 705,454,819,432
170,738,413,235 15,165,003,826 96,232,023,293 7,620,766,390 574,498,505,743 97,334,838,456 24,433,643,401 986,023,194,344
169,061,746,590 10,247,572,424 11,650,000,000 5,487,530,825 338,810,512,120 122,512,307,705 15,323,838,766 673,093,508,450
32,500,000,000 96,537,555 10.000,000,000 10,118,447,442 52,714,984,997 1,038,738,179,341
13,500,000,000 6,805,362,555 12,055,948,427 32,361,310,982 705,454,819,432
132,120,619,218 8,746,277,061 4,431,151,555 4,793,358,760
86,822,217,642 5,695,902,836 1,678,625,464 4,020,378,413
150,091,406,594
98,217,124,355
_
345
-
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
OPERATING EXPENSES Cost of Funds Loss on Foreign Exchange Other Operating Expenses INCOME FROM OPERATIONS OTHER EXPENSES OTHER INCOME PROVISION FOR GRATIFICATION AND OTHER EMPLOYEES' BENEFITS NET INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAX INCOME TAX NET INCOME AFTER INCOME TAX
95,384,151,094 255,187,255 39,379,509,013 135,018,847,362 15,072,559,232 (274,424,086) 396,179,439 (1,547,261,000 ) 13,647,053,585 ( 5,300,846,650 ) 8,346,206,935
58,160,920 207 51,814,991 29,522,042,236 87,734,777.434 10,482.346,921 (136,322,211) 268.755.018 ' '
_ 10,614,779,728 ( 3,895,679,950 ) 6,719,099,778
Source Prospectuses 1989
By considering such arguments the audited financial statements of PT Bank Duta, before listed on the market, as indicated in Table 4.3, is examined. This audited financial statement indicated that the company had some profits from its operation on 1988 and 1989 before its listing in the market. However, soon after its listing, the company was stated as having suffer great losses amounting to US$419 million in September 1990. Although there is no audited report provided by the company for the period of such losses, the proxy statement of the company for the period ended 30 September 1990 shown some losses as indicated in Table 4.4.
Table 4.4 Summary of Financial Position for the year ended 1989 and 30 September 1990 30 September 1990 (OOO'Rp) unaudited
1989 (Rp) ICURRENT ASSETS: Cash Bank Indonesia Other Banks Marketable Securities Visa Card Receivable Loans Receivable Foreign Currencies Other Current Assets Total Current Assets INVESTMENTS : Investments in Stocks Investments in Bonds Total Investment:
14,983,334,184 34,523,252,525 195,963,173,426 458,372,474,501 63,679,471,632 1,156,124,336,700 20,374,963,842
14,648,646 17,227,738 3,835,512 2,126,644 658,312,931 1,316,313.082 723,167,260 2,000,000
13,574,910,000
12,374,910
— 2,065,510,000
FIXED A S S E T S :
Land Buildings and Houses Transportation Equipment Office Equipment and Fixtures Total Fixed Assets Accumulated Depreciation Total Net Fixed Assets OTHER ASSETS :
13,424,587,680
346
62,783,091
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Other Real and Chattel Properties Pre-Operating Expenses (net) Construction in Progress Goodwill (net) Other Assets Total Other Assets TOTAL A S S E T S LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY CURRENT LIABILITIES: Current Accounts Accrued Expenses Notes Payable/Foreign Currencies Savings Time Deposits Borrowing's Others Total Current Liabilities STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY Authorised capital 500,000 shares in 1988 and 300,000 shares in 1987, Rp 100,000 par value. Subscribed and paid in 325,000 shares in 1988 and 135,000 shares in 1987 Reserves Retained Earnings Profit/Losses for the Current year Total Stockholders' Equity TOTAL LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY STATEMENT OF INCOME; OPERATING REVENUE Interest Revenue Fees and Commissions Gains on Foreign Exchange Other Operating Revenue
(
18,533,555,908
60,457,706
1,989,554,060,398
2,873,247,520
283,644,015,850 21,646,930,133 159,454,000,000 11,311,799,447 1,041,040,909,541 356,168,254,545 61,172,500,440 1,934,438,409,957
314,601,935 163,923,919 762,874,633 27,218,168 1,252,748,308 103,880,767 42,827,475
32,500,000,000
1,111,882,664 26,044,425 5,206,160 (937,960,914)
22,615,650,441 55,115,650,441 1,989,554,060,398
2,873,247,520
) 206,616,758,720 11,418,908,961 11,477,913,255 9,464,525,850 238,978,106,786
OPERATING EXPENSES Cost of Funds Loss on Foreign Exchange Other Operating Expenses
230,796,142 23,092,611 23,802,275 2,401,606
183,546,031 795,982,885 232,467,434 87,734,777,434
156,516,562,815 287,211,486 61,681,772,774 218,485,547,075 20,492,559,711 (573,939,539) 138,550,258
INCOME FROM OPERATIONS OTHER EXPENSES OTHER INCOME PROVISION FOR GRATIFICATION AND OTHER EMPLOYEES' BENEFITS NET INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAX INCOME TAX NET INCOME AFTER INCOME TAX
2,140,141,840 17,917,028,590 (3,471,993,050) 14,445,035,540
(11,905,577) 5,848,379
(937,960,914) (937,960,914)
Source :Annual Report 1990 and Published Financial Report: Business Indonesia 18 January 1991
On 30 September 1990, the Bank reported that such losses amounting to Rp 932,754,753,641 (US$ 419 million) would be restructured. The new structure of capital in the financial statement after the crisis is illustrated in Table 4.5. On 28 March 1991, the Board of Directors proposed a restructuring of the financial statement of 30 September 1990. This proposal was approved by the shareholders at the shareholders' meeting on 29 April 1991.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Tempo (September 1990) reported that such losses had been covered by a grant from the major shareholders.
Table 4.5 Proposed Adjustment to the Capital Before Restructuring Paid up Capital Paid up capital in excess of par value Capital Donations Deficit
Proposed Adjustment
Rp 140,596,538,000
Rp-
192,500,000,000 778,786,106,145 (932,754,753,641) Rp 179,127,890,504
(153,968,647,496) (778,786,106,145) 932,754,753,641 Rp-
After Restructuring Rp140,596,538,000 38,531,352,504 —
Rpl 79,127,890,504
After this period, the audit of the financial statement for the three months ending on 31 December 1990 indicated that the company had some profits. A summary of this financial statement as follows: Table 4.6 Summary of Financial Position (1991 and 1990) 1991 2,831,526 39,273
Total Asset: Cash of which Cash on Hand Bank Indonesia Other Banks Placement in Other Banks Notes and Securities Loans Investments Fixed Assets-Net Other Assets Total Liabilities Total Deposits Demand Deposits Time Deposits Savings Deposits Notes Issued Borrowing's of which : Bank Indonesia Subordinates Others Minority Interest in Subsidiaries Shareholders' Equity Paid up capital Paid up capital in excess of par value Retained Earnings Revenue Operating Expenses Operating Profit Other Income (Expenses) Profit before Taxes
^
^
^
^
^
^
18,342 11,287 9,643
(3 rt1iS*rth6j1990 2,473,684
18,837 30,745 325,453
— 679,236 1,898,040 22,628 71,062 121,290 2,609,226 1,916,407 414,744 1,435,253 66,410 55,134 511,022 242,179 153,000 123,369 3,295 222,302 140,597 38,531 43,175 569,949 538,475 31,473 4,499 35,972
348
360,433 1,553,553 22,874 70,175 88,366 2,289,723 1,885,507 360,144 1,494,795 30,567 37.230 59,399 59,399
307,584
— 183,959 140,596 38,531 4,832 129,018 123,372 5,646 (814) 4,832
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
However, the impact of the bearish market apparently also influenced the share price of this company. Although this company had some profits in 1991, as indicated in Table 4.7, the share price of the company was still below the price at the IPO stage. After this period, especially in 1993, the share price increased more than 100%.
Table 4.7 A Summary of Financial Statement (million rupiah)
Total Asset: Cash of which Cash on Hand Bank Indonesia Other Banks Placement in Other Banks Notes and Securities Loans Investments Fixed Assets-Net Other Assets Liabilities Total Deposits Demand Deposits Time Deposits Savings Deposits Notes Issued Borrowing's of which : Bank Indonesia Subordinates Others Minority Interest in Subsidiaries Shareholders' Eguity Paid up capital Paid up capital in excess of par value Retained Earnings Revenue Operating Expenses Operating Profit Other Income (Expenses) Profit before Taxes Profit after Taxes Revenue Breakdown Interest Income Other Income Expense Breakdown : Interest Paid Others Per Share Data (Rp) Earnings per share Equity per share Dividends per share Closing share price Financial Ratios PER (X) PBV Dividend Payout (%) Dividend Yield (%) Cash and Bank to Demand Deposit(x)
1991 2,831,526 39,273 18,342 11,287 9,643
— 679,236 1,898,040 22,628 71,062 121,290 2,609,226 1,916,407 414,744 1,435,253 66;410 55,134 511,022
1993 2,516,033 48,537
15,192 18,218 14,729 217,764 553,468 1,666,541 22,478 59,133 150,257 2,476,827 1,871,438 476,537 1,215,236 179,665
17,564 22,002 8,971 193,665 656,609 1,387,379 24,978 56,199 148,667 2,299,101 1,809,635 403,756 1,132,236 273,643
— 479,803
384,389
242,179 153,000 123,369 3,295 222,302 140,597 38,531 43,175 569,949 538,475 31,473 ( 4,499 ) 35,972 36,266
91,902 153,000 122,057 3,529 240,952 140,597 38,531 61,824 523,992 512,777 11,215 15,430 26,645 26,020
153,000 101,090 3,986 216,932 140,597 38,531 37,805 385,948 372,446 13,502 12,486 25,988 26,776
481,223 88,726
457,305 66,687
339,934 46,014
386,995 151,480
390,537 122,240
261,970 110,476
258 1,581 200 2,225
185 1714 200 2,225
190 1,543
8,63 1,41 77,54 8,99 0.09
349
1992 1 2,717,779 48,140
12,02 1,30 108,07 8,99 0,10
— 5,250 27,57 3,40
— 0,12
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
0,02 0,08 0,99 0,06 0,06 1,28 16,31
Cash and Bank to Total Deposit (x) Equity to Total Assets Loans to Total Deposits (x) Operating Profit Margin (x) Net Profit Margin (x) ROI (%) ROE (%)
0.03 0,09 0,89 0,02 0,05 0,96 10,80
0,03 0,09 0,77 0,03 0,07 1,06 12,34
PER=17.33x;PBV=2,41x Financial Year: December 31
Considering the dividend policy of this company, as mentioned in its prospectus in 1990, that dividend would be distributed to the share holders equally without any priority concerning their status. Moreover, the prospectuses (1990) stated that a dividend would be paid at least once a year and would be calculated as follows:
Dividend
Net Income After Taxes 1. 2.
30-50% 50-70%
less than Rp 25 billion more than Rp 25 billion
Based on such a statement, at the shareholders' meeting, on 11 March 1992, the company decided to pay a cash dividend amounting to Rp 200 per share for the year 1991. This dividend policy then was announced on the news soon after the formal requirements issued by the BAPEPAM were accepted. On 29 April 1993 the company also declared a dividend of Rp 200 per share for the year 1992 as indicated in Table 4.7. Although there were some improvements to the dividend policy of the company compared to 1989 and 1990, there was no apparent association between the dividend payment and the share price movement of the company's shares. During 1991 and 1992 the share price of the company remained stable at Rp 2,225 and then increased in 1993 to Rp 5,250, as the market regulations were implemented in a more committed way
350
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
CONCLUSION
From this discussion, it can be concluded that before its crisis was announced, the audited financial report of this company indicated some profits. Apparently this report was created by the company in order to get listed on the market. Although there was bad news concerning the great losses of this company, however, soon after its announcement, the losses were covered by the major shareholders and its affiliated companies bought those shares so that the share price remained stable on the market.
From a financial perspective analysis, the company experienced profits after its crisis, due to the capital inflow from its major shareholders in the form of subordinate loans. This condition mads it possible to provide dividends to the public and increased the performance of the company in the market.
An examination of the professional audited procedures by the regulators and the Institute (lAl) indicated that the public accountant did not follow the audited procedures that were established by the Indonesian Accounting Society (lAI). For this reason the public accountant was not permitted to get involved in auditing activities, especially, for the listed companies on the capital market.
Like share prices of other companies, in the periods of the bearish market, the share price of the company showed a significant decline. As indicated in Table 4.5, the share price of the company fluctuated below that at the IPO stage. Although after such a bearish market, the share price increased, the price was still below the price at the IPO stage.
It also can be concluded that the strong influence of political economic policies indicated that the market was still in the first stage of development. Any interference by the government to market activities will cause some distortions and in turn make the market become inefficient. From its historical development it can be seen that up to 1993 investors were still influenced by market sentiment due to such interference. There was less
351
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
consideration to the fundamental factors than to the psychological factors. But after 1993, due to the government being more committed to implementing law enforcement programs than ever before, the market indicated an up-swing which led to the first step in its development as a growing market.
352
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No.5
THE USE OF FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS ON INVESTMENT DECISIONS A CASE STUDY ON PT BARITO PACIFIC TIMBER
INTRODUCTION
As mentioned in Chapter 8, the market was bullish during 1990/1991. Under such a market, there were an excess of demand over supply of the shares in the market which pushed share
prices
up.
It was also
indicated that
most
companies
experience
oversubscription at the initial public offering (IPO) stage. The strong demand in this period was begun long queues of investors wanting to buy shares at the IPO stage.
This study attempts to look closely at a company that was listed on the market after the market crashed in September 1991, and also after the low enforcement program was introduced by the government at the beginning of 1993. PT Barito Pacific Timber, one of the biggest companies belonging to one of the conglomerates and which was recognised as a good prospect by some investors and was listed in October 1993 became a sample on this study. As such this company would have good fundamental macro and micro economic conditions that can be used in examining this case. For this reason, part of this study discusses the historical perspective of the company, the macro economic aspects, and the financial statement as a basis for making a fundamental analysis from a micro economic viewpoint and other related information which this study considers important.
THE HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
PT. Barito Pacific Timber, hereafter called "the company", is the biggest timber company in Indonesia. It was founded in 1979 in Banjarmasin, South Kalimantan under the name of PT Bumi Raya Pura Mas Kalimantan. In mid-1990, the company merged with seven
353
^vestment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Pnce Movements
other timber companies. Those companies were PT Sebangau Besar, PT Wira Saraja Tama, PT First Rachmat Timber Industrial and Trading Co, PT Maruwai Timber, PT Barito Pacific Lestari Wood Products, PT Bima Barito Forest Products, and PT Maraga Daya Woodworlcs. The company was backed by five wholly- owned subsidiaries; three integrated timber enterprises: PT Tunggal Yudi Sawmill Plywood, PT Mangola Timber Producers and PT Tunggal Agathis Indah Wood Industries, and two wood adhesives producers: PT Primajaya Rodakayu and PT Wiranusa Trisatris. In 1992, the company produced a total of 1,3 million cubic meters of processed timber and 0,9 million tons of adhesives. Over 95% of production was exported to various parts of the worid, with Japan being the largest importer.
. -Vv
.'•---.
Figure 5.1, A long queue of individual investors during the IPO stages.
354
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
After the company had operated for about 14 years, on 4 October 1993 it was listed on the capital market, with an offering price of Rp7,200 per share at the IPO stage.
THE MACRO ECONOMIC ASPECTS OF THE COMPANY
According to the rumour which was circulated in the market by some brokers, this company had good prospects and a low price (Rp 7,200) at the IPO stage. Such rumours caused long queues of individual investors to form at the IPO stage, as indicated in Figure 5.1 and, in turn, caused an excessive demand for its share before listing on the market. Due to such rumours, a day after its listing on the primary market, on the secondary market the share price increased significantly to Rp 14.500. However, a week after its listing, as indicated in Table 5.1 the share price declined significantly, due to the price not being supported by fundamental aspects. By the end of the week, the share price was Rp 10.350, higher than the price at the IPO stage, but lower than the price at the secondary market. The trading shares and the share price movements during the week after its listing were as follows:
Table 5.1 PT Barito Pacific Timber Trading Shares and Share Prices a week after its listed
Date
4-10-1993 (IPO) 5-10-1993 6-10-1993 7-10-1993 8-10-1993
Trading Volume
Tradirig Valiie
33.021.900.000 20.780.325.000 10.331.162.500 12.862.487.500 13.786.487,500
2.858.500 1.875.500 963.500 1.215.500 1.349.500
Share Prices
7,200 10.900 10.700 14.500 10.350
Source : a Personal Data
Further examination of the trading activities indicated that the share prices increased significantly after its IPO stage, apparently due to the domestic investors still being influenced by market sentiment , even after the market crash in 1991, The good prospects of such
355
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
company's performance in the future, did not attract foreign investors. As rational investors, the foreign investors did not buy these shares because the price was considered overvalued. Most observers agree that foreign investors are more rational than domestic investors. Accordingly the existence of foreign investors in the Indonesian capital market supposedly made the market more rational and efficient. From a personal interview of some fund managers, it can be concluded that foreign investors were the price leaders in the market.
Referring to the historical development of the capital market in Indonesia, after foreign investors experienced losses due to the drop of share prices during 1990/1991, those investors became more careful in investing their funds in the capital market. The shares would only be bought by foreign investors if the prices indicated their fair value. The use of fundamental analysis apparently became the basis of their analysis. The domestic investors, by and large, used such analysis. However, in some cases, they were still easily influenced by market sentiment. In the case of this company, after the foreign investors were involved in trading activities, the share price movement steadily grevy as indicated in Table 5.2.
Table 5.2 PT Barito Pacific Timber Stock Price, Number and Value of Shares Traded and Market Capitalisation
Please see print copy for image
Source: Indonesian Capital Market Directory 1994.
In order to obtain information on the macro economic aspects of the company, this study discuss some prospects such as the export sector, and the income generated by the company.
356
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
As indicated in its company prospectuses, Indonesia has become the world's largest plywood exporter . In 1992 timber exports reached US$3,81 billion, placing this company as the second largest foreign exchange revenue earner in the non-oil and gas sector. With regard to its production, ninety five percent (95%) of the company's entire production was absorbed by other countries. See Table 5.3
Table 5.3 The Market Segment Based on Export Countries
Please see print copy for image
Source; Company's Prospectuses
As shown in Table 5.3, Japan is the largest importer of its products followed by China, Taiwan, Hongkong and the United States. The growth net sales and net income of this company and its subsidiary from 1990 to 31 March 1993 is indicated in its prospectuses as indicated in Figure 5 follows:
357
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
U Net Sales B Net Income D 3-D Column 3
1990
1991
1992
1993
Figure 5.2. Trend of Net Sales and Net Income 1990-1993
THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
An examination of the financial statements of this company for the past three years indicates that, before its listing, this company experienced a significant profit amounting to: 17.318 (million rupiahs); 79.756 (million rupiahs); 310.158 (million rupiahs) respectively in 1991, 1992 and 1993. Based on audited financial statements as indicated in Table 5.4, from 1991 to 1993, the financial ratio of this company indicated some improvements. The debt to equity ratio declined after it listing from 1991 to 1993. In 1991 the debt to equity ratio was 2.55 and after its listing in the capital market in 1993, the ratio was 0.52, which indicates there was some significant improvement in financing its operations from funds external to those from its public offering. The capital structure of the company became even stronger than before.
Its operating activities indicated that the returns on investment (ROI) increased from 1.05% to 11.28% and the return on equity ratio (REI) increased from 3.71 to 17.09%. These
358
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
ratios indicate that investment in this company is feasible due to the return being bigger than the general interest from banks. This is the basis for investors in making economic decisions in the market. Table 5.4 The Summary of Financial Statement (million rupiahs)
Total Assets Current Assets of which: Short-term Investments Receivable from affiliates Inventory Investment Fixed Assets-Net Other Assets Liabilities Current Liabilities of which Bank Borrowing's Trade Payable Long Term Liabilities of which Bank Borrowing's Shareholders' Equity Paid-up capital Paid-up capital in excess of par value Revaluation of Fixed Assets Retained Earnings Net Sales Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Operating Profit Other Income (Expense) Profit Before Taxes Profit After Taxes Per Share Data (Rp) Earnings per share Eguity per share Dividend per share Closing price Financial Ratios PER (X) PBV (x) Dividend Payout (%) Dividend Yield (%) Current Ratio (x) Debt to Eguity (x) Leverage Ratio (x) Gross Profit Margin (x) Net Profit Margin (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Total Assets Turnover (x) ROI (%) ROE (%)
*ii;ii5i^^^g9fS*S41--:::::: 1,657,023 427,450
::::::::X::,::::::X.:::::^:gg2^-^«^-:->--^^'^'m-'^'imT'''''-''
1,750,042 571,325
2,750,769 1,450,018
21,463 146,242 157,482 46,522 801,561 119,973 1,190,119
117,789 147,263 154,931 52,089 765,081 148,807 1,203,383
819,788 188,416 272,508 137,423 739,788 239,989 936,258
251,602 99,088
267,831 58,099
184,322 85,773
728,587 466,904 410,500 777,000
754,385 546,660 410,500 777,000
455,605 1,814,511 700,000 777,000
944 55,460 669,898 483,237 186,661 78,379 108,282 ( 87,421 ) 20,861 17,318
944 135,216 769,441 538,579 230,863 88,611 142,251 ( 38,680) 103,571 79,756
944 336,567 978,619 546,635 431,984 98,707 333,277 78,961 412,238 310,158
42 1,137
194 1,332
443 2,592
-
-
12,800 28,89 4,94
0,95 2,55 0.72 0,28 0.03 3,07 0,40 1,05 3,71
PER = 25,84 x; PBV = 4.42 X
359
-
1,37 2,20 0,69 0,30 0,10 3,48 0,44 4,56 14.59
3,22 0,52 0,34 0,44 0,32 2,01 0,36 11.28 17,09
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
CONCLUSION
Even though the market was considered by some analysts as having become mature in this period, market sentiment still existed and influenced un-informed or individual investors and, in turn, caused those investors to buy stocks at any price level in the market. The strong demand for shares created an excessive demand in the market and in turn increased the share price by almost 50% on 1 and 4 October 1993, as indicated in Table 5.1.
The excessive demand was also still begun by long queues of investors during the IPO stage as shown in the Figure 5.1. Unlike the IPO stage of the company's shares during 1990/1991, the influence of market sentiment in this period was considered to be temporary. A week later, in the secondary market, the share prices had already been corrected to the fair prices. At that price, the market spontaneously attracted
foreign investors, the rational
investors, and then increased the trading activities of this company's shares.
The existence of foreign investors in the Indonesian capital market, apparently, has positive effects on the attitude of domestic investors in buying shares in the market, which gradually makes the market more efficient than before. Some analysts argue that foreign investors are the price leaders in the market, due to their strong analysis of the fundamental factors.
In the historical development of capital market activities, after the market experienced a drop in share prices during 1990/1991, and foreign investors also suffered losses, the foreign investors became more careful in investing their funds in the capital market of Indonesia. Shares prices would only be bought by foreign investors if the prices indicated the fair value and had future expected returns. The use of fundamental analysis apparently became the basis of their analysis and the domestic investors used such analysts for making economic decisions in the market.
360
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No.6 THE EFFECT OF COUNTERFEIT SHARES ON MARKET ACTIVITIES A CASE STUDY ON THE INDONESIAN CAPITAL MARKET
INTRODUCTION
As implied in Chapter 9, the capital market in Indonesia experienced a significant decline in activities during 1990/1991. Share prices dropped almost 50% for all ordinary shares and investors suffered great losses. After September 1991 this period, most company shares were not traded on the market. There were company shares had share prices bellow the prices at the initial public offering (IPO)
From a historical perspective the symptoms of such conditions existed from
the
beginning of their historical development. Listed companies and other members of the capital market abused the market. It was also indicated by history that individual investors suffered investors the most. They lost great sums of money during a bearish market. Other members of the capital market, such as the broker dealers, the listed companies and the professional members, are the parties that have had much benefit from the existence of such a market. The broker dealers obtain a commission whether share prices go up or down. The listed companies, obtain a great deal of easy money, with little cost for underwriters, consultants, accountants and administrators. The underwriters obtain the money for acting as guarantors, as required in the agreements, without any responsibility for the fluctuating price of that share. Last, but not least, the professionals ie. the accountants, make more money when they provide unqualified opinions in audited reports and render services to the company. Accordingly, it can be argued that the only parties who suffer from such activities are the uninformed investors, these being mostly individual investors. They feel that such a market is a " lemon " in their lives.
After decreasing its activities in 1990/1991, the market indicated an up-swing. From its historical development this condition existed due to some improvements being made by the
361
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
government. The alteration of the dual function of the BAPEPAM into one function, that is, as a supervisory agent only, the implementation of the law enforcement program and the use of the full disclosure concept in a more committed way, increased market credibility and also increased activity in the market. However, one year after, another abuse suddenly arrived on the market. The market was struck by counterfeit shares. Lukman Hartono (L) and Heriina Salim (H) were accused of executing false share transactions. Some observers argued that the persons most responsible for such abuse were the broker dealers that trading the shares. On the other hand, capital market officials argued that the counterfeit shares existed as a result of the weakness of internal checks implemented by the members in trading activities, not the lack of regulation and enforcement programs in the market. The chairman of the capital market, soon after taking office, was replaced. The government considered that the counterfeit shares had a terrible effect on the further development of stock market business in Indonesia.
THE HISTORICAL BACKGROUND
The history of this case began, coincidentally, when a Moslem holiday was to be celebrated at the beginning of April 1993. At the end of Holiday), when people need money to
March,
before Idulfitri (Moslem
celebrate, the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) was
surprised by shocking news that the most liquid shares in some listed companies were doubtful. A deliberate examination of these shares by officials found that five liquid shares that were traded in the middle of March were counterfeit. These companies' shares were:
Table 6.1 Distribution of Counterfeit Share PT. PT. PT. PT. PT.
249.000 341,000 677,400 300,000 314,500 1.881,900
Inco Semen Gresik HM Sampoerna Indah Kiat Indorayon Total :
unit unit unit unit unit unit
shares shares shares shares shares shares
After further examination, on 23 March 1993, the BAPEPAM and PT BEJ reported this case to police head-quarters as it was considered a special crime. All trial evidence was sent
362
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
to the Attorney-General and soon after the report was accepted, the police kept the defendants under surveillance. However, two defendants, Heriina Salim and Luman Hartono, respectively, as representatives of the Commissioner and Director of PT Megawira Gunita, a broker dealer, had already disappeared from Indonesia with all of the money. Approximately Rp 4 billion rupiahs were gone, being the money they had received from other
broker dealers and
investors. Moreover, BAPEPAM also reported this case to the President who soon there after gave instruction to the Police and the Attorney General and other related parties to settle the case as soon as possible.
In order to prevent further transactions and potential losses for other investors, at least until the case was settled, on 29 March 1993, the JSX issued Decision Letter which forebode the trading of there shares on the market. Moreover, the Director of PT BEJ decided that the sellers (the broker dealers) had to replace the counterfeit shares as required by law.
First Seller
Second Seller/First Buyer
Second Buyer
The BAPEPAM reported that this case cost the government Rp 599,422,432 plus income tax, amounting to Rp 175,000,000. The income tax
was calculated from the
commission fees amounting to Rp 500,000,000, based on a 35% tax rate scheme.
EFFECT OF THE COUNTERFEIT SHARES ON TRADING ACTIVITIES
An examination of trading activities in the capital market after this case indicated that before the counterfeit shares emerged, the market was in an "up swing" due to the increase in
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
the trading of shares on the market. By analysing the trading activities before the case, it can be seen that such trading was dominated by the trading of Astra Int'l shares in association with "the Astra-Bank Summa case", as indicated in Table 6.2, As was declared last year, PT Bank Summa had serious financial problems due to over-investment in some other projects. It was also stated that Astra Int'l was the holding company. In order to settle this crisis, one of its alternative actions was that the major share holders in Astra Int'l, which was also the owner of PT Bank Summa, should sell their shares to the public.
After the counterfeit shares emerged, there was a significant decrease in trading activities in the market. Compared to the trading activities in March 1993, those in April 1993 declined by 60%, especially in the first and second weeks after the announcement of the counterfeit shares. However, in May 1993, the first week of trading indicated that average trading activities in the market had increased, with index prices amounting to 312.912 higher than March 1993.
Table 6.2 The Trading Activities of Listed Companies Shares For the period January - April 1993 Total Volume Month
Units In "000
Astra Int'l Units in '000
Others
Rp. in million
Units in'000 Rp in million
Jan'93 Feb March April
219,021 272,086 222,285 136,117
100,000 29,000 38,200 ~
1,000,000 290,000 394,740 ~
119,021 243,086 184,085 136,117
441,004 889,841 702,321 538,935
Source : The Jakarta Stock Exchange Journal, various issues.
By examining the monthly index price movements from January to April 1993, this study concluded that the index prices increased to a higher level than in February and March and then declined in April as indicated in Table 6.3.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table 6.3 The Monthly Movement of Index Prices January -April 1993 i Month January'93 February March April
1 ndex Price ^ ^" ^ - High 280.146 302.693 312.951 314.099
Low 273.308 280.385 300.445 307.227
Close 280.146 300.378 310.758 304.099
Source : Jakarta Stock Exchange Journal, various issues
Table 6.4 The Daily Index Prices and Trading Volume Activities for the period 01 March-15 April Date March 03/01/93 03/02/93 03/03/93 03/04/93 03/05/93 03/08/93 03/09/93 03/10/93 03/11/93 03/12/93 03/15/93 03/16/93 03/17/93 03/18/93 03/19/93 03/29/93 03/30/93 03/31/93 April 04/01/93 04/02/93 04/05/93 04/06/93 04/07/93 04/08/93 04/12/93 04/13/93 04/14/93 04/15/93
Trading Activities
tndex Price
18,373,895,025 48,244,348,175 27,080,413,800 32,399,753,700 24,783,843,600 46,364,192,600 38,247,956,750 98,938,456,750 70,250,781,050 48,735,233,850 23,291,428,000 59,870,704,600 419,206,946,750 28,632,089,475 47,398,479,700 25,887,095,300 15,200,808,750 24,154,401,500
300,445 300,839 302,075 304,775 307,775 308,503 310,080 311,779 312,687 312,951 311,696 311,089 310,776 310,375 312,067 310,504 311,273 310,758
13,629,375,500 18,421,615,000 26,755,872,500 53,600,432,000 34,584,898,250 26,172,928,800 26,551,216,300 14,701,761,000 19,605,538,600 28,309,182,050
311,125 310,079 309,601 309,346 308,371 307,227 308,445 307,227 307,293 308,673
Source, JSX Daily Report, various issue.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
In order to understand in more depth the effect of the counterfeit shares on market activities, the daily index prices and the trading activities from 1 March to 15 April 1993 were collected. Prices for two weeks before and after the case were considered as representative samples in order to understand the effect of the counterfeit shares on share price movements. As indicated in the Table 6.4 , the daily index prices increased during the first and the second weeks before the case and then dropped during the first week after the case, then increased slowly in the second week after the case.
THE PROMPT ACTIONS OF THE OFFICIAL IN SOLVING THE CASE
In order to prevent the further effects of this case on trading activities, the JSX took the following action:
Firstly, soon after it realised the problem, the JSX published
Announcement No. Peng 03/BEJ II 3/III/1993, on 29 March 1993 which stated that all stock market transactions for the above mentioned companies were to be temporarily terminated. At the same tim,e the BEJ (JSX) warned all of its members to check all of the five companies' shares which were sold between 11 March and 19 March 1993. The checking system was to localise the spread of these shares so that they could be traced by Biro Administrasi Efek (BAE), a separate organisation in the market whose function was to register all trading activities in the market. The BAE was required to hold any shares suspected of being counterfeit and to send them to the Board of BEJ (JSX), which , in turn, would send them to the Police and the District Attorney for further investigation.
In addition, in compliance with Regulation No.II, items C2 h and C2 I, the Board emphasised that any transaction in counterfeit shares was illegal and therefore the members (the sellers) that were directly involved in trading activities had to replace the counterfeit shares and/or make the required payment to the buyers. This responsibility was enforced through Announcement No. Peng 06/BEJ I.3/IV/1993 on 2 April 1993 regarding directions to complete transactions of the counterfeit shares. The above actions were taken in order to protect the investors from market abuse.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
On the other hand, the Brokerage association, on 8 April 1993, issued a statement that any member who trading counterfeit shares was responsible for the money that was given to the buyers in accordance with the rules. It was hoped that with this statement, the investors would always feel safe in any investment they made in the market.
To prevent any counterfeit shares in the future, other steps that would be taken by the JSX, besides the double checking by the broker dealers, were the use of high grade printing security papers and the shares could be transferred to the accounts of buyers using electronic data processing. However, this would require a huge investment in a computer system.
CONCLUSION
It has been indicated that there was a significant decrease in trading activities after the case of the counterfeit shares was announced. However, by examining the trading activities in i
January to March 1993, it can be seen that the case did not significantly affect trading activities or the share price movements in the market.
The increase in trading of shares from January to March was affected significantly by the extraordinary trading of shares by Astra Int'l. If the Astra Int'l shares had been eliminated, the volume of shares in April would still have been above that of January 1993.
The short period of decline can be argued as being the basis for the case having been handled in the right way. Soon after the case came to light, the BAPEPAM and PT BEJ handled it consistently with the rules and procedures for activities in the market. It can also be concluded that the government was seriously concerned with the development of the capital market, because soon after the case was reported, the President issued instructions to the Police, the Attorney General and others to settle it as soon as possible.
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Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No.7 THE EFFECT OF DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENTS ON SHARE PRICE MOVEMENTS A CASE STUDY OF THE INDONESIAN CAPITAL MARKET
INTRODUCTION
One of the most robust findings in the financial statement research area is the effect of earning release in its association with trading volume and security retum. For instance, Beaver (1968)
examined weekly trading volume
in association with the
earnings
announcements. He reported that there was a rather dramatic increase in volume, in the announcement week, the volume being 33 percent more than the mean volume during the non report period. Chambers and Pennam (1984) examined a sample of NYSE firms over the 1970-1976 period. They found that firms that reported their earnings releases eariier than expected had positive abnormal security returns in the period surrounding their actual release date. At the actual announcement date the abnormal return was typically negative.
The release of such earnings is one mechanism that management can use to signal its beliefs about the future profitability of a firm. An alternative signalling mechanism according to Foster (1985), is via a change in dividend policy. Many studies such as Asquith and Mullins (1983), Brickely (1983), Dielman and Oppenheimer (1984) have examined the behaviour of security prices at the time of dividend releases. They found that the firms that announced special or extra dividends, or initiated dividend payments for the first time, experienced positive abnormal returns; this was inconsistent with Ngurah's (1991) study. He found that there was no association between dividend announcement and stock prices. This study was supported by some studies in developing countries. Abdelsalam and Satin (1988), Niarcos and Georgapulos (1980) provide evidence that the earning announcements do not significantly affect stock exchange prices.
Part of this study discusses the effect of dividend announcements on share prices in the Indonesian capital market. In other words, this study attempts to examine whether the
368
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
capital market has already reached the stage of a semi-efficient capital market, or if it is still in the weak form after some years implementation of the law enforcement program. By examining dividend announcements in association with share price movements, the research questions will be answered.
THE HISTORICAL BACKGROUND
It is generally accepted that dividend is one of the factors considered by investors in making their economic decisions in the capital market. However, such a consideration, is only likely to exist in developed capital markets due to those markets being efficient. In efficient capital markets, all public information, including dividend announcements, are assumed to fully reflect security prices. Investors use such information in order to get an abnormal return in the market. However, in a developing capital market such as Indonesia's, investors tend to use information that generates expected returns (capital gain), rather than income-generating from dividend announcements. The argument has been examined in previous chapters that investors, during the development of the capital market in Indonesia, have been influenced by political factors and market sentiment rather than the fundamental factors. This argument also has been strengthened by the fact that, during the development of the capital market in Indonesia, only some of the listed companies announced dividend earning. Most of them tended to announce bonus shares rather than cash dividends.
The issue of JSX regulations concerning cash dividend payments by listed companies in 1992 apparently still did not attract investors to buy shares in the market, because the dividend announcements were relatively very small and still far below the interest income if the money had been deposited in a bank. The small amount of cash dividend payment can be associated with the low profit generated by the company and the existing dividend policy. As indicated in previous discussions, from a historical perspective, any company that was listed in the market experienced financial problems. According to Pusat Data Business Indonesia (1992), most of them could not improve their financial statements. They still had financial problems even after being listed on the market. Moreover, most of them were not concerned
369
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
with the performance of their shares in the market. They did not want to buy their shares on the market
went the prices went down or announce dividend earnings in order to attract
investors to buy their shares on the market.
Although there has been a regulation concerning dividend payments since the beginning of 1992, some of the companies only announced dividends so as to fulfil the minimum requirements of cash dividend payments, that is to allow a company to announce a cash dividend just once in three years without any consideration to the amount of cash dividend. On the other hand, some of them were still reluctant to pay cash dividends because there was no pressure from investors in the company. Due to such conditions, most observers suggested that these companies should be delisted from the market.
Since there was no regulation concerning the low performance of listed companies in the secondary market, there was no company to be delisted. From 1978 to the beginning of 1990, most companies provided a good performance on their share prices. The need to t.
increase the accountability of management as to the bad performance of their shares emerged when the market went from stagnation to the bubble in 1989/1990 and then the crash in 1990/1991. However, this need apparently only existed from the regulator's side. For instance, in 1992, the regulator (the JSX) considered that delisting was important in making the market an efficient capital market and then issued the regulation concerning delisted companies, whereas dividend payment was one of the criteria for the companies to be listed in the market.
THE USED OF DELIBERATE METHODS IN COLLECTING THE DATA
As mentioned above, this study attempts to examine the effect of dividend announcements on the share prices of some listed companies in the Indonesia capital market. For this purpose a week before and after dividends announced were examined with the share price movements in the same period. This study argues that a week before payment of dividends earned, share prices will increase, following which they will decline smoothly, if other factors that caused the share price movements are eliminated.
370
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
In order to examine this argument, this study took share price movements in August 1993, as indicated in Table 7.1, as a representative month for the period under study. In this month, about 40 per cent of listed companies announcing their dividends and about 30 percent in the months before and after August; and about 20 percent spread out in the other months. The rest of the companies, 10 percent, did not announce their dividends during the year for various reasons. Of those about 60% of companies were studied, the rest of them, about 40 %, were excluded from this study because they did not match the criteria under study.
Moreover, August was deliberately considered as the representative month in this study for the following reasons: Firstly, companies close their accounting books by the end of December every year (it being the calendar for companies in Indonesia). Secondly, from January to the end of March most of them are busy with tax preparation. Companies must submit their annual reports to the government for tax purposes by the end of this month. Thirdly, after the end of March, generally, management of companies spends its time in making reports to shareholders. Fourthly, soon after the report has been finalised, management must organise shareholders' meetings. Fifthly, after the meeting, management will take some new decisions relating to company operations, including a decision as to dividend policies after receiving directions from the shareholders' meeting. These activities will be finalised by June of each year. Sixthly, the period of implementation of decisions, including the announcement of dividends, would probably be at the end of July or in
August
of each year.
Based on these arguments, the share price movement of the listed companies before and after dividend announcements in August 1993 are set out in Table No. 7.1. This Table indicates that 10 out of 35 companies, or about 29% experienced stable share prices during the period of the study. The rest of them varied during the weeks before and after payment. From those, only 6 out of 35 companies, or 17%, experienced a positive trend during the first week after dividend payment and some others not. In addition these data indicate that some companies also had the highest share prices during the periods of dividend payment. For further examination see Appendix No.15
371
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Table No.7.1 Share Price Movements of the Companies Company 1.PT.AHA 2,PT, AKPI 3,PT,ALKA 4,PT,AQUA 5,PT,ASII 6.PT,BDMN 7.PT,BLTA 8,PT.BNLI 9,PT,BNSY 10,PT,CPD 11,PT,CTB 12,PT.DPN 13,PT.HER 14,PT,IDVS 15,PT,INCI lePT.INTP 17,PT,J1HD 18,PT,JPRS 19,PT,KKGI 20.PT.LMS 20,PT,MYO 21.PT,MYT 22,PT.PNB 23,PT.POLY 24,PT.PTR 25,PT.R1GS 26,PT,SCPI 27,PT,SHID 28.PT,SQB! 29,PT,TBM 30,PT.TEXT 31.PT,TMB 32,PT.TPEN 33.PT,UN1C 34,PT,UNV 35,PT,ZBRA
~4 3,125 4,800 1.750 4.000 13,000 3,625 2,725 4,200 2,500 1,850 4,250 2,100 8,400 3,000 1.275 11,050 10,800 1.725 2,700 3,700 6,500 1,900 2,000 13,400 7,300 900 6,200 1,650 5,100 5,400 3,700 1,625 5,650 5,975 31,250 1.800
-3 3,125 4,800 2,300 4,000 13,000 3.650 2.750 4.275 2,450 1,850 4,250 2,100 8,400 3,000 1,275 11.050 10,800 1,775 2,700 3,700 6,500 1,900 2,025 13,400 7,300 900 6,200 1.675 5.100 5,400 3,700 1,600 5,650 6,300 31,250 1,800
^7 3,125 4.800 2,300 4.000 13,000 3,650 2,900 4,200 2,700 1,850 4,250 2.100 8,450 3.000 1,275 11.175 11,000 1.775 2,700 3,700 6,500 2,100 2,025 13,400 7,300 900 6.175 1,675 5,250 5,400 3,700 1,600 5,650 6,300 31,250 1,800
-1 3,125 4,750 2.350 4,000 13,200 3,625 2,750 4,275 2,775 1,950 4,250 2,125 8,475 3,000 1,575 11.175 11,200 1,775 2,600 3,700 6,500 2,075 2,025 13,400 7,300 900 6,100 1,750 5,250 5,400 3,700 1,700 5,650 6,300 31,250 1,800
0 3,125 4,850 2.400 4,000 13,550 3,600 2.750 4,275 2,850 1,900 4,250 2,150 8,475 3,000 1,350 11,175 11,225 1,875 2,800 3,700 6,500 2,000 2,100 13,400 7,250 900 6,100 1.950 5,250 5,400 3,700 1,675 5,650 6,350 31,250 1,800
1 3,125 4,800 2,350 4,000 14,300 3,625 2,750 4,275 3.050 1,950 4,250 2,175 8,500 3,000 1,450 11.500 11,200 1,800 2,900 3,700 6,500 1,925 2,100 13,400 7,200 900 6,100 1,650 5,250 5,400 3,700 1,675 5,650 6,400 31,250 1,800
2 3,125 4,775 2,325 4,000 14,450 3,650 2,600 4,275 3,450 1,900 4,250 2,200 8,600 3,000 1.400 11.700 11,400 1,800 2.900 3,700 6,500 1,900 2,100 13,400 7,200 900 6,100 1,650 5,250 5,300 3,700 1,675 5,650 6,650 31.250 1,800
3 3,125 4,900 2,300 4,000 14,400 3.650 2.600 4.275 3.450 1,875 4,250 2,200 8,700 3,000 1,400 11,550 11.400 1.825 3.100 3.700 6,600 1,900 2,100 13,400 7.200 875 6.100 1,700 5,250 5,600 3,700 1,750 5,650 6,925 31,250 1,800
4
m
3,125 4,925 2,325 4,000 14,400 3,675 2,600 4.275 3.100 1.875 4,250 2,200 8,750 3.000 1.400 11.550 11.250 1,800 3,900 3,600 6,600 1,900 2.075 13,400 7,200 900 6,100 1,700 5,250 5,500 3,700 1,725 5,650 6,900 31,250 1,800
Source : JSX Journal, various issue, August 1993
CONCLUSION
This study indicated that, after the bullish market, some companies still had a dramatic historical development due to the influence of market sentiment. For supporting this argument, this study discussed the effect of dividend announcements on share price movements during August 1993.
August is considered as a representative month for this study due to more than 50 % of the listed companies announcing their dividends during that month. From this study it can
372
Investment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
be concluded that the share price movements during this month cannot be associated with the dividend announcements. In other words, during the period of a developing market or after some years of bearish market, share prices of the companies in the market are still influenced by psychological factors. Fundamental factors, such as the dividend announcement, somehow, did not affect significantly such share prices due to the dividend announcement being considered relatively small compared to the general interest rate of money. For further discussion see Appendix No.15
This study also indicated that by 1993, the share price of listed companies in the Indonesian capital market could not be associated with dividend announcements. See also Ngurah (1991) studies concerning the impact of dividend announcements on share price movements in Chapter 5. From a capital market study viewpoint, it can be concluded that such a market is a semi strong market.
373
estment Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
SECTION THREE
374
estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No. 8 COMPANY LISTING A N D I N I T I A L PUBLIC OFFERING 1 9 7 7 - 1 9 9 3 Hgo^CODE
I SMCB 2CNTX 3 BATI 4TFC0 5 PGIN 6 GDYR 7MERK 8 MLBI 9 UNVR 10 BATA 11UNTX 12 SCCO 13 BYSP UPNBN 15SQBI 16 PNLF 17 SHDA 18 PNIN 19SNGR 20 PFIN 21 DLTA 22 HPSP 23 JIHD 24 PRDT
1ABDA 2 SSGS 3 JPRS 4 FCOR OHERO 6 BNBR 7MREI 8 UNTR 9 LPPF 10 PWON II MYTX 12GSMF 13JPFA 14 LPLI 15 BAYU 16 GRIV 17BRNA 18 MLPL 19 UNIC 20 LPBN 21 BNSY 22 DNKS 23ASGR 24 BNII 25 CTBN 2SASBI 27 BNGA 28INTP 29 BDMN 30ASDM 31INCF 32 INTO
1 BNU »2LP!N
SHARES OFFERED
COMPANY
?T. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT.
PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT.
SEMEN CIBINONG CENTEX BAT INDONESIA TIFICO P R O C T E R & G A M B L E IND GOODYEAR INDONESIA M E R C K INDONESIA MULTI BINTANG INDONESIA U N I L E V E R INDONESIA S E P A T U BATA UNITEX SUCACO B A Y E R INDONESIA (PS) PANIN B A N K S Q U I B B INDONESIA P A N I N LIFE SARI H U S A D A PANIN I N S U R A N C E SINGER INDUSTRIES PFIZER I N D O N E S I A DELTA DJAKARTA H O T E L P R A P A T A N (TS) (CS) J A K A R T A INT. H O T E L PRODENTA INDONESIA T O T A L 1977-1988
178,750 116,000 6,600,000 1,100.000 280,000 6,150,000 1,680,000 3,520,012 9,200,000 1,200.000 733,500 4.800,000 2,324,100 1,637.500 972.000 1.020.000 1.000,000 765,000 523,500 600,000 347,400 1,460,000 6,618,600 221,000 53,047,362 900,000 3,700,000 3,360,000 5,000,000 1,765,000 2,850,000 2,000,000 2,700,000 2,140,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 4,000,000 1,071,400 2,000,000 4,900,000 1,750,000 4,328,000 9,000,000 6,800,000 4,000,000 525,000 3,075,000 12,000,000 1,600,000 1,000,000 5,000.000 89,832.150 12.000.000 2.000,000 1.200,000 1,250,000 199,246,550
A S U R A N S I BINA D H A R M A A R T A SEPANJANG SURYA GAS J A Y A PARI S T E E L FICORINVEST HEROMINl SUPERMARKET BAKRIE & B R O T H E R S M A S K A P A I R E A S U R A N S I .IND. UNITED TRACTORS LIPPO PACIFIC F I N A N C E PAKUWON JATI MAYATEXDIAN G A J A H S U R Y A MULTI F I N A N C E JAVA COMFEED INDONESIA LIPPO LIFE I N S U R A N C E BAYU BUANA TRAVEL SERVICE G R E A T RIVER G A R M E N T I N . BERLINA MULTIPOLAR U N G G U L INDAH CORPORATION LIPPO B A N K BANK SURYA INDONESIA DANKOS LABORATORIES ASTRA-GRAPHIA B A N K I N T E R N A T I O N A L IND. CITRA TUBINDO ASURANSI BINTANG BANK NIAGA INDOCEMENT TUNGGAL P. BANK DANAMON ASURANSI DAYIN MITRA INDOCITRA FINANCE INTER-DELTA TOTAL 1989
3,999,000 1,250,000
PT. BANK BALI PT. LIPPO INDUSTRIES
375
'
OFFERING PRICE (Rp)
LIST. DATE
10,000 5,500 2,500 7.250 3,000 1,250 1,900 1,570 3.175 1,270 1,475 1,100 1.325 3,475 1,050 2,950 1,850 1.150 1,540 1,425 2,950 1,050 1,500 1,450
10-Aug-77 22-May-79 20-Dec-79 26-Feb-80 28-Apr-80 22-Dec-80 23-Jul-ai 15-Dec-81 11-Jan-82 24-Mar-S2 28-Jun-S2 20-Jul-82 4-Aug-82 29-Dec-82 29-Mar-83 14-Jun-83 5-Aug-83 20-Sep-83 30-D©c-83 9-Feb-84 27-Feb-84 29-Feb-84 29-Feb-84 4-Dec-84
.
3,800 4,100 7,800 10,000 7,200 7,975 5,000 7,250 7,900 7,300 11,000 8,500 7,200 8,500 4,500 8.700 7,900 10,500 17,250 15,000 7,500 6,500 8,550 11,000 10,000 7,950 12,500 10,000 12,000 6,500 8,000 7,200
6-Jul-89 18-Jul-89 4-Aug-89 14-Aug-a9 21-Aug-89 28-Aug-89 4-Sep-89 19-Sep-89 &-Oct-89 9-Oct-89 10-Oct-89 23-Oct-89 23-Oct-89 23-Oct-89 30-Oct-89 3-Nov-a9 6-NOV-89 6-NOV-89 6-NOV-89 IO-Nov-89 13-NOV-89 13-N0V-89 15-Nov-a9 21-NOV-89 28-NOV-89 29-NOV-89 29-N0V-89 5-Dec-89 6-Dec-89 15-Dec-89 18-Dec-89 18-Dec-89
9,900 8,900
15-Jan-90 5-Feb-90
t/estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
3 AQUA 4 RIGS 5RMBA 6UNSP 7ASRM 8ASTR 9BLTA 10TMBN 11 BDNI 12TKIM 13 ASH 14 MTDL 15 MTFN 16 PNSE 17 BBLD 18SDPC 19 SMRA 20 DART 21 GJTL 22SHID 23CPPR 24RDTX 25 BFIN 26 INCO 27 PTRO 28 TBMS 29POFC 30LMSH 31HDTX 32 SCPI 33TGKA 34BDTA 35 CPDW 36INRU 37 TRST 38ULTJ 39 MYOR 40ALKA 41 BNUM 42 PRAS 43INKP 44TPFC 45 INCI 46TRPK 47 BUMI 481NDR 49 DPNS 501NDS 51 EKAD 52 HMSP 53 PBRX 54ERTX 55 INPC 56 CFIN 57 GGRM 58 BRAM 59 AHAP 60TOTO 61 MYRX 62 IGAR 63GGST 64ITMA 65 TEXT 66VOKS
PT, PT. PT. PT. PT. PT, PT, PT, PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT.
1 ARGO 2IKBI 3 POLY 4CPIN SPOOL _6KKGI
PT PT PT PT PT PT.
AQUA GOLDEN MISSISSIPPI RIG TENDERS INDONESIA RIMBA NIAGA IDOLA UNITED SUMATRA PLANTATIONS ASURANSI RAMAYANA ASTER DHARMA INDUSTRY BERLIAN LAJU TANKERS TAMARA BANK BANK DAGANG NASIONAL IND TJIWI KIMIA ASTRA INTERNATIONAL METRO DATA EPSINDO METROPOLITAN FINANCE CORP. PUDJIADI & SONS ESTATES BBL DHARMAU\ FINANCE NVPD SOEDARPO CORPORATION SUMMARECON AGUNG DUTA ANGGADA REALITY GADJAH TUNGGAL HOTEL SAHID JAYA INT. CENTRAL PROTEINA PRIMA RODA VIVATEX BUNAS FINANCE INTERNATIONAL NICKEL IND. PETROSEA TEMBAGA MULIA SEMANAN PDFCI UONMESH PRIMA HADTEX INDOSYNTEX SCHERING-PLOUGH INDONESIA TIGA RAKSA SATRIA BANK DUTA CIPENDAWA FARM ENTERPRISE INTI INDORAYON UTAMA TRIAS SENTOSA ULTRAJAYA MILK INDUSTRY MAYORA INDAH ALUMINDO PERKASA UTAMA BANK UMUM NASIONAL PRIMA ALLOY STEEL UNIVERSAL INDAH KIAT PAPER & PULP TJIU^TJAP PELLETI2ING FACT. INTAN WIJAYA CHEMICAL IN. TRAFINDO PERKASA UTAMA BUMI MODERN INDO-RAMA SYNTETIC DUTA PERTIWI NUSANTARA INDOSPRING EKADHARMA TAPE INDUSTRY H.M. SAMPOERNA PANBROTHERS TEX ERATEX DJAJA INTER-PACIFIC FINANCE CORP. CLIPAN FINANCE GUDANG GARAM BRANTA MULIA ASURANSI HARAPAN AMAN PRT. SURYA TOTO INDONESIA MAYERTEX INDONESIA IGAR JAYA GREAT GOLDEN STAR ITAMARAYA GOLD INDUSTRY TEXTRONIC PERMAI ELECTRONIC VOKSEL ELECTRICS TOTAL 1990 ARGO PANTES IKl INDAH KABEL POLISYNDO EKA PERKASA CHAROEN POKPHAND INDONESIA POOL ASURANSI INDONESIA • KURNIA KAPUAS GLUE
1,000.000 15,000,000 1,200,000 11.100.000 2.000.000 2,000,000 2,100.000 3,000.000 11.000.000 9.300,000 30.000,000 1.468.000 2,000,000 2.000.000 2.500,000 2,600.000 6,667.000 10,000,000 20,000.000 11.000,000 1,000.000 1,000.000 2,125,000 49,681,694 4,500,000 3,367,000 5,000,000 600,000 7,000.000 892.800 2,500,000 27,500,000 3,000,000 27,200,000 3,000,000 5,000,000 \ 3,000,000 1,500,000 8,000,000 2,000,000 60,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 7,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 1,000.000 27,000,000 3,800,000 6,139.750 5.000,000 1,500,000 57,807,800 12,500,000 1,000,000 2,687,500 1.000,000 1.750.000 6.000,000 4.000.000 3,000.000 3,080,000 540,315,544 15,882,000 3,500,000 12,000,000 2,500,000 1,800,000 4,500,000
376
7,500 2,500 3,380 10,700 6.000 4.500 8.500 8,000 8,500 9,500 14,850 6,800 3,500 6,800 6.250 5,000 6,800 7.500 5.500 7,000 4,000 7,500 5,750 9,800 9,500 14,100 8,750 7,200 11,750 12,750 5,750 8.000 5,900 9,850 11,800 7,500 9,300 9.800 9,000 6,750 10,600 8,500 8,250 9,800 4,500 12.500 8,100 9,000 6,500 12,600 8,700 7,550 9.750 8.850 10.250 9.250 4.250 14,300 9,900 5.100 8.800 6,950 5,300 6,500
1-Mar-90 5-Mar-90 5-Mar-90 6-Mar-90 19-Mar-90 26-Mar-90 26-Mar-90 28-Mar-90 2-Apr-90 3-Apr-90 4-Apr-90 9-Apr-90 16-Apr-90 1-May-90 7-May-90 7-May-90 7-May-90 8-May-90 8-May-90 8-May-90 14-May-90 14-May-90 16-May-90 16-May-90 21-May-90 21-May-90 25-May-90 25-May-90 6-Jun-90 8-Jun-90 11-Jun-90 12-Jun-90 18-Jun-90 18-Jun-90 2-Jul-90 2-JUI-90 12-Jul-90 12-Jul-90 12-Jul-90 12-JUI-90 16-Jul-90 18-Jul-90 24-Jul-90 24-Jul-90 30-JUI-90 3-Aug-90 8-Aug-90 10-Aug-90 14-Aug-90 15-Aug-90 16-Aug-90 21-Aug-90 23-Aug-90 27-Aug-90 27-Aug-90 5-Sep-90 14-Sep-90 30-Oct-90 31-Oct-90 5-NOV-90 3-Dec-90 10-Dec-90 12-Dec-90 20-Dec-90
9,950 4,950 8,900 5,100 9.000 5.700
7-Jan-91 21-Jan-91 12-Mar-91 18-Mar-91 20-Mar-91 1-Jul-91
-
vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
PT. SEMEN GRESIK PT. LIPPO LAND DEVELOPMENT PT. MODERN PHOTO FILM COMPANY PT. NIPRESS P T KALBE FARMA PT. ZEBRA NUSANTARA PT. DYNAPLAST PT. INDOVEST PT. DHARMALA INTILAND PT. DHARMALA SAKTl SEJAHTERA PT SUBA INDAH TOTAL 1991
40,000,000 15,000.000 4.500.000 4.000.000 10,000.000 850,800 2,500.000 3,567,200 12,000,000 15.000.000 3,000.000 150,600,000
7.000 4.900 6.800 5,000 7.800 1,500 5.600 5,500 4.450 3.000 3.700
8-Jul-91 15-Jul-91 16-Jul-91 24-JU1-91 30-Jul-91 1-Aug-91 5-Aug-91 12-Aug-91 4-Sep-91 27-Sep-91 9-Dec-91
ITKGA 2MTSM 3 KBLM 4 PUN 5 0MTR 6KBU 7S0NA 8S0BI 9EST1 10JECC 11 SMAR 12 AKPI 13 MPPA
PT TOKO GUNUNG AGUNG PT. METRO SUPERMAKET REALITY PT. KABELINDO MURNl PT. PLAZA INDONESIA REALITY PT OMETRACO FINANCE PT. KABEL METAL PT. SONA TOPAS PT SORINI CORPORATION PT. EVER SHINE TEXTILE INDUSTRY PT. JEMBO CABLE COMPANY PT. SMART CORPORATION PT. ARGHA KARYA PRIMA INDUSTRY PT MATAHARI PUTRA PRIMA TOTAL 1992
1.000.000 1.500.000 3.100.000 35,000.000 2,500.000 10.000.000 1,500.000 3.500.000 4,000,000 10,000,000 30,000.000 16,000,000 8,700,000 126,800,000
5.000 5.000 6.000 4.950 1,950 3,500 3,750 6,000 5,400 4,750 3,000 3,800 7.150
6-Jan-92 8-Jan-92 1-Jun-92 15-Jun-92 25-Jun-92 6-JUI-92 21-Jul-92 3-Aug-92 13-Oct-92 18-NOV-92 20-NOV-92 18-Dec-92 21-Dec-92
1SKBM 2SRSN 3MDLN 4TPEN 5SA1P 6 FAST 7TIRA 8DMAD 9GDWU 10 UON 11 INTA 12 SKLT 13 TCID 14 BRPT 15ADMG 16CNBE 17 Kiel 18 BNTA 19 IMAS 20 ANSI 21 SUMI
PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT PT PT. PT. PT. PT. PT. PT PT PT. PT. PT. PT. PT PT.
7,500,000 5,000,000 22,800,000 1,000.000 20,000,000 4,462,500 2,000,000 ^ 10,000.000 f 10,000.000 3,000.000 6.000,000 6,000,000 4,400,000 85,000,000 20,000,000 6,300,000 10,000,000 25,000,000 6,000,000 18,000,000 6,800.000 279,262,500
5,000 3,500 4,650 4,800 3,500 5,700 3,100 2,500 2,350 2,150 3,375 4,300 7,350 7,200 4,250 2,450 2.600 2,400 3,800 4,300 2,400
5-Jan-93 11-Jan-93 18-Jan-93 11-Mar-93 3-May-93 11-May-93 27-Jul-93 2-Aug-93 13-Aug-93 20-Aug-93 23-Aug-93 8-Sep-93 30-Sep-93 1-Oct-93 20-Oct-93 27-Oct-93 28-Oct-93 8-NOV-93 15-NOV-93 22-NOV-93 20-Dec-93
7SMGR 8LPLD 9MDRN 10 NIPS 11 KLBF 12 ZBRA 13 DYNA 14 IDVS 15 DILD 16 DSST 17SUBA
SEKARBUMI SARASA NUGRAHA MODERNL^ND REALITY TEXMACO PERKASA ENG. SURABAYA AGUNG IN.PULP FAST FOOD INDONESIA TIRA AUSTENITE DHARMINDO ADHIDUTA GANDA WANGSA UTAMA LION METAL WORKS INTRACO PENTRA SEKAR LAUT TANCHO INDONESIA BARITO PASIFIC TIMBER ANDAYANI MEGAH CONCORD BENEFIT KEDAUNG INDAH CAN INDUST BANK TIARA ASIA INDO SEPAMAS ANGGUN ANWAR SIERAD SUPER MITORI UTAMA TOTAL 1993
377
-
t/estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No. 9 Market Capitalizatior^ . „':'•;.:,:v.-' Year/
No.of
No.of listed
Market
Month
Usted
Shares
Capitalization
1977
1
260,260
2,730,000,000
1978
1
330,260
4,050,000,000
1979
4
7,058,116
23,930,000,000
1980
6
14,588,116
41.040,000,000
1981
8
19.788,126
48,600,000,000
1982
13
39,948,208
99,260,000,000
1983
23
48,005,208
102,660.000.000
1984
24
57,498,184
91,060.000,000
1985
24
57,827,872
89.330,000,000
1986
24
58,349,872
94,230,000,000
1987
24
58,569,311
112,080,000,000
1988
24
72,844,043
481,560,000,000
1989
56
432,839,874
4,358,500,000,000
1990
122
1,779,936,594
12,440,150,000,000
1991
139
3,729,481,279
16,438,000,000,000
1992
153
6,253,916,082
24,839,446,042,275
1993
172
9,787,393,323
69,299,599,701,000
Jan '93
156
6,406,240,834
26,064,381,970,975
Feb
156
6,626,732,783
28,346,352,798,100
Mar
157
6,703,607,187
29,713,492,590,475
Apr
157
6,885,410,120
30,498,355,061,500
'/ay
157
7.191.657.229
33,883,812,585,000
June
157
7.271,216,844
35,757,218,607,775
July
158
7.488,099,588
36,055,112,995,100
Aug
162
7,716,561,007
42,963,566,840,775
Sept
164
7,895,464.594
43,536,040,957.225
Oct
168
8,798,590,653
54,510,355,860,150
lov
171
9,067,164,811
60,696,217,023,250
Dec
172
9,787,393,323
69,299,599,701,000
378
-vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No. 10
Trading Activities Year/
No.of
Month
Usted
Volume
Value (Rp)
1977
1
14,577
153,100,000
1978
1
19,541
218,500,000
1979
4
119,310
1,333,500,000
1980
6
1,656,290
5,733,800,000
1981
8
2,889,547
7,650,200,000
1982
13
12,624,800,000
1983
23
5,014,806 3,507,748
1984
24
1,218,833
2,139,300,000
1985
24
1,886,601
3,266,500,000
1986
24
1,431,921
1,815,900,000
10.104,400,000
1987
24
2,523,374
5,184,000.000
1988
24
6,944,592
30,591,960,720
1989
56
95,791.539
964,272,000,000
1990
122
702,587,441
7,311,288,727,968
1991
139
1,007,920,460
5,778,248,697,009
1992
153
1,706.269,484
7,953,299,560,350
172
3,844,031,699
19,086,237,219,525
156
219,021,212
1,441,003,909,325
Feb
156
272,098,247
1,179,910,073,550
Mar
157
222,285,236
1,097,060,828,925
Apr
157
136,755,456
541,504,718,325
May
157
228,361,219
911.545,007,325
June
157
324,089,795
1,448,389,196,850
July
158
318,739,890
1,240,316,212,450
Aug
162
344,506,286
1,612,207,820,500
Sept
164
382,441,395
1,879,641,143,700
1993 Jan
'S3
Oct
168
409,726,602
2,559,424,646,275
Nov
171
501,855,062
2,603,349,466,075
Dec
172
484,151,299
2,571,884,196,225
379
vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No. 11 Company Listing, Initial Public Offering and Public Ownership COMPANY
J CODE
SHARES OFFERED
OFFERING PRICE (Rp)
1 SMCB 2CNTX 3 BATI 4TFC0 5 PGIN 6 GDYR 7MERK 8 MLBI 9 UNVR 10 BATA 11 UNTX 12 SCCO 13 BYSP UPNBN 15SQBI 15 PNLF 17 SHDA
PT PT PT. PT. PT PT PT. PT PT. PT. PT. PT PT. PT. PT PT.
18 PNIN 19SNGR 20 PFIN 21 DLTA 22 HPSP 23 JIHD 24 PRDT
PT. PT PT. PT PT. PT. PT PT.
1ABDA
PT.
2 SSGS 3 JPRS
PT PT.
4 FCOR OHERO 6 BNBR 7MREI
PT. PT PT PT.
8 UNTR 9 LPPF 10 PWON 11 MYTX 12 GSMF
PT. PT. PT. PT PT.
13 JPFA 14 LPLI 15 BAYU
PT. PT. PT
16 GRIV
PT. PT. PT. PT
17 BRNA 18 MLPL 19 UNIC 20 LPBN 21 BNSY 22 DNKS
PT. PT. PT.
SEMEN CIBINONG CENTEX BAT INDONESIA TIFICO PROCTER & GAMBLE IND GOODYEAR INDONESIA MERCK INDONESIA MULTI BINTANG INDONESIA UNILEVER INDONESIA SEPATU BATA UNITEX SUCACO BAYER INDONESIA (PS) PANIN BANK SQUIBB INDONESIA PANIN LIFE SARI HUSADA PANIN INSURANCE SINGER INDUSTRIES PFIZER INDONESIA DELTA DJAKARTA HOTEL PRAPATAN (TS) (CS) JAKARTA INT. HOTEL PRODENTA INDONESIA TOTAL 1977-1988 ASURANSI BINA DHARMA ARTA SEPANJANG SURYA GAS JAYA PARI STEEL FICORINVEST HERO SUPERMARKET BAKRIE & BROTHERS MASKAPAI REASURANSI .IND. UNITED TRACTORS LIPPO PACIFiC FINANCE PAKUWON JATI MAYATEXDIAN GAJAH SURYA MULTI FINANCE JAVA COMFEED INDONESIA LIPPO LIFE INSURANCE BAYU BUANA TRAVEL SERVICE GREAT RIVER GARMENT IN. BERLINA MULTIPOLAR UNGGUL INDAH CORPORATION LIPPO BANK BANK SURYA INDONESIA DANKOS LABORATORIES
178,750 116,000 6,600,000 1,100,000 280,000 6.150.000
UST. DATE
PUBLIC OWN
10-Aug-77
44,25% 35.00% 30.00% 8.00% 30,00% 15.00% 30.00% 16.70% 15.00% 35,00%
_
10,000 5,500 2,500 7,250 3,000 1,250
22-May-79 20-Dec-79 26-Feb-80 28-Apr-80 22-Dec-80 23-Jul-81 15-Dec-81 11-Jan-82 24-Mar-82 28-Jun-82 20-Jul-82 4-Aug-82 29-Dec-82 29-Mar-83 14-Jun-83 5-Aug-83 20-Sep-83 30-Dec-83 9-Feb-84 27-Feb-84 29-F6b-84 29-Feb-84 4-Dec-84
1,680,000 3,520,012 9,200,000 1,200,000 733,500 4,800,000 2,324,100 1,637,500 972,000 1,020,000 1,000,000 765,000 523,500 600,000 347,400 1,460,000 6,618,600 221,000 53,047,362
1,900 1,570 3,175 1,270 1,475 1,100 1,325 3,475 1,050 2,950 1,850 1,150 1.540 1,425 2,950 1,050 1,500 1,450
900.000
3.800
6-Jul-89
28.60%
3.700,000 3,360,000
18-Jul-89
5,000,000 1,765,000 2,850,000 2,000,000
4,100 7,800 10,000 7,200 7,975 5,000
4-Aug-89 14-Aug-89 21-Aug-89 28-Aug-89 4-Sep-S9
65.69% 16,00% 25,00% 36,66% 27.64% 36.13%
2,700,000 2,140,000 3,000,000 2.500.000 2.000.000
7,250 7,900 7,300 11,000 8,500
19-Sep-89 9-Oct-S9 9-Oct-89 10-Oct-89 23-Oct-89
41.20% 15.11% 48.62% 53.00% 17.53%
4,000.000 1,071,400 2,000,000
7,200 8,500
23-Oct-89 23-Oct-89
4,500
30-Oct-89
49.93% 30,00% 100,00%
4,900,000 1.750,000 4,328,000 9,000,000
8,700 7,900 10,500 17,250
6,800,000 4,000,000 525,000
15,000 7,500
IO-Nov-89
6,500
13-NOV-89
380
-
-
3-NOV-89 &-N0V-89 6-NOV-89 6-NOV-89
13-N0V-89
31,45% 30,00% 56.01 % 30.00% 34.65% 26.31% 15.12%
15.00% 84.32% 37.68%
25,00% 31.00% 36,89% 13,75%
45.62% 16.00% 28.54%
/estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
23ASGR 24 BNII 25 CTBN 26 ASBI 27 BNGA 28 INTP 29 BDMN 30ASDM 31 INCF 32INTD
PT. PT. PT. PT. PT PT. PT. PT. PT. PT
ASTRA-GRAPHIA BANK INTERNATIONAL IND. CITRA TUBINDO ASURANSI BINTANG BANK NIAGA INDOCEMENT T U N G G A L PRAKASA BANK DANAMON ASURANSI DAYIN MITRA INDOCITRA FINANCE INTER-DELTA
TOTAL 1989 1BNL1 2LPIN 3 AQUA 4 RIGS 5RMBA 6UNSP 7ASRM 8ASTR 9BLTA
PT. PT. PT. PT PT. PT. PT PT. PT.
BANK BALI LIPPO INDUSTRIES AQUA GOLDEN MISSISSIPPI RIG TENDERS INDONESIA RIMBA NIAGA IDOLA UNITED SUMATRA PLANTATIONS ASURANSI RAMAYANA ASTER DHARMA INDUSTRY BERLIAN LAJU TANKERS
36INRU
TAMARA BANK BANK DAGANG NASIONAL IND PT TJIWI KIMIA PT. ASTRA INTERNATIONAL PT, METRO DATA EPSINDO PT. METROPOLITAN FINANCE CORP. PT. PUDJIADI & SONS ESTATES PT. BBL DHARMALA FINANCE PT NVPD SOEDARPO CORPORATION PT. SUMMARECON AGUNG PT DUTA ANGGADA REALITY PT. GADJAH TUNGGAL PT. HOTEL SAHID JAYA INT. PT. CENTRAL PROTEINA PRIMA PT. RODA VIVATEX PT. BUNAS FINANCE PT INTERNATIONAL NICKEL IND. PT PETROSEA PT. TEMBAGA MULIA SEMANAN PT PDFCI PT UONMESH PRIMA PT. HADTEX INDOSYNTEC PT. SCHERING-PLOUGH INDONESIA PT. TIGA RAKSA SATRIA PT BANK DUTA PT. CIPENDAWA FARM ENTERPRISE PT INTI INDORAYON UTAMA
37 TRST
PT.
38ULTJ
PT PT.
10TMBN 11 BDNI 12TKIM 13 ASH 14 MTDL 15 MTFN 16 PNSE 17 BBLD 18SDPC 19 SMRA 20 DART 21 GJTL 22SHID 23 CPPR 24RDTX 25 BFIN 26 INCO 27 PTRO 28 TBMS 29PDFC 30 LMSH 31HDTX 32 SCPI 33TGKA 34BDTA 35 CPDW
39 MYOR 40ALKA 41 BNUM 42 PRAS
PT. PT
PT PT PT
TRIAS SENTOSA ULTRAJAYA MILK INDUSTRY MAYORA INDAH ALUMINDO PERKASA BANK UMUM NASIONAL PRIMA ALLOY STEEL UNIVERSAL
3,075,000 12,000,000 1,600.000 1,000,000 5,000,000 89,832,150
8,550 11,000 10,000 7,950 12,500 10.000
15-NOV-S9 21-NOV-S9 2&-NOV-89 29-NOV-89 29-N0V-89 5-Dec-89
20.00% 10.72% 49.67% 21.74% 26,84% 18,92%
12,000.000 2.000,000 1,200,000
12.000 6.500 8,000 7,200
6-Dec-89 15-Dec-89 18-Dec-89 18-Dec-89
20,00% 12.95% 19,89%
3,999,000 1.250.000 1,000,000 15,000,000 1,200,000 11,100,000
9,900 8,900 7,500 2,500 3,380 10,700
15-Jan-90 5-Feb-90 1-Mar-90 5-Mar-90 5-Mar-90 6-Mar-90
58.05% 71.76% 24.83% 41.21% 31.58%
2,000,000 2,000,000 2,100,000 3,000,000 11,000,000
6,000 4,500 8,500 8,000 8,500
19-Mar-90 26-Mar-90 26-Mar-90 28-Mar-90 2-Apr-90
20.00% 19.80% 48,48% 20,00% 8.62%
9,300,000 30,000,000 1,468,000 2,000,000
9,500 14,850 6,800 3,500 1, 6,800 6,250 5,000
3-Apr-90 4-Apr-90 9-Apr-90 16-Apr-90
6.74% 24.11% 38.16% 20.00%
1-May-90 7-May-90 7-May-90
8.53% 25.13% 28.57%
7-May-90 8-May-90 8-May-90 8-May-90 14-May-90 14-May-90 16-May-90 16-May-90 21-May-90 21-May-90 25-May-90 25-May-90
10,00% 36.01% 22.07% 17,35% 10.69% 11.50% 20.00% 20.00% 33,33% 13,30% 20,00% 26,87%
6-Jun-90 8-Jun-90
21.06% 24.80%
1,250,000 199,246,550
2.000,000 2,500,000 2,600,000 6,667,000 10,000,000 20,000,000 11,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 2,125,000 49,681,694 4,500,000 3,367,000 5,000,000 600,000 7,000,000 892,800
_
6,800 7,500 5,500 7,000 4,000 7,500 5,750 9,800 9,500 14.100 8,750 7,200 11,750 12,750
2,500,000 27,500,000 3,000,000
5,750 8,000 5,900
11-Jun-90 12-Jun-90 18-Jun-90
38.04% 19.55% 30.00%
27.200,000 3.000.000 6,000,000 3,000,000 1,500,000 8,000,000 2,000,000
9,850 11,800
18-Jun-90 2-Jul-90
15.20% 18.75%
7,500 9,300 9,800
2-JuI-90 12-Jul-90 12-Jul-9C
29.22% 27.85% 24.07%
12-Jul-90 12^ul-90
8,10% 30.00%
381
9,000 6,750
-
vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
43 INKP 44TPFC
PT, PT,
45 tNCl 46TRPK
PT. PT PT. PT. PT PT.
47 BUMI 481NDR 49 DPNS 50INDS 51 EKAD 52 HMSP 53 PBRX 54ERTX 55 INPC 56 CFIN 57 GGRM 58 BRAM 59 AHAP 60 TOTO 61 MYRX 62 IGAR 63GGST 641TMA 65 TEXT 66VOKS
1 ARGO 2IKB1
INDOSPRING PT. EKADHARMA TAPE INDUSTRY PT. H.M. SAMPOERNA PT. PANBROTHERS TEX PT. ERATEX DJAJA PT. INTER-PACIFlC FINANCE CORP. PT. CLIPAN FINANCE PT. GUDANG GARAM PT. BRANTA MULIA PT. ASURANSI HARAPAN AMAN PRT. PT. SURYA TOTO INDONESIA PT. MAYERTEX INDONESIA PT. IGAR JAYA PT. GREAT GOLDEN STAR PT. ITAMARAYA GOLD INDUSTRY PT TEXTRONIC PERMAI ELECTRONIC PT. VOKSEL ELECTRICS TOTAL 1990 PT. PT.
3 POLY 4CPIN
PT. PT.
SPOOL 6KKGI 7SMGR 8 LPLD 9MDRN
PT. PT. PT. PT. PT.
10 NIPS 11 KLBF 12 ZBRA 13 DYNA 14 IDVS 15 DILD 16 DSST
PT. PT.
17 SUBA
PT.
ITKGA 2MTSM
PT. PT
3 KBLM
PT.
4 PUN 5 0MTR 6 KBLl
PT
^ONA
INDAH KIAT PAPER & PULP TJILATJAP PELLETIZING FACT. INTAN WIJAYA CHEMICAL IN. TRAFINDO PERKASA UTAMA BUMI MODERN INDO-RAMA SYNTHETICS DUTA PERTIWI NUSANTARA
PT PT. PT. PT PT.
PT PT. PT
ARGO PANTES IKl INDAH KABEL POLYSINDO EKA PERKASA CHAROEN POKPHAND INDONESIA POOL ASURANSI INDONESIA KURNIA KAPUAS GLUE SEMEN GRESIK LIPPO LAND DEVELOPMENT MODERN PHOTO FILM COMPANY NIPRESS KALBE FARMA ZEBRA NUSANTARA DYNAPLAST INDOVEST DHARMALA INTILAND DHARMALA SAKTl SEJAHTERA SUBA INDAH TOTAL 1991 TOKO GUNUNG AGUNG METRO SUPERMAKET REALITY KABEUNDO MURNl PLAZA INDONESIA REAUTY OMETRACO FINANCE KABEL METAL SONA TOPAS
60,000,000 5,000,000
10,600
4,000,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 7,000,000
8,250 9,800 4,500 12,500 8,100 9,000
16-Jul-90 18-JUI-90
16,93% 19.57%
6,500
24-Ju!-9G 24-JUI-90 30-JUI-90 3-Aug-90 8-Aug-90 10-Aug-90 14-Aug-90
18.18% 49.00% 6.72% 27.48% 23.00% 20.00% 27.18%
27,000,000 3,800,000 6,139,750 5,000,000
12,600 8,700 7,550 9,750
15-Aug-90 16-Aug-90 21-Aug-90 23-Aug-90
19.00% 26.69% 50.00% 19.70%
1,500,000 57,807,800 12,500,000 1,000,000
8,850 10,250 9,250 4,250
27-Aug-90 27-Aug-90 5-Sep-90 14-Sep-90
20.27% 12.02% 10.00% 25.00%
2,687.500 1,000,000 1,750.000 6.000.000 4.000.000
14,300 9,900 5.100 8,800 6,950
30-Oct-90 31-OGt-90 5-NOV-90 3-Dec-90 10-Dec-90
13.40% 14.29% 18.00% 19.35% 23.50%
3,000,000
5,300
12-Dec-90
43.50%
3,080,000 540,315,544
6,500
20-Dec-90
15.40%
15,882,000 3,500,000 12,000,000 2,500,000
9,950 4,950 8,900 5,100
7-Jan-91 21-Jan-91 12-Mar-91 18-Mar-91
15.00% 30.33% 29.70%
1,800.000 4,500,000 40,000,000 15,000,000 4,500,000
9,000 5,700 7,000 4.900 6,800
20-Mar-91 1-Jul-91 8-Jui-91 15-JUI-91 16-Jul-91
30.00% 70,00% 26.90% 33.34% 10.11%
4,000,000 10,000,000 850,800
5,000 7,800 1,500 5,600 5,500 4,450 3,000
24-Jul-91 30-Jul-91
80.20% 37.49%
1-Aug-91 5-Aug-91
93.42% 52.63%
12-Aug-91
14.00%
4-Sep-91 27-Sep-91
11.03% 34.00%
3,000,000 150,600,000
3,700
9-Dec-91
33.02%
1,000,000 1,500,000
5,000 5,000
6-Jan-92
34.92%
8-Jan-92
17.01%
3.100,000 35.000.000
6,000
1-Jun-92
29.14%
4,950
2.500,000 10,000,000 1.500,000
1,950
15-Jun-92 25-Jun-92
30.43% 20.00%
6-Jul-92 21-Jul-92
45.50% 41.50%
3,000,000 3,000,000 1,000,000
2.500.000 3,567,200 12,000,000 15,000.000
382
8,500
3,500 3,750
-
_
-
15.56%
^vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
8S0B1 9ESTI 10 JECC 11 SMAR 12 AKPI 13 MPPA
1 SKBM 2SRSN 3 MOLN 4TPEN 5SAIP 6 FAST 7 TIRA 8 DMAD 9 GDWU 10 UON 11 INTA 12 SKLT 13 TCID 14 BRPT 15ADMG 16CNBE 17KICI 18 BNTA 19 IMAS 20 ANSI 21 SUMI
PT. PT
SORINI CORPORATION EVER SHINE TEXTILE INDUSTRY PT. JEMBO CABLE COMPANY PT, SMART CORPORATION PT, ARGHA KARYA PRIMA INDUSTRY PT. MATAHARI PUTRA PRIMA TOTAL 1992 SEKARBUMI SARASA NUGRAHA MODERNLAND REALITY TEXMACO PERKASA ENG. SURABAYA AGUNG IN.PULP&KERT PT. FAST FOOD INDONESIA PT. TIRA AUSTENITE PT. DHARMINDO ADHIDUTA PT. GANDA WANGSA UTAMA PT. UON METAL WORKS PT. INTRACO PENTRA PT. SEKAR LAUT PT TANCHO INDONESIA PT BARITO PACIFIC TIMBER PT ANDAYANI MEGAH PT CONCORD BENEFIT PT. KEDAUNG INDAH CAN INDUSTRIAL PT BANK TIARA ASIA PT. INDOSEPAMAS ANGGUN PT ANWAR SIERAD PT. SUPER MITORY UTAMA TOTAL 1993
PT. PT PT. PT. PT.
3,500,000 4,000,000
6,000 5,400
3-Aug-92 13-Oct-92
23.33% 20.51%
10,000,000 30,000,000 16,000,000
4,750 3,000
23.80% 20,00%
3,800
1&-N0V-92 20-NOV-92 18-Dec-92
8,700,000 126,800,000
7.150
21-Dec-92
20.68%
7,500,000 5,000,000 22,800,000 1,000,000 20,000,000
5.000 3.500 4.650 4,800 3.500
5-Jan-93 11-Jan-93 18-Jarv93 11-Mar-93 3-May-93
19.48% 29.40% 30.49% 4.80% 17.86%
4,462,500 2,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 3,000,000 6,000,000 6,000,000 4,400,000 85,000,000 20,000,000 6,300,000 10,000,000
5.700 3.100 2.500 2,350 2,150 3,375 4,300 7,350 7,200 4,250 2,450 2,500
11-May-93 27-Jul-93 2-Aug-93 13-Aug-93 20-Aug-93 23-Aug-93 8-Sep-93 30-Sep-93 1-Oct-93 20-Oct-93 27-Oct-93 28-Oct-93
20.00% 20.00% 27.80% 22.22% 23,07% 20.89% 28.60% 33,85% 12.14% 25.00% 29.97% 20.00%
25,000,000 6,000,000 18,000,000 6,800,000 279,262,500
2,400 3,800 4,300 2,400
8-NOV-93 15-NOV-93 22-N0V-93 20-Dec-93
33.33% 27.27% 36.73% 32.38%
383
-
20,00%
ivestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No. 12 Daily Composite Stock Price Index 1988-1993 Dally Composite Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 High Low Close
Stcxik Price Index 19 88
Jan
¥
^
:'••:•'':
0 0 0 82,600 82,708 82,622 82,622 0 0 0 82,622 82,979 83,149 83,393 83,593 0 0 83,624 83,830 0 84,113 84,113 0 0 83,229 83,229 83,300 83,300 83,531 0 0
0 83,737 83,880 84,124 0 0 0
84,113 82,600 83,531
87,966 83,737 87,966
84,362 85,096 85,168 85,362 85,531 0 0 85,362 85,362 85,362 85,653 85,811 0 0 86,269 86,403 87.081 87,202 87,750 0 0 87,966 0 0
Mar Apr ¥;: May June 88,175 0 0 0 88,216 0 0 114,049 88,127 0 103,190 115.455 88,326 93,464 105.577 0 0 93,529 107,580 0 0 93,650 109,904 115.984 93,632 87,698 0 115.669 93,804 88,225 0 115.644 88.636 0 110,199 115.644 89,000 0 110,727 115,644 89,291 93,917 112,068 0 0 94,017 0 0 0 93,987 112,795 114,198 89,559 94.348 0 114,231 0 113,928 90,660 95,040 0 0 113,592 0 0 113,860 90,581 0 90,764 0 95,009 0 0 0 95,476 0 95,569 113,643 113,882 0 95,793 91,171 0 113,763 95,915 91.713 0 114,714 0 113,815 114,774 92.426 92,619 0 115,034 115,046 0 92,974 96,342 115,389 0 0 98,268 114,068 0 98,565 114,153 115,046 93,188 98,989 0 115,046 93,050 100,528 0 115,414 93,479 0 0 114,414 0 93,749 0 0 93,479 87,698 93,479
100,528 93,464 100,528
Ji-ty ;i ? August 115,253 118,343 0 119,272 0 119.612 115,776 119.996 115,688 120.470 115,688 0 115,688 0 115,688 121.064 0 121.857 0 122,165 0 122,771 115,951 12,344 115,829 0 115.829 0 115,602 124,601 0 124,756 0 0 115,541 126,505 115,626 127,125 115,482 0 115,518 0 115,833 128,711 0 129,090 0 129,093 116,345 130,172 116,514 132,351 0 116,651 0 117,110 0 132,683 0 133,276 0 0
134,659 0 134.578 135.151 135.438 135,903 135,984 136,912 0 0 137,025 137,307 137,733 137,779 138,014 0 0 137,430 136,486 134,878 132,996 132,937 0 0 132,937 132,220 132,261 132,411 0 0
133,276 118,343 133,276
138,014 132,220 132,411
115,389 115,984 117,110 103,190 113,592 115,253 114,153 115,414 117,110
Sept
Oct
Nov 137,490 137,835 137,920 137.750 0 0 138,082 138,437 138,860 139,013 139,538 0 0 139,585 139,585 139,933 140,160 140,386 0 0 149,809 149,866 150,199 150,707 151,521 0 0 152,153 152,199 0 0
Dec 152,955 155,056 0 0 155,742 156,473 160,124 164,639 167,034 0 0 172.001 180.290 0 244,997 366,528 0 0 435,445 442,204 422,689 373,084 337,443 0 0 318,707 313,876 303,632 0 0 0
136,695 152,199 134,147 137,490 136,695 152,199
442,204 152,955 303,632
0 0 134,147 134.959 135,806 136,683 136,124 0 0 136,059 136,114 135.555 135.555 135,708 0 0 135,440 135,418 135,429 135,738 135,926 0 0 135,947 135,916 136,107 136,158 136,695 0 0 0
Daily Composite Stock Price Index, 1989 Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Jan
Feb 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
297,819 297,116 297,910 0 0 296,578 296,112 294,890 295,033 293,742 0 0 294,155 204.340
Mar 314,655 314,825 315,348 0 0 316,136 316,943 317,923 0 0 0 0 316,765 317,206 334,413 332,400
Apr 0 0 335,640 336,428 336,081 335,879 336,024 0 0 336,994 338,240 296,551 296,207 296,654 0 0 295,926 295,780
May' 335,640 336,428 336,081 0 335,879 0 0 0 0 336.024 336,994 338,240 0 0 296,551 296,207 296,654 295,926
June
Si;-July :;,:. August
302,873 303,404 0 0 302,734 300,610 297,327 292.595 292.981 0 0 291.937 292.038 293,576 293.548 293,548 0 0
384
0 0 303.949 306,548 309,011 307.154 307,889 0 0 308.332 321.090 312.075 0 312,306 0 0 318,440 302,660
324.070 343,339 0 274,088 0 0 0 295,532 342,877 376,055 378.678 0 0 396.856 409,679 405,710 0 404,150
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
451,388 446.643 401,928 454,414 446.721 0 459,994 447.304 0 463,489 0 399,951 463,007 0 401,888 0 449.606 0 0 438.173 0 467,214 437.494 398,621 0 0 435,578 0 0 469,403 435,920 0 504,085 0 0 396,531 504.507 461.922 0 398,582 434,253 500.619 0 0 503.532 0 432,122 394,255 491,056 0 430,068 394,648 0 0 426,930 0
478,711 0 0 488,844 491,647 493,757 502,827 507,403
0 473,550
0 425,304 0 0
0 0
tvestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 High
Low Close
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
296,350 296,308 296,205
0 0 0
295,780
0 0
465,145 457,940
457,888 440.440 450.089 448,888 448,913
484,351 475.873
0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
338,240 338,240 303,404 321.080 475.872 295.780 295,780 291,937 0 274.098 295,954 295,954 302,022 320,735 475.873
507,403
469,403
0 0
304,346
295,828
0 295,815 307.776 0 294,488 310,538 296,350 294,465 0 296,308 295,236 0 296,205 0 310,319 296,497 0 309,392
296,497 296,514 296,430 296,514 0 295,982 295,954 0 0 298,439 0 295,832 0 295,954
295,998 297,474
311,623 311,080 0 315,501 298,127 0 300,886 0 302,022 320,785
404,189 404,870 403,040 401,798 402,490
0 0
467,846 455.667 459,329 453,717
0 0
0 392,290 0
432,145 431.036 417,393 413,316 405.290
392,913
0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
449,608
401,928
0 0 400.139 399,743 404.421 401,922
0 451,396 399,743 392,290 448,913
461,922
401,922
392,913
Oct •
Nov
Dec.'
Dally Composite Stock Price Index, 1990 Date;: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Low Close
•Jan
:•:•;;;;¥;;
, Feb
•
0 0 398,773 399,611
444,576
406,490 0 0
449,317 452,113 454,238 459,414 458,840 0 0 457,850
414,760 443,760 449,839
456,074 460,532 0 0 461,680 458,972 455,205 452,168 451,308 0 0
449,642 448,111
443,539 443,559
446,112 0 0
459,565 459,764 464,516 468,015 0 0 473,237 479,391 488,357
490,592 0 0 0
Mar
Apr
0 639,010 635,026 0 527,365 611.136 636,154 0 0 614.161 642,160 0 681,944 643,094 636,243 0 637,087 587,911 654,511 0 636,642 584,323 641,269 0 641,946 636,002 585,904 0 642,984 636,064 577,634 0 585,890 633,485 645,012 0 0 0 632,086 0 634,693 643,312 634,761
515.885
592,949 587,172 561,718 580,763 581,634 0 0 583,158 588,233 592,077 588,802 591,849 0 0
0 611.981 629,448 612.222 0 613,494 0 629,708 0 627,423 626,811 607,626 0 603,124 0 595,935 623,298 593,473
624,601 591,969 ] 0 627,469 0 0 634,421 627,969
639,614 0 0 0 640,014
630,021 590,011 0 587,334 638,922 630,003 0 584,156 640,855 628,281 639,337 0 630,734 585,150 0 0 629,531 641.873 644,441 0 631,170 640.528 646,283 626,908 0 629,473 621,791 0 643.906 583,471 630,096 622,433 0 641.481 0 577,477 0 647,216 622,983 0 573,298 0 647,401 623,958 0 563,490 0 643.910 646,247 0 625,906 551,782 0 638.798 0 0 647,366 626,147 627,960 0 625,786 0 623,762 0
596,732 0
441,252 439,738 441,805
492,825 498,280 504,267 0 0 0
601,882 605.862 612.200 0
0 0 0 0 0
461,680 398,773 441,805
504,270 444.580 504.267
612,200 515,885 612,200
681,944 611,138 638,798
445,627 0 0
Jur«:|;:;|-July ::::;:i August
May
0
631,687
Sept
0 0 416,343 0 0 0 460.580 419,732 0 378.119 567,407 456,901 0 376,287 562,336 452,615
460,580 419,732 396,981 382,203 416,489 382,203
417,788 371,198 417.788
539,391 530,423 529,120 0 0 523,114 515,144 507,072
425,397 0 0 419,243 414,747 407,543 398,558 396,981 0 0
441,766 544,666 433,500 541,870 428,560
500,690 500,299 0 0 494,494 477,378 464,253 454,512
624,087 0 0 619,662 613.574
546,830
559.383 571.020
468,509 0 0 0
647,401 636,150 636,401
637,087 621.791 624,326
631.170 613.574 613,574
613.494 546,830 571,020
567,407 454,512 468.509
May
-June W
July
556.337
371,198 380,968 380,723 0 0 378,582 381,494 383,657 386,116 390,414 0 0 395,212 398,216 397,868 398,241 400,458 0 0 0 0 403,458 410,615 417,788 0 0 0
450,058 0 0 446,341
0 627,105 640,131 626,763 641,140 624,326 0 640,580 0 0
551,571
417,576 437,757 0 0 453,229 430,686 416,489
416,623 415,081 414,507 412,826 412,030 0 0 408,968 406,419 402,510 398,955 398,521 0 0 395,210 391,794 391,930 390,042 390,987 0 0 389,658 388,472 387,377 384,799 382.203 0
557.058 557,147 546,599 0 0
407,675 405.112 409,128
Daily Composite Stock Price Index, 1991
°ate
Jan
F^.:i
383.626 0
McS-^fiMApr: 387.925 0
407.093 404,104
0 0
413,368 412,221
385
342,919 340,386
August 337,573 336,055
Oct
-Sept
Dec:;;
Nov
0
250,735
226,961
363,505
251,371
0
0 243,041
Jnvestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 High Low Close
408,538 408,491 0 0 404,817 401,647 399,163 397,383 394,786 0 0 391,170 390,510 389,224 389,541 393,190 0 0 389,123 387,467 387,076 384,980 384,210 0 0 384,836 385,100 384.404 383.018
0 383,866 382,783 381,000 382,298 381.275 0 0 381.230 0 381.238 382.439 382,268 0 0 385,401 388,301 396,175 400,827 419,533 0 0 427,019 411,402 403,399 391,330 0 0 0
0 382.202 378,582 382,407 386.352 390,046 0 0 398,405 397.098 398,776 400,407 401,030 0 0 398,866 398,150 398.760 397710 398.236 0 0 400,875 403,227 406,980 408,110 0 0
408,538 383,018 383,018
0 0 391,330
408,110 423,191 413,368 0 342,919 337,646 378,582 404,104 396,508 0 322,946 300,980 408,110 413,713 397.600 346,266 339,958 300,980 1,
404,539 406,116 406,775 0 0 408,065 410,793 412,072 411,782 412,480 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 415,554 419,581 421,912 423,191 423,150 0 0 420,571 413,713 0
407,481 0 0 407,585 406,527 406,652 0 407,675 0 0 406,926 404,937 404,782 403,057 404,873 0 0 406,018 406,457 406,703 403,503 402,730 0 0 397,866 0 396,508 397,743 397,600
396,525 395,130 394,000 395,634 395,929 0 0 390,510 390,363 387,246 382,857 379.765 0 0 374.439 374.959 373.924 374.629 372,714 0 0 370,242 367,992 360,386 354,206 346,266 0 0 0
339,465 342.845 341,779 0 0 338,308 332,249 333,377 328,558 328,616 0 0 325,527 324,134 323.257 324.628 322,946 0 0 324,904 325,258 327,756 332,955 332,479 0 0 337,434 338.803 339,958
334,010 332,760 330,685 332.439 0 0 0 337.646 334,250 331,696 329,945 329,938 0 0 322,104 316,469 315,313 320,295 318,579 0 0 314,046 313,684 313,925 308,597 300.980
299,864 299,341 301.091 300,543 0 0 298.330 297.072 296,965 294,540 295,300 0 0 288,088 281,287 271.588 259.296 254.843 0 0 253.094 253.818 258.275 258,119 250,298 0 0 249.187
250,654 250,465 0 0 248,232 246,367 246,373 241.559 241,945 0 0 240,529 239,183 238,157 236,928 233,453 0 0 253,008 230,823 230,985 230,314 229,602 0 0 227,428 227,220 224,706 226,584
0 227,786 229,332 229,061 227.939 229.275 0 0 229,816 237,243 242,252 247,544 248.884 0 0 243,638 243,508 242,795 241,259 239,983 0 0 240,575 240,907 240,644 240,375 241,318 0 0
242,737 242,772 243,126 242.955 245,572 245,737 244,831 243,032 243,446 0 0 245,571 246,057 245,860 248,762 247,912 0 0 0 246,258 247,390 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
303,505 251,371 248,884 248,762 249,187 224,706 226,961 242,737 249,187 226,684 241,318 247,390
Daily Composite Stock Price Index, 1992 Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Jan
: Feb;
Mar
0 246,953 247,300 0 0 249,763 248,272 250,529 250,656 250,202 0 0 252,096 251,406 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 287,197 286,090 288,466 287,061 294,226 0 0 295,310 290.525 291.341 292,551 293,118 0 0 290,910 286,747 280,198 0 279,922 0 0 282.933 281,186 280,301 280,139 280,995
0 280.428 292,856 282,205 0 283,208 0 0 283,998 282,344 282.458 282,212 282,325 0 0 280,615 277,246 275,820 276,813 277,496 0 0 276,974 279,326 0 273,094 277,926 0
Apr
May
June
0 0 335,640 336,428 336,081 335,879 336,024 0 0 336,994 338,240 296,551 296,207 296,654 0 0 295,926 295,780 296,350 296,308 296,205 0 0 296,497 296,514 296,430 295.982 295.954
277,908 0 0 280,038 283,119 286,273 291,227 293,870 0 0 288,654 288,784 289,583 290,243 290.184 0 0 290,984 292,473 294,233 296,305 295,468 0 0 295,477 296,536 297,005 0
298,95 303,580 307,911 313,494 315,573 0 0 323,075 0 329,660 0 329,618 0 0 328,644 329,609 330,868 330,900 331,057 0 0 326,104 325.861 322.525 319.671 319.390 0 0
386
July 314,200 0 315,506 0 0 318,333 319,016 319,702 320,132 321,110 0 0 321,544 322,200 321,373 321,711 321,010 0 0 320,418 320,257 319,212 318,599 321.010 0 0 318.940 317.188
August
Sept
0 0 136,189 315,570 314,589 312,770 312,729 0 0 313,833 314,196 310,556 310.609 310.257 0 0 0 308,296 304,397 301,561 300,279 0 0 301,144 301,002 300,211 301,413 302,055
301,584 300,085 300,345 298,893 0 0 299,656 298,916 0 297,176 296,101 0 0 0 295,565 295,351 296,723 296,391 296,197 0 0 295,175 295,605 297,848 297,872 297,525 0 0
: Oct:"
Nov
0 298,562 299.863 306,202 Q 305,305 0 304,532 300,784 304,535 299,434 304,536 0 299,669 0 299,828 302,857 302,405 0 301,467 0 300,619 304,654 299.376 304,917 296.741 305,642 0 306,145 0 306,322 291.718 0 292,652 0 290,666 306,717 288,812 306,706 288,878 307,128 0 306,445 0 309,614 288,520 0 287.999 0 285,870 308,398 287,066 308,254 284,660 305,884 0
Dec 284,349 282,357 281,211 280,454 0 0 279,365 278,570 277,563 278,950 278,577 0 0 278,387 295,351 272,776 273,030 271,855 0 0 270,454 272,189 271,746 271,278 0 0 0 271,693
ivestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
29 30 31
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 278,550 278,688
h
0 0 0
295,310 276,387 280,995
283,998 275,820 278,688
V
se
0 0 0
299,223 0 0
318,125 316716 313,568 317,948 313,057 317,186
0 0 0
298,861 298,392 0
0 271,77 305,368 307,577 285,604 274,335 0 0 0
322,200 314,200 317,186
316,189 300,211 302,055
309,614
469,403 306,202 451,396 284,660 461,922 285,604
338,240 299,223 331,057 295,780 277,908 298,59 295,954 299,223 313,568
298,562 307.577
295,351 270,454 274,335
Daily Composite Stock Price Index, 1993 }ate
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 g 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 High
Low Close
Feb
:Mar
0 0 0 273,582 273,308 274,841 276,848 279,105 0 0 278,521 278,069 277,413 276,423 277,267 0 0 277,938 277,152 0 276,743 277,051 0 0 276,703 276,289 275,969 277,242 280,146 0 0
280.886 280,385 283,945 289,195 292,040 0 0 295,812 297,910 299,399 299,606 300,540 0 0 301,776 301.994 302,693 301,924 300,443 0 0 301,221 299,818 299,814 300,216 300,378 0 0 0 Q 0
300,445 300,839 302,075 304,775 307,194 0 0 308,503 310,080 311,779 312.687 312,951 0 0 311,696 311,089 310,776 310,375 312,067 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 310,504 311,273 310,758
311.125 310,078 0 0 309,601 309,346 308,371 307,810 0 0 0 308,445 307,227 307,293 308,673 308,680 0 0 310,488 312,001 312,002 311,283 310,778 0 0 311,142 311,265 312,187 313,215 314,099 0
0 0 313,688 313,912 313,607 315,075 0 0 0 316,372 316,409 319,121 321,842 323,547 0 0 325,434 325,316 326,411 326,437 0 0 0 328,797 330,636 334,914 333,924 337,172 0 0 341,850
0 345,991 349,817 349,662 0 0 349,343 352,001 352,826 351,380 350,296 0 0 351,344 351,703 354,008 354,926 355,636 0 0 0 356,175 358,383 358,394 358,889 0 0 358,624 358,841 460,346 0
360,534 360,724 0 0 359,583 361,050 360,277 360,126 359,672 0 0 359,423 356,755 357.192 356,576 356,742 0 0 356,364 354,826 355,073 355,196 355,430 0 Q 355,329 355,498 354,639 354,055 356,721 0
280,146 273,308 280,146
302,693 280,385 300,378
312,951 300,445 310,758
314,099 307,277 314,099
344,860 313,507 341,850
360,346 345,991 360,346
361,050 354,055 356,721
. ,:Jan :
;> . A p r : ,
May
;
June W ;: Ju)y .|.: August
387
Sept
0 0 382,014 0 383,429 384,846 387,910 0 0 390,175 393,631 398,491 405,561 409,673 0 0 0 417,301
422,825 418,409 417.161 0 0 416,128 418,057 422,349 426,110 427.986 0 0 428,334 428,366 431,313 430,053 430,357 0 0 431,490 430,567 427.756 425.343 424,044 0 0 420,903 418,399 419,504 419,961 0
417,301 356,842 417,301
431,490 416,128 419,961
356,842 358,130 358,690 359,999 362,607 0 0 0 364,607 369,830 377,354 380,289 379,941
Oct
Nov
Dec i;
443.269 0 0 446,245 441,571 439,421 436.490 438,547 0 0 440.409 443,874 448,980 453,954 454,838 456,795 0 0 469,025 463,093 466,308 466,218 0 0 464,468 464,640 464,801 485,105 466,147 0 0
439.097 474,008 484,251 500,754 507,222 0 0 507,777 508,050 510,231 511,349 512,869 0 0 516,812 523,190 533,183 535,250 535,114 0 0 536,460 523,314 523,834 524,200 522,417 0 0 520.460 518,779 0
517,859 520,005 521.728 0 0 523,536 523,412 523,317 525,317 528,457 0 0 527.932 536,080 543,835 553,358 556,947 0 0 552.896 552,197 550.072 557,343 560,598 0 0 565,941 572,566 587,883 588,765 0
466,308
536,460
588.765
436,490 439,097 466,147 518,779
517,859 588,765
^/estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendi.x No. 13 Market Capitalization, Share Listed and Foreign Ownership in 1993 No Code
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A8DA ADES ADMG AHAP AKPt AKRA ALKA ANSI AQUA
10 ARGO 11 ASBI 12 ASDM 13 ASGR 14 ASIA 15 ASH 16 ASRM 17 ASTR 18 BATA 19 BATI 20 BAYU 21 BBLD 22 BDMN 23 BDNI 24 BOTA 25 BFIN 26 BIMA 27 BIRA 23 BLTA 29 BNBM 30 BNBR
31 BNGA
Company Name
Shares
Listed Shares
ForelgnOwnershlp Available Owned 28.10
13,756
9,826,000
1,414,740
3,461,990
79,800
38,000,000
18,620,000
18,299,000
8,321.000
472,000
160,000,000
78,400,000
44,716.600
33.683.400
20,400
6,000,000
2,940,000
2,834.900
105.100
303,500
132,000,000
64.580,000
28,835,115
35.844.885
367,250
65,000,000
31,850,000
17,733,000
14.117.000
23,595
21,450,000
10,510,500
7,953,450
2.557.050
124,000
62,000,000
60,760,000
5,460,000
55,300,000
26,200
9,000,000
4,410.000
2,640,750
1,769,250
92,194
30,227,500
14,811.475
913,875
13,897,600
13,800
4,500,000
2,254,000
1,702,900
551,100
43,000
20,000,000
9,800,000
5,650,000
4,150.000
23,370
6.150,000
3,013,500
250
3,013.250
63,000
30,000.000
14,700,000
7,570,000
7,130,000
3,400,460
1.162,550.400
569,649,696
.
569,649,696
16,500
3.000,000
1,470,000
695,000
775,000
33,390
25,200,000
12,348,000
7,173,600
S.174,400
17,973
4,550,000
2,229,500
-
16
2,229,484
26,400
6,600,000
3,234,000
200
3,233,800
90,000
24,000,000
11,760,000
330 2889470
11,759,670
175,500
45,000,000
22,050,000
944,280
292,800,000
143,472,000
1,724.324
469,203,898
229,909,910
163,731
81.865,512
40,114,101
165,770
57,659.116
28,252,967
73,750
25,000,000
12,250,000
10,513,000
1,737,000
196,000
80,000,000
39,200,000
25,150,000
14,050,000
123,480
58,800,000
28,812,000
254,570
28,527,430
158,000
68,000,000
33.320.000
18.119,500
15,200,500
1.659,002
242.190,000
118,673.100
52.711,644
85,961,456
502,664
57.777.417
28,310,934
1,352,750 44.69
-
42,96 3,57
A H A P Insurance
55,42
Argha Karya P r i m a Ind.
44,32
A n e k a Kimia R a y a
24,33
Alumindo P e r V a s a
91,01
Anwar Sierad
40,12
A q u a G o l d e n Mississipl
93,83
Argo P a n t o s
24,45
AsuransI Bintang
42,35
Asuransi Dayin Mitra
99,99
Astra G r a p h i a
48,50
A s i a n a Inti Industries Astra International Inc Asuransi R a m a y a n
100,00 52,72
f
•
41,90
Aster D h a r m a Industry
100,00
Sepatu 8ata
99,99
B A T Indonesia
100,00
Bayu Buana BBL D h a r m a l a F i n a n c e
Bintang K h a r i s m a Bank Bira Beriian Laju T a n k e r Bank Mashill U t a m a Bakri & Brothers
26.61 7,518,945
1,544,776
316,303.104
154,988,521
1.153,795
166,096,000
91,187.040
176.938
74.500,000
36.505,000
24.000
8,000,000
3,920,000
75,000,000
36,750.000
Bank T i a r a A s i a
281,250
99,01 45,62 55,58
30,98 8,771.867 100,00
133 154,988,388
100,00
48 91,186,992
61,37
14103008 22,401,992
0.27
3909500
388
14,18 35,84
19539067
Bank N i a g a
Bank Surya
4,43 1,777,000
20734022
B u n a s F i n a n c e Indonesia
BNSY
68,76 158,078,068
38337101
Bank Duta
Bank P a p a n S e j a h t o r a
28,42 40,781,000
71831842
BDNI
BNPS
87,89 19,160,530
102691000
Bank D a n a m o n
B a n k Bali
36 BNTA
(mtfiion Rp)
Andayani M e g a h
33
35
49%o/ToUI
A d a s AHindo
Bank Int'l Indonesia
34
Total Usted
D h a m i a l a Insurance
32 BNII BNU
CapltallMtlon
10,500 62,81 13.666,000
23.084,000
ivestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
"^T~BNUM iS BRAM 39 BRNA 40
BRPT
41 BUMI 42
BYSB
43
BYSP
44 CFIN 45 CMPP 46 CNBE 47 CNTX
Bank Umum Nasional
52 CTRA 53 DART 54 OAVO 55 DILD 56 DLTA 57 DMAD 58 DNKS 59 DPNS 60 DSST 61 DUTl 62 DVUV 63 DYNA 54 EKAD 65 EMPT
26.149,752
12,813,378
11,717,878
1,095,500
804,375
225.000,000
110,250,000
88,305,280
21,944,720
43,700
23.000,000
11,270,000
6,444,550
4,825,450
4,865,000
1.400,000,000
686.000,000
523,897,100
162,102,900
90,000
45,000,000
22,050.000
16,261,500
5.788,500
6,113
2,324,100
1.138,809
159
1.138,550
4.415
2,324,100
1,138,809
260.709
878,100
20.825
3,966,572
1,943,620
321
1,943,299
143.100
5.400,000
26,460,000
21,549,500
4,810,500
93,539
21,020,000
10.299,800
2.256.700
8,033,100
6.213
3,500,000
1,715,000
1,690,350
24,650
33.150
13,000,000
6,370,000
3,729,000
2,641,000
506.761
56,306,767
27,590,316
2,954,466
24,635,850
426,240
153,600,000
75,264.000
2,409.260
72,854,740
166,500
45,000,000
22,050.000
14,900
22,035,100
1,400,000
250,000,000
122,500,000
74,921.000
47,579,000
412,500
275,000,000
134,750,000
55,980,074
78,769,926
91,603
45,801,250
22,442,613
14,476.113
7,966,500
505,526
243,627,000
119,377,230
22,341,760
97,035,470
14,704
2,940,819
1,441.001
391
1,440,610
21,600
36,000,000
17,640,000
13,191,700
4,448.300
480,533
42,525,000
20,837,250
10,439,412
10,397,838
20.760
34,600.500
16,954.245
1,673,796
15,280,449
542,700
324,000,000
158,760.000
24,988,937
133,771,063
714,375
225,000,000
110,250,000
86,039,000
24,211,000
214,063
31,250,000
15,312,500
7,163,500
8,149,000
146,602
32,578,200
15,963,318
6,050
15,957,268
39,131
11,180,400
5,478.396
2,880,024
432,000
60,000,000
29,400,000
18,008,000
11,392,000
22,103
24,559,000
12,033,910
310
12,033,600
227.707
126,504,000
61,986,960
7,335,781
54,651,179
44,625,000
21,866,250
13,517,150
8,349,100
710.400
222.000,000
108,780,000
66,850,000
41,930,000
52.500
20,000,000
9,800,000
6,196,800
3.603,200
63,000,000
30,870,000
11,387,530
19,482,470
6,150,000
3,013,500
350
3,013,150 51,932,956
19,90
Branta Mulia Berlina
42.82
Barito Pasific Timber
23,63 26.25
Bumi Modem Hyatt Bayer Indonesia (Com .Stock) Bayer Indonesia (Pref.Slock) Clipan Rnance Indonesia Centris MuttI Persada Pratama Concord Benefit Enterprise Centex
48 CPDW Cipendawa Farm Enterprise Charoen Pokphand 49 CPIN Indonesia 50 CPPR Central Protein Prima 51 CTBN
8,55 70,604
99,99 77,11 99,98 18,18 77.99 1.44 41.46 89.29 96.80 99.93
Citra Tubindo
38.84
Ciputra Development
58.46
Duta Anggada Realty
35.50
Davomas AbadI
81.28
Dharmala Intiiand
99.97
l^lta Djakarta
25.22
Dharmindo Adhiduta ,
49.90
Dankos (.^boratories
90.13
Duta Pertiwi Nusantara
84.26
Dharmala Sakti Sejahtera
21.96
Duta Pertiwi
53.22
Darya Varia Laboratories
99.96
Oynaplast
47.43
Ekadamia Tape Industries Enseval Putera Megatrading
*% rr^a
'^^^
2,598,372
38.75
100.00 66 ERTX
Eratex Djaja
67 ESTl
Ever Shine Text
68 FAST
Fast Food Indonesia
69 FASW
Fajar Surya Wisesa
70 FCOR
Ficorinvest Bank
156.188
71 GDWU Ganda Wangsa Utama 53.000 72 GDYR
Goodyear Indonesia
73 GGRV
Gudang Garam
74 GGST
Great Golden Star
75 GJTL
Gajah Tunggal
76 GRIV
Great Rwer Industries
77 GSMF
Gajah Surya Mutti Rnance
36.900
38.18 38.55 36.77 63.11 99.99 22.03
6.313.414
481.022.000
235,700,780
183,767,824
118.800
12.000.000
5,880,000
5,880,000
1,188,000
78 HOTX
88.17
396.000.000
0 85.84
194,040,000
27,471,535
166,568,365 25,728,462
62.01
129,360
84,680,000
41,493,200
15,754,738
192.192
160,160,000
78,478,400
18.149,445
60,328,955
93,100,000
36.272,850
56.827,150
Hadtex Indosyntec 242.250
190,000,000
389
76.87 61.04
jivestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
79
HERO
80 HMSP
Hero Supermarket Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna
77.63 392,808
110,650,000
54,218,500
12,130,450
42,088,050
4,860,000
450,000,000
220,500,000
27,102,500
193.397,500
87.71 71.57
81
HPSB
Hotel Prapatan
59,366
49,517,113
24,263,385
5,897,330
17,366,055
82
IDVS
Indovest Bank
110,000
50,000.000
24,500,000
5,231,159
19.268,841
83
IGAR
Igaqaya
17,500
17,500,000
8,575,000
6,830,633
1,744,367
84
IKBI
IKl Indah Kabei Indonesia
84.600
36,000,000
17.640,000
342,000
17.298,000
85
IMAS
Indosepamas Anggun
109,615
24,912,568
12,207.158
1,503,190
10,703,968
86
INA)
Indal Alumunjum Industry
173,800
44,000.000
21,560,000
13,305.000
8,255,000
87
INCF
IndocHra Finance
14,000
11.200,000
5,488,000
4.853.750
634.250
88 INCI
Intan Wijaya Chemical Ind
37,400
44,000,000
21.560,000
10.120.900
11.439.100
89 INCO
International Nickel Indonesia
155,255
49,581,694
24,344.030
-
24.344,030
6,599,950
763,000,000
373.870.000
932.239
372.937,761
482,537
50,317,149
29.555,403
1.543,640
28,011,763
60,000
37,500,000
18,375,000
15,637,600
2,737,400
1,615,663
673,192,741
329,864,443
81
329,864,362
45,805
19,085,500
9,351,944
244
9,351,700
2,322,259
407.413,827
199,532,775
59.153,574
140,479,201
52,871
15,325,000
7,509,250
4,953,750
2,555,500
79,025
29,000,000
14,210,000
7,971.900
6,238,100
34,704
15,088,800
7,393,512
2,945,792
4,447,728
7,653,709
4,207,226,660
. 591,541,063 ,
486,096,735
106,444,328
8,154.553
1,035,500
507,395,000
172,111,000
335,254,000
57,750
21,000,000
10,290,000
10,130,500
159.500
264,600
75,600,000
37,044,000
3,754,500
33,289,500
Jemtxj Cable Company
1,100,122
386,007,840
189,143,842
63,845,222
119,298,520
Jakaria Int'l Hotel& Dev
383,524
148,941,466
72,981,318
3,509.690
69,471,628
30,000
15,000,000
7,350,000
5,792,550
1,557,450
1,645,000
235,000,000
115,150,000
80.720,500
34,429,500
32,951
7,322,455
3,588,003
350,503
3,237,500
21,595,500
10,254,500
78.65 20.34 98.06 87.59 38.29 11.56 53.06 100.00
90
INDF
Indofood Sukses Makmur
91
INDR
Indo-rama Synthetics
92 93
INDS INKP
Indospring Indah Kiat Paper 4 Pulp Ind
94
INPC
Inter Pacific Bank
95
INRU
Intl Indorayon tJtama
96
INSA
Intinusa Selareksa
97 INTA
Intraco Penta
98 INTD
Inter Delia
99 INTP
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa
00 ISAT
Indosat
01 ITIvtA
ttamaraya Gold Industry
02 JECC 03 JIHD 04 JPFA 05 JPRS 06 JRPT 07 JWJl 08 KARW 09 KBLl 10 KBLM 11 KIAS 12 KICI 13 KKGI 14 KLBF 15 UON 15 LMPI 17 LMSH
Japfa Jaya Pari Steel Jaya Real Property
99.75 94.78 14.90 100.00 100.00 70.37 34.03 43.90 60.15 17.99 66.08 1.55 89.86 63.07 95.19 21.19 29.90 90.23 32.20
Jeewon Jaya Indonesia
188,500
65,000,000
31,850,000
Karwelllndonesia
420,000
140,000,000
58,600,000
7,614,500
60,985,500
Kabel Metal Indonesia
105,000
14,000,000
6,860,000
2,943,800
3,916,200
Kabelindo Mumi
242,250
85,000,000
41,650,000
18,888,000
22,762.000
147.500
50,000,000
24,500,000
8,000
24.492.000
33,750
50,000.000
24,500,000
3.168,600
21,331,400
1,954,800
216,000,000
105,840,000
27,889,756
77,950,244
10,039
5,501,000
2,695,490
34,790
2,660,700
206,500
59,000,000
28,910,000
25,721,000
2,189,000 1,832,250
Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Kedaung Indah Can Kumia Kapuas Utama Glue Ind. KableFarma Lion Metal Worits Langgeng Makmur Plastic Ind. Lionmesh Prima
18 LPBN
LippoBank
19 LPIN
Lippo Industries
20 LPLD
Lippo Land Development
21 LPU
Lippo Life Insurance
88.90 57.09 54.65 99.97 87.07 73.65 98.71 7.57 77.90
7,920
4,800,000
2.352,000
519,750
971,244
285,660,000
139,973,400
35.073,495
104,899,905
38,888
7.625.000
3.736.250
-
3,736.250
746,431
248,826,846
121.925.155
15,572,371
106,352.784
390
74.94 100.00 87.23 100.00
vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
r
312,430
45,610,294
22,349,044
1
22,349,043
44,557
18,964.300
9,292,752
1,499,188
7,793,564
201,600
28,000,000
13,720,000
-
13,720.000
66,000
55,000.000
26,950,000
21,962,500
4.987.500
Multibreeder A d i r a m a Indonesia
186,250
50,000,000
24,500,000
10,458.560
14.041.440
126 MDBN
M o d e m Bank
264,000
120,000,000
53,800,000
43,696.500
15,103.500
127 MDLN
M o d e m l a n d Realty Ltd.
448,800
74,800,000
36,552,000
14,000.500
22.651.500
128 MDRN
M o d e m Photo Film Company
1,200,465
133,384,950
55,358,625
27.316.626
38.042.000
567,840
101,400,000
49,586,000
29,056.500
20.629.500
15,960
1,680,000
823,200
349,755
473.435
21,472
3,520,012
1,724.806
56
1.724.750
750,000
125,000,000
61,250.000
36,422.000
24.828.000
850,000
378,000,000
185,220,000
166,268,000
18.952.000
55,712
34,284,000
16,799,160
1,889,340
14.909,820
616,365
150,333,000
73,563,170
23,459,910
50,203,250
21,540
18,200,000
8,918,000
8,223,808
694,192
38.537
18,351,026
8,992.003
295
8,991,708
81.671
49,497,450
24,253,751
12,891,411
11,362,340
52.920
26,460,000
12,965,400
6,055.100
6,910.300
1.379.851
127,764,000
62,504,360
4.440.427
58,163,933
86,240
15,400,000
7,546,000
6,311,900
1,234,100
47.600
68,000,000
33,320,000
29,414,400
3,905,500
74.000
20,000,000
9,800,000
3,717.500
6,082,500
196.875
62,500,000
30,625,000
20.514.500
10,110,500
219,375
135,000,000
66,150,000
45.947,000
20,203.000
431,250
125,000,000
61,250,000
33,294,000
27,956,000
33,600
38,400,000
18,816,000
162,800
18,653,200
162,500
50,000,000
24,500,000
17,717,000
6,783,000
157,031
93,750,000
45,937,500
12,542,559
33.294,941
7,980
840,000
411,600
-
411,600
879.750
345,000,000
169,050,000
135,461,300
33,588,700
207
117,953,500
122 LPPF 123 LPPS ^24 MAMI 125 MBAi
83.87
i-ippo Pasific R n a n c e
100.00
Lippo Securities
18.51
M a s Muri Indonesia
57.31 25.59 61.80 58.21
129 MEDC 130 MERK 131 MLBI 132 WILIA 133 MLND 134 MLPL 135 MPPA
M e d c o Energi Corporation Merck Indonesia Multi Bintang Indonesia Mulia Induslrindo Mulialand Multipolar Corporation Matahari Putra Prima
136 MREI
Maskapai R e a s u r a n s i Indonesia 137 MTDL Metrodata Electronics 138 MTFN Bakrie Finance Corporation 139 MTSM Metro Supermaricet Realty 140 MYOR
Mayora
141 IrfYRX
Mayartox Indonesia
142 MYTX
Mayatexdin Industry
143 NIPS
Nipress
144 NISP
BankNISP
145 MORE
O m e t r a c o Realty
146 OMTR
Ometraco
147 PBRX
Panbrothers T e x
148 PCMF 149 PDFC 150 PGIN
Rnance
Perdanacipta Multi Finance Bank P D F C I Procter i Indonesia
41.52 57.51 100.00 40.54 10.23 88.75 68.15 7.78 100.00
Gamble
46.85 53.30 92.91 16.35 11.72 .'
62.07 33.01 30.54 45.64 99.13 27.69 72.48 100.00 19.87
151 PLIN
P l a z a Indonesia Realty
152 PNBN
PaninBank
649.949
240,721,850
117,953,707
153 PNIN
Panin Insurance
135,161
90,107,370
44,152,511
2,580
44,149,931
147,998
73,999,228
36,259,622
9,193
36,250,429
92,664
23.760,000
11,642,400
9,469,874
2,172,526 78,805,175
154 PNLF
Panin Life
155 PNSE
Pudjiadi i Sons Estates
'56 POLY
Polysindo Eka Perkasa
157 POOL
Pool Asuransi Indonesia
158 PRAS '59 PSDN '80 PTRA '51 PTRO
Prima Alloy Steel Universal Prashida Aneka Niaga
'63 PUDP
Pudjiadi Prestige Umited
99.97 18.66 58.27
1,145,400
276,000,000
135,240,000
100.000
25,000,000
12,250,000
8,575,000
3,675,000
15.500
20,000,000
9,800,000
8,626,000
1,174,000
375,000
120,000,000
58,800,000
34,582,500
24,217,500
653,625
315,000,000
154,350,000
77,649.500
76,700,500
70,200
18,000,000
8,820,000
300
8,819,700
151.125
31,000,000
15,190,000
8,476,000
6.714,000
100,000,000
49,000,000
25,815,500
23.184,500
Petrosea Putra Sejahtera P.
99.99
56,434,825
Putra surya Pefkasa
'82 PTSP
100.00
192.500
391
30.00 11.98 41.19 49.69 100.00 44.20 47.32
vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
164 PWON Pakuwon Jati 165 PWSI
166 RAMA 167 RDTX 158 RIGS 169 RMBA 170 SAFE
171 SAIP 172 SCCO 173 SCPI 174 SDPC 175 SHDA
176 SHID 177 SIMA 178 SKBM 179 SKLT 180 SMAR
181 SMCB 182 SMGR 183 SMRA 184 SOBI 185 SONA
186 SPMA 187 SQBI 188 SRSN 189 SSGS 190 SUBA
191 SUU 192 SUMI 193 TBMS 194 TCID 195 TEJA
196 TEXT '97 TFCO '98 TGKA '99 TIRA 2M TKGA
96.12 388,500
210,000,000
102,900,000
3,993,454
98.906.536
181.500
33,000,000
16,170.000
6,551,000
9.619.000
178,125
75,000,000
36.750.000
21,730.000
15.020,000
196.000
56,000,000
27.440.000
280
27.439.720
33,502
60,915,000
29.848.840
200
29.843,540
10,540
6,650,000
3,258,500
41.900
3,216.500
247.800
59,000,000
28.910,000
20.459.500
8.450.500
159.500
112,000,000
54,880,000
51.204.108
3,675.892
283.248
45,685.200
22.385.748
-
22.385.748
7.290
1,080,000
529,200
28
529.172
17.110
13.550,000
6,688,500
6,650.350
38.150
224.668
21,396,975
10,484,518
5,830.902
4,553,515
34.877
24,912,000
12,206,880
9,376,140
2,830,740
61.250
35,000,000
17,150,000
15,420,500
1,729,500
290.290
100,100,000
49,049,000
10,670,650
38,378.350
103.950
37,800,000
18,522,000
8,305,120
10.216,880
588,000
210,000,000
102,900,000
9,043,100
93,856,900
836,707
164,205,000
80,460,450
100
80,460,350
518,000
70,000,000
34,300,000
-
34,300.000
147,603
41,000,700
20,090,343
11,005,478
9,084.865
360,000
40,000,000
19,500,000
10,542,665
9,057.335
195,960
27,500,000
13,524,000
1,259,980
12.254,020
164,350
86,500,000
42,385,000
23,963,500
18,421,500
5,540
972,000
476,280
70,080
406.200
72,250
28,900,000
14,161,000
2,962,100
11.198,900
7,950
5,300,000
2,597,000
8,000
2,589,000
45,000
22,500,000
11,025,000
3,801,100
7,223,900
587,500
125,000,000
61,250,000
42,700,500
18,549,500
16,800
21,000,000
10,290.000
9.509.500
780,500
13,131
3,367,000
1,649,830
246,800
1,403,030
91,000
13.000,000
5,370,000
-
6,370,000
420,000
100,000,000
49,000,000
32,253,000
16,747,000
49,333
13,333,280
6,533,307
6,443,807
89,500
17,388
6,440,000
3.155,600
2.077.520
1,078,080
360,450
40,500,000
19,845,000
5,117.747
14,727.253
70,000
14,000,000
6,860,000
4,383,900
2.476,100
46,800
26,000,000
12,740,000
3,589,000
9,151,000
Panca Wiratama Sakti
59.49
Bank Rama
40.87
Roda Vitatex
100.00
Rig Tenders Indonesia
100.00
Rimba Niaga Idola
98.71
Steady Safe
29.23
Surabaya Agung Sakti P.K
6.70
SUCACO Sobering Plough Indonesia NVPD Soedarpo Corporation Sari Husada
100.00 99.99 0.57 44.39
Hotel Sahid Jaya
23.19
Super Indah Makmur
10.08
Sekar Bumi
78.24 55.16
SekarLaut
91.21
SMART Corporation
100.00
Semen Cibinong Semen Gresik (Persero)
"
100.00 45.22
Summarecon Agung
46.21
Sorini Corporation Sona Topaz Tourism Industry
90.68
43,46
Suparma
85.29
Squibb Indonesia
79.08
Sarasa Nugraha
99.69
Spanjang Surya Gas
65.52
Suba Indah
30.28
Sumalindo Lestari Jaya
7.59
Supermitory Utama
85.04
Temt>aga Muiya Semanan
100.00
Tancho Indonesia Texmaco Jaya
Textron ic Permai Electronics Tifico
34.18
-
1.37 34.16 74.21
Tiga Raksa
36.09
Tira Austenite
71.83
Toko Gunung Agung
392
^vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
201 TKIM
Tjiwi Kimia
202 TMBN
Tamara Bank
203 TOTO
Surya Toto Indonesia
204 TPEN
Texmaco perkasa Enginering Dharmala Agrifoods
205 TPFC
206 TRPK 207 TRTS 208 TSPC
Ultra Jaya Milk
43,200.000
21,158,000
20,747.500
420.500
154,741
33,620,625
16,474,106
2.120,293
14,353,813
336,000
105,000.000
51,450,000
28,736,000
22,714,000
150,360
125,300,000
51,397,000
50,605,500
10,791,500
38,400
24,000,000
11,750.000
6,790,500
4,969,500
336,000
96,000,000
47,040,000
18,909,600
28.130.400
791.250
75,000,000
36,750,000
19,990,000
16.750.000
34.560
21.600.000
10,584.000
10,350,500
233.500
457,740
83,026.330
43.133.171
2,700
43.130.471
346,500
132,000.000
64,580.000
32,367,985
32.312,015
30.248
11.100,000
5,439,000
3,740,800
1.698,200
648,600
138,000,000
67,620,000
13,870,767
53,749,233
22,973
1,584,360
776,336
665,986
110,350
400,793
11,451.225
5,611,100
266,677
5,344,423
158,000
42,000.000
20,580,000
12,000
20,568,000
415,800
66.000,000
32,340,000
13,756,000
18,534,000
19,131
15,942,675
7,811,911
236
7,811,675
11,746,446,512
4,683,576,376
7,062,870,136
1.99 87.13 44.15 17.58
42.26 59.80 45.61
Unggul Indah Corp
213 UNTR
United Tractor
218 ZBRA
77,750
99.99
Bakrie Sumatra Plantation
217 WICO
77,804,741
2.21
212 UNSP
216 VOKS
57,633,020
Temp Scan Pasifik
210 ULTJ
215 UNVR
145,437,761
Trias Sentosa
Ugahari
214 UNTX
296,811,758
Trafindo Perkasa
209 UGAR
211 UNIC
53.50
1,216,928
49.96 31.22 79.49
Unit ex
14.21
Unilever Indonesia
95.25
Voksel Electric
99.94
Wicaksana Overseas Int'l
57.46
Zebra Nusantara
100.00
23,854,339,821
TOTAL 103,835,241
Sorce: JSX Statistics 1994, vVarious Issue
393
vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No. 14 Share Price Movements in August 1993 No"
Co!
^ W~3 ,:,:• , 4
, ;:::?A'
V
5
6
9
10
11
^°°
^^
^^^
®^^
^^^
W~^: 12
13
825
550
18
925
IS
; 20
950
825
23 , . 24 , 2 3
675
950
2 PTA D E S
^''^^
^•''^^
^•^'^
^•^°°
''•'^°°
^''^^
•'•'^°°
''•''^
•'•''^
•'•®°°
^•''25
1.200 1.200 1,200
o p j AOMG
^'^^
^''^^
^'^^^
''^"^
^'^"^
^•''^^
''•^°°
''•''^
''•''^
''•^^
''•''25
1.125
4 PT A H A P
^•''^
•'•"'^^
^•''•^^
^•''^
^•''^
^•''^^
^•''^^
^•"'25
3.125 3,125 3,125
5 PT AKPI
^•°°° *'°°°
fi PT A K R A
^•^°° "'•®°° •^•®°° ^^"^ •'•^°° •'•®°° •'•®°° •'•®°° •'•*^ •'•®°° •'•*'° ^^^ •'•*" ^•*'° ^'^"^ ^•*'° ''•*'° ^'^^^ ^•*°°
7 PTA L K A
''•®°°
8PTANSI
^'^^^ ^'^^^ ''•^^^ ^'^^^ ^'^^^ ^•''^^ •'•^^^ ''•^^ •'•^^ ^•''^ •'•'^^ •'•'^ ^'^^ ''•^^^ ^-^^ ^'^^ ^'^^^ ^'^^ ^' 750
9 PT A Q U A
^•°°° ''•°°° ''•°°° ^'"^^ ^•°°° ^•°°° '*'°°° ^•°°° ''•°°° ^'""^ ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^'"^^ '*'°°° ^'"^^ *'°°° ^•°°° ^
10 PT A R G O
•^•^°° •^•'^°° ^•^°° •'•*°° ^•'*°° •'•®°° •^•®°° '^•^^ -^'^^^ ^'^^ ^'^^ ^'^^ ^•^'^ ^•^°° ''•'°° ^'^'^ ^'^^ *''^°° *
11 PT ASBI
^••'^^ ^•''^^ •'••'^^ '•''^^ '•''^^ ^•''^^ ^•''^ ''•''^^ '•''^ ^''^ ^••'^^ ^''^ ^•''^ ^•''^^ ^'^^ ^'^"^ ''^"^ ^•^°° '•'
12 P T A S D M
''^^
''^^
^'^^^
''^^
^'250
1.225
1,250
1.225
1,175 1,125 1,125
13 PT ASGR
^•®°°
^•^'^
^'^°°
^'^^^
^'^^
^'^^
^'^^
^•^'^
^^^
14 PT ASIA
^'^^^ ^•'"^ ^'^^^ -^'^^^ ^'^^ ^•®°° ^'^^ ^'^^^ ^'^^^ ^•*°° ^'^^^ ^®^^ ^'^^ ^'®°° ^'®°° ^'^^ ^'^^ ^'"^ '•
1.200 1,200 1,200 1,175
I.ISO
900
31
''•°^
1.200
900
27
''•'^^
1,175
900
26
1 PTABDA
''•^^
825
16
900
1.150 1,600
1,200 1,150
1,150
3,125 3,125 3,125 3,125 3,125 3,125 3,125
3,125
^•°°° ^•°°° ^•''°° ^^"^ *'^°° *'^''^ ^•®°° ''•*'° ^'^^^ ^•''^ *'^^ *'^°° *'^^ *'^°° *'^^ *'^^ ^-^^
^'^^
^'^^
•'•^^
^•''^
''•^^
•^••^°°
^•^'^
^'3^
2,400
2.350
2.325
2,300
2,325
^325
2.325
2.325
2.000
1,000 .000 125
15 P T A S H
^'^^
1,200 1,200 1.200 1,175. 1,200 1,150 1,150 1.800
^ ' ^ ^ •,5,eoo
5,6OQ
s.eoo
s.soo
s.soo
5,60o
s.eoo
5,700 375
13,000 13,000 13,000 13,200 13,550 14,300 14,450 14,400 14,400 14,450 14,600 14,700 14,950 15,000 15,150 16,000 17,500 17450 17 ,000
15 PT ASRM
^'^^ ^'^^ ^•'®°'^ ^'®" ^'^"^ ^'®°° ^'^°° ^-^^^ ^•^°° ^•®°° ^•®°° ^•®°° ^'^^^ ^'*^ ^'^°° ^'^^ ^'^°° ^'^°° ^'^°°
17 PT ASTR
^''°° ^•'°° '•°''^ '•''°° ^•'°° ''^"^ ^''^^ ^'^^^ '•'°° ^'^"^ ^'^^^ ^''^ ^'^^^ ^'^^^ ^•^'^ ^'^^^ ^'^°° ^'^°° ^'^^
18 PT BATA
^'-^^ •'•''°° •'•''°° ^•''°° ^•'^°° ^'^^ ^•'*°° •^•'*°° ^•''^^ ^''^ •'•"^ ^'^"^ ''•®°° '''^°° ^'^^ ''•^°° ^'^^ ^'^^ '^'*°°
19 P T B A T I
2.150
20 PT BAYU
I'®"" ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•'^°° ''^^ ^'^^ ^'®^ ^•'^^ ^•'^^ ''•^^^ ^'^^ ^'^^ ^'^^ ''^^ ^'^^ ^'*^ ^'^^ ^'^^
21 PT BBLD
^•^^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•3°° ^•^°° ^••'°° •'•^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^'^"^ ^'^°° ^'^°° ^'^°° ^'^°° ^'^°° ^'^°°
22 P T B D M N
^,625
S.SSO 3,650
3.625
3,625
3,650
3,650
3,675
4,000
4,025
4,025
4,050
4,175 4,350
23 P T B D N I
2''50
2,150 Z075
2,125 2,100 Z125
2,350
2,375
2,325
2400
2525
Z675
2,775
Z800
2.600 Z92S
3,150 3,175 3,375
24PTBDTA
^ ' ^
2,550
2750
2,825
2,775
2,775
2,875
2,925
2,925
3,250
3,225
3,400
3,4oo
3,37s
3,400
3,450
25 P T B F I N
2,725
2,900
2,750
2,850
2,775
2,700
2,700
1,525
1,525
1,525 1,675 1,700 1,750 1,750 1,700 1,700 1,725 1,800
26 P T B I M A
2,750
^750
2,750
2,600
2,500
2600
2,600
2,600
2.600
2.650
2,750
Z750
2,750
Z750
Z60Q
i600
2,600
2.600
27 PT B I R A
<825
4,825
4,825
4,825
4,825
4,825
4,900
5,000
5,300
5,500
4,900
5,000
5,300
5.500
4,825
4,825
4,625
4,825 4
28 PT BLTA
2,750
2,750
2,750
2,750
2,750
2,725
2,750
2,900
2750
Z750
2,750
2.600
2,600
2,600
2,600
2,600
2,600
2,650
2750
29 P T B N B M
"-^^o
4.700
4.625
4,825
4.825
4,825
4,825
4,825
4.825
4,750
4,700
4,825
4,625
4,82s
4,82s
4.825
4,825
4.825
4
2,150
2,150
2,150
2.150
3,600
2.350
2,350
2,350
2,350
2.350
2.350
2.400
2,500
3,100 3,150 3,000
4,625
3,4oo
2.800
4,725
3.100
4,900
3,450
3,100
5,425
3,700 1,900 Z600
.825
394
/estments
Decisions
and the Puzzle
of Share
Price
Movements
" ^ 0 PT B N B R
4.650
4,600
4,650
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,750
4,700
4,825
4.825
4,825
4,825
4,825
4,825
4,825
4,900
5,000
5.300
5.500
31 PT B N G A
7,150
7,250
7,250
7,450
4,650
8,400
8,350
8,125
8,100
8,000
8,050
8.000
8,000
8,000
7,875
7,875
7,800
8.000
8,000
32 PT BNII
3,650
3,825
3,650
3,925
3,975
4,025
4,325
4,575
4,600
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,050
5,200
5.800
5,750
5,800
5,800
6.525
33 PT BNLI
4,200
4,275
4,200
4,275
4.275
4,275
4,275
4,275
4,275
4,275
4,350
4,300
4,325
4,375
4,475
4,850
5,300
5.300
5,600
34 PT BNPS
1,600
1,800
1,600
1,600
1,800
1,600
1,800
1,800
2000
2,350
1.600
1,800
1,800
1,800
1,800
1,800
1,800
2000
2350
35 PT BNSY
2,550
2,550
2.550
2,550
2.500
2,450
2,700
2,775
2,850
3,050
3,450
3,450
3,100
2,925
3,000
3,050
3,150
3,150
3,150
36 PT BNTA
7,150
7,150
7150
7,150
7,150
7,000
7,000
7000
7000
6,600
8,950
7.150
7150
7000
7000
7,000
7000
6,800
6,950
37 PT BNUM
1,900
1,900
1,900
1,900
1,950
1,800
1,800
1,950
1,900
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,175
2225
2,250
2200
2300
2400
2,600
38 PT BRAM
^''"^
^•'*°°
^•''°°
^'2°°
5,2oo
5.200
5,300
5,400
5,400
s,5oo
5.500
5,500
5,500
5,500
s,6oo
5,800
6,000
6,200
6,200
39 P T B R N A
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
1,450
1,450
1,65Q 1,65Q 1,750
4f) PT BRPT
^'^^^ ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^^^^ ^•°'-'° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^'^"^ ^•°°° ^'°°° ^'°^
^'°°° ^•'^
41 P T B U M I
2,200
2,200
42 PT BYSB
2,150
43 P T B Y S P
2,025
44 PT CFIN
^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•'^ ^'"^ ^•'^ ^'^^^ ^'^°° ^'^*°° ^"^°° ^
45 P T C M P P
^•°"
46 PT CNBE
^•^^°° ^'^"^ ^•^°° *'''°° ^•''^ ^•2°" ^•'^°° ^••^°° ^'''^^ ^'*" *''^*^ •,®'^^°° ^'^°° ^''^ ^••^°° ''^°° ^'^°° ^'*^ *•*"
47 PT CNTX
^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•'^ ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•°°° ^•^°° ^'^^ ^"^ ^'^^ ^'^°° ^'^^^ ^'^" ^'^^ ^'^^ ^''*°°
48 PT C P D W
''^^ ^ ' ^ ^'^^ ^'^^ ^'^^ ''•^^ ''•^°° ^ ' ^ ^•^°° ^'"^ ^'^^^ ^'^^ ^•^^ ^'^^ ^•^°° ^'^
49 PT CPIN
^••'50
^.ISO
7150 7,150 7,150
7000
7,000
7,000
7000
6,8O0 8,950
7,000
7000
7,000 7,000
7,050 7,200
7,425
7,425
50 PT CPPR
^•2°0
8,950
8,950
8,700
8,400
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,250
8,300 8,300
8,300
8,100 8,150 8,200
8,100 8,300
8,425
8,475
51 P T C T B N
"•250
4.250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4.250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
4,250
52 P T C T R A
2,400 2.400
2,400
2,400
2,40Q
2,400
2,525
2,525
2,550
ZSSO 2400
2400
2,400
2400
2400
2.525
2,525
ZS50
2,550
53 PT DART
*'°°° "•0°° ^•°'^^ '•°^^ ^'^'^ " ' ^ "'"^ ''^
' ' ^ ' ^ ^ '•'°° '•'°° "'"^ * ' ^ ^°°° ^'°^ ^'^
^ ' ^ ^'^^^
54PTDAVO
3,800
3,950
3,850 3,950
55 PT DILD
I.™ '•'°° 1.^°° '•'°°
56 P T D L T A
57 PT DMAD 58 PT DNKS
2,200
2,250
2,250
2,275
2275
2275
2275
2,275
2,150 2,150 2,150 2,150 2150 z i s o
2150 2150 2.150 2,150 2150
ziso
2150 2150 2150
ziso
ziso
,200 2
2,075
2,150 2,150 Z150
2,150 2,150 2,150
2,250
2275
2,275
2275
1,800 1.800 1,800 ZOOO Z350
2,275
2,075
2,200
1,8Q0 1,800 I.8OO
2,275
2,075
2,200
I.SOO l.aOO
2.275
2,150 2,150 2150 2,150 2150 2150 2150 2150 21
50
,300
*'2^S
3,825
7,600
3,800
4,850
3.800
4,600
4,550
4,450
3,850
4,400 4,000 4,000
3,850
4,075
3,950 3,800
4,075
3,825
'-^
'-^
3,800
''"^
'•'°° ^ ' ^ '•'"' '•''' '•''' ''"^ '-"^ '•''' ^°^
^ ' ^ ^ ' ^ ^ ' ^ ''^
''^
''^
''^
''^
3,800
7600
3,800
^s.ooo IS,QOO IS,OOO 15,000 15,000 15,000 is,ooo 15,003 15,000 15,000 15,000 s,ooo
^'^
4,275
5,000
3,800
s,ooo
4,850. 4,600 4,550 4,450 4,400
3,800
^'^^ ^ ° ^ ^'°^
3,800 3,850
'•""' '•''' ''"^ ' ' ° ^ 5,000
5,000
5,000
''''°
5.000 5,000
''"^ '•'°° '•'°° '•'°° '''°° ''"^ ''"^
'•'°°
1^.500 ^^•^ ^^.^ ''^^ ^^•'^ ''•°°° ''•'^ ''-"^ ''•'^ ''•'^ ''•'^ ''•'°° ''•'°° ''•'°° ''•'°° '"'"^ '''"^ ' ' ' ' ' ° '''°°°
59 PT DPNS
2,075
2100
ZIOO
ZIOO
2100
Z125 Z150 2175 2,200
2.200
2.200
Z500
2550
Z550
Z550
Z775
3,100 3,100 3,225
60 P T D S S T
2.700
Z700
Z700
Z700
2700
2700
2725
2.^
Z400
2,403 2.403
Z403
Z ^
2,403
Z525
2525
2550
61 PT DVIA
3,900 3.800
3,825
3.800
3,803
3,800
3,S03 3,850
3,850
3,950
3,803
3,803
3,803
3,803
3,803
3,850
.950 3,850 3,
62 PT DYNA
3 . - «.-° «.^ «'-° «•-= ^ ' ^ ^ ' ^ '-^
'"^
''"^ ''^
' "
' "
2.^
595
3,825
'"° ' "
'"° '"" ' "
.550 2
''"
/estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
63 P T E K A D
^^oo
3,8oo
3,800
3,800
3,600
3,900
3,800
3,800
3,82s
3,900
3,800
3,825
3,aoo
3,800
3,600
3.800
3.850
3550
3950'
64 PT E M P T
3025
3,250
3,250
3.500
3,575
3.350
4,550
4,300
4,250
3,025
3,025
3,250
3,250
3,500
3.575
3.350
4,550
4,300
4 250
65 PT E R T X
2,200
Z200
2,200
2,200
2200
2,150
2,200
2,300
Z300
2,300
Z300
Z300
Z300
Z300
2300
Z300
Z275
Z250
2400
66 P T E S T l
5,0X3
S,OX3
5,OX 5,030
5,003
5,030
5,103
5,200
5,200
5,20)
5,0)0
5,030
5,030
S,O30
5,030
5,030
4,950
4,950
4,950
67 PT F A S T
7.°5o
7,050
7,050
7,103
7,150
7225
7,225
7.225
7,301 7303
7.32s
7,32s
7325
7,325
7,403
I.AOO
7.403
7403
7,425
68 PT F C O R
3,900
3,850
3,875
4.075
3,875
3,850
4,100
4,030
3.950
3,950 4,100
4,400
4,500
4,350
4,350
4,200
4,475
4,475
4,775
69 PT F S A W
3,025
3,250
3,250
3,500
3,575
3,350
4.550
4,300
4,250
4.250
3.025
3,250
3,250
3,500
3,575
3,350
4,550
4,300 4.250
70 PT G D W U
2.950
2,950
Z875
Z850
Z825
Z800
Z800
Z850
2,575
2800
Z950
Z950
Z950
Z875
Z850
Z82S
2,800
2800
Z850
71 P T G D Y R
"•200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,300
4,300
4,400
4,450
4,450
4,575
4,600
4,450
4,475
4,450
4,575
4,600
4,600
4,703
4,800
72 PT G G R M
5,550
5,550
5,550
S,S50
5,550
5,57s
5,575
5,700
5,750
5,750
5,975
6,050
8,050
6,400
6,300
8,300
6.100
6.250
6.675
73 P T G G S T
^•^°o
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9,900
9.900
74 PT G J T L
2,500
2,500
Z52S
Z575
Z600
Z8S0
3,600
3,600
3,025
3,025 3,250
3,350
3,500
3,575
4,100
4,550
4,300
4,250 4.250
75 P T G R I V
3,000
3,100
3,200
3.300
3,300
3,350
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,475
3,475
3,400
3,350
3,375
3,400
3,400
3,200
3,200
76 P T G S M F
i^®o°
i^«25
i.eso
i.eso
i.eso
i.ezs
1,725
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,72s
1,725
1,725
1,700
1,700
1,725
1.700
1,725
1,77s
77 P T H D T X
2,050
ZOOO
2.000
ZOZS
1,975
ZOOO Z100 ZlOO
Z250
Z425
2400
Z275
Z27.S
Z325
Z275
2300
Z275
2300
2375
78 P T H E R O
^•"OO
S.'WM
8,450
8,475
8,475
8,500
8,600
8,700
8,750
8,825
8,875
8,875
9,125
9,200
9,400. 8,400
9,300
9,325
9,325
79 P T H M S P
^•''50
8.150
8,150
6,200
6,200
6,200
6,300
6,550
6,875
7,000
7100, 7,250
7500
7300
7500
7500
7600
8,100
8.100
80 P T H P S B
"•200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4.200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200
4,200 4,200
81 P T H P S P
*'°°°
"•ooo
4,000
4.000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4.000
82 P T I D V S
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
83 P T I G A R
i'^oo
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1.700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
84 P T I K B I
^^350
1,300
1,350
1.425
1,525
1,575
1,600
1,575
1,575
1,600
1,625
1,400
1,625
1,600
1,525
1,525
1,500
1,400
1.375
85 P T I M A S
2,300
Z100
Z400
Z400
2,400
2400
2400
2550
2,550
2550
2,400
2,400
2^00
Z400
2500
ZSOO
Z500
2600
3,000
86 P T I N A I
"•^^^
5,000
5,200
S,600
5,600
5,500
5,700
5,800
5,900
6,100
8,200
6,200
6,250
6,250
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,000
8,000
87 P T I N C F
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
88 P T I N C I
^'275
1,275
1,275
1,275
1,275
1,575
1,350
1,450
1,400
1,400
1,400
1,600
1,900
1,875
1,700
1,800
1,900
1,850
1,875
89 P T I N C O
2,975
3,025
3,025
3,025
3,050
3,025
3,075
3,075
3,050
3,000
3,050
3,050
3,100
3,125
3,100
3,075
3,050
3.075
1,875
90 P T I N D F
2,275
Z275
Z275
2,275
2025
2,025
Z350
Z350
Z100
Z100
ZIOO
ZIOO
ZIOO
ZIOO
ZIOO
Z100
ZIOO
Z300
Z300
91 P T I N D R
^•^°°
''•^°°
^'500
7500
7500
7500
7500
7,soo
7500
7S00
7500
7,500
7,500
7,500
7S00
7soo
7,500
7500
7500
92 P 7 I N Q S
2.300 ZIOO
2,400
Z400
Z400
Z400
Z400
Z550
ZS50
Z550
Z'tOO Z^OO
Z'lOO
Z400
ZSOO
ZSOO Z500
Z600
3,000
93 P T I N K P
^•^^ ^•^^ ^•^^ ^'^^^ ^'^^ ^'^^ ^•°°° ^•°°° ^^^ ^^°° ^'"^ ^^^ " ^
^^^ ^•^°° ^^^ ^'^^ ^^^
^^
94 P T I N P C
"^3^5
5^°°°
^^200
5.600
5,600
5,500
5,700
5,800
5,900
6,100
6,200
6,200
6,250
6,250
7000
7500
8,000
8,000
8,000
95 P T I N R U
"•325
"^350
4.425
4,425
4.403
4,400
4,575
4,550
4,550
4,550
4,550
4,703
4,803
4.603
4,850
4,850
4,750
4.750
4.750
396
-vestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
96 P T I N S A
3,300
3,250
3,075
3,000
3,150 3,150 3,200
3,300
3,250
3,075
3,000
3,150 3,300
3,250
3,075
97 P T I N T A
2,500
2,700
2,450
2,450
2,450
2,700
2,700
2,700
Z700
2700
Z600
2,800 Z900
Z900
3,100 3,900
98 P T I N T D
2,275
Z275
2,275
2,275
2025
2,025
2,350
Z350
Z100 ZIOO
ZIM
ZIOO
ZIOO
ZIOO
99 P T I N T P
ZIOO
3,000
3,150 3,150 3,200'
3,250
3.250
3,250
Z100 Z100 Z300
2,300
^•'•°50 11.050 11,050 11,17S 11.175 11.175 11,500 11,700 11,550 11,550 11,700 11,850 11,850 11.725 11,800 1Z400 11.900 12,000 12,000
100 P T I S A T
2,500
2,700
2,450
Z450
2,450
2,700
2,700
Z700
Z700
Z700
2,600
ZSOO 2,900
Z900
3,100 3,900
3,250
3,250
3,250
101 P T I T M A
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3.000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3.000
3,000
3,000
102 PT JECC
*'^°° 8,600
6,600
8,900
6,800
6,800
6,600
6,825
6,825
6,825
6,800
6,800
6,800
6,800
7.000
7,000
7,200
7200
7,200
103 P T J I H D
^"•'^^ ^"•^oo 10,800 11,000 11,200 11,225 11,200 11,400 ii,4oo 11,250 11,250 11,100 11,100 11,000 11,000 11,000 11,700 11,500 n.soo
104 PT J P F A
2.575
Z87S
Z750
Z7S0
105 P T J P R S
''•^^^
^•^°°
''•^25
106 P T J R P T
2,500
Z700
107 P T J W J l
3,700
108 P T K A R W 109 P T KBLl 110 P T K B L M
Z750
2,750
Z72S
Z700
Z703
1,775 1.775
1,775 1,875 1.800 1,800 1,825 1,800 1,825 1,825 1,825
1,600
1,825 1,850 1,850 1,925
Z450
Z450
2450
2700
2,700
2,700
2,700
2700
Z600
2800
2900
2900
3,100 3,900
3,250
3,250
3.250
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,600
3,600
3,600
3,600
3,625
3,800
3,300
3,250
3,075
3,000
3,150 3,iso
3,200
3,300
3,250
3,07s
3,000
3,150 3,300
3,250
3,075
3,000
3,150 3,150 3,200
5,800
5,600
S.aSO
S,850
5,900
5,960
5,950
5,950 8,050
8,100
6,150
5,950
Z750
2,725
2,775
Z750
2,750
2,750
Z700
Z925
6,250 6,250 8,300 6,400 6,500
6,500 9,700
13500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,SO0 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500
111 P T K I A S
''•8^
''•850
1.850
1,850 1,850
1,850 1,850 1,850 1,825
1.825
1,825
112 P T K I C I
"^325
4,325
4,375
4,400
4,825
4,800
5,800
4,850
4,800
4,900
5,000 •, 5,000
4,900
5,050
5,175 5,250
113 P T K K G I
2,500
2,700
2,450
2.450
2.450
Z700
2,700
2.700
2,700
Z70C
Z800
2,900
2,900
3,100 3.900 3,250
114 P T K L B F
3,050 3,100
1,850 1.850 1,850 1.850. 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850
Z800
5,500
S.S75 5,625 3,250
3,250
12,850 1Z850 1Z800 1Z800 1Z800 13,000 13,000 13,000 13,100 13,100 13,100 13,150 13,150 13.200 13,300 13,350 13,350 13,400 13,500
115 P T L I O N
3,300
3,250
3,075
3,000
3,150 3,150 3,200
3,300
3,250
3,075
3,000
3,150 3,300
3,250
3,075
3,000
3,150 3,150 3,200
116 P T L M P I
5,550
5,550
5,700
5,700
5,700
5.750
5,750
5,650
5,850
5,850
5,850
5,850
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,200
6,300
117 P T L M S H
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,600
3,600
3,600
3,600
3,625
3,800
118 P T L P B N
"^325
4,325
4,375
4,400
4,625
4,800 5,600
4,850
4,800 4,900 5,000
5,000
4,900 5,050
5,175 5,250
5,500
5,575 5,625
119 PT LPIN
5'800
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600 5,600
120 P T L P L D
8,425
6,425
6,500
6,600
6,600
6,625
6,625 6,625
6,625 6,625 6,675
6,675
6,675 6,700
6,750
6,800
6,800 6,800
121 P T LPLI
"850
4,650
4,675
4,675
4,675
4,675
4,675 4,675
4,675
4,675
4,675 4,675
4,675
4,675 4,675 4,675 4,675
4,675 4,675
122 P T L P P F
^^850
l.aSO
1,850 1,S50 1,850 1,850
1,850
1,850 1,825
1,825
1.825 1.850
1.850
1,850
1,850 1,850
1,850
1,850 1,850
123 P T L P P S
2,500
Z700
Z450
2,450
Z450
2,700
2700
Z700
Z700
Z700
Z600
2,800
2900
Z900
3,100 3,900
3,250
3,250
3,250
124 P T M A M I
"'825
4.825
4,750
4.750
4,750
4,725
4,750
4,750
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4.703
4,600
125 P T M B A I
^'^
^•°'^^ ^•°^5 ^•"^^ ^•°^^ ^•°^^ ^'"^^ ^•°^^ ^'"^ ^•°^^ ^'"^ ^'"^^ ^'"^ ''•°^^ ^'"^ ^'"^^ ^ ' ° " ^'"^ ^'°^^
126 PT MDBN
^-^
^•9°° ^-^
^-^
^'^^^ ^'^^ ^-^^ ^'^
^ - ^ ''^
''"^ ' ' ^
''^
''^
''*"
^°^
127 P T M D L N
^ ' ^
^ ' ^
5,703
S,703
5,850
5,850
8,a»
6,030 8,030 6,030 6,0X3 6,20)
6,30)
128 P T M D R N
^,703
S,750
S,750
5,850
5,600
5,850
5.850
5,600 5,600 6,700
''^
4.725
''^
''^
^5.503 15,750 15,303 15,303 15,303 15,303 15.403 15,425 15,425 1S,425 1S,425 15,550 15,550 15,550 15,550 15,550 16,a» 16.0X3 16,030
397
itments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
nJ29 P T M E D C
4,500
4,500
4.500
4,500
4.500
4.500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4.500
s.ooo
5,000
5.000
5,000
s.ooo
s .000
130 P T M E R K
8,000
6.000
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
7,000
7,000
7,000
7000
7,000
7000
7000
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000
8,000
131 P T M L B I
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
7400
7200
7200
•132 P T M L I A
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5.575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
133 P T M L N D
•'•®°°
^•^^
I.^OO
I.^OO
1,875
1,750
1,750
1,&50
1,850
1.850
1,775
1,850
1,850
1,850
1,850
1,850
1,800
1,875
2.050
•|34 P T M L P L
^•^^
''•^50
1,750
1,800
1,800
1,825
1,950
2,000
2000
2,000
2,000
Z050
Z050
Z125
2,150
Z150
2200
Z200
2350
^°^''°° •'"•''OO 10,100 10,100 10,100 10,100 10,100 10,100 9,625
9,825
9,625
9,625
9,625
9,625
9,625
9,625
9,625
9,625
9,525 1.075
135 P T M P P A
136 P T M R E I
''•°^^
'^•°'^^ ^•°''5
1,075 1,075 1,075 1,075 1,075 1.075
1,075 1,075 1,075 1,075
1,075 1,075
1,075 1,075 1,075
137 P T M T D L
"^825
".825
4,750
4,750
4,750
4,725
4.750
4,750
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,725
4,700 4,,600
138 P T M T F N
^•°°°
^•°°°
•'•°°°
^•"oo
1,000
1,000
1,02s
1,02s
1,02s
975
975
1,025
1.025
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100
1.100
139 P T M T S M
"•500
4.500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
4,500
s.ooo
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
140 P T M Y O R
8,550
8,550
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
8,600
6,600
8,600
6,700
6,900
7000
7000
141 P T M Y R X
^•^^^
^^5^5
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575
5,575 5,575
142 P T M Y T X
''•^5
1,875
1,375
1,925
1,950
1,950
1,975
1,925
1,925
1,900
1,900 ZIOO
2,075
2,000
1,925
1,900
1,900
1.900
143 PT NIPS
^•°50 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050 5,050
144 P T N I S P
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
s,ooo
s.ooo
5,000
5,000
5,000. s.ooo
4,975
4,97s
4,975
145 P T O M R E
''•^°°
''•^'^
^•^°°
''•^°0
''•8'^5
1,750
1,750
1,850
1,850
1,350 1,775
1,650
1,550
1,850
1,550
1,850
1,800
1,875
2,050
146 P T O M T R
^^550
1.550
1,550
1,550
l.SSO
I.SSO
1,550
1,550
1,550
1,600
1,600
1,600
1,500
1,500
1,550
1,550
1,550
1,550
1,825
^J
p j PBRX
^'550
1.575
1,625
1,625
1,800
1,625
1,750
1,750
1,725
1,750
1,700
1,725
1,750
1,750
1.750
1,700
1,875
1,700
1 ,850
148 P T P C M F
2,150
2,150
2,175
2,175
Z175
2,175
Z175
2,300
Z300
2300
Z30Q
2,300
Z3Q0
Z300
Z300
2.300
2,500
Z950
3 ,500
149 P T P D F C
2.000
2,000
2050
Z07S
Z125
Z100
Z175
Z125
Z100
Z12S
Z150
Z125
2125
Z125
2,050
2100
2,200
2225
2375
150 P T P F I N
^^350 8,000
8,000
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
8,200
151 P T P G I N
1,900
36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 38,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 38.000 36.000 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000
152 P T P L I N
5,000
5,000
s.ooo
S.OOO
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
S,000
S,000
5,000
5,000
S,000
5.000
4,975
4,975
4,975
153 P T P N B N
^^^25
1,950
1,950
1,950
1,950
2000
2,000
2,025
2,025
Z025
ZIOO
ZIOO
ZIOO
ZIOO
Z075
2,075
ZIOO
Z1S0
Z325
154 P T P N I N
2,200
Z20Q
Z20Q
Z2Q0
2,200
Z200
2,200
2,200
2,025
Z075
2200
2,200
2200
Z200
2200
Z200
Z200
Z200
1,400
155 P T P N L F
^•®°°
^•^°°
'•^°°
'•^°°
^'8^5
1.750
1,750 1,850 1,850
1,850
1,775
1,850
1,850
1,850 1,850
1.850
1.800 1.875 2,050
156 P T P N S E
2,150
Z150
Z175
Z175
Z175
Z175
2,175
Z300
Z300
Z300
Z300
Z300
Z300
ZSOO
157 P T P O L Y
Z300
Z300
Z300
Z950
3,
^3,30) 13,350 13.403 13,403 13,403 13,40) 13,400 13.400 13,403 13.403 13,400 13,400 13,400 13,400 13,403 13,403 13,40) 13,400 13,400
158 P T P O O L
3,800
3,800
3,803
3,600
3,800
3.803
3,800
3,800
3,600
3,80)
3,803
3,803
3,803
3,803
3,800
3,800
3,803 3,80)
3,800
159 P T P R A S
^'500
1.500
1,503
1,503
1,503
1,503
1.503
1,803
1,575
1.575
1.S7S
1,575
1,575
1,550
1,550
1.550
1,550
1,603
1.650
160 P T P R D T
8,500 s,soo
a.soo
8,900
a,90o
8,900
6,900
9,200
9,200
9,200
9,100
9,103
9,100
9.100
9,100
8,500
8,500
8,soo
8,soo
161 P T P S D N
2.0X3
2050
Z075
Z125
ZIOI
Z175
Z125
Z103
2125
Z150
Z12S
Z125
Z125
Z050
ZlOO
2,203 Z22S
Z37S
ZaX3
398
/estments
Decisions
and the Puzzle of Share Price
Movements
^ 6 2 PT P T R A
5,000
5,000
s,ooo
5,000
5,000
s.ooo
5,000
5.000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
s,ooo
5,000
5,000
5,000
5.000
5.000
163
PT P T R O
''•000
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000
7.000
7,200
7300
7300
7.300
7,300
7,300
7,300
7.250
7.200
7,200
7200
7.200
7.700
1fi4 P T P T S P
5.000
5,000
5.000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000 5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5.000
5,000
5,000
Ifi'i PT P U D P
'^^25
1.950
1,950
1,950
1,950
ZOOO ZOOO 2,025
2,025
2.025
20OO 2,000
Z025
Z025
2025
ZOOO Z025
Z025
Z025
ififi PT P W O N
2,050
2050
2,050
2,050
Z100
2050
2,200
Z300
Z275
2,275
2,275
2275
2,300
2200
Z225
Z275
2350
Z400
3,025
1R7 P T P W S I
8,200
6,200
6,200
8.175
6,100
6,100
6,100
6,100
6,100
6,100
8,200
6,200
6,200
6,175
6,100
6,100
6,100
6,100
6,100
168 P T R A M A
^^2^
''•3°°
^'325
I.SOO
1,300
1,275
1,275
1,250
1,275
1,275
1,250
1,300
1,325
1,300
1,300
1,275
1,275
1,250
1,275
169 PT RDTX
^•^'^ ^'^^ ^•^'^ ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•^'^ ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•^°° ^'^°° ^ ' ^ ^'^"^ ^•^°° ^•^°° ^•'^°° ^•^°° ^'^"^
170
PT R I G S
850
875
875
875
900
875
900
925
950
900
900
900
900
900
171
PT R M B A
^°°
^°°
®°°
900
900
9 0 0 9 0 0 9 0 0 9 0 0 9 0 0
179
PT S A F E
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
a.ooo
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000 8,
173
PT SAIP
3,400
3,300
3,200
3,325
3,375
3,375
3,375
3,800
3,600
3,550
3,550
3,550
3,550
3,600
3,500
3,250
3,250
,000 3,600 4,
174
PT S C C O
8'"^^
8,475
8,475
8,475
8,475
8,600
8,600
6,900
8,900
8,900
9,100
9,100
9,000
9,075
8,600
9,000
9,000
9,000
9 0 0 * 3 0 9 0 0 9 0 0
900
900
875
900
925
9 0 0 9 0 0 9 0 0 9 0 0 9 0 0 000
,000 9, iOO
175 PT SCPI
^•*°° ^•'*°° ^•"°° ^•"°° ^'""^ ^•"^ ^•^^ ^•^°° ^'^^ ^•'^°° ^•^°° ^'"^ ^'^°° ^'"^^ *'^°° *'^°° ^'^^ ^'^°° ^''
176
PT S D P C
•'•300
1.300
1,300
1,300
1,250
1,250
1,300
1,250
1,250
1,300
1,325
1,300
1,300
1.275
1,275
i,2So
1,27s
1,27s
1,32s
. _
p^ SHDA
^•°°°
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8.000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000. 8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
178 P T S H I D
^•^'^
^•^°°
^•^°°
^•^'^
•'''°°
^'^^
^'^
^'"^
^•^''^
^-^^
1,950,1,950
1,650
1,700
1.700
1.700
1.700
1.703
1,725
179 P T S I M A
8,900
9,103
9,103
9,0x3
9,075
3,603
9,0X1 9,aX)
9,030
9,030 9,103
9,103
9,0x3
9,075
8,603
9,003 9,0X3 9,0X3 9,0X3
180 P T S K B M
8.103
6,103
6,103
8,103
8,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,10)
8,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,0X3 6,0X3
S.OOO
181 P T S K L T
5,403
5,403
5,403
5,403
5,400
5,450
5,550
5,7OT
6,203
5,403
5.403
5,403
5.403
5,403
5,450
5,550
5,703
6,203
6,203
182 P T S M A R
"^325
5,aX)
5,103
5.ISO
5,175
S.AOO 5,550
5,60)
5,550
S.ACC 5,40)
5,350
5,350
5,350
5,350
5,30)
5,450
5,775
8,40)
183 P T S M C B
^-^
^.850
7,850
7850
7,850
7825
8,0X3
8,0X3
8,0X3 8,0X3 7803
7903
7803
7803
7803
7,903
7603
7,825
7,650
184 P T S M G R
8,350
6,27s
9,325
6,503
6.703
7,203
7,703
7.750
7.750
7303
7303
7303
7,303
7350
7,603
7,625
8,32s
8,5a)
185 P T S M R A
3,103
3,103
3,10)
3,103
3,150
3,203
3,203
3,403
3,301 3,401 3,503
3,503
3,503
3,503
3,550
3,503
3,503
3,603
3,725
186PTSNGR
8,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
8,103
6.103
6,0x3
6,io)
6,101 6,103
e.ox)
e.ooa 6,0x3
6,103
187 PT SOBI
7,6a)
6,0x3
6,ox)
^"•0°° ^"•°<» '''°°° '^•°°° ''•°°° ''•°°° ''•°°° ''•°°° ''•'^ '"'^ ''•'°° '*-^ ' " ' ^ ''•'°° ''•'°° ' ' ' ^ ''•'°° '''^
6,10)
'"'^
188 PT SONA '°'°°o 1°^°°° ^°'°°° ^°^°°° ^°'°~ ^°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° '"•'^ '°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° '°'°°° 189 P T S P M A
5,403
5,403
5,350
5,350
5,350
5,350
5.303
5,450
5,775
5,403
5,403 5,350
5,350
5,350
5,350
5,303
5,450
5,775
6.403
190 P T S Q B I
5.103
5,103
5,103
5,103
5,103
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
5,250
191
PT S R S N
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,450
3,550
3,5«3
3,525
3,5«3
3,503
3,450
3,403
3,503
3,5«3
3,503
3,503
3,5«3
3,503
3,503
192 P T S S G S
2,803
2,803
Z803
2.803
2,80,
2603
Z803
Z803
ZSOD Z80)
2803
2,803
2,803
2,803
Z803
Z803
2.803
Z803
ZSO)
193 P T S U B A
8.100
S.OSO e.OSO e.OSO 6,050
6,050
6,050
S.OSO 6,103
6,10)
6,103
6,10,
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,103
6,10)
8,103
6,1
194PTSULI
3,3«3
3,40,
3,503
3,550
3,503
3,8«)
3,725
3,50)
3,SCX3 3,550
3,503
3,50)
3,600
3,725 3,725
3,503
3,503
3,503
399
3,5(»
tvestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
195
PT SUMI
5.650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,850
5,850
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5 ,650
196 PT T B M S
5,400
5,400
5,400
5,400
S,403
5,400
5,300
5,600
5,500
S,500
5,400
5,503
5,500
5,500
5,400
5,500
5,650
5,650
5 ,800
197
PT TCID
5,650
S.650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,550
5,850
5,850
5,650
5,550
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,850
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
198 PT T E J A
1.800
I.SSO
1,57s
1,575
1,800
1,825
1,625
1,603 1.675
I.SSO
1,575
1,575
1,800
1.S2S 1,625
1,600 1,675 1,675 1,825
199 PT T E X T
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,703
3,700
3,700
3,700 3,700
3,700
3,700
3,703
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
3,700
200
PT TFCO
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,800
5,800
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
201
PT T G K A
7,300
7,300
7,300
7,300
7,300
7,100 7,100 7,100 7,100 7100 7000
7000
7,000
7000
7,000
8.900
7000
7000
7,000
202
PT TIRA
3,750
3,750
3,750
3,800
3,800
3.800
3.900
3,900
3,900
3,900
3,900
3,900
3,900
3,900
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
203
PT TKGA
3,soo
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3.500
3,500
3,500
3,500
3,soo
3,500
204
P T TKIM
3,300
3,300
3,350
3,400
3,450
3,600
3,725
3,825
3,800
3.800
3,72s
3,72s
3,72s
3,800
3.725
3,750
3,750
3,750
3.775
205
PT T M B N
^'825
i.soo
i,60o
1,700 1,675 1,675 1,575
1,750 1,725 1,77s 1,725 1.725
1,700
1,750 1,77s i,7so
1,900 1,900 2,200
206 P T T O T O
8,000
6,000
6,000
8,000
8,000
6,000 6,000
8,000
8,000 8,000 8,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
8,000
6,000
6,000 6,000
207
PT TPEN
5,850
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,850
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,850
5,850
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,650
5,850
5
208
PT TPFC
1^575
1.550
1,550
1,575
1,575
1,575
1,575
1,600
1,550
1,575
1,575
1,600
1,625
1.625
1,600
1,675
1,675
1,625
1,675
209 PT T R P K
^'^^^
2.000
1.900
1,92s
2,000
ziso
2,250 zzzs
zioo
ziso
ziso
ziso
Z2oo
ziso
ziso
ziso
2,12s 1,97s 2
210 PT T R S T
"'800
4,800
5,000
5,075
5,200
S,350
5,500
5,700
5,700
5,950
5,950
5,950
5,950
5,950
5.900. 5,500
5,600
211 P T T S P C
^^^50
1,725
1,775
1.725
1,725
1,700 1,750
1,775
1,750 1.900 1,900 2200
1,700
1,750
1,775
1,750
1,900 1,900 2,200
212 PT U G A R
8,000
6,000
6,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
8,000
6,000 8,003
6,000
6,000
6,000
8,000
8,000 8,000
6,000 a ,000
213 P T U L T J
8,800
8,800
8,800
8,800
8,800
8,800
8,800
8,800
6,800
8,800
8,800
6,800
6,800
6,800
6,800
6,800
8,800
8,800 8 ,800
214 P T UNIC
5^^75
8,300
8,300
6,300
6,350
8,400
8,650
8,925
8,900
6,900
8,500
8,500
6,600
6,600
6,600
6,500
6,500
8,700
7,300
215 P T U N S P
2,050
Z050
zoso
zoso
1,97s
1,900 1,900 1,900
1,875 1,875 1,875
1,925
1,925
1,925
1,925
1,900 1,950
1.900
2,025
5,600
5,900
216 P T U N T R
18.000 16,000 16,000 16,100 16.100 16,100 le.lOO 16,600 16,600 17,000 17000 17,000 17,000 17,000 17,050 17,100 17,100 17,100 17,100
217 PT UNTX
^"'""^ ^"•"°° ''"•"°° ^"'""^ 1"'"°° ^"•''°° ^^••*°° ^*-*°° ^*'^°° '*'*°° ^*'*°° ^^•*°° ^^•'*°° ^^''*°° ^^••*°° ^*'*°° ^*'*°° ^*'*°° ^*'*°°
218 P T U N V R
31.250 31,250 31,250 31.250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 31,250 32,000 32,000 32,000
219 PT V O K S
7.500
7,500
7500
7,500
7500
7500
7500
7500
7,500
220 PT ZBRA
^•^°°
^•^°°
''8°°
^•^°°
'•8°°
•'•8OO
I.8OO
I.eOO
1,800 1,500
Source: JSX Statistic, Various Issue
400
7S00
7500
7500
7500
7500
7,500
7500
7,500
1,800 1,800 1,800 1.800
1,800
1,800 1,800
7,500
1,800
7,SO0
1,800
estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
25 26 27 28
CTBN ASBI BNGA INTP
PT. PT. PT. PT.
29 BDMN 30 ASDM
PT. PT.
31 INCF 32 INTD
PT. PT.
1 BNLI 2 LPIN 3 AQUA 4 RIGS 5 RMBA 6 UNSP 7 ASRM 8 ASTR 9 BLTA
10 TMBN 11 BDNI 12 TKIM 13 ASH 14 MTDL 15 MTFN 16 PNSE 17 BBLD 18 SDPC 19 SMRA 20 DART 21 GJTL 22 SHID 23 CPPR
24 RDTX 25 BFIN 26 INCO 27 PTRO 28 TBMS 29 PDFC 30 LMSH 31 HDTX 32 SCPI 33 TGKA 34 BDTA 35 CPDW 36 INRU 37 TRST 38 ULTJ 39 MYOR 40 ALKA
IND. CITRA TUBINDO ASURANSI BINTANG BANK NIAGA INDOCEMENT TUNGGAL PRAKASA BANK D A N A M O N ASURANSI DAYIN MITRA INDOCITRA FINANCE INTER-DELTA
Listed in 1 9 9 0 PT. BANK BALI PT. LIPPO INDUSTRIES PT. AQUA GOLDEN MISSISSIPPI PT. RIG TENDERS INDONESIA PT. RIMBA NIAGA IDOLA PT. UNITED S U M A T R A PLANTATIONS PT. ASURANSI R A M A Y A N A PT. ASTER DHARMA INDUSTRY PT. BERLIAN LAJU TANKERS PT. T A M A R A BANK PT. BANK DAGANG NASIONAL IND PT. TJIWI KIMIA PT. ASTRA INTERNATIONAL PT. METRO DATA EPSINDO PT. METROPOLITAN FINANCE CORP. PT. PUDJIADI & SONS ESTATES PT. BBL D H A R M A L A FINANCE PT. NVPD SOEDARPO CORPORATION PT. SUMMARECON AGUNG PT. DUTA ANGGADA REAUTY PT. G A D J A H TUNGGAL PT. HOTEL SAHID J A Y A INT. PT. CENTRAL PROTEINA PRIMA PT RODA VIVATEX PT BUNAS FINANCE PT INTERNATIONAL NICKEL IND. PT PETROSEA PT TEMBAGA MULIA SEMANAN PT PDFCI PT LIONMESH PRIMA PT H A D T E X I N D O S Y N T E X PT SCHERING-PLOUGH INDONESIA PT TIGA RAKSA SATRIA PT BANK DUTA PT CIPENDAWA FARM ENTERPRISE PT. INTI INDORAYON UTAMA PT. TRIAS SENTOSA PT. U L T R A J A Y A MILK INDUSTRY PT. M A Y O R A INDAH PT. A L U M I N D O PERKASA
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
54 53 0 0
320 125 0 0
0 0 200 0
22 100 200 250
0 100 200 250
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
150 125
150 200
150 125
150 125
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
150 0
0 100
50 120
50 120
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 75 200
0 0 200
100 50 200
100 50 200
31
31
45
o
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 146
35 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
115 0
129 60
129 60
50
SO
0
0 0 0 0
70 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
70 125
0 200
0 125
35 125
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 150 41
150 125 80 0
50 100 85 0
50 100 85 0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
150
200
200
200
0
0
0
0
0
90
90
0
90
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
194 50
0 100
146 100
146 100
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 100
200 0
150 125
150 125
125
175
700
no
0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
140 135 0
75 0 330
100 75 330
100 75 330
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0"
0 300
350 350
475 350
475 350
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
300 150 100 140
65 100 60 0
65 60 80 250
0 60 80 250
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
60 0 50
90 200 75
100 200 100
100 200 100
0
80 75 100
0 0 0
0 0 0
n
0 0
60 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
150 100
250 0
75 100
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
205 240
200 80
70 20
402
70 20|
mestments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
UTAMA PT. BANK UMUM NASIONAL PT. PRIMA ALLOY STEEL UNIVERSAL PT. INDAH KIAT PAPER & 43 INKP PULP 44 TPFC PT. TJILATJAP PELLETIZING FACT. PT. INTAN WIJAYA 45 INCI CHEMICAL IN. PT. TRAFINDO PERKASA 46 TRPK UTAMA FT. BUMI MODERN 47 BUMI PT. INDO-RAMA SYNTETIC 48 INDR PT. DUTA PERTIWI 49 DPNS NUSANTARA PT. INDOSPRING 50 INDS PT. EKADHARMA TAPE 51 EKAD INDUSTRY PT. H.M. SAMPOERNA 52 HMSP PT. PANBROTHERSTEX 53 PBRX PT. ERATEX DJAJA 54 ERTX PT. INTER-PACIFIC 55 INPC FINANCE CORP. PT. CLIPAN FINANCE 56 CFIN 57 GGRM PT, GUDANG GARAM PT. BRANTA MULIA 58 BRAM PT. ASURANSI HARAPAN 59 AHAP AMAN PRT. PT. SURYA TOTO 60 TOTO INDONESIA PT. MAYERTEX INDONESIA 61 MYRX PT. IGAR JAYA 62 IGAR PT. GREAT GOLDEN STAR 63 GGST PT. ITAMAFIAYA GOLD 64 ITMA INDUSTRY PT. TEXTRONIC PERMAI 65 TEXT ELECTRONIC PT. VOKSEL ELECTRICS 66 VOKS
41 BNUM 42 PRAS
1 ARGO 2 IKBI 3 POLY 4 CPIN SPOOL 6 KKGI 7 SMGR 8 LPLD 9 MDRN 10 NIPS 11 KLBF 12ZBRA 13 DYNA 14 IDVS 15 DILD 16 DSST 17 SUBA
1 TKGA 2 MTSM 3 KBLM 4 PLIN 5 OMTR L_ 6 KBLl
Listed in 1991 PT. ARGO PANTES PT. IKl INDAH KABEL PT. POLISYNDO EKA PERKASA PT. CHAROEN POKPHAND INDONESIA PT. POOL ASURANSI INDONESIA PT. KURNIA KAPUAS GLUE PT. SEMEN GRESIK PT. LIPPO LAND DEVELOPMENT PT. MODERN PHOTO FILM COMPANY PT. NIPRESS PT. KALBE FARMA PT. ZEBRA NUSANTARA PT. DYNAPLAST PT. INDOVEST PT. DHARMAbMNTILAND PT. DHARMALA SAKTl SEJAHTERA PT. SUBA INDAH Listed in 1992 PT. TOKO GUNUNG AGUNG PT. METRO SUPERMAKET REAUTY PT. KABEUNDO MURNl PT. PLAZA INDONESIA REAUTY PT. OMETRACO FINANCE PT KABEL METAL
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
150 0
0 0
82 50
82.35 50
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
200
80
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
300
150
0
150
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 300 150
50 0 100
50 175 100
50 175 100
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
150 0
60 100
30 160
30 160
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
50 150 160 250
0 200 0 300
0 70 180 330
100 70 180 330
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 Q 0 0
7 150 150 85
108 0 0 0
135 150 100 65
135 150 100 65
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
50
50
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
118 100 0 50
0 50 0 0
50 50 0 20
50 50 0 20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
39
39
0
0
0
0
0
60
85
185
185
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 90 100
100 0 200
50 110 225
50 110 225
0
0
0
0
0
50
175
315
315
0
0
0
0
0
37.9
0
15
15
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 285 0
350 268 Q
250 267.8 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0
0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 200 588 240 85 50 0
100 70 150 200 50 50 100
100 70 150 200 50 50 100
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
0
55
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
54.2 0
67.6 0
67.64 150
0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
229 50
228.5 50
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
100 100
100 100
403
0
-'estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
7 SONA 8 SOBI 9 ESTl 10 JECC 11 SMAR 12 AKPI 13 MPPA
1 2 3 4
SKBM SRSN MDLN TPEN
PT. SONA TOPAS PT. SORINI CORPORATION PT. EVER SHINE TEXTILE INDUSTRY PT. JEMBO CABLE COMPANY PT. SMART CORPORATION PT. ARGHA KARYA PRIMA INDUSTRY PT. MATAHARI PUTRA PRIMA
PT. PT. PT. PT.
5 SAIP
PT.
6 7 8 9
PT. PT. PT. PT.
FAST TIRA DMAD GDWU
10 UON 11 INTA 12 SKLT 13 TCID 14BRPT
PT. PT. PT. PT. PT.
15 ADMG 16 CNBE 17 KICI
PT. PT. PT.
18 BNTA 19 IMAS
PT. PT.
20 ANSI 21 SUMI
PT. PT.
Listed in 1993 SEKARBUMI SARASA NUGRAHA MODERNLAND REAUTY TEXMACO PERKASA ENG. SURABAYA AGUNG IN.PULP&KERT FAST FOOD INDONESIA TIRA AUSTENITE DHARMINDO ADHIDUTA GANDA WANGSA UTAMA UON METAL WORKS INTRACO PENTRA SEKAR U U T TANCHO INDONESIA BARITO PASIFIC TIMBER ANDAYANI MEGAH CONCORD BENEFIT KEDAUNG INDAH CAN INDUSTRIAL BANK TIARA ASIA INDO SEPAMAS ANGGUN ANWAR SIERAD SUPER MITORI UTAMA
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
250 100 145
250 100 145
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
115
115
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
6" 0
0 0
0 0
60 40
60 40
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
70 65 0 100
70 65 0 100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
Source: JSX Statistic, Various Issue
404
Bstments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
7 SONA 8 SOBI 9 ESTl 10 JECC 11 SMAR 12 AKPI 13 MPPA
PT. SONA TOPAS PT. SORINI CORPORATION PT. EVER SHINE TEXTILE INDUSTRY PT. JEMBO CABLE COMPANY PT. SMART CORPORATION PT. ARGHA KARYA PRIMA INDUSTRY PT. MATAHARI PUTRA PRIMA
1 SKBM 2 SRSN 3 MDLN 4 TPEN
PT. PT. PT. PT.
5 SAIP
PT.
6 FAST 7 TIRA 8 DMAD 9 GDWU
PT. PT. PT. PT.
10 LION 11 INTA 12 SKLT 13 TCID 14BRPT
PT. PT. PT. PT. PT.
15 ADMG 16 CNBE 17 KICI
PT. PT. PT.
18 BNTA 19 IMAS
PT. PT.
20 ANSI 21 SUMI
PT. PT.
Listed in 1993 SEKARBUMI SARASA NUGRAHA MODERNLAND REAUTY TEXMACO PERKASA ENG. SURABAYA AGUNG IN.PULP&KERT FAST FOOD INDONESIA TIRA AUSTENITE DHARMINDO ADHIDUTA GANDA WANGSA UTAMA UON METAL WORKS INTRACO PENTRA SEKAR LAUT TANCHO INDONESIA BARITO PASIFIC TIMBER ANDAYANI MEGAH CONCORD BENEFIT KEDAUNG INDAH CAN INDUSTRIAL BANK TIARA ASIA INDO SEPAMAS ANGGUN ANWAR SIERAD SUPER MITORI UTAMA
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
250 100 145
2501
0
0
0
0
0
"0
0
115
115
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
o" 0
0 0
0 0
60 40
60 40
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
70 65 0 100
70 65 0 100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
Source: JSX Statistic, Various Issue
404
100 145
stments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Appendix No.16 Overseas Subsidiary Companies of Some Indonesian Group Companies
Please see print copy for image
405
-estments Decisions and the Puzzle of Share Price Movements
Please see print copy for image
Source : Tempo, 26 September 1991
406