AN ALYS ALYSIS IS OF THE W EEK 15- 19 OCT OCTOBE OBER R 201 2 A - DECLINATION DECLINATION STUDIES STUDIES
M y Com Com posite Helioce Heliocentr ntr ic Declination Declination graph indicates indicates that October 15, 2012 will be an im im port ant decision decision point . Our Our last last high happened b etw een Septem Septem ber 14 and Septem Septem ber 17 w hich is 1/ 3 of th e current dow nsw nsw ing of our composite composite declinati declination on curve. At 2/ 3 point of t he curve around October 1 w e saw saw low est est point of th e price sw sw ing. So, we should see another high point around Octob er 15. When looking at the composite declination line I am considering another methodology. Shifting declination declination line som som e bars also also fit som e extrem e point s of th e price line line bu t first I want t o see what w ill ill happen happen on M onday. Below Below graph show s the Geocentric Decli Declinations nations of t he m ain solar solar sys system bod ies. ies. Only considerable considerable event is M oon pass passing over 0’ declination. ItIt is alone alone no t such a stro stro ng even to change entire tren d but can caus causee m inor tr end change
B – GA N N FA FA N S
In above graph green line on t he m iddle is the 45 degree angle (1X1) (1X1) based based o n Sun Sun m ovem ent. From From the beginning of th e July July 24 ou r current ly rally tou ched 1X1 1X1 angle several several times and every tim e price gave gave reaction and m oved higher. Las Lastt t ime p rice touch th is line on Octob er 12. GANN GANN called called m arket
stro ng w hen t he pr ice is is above 1X1 angle, angle, so so ou r EUR EUR// USD USD m arket is still still stro stro ng position and h as bu llish llish bias. B – ASTROL ASTROLOGIC OGICAL AL EVENTS TRANSIT EVENTS Here are w eekly as astro logical logical events (Calc (Calculated ulated for tim e zone 0 hou rs); rs); Oct 14, 2012
7:31 AM M oo 5 Lib 07 Sxtil M ar 5 Sag 07
Oct 14, 2012
8:55 AM M oo 5 Lib 57 Oppo s Ura 5 Ari 57
Oct 14, 2012
10:52 AM M oo 7 Lib 08 Sqr Plu Plu 7 Cap 08
Oct Oct 14, 2012 11:04 AM M oo 4th H. Oct 15, 2012
1:43 AM AM M oo 16 Lib 12 Trine Jup 16 Gem 12
Oct 15, 2012
10:33 AM M ar 5 Sag 55 Trine Ura 5 Ari 55
Oct 15, 2012
12:02 PM PM Sun 22 Lib Lib 32 Conj M oo 22 Lib 32
Oct 16, 2012
12:06 AM M oo enters Sco
Oct 16, 2012
12:59 AM M oo 0 Sco Sco 33 Trine Trine Nep 0 Pis Pis 33
Oct 16, 2012
2:04 AM M oo 1 Sco 13 Conj Sat 1 Sco 13
Oct 16, 2012
11:38 AM M oo 7 Sco Sco 10 Sxtil Sxtil Plu Plu 7 Cap 10
Oct 16, 2012
12:31 PM PM M er 15 Sco Sco 34 Sxtil Ven Ven 15 Vir Vir 34
Oct 16, 2012
11:34 PM Ven 16 Vir Vir 07 Sqr Jup 16 Gem 07
Oct 17, 2012
2:16 AM M oo 16 Sco Sco 15 Sxtil Sxtil Ven 16 Vir 15
Oct 17, 2012
2:23 AM M oo 16 Sco 20 Conj M er 16 Sco 20
Oct Oct 17, 2012
2:56 AM M oo 5th H.
Oct Oct 17, 2012
8:34 AM M er 5th H.
Oct 17, 2012
6:24 PM TNo Direct 26 Sco Sco 18
Oct 17, 2012
6:27 PM M oo 26 Sco 18 Conj Conj TNo 26 Sco Sco 18
Oct 18, 2012
12:26 AM M oo enters Sag
Oct 18, 2012
1:16 AM M oo 0 Sag 31 Sqr Nep 0 Pis Pis 31
Oct 18, 2012
9:50 AM M oo 5 Sag 48 Trine Ura 5 Ari 48
Oct 18, 2012
1:41 PM M oo 8 Sag 10 Conj M ar 8 Sag 10
Oct 19, 2012
2:32 AM AM M oo 16 Sag 01 Oppos Jup Jup 16 Gem 01
Oct 19, 2012
7:14 AM M oo 18 Sag 53 Sqr Ven 18 Vir 53
Oct 19, 2012
8:26 PM PM Sun 26 Lib Lib 51 Sxtil Sxtil M oo 26 Sag Sag 51
Oct Oct 19, 19, 2012 11:47 11:47 PM M oo 6th H. Oct 20, 2012
1:41 AM M oo enters Cap
Oct 20, 2012
2:30 AM M oo 0 Cap 30 Sxtil Nep 0 Pis 30
Oct 20, 2012
4:33 AM M oo 1 Cap 43 Sxtil Sat 1 Sco 43
Oct 20, 2012
11:18 AM M oo 5 Cap 44 Sqr Ura 5 Ari 44
Oct 20, 2012
1:49 PM M oo 7 Cap 13 Conj Plu 7 Cap 13
I highlighted highlighted t he m ost impor tant t w o astrological astrological events of th e week M ars trine Uranus and Venus Venus Square Jupiter . Now let’s som som e study on these events. 1 - Oc Octt 15, 2012 10:33 AM M ar 5 Sag 55 Trine Ura 5 Ari 55
W hat happened when M ars trined with Uranus before? before?
24 of th e 37 tim e this aspect aspect prod uced bullish bullish effect. ~65% is not bad w ith respect respect t o 51.4% of th e control group. Bes Bestt strategy is 10 hours before the aspect aspect go long and and w ait ait until tw o hours after the aspect. aspect. This This analys analysee m ade by h ourly d ata. ItIt is highly possible possible that it is affect affect w ill cont cont inue fo r some days because these two planets are rather slow movements. Unfortunately I do not have enough long data to analyse analyse this aspect aspect in detail of signs signs of the p lanets. lanets. 2-Octt 16, 2012 2-Oc
11:34 PM PM Ven 16 Vir 07 Sqr Jup 16 Gem 07
Becaus Becausee bot h Venus and Jupit Jupit er are relatively faster faster t han M ars and and Ur anus, w e had m ore d ata to m ake analysis analysis.. W hen Venus and and Jupiter have square aspect, aspect, th is usually usually creates creates bearish bearish m ovem ent for EUR/USD m arket. Best Best strate gy is to sho rt 8 d ays befo re th e aspect aspect t im e and close close sho sho rt s 4 days before the aspect time which created 59.4% times positive results where random studies 50.7% tim es created created positive positive retu rns.
Becaus Becausee w e have mo re data w e can focus on signs signs of t he planets on aspect aspect t ime.
Interestingly when Venus is in Virgo and Jupiter is in Gemini results were not so bearish for the market.
3 - Other Aspects Aspects
D at e
Ti m e
Pl a n e t 1
Si Si g n
A sp e c t
Pl a n e t 2
Si g n
St r a t e gy
1 5 . 1 0 .1 2
01:43
M oo n
Li b r a
Tr i n e
Ju p i t e r
G e m in in i
Lo n g
1 5 . 1 0 .1 2
01:43
M oo n
Tr i n e
Ju p i t e r
Lo n g
1 5 . 1 0 .1 2
12:02
Su n
Co n j u c t
M oon
Lo n g
St a r t A8h A5h A6h
1 6 . 1 0 .1 2
00:06
M oo n
En t e r s
Sh o r t
A -8 h
1 6 . 1 0 .1 2
00:59
M oo n
Tr i n e
Nept un e
Sh o r t
A -7 h
1 6 . 1 0 .1 2 1 6 . 1 0 .1 2 1 6 . 1 0 .1 2
00:59 02:04 11:38
M oo n M oo n M oo n
Tr i n e Co n j u c t Se xt i l
Nept un e Sa t u r n Pl u t o
Sh o r t Lo n g Lo n g
1 6 . 1 0 .1 2 1 7 . 1 0 .1 2
12:31 02:16
M e r cu r y M oo n
Se xt i l Se xt i l
Ve n u s Ve n u s
Lo n g Lo n g
A -7 h A -8 h A -4 h A13 h A -4 h
1 7 . 1 0 .1 2 1 7 . 1 0 .1 2
02:16 02:23
M oo n M oo n
Se xt i l Co n j u c t
Ve n u s M e r cu r y
Lo n g Lo n g
A -5 h A -4 h
1 7 . 1 0 .1 2
02:56
M oo n
En t e r s
Lo n g
1 7 . 1 0 .1 2 1 8 . 1 0 .1 2 1 8 . 1 0 .1 2 1 8 . 1 0 .1 2 1 8 . 1 0 .1 2 1 8 . 1 0 .1 2 1 8 . 1 0 .1 2 1 9 . 1 0 .1 2 1 9 . 1 0 .1 2 1 9 . 1 0 .1 2
08:34 00:26 01:16 01:16 09:50 13:41 13:41 02:32 02:32 07:14
M e r cu r y M oo n M oo n M oo n M oo n M oo n M oo n M oo n M oo n M oo n
En t er er s En t e r s Sq u a r e Sq u a r e Tr i n e Co n j u c t Co n j u c t O p p o si t i o n O p p o si t i o n Sq u a r e
Nept un e Nept un e U r an u s M ar s M ar s Ju p i t e r Ju p i t e r Ve n u s
Lo n g Lo n g Lo n g Sh o r t Sh o r t Sh o r t Sh o r t Sh o r t Sh o r t Lo n g
A -9 h A3t h A +1 h A -5 h A -3 h A -7 h A -8 h A -5 h A -4 h A -5 h A -7 h
1 9 . 1 0 .1 2 1 9 . 1 0 .1 2 1 9 . 1 0 .1 2
07:14 20:26 20:26
M oo n Su n Su n
Sq u a r e Se xt i l Se xt i l
Ve n u s M oon M oon
Sh o r t Lo n g Sh o r t
A -8 h A -6 h A -3 h
En d Exact A sp e c t Exact A sp e c t Exact A sp e c t Exact A sp e c t Exact A sp e c t Exact A sp e c t A -1 h A +9 h Exact A sp e c t A +5 h Exact A sp e c t A +7 h Exact A sp e c t Exact A sp e c t A +3 h A +7 h A+ A+ 3 h A +1 h A +8 h A +2 h A +2 h A+ A +9 h A +3 h Exact A sp e c t A +8 h A +1 h
1 9 . 1 0 .1 2
23:47
M oo n
Lo n g
A -5 h
A +7 h
Sc o r p i o
Sc o r p i o
Sa g i t t a r u s
Sa g i t t a r u s Sa g i t t a r u s
Sa g i t t ar ar u s Li b r a
En t e r s
Sc o r p i o
Pi sc e s
V i r go 5t h H o u se 5t h H o u se Sa g i t t a r u s Pi sc e s
Sa g i t t ar ar u s G e m in in i
V i r go Sa g i t t a r u s 6t h H o u se
Control Group (Up always)
Hit Rate (L/ S) 7 2 .7 0 %
5 4 .5 0 %
5 3 .4 0 %
5 0 .2 0 %
54%
5 0 .5 0 %
5 7 .8 0 %
5 0 .6 0 %
5 3 .1 0 %
5 0 .5 0 %
8 3 .3 0 % 5 3 .8 0 % 55%
50% 5 0 .3 0 % 5 1 .1 0 %
70% 5 5 .2 0 %
50% 5 0 .7 0 %
8 0 .0 0 % 58%
5 0 .0 0 % 5 0 .7 0 %
5 2 .2 0 %
5 0 .2 0 %
5 5 .1 0 % 5 7 .1 0 % 5 5 .8 0 % 8 1 .8 0 % 5 5 .2 0 % 5 7 .6 0 % 7 6 .5 0 % 5 5 .2 0 % 9 0 .9 0 % 5 6 .0 0 %
5 0 .4 0 % 5 0 .6 0 % 5 1 .0 0 % 5 4 .5 0 % 5 0 .6 0 % 5 1 .0 0 % 5 2 .9 0 % 5 0 .6 0 % 5 4 .5 0 % 5 0 .9 0 %
9 1 .7 0 % 5 7 .0 0 % 8 1 .8 0 %
5 0 .0 0 % 5 0 .9 0 % 5 4 .5 0 %
5 2 .3 0 %
5 0 .9 0 %
W ell, I have analys analysed ed ot her aspects aspects of th e w eek. Interestingly Interestingly first first h alf of th e w eek w e have m ostly bullish bullish aspects aspects where second second p art of the w eek we h ave bearish bearish aspects… aspects… For some aspects deep
analysis analysis is not possible possible because because 1h data I have has limited histor histor y (Until 2001), but for som e ot her aspects aspects histor ical ical stat stat istics istics loo ks pro m ising ising for for ecastin ecastin g. ECLIPSES I als alsoo study on eclipses eclipses but it is not yet over, so so no interpret ation on them . But But later I want to include so m e o f t h e m . PLEN PLEN ETARY LINES LIN ES
Curren t m arket m ovem ent r eacts eacts especial especially ly tw o lines. First irst is our star Sun Sun and second second is average average of Jup iter an d Satu Satu rn. Sun Sun lin e hold s curren t r ally (source (source of Gann 1X1 fan). In In p reviou s cycles cycles it h olde d unt il mirror line to uched. So So I don’t expect current rally end befo re to uching 360’ M irror Sun Sun line.
On short short term chart chart lunar lines lines are import ant. It is import ant wh ere we w ill open for M onday. If we open and stay 1.2970, w e can can stay in in th e cchannel hannel of th e M oon lines. lines. On th e oth er hand a w eak start start w ill keep price with in bearish bearish m irror lunar lines. C – HARM ONIC ELLIOTT W AVE COUNTS I los lostt my t rust rust to Elliott lliott W ave Theory becaus becausee there are too m any patterns and at the sam sam e time ther e are b ullish ullish and bearish bearish scenarios scenarios often togeth er possible. possible.
How ever Harm onic Elliott Elliott W ave m ore reliable because because it fixed erro rs of class classic theory as well as itit relies on m athem atical atical relationships. relationships. Harmo nic nature of m arkets it very difficult difficult to catch catch w aves but it is still still helpful to have som som e count s. M y favourite count count above favours favours an an up m ove before a deep correction. correction. Little Little mo re than 200 pips movement will be enough for rules but mathematical relationships favours more than 400 pips m ove. A break below 1.28 w ill need to reconsider the current coun t. D – CONCL ONCLUSION USION M y mo st favourit e scenario scenario for the up coming w eek is a sharp sharp rally which w ill satisfy atisfy H.E H.E.W count s and declination studies. Astrological aspects studies and planetary lines also favour this possibility. Then w e can see see a final high and a deep correction. Alternative scenario scenario is a weak start start and side-lined side-lined m arket fo llowed by a strengthen ing market. This will cause for me to consider alternative use of declination studies. Alternative H.E.W count also allow s such such a scenario. scenario.
A bearish bearish view w ill be surprise surprise for m e and it w ill require require t o consider techniques I have used. W ish ish you all profitable week
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